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Shopper-CentriC
retailing
Shopper Insights
at the Point of Decision
Do not print
table of contents
                                    rEtAiL EVoLUtion AnD SHoppEr intiMACY                   2

                                    tHE MYtHiCAL AVErAGE SHoppEr                            6

                                    opErAtionALiZE YoUr SHoppEr SEGMEntS:                  10

                                           optimize merChandiSing and marketing together   12

                                           plan aSSortmentS and underStand loyalty         16

                                           tailor promotionS to the right ShopperS         19

                                           Set CompetitiVe, eFFeCtiVe priCeS and

Shopper-CentriC                            proteCt image itemS By Shopper Segment          21


retailing                           CoLLABorAtE WitH YoUr ConSUMEr proDUCtS pArtnErS       24

                                    pUttinG it ALL toGEtHEr                                26
Shopper Insights
at the Point of Decision            ABoUt DEMAnDtEC                                        28




        Shopper-Centric Retailing
Retail evolution
    and shoppeR
    intimacy

    The “good old days” of mom-and-pop retailing have faded to
    a pleasant, sepia-toned reminiscence.
                                                                     “   in the mass-maRket eRa,
                                                                         the shoppeR became an
                                                                         abstRaction—a mass
                                                                         maRket Responding to
                                                                         mass methods.
                                                                                       ”
    In that magical time, early in the last century, understanding
    shoppers’ needs seemed easy. Shop owner-operators knew
    their shoppers by name and their preferences by heart.

    Merchandising wasn’t very scientific, but it was personal and,
    in its way, intimate.

    With the explosion of mass media and the economic
    expansion of the 1950s, mass retailing boomed also, to
    feed the surging demand of a culture oriented around
    consumption. Manufacturers could reach consumers with a
    30-second spot on three TV networks and a coupon in the
    Sunday paper. Retailers rolled larger and larger stores out
    across the landscape, pacing the expansion of suburbia, and
    serving the hegemony of the national brands. For a brief,
    golden period, merchants could stack ’em high and watch
    ’em fly.




2                Shopper-Centric Retailing                                                         3
The growth of mass markets led over time to industry                    But, along the way, true intimacy with the shopper had been
    consolidation, and the emergence of truly national and global           lost. Even sophisticated demand analytics could only reveal a
    retailers. By the 1980s and 1990s, we were experiencing an              story about the average shopper.
    explosion of consumer product choices and media outlets.
    Retail chains grew larger and more operationally intricate, even        Today, mass is past as are one-size-fits-all analytic models.
    as cable television and the Internet caused audiences                   The new era is all about segmentation. Finding and defining
    to splinter.                                                            those shoppers that will ultimately drive the biggest results
                                                                            for the business and knowing how to reach them most
    Retailers and manufacturers adapted by adding technologies              effectively.
    to their arsenal. By the 1990s, retailers were hiring consultants
    to build econometric models representing consumer demand                In the next generation of retail, demand analytics and
    and to provide advice on pricing, promotion, and assortment             optimization intersect with shopper segmentation in brave
    to optimize their categories. By the turn of the century, these         new ways. And retailers are prepared with next generation
    techniques were packaged into software tools designed to                tools built to let them OPERATIONALIZE their segment
    enable demand modeling, forecasting, and optimization on                strategies in both merchandising and marketing.
    a repeatable and scalable basis. Retailers reaped significant
    rewards from category-centric merchandising optimization, with          tHAt’S WHY At DEMAnDtEC, WE FoCUS on trUE
    the ability to better meet consumer demand and achieve their            SHoppEr-CEntriC rEtAiLinG.
    business objectives.




                                                                        “   opeRationalize segment
                                                                            stRategies in both
                                                                            meRchandising and

                                                                                                      ”
                                                                            maRketing.



4                Shopper-Centric Retailing                                                                                                  5
the mythical
    aveRage shoppeR


    Despite years of entrenched mass-merchandising practices,           tHE DEAtH oF “AVErAGE” – WHAt’S DriVinG
    all retail professionals know instinctively there’s no such thing   rEtAiL EVoLUtion?
    as the average shopper. Each individual differs in their desires
    and preferences. In fact, they vary with every trip to the store.             MASS ERA RETAIL                NEXT GENERATION RETAIL

                                                                         •		 ass	markets
                                                                           M                                 •		 egmented	markets
                                                                                                               S
    Even in today’s complex store environments, shoppers leave
    hints about themselves with every transaction. For decades,          •		 ass	media
                                                                           M                                 •		 argeted	media
                                                                                                               T
    retail marketers have taken advantage of this data with
                                                                         •		 rototype	store
                                                                           P                                 •		 lustered	stores
                                                                                                               	
                                                                                                               C
    shopper segmentation programs that uncover behavioral
    traits of different groups of shoppers. These investments            •		 niform	assortments
                                                                           U                                 •		 luster-level	assortments
                                                                                                               	
                                                                                                               C
    have resulted in better performance across their marketing
                                                                         •		 reat	all	shoppers	the	same
                                                                           	
                                                                           T                                 •		 ocus	on	key	shoppers	segments
                                                                                                               F
    programs. However, the category-centric optimization tools
    used by the merchants did not support insights and decisions         •		 hare	of	market
                                                                           S                                 •		 hare	of	wallet
                                                                                                               S
    at a segment level.
                                                                         •		 ne	optimized	price
                                                                           O                                 •		 egment-targeted	prices
                                                                                                               S


                                                                        The opportunity to regain shopper intimacy has always been with us.
                                                                        We just needed to find the right ways to marry the merchandising
                                                                        optimization techniques with shopper segment strategies.




