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Insight of Valuation
       With Focus on RBI Pricing Norms / Guidelines


                              By: Chander Sawhney
                          (FCA, CS, Certified Valuer (ICAI)
                                Asst. Vice President

Ggdd

                               SEBI REGISTERED (CAT -I) MERCHANT BANKER




       “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012
Contents
                         TABLE OF CONTENT
 Particulars                                                    Pg. No.
 Valuation Overview                                                    1
 FDI Valuation
 - FEMA Guidelines to Valuation                                       13
 - Approaches to FDI Valuation                                        15
 - Major Characteristics of DFCF                                      16
 - DFCF Valuation Process                                             17
 - Free Cash Flow- Value Trend                                        19
 - DFCF Value Constituents                                            20
      - Free Cash Flow Calculation                                    21
      - Cost of Capital Calculation                                   22
      - Terminal Value Calculation                                    24
 - Tricky Issues in DFCF                                              25

 Approaches to ODI Valuation                                          27
 Other Valuation Methods                                              32
 Reason to get Valuations                                             38
 Key take away for better Valuation                                   43
 Where things can go wrong                                            44
 International Valuation Standards & Indian Scenario                  46
               “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012
VALUATION
OVERVIEW
Value & Valuation


Value is*
An Economic concept;
An Estimate of likely prices to be concluded by the buyer and seller of a good or service that is
available for purchase;
Not a fact.




Valuation is the process of determining the “Economic Worth” of an Asset or Company
under certain assumptions and limiting conditions and subject to the data available on the
valuation date.

                                                                            * Source -International Valuation Standard Council




               “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012                 1
Key Facts of Valuation
                             PRICE IS NOT THE SAME AS VALUE
The Value of a business, by whatever valuation method it is obtained, is not the selling price of the
business. Value is an economic concept based on certain data & assumptions, however Price is
what a Buyer is willing to pay keeping in consideration the Economic and Non Economic factors like
Emotions, Perception, Greed Etc which cannot be valued as such.

                  VALUE VARIES WITH PERSON, PURPOSE AND TIME
The Value is a subjective term and can have different connotations meaning different things to
different people and the result may not be the same, as the context or time changes.

                TRANSACTION CONCLUDES AT NEGOTIATED PRICES
Though the value of a business can be objectively determined employing valuation approaches, this
value is still subjective, dependent on buyer and seller expectations and subsequent negotiations
and the Transaction happens at negotiated price only.

                         VALUATION IS HYBRID OF ART & SCIENCE
Valuation is more of an art and not an exact science. The Art is Professional Judgment and Science
is Statistics. Mathematical certainty is neither determined nor indeed is it possible as use of
professional judgment is an essential component of estimating value

            “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   2
Standard of Value

Standard of Value is the first step in valuation exercise which helps in determining the type of
value being utilized in a specific valuation engagement.


While selecting the Standard of Value following points is to be taken care of

Subject matter of Valuation;

Purpose of Valuation;

Statute;

Case Laws;

Circumstances.




             “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   3
Types of Standard of Value

                                  FAIR MARKET VALUE
    The price at which the property would change hands between a willing buyer
    and a willing seller, when the former is not under any compulsion to buy and the
    latter is not under any compulsion to sell & both parties having reasonable
    knowledge of the relevant facts.

                                   INVESTMENT VALUE
    Value to a particular investor based on individual investment requirements &
    expectations

                                     INTRINSIC VALUE
    The value of the business arising from the Fundamental or intrinsic factor

                                         FAIR VALUE
    The price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an
    orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date


          “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   4
Types of Premise of Value

Premise of value -

Talks about types of market conditions likely to be encountered



Premise of Value
Going Concern – Value as an ongoing operating business enterprise.
Liquidation    – Value when business is terminated . It could be ‘forced’ or ‘orderly’.



Premise of value is of utmost important while undertaking any valuation assignment
because there is a significant change in value if it’s valued as a going concern or on
liquidation.


