1. 德博
NewGold Gold Bullion Debentures 新黃金基金
NewGold Issuer Limited
Incorporated in the Republic of South Africa
Registration number 2004/014199/06
ETFs and Index Products
Absa Capital
Johannesburg Taiwanese Chamber of Commerce 約堡台灣商會理財保險講座
21 November 2009 2009年11月21日
2. Contents 內容 德博
About Absa Capital •關於 Absa Capital
The case for investing in gold •為何投資黃金
Absa Capital’s NewGold ETF •Absa Capital的新黃金ETF基金
3. 關於Absa Capital
About Absa Capital 關於 德博
Absa Capital, a division of Absa Bank Limited •Absa Capital隸屬於Absa銀行,是南非居
(Absa), is a leading South African investment 於領導地位的投資銀行之一,有全球觸角,
bank with global reach, offering clients
financing, risk management and advisory 提供客戶各種貨幣及架構的融資,風險管
solutions in a wide range of currencies and 理和忠告方案.提供南非公司向國際發展
structures. At Absa Capital, we provide a
platform for expanding the global footprint of 的平台.
South African companies.
•獨特的商業模型,提供大公司,政府,對沖
With a distinctive business model, Absa
Capital can provide large corporates, 基金,資金管理人及法人客戶融資及風險
governments, hedge funds, asset managers 管理方案
and institutional clients with solutions to their
financing and risk management needs.
4. 關於Absa Capital
About Absa Capital 關於 德博
Absa Capital became a subsidiary of Barclays •Absa Capital於2005年7月27日成為英屬
Bank Plc on 27 July 2005, when Barclays 柏克萊銀行子公司.柏克萊是一國際金融
acquired a controlling stake in the Absa
Group. Barclays is an international financial 集團,提供銀行,信用卡,投資銀行,財富管
services group engaged in retail and 理及投資管理服務.
commercial banking, credit card issuing,
investment banking, wealth management
and investment management services
•Absa Capital與柏克萊Capital緊密合作,
Absa Capital is closely aligned with Barclays
Capital which provides large corporate, 服務大型企業,政府及法人客戶
government and institutional clients with
solutions to their financing and risk
management needs
Barclays Capital has offices in 25 countries, •柏克萊Capital遍及全球25個國家,有
employs over 13 200 people and has the
global reach and distribution power to meet 13,200員工
the needs of issuers and investors worldwide
5. Gold 黃金
德博
“The desire for gold is the most universal and deeply
rooted commercial instinct of the human race." Gerald M. “對於黃金的慾望是人類最廣
Loeb
泛並深植人心的商業本能” –
“Gold is forever. It is beautiful, useful, and never wears out. 傑羅.陸勃,華爾街出名的交易
Small wonder that gold has been prized over all else, in all
ages, as a store of value that will survive the travails of life 者之一
and the ravages of time." James Blakely
“Gold has worked down from Alexander's time ... When
something holds good for two thousand years I do not
believe it can be so because of prejudice or mistaken “黃金仍代表世界上最終極的
theory.” Bernard M. Baruch
付款方式” – 艾倫.格蘭斯班,
“Gold still represents the ultimate form of payment in the 前美國聯邦儲備會董事長
world.” Alan Greenspan, former Chairman of the Federal
Reserve Board of the United States of America
6. Investment in gold 投資黃金 德博
Key factors that support the investment 支持投資黃金的主要因素為:
case for gold include:
策略
Strategic •有效分散組合風險
Effective portfolio diversifier •保值
Store of value
Safe haven in turbulent times •動盪時期的避風港
Attractive alternative asset •吸引人的另類資產
Tactical 戰術
Current gold industry fundamentals 現今黃金產業基本面
Current economic fundamentals 現今經濟基本面
Practical 實際
Liquid, 24 hour market 流動性高,一天24小時交易
Recognised as a global “currency”
被看為國際貨幣
7. Investment in gold 投資黃金 德博
Gold is an effective USA: five year correlation of weekly returns on key asset classes and gold (USD)
portfolio diversifier…
3-Month T- Bill Yields -0.19
Gold has low to negative Dow J
ones/ Wilshire REITS -0.04
correlation with other Index
asset classes, making it LB/ BarCap US Credit Index -0.05
an excellent portfolio LB/ BarCap High Yield Bond
0.08
diversifier Index
LB/ BarCap Global Treasuries 0.37
Index
有效分散組合風險…
有效分散組合風險 Wilshire 5000 -0.04
S&P 500 -0.06
與其他資產互動性低 Last revised:
-0.11 26 June 2009
DJIndustrial Average
Data: Global Insight,
World Gold Council, Lehman
MSCI World excl. US 0.15
Brothers
DJAIG Commodity Index 0.48
-1.00 -0.80 -0.60 -0.40 -0.20 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00
8. Investment in gold 投資黃金 德博
保值
…保值
以所能購買的貨品和服務衡量,黃金的價值基本
上多年不變.
