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CENTER for
                       RURAL POLICY
                       and DEVELOPMENT                                                                        October 2010




                       2010 Minnesota Internet Survey
                       Looking at the growth of broadband
                       access and use for clues to what’s next


                         Introduction
                              It is probably safe to say that nothing has hit the world quite like the Internet. In its
                         ability to change our day-to-day lives and society itself, it is unprecedented. In the ten
                         years since the Center for Rural Policy and Development began its survey of broadband
                         adoption in Minnesota, the growth of broadband use — and its necessity — has been
                         nothing short of remarkable. In the Center’s first, very short survey conducted in 2001
                         of just households in the 80 counties outside the Twin Cities, we found that 60% of rural
                         Minnesota households had home computers, 40% were connected to the Internet and just
                         6.2% had broadband. At that time, the availability of broadband was quite limited, even in
                         the Twin Cities. Since 2001, its availability has spread steadily, and its adoption has risen
                         accordingly statewide.
                              But while the story of broadband tends to center on its phenomenal growth, we
                         find that in rural areas access is still inconsistent. Both private and public entities have
                         endeavored to build out an adequate broadband infrastructure across the state, but today,
                         while residents of virtually every city in the state have access to broadband, there are still
                         many pockets in rural areas where broadband is not available, and in rural communities
                         that do have access, not everyone has access to or can afford the speed necessary to do the
                         more complex activities that are emerging every day on the Internet.
                              To get a little closer look at the question of rural access, the researchers this year
                         divided the state’s counties into three groups: the seven-county Twin Cities group; the
                         Metropolitan or Micropolitan Statistical Areas counties group; and the Rural counties
                         group (these definitions are explained further in the Methodologies section). The results
                         of the survey show a significant divide still exists in several ways.
A PDF of this
report can be            Major findings
downloaded
                             • Statewide, availability continues to spread: 76.8% of households report having
from the
Center’s web site at
                         computers, 73.5% (95.7% of those with computers) are connected to the Internet, and
www.ruralmn.org.         69.5% of households (94.3% of households with Internet) are accessing the Internet via

© 2010 Center for
Rural Policy and        The Center for Rural Policy and Development, based in St. Peter, Minn., is a private, not-for-profit
Development             policy research organization dedicated to benefiting Minnesota by providing its policy makers with an
                        unbiased evaluation of issues from a rural perspective.
broadband. Computer and Internet adoption are up            the counties with population centers of greater than
slightly from the last survey, taken in December 2007       10,000 residents; and “Rural counties,” the remaining
and January 2008, when adoption rates were 75.9%            counties that are defined by population centers of less
for computers and 71.5% for Internet. Broadband             than 10,000 (see map, page 4). The 80-county region
adoption is up sharply, nearly 12 percentage points         that was referred to as “rural” in past studies will be
from 57.8% in 2007-08.                                      referred to as Greater Minnesota this year.
      • In Greater Minnesota, computer, Internet and             The data for this survey was collected via
broadband adoption continue to grow and are catching        telephone interview from March to July 2010 across
up with the Twin Cities. Computer ownership went            the entire state using a sample generated through a
from 73.0% in 2007-08 to 75.5%, while Internet              random-digit dialing method. The data collection
connections have gone from 68.2% in 2007-08 to              process yielded 800 responses for the Twin Cities
71.2% in 2010. Broadband adoption grew from 52.3%           area, 500 for the Metro- and Micropolitan counties
to 65.4%.                                                   group and 400 responses for the Rural counties group.
      • A high percentage of Minnesota households           The data were weighted for age and population share,
with Internet continue to engage in the most popular        based on U.S. Census data, to generate statewide and
activities. Email is universal, but close behind are        Greater Minnesota results. The survey results have a
shopping, checking the news and banking. Other              margin of error at the 95% confidence level of ±3.5%
activities are also growing in use, such as doing work      for the statewide, Twin Cities, and Greater Minnesota
for an employer, communicating with a child’s school,       samples, and ±4.5% for the Metro- and Micropolitan
or contacting a legislator or doctor. Greater Minnesota     county and Rural county samples.
still lags behind the Twin Cities in many activities.
      • Income and age continue to be significant           Adoption
indicators of whether a household will have a                    In the two years since the previous Minnesota
computer, Internet or broadband. Older and lower-           Internet study was conducted, the adoption of
income groups still tend to be behind in adopting these     broadband in Minnesota continues at a fast pace,
technologies, but they show steady growth.                  although perhaps not as fast as earlier in the decade.
      • Within Greater Minnesota, counties without          Between the end of 2007, when data for the last
significant population centers lagged behind those          survey were collected, and mid-2010, the percentage
with population centers in computer, Internet and           of households in Greater Minnesota using broadband
broadband adoption, and in activities.                      grew from 52.3% to 65.5%; in the Twin Cities metro
                                                            area, adoption went from 62.9% to 73.2% (see
Methodology                                                 Table 1). So fully two-thirds of Greater Minnesota
     A note on geography: Since this survey was             households and three-fourths of Twin Cities
started, we have defined rural Minnesota as the 80          households now have broadband. Even the adoption-
counties outside the Twin Cities metropolitan area,         rate gap between Greater Minnesota and the Twin
but over the years, the Twin Cities population has          Cities has shrunk, going from 10.6 percentage points
expanded into some of these Greater Minnesota               down to 7.7 percentage points. Figure 1 shows how
counties. At the same time, broadband service has           this gap has been closing; in particular, Internet service
been spreading out from other population centers            has become almost universal for computer owners.
around the state. To better understand the connection       Only 6.8% of Greater Minnesota computer owners and
between population density and availability and use         2.9% of Twin Cities computer owners don’t have their
of broadband in Minnesota, the researchers decided          computer connected to the Internet.
with this year’s survey to divide the state up into three        Users of dial-up service are also becoming
geographic definitions, instead of two. Rather than use     increasingly rare. In Greater Minnesota, only 8.0%
the geographies of the seven-county Twin Cities area        of Internet users are using dial-up, down from
as “metro” and the other 80 counties as “rural,” we         21.8% in the last study, while in the Twin Cities the
opted to group the state’s counties into “Twin Cities       percentage of Internet users using dial-up is down
Metro,” comprising the seven-county Twin Cities             to 1.9%, compared to 15.5% two years ago. When
area; “Metro- and Micropolitan counties,” defined as        asked why they haven’t chosen to purchase broadband

