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J. Inc/. Soc. Agri/. Statist.
59( I). 2005. 1-6




        Contribution of the National Sample Survey to Indian Agricultural Statistics I


                                                          S. Ray
                                      National Sample Survey Organization, New Delhi


                       1. INTRODUCTION                                       2. FUNCTIONS OF NSSO

     I feel very much honoured by the invitation of the              The NSSO functions under the overall guidance of
Indian Society of Agricultural Statistics to deliver the        a high powered technical council known as Governing
presidential address in its 58 th Session. I have got an        Council with requisite independence and autonomy in
opportunity to revive my contacts with the Society for          the matter of data collection, data processing and
which I worked for a very short time immediately after          publication of survey results. The independence of the
the completion of my studies in the Institute of                Governing Council ensures providing best possible
Agricultural Research Statistics during 1969.                   inputs of technical skill in the system of designing the
                                                                survey instruments, data collection, data processing and
      As we know, National Income is one of the
                                                                preparation of reports so as to improve and maintain the
important indicators for measuring performance and
                                                                quality of data in terms of reliability and timely
growth ofthe economy. But for working out the national
                                                                dissemination without any interference or influence by
income in India, there were no adequate data available
                                                                the Government. The Governing Council consists of a
prior to independence. In order to overcome the problem,
                                                                non-official chairman who is a man ofeminence in either
at the instance of the then Prime Minister, Pandit
                                                                ofthe fields of economics, statistics and social sciences.
Jawaharlal Nehru, a National Income Committee under
                                                                Members ofthe Council are five academicians, five data
the Chairmanship of Prof. P.C. Mahalanobis was
appointed by the Government of India in 1949 to work            users from Central as well as State Governments and
out a reliable method of estimating national income. As         Senior Statistical Officers of the Ministry of Statistics
a follow up of its recommendations, the Directorate of          and Programme Implementation. The Director General
National Sample Survey (NSS) was set up in 1950 to              and ChiefExecutive Officer ofthe NSSO is the Member­
collect essential data relating to socio-economic               Secretary to the Council and is responsible for co­
characteristics and agricultural production. Since then,        ordinating and supervising all activities of the
gradually the NSS has been growing over the years. In           organization.
1969, Government ofIndia set up a three-man Committee                 The NSSO conducts nation-wide large scale, multi
(Shri B. Sivaraman, Prof. V.M. Dandekar and                     purpose and integrated socio-economic enquiries based
Prof. Raghuraj Bahadur) to review the functioning of            on sample surveys for collecting data on various facets
the NSS and as a follow up ofthe recommendations made           of the national economy in order to provide estimates of
by the Committee, the NSS was reorganized in 1970 by            different parameters at state and national level.
bringing out various activities like designing of surveys,      Household approach is used for socio-economic surveys
field work and data processing under a single                   and site approach is used for enterprise surveys.
organization as National Sample Survey Organization             Generally the sample design adopted is a two stage one,
(NSSO). Today, the NSSO is the largest organization of          first stage units being villages in rural areas and urban
its kind in the world.                                          frame survey (UFS) blocks in urban areas. The second
                                                                stage units are households in case of socio-economic
                                                                surveys and enterprises in case of enterprise surveys. In
 I   Technical Address at 58th Annual Conference ofthe
     Indian Society ofAgricultural Statistics held at Central   case of the former, the frame for the first stage units is
     Murine Fisheries Research Institute (l.C.A.R.),            the list of census villages and UFS blocks, each block
     Tutapuram PO, Kochi on January 20, 2005.                   being a compact area-unit having 120-160 households
2                                                         JOURNAL OF THE INDIAN SOCIETY OF AGRICULTURAL STATISTiCS



or 600-800 population in the urban sector and in the case       surveys had to cope with enormous difficulties due to
of the latter, it is the list of villages and blocks with the   conflicting systems of weights and measures prevailing
concentration of enterprises obtained through the               then in the country. The first survey detected 143 different
Economic Census conducted periodically.                         systems ofmeasurement ofweight, 150 different systems
                                                                of measurement of volume, and 180 different systems
      The NSSO conducts surveys on subjects like
                                                                of measurement ofland area. As a result, whenever the
(i) Household consumer expenditure, (ii) Employment­
                                                                estimates ofquantities were made, very careful scrutiny
unemployment, (iii) Health and medical services,
                                                                was necessary to convert local measures into standard
(iv) Education, (v) Disability, (vi) Housing condition,
                                                                units. Thus a great deal of additional work had to be
(vii) Land and livestock holdings. (viii) Debt and
                                                                done for scrutiny and conversion to standard units at the
investment, and (ix) Activities of unorganised
                                                                stage of analysis in comparison with surveys in other
manufacturing, trade and services as follow-up surveys
                                                                countries. Over the years, these measures have stabilised
of the Economic Census. In addition, it undertak~s the
                                                                to standard metric units in case ofconsumer expenditure
fieldwork for the Annual Survey ofIndustries under the
                                                                survey.