6                Shopper-Centric Retailing                                                                                                       7
As retailers and manufacturers adopt new tools for
                                                  understanding and managing shopper data, we pursue
                                                  promising new opportunities. We can put individual faces back
                                                  on our shoppers. We can get to know them personally again.
                                                  We can learn to see what makes them different.

                                                  WE CAn MEEt tHEir nEEDS AnD ExCEED




     “
                                                  tHEir ExpECtAtionS.

         We can put individual                    In the next generation of retail, we understand which
                                                  shoppers are most valuable to our long-term success and
         faces back on ouR                        what they find important.
         shoppeRs. We can get to
                                                  This means we merchandise and go to market based on
         knoW them peRsonally                     shopper insights, as well as category and brand objectives.
         again. We can leaRn to
                                                  Just knowing isn’t enough. We need to take effective action
         see What makes them

                             ”
                                                  on this new and improved understanding. Routinely. By
         diffeRent.                               embedding highly responsive practices into our operations
                                                  every day.

                                                  Next generation technology is ready to help us renew our
                                                  intimacy with the shopper, target our plans, and deliver
                                                  competitive advantage.




10       nextGEN of Merchandising and Marketing                                                                   9
opeRationalize youR
     shoppeR segments


     For retailers, merging advanced shopper segmentation with
     merchandising optimization capabilities can have a huge
     impact on the business. The shift from mass and average
     to targeted and differentiated has a profound effect in how
     retailers:

     •	Optimize merchandising and marketing together

     •	Plan assortments and protect highly loyal items of key
     shopper segments

     •	Tailor promotions to the right shoppers through
     multiple venues

     •	Set competitive, effective prices and protect unique image
     items by shopper segment

     •	Collaborate with consumer products (CP) partners

     In the next generation, all of these transition from an
     optimization process based on averages to a more finely
     tuned process that detects and leverages the variability in
     demand across shopper groups.




10                Shopper-Centric Retailing                         11
1. optiMiZE MErCHAnDiSinG AnD
     MArkEtinG toGEtHEr
                                                                        The new breed of retail applications extends optimization
                                                                        science in exciting new ways:

      StrAtEGY              pLAnninG                                    •	Shopper segmentation becomes integral to the
                                                    MEASUrEMEnt
                           & ExECUtion                                   merchandising optimization process

                                                Shopper Segment:        •	Shopper insights are embedded at the point of decision
                             Shopper            •	Trips
     Financial                                  •	Total Spend
                                                •	Category Conversion
                                                                        •	Superior planning and collaboration are enabled with
     Shopper                                                             consumer products suppliers
     Category                                   Category:
                                                •	Sales
                             Category           •	Profit
                                                                        In next generation retailing, we combine segmentation
                                                •	Volume                and merchandising optimization, and can act on subtle yet
                                                                        important segment differences. We know intuitively that
                 CoLLABorAtion AnD MAStEr CALEnDAr                      young families with children have different purchase priorities
                                                                        than retired empty nesters, to cite one clear-cut example.
                                                                        No amount of price cutting will motivate Golden Oldies to
     Retail strategy defines various goals in key areas: financial,     purchase more baby formula. That’s easy to guess even
     shopper, and category. Plans flow from these objectives,           without optimization tools.
     informed by shopper insights and our best understanding of
     demand.                                                            But hundreds of more subtle, yet enduring, purchase
                                                                        preferences that define shopper segments may be very
     To be effective, we must fine-tune our planning and execution      difficult to identify without next generation tools that
     process to address category objectives like sales and profit,      automatically sift the data for actionable differences.
     as well as shopper objectives like trips or loyalty.               “Broadcast” merchandising methods overlook these
                                                                        differences, spreading finite resources too thinly, leading to
                                                                        results that may be good, but could be better.




14       nextGEN of Merchandising and Marketing                                                                                           13
If Golden Oldies are a strategically important segment in our
     stores, we need to identify and pursue merchandising and
     marketing programs that will be meaningful to them, and elicit
     desired purchase behaviors.

     Combining merchandising optimization technology with




                                                                      “
     the discipline of shopper segmentation lets us identify
     and incorporate a host of segment behavioral differences
     into our merchandising and marketing decisions. To                   combining meRchandising
     operationalize our shopper segment strategy, we need:
                                                                          optimization With shoppeR
     •	Merchandising technology for assortment, pricing, and              segmentation lets us
      promotion
                                                                          identify and incoRpoRate
     •	Optimization and segmentation combined and actionable for          segment diffeRences into

                                                                                        ”
                                                                          ouR decisions.
      planners at the point of decision

     •	Active collaboration with CP partners

     This integrated approach to merchandising activities defines
     next generation retailing.