2                                                                                2010 Minnesota Internet Study
Table 1: Adoption rates for Greater Minnesota and the Twin Cities, 2001-2010.
 Greater
                    2001         2002          2003      2004     2005       2006     2007/08       2010
 Minnesota
 Computer              60%           59%        65%        63%      62%        66%           73%    75.5%
 Internet              46%           46%    57.50%         56%      54%      59.4%          68.2%   71.2%
 Broadband            6.2%           9.7%      15.0%     21.00%   27.4%      39.7%          52.3%   65.5%


 Twin Cities        2001         2002          2003      2004     2005       2006     2007/08       2010
 Computer                                                         73.1%      71.4%          77.9%   78.0%
 Internet                                                         64.3%      67.0%          74.4%   75.6%
 Broadband                                                        43.9%      57.0%          62.9%   73.2%


yet, the majority of dial-up users responded that it                 be interpreted that computer adoption is reaching a
was too expensive (63.8% of dial-up users in Greater                 natural ceiling and will continue to grow only slowly.
Minnesota and 50.7% in the Twin Cities). After that,                 When asked why they don’t have a computer, the most
though, the answers varied. In the Twin Cities, the                  common answer for Greater Minnesota residents and
second most common answer was “I don’t use the                       Twin Cities residents was that they didn’t need one.
Internet enough” at 28.5%, while in Greater Minnesota                After that, Twin Cities residents were more likely
the answer was “It’s not available where I live” at                  to say a computer was too expensive or that they
18.2%. In comparison, only 3.9% of Twin Cities dial-                 didn’t know how to use one, while Greater Minnesota
up users cited availability as an issue.                             residents were more likely to say they were too old.
     It does appear that since 2007 computer ownership                   Internet adoption is also bumping up against this
has leveled off at just under 80% of all households.                 computer ownership ceiling, where nearly everyone
It could be due to the recession, and it could also                  with a computer has it connected to the Internet. In


Figure 1: Adoption rates for Greater Minnesota and the Twin Cities, 2001-2010.


  80%


  70%


  60%                                                                                                Greater Minnesota
                                                                                                     Computer
  50%
                                                                                                     Internet

  40%                                                                                                Broadband


  30%
                                                                                                     Twin Cities
                                                                                                     Computer
  20%
                                                                                                     Internet
  10%                                                                                               Broadband


   0%
            2001    2002     2003       2004      2005     2006   2007/08   2009*    2010

* Data was not collected for 2009.

Center for Rural Policy and Development                                                                                   3
Greater Minnesota the rate is 94.2% of computer                                                                                                                                  and Wright, that while technically are rural by the
owners, while in the Twin Cities the rate is 97.0% of                                                                                                                            definition this study has used in the past, now contain
computer owners.                                                                                                                                                                 a certain amount of population overflow from the
                                                                                                                                                                                 Twin Cities. As Table 2 shows, adoption rates for the
Dividing up Greater Minnesota                                                                                                                                                    MMC counties are comparable to the Twin Cities
     While the studies over the years have shown a                                                                                                                               for computer and Internet, but somewhat behind in
steady increase in broadband adoption, we have also                                                                                                                              broadband adoption. The Rural counties are farther
understood that adoption is not evenly distributed. To                                                                                                                           behind for all three categories.
get a better look at this issue, we chose to break the                                                                                                                                While broadband adoption has been growing,
Greater Minnesota area down further, into two groups                                                                                                                             there are still pockets of no service around the state,
of counties that, rather than being defined by location,                                                                                                                         as indicated by data from Connect Minnesota (www.
are defined by the presence of a population center of at                                                                                                                         connectmn.org/mapping). Theoretically broadband is
least 10,000 and those without (see map below). The                                                                                                                              available anywhere in the state via satellite coverage,
results of the survey in these counties show that there                                                                                                                          but satellite is still a small presence, at less than 5.0%
are lower adoption rates and less general use of the                                                                                                                             for any of the county groups. When Internet users
Internet in the more rural counties.                                                                                                                                             were asked if they were satisfied with the speed of
     The counties included in the Metro- and                                                                                                                                     service they were receiving, the percentage responding
Micropolitan counties (MMC) group include                                                                                                                                        “yes” were 89.5% in the Twin Cities group, 83.7%
population centers such as Rochester, Mankato, Duluth                                                                                                                            in the MMC group, and 78.6% in the Rural group.
and Brainerd, and smaller cities like Alexandria and                                                                                                                             Interestingly, the average price given for broadband
Willmar. The group also includes counties that are                                                                                                                               access was fairly similar across regions: $41.31 in the
adjacent to the Twin Cities metro area, such as Isanti                                                                                                                           Twin Cities; $39.38 for the MMC counties group; and
                                                                                                                                                                                              $38.50 for the Rural counties group.