Collection of Statistics Act, 1953. It undertakes the Urban
Frame Survey for preparation of urban frames used for                 (ii) The first household survey oflandholdings was
drawing of urban samples. It also collects regularly price      conducted in its 8th round during July, 1954 - March,
data from rural and urban sectors. In case ofagricultural       1955. The concepts, definitions and standards of the
statistics, the NSSO provides technical guidance to States      survey were settled at a conference of central and state
for conducting crop estimation surveys and keeps a              statisticians held at Calcutta in March, 1954. Dr. F. Yates,
continuous watch on the quality ofcrop statistics through       FRS who was fortunately in India then, participated in
the scheme of Improvement of Crop Statistics (lCS).             the discussions. This historic enquiry threw up data on
Based on observations of the NSSO, necessary                    the size distribution of ownership. The survey was of
improvements are made in the estimates of crop yield.           immediate interest in connection with the land policy of
                                                                the Government ofIridia. Information on the distribution
        3. EARLIER PIONEERING WORKS                             of land owned by size on a country-wide scale was
                  OFTHENSS                                      obtained for the first time. It was observed that the
                                                                distribution of land was extremely concentrated with a
     I shall touch upon in briefthe work done by NSS in         small minority owning most of the land. It was the first
the past and presently being done in the NSSO.                  time that the NSS report on land holdings provided a
     The NSS conducted many pioneering enquiries in             comprehensive measure of the margin of uncertainty of
1950's and its work was acclaimed in the international          the results for a number of items.
circles. Some of these are as follows:                                (iii) The NSS conducted the crop survey in its 13 th
      (i) The first All-India consumer expenditure survey       round during September, 1957 - May, 1958 for estimating
was conducted in the first round ofNSS during October,          the productions of the major cereals. It covered the
1950 to March, 1951 in rural areas only in a sample of          autumn, winter and spring crops and gave estimates of
1833 vitlages out of about 5,60,000 for the whole               both area sown and total production. The data on land
country. The sample units were selected in two stages.          utilisation were collected by actual observation of a
First, the villages were selected after suitable                number of selected survey numbers (plots) in a sample
stratification. Within each sample village all or a sub­        village whereas the data on yield of cereal crops were
sample of 80 households, whichever was less, were               collected by actually harvesting the crop from a circular
stratified into agricultural and non-agricultural classes.      area at random in the plots selected for crop cutting
Sample households were then selected at random from             experiments. The survey gave an estimate of68.1 million
each of these strata. About 350 investigators were              tons for seven major cereals ofrice, wheat,jowar, bajra,
deployed to collect data by interview method. The               ragi, maize and barley as against the official estimate of
reference period of data collection was one year July,          51.3 million tons given by the Ministry of Food and
1949 to June, 1950. The report based on this survey             Agriculture. The official figures of production were
has given the picture of rural India as regards the level       prepared by the Ministry of Food and Agriculture based
and patterns ofconsumption expenditure. The early NSS           on the acreage figures and yield rates supplied by
CONTRIBUTION OF THE NATIONAL SAMPLE SURVEY TO INDIAN AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS                                         3



different State Governments. Data collection methods                 15,500 crop-cutting experiments distributer!
and also concepts and definitions used by the States for             among principal crops in various states
crop acreage and yield rate varied from State to State,
                                                                Ofcourse, states are also doing similarjobs on equal
whereas the NSS adopted uniform procedure and used
                                                             number of samples.
well trained investigators for data collection. Obviously
there was difference between the two sets of estimates,           In the case of sample checks on crop cutting
which was of high magnitude. However, the NSS                experiments, FOD associates itself with all aspects of
continued the crop survey up to 24th round which was         operations, which include selection of sample villages,
conducted during July, 1969 - June, 1970. Naturally,         training of field staff, supervision of fieldwork and
two sets ofestimates of crop production were generated       estimation of crop yield. It ensures the adoption of
and the differences between two sets also continued          uniform concepts and definitions, standard methodology
during those years. In order to probe into these high        and procedures. The CES data are then analyzed and
differences, a technical committee on crop statistics was    the results are brought out in an annual publication.
set up in 1963 and the committee favoured, inter alia,       Presently CES provides information for 22 major States
the estimate based on complete enumeration. As a             and 6 other States & Union Territories, which account
consequence, the NSS discontinued Land Utilization           for about 95% of the production of food grains in the
Survey and also Crop Cutting Experiments in the year         country.