14                Shopper-Centric Retailing                                              Chapter Title Here
2. pLAn ASSortMEntS AnD UnDErStAnD
           LoYALtY
                                                                                                                 inCrEMEntAL SALES     totAL SALES

           Assortment planning is all about the shopper. It’s about which
           items are SUBSTITUTABLE and which ones will deliver the                                                                              “Modest sellers” may
                                                                                        “Good sellers” may not                                  be VERY incremental
           highest INCREMENTALITY to the category. Coupled with                         be very incremental to                                  to category sales
           shopper loyalty, thousand of scenarios can now be generated                  category sales
           to not only pursue volume goals, but shopper segment ones
           as well.




                                                                                                                       SkU rAnk BY SALES


                                                 donutS
     Category



                                                                                             Of particular value are concepts of trAnSFErABLE
     Segment             Filled                ChoColate               Sugar
                                                                                             DEMAnD AnD inCrEMEntALitY. An understanding of these
                                                                                             two principles will help you understand how substitutable
       SuB-                                                                                  products are, and ultimately if you delist a product, how much
     Segment
                                                                                             of that product’s demand will shift to other products in your
                 Fruit        Creme       all Choc.   Sprinkled   glazed       powder
                                                                                             assortment, and how much will disappear from your store.

                                                                                             Next generation retailing takes these concepts even a step
                                                                                             further, enabling shopper segment demand and loyalty to
                                                                                             become key drivers of optimization scenarios.




16                         Shopper-Centric Retailing                                                                                                                   17
Optimization science reveals that some strong-moving items              3. tAiLor proMotionS to tHE riGHt
     add relatively little to category performance if the shopper can
                                                                             SHoppErS
     easily replace them with other items should they be delisted.
     Other, slower-moving items may be highly incremental –
                                                                             Next generation retailing applies segmentation and targeting
     representing “plus” business that will be lost for good if the
                                                                             principles throughout the promotion process. It adds value
     item is delisted. And there may be a few items that offer
                                                                             across the entire sequence of actions, from: managing deals,
     little incrementality to the category in general, but have high
                                                                             to optimizing promotion plans, to advertising execution, and
     preference and loyalty of a key shopper segment, in which
                                                                             measurement.
     case, you’d protect those items from deletion.

                                                                             At each stage, the game changes when we consistently ask
      itEM LoYALtY (AkA SHArE oF rEqUirEMEntS)                               the question:
      For kiDS AnD FAMiLY SEGMEnt
      •	Kids	and	Family	shoppers	who	bought	Fruity	Pebbles,	purchased	
      Fruity	Pebbles	2	out	of	the	4	times	they	bought	cereal,	therefore,		
      are	50%	loyal	to	Fruity	Pebbles                                          Q:    “for which segments…?”



                                                                             Shopper-Centric Retailers focus on:

                                                                             •	Targeted promotions for specific segments

      itEM LoYALtY (AkA SHArE oF rEqUirEMEntS)                               •	Varying ad versions by segment
      For GoLDEn oLDiES
      •	Golden	Oldie	shoppers	who	bought	Raisin	Bran,	purchased	             •	Tracking and understanding response by segment
      Raisin	Bran	3	out	of	the	4	times	they	bought	cereal,	therefore,		
      are	75%	loyal	to	Raisin	Bran	                                          Along the way, we conserve finite promotional resources,
                                                                             and apply the effort and dollars where they will be most
                                                                             effective – toward the customer segments that care most
                                                                             about the category or the brand, or are most valuable to the
                                                                             business. This capability naturally leads retailers to work more
                                                                             collaboratively with vendors on trade promotions.




18                  Shopper-Centric Retailing                                                                                                   19
Different segments respond differently to different
                                                                                             CoFFEE    DiApErS    CErEAL
     promotions. While this may seem intuitive, until the arrival
     of next generation retailing solutions we had very limited                   TPR
                                                                                                                                Young	Families	
     capability to act on this understanding. Promotion lift was                  Feature                                       very	sensitive	to	
     calculated across the entire store and shopper base, without      YoUnG                                                    most	promotion	
                                                                       FAMiLiES
     understanding its behavioral elements.                                       Display                                       levers	for	most	
                                                                                                                                categories
                                                                                  Multiple
     But WHO responded to the promotion? How effective was the
                                                                                  TPR
     vehicle? Should you do it again? In the example on the facing
                                                                                                                                Budget	Families	not	
     page, Golden Oldies show a strong promotional response                       Feature
                                                                       BUDGEt                                                   as	responsive	to	
     when coffee is on display. In contrast, Budget Families are       FAMiLiES
                                                                                  Display                                       coffee	promotions
     unmoved. But looking across the row, it’s clear that Budget
     Families are generally more responsive to multiple pricing,                  Multiple