                                                                                                                                                                                            Age and income
    Kittson                    Roseau                                                                                                                                                            Since we started asking about age and
                                                                 Lake of
                                                                                                                                                                                            income, we have known that they are a
     Marshall
                                                                 the Woods

                                                                                                                             St. Louis
                                                                                                                                                                                            strong indicator of whether a household
                                                  Beltrami
                                                                                                                                                                                            has computers and Internet technology,
                                                                                                                                                                                            but the responses noted above as to why
     Polk               Pennington
                                                                                                                                                                          Cook
                                                                                                                                                             Lake
                                                                                      Koochiching

                                                                                                                                                                                            people choose not to have computers or
                       Red Lake
                                                                                       Itasca



                                                                                                                                                                                            broadband are clues that they may play a
                                                   Clearwater




            Norman                Mahnomen
                                                                Hubbard       Cass
                                                                                                                                                                                            larger role in more rural counties. Figure
            Clay                 Becker

                                                                                                       Aitkin
                                                                                                                                                                                            2 shows broadband adoption broken down
                                                                                                                                                                                            by age, while Figure 3 shows it broken
                                                                                                                                                                                            down by income. The higher a person’s
                                                                                        Crow Wing                                Carlton
                                 Otter Tail
                                                                 Wadena




            Wilkin


                                                                Todd
                                                                                                                                Pine
                                                                                                                                                                                            age or the lower their income, the less
                               Grant          Douglas
                                                                                      Morrison
                                                                                                       Mille
                                                                                                       Lacs                                                                                 likely they are to be using broadband. This
                                                                                                                Kanabec




                                                                                                                                                                                            may be even more true in the Rural group,
                                                                                                                                                                                            where, indeed, a check of data from the
                                                                                              Benton
                               Stevens    Pope                  Stearns                                         Isanti
         Traverse
                                                                                                                                                             Twin Cities Metro
              Big

                                                                                                                                                                                            2008 Census estimates shows that 24.3%
                                                                                                                             Washington Chisago




                                                                                               Sherburne
              Stone                                                                                                                                          Metropolitan and
                                  Swift                  Kandiyohi                                              Anoka
                                                                                                                                                             Micropolitan counties
                                                                                                                                                                                            of the population in Rural counties is age
                                                                            Meeker
                                    Chippewa                                                                                                                 Rural counties
                                                                                                                           s.




                                                                                                                                                                                            65 and over, compared to 18.7% in the
                                                                                         Wright
                                                                                                                          Ram




               Lac Qui Parle
                                                                                                       Hennepin
                                                                                   McLeod
                                                 Renville

                                                                                                                                                                                            MMC group. Year after year, however, the
                                                                                                 Carver
                   Yellow Medicine
                                                                                          Sibley
                Lincoln Lyon                                                                           Scott              Dakota
                                               Redwood
                                                                                   Nicollet                     Rice                                                                        adoption rate continues to creep up in the
                                                                                                                                                                                            older and lower-income groups.
                                                                                                 Le Sueur                  Goodhue Wabasha
                                                                Brown
                                                                                                                    Steele Dodge
                   Pipestone




                                                                                                                                                                                                 So, while low population density and
                                                                                                       Waseca




                                  Murray                            Watonwan                                                     Olmsted   Winona
                                                 Cottonwood
                                                                                       Blue Earth

                                                                                                                                                                                            its impact on the cost-effectiveness of
                   Rock          Nobles                                                                                                           Fillmore      Houston
                                                  Jackson                 Martin          Faribault       Freeborn               Mower



                                                                                                                                                                                            providing broadband has been a factor and

4                                                                                                                                                                                                      2010 Minnesota Internet Study
Table 2: Computer, Internet and broadband adoption by                                  How it’s being used
Minnesota region.                                                                           Survey respondents were presented a list of online
                       Twin Cities        MMC counties          Rural counties         activities and asked if they had participated in any
 Computer                    78.0%                  78.4%                    68.4%
                                                                                       of them in the last six months. In past surveys, the
                                                                                       difference between Greater Minnesota and the Twin
 Internet                    75.6%                  74.3%                    63.6%
                                                                                       Cities were pronounced, and this is still the case this
 Broadband                   73.2%                  68.9%                    56.9%     year depending on where a household is located. In
                                                                                       years past we also distinguished between dial-up and
will continue to be, it may not explain everything.                                    broadband users, showing that dial-up users spent less
Only about 18.0% of dial-up users in both the MMC                                      time online overall and participated in fewer activities.
and Rural counties said they had not subscribed to                                     This year, we grouped dial-up and broadband users
broadband yet because it wasn’t available in their                                     together into all Internet users, since, with so few dial-
area. Expense appeared to be more of a factor.                                         up users, it appeared a separate analysis would not be
However, 26% of respondents using dialup in the                                        productive.
Rural counties group said they didn’t get broadband                                         A handful of activities that have always been
because they don’t use the Internet enough, as opposed                                 the most popular remain so. Sending and receiving
to only 9% in MMC counties. A related piece of data                                    email is still the universal activity at 98.0% statewide,
appeared when we asked people why they didn’t                                          followed by researching a planned purchase, checking
own a computer (Table 3): the largest percentage                                       the weather or news, and purchasing something
said because they didn’t need one, but respondents                                     online. Newer activities are gaining ground, however.
also said because they were “too old”; in fact, 25%                                    More than three-fourths of households statewide
of respondents in the Rural group gave this answer.                                    report banking and/or paying bills online, and nearly
“Too old” was not given as an option but
was volunteered by respondents under
“other,” indicating that a certain number of     Table 3: Reasons given for not owning a computer.
respondents believed their age determined
                                                                                  Twin Cities      MMC                                                                                               Rural
whether they needed a computer or not.
                                                                            Don’t need one                                                  38.0%                           46.5%                     37.8%
                                                                            Too expensive                                                   15.1%                           8.0%                      13.0%
                                                                            Don’t know how to use one                                       19.6%                           11.2%                        6.6%
                                                                            Access elsewhere                                                12.9%                           14.2%                        9.6%
                                                                            Too old                                                               5.7%                      10.6%                     25.4%


Figure 2: Broadband adoption by age.                                                   Figure 3: Broadband adoption by income.
                                                                                                                                                                                                       97.0%

                                                                                                                                                                                                               93.5%
                                                                                                                                                                                     93.1%
                                                                                                                                                                             92.3%




100%
                                                                                                                                                                                             88.9%




                                                                                       100%
                                                                                                                                                                    84.7%
                                       82.9%
            79.9%


                    78.4%




                                                                                                                                                            80.0%
                                                                                                                                                    78.8%
                               72.8%