1970-71 under household survey. Thereafter, the NSSO
introduced the ICS scheme in place of crop survey.                The estimation of the yields of principal food and
                                                             non-food crops based on sound sampling method is now
    4. WORK PRESENTLY BEING DONE IN                          carried out regularly in almost all the states. The
        AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS                              traditional method of estimation of crop production by
                                                             eye-estimation has been gradually replaced by the
(a) The Scheme of Improvement of Crop Statistics             objective assessment through the crop cutting
                                                             experiments and the crop estimation surveys, which form
      The ICS was introduced by the NSSO in 1973-74          the basis ofproduction estimates. As already stated, one
with a view to locate, through joint efforts ofcentral and   of the main objectives of the ICS scheme is to monitor
state authorities every year, the weakness in the -state     the performance of the primary reporting agency in the
system ofcrop estimation in different states and suggest     Timely Reporting Scheme (TRS) and Establishment of
remedial measures to effect long-lasting improvements        an Agency for Reporting Agricultural Statistics
in the system. It also envisaged that the NSSO should        (EARAS) villages. Uqder the TRS, the primary agencies
provide technical guidance to states to organize crop        are entrusted with the task ofcollecting and aggregating
estimation surveys. Since the introduction ofthe scheme,     crop areas at village level in all the temporarily settled
the NSSO has been playing a very important role in           states. The scheme was introduced by the Government
providing technical guidance to the States/UT's for          ofIndia in the year 1968 in order to meet the requirement
organizing and conducting Crop Estimation Surveys            of timely and reliable data on crop areas. EARAS
(CES) for estimating yield rates of principal crops and      provides for setting up, in a phased manner, a whole
also in training the field staff. This work is being done    time agency having statistical personnel specially trained
by the Field Operations Division (FOD) ofNSSO. In            for the purpose to cover a sample of20% villages every
fact, the NSSO undertakes the following activities:          year in such a way that all the villages of permanently
   (i)	 Physical verification of crop enumeration done       settled states (Kerala, West Bengal and Orissa) are
        by the patwaris in a sample of about 5,000           covered in a time span of 5 years as there is no elaborate
        villages in each agricultural season                 system ofland records in these States. Estimates ofland
                                                             use and area under crops are generated through random
   (ii)	 Checking about the accuracy ofthe area statistics   surveys. With a view to toning up the system of area
         transmitted from the village level through crop     reporting to obtain reliable and timely estimates, EARAS
         abstracts in the same set of villages               has been set up. The major findings of the ICS survey
                                                             during the agricultural year 2001-02 in regard to area
  (iii)	 Providing technical guidance and supervision
                                                             statistics are as follows:
         at the harvest stage in the conduct of about
4                                                         JOURNAL OF THE INDIAN SOCIETY OF AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS



     (i)	 Only in about 58 % ofthe villages, TRS work is        (b) Crop Calendar
          done in time at all India level. In some of the
                                                                     As the Crop Calendar is an important tool in the
          States like Assam, Bihar and Jharkhand timely
                                                                formulation of Governmental policies relating to
          completion ofTRS work is very poor.
                                                                Agriculture Sector, the Indian Crop Calendar was first
    (ii)	 The patwaris submit crop statements without           prepared and published by the Ministry of Agriculture
          completing the girdawari in about 9 per cent of       in 1966-67. During 1998-2000, the FOD ofNSSO took
          the villages.                                         up the task of updating the Indian Crop Calendar on
                                                                priority basis in consultation with the State Agricultural
    (iii)	 Village crop statements are submitted from only
                                                                Statistics Authorities (SASAs) in two phases. The
           around 63 per cent of the sample villages and
                                                                calendar brought out by the NSSO provides useful
           around 39 per cent only by due date.
                                                                information on agricultural practices prevalent in various
    (iv)	 Crop entries of the patwari and the supervisor        parts of the country. The phases are as follows:
          do not tally with each other in about one third
                                                                   (i)	 Phase-I: Providing information at State level,
          of the survey numbers.
                                                                        relating to the periods of different 'agricultural
     The above findings are a clear indication of the                   operations namely: sowing, harvesting and
patwari 's neglect of one of his major functions. This has              marketing for principal crops.
also been pointed out by the National Statistical
                                                                   (ii)	 Phase-II: Providing information on
Commission. It is a matter of concern that this has been
going on·for many years. Based on ICS findings, the                  •	 District-wise periods ofsowing, harvesting and
following major shortcomings and deficiencies have                      marketing of principal crops for different Agro
been observed in the conduct of crop cutting                            Climatic Zones in a State.
experiments:
                                                                     •	 Month-wise different agricultural operations in
     (i)    Wrong selection of survey number and plot                   the State like preparation of the soils, sowing
                                                                        and transplanting, growing & maturing,
    (ii)    Incorrect measurement of the plot
                                                                        harvesting and threshing.
    (iii)   Use of non-standard weights and balance and
                                                                     •	 Crop-wise agricultural operations in a State.
    (iv)    Delegation of field-work to untrained staff
                                                                     •	 Crop seasons and rotations.
      These findings have been brought to the notice of
                                                                     •	 Ancillary information regarding use of various
the State Governments by the NSSO (FOD) through the
                                                                        equipment, technology, source of irrigation,
season wise status reports regularly. Further, these are
                                                                        agencies for providing financial assistance etc.
also highlighted by the NSSO (FOD) in the meetings of
the high-level coordination committees for agricultural         (c) Land and Livestock Holdings
statistics in various States, which are attended by senior
officers from the Union Ministry of Agriculture &                     In addition, the NSSO conducts decennially the
Cooperation and also from State Departments of                  survey on land and livestock holdings. The latest in the
Agriculture, Revenue, and Directorate of Economics &            series ofland and livestock holdings surveys is the NSS,
Statistics and others. However, it has been observed that       59th round conducted during January to December, 2003.
remedial measures are not taken generally with due              The survey data are being processed for tabulation.
attention by the agencies concerned to remove the               Results will be brought out in the form of reports in due
bottlenecks and deficiencies due to which similar               course.
mistakes are found repeated over the years. It may be
mentioned that such observations in the status report                  5. SURVEYS OF SPECIAL INTEREST
cover deficiencies with regard to both area and yield
                                                                      The NSSO conducts occasionally surveys ofspecial
rates. It is, therefore, necessary that these issues are
                                                                interest. Recently the NSSO has conducted such a survey
addressed by the States seriously.