     although this leaves Golden Oldies generally cold. Next time                 TPR
     around, if the goal is to grow coffee sales to Budget Families,
                                                                                  Feature
     we might try the “two-fer” lever, but we shouldn’t expect         GoLDEn
                                                                       oLDiES                                                   Golden	Oldies	
     much bump from the Golden Oldies.                                            Display
                                                                                                                                sensitive	to	display
                                                                                  Multiple
     Targeting promotions to specific shopper segments will
     inevitably lead to an increase in versions of your flyers
     and other marketing deliverables. Would your system
     be able to handle a doubling or tripling of versions?                 4. SEt CoMpEtitiVE, EFFECtiVE priCES AnD
     Retailers need a buttoned-down system to keep a lid on                protECt iMAGE itEMS BY SHoppEr SEGMEnt
     this added complexity. Automating those capabilities with
     next generation solutions lets them support and execute               Leading retailers have been benefiting from price optimization
     promotional strategies by shopper segment, category, and              tools for a decade. Adding segmentation improves targeting
     geography.                                                            and offers a substantial opportunity to improve decision-
                                                                           making accuracy throughout the pricing life cycle – from base
                                                                           or everyday prices, to promotion prices, markdowns, pricing
                                                                           rules and price maintenance.




20                Shopper-Centric Retailing                                                                                                            21
It begins with shopper focus made possible by the application                            top iMAGE itEMS in CErEAL ACroSS ALL SEGMEntS
     of next generation retail solutions:                                                     •	Top	cereal	image	items	across	segments	dominated	by	Kids	and	Family	SKUs.
                                                                                              •	We	can	quantify	which	are	most valued overall.




                                                                            item “stRength”
     •	Identify price-sensitive SKUs by segment across store

     •	Identify storewide image items by segment

     •	Identify price points that drive sales by segment
                                                                                                 5.23   4.26    3.82   3.65   3.30   3.29   3.04   2.92   2.84    2.80    2.78    2.71   2.67

     Our Golden Oldies segment, for example, may skew more
     strongly toward the purchase of certain unsweetened cereal
     brands, while the category overall may show much greater
     movement on kid-oriented, presweetened varieties. Here                                   top iMAGE itEMS in CErEAL For GoLDEn oLDiES SEGMEnt
     again, if we deem Golden Oldies to be an important strategic                             •		 ot	surprisingly,	Golden Oldies	buy	mostly	Adult	and	Family	cereal.
                                                                                                N
                                                                                              •	We	can	identify	which	of	these	are	their top image items.
     segment, our overall category assortment plan and pricing




                                                                            item “stRength”
     of key image items may require a degree of accommodation
     to their preferences that might not be revealed if the cereals
     were studied only at the category level.

     When we optimize pricing for target segments, we also seek
     an understanding of the unavoidable trade-offs. What happens                               4.69    4.60    3.52   3.36   3.32   3.28   3.26   3.07    3.01    2.81    2.72   2.66   2.39

     to other segments and the total business when you implement
     those prices?

     So, for example, if you decide to optimize prices for my most
     important segment—say Foodies—what happens to your
     overall forecast? It is quite possible that you can raise the                            nEEDLESS to SAY, YoU CAn’t Do tHiS
     price of an item for Foodies and improve performance for that                            ForECAStinG in YoUr HEAD – YoU nEED nExt
     group, but at the cost of a lower overall forecast. Depending                            GEnErAtion tECHnoLoGY.
     on your goals, it may still be the right decision, but it is crucial
     that you have a detailed understanding of the impact of those
     decisions.


22                 Shopper-Centric Retailing                                                                                                                                                    23
collaboRate With
     youR consumeR
     pRoducts paRtneRs



                                                                         “
     Trading partner collaboration is another area that is evolving
     rapidly. In next generation retailing, it goes well beyond after-       by shaRing data on a
     the-fact reporting and data sharing to incorporate real-time
     collaboration on a common online platform.                              common platfoRm, both
                                                                             paRties can use the
     Access to segment-level performance data permits your
     CP partners to participate in your shopper strategy. From               same online RepoRting
     the understanding of your shopper segment behavior to                   capability to tRack and
     the visualization of what items should be leveraged across
     assortment, price, and promotional activities.                          undeRstand the impact
                                                                             on categoRy gRoWth,
                                                                             neW shoppeR attRaction,
     Beyond insight mining, your CP partner can also see and
     predict which promotions will resonate best with which
     segments and ultimately deliver bottom-line results.                    oR any meaningful
                                                                             behavioRal impact on key

                                                                                                       ”
     By sharing data on a common platform, both parties can use
     the same online reporting capability to track and understand            shoppeR segments.
     the impact on category growth, new shopper attraction, or
     any meaningful behavioral impact on key shopper segments.




24                Shopper-Centric Retailing                                                 Chapter Title Here
putting it all                                                tAiLor proMotionS

     togetheR                                                      Manage the end-to-end promotion process from collaborating
                                                                   with vendors through planning promotional activities,
                                                                   forecasting outcome, and executing on highly targeted and
                                                                   versioned campaigns.

                                                                   SEt CoMpEtitiVE AnD EFFECtiVE priCES
     In a varied and differentiated marketplace, where different
                                                                   Optimize prices across the product lifecycle with an eye on
     shopper segments display enduring behavioral differences,
                                                                   the impact of pricing decisions on various segments.
     merchandising to an average shopper can no longer be
     expected to deliver superior performance.
                                                                   CoLLABorAtE WitH Cp pArtnErS
                                                                   Share planning with CP partners using a common online
     Breakthrough results require new thinking and new
                                                                   platform that is secure and dependable, and delivers access
     approaches that recognize and reflect the differences that
                                                                   to powerful insights and forecasts.
     define shoppers.