           “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   5
Valuation: The law of Economics

                        Valuation across business cycle follow the law of economics
                                                                                                               Turnover/Profits: Drops
                                                                                                               Proven Track Record:
                                                                                                                Substantial Operating History
                                                                                        Declining       `      Method of Valuation: Entirely
                                                                                        Cos.
                                                                                                                from Existing Assets
                                                                                                               Cost of Capital: N.A.
                                                                                             Turnover/Profits: Saturated
                                                                   Mature                    Proven Track Record: Widely Available
                                                                   Cos.                      Method of Valuation: More from Existing Assets
                                                                                             Cost of Capital: May be High
                                                                                  Turnover/Profits : Good
                                                                                  Proven Track Record: Available
                                                                                  Valuation Methodology: Business Model with Asset
                                                  High Growth
s i f o P/ r ev on uT




                                                                                   Base
                                                  Cos.                            Cost of Capital: Reasonable
                  r




                                                            Turnover/Profits: Increasing still Low
                                                            Proven Track Record: Limited
                                   Growing                  Valuation Methodology: Substantially on Business Model
                                   Cos.                     Cost of Capital: Quite High
 t r




                                                 Turnover/Profits: Negligible
                        Start Up                                                                                                    Time
                                                 Proven Track Record: None
                        Cos.                     Valuation Methodology: Entirely on Business Model
                                                 Cost of Capital: Very High
                                                                                                                                                6
                               “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012
Sources of Information for Valuation
                                                                            Historical financial results –
   Sources of                                                             Income Statement and Balance
  Information                                                                           Sheets
                                                                            Data available in Public
                                                                           Domain – Stock Exchange /
                                                                          MCA/SEBI/Independent Report

                                                                                Data on comparable
                                                                              companies – SALES/EV-
                                                                                 EBITDA/ PAT/BV

                                                                             Stock market quotations –
                                                                                    BSE/ NSE


           Discussion and Representation                   Data on projects planned/under
           with/by the management of the                  implementations including future
                      Company                                        projection

In God we trust, all others bring data…                                                 Dr. W. Edwards Demings


                                                                                                           7
          “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012
Key drivers of valuation

CASH FLOW
 Investor assign value based on the cash flow they expect to receive in the future
 - Dividends / distributions
 - Sale of liquidation proceeds
 Value of a cash flow stream is a function of
 - Timing of cash Receipt
 - Risk associated with the cashflow


ASSETS
Operating Assets
  - Assets used in the operation of the business including working capital, Property, Plant &
    Equipment & Intangible assets
  - Valuing of operating assets is generally reflected in the cash flow generated by the business
Non - Operating Assets
  - Assets not used in the operations including excess cash balances, and assets held for
    investment purposes, such as vacant land & Securities
  - Non operating assets are generally valued separately and added to the value of the operations

                                                                                                            8
            “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012
Judiciary Guidance on valuation

           Preference to Income Approach than Asset Approach

 The dominance of profits for valuation of share was emphasised in “McCathies
case” (Taxation, 69 CLR 1) where it was said that “the real value of shares in a
company will depend more on the profits which the company has been making and
should be capable of making, having regard to the nature of its business, than
upon the amount which the shares would realise on liquidation”.


 This was also re-iterated by the Indian Courts in Commissioner of Wealth Tax v.
Mahadeo Jalan’s case (S.C.) (86 ITR 621) and Additional Commissioner of Gift Tax
v. Kusumben D. Mahadevia (S.C.) (122 ITR 38).

                                                                                                          9
          “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012
Broad Approaches to Valuation




                                10
Broad Approaches to FDI / ODI Valuation




                                                            ODI
                                                            ODI
                                                       Minority Stake
                                                       Minority Stake
                                                         Valuation
                                                         Valuation

          Proxy
           Proxy
         Minimum
         Minimum
          Value
           Value
                                               ODI
                                               ODI
                           FDI
                           FDI            Control Stake
                                           Control Stake
                                            Valuation
                                            Valuation             11
FDI
                                       VALUATION


• Notification No. FEMA 20/2000-RB dated May 3, 2000, as amended from time to time deals with
Foreign Exchange Management (Transfer or Issue of Security by a Person Resident Outside India)
Regulations, 2000.
•In terms of Schedule 1 of the Notification, an Indian company may issue equity shares/compulsorily
convertible preference shares and compulsorily convertible debentures (equity instruments) to a person
resident outside India under the FDI policy, subject to inter alia, compliance with the pricing guidelines.
•The price/ conversion formula of convertible capital instruments should be determined upfront at the
time of issue of the instruments.