                                                        72.1%




80%
                                                67.4%




                                                                                        80%
                                                                                                                                          64.9%
                                                                                                                                  57.6%
                                                                                                                         53.3%




60%
                                                                                                                 49.6%




                                                                                        60%
                                                                                                         39.7%
                                                                             35.7%
                                                                    29.7%




40%                                                                                     40%
                                                                                                 24.8%




20%                                                                                     20%


 0%                                                                                         0%
               22-35              36-55            56-64          65 and older                   Less than $25,000 to $40,000 to $50,000 to $75,000 to $100,000 to $150,000
                                                                                                  $25,000   $39,000    $49,000    $74,000    $99,000 $150,000 and over
                            Greater Minnesota                   Twin Cities                                                      Greater Minnesota                                      Twin Cities
                               households                       households                                                          households                                          households

Center for Rural Policy and Development                                                                                                                                                                                5
70% report using some kind of social networking                       A possible explanation for this gap is that while
site. Nearly 40% report staying in contact with their             broadband is widely available in these areas, the
children’s school online, while 22% contact their                 capacity to engage in these activities may be lacking.
legislators online.                                               For example, streaming TV programs requires more
      Table 4 shows that when the activities are                  bandwidth than what may be available or a customer
broken down by region, some distinct differences                  can afford; a school may not have the ability to set up
show up. Twin Cities Internet users lead in most                  a communications portal for parents.
activities, particularly in banking, staying informed                 This year the survey also included questions on
on community issues, searching for employment,                    social networking (see Table 5). Social networking
and placing a call over the Internet. Internet users              was surprisingly prevalent in all parts of the state. The
in the MMC counties were more likely to use social                top use was, of course, for fun and keeping in contact
networking, communicate with their children’s school,             with friends. More than a third of Internet households
take a class online, and check commodity prices                   reported using social networking for staying informed
online. Internet users in the Rural counties group                on issues in all three regions. The medium was
were less likely to engage in all of the activities on the        used much less frequently for earning money. And
list. Especially larger gaps showed up for accessing              a dramatic difference was seen in the percentage of
news web sites, making purchases, using a social                  Internet households using social networking for their
networking site, communicating with a child’s school              career: 25.4% of Twin Cities Internet households
and streaming movies or TV programs.                              compared to 12.5% for the MMC group and only 3.8%


Table 4: Percentage of all Internet users engaging in online activities by region.

 Activity                                                   Statewide   Twiin Cities   MMC          Rural
 Send and receive email                                         98.0%         98.5%      98.9%       93.8%
 Research a purchase you’re planning                            86.1%         86.0%      86.8%       85.3%
 Check the weather                                              84.3%         84.5%      85.0%       81.4%
 Access news web sites                                          83.7%         86.2%      83.6%       73.5%
 Purchase something at an online store or auction               77.4%         79.2%      77.8%       67.2%
 Do banking, pay bills online                                   76.1%         82.4%      70.4%       63.2%
 Research medical information                                   73.9%         73.6%      74.6%       73.4%
 Use a social networking site                                   69.6%         68.9%      74.3%       60.2%
 Download music or video files                                  55.7%         60.1%      51.9%       45.9%
 Stay informed on community news and issues                     45.6%         53.1%      35.6%       38.8%
 Search for employment                                          44.4%         49.2%      39.2%       36.6%
 Stream movies or TV                                            40.7%         48.0%      36.5%       19.0%
 Do work for employer at home                                   39.1%         39.8%      41.0%       30.2%
 Communicate with school                                        38.7%         37.4%      43.4%       32.8%
 Play games online                                              25.7%         28.7%      24.3%       15.8%
 Contact your legislator                                        22.5%         23.3%      22.7%       18.1%
 Take a class online                                            18.2%         17.4%      19.8%       17.8%
 Earn income other than traditional job                         16.3%         18.0%      15.6%       10.9%
 Place a phone call over the Internet                           15.5%         20.4%      11.1%         5.4%
 Communicate with doctor or nurse or other caregiver            11.4%         13.2%      10.0%         7.7%
 Check ag commodity prices                                       6.3%          4.2%       7.9%       10.0%

6                                                                                      2010 Minnesota Internet Study
Table 5: Social networking.
                                                      State   Twin Cities     MMC      Rural
 Use a social networking site                         69.6%       68.9%       74.3%     60.2%
   Social networking: Fun and friends                 97.9%       99.5%       96.4%     93.9%
   Social networking: Your career                     18.6%       25.4%       12.5%      3.8%
   Social networking: To earn money                    7.1%       10.1%        4.6%      0.6%
   Social networking: To stay informed on issues      37.0%       38.8%       34.2%     37.1%