                                                                tangentially related to agricultural statistics. The survey
CONTRIBUTION OF THE NATIONAL SAMPLE SURVEY TO INDIAN AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS                                            5



is known as Situation Assessment Survey of farmers.           is felt that a beginning could be made in India by
The millions of farmers of India have made significant        integrating the technique with agriculture surveys under
contributions in providing food and nutrition to the entire   the existing ICS programme so as to improve the estimate
nation and provided livelihood to millions of people of       of crop areas. Using the supervised data under the
the country. During the five decades of planned               modified sampling methodology, the estimate could be
p.conomic development, India has moved from food­             independently obtained against the TRS scheme through
shortage and imports to self-sufficiency and exports.         patwari. The pilot study for comparing remote sensing
Food security and well being of the farmers are major         based area estimate at village level with that of
areas of concern of the planners of Indian agriculture.       completely enumerated area estimate through NSSO was
In order to have a snapshot picture of the farming            taken up in 6 villages. The results were examined to see
community and also to analyse the impact of the               if the Remote Sensing Technology could be used for
transformation induced by public policy, investments and      making better estimate of production and it is observed
technological change on the farmers' access to resources      that there is need for further improvement in the
and income as well as well-being of the farmer                technology for its adoption in crop statistics.
households at the end of five decades of planned
economic development, the NSSO conducted the                           7. AREAS OF FUTURE THRUST
Situation Assessment Survey (SAS) offarmers in its NSS
59 th round, January - December, 2003 on behalf of the             There is a large list of areas where agricultural
Ministry of Agriculture. This survey is the first of its      statistics are required to be generated and also
kind conducted by the NSSO. Though information on a           improvements are needed in a few existing areas where
majority of items collected through SAS has been              presently statistics are available. The National Statistical
collected in some NSS rounds, an integrated schedule,         Commission set up under the chairmanship of
covering some basic characteristics offarmer households       Dr. C. Rangarajan has given an exhaustive list of73 areas
and their access to basic and modem farming resources         where either new data are to be generated or further
was canvassed for the first time in SAS. Moreover,            improvement is required. I have taken only a very few
information on consumption of various goods and               of them to focus as thrust areas.
services was also collected to have an idea about the              (i) The ICS Scheme is only meant for sample
pattern of consumption expenditure of the farmer              checking on the work relating to crop production but no
households. The survey data are presently being               correction factors are worked out for adjusting the total
processed for tabulation and report will be brought out       crop area as an alternate measure. Given the past
shortly.                                                      experience of the land utilization surveys of the NSS, it
                                                              may be possible to derive a correction factor. The
     6. INNOVATIVE TECHNIQUES FOR                             National Statistical Commission also suggested to use
  IMPROVING THE QUALITY OF NSSO DATA                          the ICS data for improving the official estimate of crop
                                                              area. An empirical study using the past ICS data and the
     The NSSO is always keeping a track of scientific
                                                              patwari figures has been taken up for arriving at a
and technological development and tries to adopt
                                                              correction factor under the supervision of a technical
advance t,echniques for bringing improvements in the
                                                              committee set up by the Ministry of Statistics &
field of data collection, processing and dissemination
                                                              Programme Implementation. However, some more
after getting them successfully tested through series of
                                                              exercises are required to be undertaken to arrive at a
experimentations. Advent of Remote Sensing technique
                                                              final decision.
and its application in generating agricultural statistics
have given new opportunities to various agencies in the            (ii) In order to formulate a methodology for
Government to provide timely and accurate agricultural        estimation of yield at lower administrative level using
statistics. Pre-harvest estimates of crop area and            the small area estimation technique, a pilot study was
production are areas that have received large attention       undertaken using Farmer's Appraisal Survey Results.
in remote sensing application studies in India. On            Through this study, it was found that results at lower
examination of the experiences ofdifferent countries like     level i.e. at block level could be derived satisfactorily.
USA, etc. on application of remote sensing technique, it      This is one of the areas where more studies need to be
6                                                    JOURNAL OF THE INDIAN SOCIETY OF AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS



done with other auxiliary variables. If the technique is   NSS Report No.2 (1953). Tables with notes on the second
developed correctly then local area development can be        round April - June, 1951.
taken up by the planners in a better way.                  NSS Report No. 10 (1955). First report on land holdings, rural
                                                              sector.