                                                                                                              12
FEMA Guidelines to Valuation
       Particulars                 Valuation before April 21, 2010               Valuation after April 21, 2010
Guidelines in Force           CCI Guidelines                                    In case of FDI Transactions:
Methods Prescribed            Net Assets Value (NAV)                            Listed Company: Market Value
                              Profit Earning Capacity Value(PECV)               as per SEBI Preferential
                              Market Value (in case of Listed                   Allotment Guidelines
                              Company)
                                                                                Unlisted Company: DFCF

                                                                                In case of ODI Transactions:
                                                                                No method has been
                                                                                prescribed
Discount                      15% Discount has been prescribed on               No such Discount has been
                              account of Lack of Marketability                  prescribed
Historical / Futuristic       It is based on Historical Values                  It is based on Future Projections
Possibility of variation in As valuation is more Formulae based,                As valuation is more dependent
Value Conclusion            final values came standardized                      on Assumptions and choice of
                                                                                factors like Growth Rate, Cost
                                                                                of Capital etc, value conclusion
                                                                                may vary significantly.
                “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   13
14
Approaches to FDI Valuation

                Discounted Free Cash Flow Method (DFCF)
 RBI has prescribed DFCF as the only valuation method in case of FDI; but has not provided
any guidance on its technical aspects.
In India, RBI is the only Regulator which has mandated using DFCF method
Though DFCF is one of the most acceptable Valuation methods used by Business valuers
worldwide; however DFCF for all FDI transactions (like minority stake/start up valuation etc)
may not yield Fair Value in line with the Commercial understanding. However Law being
such, suitable Logical adjustments may be necessary on a case to case basis.
DFCF expresses the present value of the business as a function of its future
 DFCF expresses the present value of the business as a function of its future
cash earnings capacity. In this method, the appraiser estimates the cash flows of
 cash earnings capacity. In this method, the appraiser estimates the cash flows of
any business after all operating expenses, taxes, and necessary investments in
 any business after all operating expenses, taxes, and necessary investments in
working capital and capital expenditure is being met. Valuing equity using the free
 working capital and capital expenditure is being met. Valuing equity using the free
cash flow to stockholders requires estimating only free cash flow to equity holders,
 cash flow to stockholders requires estimating only free cash flow to equity holders,
after debt holders have been paid off.
 after debt holders have been paid off.

           “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   15
Major Characteristics of DFCF Valuation




 Forward Looking and focuses on cash generation
 Recognizes Time value of Money
 Allows operating strategy to be built into a model
Incorporates value of Tangible and Intangible assets
Only as accurate as assumptions and projections used
Works best in producing a range of likely values
It Represents the Control Value




          “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   16
DFCF Valuation Process


 Understand Business Model
 Identify Business Cycle
 Analyze Historical Financial Performance
 Review Industry and Regulatory Trends
 Understand Future Growth Plans (including Capex needs)
 Segregate Business and Other Cash Generating Assets
 Identify Surplus Assets (assets not utilized for Business say
  Land/Investments)
 Create Business Projections (Profitability statement and Balance Sheets)
 Discount Business Projections to Present (Explicit Period and Perpetuity)
 Add Value of Surplus Assets and Subtract Value of Contingent Liabilities

         “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   17
Weighing the Shortcomings and Merits of
DFCF




                                                                                                     18
     “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012
Free Cash Flows- Value Trend




      Terminal Value is calculated for the Perpetuity period based on the Adjusted
                      last year cash flows of the Projected period.


          “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   19
DFCF: MAJOR CONSTITUENTS




   “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   20
Free Cash Flow calculation

                                    FREE CASH FLOWS
            Free cash flows to firm (FCFF) is calculated as

                            Taxes
                            Change in Non Cash Working capital                             Free Cash
      EBITDA
       EBITDA                                                                             Flow to Firm
                            Capital Expenditure


   Note that an alternate to above is following (FCFE) method in which the value
   of Equity is directly valued in lieu of the value of Firm. Under this approach,
   the Interest and Finance charges is also deducted to arrive at the Free Cash
   Flows. Adjustment is also made for Debt (Inflows and Outflows) over the definite
   period of Cash Flows and also in Perpetuity workings.
   Theoretically, the value conclusion should remain same irrespective of the method
   followed (FCFF or FCFE), (Provided, assumptions are consistent).