Table 6: Percentage of households with cell phones.
                                                                                   were the top uses. Today, Internet
                                        Statewide     TC      MMC     Rural        users bank, make purchases, watch
 Do you own a cell phone?                  82.8%    82.2%     84.5% 80.7%          movies and take classes online.
                                                                                       Over the years, we have
                                                                                   concentrated mainly on documenting
                                                                                   the growth of broadband adoption,
 Percentage cell phone owners who…
 Use cell phone to text message?           58.7%    62.4%     54.1% 55.4%          but by the 2007 report, it was
 Send and receive emails?                  24.0%    29.2%     20.6% 12.0%          apparent that broadband had become
 Surf the Internet?                        23.6%    28.7%     20.3% 12.1%          mainstream. This year’s survey also
                                                                                   indicated that availability is less
 Take and send pictures?                   48.0%    54.7%     40.7% 39.9%
                                                                                   of a problem than it has ever been,
                                                                                   and that nearly everyone who has a
for the Rural group.                                                               computer is now connected to the
     We also asked all survey respondents whether                 Internet and connected via broadband. Some points
they have used the Internet at the public library.                to consider can be surmised from this year’s survey,
Interestingly, 30.9% of metro respondents said they               however.
had, versus 17.4% of MMC respondents and 19.4% of
Rural county respondents.                                             •	 Although not as big a factor, availability is
     Finally, respondents were also asked about cell                     still an issue in Greater Minnesota, especially
phones. The results revealed that more households                        in the state’s more rural counties. Age and
have cell phones than have home computers, and that                      income, however, may now have more of an
the rate of ownership is fairly consistent across the                    influence on whether a person has broadband
state. As Table 6 shows, more than half the households                   than its availability.
use their cell phones for text messaging, and that                    •	 About a quarter of the state’s households
taking and sending photos is also popular, while                         still do not have a computer, and computer
emailing and surfing the Internet are less so.                           ownership appears to have leveled off,
                                                                         which would imply that broadband adoption
Conclusion                                                               must level off as well. Based on responses
     The Minnesota Internet Survey was started in                        regarding age, expense and not knowing how
2001 at a time when there was a small but growing                        to use a computer, however, alternatives to a
awareness of the potential for this new thing called                     traditional computer may be part of a solution.
broadband. Since then, its growth — and the growth of                    Smaller, handheld devices like smart phones,
activities that require broadband — has been nothing                     the iTouch and especially the iPad and other
short of staggering. In 2001, 78% of households                          tablet computers are making it possible
statewide reported using dialup to connect to the                        for individuals to access the online world
Internet; this year it was 4.7%. When the survey                         at broadband speeds without a traditional
started asking about activities in 2002, email and “fun”                 computer. These new devices do have some



Center for Rural Policy and Development                                                                                7
CENTER for
    RURAL POLICY
and DEVELOPMENT
 600 S. FIFTH ST., SUITE 211 • ST. PETER MN 56082




    issues in that they rely on cell phone or wi-fi         In the past ten years, the United States and the
    service, which are not universally available       world have become dependent on the Internet in ways
    either. Regardless of their limitations, though,   that were unimaginable when this survey was started.
    these devices may serve as shortcuts to the        It’s necessity for business, education and everyday
    Internet, especially for older individuals who     life has made access to the Internet a top priority for
    may find a computer intimidating or excessive      governments at all levels, and especially so for those
    when all they want to do is send email and         populations that have limited access. While broadband
    view photos.                                       has reached a point where tracking its growth overall
 •	 Social networking has grown phenomenally           is not that informative, tracking its progress in particu-
    in the last few years, giving Internet users       lar hard-to-serve areas and population groups would be
    completely new means of communicating with         productive. Also, an examination of alternative ways
    friends and policy makers and information          to access the Internet could provide needed informa-
    gathering. What this means for the future          tion on how to bring the Internet to populations for
    of communications in and among rural               whom traditional means of access have not worked so
    communities is still not fully understood, but     far.
    the potential could be enormous.

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2010 Minnesota Internet Survey: A Look at Rural and Metropolitan Broadband Access