      (iii) There is no suitable methodology presently
available for estimating the production of crops such as   NSS Report No. 38 (1960). Some results ofthe land utilization
mushroom, herbs and floriculture but their assessment         survey and crop cutting experiments. Journal ofIncome
is very essential in view of their growing importance in      and Wealth (January, 2000), 22(1).
the market economy ofthe country and their contribution    Golden Jubilee Publication (May 2000). National Sample
in the Gross Domestic Product. For evolving a suitable         Survey, Fifty Years in Service ofthe Nation. CPD, NSSO.
methodology in this regard, NSSO can associate with        Crop Calendar (1998-2000). FOD, NSSO.
IASRI and Directorate of Economics & Statistics,
Ministry of Agriculture.                                   Report of the National Statistical Commission. Vol. I and II,
                                                              August, 2001.
     I thank you all.
                                                           Report on the Status ofEstimation ofCrop Production in India.
                                                               2001-02, FOD, NSSO.
                    REFERENCES                             Consolidated Results ofCrop Estimation Survey on Principal
                                                              Crops. 2001-02, FOD, NSSO.
NSS General Report No. I (1952) based on the first round
   October, 1950 - March, 1951.

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Contribution of NSS to Indian Agri Stats

  • 1. J. Inc/. Soc. Agri/. Statist. 59( I). 2005. 1-6 Contribution of the National Sample Survey to Indian Agricultural Statistics I S. Ray National Sample Survey Organization, New Delhi 1. INTRODUCTION 2. FUNCTIONS OF NSSO I feel very much honoured by the invitation of the The NSSO functions under the overall guidance of Indian Society of Agricultural Statistics to deliver the a high powered technical council known as Governing presidential address in its 58 th Session. I have got an Council with requisite independence and autonomy in opportunity to revive my contacts with the Society for the matter of data collection, data processing and which I worked for a very short time immediately after publication of survey results. The independence of the the completion of my studies in the Institute of Governing Council ensures providing best possible Agricultural Research Statistics during 1969. inputs of technical skill in the system of designing the survey instruments, data collection, data processing and As we know, National Income is one of the preparation of reports so as to improve and maintain the important indicators for measuring performance and quality of data in terms of reliability and timely growth ofthe economy. But for working out the national dissemination without any interference or influence by income in India, there were no adequate data available the Government. The Governing Council consists of a prior to independence. In order to overcome the problem, non-official chairman who is a man ofeminence in either at the instance of the then Prime Minister, Pandit ofthe fields of economics, statistics and social sciences. Jawaharlal Nehru, a National Income Committee under Members ofthe Council are five academicians, five data the Chairmanship of Prof. P.C. Mahalanobis was appointed by the Government of India in 1949 to work users from Central as well as State Governments and out a reliable method of estimating national income. As Senior Statistical Officers of the Ministry of Statistics a follow up of its recommendations, the Directorate of and Programme Implementation. The Director General National Sample Survey (NSS) was set up in 1950 to and ChiefExecutive Officer ofthe NSSO is the Member­ collect essential data relating to socio-economic Secretary to the Council and is responsible for co­ characteristics and agricultural production. Since then, ordinating and supervising all activities of the gradually the NSS has been growing over the years. In organization. 1969, Government ofIndia set up a three-man Committee The NSSO conducts nation-wide large scale, multi (Shri B. Sivaraman, Prof. V.M. Dandekar and purpose and integrated socio-economic enquiries based Prof. Raghuraj Bahadur) to review the functioning of on sample surveys for collecting data on various facets the NSS and as a follow up ofthe recommendations made of the national economy in order to provide estimates of by the Committee, the NSS was reorganized in 1970 by different parameters at state and national level. bringing out various activities like designing of surveys, Household approach is used for socio-economic surveys field work and data processing under a single and site approach is used for enterprise surveys. organization as National Sample Survey Organization Generally the sample design adopted is a two stage one, (NSSO). Today, the NSSO is the largest organization of first stage units being villages in rural areas and urban its kind in the world. frame survey (UFS) blocks in urban areas. The second stage units are households in case of socio-economic surveys and enterprises in case of enterprise surveys. In I Technical Address at 58th Annual Conference ofthe Indian Society ofAgricultural Statistics held at Central case of the former, the frame for the first stage units is Murine Fisheries Research Institute (l.C.A.R.), the list of census villages and UFS blocks, each block Tutapuram PO, Kochi on January 20, 2005. being a compact area-unit having 120-160 households
