1. The Influence of U.S. Presidential Elections on Exchange Rates Dr. Dean Frear Wilkes University Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania Dr. Jennifer Edmonds Wilkes University Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania

8. U.S. Presidential Election Timeline Intentions for candidacy stated Adjustment period for ‘new’ presidential candidate Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 conventions Primary elections Daily observations of exchange rates

24. The Presidential Cycle Year 1, week 3: Inauguration Year 4, weeks 5-25: Primary Elections* Year 4, weeks 34-38: Political Conventions Year 4, week 46: Presidential Election The values shown correspond to weeks in which there was a difference (between EYs and nEYs) of more than 0.15% *denotes significance at the 0.10 level

25. The Presidential Cycle Year 1, week 3: Inauguration Year 4, weeks 5-25: Primary Elections* Year 4, weeks 34-38: Political Conventions* Year 4, week 46: Presidential Election The values shown correspond to weeks in which there was a difference (between EYs and nEYs) of more than 0.15% *denotes significance at the 0.10 level

26. The Presidential Cycle Year 1, week 3: Inauguration Year 4, weeks 5-25: Primary Elections* Year 4, weeks 34-38: Political Conventions* Year 4, week 46: Presidential Election The values shown correspond to weeks in which there was a difference (between EYs and nEYs) of more than 0.15% *denotes significance at the 0.10 level

29. The End Thank You