  • 1. CENTER for RURAL POLICY and DEVELOPMENT October 2010 2010 Minnesota Internet Survey Looking at the growth of broadband access and use for clues to what’s next Introduction It is probably safe to say that nothing has hit the world quite like the Internet. In its ability to change our day-to-day lives and society itself, it is unprecedented. In the ten years since the Center for Rural Policy and Development began its survey of broadband adoption in Minnesota, the growth of broadband use — and its necessity — has been nothing short of remarkable. In the Center’s first, very short survey conducted in 2001 of just households in the 80 counties outside the Twin Cities, we found that 60% of rural Minnesota households had home computers, 40% were connected to the Internet and just 6.2% had broadband. At that time, the availability of broadband was quite limited, even in the Twin Cities. Since 2001, its availability has spread steadily, and its adoption has risen accordingly statewide. But while the story of broadband tends to center on its phenomenal growth, we find that in rural areas access is still inconsistent. Both private and public entities have endeavored to build out an adequate broadband infrastructure across the state, but today, while residents of virtually every city in the state have access to broadband, there are still many pockets in rural areas where broadband is not available, and in rural communities that do have access, not everyone has access to or can afford the speed necessary to do the more complex activities that are emerging every day on the Internet. To get a little closer look at the question of rural access, the researchers this year divided the state’s counties into three groups: the seven-county Twin Cities group; the Metropolitan or Micropolitan Statistical Areas counties group; and the Rural counties group (these definitions are explained further in the Methodologies section). The results of the survey show a significant divide still exists in several ways. A PDF of this report can be Major findings downloaded • Statewide, availability continues to spread: 76.8% of households report having from the Center’s web site at computers, 73.5% (95.7% of those with computers) are connected to the Internet, and www.ruralmn.org. 69.5% of households (94.3% of households with Internet) are accessing the Internet via © 2010 Center for Rural Policy and The Center for Rural Policy and Development, based in St. Peter, Minn., is a private, not-for-profit Development policy research organization dedicated to benefiting Minnesota by providing its policy makers with an unbiased evaluation of issues from a rural perspective.
  • 2. broadband. Computer and Internet adoption are up the counties with population centers of greater than slightly from the last survey, taken in December 2007 10,000 residents; and “Rural counties,” the remaining and January 2008, when adoption rates were 75.9% counties that are defined by population centers of less for computers and 71.5% for Internet. Broadband than 10,000 (see map, page 4). The 80-county region adoption is up sharply, nearly 12 percentage points that was referred to as “rural” in past studies will be from 57.8% in 2007-08. referred to as Greater Minnesota this year. • In Greater Minnesota, computer, Internet and The data for this survey was collected via broadband adoption continue to grow and are catching telephone interview from March to July 2010 across up with the Twin Cities. Computer ownership went the entire state using a sample generated through a from 73.0% in 2007-08 to 75.5%, while Internet random-digit dialing method. The data collection connections have gone from 68.2% in 2007-08 to process yielded 800 responses for the Twin Cities 71.2% in 2010. Broadband adoption grew from 52.3% area, 500 for the Metro- and Micropolitan counties to 65.4%. group and 400 responses for the Rural counties group. • A high percentage of Minnesota households The data were weighted for age and population share, with Internet continue to engage in the most popular based on U.S. Census data, to generate statewide and activities. Email is universal, but close behind are Greater Minnesota results. The survey results have a shopping, checking the news and banking. Other margin of error at the 95% confidence level of ±3.5% activities are also growing in use, such as doing work for the statewide, Twin Cities, and Greater Minnesota for an employer, communicating with a child’s school, samples, and ±4.5% for the Metro- and Micropolitan or contacting a legislator or doctor. Greater Minnesota county and Rural county samples. still lags behind the Twin Cities in many activities. • Income and age continue to be significant Adoption indicators of whether a household will have a In the two years since the previous Minnesota computer, Internet or broadband. Older and lower- Internet study was conducted, the adoption of income groups still tend to be behind in adopting these broadband in Minnesota continues at a fast pace, technologies, but they show steady growth. although perhaps not as fast as earlier in the decade. • Within Greater Minnesota, counties without Between the end of 2007, when data for the last significant population centers lagged behind those survey were collected, and mid-2010, the percentage with population centers in computer, Internet and of households in Greater Minnesota using broadband broadband adoption, and in activities. grew from 52.3% to 65.5%; in the Twin Cities metro area, adoption went from 62.9% to 73.2% (see Methodology Table 1). So fully two-thirds of Greater Minnesota A note on geography: Since this survey was households and three-fourths of Twin Cities started, we have defined rural Minnesota as the 80 households now have broadband. Even the adoption- counties outside the Twin Cities metropolitan area, rate gap between Greater Minnesota and the Twin but over the years, the Twin Cities population has Cities has shrunk, going from 10.6 percentage points expanded into some of these Greater Minnesota down to 7.7 percentage points. Figure 1 shows how counties. At the same time, broadband service has this gap has been closing; in particular, Internet service been spreading out from other population centers has become almost universal for computer owners. around the state. To better understand the connection Only 6.8% of Greater Minnesota computer owners and between population density and availability and use 2.9% of Twin Cities computer owners don’t have their of broadband in Minnesota, the researchers decided computer connected to the Internet. with this year’s survey to divide the state up into three Users of dial-up service are also becoming geographic definitions, instead of two. Rather than use increasingly rare. In Greater Minnesota, only 8.0% the geographies of the seven-county Twin Cities area of Internet users are using dial-up, down from as “metro” and the other 80 counties as “rural,” we 21.8% in the last study, while in the Twin Cities the opted to group the state’s counties into “Twin Cities percentage of Internet users using dial-up is down Metro,” comprising the seven-county Twin Cities to 1.9%, compared to 15.5% two years ago. When area; “Metro- and Micropolitan counties,” defined as asked why they haven’t chosen to purchase broadband 2 2010 Minnesota Internet Study