  • 2. 2 JOURNAL OF THE INDIAN SOCIETY OF AGRICULTURAL STATISTiCS or 600-800 population in the urban sector and in the case surveys had to cope with enormous difficulties due to of the latter, it is the list of villages and blocks with the conflicting systems of weights and measures prevailing concentration of enterprises obtained through the then in the country. The first survey detected 143 different Economic Census conducted periodically. systems ofmeasurement ofweight, 150 different systems of measurement of volume, and 180 different systems The NSSO conducts surveys on subjects like of measurement ofland area. As a result, whenever the (i) Household consumer expenditure, (ii) Employment­ estimates ofquantities were made, very careful scrutiny unemployment, (iii) Health and medical services, was necessary to convert local measures into standard (iv) Education, (v) Disability, (vi) Housing condition, units. Thus a great deal of additional work had to be (vii) Land and livestock holdings. (viii) Debt and done for scrutiny and conversion to standard units at the investment, and (ix) Activities of unorganised stage of analysis in comparison with surveys in other manufacturing, trade and services as follow-up surveys countries. Over the years, these measures have stabilised of the Economic Census. In addition, it undertak~s the to standard metric units in case ofconsumer expenditure fieldwork for the Annual Survey ofIndustries under the survey. Collection of Statistics Act, 1953. It undertakes the Urban Frame Survey for preparation of urban frames used for (ii) The first household survey oflandholdings was drawing of urban samples. It also collects regularly price conducted in its 8th round during July, 1954 - March, data from rural and urban sectors. In case ofagricultural 1955. The concepts, definitions and standards of the statistics, the NSSO provides technical guidance to States survey were settled at a conference of central and state for conducting crop estimation surveys and keeps a statisticians held at Calcutta in March, 1954. Dr. F. Yates, continuous watch on the quality ofcrop statistics through FRS who was fortunately in India then, participated in the scheme of Improvement of Crop Statistics (lCS). the discussions. This historic enquiry threw up data on Based on observations of the NSSO, necessary the size distribution of ownership. The survey was of improvements are made in the estimates of crop yield. immediate interest in connection with the land policy of the Government ofIridia. Information on the distribution 3. EARLIER PIONEERING WORKS of land owned by size on a country-wide scale was OFTHENSS obtained for the first time. It was observed that the distribution of land was extremely concentrated with a I shall touch upon in briefthe work done by NSS in small minority owning most of the land. It was the first the past and presently being done in the NSSO. time that the NSS report on land holdings provided a The NSS conducted many pioneering enquiries in comprehensive measure of the margin of uncertainty of 1950's and its work was acclaimed in the international the results for a number of items. circles. Some of these are as follows: (iii) The NSS conducted the crop survey in its 13 th (i) The first All-India consumer expenditure survey round during September, 1957 - May, 1958 for estimating was conducted in the first round ofNSS during October, the productions of the major cereals. It covered the 1950 to March, 1951 in rural areas only in a sample of autumn, winter and spring crops and gave estimates of 1833 vitlages out of about 5,60,000 for the whole both area sown and total production. The data on land country. The sample units were selected in two stages. utilisation were collected by actual observation of a First, the villages were selected after suitable number of selected survey numbers (plots) in a sample stratification. Within each sample village all or a sub­ village whereas the data on yield of cereal crops were sample of 80 households, whichever was less, were collected by actually harvesting the crop from a circular stratified into agricultural and non-agricultural classes. area at random in the plots selected for crop cutting Sample households were then selected at random from experiments. The survey gave an estimate of68.1 million each of these strata. About 350 investigators were tons for seven major cereals ofrice, wheat,jowar, bajra, deployed to collect data by interview method. The ragi, maize and barley as against the official estimate of reference period of data collection was one year July, 51.3 million tons given by the Ministry of Food and 1949 to June, 1950. The report based on this survey Agriculture. The official figures of production were has given the picture of rural India as regards the level prepared by the Ministry of Food and Agriculture based and patterns ofconsumption expenditure. The early NSS on the acreage figures and yield rates supplied by
  • 3. CONTRIBUTION OF THE NATIONAL SAMPLE SURVEY TO INDIAN AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS 3 different State Governments. Data collection methods 15,500 crop-cutting experiments distributer! and also concepts and definitions used by the States for among principal crops in various states crop acreage and yield rate varied from State to State, Ofcourse, states are also doing similarjobs on equal whereas the NSS adopted uniform procedure and used number of samples. well trained investigators for data collection. Obviously there was difference between the two sets of estimates, In the case of sample checks on crop cutting which was of high magnitude. However, the NSS experiments, FOD associates itself with all aspects of continued the crop survey up to 24th round which was operations, which include selection of sample villages, conducted during July, 1969 - June, 1970. Naturally, training of field staff, supervision of fieldwork and two sets ofestimates of crop production were generated estimation of crop yield. It ensures the adoption of and the differences between two sets also continued uniform concepts and definitions, standard methodology during those years. In order to probe into these high and procedures. The CES data are then analyzed and differences, a technical committee on crop statistics was the results are brought out in an annual publication. set up in 1963 and the committee favoured, inter alia, Presently CES provides information for 22 major States the estimate based on complete enumeration. As a and 6 other States & Union Territories, which account consequence, the NSS discontinued Land Utilization for about 95% of the production of food grains in the Survey and also Crop Cutting Experiments in the year country. 