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Regional Growth &  Development Patterns 2020 Base Case Scenario Update May 27, 2009 Tennessee Performing Arts Center  War Memorial Auditorium Nashville, TN Nashville Area Metropolitan Planning Organization Mayor Ernest Burgess, Chair Mayor Karl F. Dean, Vice-Chair Michael Skipper, Executive Director
SO HERE WE ARE AGAIN
REGIONAL GEOGRAPHY Robertson Sumner Wilson Rutherford Williamson Maury Dickson Cheatham Montgomery Davidson
REGIONAL POPULATION GROWTH 10-County CRT Region Other regions (MSA) Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Woods & Poole Economics 1965 750,000 2000 1,450,000 2008 1,700,000 2035 2,600,000 Denver Region (2.5 million) Austin Region, Charlotte Region (1.7 million) Portland (OR) Region (2.2 million) Seattle Region (3.3 million)
EXISTING DEVELOPMENT Properties affected by current development
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSTRAINTS Environmental constraints/ Land conservation Properties affected by current development
AVAILABLE GREENFIELD Properties with development or development constraints
AVAILABLE GREENFIELD Land available for new development
LAND SUITABILITY ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],More Suitable Less Suitable LAND SUITABILITY
LAND USE POLICY GENERALIZED CATEGORIES Agricultural, Open Residential Non-Residential Single Use Mixed-Use
GROWTH POLICY
TODAY’S DEVELOPMENT PATTERN Properties affected by current development
1965 DEVELOPMENT PATTERN Properties affected by development in 1965
TODAY’S DEVELOPMENT PATTERN Properties affected by current development
2035 DEVELOPMENT PATTERN? Properties affected by current & future development
NEW GROWTH AREAS?
RESIDENTIAL DENSITY TODAY Undeveloped or  Non-Residential Use Rural/ Countryside Residential Low Density Residential Medium Density Residential High Density Residential
RESIDENTIAL DENSITY 2035 Undeveloped or  Non-Residential Use Rural/ Countryside Residential Low Density Residential Medium Density Residential High Density Residential
BASE CASE TREND CONTINUES NEW 2035 BUSINESS-AS-USUAL SCENARIO 2020 CRT BASE CASE SCENARIO
TODAY’S TRAFFIC CONGESTION Nashville Gallatin Lebanon Murfreesboro Franklin Springfield
2030 TRAFFIC CONGESTION After  $1 Billion  in Major Improvements Nashville Gallatin Lebanon Murfreesboro Franklin Springfield
2030 TRAFFIC CONGESTION After  $4 Billion  in Major Improvements Nashville Gallatin Lebanon Murfreesboro Franklin Springfield
EMERGING REGIONAL ISSUES ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
OPPORTUNITIES FOR REGIONALISM ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION ACROSS U.S. Source: American Public Transportation Association Mapping: Nashville Area MPO existing proposed
PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION ACROSS U.S. Source: American Public Transportation Association Mapping: Nashville Area MPO existing proposed existing proposed
PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION ACROSS U.S. Source: American Public Transportation Association Mapping: Nashville Area MPO
PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION ACROSS U.S. Source: American Public Transportation Association Mapping: Nashville Area MPO existing proposed
PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION ACROSS US 2000 to 2007 Source: American Public Transportation Association Mapping: Nashville Area MPO Fixed-Route Bus Service
TRANSPORTATION BALLOT INITIATIVES Source: Center for Transportation Excellence Mapping: Nashville Area MPO 2000 to 2007 States where voter’s approved funding Cities, Counties, or Regions where voter’s approved funding
WHAT’S OUR VISION? Help Shape our Future with Transportation! www.nashvillempo.org www.cuampo.com
Top Regional Priorities ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Regional growth and development patterns 2020 base case scenario update