                                                                                                           21
           “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012
Cost of Capital calculation

   DISCOUNT RATE – WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL


                                                   (Kd x D) + (Ke x E)
                   WACC
                                                          (D + E)


     Where:
     D = Debt part of capital structure
     E = Equity part of capital structure
     Kd = Cost of Debt (Post tax)
     Ke = Cost of Equity


           In case of following FCFE, Discount Rate is Ke and Not WACC



           “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   22
Cost of Equity calculation

                       DISCOUNT RATE - COST OF EQUITY

The Cost of Equity (Ke) is computed by using Modified Capital Asset Pricing Model
(Mod. CAPM)
                                     Mod. CAPM Model
                           ke = Rf + B ( Rm-Rf) + SCRP + CSRP


    Where:
    Rf = Risk free rate of return (Generally taken as 10-year Government Bond Yield)
    B =  Beta Value (Sensitivity of the stock returns to market returns)
    Ke = Cost of Equity
    Rm=  Market Rate of Return (Generally taken as Long Term average return of
          Stock Market)
    SCRP = Small Company Risk Premium
    CSRP= Company specific Risk premium


           “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   23
Terminal value calculation


 PERPETUITY FORMULA
 – Usually comprises a Large part of Total Value and is sensitive to small changes

 – Capitalizes FCF after definite forecast period as a growing perpetuity;
 – Estimate Terminal Value using Terminal Value Multiplier applied on last year cash
   flows
 – Gordon Formula is often used to derive the Terminal Cash                            (1 + g)
   Flows by applying the last year cash flows as a multiple of                      (WACC – g)
   the growth rate and discounting factor
 – Estimated Terminal Value is then discounted to present day at company’s cost of
   capital based on the discounting factor of last year projected cash flows

     IMPORTANT TIP- It is advised to do Sanity check by applying Relative Valuation Multiples
     to the Terminal Year Financials and also doing Scenario Analysis.

           “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   24
Tricky issues in DFCF

 Pre Money or Post Money: If the effect of the money coming in Company is taken in
   Projections, the Expanded capital base should be considered or else the Equity Value
   should be reduced by the inflow amount to reconcile with the existing capital base.

 Terminal growth rate: Since it is tough to estimate the perpetual growth rate of a
   company, it is preferred to take the perpetuity growth rate factoring in long term estimated
   GDP of the Country and Historical/Projection Inflation of the Country.

 Projection Validation via-a-vis Industry: Need to have Sanity check of the
   projections with the trend of the industry.
 Beta of Unlisted Company: It is calculated on relative basis by adjusting the average beta
   of its comparable companies for differences in Capital Structure of the unlisted company
   with the listed peers.
 Risk Free Rate: Yield of a Zero Coupon Bond or Long Term government Bond yield should
   be taken as the risk free rate since it does not have any reinvestment risk .

         “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   25
Tricky issues in DFCF (Cont.)

 Adjustment of Company Specific Risk Premium or Small Company Risk Premium:
   Small Companies are generally more risky than big companies. CAPM model does not
   take into consideration the size risk and specific company risk as Beta measures only
   systematic risk and Market Risk Premium (generally pertaining to Sensex Companies).
   These risks should also be taken into account while computing the cost of equity.
 Length of Projections: The Projected Cash Flows should factor in the entire Business
   Cycle of a Company.
 Notional/Actual Tax: Actual Tax Liability may be worked out and replaced for the
   Notional Tax Liability
 Investments: Investments should be valued separately based on their Independent Cash
   Flows
 Surplus Assets: The Value of Surplus Assets (not being utilized for Business purposes)
   should be added separately and their cash flows should be ignored while computing the
   Free Cash Flows.
                                                                                                           26
           “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012
APPROACHES TO
     ODI
  VALUATION
An Insight of Valuation-
                             27
www.CorporateValuations.in
Approaches to ODI Valuations
                                For valuing Minority Stake
Comparable Companies Market Multiples Method (CCM)

 Market Multiples of Comparable Listed Companies are computed and applied to the
 Company being valued to arrive at a multiple based valuation. The difficulty here is in the
 selection of a comparable company, since it is rare to find two or more companies with
 the same product portfolio, size, capital structure, business strategy, profitability and
 accounting practices. Most Valuations in stock markets are market based. Also
 Valuations for Tax purposes are done using this method.

