Cercle innovation IBM 2013 - Ile Bendor

Cercle Innovation IBM – Ile de Bendor – 22 Mars

Technologies et Innovations 2013
« vers un nouveau champ des possibles »

Claude RIOUSSET Executive Architect Systems & Technology Group

© 2013 IBM Corporation


La technologie est au coeur de toutes les entreprises

Tous les deux ans, nous demandons à
des dirigeants d’entreprise de désigner
les trois facteurs externes qui auront le
plus fort impact sur leur organisation. Si
les facteurs de marché tiennent toujours
le premier rang, les facteurs
technologiques n’ont cessé de gagner
en importance relative.

En 2011, ce sont plus de 3000 DSI
couvrant 71 pays et 18 industries qui ont
partagé comment cette technologie
était au cœur du changement, de
l’innovation et du succès de leurs
entreprises. 2011 IBM Global CIO Study
« Le DSI Indispensable »
“New technologies are about to disrupt the industry.”

Industrial Products CIO, Germany
2 © 2013 IBM Corporation


Pour la première fois, les CEO’s placent la Technologie
en tête des facteurs majeurs pour leur Entreprise.
External forces that will impact the organization – 2012 CEO Study

Source: Q1 “What are the most important external forces that will impact your organization over the next 3 to 5 years?”


La 3ème génération de l’infrastructure informatique, la 3ème phase de l'Internet, et l'explosion
de l'information entrent en résonance pour engendrer une transformation majeure des usages.

Phases of the
Internet

1964 1981 1994 2003 2008 2012
2020-2

Generations of
Computing
Platforms

Amount of Data
Collected and
Stored

Source: Bill Chamberlin
HorizonWatch: Top Technology Trends To Watch In 2012

Cette technologie est l'ADN d'IBM depuis toujours

2011+ Cognitive Computing Chip
2011 3D Chip
2011+ Watson
2010 CMOS Integrated Silicon Nanophotonics
2010 Transistor 100 GHz graphene
2009 Nano MRI (Magnetic Resonance Imaging)
2008 World’s First Petaflop Supercomputer
2005 Cell
2004 Blue Gene/L
2003 Carbon Nanotubes
1997 Copper Interconnect Wiring
1997 Deep Blue
1994 Silicon Germanium (SiGe)
1987 High-Temperature Superconductivity
1986 Scanning Tunneling Microscope
1980 RISC
1971 Speech Recognition
1970 Relational Database
1967 Fractals
1966 One-Device Memory Cell
1957 FORTRAN
1956 RAMAC © 2013 IBM Corporation
5


Un politique d’investissement dans l’innovation, et leader depuis 20 années

IBM inventors received a record 6,478 U.S. patents in 2012,
marking the 20th consecutive year it has topped the list of
the world’s most inventive companies. IBM became the first
company to be granted as many as 5,000 U.S. patents in a
single year. It took IBM's inventors more than 50 years to
receive their first 5,000 patents after the company was
established in 1911. IBM's first patent: U.S. Patent #998,631
issued July 25, 1911.



IBM Research: The World is Our Lab

Dublin
• Smarter Zurich China
Cities • Science • Software
• Nanotech Materials • Internet of Things (IoT)

Watson Haifa
Almaden • Semiconductors • “Big Data” Analytics Tokyo
• Analytics • Systems • Security • Integrated Solutions
• Storage • Software & Services • Accessibility
• Nanotech Austin India
Healthcare • Semiconductors • Services
• Processors • Mobile Communications

Africa
• Smarter Cities

Brazil
• Natural Resources Melbourne
• Smarter Devices • Natural Resources
• Human Systems / Events • Disaster Mgmt
• Healthcare / Life
IBM Research Labs Sciences

IBM Research – Openings in 2011
IBM Research – Openings in 2012


Vers un nouveau paysage de l’IT….



…. structuré par Quatre grandes Tendances
Croissance des usages / Accès simplifié
Users
Transactions
Computations
Data
Facteurs technologiques
Une donnée multiple 4V & plus consommable
Data and data management
Workloads
Discovering insights
Interaction
L’accélération des rythmes
Evolving business ecosystem
Dynamic scalability
Minimize time-to-value
Social – Mobile – Cloud Keeping pace with technology and globalization
– Big Data / Analytics
Une explosion des capteurs…
Proliferation of sensors and devices
Demand for personalization
Just in time



Vers un quatrième modèle.

Confluence of Social Mobile Cloud
Big Data / Analytics

World Wide Web
and eBusiness
Client Server
PC - 1981
Back Office
Computing

60’s 80’s 90’s We are here



4 Technologies clefs qui vont changer notre écosystème IT

Cognitive Computing
“Synapse” devices
Compute+
Natural
Language+ Deep Q&A
Computers
BIG/+ analytics
Data
Fast
Analytics (zettabytes +
milli / microseconds
Big Data

Exascale
(Datacenter-in-a-box)
Massive parallelism
Flexible system
Workload optimization
Optimized
Systems Nano Systems
(Systems-on-a-chip)
Photonics
1B Transistors DNA Transistor
1T Devices
Nano
Devices
Power7 chip



Des Nano Composants aux Nano Systèmes

Cognitive Computing
Compute+
Natural
Language+ Deep Q&A
Computers
BIG/+ analytics
Data
Fast
Analytics (zettabytes +
Big Data

Exascale
Massive parallelism
Flexible system
Optimized
(Systems-on-a-chip)
Photonics
1T Devices
Nano
Devices
Power7 chip



La Feuille de route vers le Nanomètre…
Des innovations et des ruptures technologiques à chaque étape.
C Electronics