然而,許多國家貨幣的購買力長期卻大幅減少
… a store of value,
The value of gold, in terms of the real goods
and services it can buy, has remained largely
stable for many years.
In 1900 the gold price was $20.67/oz,
equating to about $502/oz in today’s prices. In
the two years to end-December 2006, the
actual gold price averaged $524/oz. Source: World Gold Council
In contrast, the purchasing power of many
currencies has generally declined.
9. Investment in gold 投資黃金 德博
… a safe haven Gold is among only a handful of financial assets that it
investment, does not carry a credit risk – Gold is no one’s liability.
There is no risk that a coupon or a redemption
動盪時期的避風港
…動盪時期的避風港 payment will not be made (as for a bond), or that a
company will go out of business (as for an equity).
It can provide 'insurance' against extreme movements
on the value of traditional asset classes that can
happen in unsettled times.
黃金沒有信用風險,且在傳統資產價值急遽變動的動盪
時期提供另類「保險」(即保障)
10. Investment in gold 投資黃金 德博
South Africa: Volatility
與黃金礦業公司相比,
…與黃金礦業公司相比 低風
與黃金礦業公司相比
JSE All JSE Gold CDs 90- Gold
險投資 Share
JSE Small Cap
Mining day (ZAR)
Gold (USD) ZAR/USD
1-mth 24.8% 9.7% 39.7% 8.2% 13.8% 13.9% 17.6%
黃金的報酬波動比黃金產業公 3-mth 26.3% 8.8% 51.7% 14.3% 24.5% 18.5% 17.4%
司股票的報酬波動低,而與股 6-mth 25.0% 9.9% 42.8% 16.9% 14.9% 24.7% 17.8%
市大盤相近 1-year 38.2% 14.1% 63.8% 11.8% 37.7% 32.1% 28.3%
Data: Global Insight, WGC
United States: rolling 22-day volatility
… a low risk investment 100%
compared to gold stocks, 90%
Gold London PM Fix S&P500
80%
70%
Gold returns are significantly 60%
less volatile than the returns 50%
on gold equities, and on par 40%
with the broad market 30%
20%
10%
0%
J
an-02 Sep-02 May-03 J
an-04 Sep-04 May-05 J
an-06 Sep-06 May-07 J
an-08 Sep-08 May-09
11. Investment in gold 投資黃金 德博
United States: Gold and equities
過去幾年的表現比
…過去幾年的表現比 4.0
GOLD (US$) S&P500
3.5
股市還要優異
3.0
2.5
… has positive track
Jan 2 2001 = 1
2.0
record in terms of
1.5
returns, compared to
1.0
the broad market,
0.5
0.0
J
an-01 Sep-01 May-02 J
an-03 Sep-03 May-04 J
an-05 Sep-05 May-06 J
an-07 Sep-07 May-08 J
an-09
JSE All JSE: GOLD 90-day GOLD GOLD
Small Cap
Share MINING CDs (US$) (ZAR)
1 year CAGR -21.1% -6.8% 1.7% 10.7% 2.4% 2.3%
3 year CAGR 1.3% 3.6% -11.7% 10.2% 15.4% 19.4%
5 year CAGR 17.2% 18.9% 6.8% 9.0% 18.8% 25.1%
Source: Global Insight, WGC
12. Investment in gold 投資黃金 德博
Gold and the trade-weighted $
320
290
… and is an excellent 260