 It Involves determining long term industry multiples using relevant parameters like:
  It Involves determining long term industry multiples using relevant parameters like:
  Sales – EV / /Sales looks at the enterprise value (market value of equity and debt) of firm vis-à-
  Sales – EV Sales looks at the enterprise value (market value of equity and debt) of firm vis-à-
   vis sales
    vis sales
  Earnings before interest, taxes and depreciation (EBDITA) ––EV / /EBIDTA, values the firm on
  Earnings before interest, taxes and depreciation (EBDITA) EV EBIDTA, values the firm on
   the basis of operating efficiency. Net Debt is deducted to arrive at the value of Equity
    the basis of operating efficiency. Net Debt is deducted to arrive at the value of Equity
  Net Profit – P / /E, values the Equity on the basis of net earnings of company
  Net Profit – P E, values the Equity on the basis of net earnings of company
  Book Value –– P / /BV values the Equity on basis of book value of company
  Book Value P BV values the Equity on basis of book value of company

             “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   28
Approaches to ODI Valuations (Contd)


  - Book Value Method (Proxy Minimum Value)
  This form of valuation is based on the books of a business, where owners' equity i.e.
      total assets minus total liabilities are used to set a price. As this method is entirely
      dependent on the Accounting values which most like are not the fair values , so
      most business valuation experts prefer to use an adjusted book value.




             “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   29
Approaches to ODI Valuations (Contd)
                 For valuing Majority Stake
Recommended Methods are as follows:

 DFCF (Already discussed in earlier slides)

 Comparable Transaction Multiple Method

 This technique is mostly used for valuing a company for M&A, the transaction that have
 taken place in the Industry which are similar to the transaction under consideration are
 taken into account. With the transaction multiple method, similar acquisition or
 divestitures are identified, and the multiples implied by their purchase prices are used to
 assess the subject company’s value. The greatest impediment in finding truly
 comparable transactions is the absence of available information on private transactions
 based on which such transactions took place. The more recent the transaction, the
 better this technique, with all other things being equal.



            “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   30
Approaches to ODI Valuations (Contd)

 Price of Recent Investment (PORI)
 Under this valuation approach, the recent investment in the business by an Independent
 party may be taken as the base value for the current appraisal, if no substantial
 changes have taken place since the date of such last investment. Generally the last
 Investment is seen over a period of last 1 year and suitable adjustments are made to
 arrive at current value.




            “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   31
OTHER
VALUATION
 METHODS
Other Valuation Methods

                         Capitalization of Earning Method
•   The capitalization method basically divides the business expected earnings by the
    so-called capitalization rate. The idea is that the business value is defined by the
    business earnings and the capitalization rate is used to relate the two.

•   The first step under this method is the determination of capitalization rate - a rate
    of return required to take on the risk of operating the business (the riskier the
    business, the higher the required return). Earnings are then divided by that
    capitalization rate. The earnings figure to be capitalized should be one that reflects
    the true nature of the business based on the expected normalized profits,
    excluding the impact of any extraordinary items not expected to accrue in future.
    While determining a capitalization rate, it is necessary to compare with rates
    available to similarly risky investments.




           “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   32
Other Valuation Methods

                        Contingent Claim Valuation

Under this valuation approach, Option Pricing Model is applied to estimate the Value.
Generally ESOP Valuation for Accounting purpose is done using the Black Scholes
Method. Now even Patent Valuation is also done using Black Scholes Method.



                                      Rule of Thumb

Although technically not a valuation method, rule of thumb or benchmark indicator is
used as a reasonableness check against the values determined by the use of other
valuation approaches. For example: in case of Hotel Valuations- EV/No. of Rooms, in
case of Mutual Funds- % of Asset Under Management (AUM) and likewise for each
Industry there are certain parameters which can assist in arriving as a benchmark
value.

           “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   33
Reconciliation and Value Conclusion

   a. Different methodology may derive different values, so sanity check always required.
   b. Valuer shall consider relevance of each methodology depending upon the purpose and
      premise of each valuation;
   c. While Selecting the final value:
        -   Subjective Weighting
             o   Mathematical Weighting
             o   Professional Judgement
        -   In mathematical weighting specific weights are assigned to each approach and
            weighted average calculated
        -   In professional judgment the conclusion is based on experience and judgment given
            the quality of information and the approaches applied.