                                                                   At DEMAnDtEC, tHAt’S WHAt WE CALL nExt
     Shopper-Centric solutions from DemandTec let you
                                                                   GEnErAtion SHoppEr-CEntriC rEtAiLinG.
     operationalize your shopper segmentation in these crucial
     areas:

     optiMiZE MErCHAnDiSinG AnD MArkEtinG toGEtHEr
     Tune the planning and execution process to be more
     responsive to the differences between shopper segments.
                                                                   foR moRe infoRmation
     pLAn ASSortMEnt
     Optimize assortments for category growth, while keeping in    contact us at 650.645.7100
     mind specific needs of specific shopper segments.             oR visit demandtec.com.




26               Shopper-Centric Retailing                                                                                       27
about                                                             ContACt US
     demandtec                                                         DemandTec
                                                                       One Franklin Parkway
                                                                       Building 910
                                                                       San Mateo, CA 94403
                                                                       USA

                                                                       inqUiriES
     DemandTec (NASDAQ:DMAN) connects more than 280                    Phone: +1.650.645.7100
     retailers and consumer products companies, providing              Please visit www.demandtec.com
     common tools to transact, interact, and collaborate on
     core merchandising and marketing activities. DemandTec’s
     software services enable customers to achieve their sales
     volume, revenue, shopper loyalty, and profitability objectives.
     DemandTec customers have collaborated on more than 3.5
     million trade deals. DemandTec software-as-a-service utilizes
     a science-based platform to model and understand consumer
     behavior. DemandTec customers include leading retailers
     and consumer products companies such as Ahold USA, Best
     Buy, ConAgra Foods, Delhaize America, General Mills, H-E-B
     Grocery Co., The Home Depot, Hormel Foods, Monoprix,
     PETCO, Safeway, Sara Lee, Target, Walmart, and WH Smith.




28                Shopper-Centric Retailing                                                             29
DemandTec eBook: Shopper Centric Retailing

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DemandTec eBook: Shopper Centric Retailing