  • 3. Table 1: Adoption rates for Greater Minnesota and the Twin Cities, 2001-2010. Greater 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007/08 2010 Minnesota Computer 60% 59% 65% 63% 62% 66% 73% 75.5% Internet 46% 46% 57.50% 56% 54% 59.4% 68.2% 71.2% Broadband 6.2% 9.7% 15.0% 21.00% 27.4% 39.7% 52.3% 65.5% Twin Cities 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007/08 2010 Computer 73.1% 71.4% 77.9% 78.0% Internet 64.3% 67.0% 74.4% 75.6% Broadband 43.9% 57.0% 62.9% 73.2% yet, the majority of dial-up users responded that it be interpreted that computer adoption is reaching a was too expensive (63.8% of dial-up users in Greater natural ceiling and will continue to grow only slowly. Minnesota and 50.7% in the Twin Cities). After that, When asked why they don’t have a computer, the most though, the answers varied. In the Twin Cities, the common answer for Greater Minnesota residents and second most common answer was “I don’t use the Twin Cities residents was that they didn’t need one. Internet enough” at 28.5%, while in Greater Minnesota After that, Twin Cities residents were more likely the answer was “It’s not available where I live” at to say a computer was too expensive or that they 18.2%. In comparison, only 3.9% of Twin Cities dial- didn’t know how to use one, while Greater Minnesota up users cited availability as an issue. residents were more likely to say they were too old. It does appear that since 2007 computer ownership Internet adoption is also bumping up against this has leveled off at just under 80% of all households. computer ownership ceiling, where nearly everyone It could be due to the recession, and it could also with a computer has it connected to the Internet. In Figure 1: Adoption rates for Greater Minnesota and the Twin Cities, 2001-2010. 80% 70% 60% Greater Minnesota Computer 50% Internet 40% Broadband 30% Twin Cities Computer 20% Internet 10% Broadband 0% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007/08 2009* 2010 * Data was not collected for 2009. Center for Rural Policy and Development 3
  • 4. Greater Minnesota the rate is 94.2% of computer and Wright, that while technically are rural by the owners, while in the Twin Cities the rate is 97.0% of definition this study has used in the past, now contain computer owners. a certain amount of population overflow from the Twin Cities. As Table 2 shows, adoption rates for the Dividing up Greater Minnesota MMC counties are comparable to the Twin Cities While the studies over the years have shown a for computer and Internet, but somewhat behind in steady increase in broadband adoption, we have also broadband adoption. The Rural counties are farther understood that adoption is not evenly distributed. To behind for all three categories. get a better look at this issue, we chose to break the While broadband adoption has been growing, Greater Minnesota area down further, into two groups there are still pockets of no service around the state, of counties that, rather than being defined by location, as indicated by data from Connect Minnesota (www. are defined by the presence of a population center of at connectmn.org/mapping). Theoretically broadband is least 10,000 and those without (see map below). The available anywhere in the state via satellite coverage, results of the survey in these counties show that there but satellite is still a small presence, at less than 5.0% are lower adoption rates and less general use of the for any of the county groups. When Internet users Internet in the more rural counties. were asked if they were satisfied with the speed of The counties included in the Metro- and service they were receiving, the percentage responding Micropolitan counties (MMC) group include “yes” were 89.5% in the Twin Cities group, 83.7% population centers such as Rochester, Mankato, Duluth in the MMC group, and 78.6% in the Rural group. and Brainerd, and smaller cities like Alexandria and Interestingly, the average price given for broadband Willmar. The group also includes counties that are access was fairly similar across regions: $41.31 in the adjacent to the Twin Cities metro area, such as Isanti Twin Cities; $39.38 for the MMC counties group; and $38.50 for the Rural counties group. Age and income Kittson Roseau Since we started asking about age and Lake of income, we have known that they are a Marshall the Woods St. Louis strong indicator of whether a household Beltrami has computers and Internet technology, but the responses noted above as to why Polk Pennington Cook Lake Koochiching people choose not to have computers or Red Lake Itasca broadband are clues that they may play a Clearwater Norman Mahnomen Hubbard Cass larger role in more rural counties. Figure Clay Becker Aitkin 2 shows broadband adoption broken down by age, while Figure 3 shows it broken down by income. The higher a person’s Crow Wing Carlton Otter Tail Wadena Wilkin Todd Pine age or the lower their income, the less Grant Douglas Morrison Mille Lacs likely they are to be using broadband. This Kanabec may be even more true in the Rural group, where, indeed, a check of data from the Benton Stevens Pope Stearns Isanti Traverse Twin Cities Metro Big 2008 Census estimates shows that 24.3% Washington Chisago Sherburne Stone Metropolitan and Swift Kandiyohi Anoka Micropolitan counties of the population in Rural counties is age Meeker Chippewa Rural counties s. 65 and over, compared to 18.7% in the Wright Ram Lac Qui Parle Hennepin McLeod Renville MMC group. Year after year, however, the Carver Yellow Medicine Sibley Lincoln Lyon Scott Dakota Redwood Nicollet Rice adoption rate continues to creep up in the older and lower-income groups. Le Sueur Goodhue Wabasha Brown Steele Dodge Pipestone So, while low population density and Waseca Murray Watonwan Olmsted Winona Cottonwood Blue Earth its impact on the cost-effectiveness of Rock Nobles Fillmore Houston Jackson Martin Faribault Freeborn Mower providing broadband has been a factor and 4 2010 Minnesota Internet Study
  • 5. Table 2: Computer, Internet and broadband adoption by How it’s being used Minnesota region. Survey respondents were presented a list of online Twin Cities MMC counties Rural counties activities and asked if they had participated in any Computer 78.0% 78.4% 68.4% of them in the last six months. In past surveys, the difference between Greater Minnesota and the Twin Internet 75.6% 74.3% 63.6% Cities were pronounced, and this is still the case this Broadband 73.2% 68.9% 56.9% year depending on where a household is located. In years past we also distinguished between dial-up and will continue to be, it may not explain everything. broadband users, showing that dial-up users spent less Only about 18.0% of dial-up users in both the MMC time online overall and participated in fewer activities. and Rural counties said they had not subscribed to This year, we grouped dial-up and broadband users broadband yet because it wasn’t available in their together into all Internet users, since, with so few dial- area. Expense appeared to be more of a factor. up users, it appeared a separate analysis would not be However, 26% of respondents using dialup in the productive. Rural counties group said they didn’t get broadband A handful of activities that have always been because they don’t use the Internet enough, as opposed the most popular remain so. Sending and receiving to only 9% in MMC counties. A related piece of data email is still the universal activity at 98.0% statewide, appeared when we asked people why they didn’t followed by researching a planned purchase, checking own a computer (Table 3): the largest percentage the weather or news, and purchasing something said because they didn’t need one, but respondents online. Newer activities are gaining ground, however. also said because they were “too old”; in fact, 25% More than three-fourths of households statewide of respondents in the Rural group gave this answer. report banking and/or paying bills online, and nearly “Too old” was not given as an option but was volunteered by respondents under “other,” indicating that a certain number of Table 3: Reasons given for not owning a computer. respondents believed their age determined Twin Cities MMC Rural whether they needed a computer or not. Don’t need one 38.0% 46.5% 37.8% Too expensive 15.1% 8.0% 13.0% Don’t know how to use one 19.6% 11.2% 6.6% Access elsewhere 12.9% 14.2% 9.6% Too old 5.7% 10.6% 25.4% Figure 2: Broadband adoption by age. Figure 3: Broadband adoption by income. 97.0% 93.5% 93.1% 92.3% 100% 88.9% 100% 84.7% 82.9% 79.9% 78.4% 80.0% 78.8% 72.8% 72.1% 80% 67.4% 80% 64.9% 57.6% 53.3% 60% 49.6% 60% 39.7% 35.7% 29.7% 40% 40% 24.8% 20% 20% 0% 0% 22-35 36-55 56-64 65 and older Less than $25,000 to $40,000 to $50,000 to $75,000 to $100,000 to $150,000 $25,000 $39,000 $49,000 $74,000 $99,000 $150,000 and over Greater Minnesota Twin Cities Greater Minnesota Twin Cities households households households households Center for Rural Policy and Development 5