    While concluding Value, all the methodologies must be considered and
    then weights applied as per the facts of the case. In other words, Value
    conclusion should be based on the Professional Judgement and Simple
    Average should best be avoided while concluding Value.
                                                                                                             34
             “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012
PURCHASE PRICE
 ALLOCATION
Purchase Price Allocation

 What is a Purchase Price Allocation?
 -an acquiring entity must allocate the purchase price to the assets acquired and
 liabilities assumed based on estimated fair values at the date of acquisition;

 -The excess of the cost of an acquired entity (including tangible and intangible
 assets) over the net of the amounts assigned to assets acquired and liabilities
 assumed is recorded as “Goodwill”;


                                                                  Tangible Assets
                                                                                                In Proportion
                                                                                                to Fair Value
    Consideration
      paid for                 Allocated to                      Intangible Assets
     acquisition

                                                                                                  Balancing
                                                                      Goodwill                     Figure


         “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   35
Purchase Price Allocation (cont’d)


  Why Purchase Price Allocation?
  -Intangible assets recognized separately from goodwill must be valued and
  amortized for financial reporting purposes, if appropriate
  -This may result in better Tax planning for undertaking the transactions of
  acquisition of assets and liabilities; Under Slump sale transaction, specifically the
  Intangible Assets can be separately accounted for by the Acquirer and
  Depreciation also claimed under the provisions of Indian Income Tax Law.

  -IFRS 3: Business Combinations, requires the allocation of the purchase price in
  a purchase combination to be allocated between tangible and intangible assets
  based on fair value.


      It may be noted that even under IFRS, there is no separate
      requirement of accounting separately for Intangibles. Thus the
      Valuation of Intangibles is needed specifically for PPA

         “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   36
Purchase Price Allocation (cont’d)




                                                                                   Fair Value of
                                                                                   Tangible Assets


                                                                               Categories
                                                                          -Technology Based
                                                                          -Marketing Based
                                                                          -Customer Based
                                                                          -Artistic Skills




      Total Value of Company equals to the Value of Tangible
      Assets, Intangible Assets and the Goodwill. In other words,
      Intangible Assets form part of the Total Value computed
      using the Valuation Methodologies. PPA is used to allocate
      the Value amongst Tangible and Intangible Assets.
      “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   37
Reason to get Valuation

    Mergers & Acquisitions
    Mergers & Acquisitions      Going Public
                                Going Public




      Regulatory Mandate
      Regulatory Mandate     Succession Planning
                             Succession Planning




      Dispute Resolution
      Dispute Resolution     Voluntary Assessment
                             Voluntary Assessment




                                                    38
Reason to get Valuation (cont’d)
                            MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS
 Valuation is an important aspect in Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A). A valuation can not
 only assist business owners in determining the value of their business, it can also help
 them maximize value when considering a sale, merger, acquisition, joint venture or
 strategic partnership.

 Also in M&A, accurate determination of share exchange ratio is very important. Share
 exchange ratio is generally determined by relative bargaining strength of the two
 companies i.e. the weaker a company's earning capacity or financial strength renders it
 weaker in bargaining strength and thus its shareholders are likely to have low value for the
 share's worth. There are a number of court cases judgements and observations of stock
 exchanges/ SEBI which need to be kept in mind before finalizing the swap ratio.

                                 DISPUTE RESOLUTION
Valuations are an increasingly important aspect of many commercial disputes. Before,
deciding as to how to manage a dispute, it is necessary to determine the likelihood of a
successful outcome and the potential stake involved. Judicial precedents are also available
that affect the selection of Valuation methodologies and applicability of Discounts/Premiums.

           “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   39
Reason to get Valuation (cont’d)

                                       GOING PUBLIC
In general, when a new company goes for an Initial Public Offering (IPO) it is doing
that in order to generate capital for growing its business. In such a circumstance, a
question arises as to how to evaluate the fair value of such a stock.
The Indian Capital Market follows a free pricing regime and thus the accurate pricing of
an IPO is of immense importance. Both Overpricing as well as under pricing have
negative impact. For instance, if a stock is offered to the public at a higher price than
the market will pay, the underwriters may have trouble meeting their commitments to
sell shares. Even if they sell all of the issued shares, if the stock falls in value on the
first few days of trading, it may lose its marketability and hence even more of its value.