  • 1. Shopper-CentriC retailing Shopper Insights at the Point of Decision Do not print
  • 2. table of contents rEtAiL EVoLUtion AnD SHoppEr intiMACY 2 tHE MYtHiCAL AVErAGE SHoppEr 6 opErAtionALiZE YoUr SHoppEr SEGMEntS: 10 optimize merChandiSing and marketing together 12 plan aSSortmentS and underStand loyalty 16 tailor promotionS to the right ShopperS 19 Set CompetitiVe, eFFeCtiVe priCeS and Shopper-CentriC proteCt image itemS By Shopper Segment 21 retailing CoLLABorAtE WitH YoUr ConSUMEr proDUCtS pArtnErS 24 pUttinG it ALL toGEtHEr 26 Shopper Insights at the Point of Decision ABoUt DEMAnDtEC 28 Shopper-Centric Retailing
  • 3. Retail evolution and shoppeR intimacy The “good old days” of mom-and-pop retailing have faded to a pleasant, sepia-toned reminiscence. “ in the mass-maRket eRa, the shoppeR became an abstRaction—a mass maRket Responding to mass methods. ” In that magical time, early in the last century, understanding shoppers’ needs seemed easy. Shop owner-operators knew their shoppers by name and their preferences by heart. Merchandising wasn’t very scientific, but it was personal and, in its way, intimate. With the explosion of mass media and the economic expansion of the 1950s, mass retailing boomed also, to feed the surging demand of a culture oriented around consumption. Manufacturers could reach consumers with a 30-second spot on three TV networks and a coupon in the Sunday paper. Retailers rolled larger and larger stores out across the landscape, pacing the expansion of suburbia, and serving the hegemony of the national brands. For a brief, golden period, merchants could stack ’em high and watch ’em fly. 2 Shopper-Centric Retailing 3
  • 4. The growth of mass markets led over time to industry But, along the way, true intimacy with the shopper had been consolidation, and the emergence of truly national and global lost. Even sophisticated demand analytics could only reveal a retailers. By the 1980s and 1990s, we were experiencing an story about the average shopper. explosion of consumer product choices and media outlets. Retail chains grew larger and more operationally intricate, even Today, mass is past as are one-size-fits-all analytic models. as cable television and the Internet caused audiences The new era is all about segmentation. Finding and defining to splinter. those shoppers that will ultimately drive the biggest results for the business and knowing how to reach them most Retailers and manufacturers adapted by adding technologies effectively. to their arsenal. By the 1990s, retailers were hiring consultants to build econometric models representing consumer demand In the next generation of retail, demand analytics and and to provide advice on pricing, promotion, and assortment optimization intersect with shopper segmentation in brave to optimize their categories. By the turn of the century, these new ways. And retailers are prepared with next generation techniques were packaged into software tools designed to tools built to let them OPERATIONALIZE their segment enable demand modeling, forecasting, and optimization on strategies in both merchandising and marketing. a repeatable and scalable basis. Retailers reaped significant rewards from category-centric merchandising optimization, with tHAt’S WHY At DEMAnDtEC, WE FoCUS on trUE the ability to better meet consumer demand and achieve their SHoppEr-CEntriC rEtAiLinG. business objectives. “ opeRationalize segment stRategies in both meRchandising and ” maRketing. 4 Shopper-Centric Retailing 5
  • 5. the mythical aveRage shoppeR Despite years of entrenched mass-merchandising practices, tHE DEAtH oF “AVErAGE” – WHAt’S DriVinG all retail professionals know instinctively there’s no such thing rEtAiL EVoLUtion? as the average shopper. Each individual differs in their desires and preferences. In fact, they vary with every trip to the store. MASS ERA RETAIL NEXT GENERATION RETAIL • ass markets M • egmented markets S Even in today’s complex store environments, shoppers leave hints about themselves with every transaction. For decades, • ass media M • argeted media T retail marketers have taken advantage of this data with • rototype store P • lustered stores C shopper segmentation programs that uncover behavioral traits of different groups of shoppers. These investments • niform assortments U • luster-level assortments C have resulted in better performance across their marketing • reat all shoppers the same T • ocus on key shoppers segments F programs. However, the category-centric optimization tools used by the merchants did not support insights and decisions • hare of market S • hare of wallet S at a segment level. • ne optimized price O • egment-targeted prices S The opportunity to regain shopper intimacy has always been with us. We just needed to find the right ways to marry the merchandising optimization techniques with shopper segment strategies. 6 Shopper-Centric Retailing 7
  • 6. As retailers and manufacturers adopt new tools for understanding and managing shopper data, we pursue promising new opportunities. We can put individual faces back on our shoppers. We can get to know them personally again. We can learn to see what makes them different. WE CAn MEEt tHEir nEEDS AnD ExCEED “ tHEir ExpECtAtionS. We can put individual In the next generation of retail, we understand which shoppers are most valuable to our long-term success and faces back on ouR what they find important. shoppeRs. We can get to This means we merchandise and go to market based on knoW them peRsonally shopper insights, as well as category and brand objectives. again. We can leaRn to Just knowing isn’t enough. We need to take effective action see What makes them ” on this new and improved understanding. Routinely. By diffeRent. embedding highly responsive practices into our operations every day. Next generation technology is ready to help us renew our intimacy with the shopper, target our plans, and deliver competitive advantage. 10 nextGEN of Merchandising and Marketing 9
  • 7. opeRationalize youR shoppeR segments For retailers, merging advanced shopper segmentation with merchandising optimization capabilities can have a huge impact on the business. The shift from mass and average to targeted and differentiated has a profound effect in how retailers: • Optimize merchandising and marketing together • Plan assortments and protect highly loyal items of key shopper segments • Tailor promotions to the right shoppers through multiple venues • Set competitive, effective prices and protect unique image items by shopper segment • Collaborate with consumer products (CP) partners In the next generation, all of these transition from an optimization process based on averages to a more finely tuned process that detects and leverages the variability in demand across shopper groups. 10 Shopper-Centric Retailing 11
