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  The New Population Boom: Demographic Change and Global Futures   Jack A. Goldstone                 September 27 Dallas Committee on Foreign Relations  
  POPULATION MEGATRENDS Big emerging markets and the world economy Aging  and shrinking workforces in the developed countries Youth and Islam: The New face of the developing world An Urban, not rural, world
Where will the  People Be?
Global Labor Force Growth
Worker Growth vs. Elderly Growth
Increase in Older Folks in the US Population in Millions
Percentage of Population under 15 years old, 2005 Red: 40+	        Pink: 30-39	   Light Blue:  20-29	   Dark Blue:  <20
The Youth Surge in the Middle East(Ages 15-29) Millions Youth  0.43               0.37  0.40	         0.53 Bulge
Global Labor Force and State Fragility Population age 15-59  in millions
Muslim Growth in the World
Growth in Pop 15-44 age group
An Urban World
What are the Solutions? FLEXIBILITY Retirement /Work/Education Immigration and Emigration Business start-up and innovation to find Market-based solutions MORE GLOBALIZATION Open Trade and Human Exchange, New Urbanism Have faith in European/Liberal Values Globalization of Education!
What are We Doing About it? Investing in Education?  No. Investing in Basic Research? No. Improving Energy Grid/Efficiency? No. Improving attraction to top migrants? No. Pulling together, sharing sacrifice?  NO, NO, NO. Complaining about taxes, government, regulation?  YES, YES, YES.

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Jack Goldstone on Demographic Change and Global Futures

  • 1.   The New Population Boom: Demographic Change and Global Futures   Jack A. Goldstone                 September 27 Dallas Committee on Foreign Relations  
  • 2.   POPULATION MEGATRENDS Big emerging markets and the world economy Aging and shrinking workforces in the developed countries Youth and Islam: The New face of the developing world An Urban, not rural, world
  • 3. Where will the People Be?
  • 5.
  • 6. Worker Growth vs. Elderly Growth
  • 7. Increase in Older Folks in the US Population in Millions
  • 8.
  • 9. Percentage of Population under 15 years old, 2005 Red: 40+ Pink: 30-39 Light Blue: 20-29 Dark Blue: <20
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. The Youth Surge in the Middle East(Ages 15-29) Millions Youth 0.43 0.37 0.40 0.53 Bulge
  • 13. Global Labor Force and State Fragility Population age 15-59 in millions
  • 14. Muslim Growth in the World
  • 15. Growth in Pop 15-44 age group
  • 16.
  • 18. What are the Solutions? FLEXIBILITY Retirement /Work/Education Immigration and Emigration Business start-up and innovation to find Market-based solutions MORE GLOBALIZATION Open Trade and Human Exchange, New Urbanism Have faith in European/Liberal Values Globalization of Education!
  • 19. What are We Doing About it? Investing in Education? No. Investing in Basic Research? No. Improving Energy Grid/Efficiency? No. Improving attraction to top migrants? No. Pulling together, sharing sacrifice? NO, NO, NO. Complaining about taxes, government, regulation? YES, YES, YES.