Fully Depleted
Devices

HfO2
Si Nano-Wire
Si NW
ETSOI Deposited Si

FINFET

Conventional
Planar Device

22/20 nm 15/11 nm 8 nm & Beyond



Vision : >1 Tbps dans un composant complexe en 3D

Light out
for off-chip traffic

Multiplexo
r

Modulato Photo- Analog Digital Inter-layer
r detector CMOS CMOS 3D vias



La recherche au service de nouveaux usages: Séquencement de l’ADN



Du Petascale à l’Exascale

Cognitive Computing
Compute+
Natural
Language+
Deep Q&A
Analytics Computers
BIG/Fast
Data + analytics
(zettabytes +
Big Data

Exascale
Massive parallelism
Flexible system
optimization
Workload
Optimized
(Systems-on-a-chip)
Photonics
1T Devices
Nano
Devices
Power7 chip


Exascale, une nouvelle accélération
System Improvement
(consolidation, integration, performance,
power efficiency, cost/performance)
4x/2years

1000x

Smarter Planet
High-performance
Enterprise
Historic trend:
2x/2years
30x

Increasingly
commoditized space

Now +5 yrs +10 yrs +15 yrs
A large class of emerging applications (Smarter Planet, high-performance enterprise), for which network-speed processing and data/compute
intensive modeling and simulation are an integral component, will require significant improvement in systems characteristics
(consolidation, integration, performance, power efficiency, cost/performance). These applications represent a significant growth opportunity.


Vers l’Exascale, via la maîtrise de nouveaux enjeux technologiques.
Overall Performance = 1000X
Performance / watt = 135X
Performance / $ = 1000X
1 PetaFlop Footprint = <2%
72 BG/P Referenced to1PF system
Racks
(2007)

CPU Phase Silicon
Photonics
Change
Memory 3D
Software

The Next Ten Years
20 PetaFlop
96 BG/Q
Racks
(2011-2)
1 PetaFlop = 1/3 rack

Source: http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/08/22/ibm_bluegene_q_chip/ 18


Des composants au Systèmes Intégrés



De l’explosion des données vers une analyse réactive.

Cognitive Computing
Compute+ “Synapse” devices

Natural
Language+ Deep Q&A
Computers
BIG/Fast
Analytics Data + analytics
(zettabytes +
Big Data
Exascale
Massive parallelism
Flexible system
Optimized
(Systems-on-a-chip)
Photonics
1T Devices
Nano
Device
Power7 chip
s



Le Multimedia: La vague majeure du traitement de la Donnée
Safety / Security High

Exa

Sophistication of Analysis

Computational Needs
10s millions cameras

Data Volume
Video

Expressiveness
Healthcare Peta

Med

Tera Image
1B medical images/yr
Customer
Audio

Giga Text
Structured data Low
1B camera phones
1990’s 2000’s 2010’s 2020’s

Media Wide Area Imagery Digital Marketing Enterprise Video

Source:
IBM Market Insights
based on composite
72 video 100’s TB per day 12% of video views Used by 1/3 of sources
hrs/minute enterprises



After processing this data the expectation is that per year between 300 and 1500 Petabytes of data need to be
stored. In comparison, the approximately 15 Petabytes*** produced by the Large Hadron Collider at CERN per
22 year of operation is approximately 10 to 100 times less than the envisioned capacity of SKA. © 2013 IBM Corporation

An Exabyte: What is it?
Exa 1’000’000’000’000’000’000 Books 1/3 *) 20’000 years full HDTV **)
Earth – Sun.
1018 ~ 1 billion years

Books around
Peta 1’000’000’000’000’000 Earth Equator 20 years full HDTV
1015 ~ 1 million years
Data Scale (log)

Library of Congress
Tera 1’000’000’000’000 Large Libary
(50 Km of One week full HDTV
1012 books)
~ 1000 year

Giga 1’000’000’000 Small Library
10 minutes full HDTV
109 (50 Meters of
books)
~ 1 year
Universe Lifetime (years)

Mega Decent Book
1’000’000
(5cm)
106 8 hours

Kilo 1’000 Half page
103 half-a-minute

Raw data rate: 14 Exabytes / day.
*) = 140 books per human on earth. **) ~ 2 minutes of HDTV per human on earth.


De la programmation des systèmes à l’apprentissage

Cognitive Computing
Compute+
Natural
Language+
Deep Q&A
Analytics Computers
BIG/Fast
Data + analytics
(zettabytes +
Big Data

Exascale
Massive parallelism
Flexible system
optimization
Workload
Optimized
(Systems-on-a-chip)
Photonics
1T Devices
Nano
Devices
Power7 chip


Les évolutions majeures du traitement de l’information
Cognitive
Systems Era

Programmable
Systems Era

Tabulating
Systems Era



Cognitive Computing
Complex Reasoning and Interaction Extends Human Cognition

Finance
Enhance decision support

Healthcare
Surface best protocols

Legal
Suggest defense/prosecution
arguments

Telemarketing
Next generation – persuasive –
call center



Des synergies avec la recherche IBM
Joint Development
Agreements

First-of-a-Kind
(FOAK)

Innovation Discovery IBM Research
Services

Industry
Solutions Lab

Workshops

GTO

Days Months to ~1 Year Multi-year



Improved Personalized Cleaner Cognitive
Medical Diagnosis Medicine Transportation Systems
& Treatment



Claude Riousset, Executive Architect - Systems & Technology Group

When it comes to the future, there are three kinds of people: those who let it
happen, those who make it happen, and those who wonder what happened.”

John M. Richardson, Jr., American academic and author


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