Gold price $ per oz Trade-Weighted Dollar
currency hedge 230
J 1993 = 100
200
170
an
… 優異的防南非幣貶值工 140
具 110
80
50
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
South Africa: Exchange Rate Effect
6.0
USD/ Rand Exchange Rate Index Gold USD Index Gold (ZAR) Index
5.0
4.0
J 2 2001 = 1
3.0
an
2.0
1.0
0.0
J
an-01 Sep-01 May-02 J
an-03 Sep-03 May-04 J
an-05 Sep-05 May-06 J
an-07 Sep-07 May-08 J
an-09
13. 德博
NewGold ETF
新黃金基金
The simplest and most cost effective way for
institutional and retail investors to obtain direct
exposure to physical gold bullion
法人及個人投資人直接投資黃金
最簡單並最有效率的方法
13
14. Summary 摘要 德博
NewGold Gold Bullion Debentures •新黃金債券於JSE證交所掛牌上市,
(“NewGold”) are securities listed on 屬於證券交易基金類,代碼GLD
the JSE Securities Exchange within
the Exchange Traded Funds sector,
under the symbol GLD
•由新黃金公司發行,為一公開公司
Issued by NewGold Issuer Limited, a
public company incorporated in the
RSA •證券發行所得金額用來購買400
盎司倫敦金條
Proceeds of the issue of NewGold
Gold Bullion Debentures utilised to
acquire gold bullion, in the form of
400oz London Good Delivery Bars
15. Summary 摘要 德博
All the Debentures in issue are •所有發行債券背後皆有足值實質
100% backed by allocated gold 黃金
bullion
NewGold Gold Bullion is held in safe •實質黃金由Brinks公司看管
custody by the NewGold Custodian,
Brinks Limited
Initially valued at 1/100 of one fine •起初價值為一精特洛伊盎司的百
troy ounce of gold 分之一
Provides investors with a simple,
cost effective and secure means of •提供投資人購買,持有及賣出黃金
buying, holding and selling gold 一種簡易,有效率的途徑
bullion
16. NewGold performance 基金表現 德博
NewGold vs. Gold Mining Index
400
350
300
Price (Scaled)
250
200
150
100
50
0
Mar-05
Sep-05
Mar-06
Sep-06
Mar-07
Sep-07
Mar-08
Sep-08
Mar-09
Sep-09
NewGold SA Gold Mining Index
新黃金基金 南非黃金礦業股指
過去5年
Annualised Return (31 Oct 09) 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year Since Inception
9.03% 23.39% 20.98% 24.67%
平均年報酬率(至09
年10月31日)
Source : NewGold Issuer Ltd
19. Visit the ABSA Capital ETF website 德博
造訪ABSA Capital ETF網站
造訪 網站
20. 德博
90% of the NewGold ETF is held by
Institutional Investors …
Shouldn’t you follow the Smart Money?
新黃金基金超過90%為
新黃金基金超過90%為
90%
法人投資人所持有 …
他們是否透視黃金長期潛力?
他們是否透視黃金長期潛力?
21. Contacts 聯絡人 德博
Dr Vladimir Nedeljkovic Steven Bayne Kevin Yeh 葉人豪
Absa Capital Absa Capital Daberistic 德博
+27 (11) 895-5367 +27 (11) 895-5370 +27 (11) 658-1333
vladimir.nedeljkovic@absacapital.com Steven.bayne@absacapital.com kyeh@daberistic.com
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