1970-71 under household survey. Thereafter, the NSSO introduced the ICS scheme in place of crop survey. The estimation of the yields of principal food and non-food crops based on sound sampling method is now 4. WORK PRESENTLY BEING DONE IN carried out regularly in almost all the states. The AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS traditional method of estimation of crop production by eye-estimation has been gradually replaced by the (a) The Scheme of Improvement of Crop Statistics objective assessment through the crop cutting experiments and the crop estimation surveys, which form The ICS was introduced by the NSSO in 1973-74 the basis ofproduction estimates. As already stated, one with a view to locate, through joint efforts ofcentral and of the main objectives of the ICS scheme is to monitor state authorities every year, the weakness in the -state the performance of the primary reporting agency in the system ofcrop estimation in different states and suggest Timely Reporting Scheme (TRS) and Establishment of remedial measures to effect long-lasting improvements an Agency for Reporting Agricultural Statistics in the system. It also envisaged that the NSSO should (EARAS) villages. Uqder the TRS, the primary agencies provide technical guidance to states to organize crop are entrusted with the task ofcollecting and aggregating estimation surveys. Since the introduction ofthe scheme, crop areas at village level in all the temporarily settled the NSSO has been playing a very important role in states. The scheme was introduced by the Government providing technical guidance to the States/UT's for ofIndia in the year 1968 in order to meet the requirement organizing and conducting Crop Estimation Surveys of timely and reliable data on crop areas. EARAS (CES) for estimating yield rates of principal crops and provides for setting up, in a phased manner, a whole also in training the field staff. This work is being done time agency having statistical personnel specially trained by the Field Operations Division (FOD) ofNSSO. In for the purpose to cover a sample of20% villages every fact, the NSSO undertakes the following activities: year in such a way that all the villages of permanently (i) Physical verification of crop enumeration done settled states (Kerala, West Bengal and Orissa) are by the patwaris in a sample of about 5,000 covered in a time span of 5 years as there is no elaborate villages in each agricultural season system ofland records in these States. Estimates ofland use and area under crops are generated through random (ii) Checking about the accuracy ofthe area statistics surveys. With a view to toning up the system of area transmitted from the village level through crop reporting to obtain reliable and timely estimates, EARAS abstracts in the same set of villages has been set up. The major findings of the ICS survey during the agricultural year 2001-02 in regard to area (iii) Providing technical guidance and supervision statistics are as follows: at the harvest stage in the conduct of about
  • 4. 4 JOURNAL OF THE INDIAN SOCIETY OF AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS (i) Only in about 58 % ofthe villages, TRS work is (b) Crop Calendar done in time at all India level. In some of the As the Crop Calendar is an important tool in the States like Assam, Bihar and Jharkhand timely formulation of Governmental policies relating to completion ofTRS work is very poor. Agriculture Sector, the Indian Crop Calendar was first (ii) The patwaris submit crop statements without prepared and published by the Ministry of Agriculture completing the girdawari in about 9 per cent of in 1966-67. During 1998-2000, the FOD ofNSSO took the villages. up the task of updating the Indian Crop Calendar on priority basis in consultation with the State Agricultural (iii) Village crop statements are submitted from only Statistics Authorities (SASAs) in two phases. The around 63 per cent of the sample villages and calendar brought out by the NSSO provides useful around 39 per cent only by due date. information on agricultural practices prevalent in various (iv) Crop entries of the patwari and the supervisor parts of the country. The phases are as follows: do not tally with each other in about one third (i) Phase-I: Providing information at State level, of the survey numbers. relating to the periods of different 'agricultural The above findings are a clear indication of the operations namely: sowing, harvesting and patwari 's neglect of one of his major functions. This has marketing for principal crops. also been pointed out by the National Statistical (ii) Phase-II: Providing information on Commission. It is a matter of concern that this has been going on·for many years. Based on ICS findings, the • District-wise periods ofsowing, harvesting and following major shortcomings and deficiencies have marketing of principal crops for different Agro been observed in the conduct of crop cutting Climatic Zones in a State. experiments: • Month-wise different agricultural operations in (i) Wrong selection of survey number and plot the State like preparation of the soils, sowing and transplanting, growing & maturing, (ii) Incorrect measurement of the plot harvesting and threshing. (iii) Use of non-standard weights and balance and • Crop-wise agricultural operations in a State. (iv) Delegation of field-work to untrained staff • Crop seasons and rotations. These findings have been brought to the notice of • Ancillary information regarding use of various the State Governments by the NSSO (FOD) through the equipment, technology, source of irrigation, season wise status reports regularly. Further, these are agencies for providing financial assistance etc. also highlighted by the NSSO (FOD) in the meetings of the high-level coordination committees for agricultural (c) Land and Livestock Holdings statistics in various States, which are attended by senior officers from the Union Ministry of Agriculture & In addition, the NSSO conducts decennially the Cooperation and also from State Departments of survey on land and livestock holdings. The latest in the Agriculture, Revenue, and Directorate of Economics & series ofland and livestock holdings surveys is the NSS, Statistics and others. However, it has been observed that 59th round conducted during January to December, 2003. remedial measures are not taken generally with due The survey data are being processed for tabulation. attention by the agencies concerned to remove the Results will be brought out in the form of reports in due bottlenecks and deficiencies due to which similar course. mistakes are found repeated over the years. It may be mentioned that such observations in the status report 5. SURVEYS OF SPECIAL INTEREST cover deficiencies with regard to both area and yield The NSSO conducts occasionally surveys ofspecial rates. It is, therefore, necessary that these issues are interest. Recently the NSSO has conducted such a survey addressed by the States seriously. tangentially related to agricultural statistics. The survey