  • 8. 1. optiMiZE MErCHAnDiSinG AnD MArkEtinG toGEtHEr The new breed of retail applications extends optimization science in exciting new ways: StrAtEGY pLAnninG • Shopper segmentation becomes integral to the MEASUrEMEnt & ExECUtion merchandising optimization process Shopper Segment: • Shopper insights are embedded at the point of decision Shopper • Trips Financial • Total Spend • Category Conversion • Superior planning and collaboration are enabled with Shopper consumer products suppliers Category Category: • Sales Category • Profit In next generation retailing, we combine segmentation • Volume and merchandising optimization, and can act on subtle yet important segment differences. We know intuitively that CoLLABorAtion AnD MAStEr CALEnDAr young families with children have different purchase priorities than retired empty nesters, to cite one clear-cut example. No amount of price cutting will motivate Golden Oldies to Retail strategy defines various goals in key areas: financial, purchase more baby formula. That’s easy to guess even shopper, and category. Plans flow from these objectives, without optimization tools. informed by shopper insights and our best understanding of demand. But hundreds of more subtle, yet enduring, purchase preferences that define shopper segments may be very To be effective, we must fine-tune our planning and execution difficult to identify without next generation tools that process to address category objectives like sales and profit, automatically sift the data for actionable differences. as well as shopper objectives like trips or loyalty. “Broadcast” merchandising methods overlook these differences, spreading finite resources too thinly, leading to results that may be good, but could be better. 14 nextGEN of Merchandising and Marketing 13
  • 9. If Golden Oldies are a strategically important segment in our stores, we need to identify and pursue merchandising and marketing programs that will be meaningful to them, and elicit desired purchase behaviors. Combining merchandising optimization technology with “ the discipline of shopper segmentation lets us identify and incorporate a host of segment behavioral differences into our merchandising and marketing decisions. To combining meRchandising operationalize our shopper segment strategy, we need: optimization With shoppeR • Merchandising technology for assortment, pricing, and segmentation lets us promotion identify and incoRpoRate • Optimization and segmentation combined and actionable for segment diffeRences into ” ouR decisions. planners at the point of decision • Active collaboration with CP partners This integrated approach to merchandising activities defines next generation retailing. 14 Shopper-Centric Retailing Chapter Title Here
  • 10. 2. pLAn ASSortMEntS AnD UnDErStAnD LoYALtY inCrEMEntAL SALES totAL SALES Assortment planning is all about the shopper. It’s about which items are SUBSTITUTABLE and which ones will deliver the “Modest sellers” may “Good sellers” may not be VERY incremental highest INCREMENTALITY to the category. Coupled with be very incremental to to category sales shopper loyalty, thousand of scenarios can now be generated category sales to not only pursue volume goals, but shopper segment ones as well. SkU rAnk BY SALES donutS Category Of particular value are concepts of trAnSFErABLE Segment Filled ChoColate Sugar DEMAnD AnD inCrEMEntALitY. An understanding of these two principles will help you understand how substitutable SuB- products are, and ultimately if you delist a product, how much Segment of that product’s demand will shift to other products in your Fruit Creme all Choc. Sprinkled glazed powder assortment, and how much will disappear from your store. Next generation retailing takes these concepts even a step further, enabling shopper segment demand and loyalty to become key drivers of optimization scenarios. 16 Shopper-Centric Retailing 17
  • 11. Optimization science reveals that some strong-moving items 3. tAiLor proMotionS to tHE riGHt add relatively little to category performance if the shopper can SHoppErS easily replace them with other items should they be delisted. Other, slower-moving items may be highly incremental – Next generation retailing applies segmentation and targeting representing “plus” business that will be lost for good if the principles throughout the promotion process. It adds value item is delisted. And there may be a few items that offer across the entire sequence of actions, from: managing deals, little incrementality to the category in general, but have high to optimizing promotion plans, to advertising execution, and preference and loyalty of a key shopper segment, in which measurement. case, you’d protect those items from deletion. At each stage, the game changes when we consistently ask itEM LoYALtY (AkA SHArE oF rEqUirEMEntS) the question: For kiDS AnD FAMiLY SEGMEnt • Kids and Family shoppers who bought Fruity Pebbles, purchased Fruity Pebbles 2 out of the 4 times they bought cereal, therefore, are 50% loyal to Fruity Pebbles Q: “for which segments…?” Shopper-Centric Retailers focus on: • Targeted promotions for specific segments itEM LoYALtY (AkA SHArE oF rEqUirEMEntS) • Varying ad versions by segment For GoLDEn oLDiES • Golden Oldie shoppers who bought Raisin Bran, purchased • Tracking and understanding response by segment Raisin Bran 3 out of the 4 times they bought cereal, therefore, are 75% loyal to Raisin Bran Along the way, we conserve finite promotional resources, and apply the effort and dollars where they will be most effective – toward the customer segments that care most about the category or the brand, or are most valuable to the business. This capability naturally leads retailers to work more collaboratively with vendors on trade promotions. 18 Shopper-Centric Retailing 19
  • 12. Different segments respond differently to different CoFFEE DiApErS CErEAL promotions. While this may seem intuitive, until the arrival of next generation retailing solutions we had very limited TPR Young Families capability to act on this understanding. Promotion lift was Feature very sensitive to calculated across the entire store and shopper base, without YoUnG most promotion FAMiLiES understanding its behavioral elements. Display levers for most categories Multiple But WHO responded to the promotion? How effective was the TPR vehicle? Should you do it again? In the example on the facing Budget Families not page, Golden Oldies show a strong promotional response Feature BUDGEt as responsive to when coffee is on display. In contrast, Budget Families are FAMiLiES Display coffee promotions unmoved. But looking across the row, it’s clear that Budget Families are generally more responsive to multiple pricing, Multiple although this leaves Golden Oldies generally cold. Next time TPR around, if the goal is to grow coffee sales to Budget Families, Feature we might try the “two-fer” lever, but we shouldn’t expect GoLDEn oLDiES Golden Oldies much bump from the Golden Oldies. Display sensitive to display Multiple Targeting promotions to specific shopper segments will inevitably lead to an increase in versions of your flyers and other marketing deliverables. Would your system be able to handle a doubling or tripling of versions? 