  • 6. 70% report using some kind of social networking A possible explanation for this gap is that while site. Nearly 40% report staying in contact with their broadband is widely available in these areas, the children’s school online, while 22% contact their capacity to engage in these activities may be lacking. legislators online. For example, streaming TV programs requires more Table 4 shows that when the activities are bandwidth than what may be available or a customer broken down by region, some distinct differences can afford; a school may not have the ability to set up show up. Twin Cities Internet users lead in most a communications portal for parents. activities, particularly in banking, staying informed This year the survey also included questions on on community issues, searching for employment, social networking (see Table 5). Social networking and placing a call over the Internet. Internet users was surprisingly prevalent in all parts of the state. The in the MMC counties were more likely to use social top use was, of course, for fun and keeping in contact networking, communicate with their children’s school, with friends. More than a third of Internet households take a class online, and check commodity prices reported using social networking for staying informed online. Internet users in the Rural counties group on issues in all three regions. The medium was were less likely to engage in all of the activities on the used much less frequently for earning money. And list. Especially larger gaps showed up for accessing a dramatic difference was seen in the percentage of news web sites, making purchases, using a social Internet households using social networking for their networking site, communicating with a child’s school career: 25.4% of Twin Cities Internet households and streaming movies or TV programs. compared to 12.5% for the MMC group and only 3.8% Table 4: Percentage of all Internet users engaging in online activities by region. Activity Statewide Twiin Cities MMC Rural Send and receive email 98.0% 98.5% 98.9% 93.8% Research a purchase you’re planning 86.1% 86.0% 86.8% 85.3% Check the weather 84.3% 84.5% 85.0% 81.4% Access news web sites 83.7% 86.2% 83.6% 73.5% Purchase something at an online store or auction 77.4% 79.2% 77.8% 67.2% Do banking, pay bills online 76.1% 82.4% 70.4% 63.2% Research medical information 73.9% 73.6% 74.6% 73.4% Use a social networking site 69.6% 68.9% 74.3% 60.2% Download music or video files 55.7% 60.1% 51.9% 45.9% Stay informed on community news and issues 45.6% 53.1% 35.6% 38.8% Search for employment 44.4% 49.2% 39.2% 36.6% Stream movies or TV 40.7% 48.0% 36.5% 19.0% Do work for employer at home 39.1% 39.8% 41.0% 30.2% Communicate with school 38.7% 37.4% 43.4% 32.8% Play games online 25.7% 28.7% 24.3% 15.8% Contact your legislator 22.5% 23.3% 22.7% 18.1% Take a class online 18.2% 17.4% 19.8% 17.8% Earn income other than traditional job 16.3% 18.0% 15.6% 10.9% Place a phone call over the Internet 15.5% 20.4% 11.1% 5.4% Communicate with doctor or nurse or other caregiver 11.4% 13.2% 10.0% 7.7% Check ag commodity prices 6.3% 4.2% 7.9% 10.0% 6 2010 Minnesota Internet Study
  • 7. Table 5: Social networking. State Twin Cities MMC Rural Use a social networking site 69.6% 68.9% 74.3% 60.2% Social networking: Fun and friends 97.9% 99.5% 96.4% 93.9% Social networking: Your career 18.6% 25.4% 12.5% 3.8% Social networking: To earn money 7.1% 10.1% 4.6% 0.6% Social networking: To stay informed on issues 37.0% 38.8% 34.2% 37.1% Table 6: Percentage of households with cell phones. were the top uses. Today, Internet Statewide TC MMC Rural users bank, make purchases, watch Do you own a cell phone? 82.8% 82.2% 84.5% 80.7% movies and take classes online. Over the years, we have concentrated mainly on documenting the growth of broadband adoption, Percentage cell phone owners who… Use cell phone to text message? 58.7% 62.4% 54.1% 55.4% but by the 2007 report, it was Send and receive emails? 24.0% 29.2% 20.6% 12.0% apparent that broadband had become Surf the Internet? 23.6% 28.7% 20.3% 12.1% mainstream. This year’s survey also indicated that availability is less Take and send pictures? 48.0% 54.7% 40.7% 39.9% of a problem than it has ever been, and that nearly everyone who has a for the Rural group. computer is now connected to the We also asked all survey respondents whether Internet and connected via broadband. Some points they have used the Internet at the public library. to consider can be surmised from this year’s survey, Interestingly, 30.9% of metro respondents said they however. had, versus 17.4% of MMC respondents and 19.4% of Rural county respondents. • Although not as big a factor, availability is Finally, respondents were also asked about cell still an issue in Greater Minnesota, especially phones. The results revealed that more households in the state’s more rural counties. Age and have cell phones than have home computers, and that income, however, may now have more of an the rate of ownership is fairly consistent across the influence on whether a person has broadband state. As Table 6 shows, more than half the households than its availability. use their cell phones for text messaging, and that • About a quarter of the state’s households taking and sending photos is also popular, while still do not have a computer, and computer emailing and surfing the Internet are less so. ownership appears to have leveled off, which would imply that broadband adoption Conclusion must level off as well. Based on responses The Minnesota Internet Survey was started in regarding age, expense and not knowing how 2001 at a time when there was a small but growing to use a computer, however, alternatives to a awareness of the potential for this new thing called traditional computer may be part of a solution. broadband. Since then, its growth — and the growth of Smaller, handheld devices like smart phones, activities that require broadband — has been nothing the iTouch and especially the iPad and other short of staggering. In 2001, 78% of households tablet computers are making it possible statewide reported using dialup to connect to the for individuals to access the online world Internet; this year it was 4.7%. When the survey at broadband speeds without a traditional started asking about activities in 2002, email and “fun” computer. These new devices do have some Center for Rural Policy and Development 7
  • 8. CENTER for RURAL POLICY and DEVELOPMENT 600 S. FIFTH ST., SUITE 211 • ST. PETER MN 56082 issues in that they rely on cell phone or wi-fi In the past ten years, the United States and the service, which are not universally available world have become dependent on the Internet in ways either. Regardless of their limitations, though, that were unimaginable when this survey was started. these devices may serve as shortcuts to the It’s necessity for business, education and everyday Internet, especially for older individuals who life has made access to the Internet a top priority for may find a computer intimidating or excessive governments at all levels, and especially so for those when all they want to do is send email and populations that have limited access. While broadband view photos. has reached a point where tracking its growth overall • Social networking has grown phenomenally is not that informative, tracking its progress in particu- in the last few years, giving Internet users lar hard-to-serve areas and population groups would be completely new means of communicating with productive. Also, an examination of alternative ways friends and policy makers and information to access the Internet could provide needed informa- gathering. What this means for the future tion on how to bring the Internet to populations for of communications in and among rural whom traditional means of access have not worked so communities is still not fully understood, but far. the potential could be enormous.