  • 5. CONTRIBUTION OF THE NATIONAL SAMPLE SURVEY TO INDIAN AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS 5 is known as Situation Assessment Survey of farmers. is felt that a beginning could be made in India by The millions of farmers of India have made significant integrating the technique with agriculture surveys under contributions in providing food and nutrition to the entire the existing ICS programme so as to improve the estimate nation and provided livelihood to millions of people of of crop areas. Using the supervised data under the the country. During the five decades of planned modified sampling methodology, the estimate could be p.conomic development, India has moved from food­ independently obtained against the TRS scheme through shortage and imports to self-sufficiency and exports. patwari. The pilot study for comparing remote sensing Food security and well being of the farmers are major based area estimate at village level with that of areas of concern of the planners of Indian agriculture. completely enumerated area estimate through NSSO was In order to have a snapshot picture of the farming taken up in 6 villages. The results were examined to see community and also to analyse the impact of the if the Remote Sensing Technology could be used for transformation induced by public policy, investments and making better estimate of production and it is observed technological change on the farmers' access to resources that there is need for further improvement in the and income as well as well-being of the farmer technology for its adoption in crop statistics. households at the end of five decades of planned economic development, the NSSO conducted the 7. AREAS OF FUTURE THRUST Situation Assessment Survey (SAS) offarmers in its NSS 59 th round, January - December, 2003 on behalf of the There is a large list of areas where agricultural Ministry of Agriculture. This survey is the first of its statistics are required to be generated and also kind conducted by the NSSO. Though information on a improvements are needed in a few existing areas where majority of items collected through SAS has been presently statistics are available. The National Statistical collected in some NSS rounds, an integrated schedule, Commission set up under the chairmanship of covering some basic characteristics offarmer households Dr. C. Rangarajan has given an exhaustive list of73 areas and their access to basic and modem farming resources where either new data are to be generated or further was canvassed for the first time in SAS. Moreover, improvement is required. I have taken only a very few information on consumption of various goods and of them to focus as thrust areas. services was also collected to have an idea about the (i) The ICS Scheme is only meant for sample pattern of consumption expenditure of the farmer checking on the work relating to crop production but no households. The survey data are presently being correction factors are worked out for adjusting the total processed for tabulation and report will be brought out crop area as an alternate measure. Given the past shortly. experience of the land utilization surveys of the NSS, it may be possible to derive a correction factor. The 6. INNOVATIVE TECHNIQUES FOR National Statistical Commission also suggested to use IMPROVING THE QUALITY OF NSSO DATA the ICS data for improving the official estimate of crop area. An empirical study using the past ICS data and the The NSSO is always keeping a track of scientific patwari figures has been taken up for arriving at a and technological development and tries to adopt correction factor under the supervision of a technical advance t,echniques for bringing improvements in the committee set up by the Ministry of Statistics & field of data collection, processing and dissemination Programme Implementation. However, some more after getting them successfully tested through series of exercises are required to be undertaken to arrive at a experimentations. Advent of Remote Sensing technique final decision. and its application in generating agricultural statistics have given new opportunities to various agencies in the (ii) In order to formulate a methodology for Government to provide timely and accurate agricultural estimation of yield at lower administrative level using statistics. Pre-harvest estimates of crop area and the small area estimation technique, a pilot study was production are areas that have received large attention undertaken using Farmer's Appraisal Survey Results. in remote sensing application studies in India. On Through this study, it was found that results at lower examination of the experiences ofdifferent countries like level i.e. at block level could be derived satisfactorily. USA, etc. on application of remote sensing technique, it This is one of the areas where more studies need to be
  • 6. 6 JOURNAL OF THE INDIAN SOCIETY OF AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS done with other auxiliary variables. If the technique is NSS Report No.2 (1953). Tables with notes on the second developed correctly then local area development can be round April - June, 1951. taken up by the planners in a better way. NSS Report No. 10 (1955). First report on land holdings, rural sector. (iii) There is no suitable methodology presently available for estimating the production of crops such as NSS Report No. 38 (1960). Some results ofthe land utilization mushroom, herbs and floriculture but their assessment survey and crop cutting experiments. Journal ofIncome is very essential in view of their growing importance in and Wealth (January, 2000), 22(1). the market economy ofthe country and their contribution Golden Jubilee Publication (May 2000). National Sample in the Gross Domestic Product. For evolving a suitable Survey, Fifty Years in Service ofthe Nation. CPD, NSSO. methodology in this regard, NSSO can associate with Crop Calendar (1998-2000). FOD, NSSO. IASRI and Directorate of Economics & Statistics, Ministry of Agriculture. Report of the National Statistical Commission. Vol. I and II, August, 2001. I thank you all. Report on the Status ofEstimation ofCrop Production in India. 2001-02, FOD, NSSO. REFERENCES Consolidated Results ofCrop Estimation Survey on Principal Crops. 2001-02, FOD, NSSO. NSS General Report No. I (1952) based on the first round October, 1950 - March, 1951.