4. SEt CoMpEtitiVE, EFFECtiVE priCES AnD Retailers need a buttoned-down system to keep a lid on protECt iMAGE itEMS BY SHoppEr SEGMEnt this added complexity. Automating those capabilities with next generation solutions lets them support and execute Leading retailers have been benefiting from price optimization promotional strategies by shopper segment, category, and tools for a decade. Adding segmentation improves targeting geography. and offers a substantial opportunity to improve decision- making accuracy throughout the pricing life cycle – from base or everyday prices, to promotion prices, markdowns, pricing rules and price maintenance. 20 Shopper-Centric Retailing 21
  • 13. It begins with shopper focus made possible by the application top iMAGE itEMS in CErEAL ACroSS ALL SEGMEntS of next generation retail solutions: • Top cereal image items across segments dominated by Kids and Family SKUs. • We can quantify which are most valued overall. item “stRength” • Identify price-sensitive SKUs by segment across store • Identify storewide image items by segment • Identify price points that drive sales by segment 5.23 4.26 3.82 3.65 3.30 3.29 3.04 2.92 2.84 2.80 2.78 2.71 2.67 Our Golden Oldies segment, for example, may skew more strongly toward the purchase of certain unsweetened cereal brands, while the category overall may show much greater movement on kid-oriented, presweetened varieties. Here top iMAGE itEMS in CErEAL For GoLDEn oLDiES SEGMEnt again, if we deem Golden Oldies to be an important strategic • ot surprisingly, Golden Oldies buy mostly Adult and Family cereal. N • We can identify which of these are their top image items. segment, our overall category assortment plan and pricing item “stRength” of key image items may require a degree of accommodation to their preferences that might not be revealed if the cereals were studied only at the category level. When we optimize pricing for target segments, we also seek an understanding of the unavoidable trade-offs. What happens 4.69 4.60 3.52 3.36 3.32 3.28 3.26 3.07 3.01 2.81 2.72 2.66 2.39 to other segments and the total business when you implement those prices? So, for example, if you decide to optimize prices for my most important segment—say Foodies—what happens to your overall forecast? It is quite possible that you can raise the nEEDLESS to SAY, YoU CAn’t Do tHiS price of an item for Foodies and improve performance for that ForECAStinG in YoUr HEAD – YoU nEED nExt group, but at the cost of a lower overall forecast. Depending GEnErAtion tECHnoLoGY. on your goals, it may still be the right decision, but it is crucial that you have a detailed understanding of the impact of those decisions. 22 Shopper-Centric Retailing 23
  • 14. collaboRate With youR consumeR pRoducts paRtneRs “ Trading partner collaboration is another area that is evolving rapidly. In next generation retailing, it goes well beyond after- by shaRing data on a the-fact reporting and data sharing to incorporate real-time collaboration on a common online platform. common platfoRm, both paRties can use the Access to segment-level performance data permits your CP partners to participate in your shopper strategy. From same online RepoRting the understanding of your shopper segment behavior to capability to tRack and the visualization of what items should be leveraged across assortment, price, and promotional activities. undeRstand the impact on categoRy gRoWth, neW shoppeR attRaction, Beyond insight mining, your CP partner can also see and predict which promotions will resonate best with which segments and ultimately deliver bottom-line results. oR any meaningful behavioRal impact on key ” By sharing data on a common platform, both parties can use the same online reporting capability to track and understand shoppeR segments. the impact on category growth, new shopper attraction, or any meaningful behavioral impact on key shopper segments. 24 Shopper-Centric Retailing Chapter Title Here
  • 15. putting it all tAiLor proMotionS togetheR Manage the end-to-end promotion process from collaborating with vendors through planning promotional activities, forecasting outcome, and executing on highly targeted and versioned campaigns. SEt CoMpEtitiVE AnD EFFECtiVE priCES In a varied and differentiated marketplace, where different Optimize prices across the product lifecycle with an eye on shopper segments display enduring behavioral differences, the impact of pricing decisions on various segments. merchandising to an average shopper can no longer be expected to deliver superior performance. CoLLABorAtE WitH Cp pArtnErS Share planning with CP partners using a common online Breakthrough results require new thinking and new platform that is secure and dependable, and delivers access approaches that recognize and reflect the differences that to powerful insights and forecasts. define shoppers. At DEMAnDtEC, tHAt’S WHAt WE CALL nExt Shopper-Centric solutions from DemandTec let you GEnErAtion SHoppEr-CEntriC rEtAiLinG. operationalize your shopper segmentation in these crucial areas: optiMiZE MErCHAnDiSinG AnD MArkEtinG toGEtHEr Tune the planning and execution process to be more responsive to the differences between shopper segments. foR moRe infoRmation pLAn ASSortMEnt Optimize assortments for category growth, while keeping in contact us at 650.645.7100 mind specific needs of specific shopper segments. oR visit demandtec.com. 26 Shopper-Centric Retailing 27
  • 16. about ContACt US demandtec DemandTec One Franklin Parkway Building 910 San Mateo, CA 94403 USA inqUiriES DemandTec (NASDAQ:DMAN) connects more than 280 Phone: +1.650.645.7100 retailers and consumer products companies, providing Please visit www.demandtec.com common tools to transact, interact, and collaborate on core merchandising and marketing activities. DemandTec’s software services enable customers to achieve their sales volume, revenue, shopper loyalty, and profitability objectives. DemandTec customers have collaborated on more than 3.5 million trade deals. DemandTec software-as-a-service utilizes a science-based platform to model and understand consumer behavior. DemandTec customers include leading retailers and consumer products companies such as Ahold USA, Best Buy, ConAgra Foods, Delhaize America, General Mills, H-E-B Grocery Co., The Home Depot, Hormel Foods, Monoprix, PETCO, Safeway, Sara Lee, Target, Walmart, and WH Smith. 28 Shopper-Centric Retailing 29