                            VOLUNTARY ASSESSMENT
At times the management of the company wants to know the true worth and fair value of
the business for which they undertake the exercise of voluntary assessment for internal
management purpose and future decision making. Its better to have an idea of the
Tentative Value of the Company, before approaching any Investors.

           “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   40
Reason to get Valuation (cont’d)

                                  SUCCESSION PLANNING
  Types of Succession Planning
                                         Succession to Family Members
                                         In planning for the transfer of business to the next generation,
                                         the following important items must be considered:
                                         -Overall estate planning of the business owners;
                                         -Utilization and optimization of gifting where appropriate;
                                         -Utilization of trusts as a vehicle for transfer;
                                         -Life insurance;
                                         -Buy-sell agreements and shareholder agreements;
                                         -Family limited partnerships;
                                         -Retirement income planning of the owners;
                                         -Capital and financing needs of the business.

                                         Succession to Employees
                                         For many closely held businesses, the sale of the business to
                                         one or more key employees is often a viable succession
                                         strategy.

Succession to Outside Parties
It comprises of mergers, acquisitions, purchases and sales of businesses.
              “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   41
REGULATORY VALUATIONS

                           Transactions              Prescribed Methodologies          Mandate to be done by



                       Inbound Investment
                       Inbound Investment                      DFCF
                                                               DFCF                           CA // MB
                                                                                              CA MB
  Reserve Bank of
       India
                    Outbound Investment
                    Outbound Investment                  Valuer Discretion
                                                         Valuer Discretion           >5Mn$ - MB, otherwise CA/MB
                                                                                     >5Mn$ - MB, otherwise CA/MB


                      Gift of Unquoted Equity
                      Gift of Unquoted Equity                   NAV
                                                                NAV                               -
                                                                                                  -
                            Shares (Min)
                            Shares (Min)

                      Gift of Unquoted Equity
                      Gift of Unquoted Equity       DCF, (Valuation Based on
                                                    DCF, (Valuation Based on                  FCA // MB
                                                                                              FCA MB
                    Shares from Resident (Max)
                    Shares from Resident (Max)    Assets, Business & Intangibles
                                                  Assets, Business & Intangibles
   Income Tax                                         iare also acceptable)
                                                       iare also acceptable)

                     Gift of Unquoted Shares
                      Gift of Unquoted Shares      Price it would fetch if sold in
                                                   Price it would fetch if sold in               MB
                                                                                                 MB
                     other than Equity Shares
                     other than Equity Shares               open market
                                                            open market

                            ESOP Tax
                            ESOP Tax                     Valuer Discretion
                                                         Valuer Discretion                       MB
                                                                                                 MB



                         ESOP Accounting
                         ESOP Accounting              Option – Pricing Model
                                                      Option – Pricing Model                      -
                                                                                                  -


                     Takeover Code/ Delisting -
                     Takeover Code/ Delisting -    Only Parameters Prescribed –
                                                        Parameters Prescribed                  CA/MB
                                                                                               CA/MB
      SEBI              Infrequently Traded
                        Infrequently Traded       Return on Net Worth, EPS, NAV
                                                  Return on Net Worth, EPS, NAV
                                                    vis-a vis Industry Average
                                                    vis-a vis Industry Average

                     Takeover Code/ Delisting -
                     Takeover Code/ Delisting -       Based on Market Price
                                                      Based on Market Price                       -
                                                                                                  -
                        Frequently Traded
                         Frequently Traded

 Stock Exchanges       Relisting Base Price
                       Relisting Base Price              Valuer Discretion
                                                         Valuer Discretion                       MB
                                                                                                 MB
                          Determination
                          Determination


  Companies Act            Sweat Equity
                           Sweat Equity                  Valuer Discretion
                                                         Valuer Discretion                        -
                                                                                                  -                42
Key Takeaways for Better
Valuation

 -   Use Simple Models;
 -   Follow law of Economy;
 -   Minimize bias in Valuation process;
 -   Evaluate the stage of business Cycle;
 -   Do sanity check by multiple methods;
 -   Justify business model and key assumptions;
 -   Substantiate Data;
 -   Valuation conclusions are susceptible to challenge when based
     mainly on professional judgment
 -   Professional judgment is not a substitute for properly applied statistical
     methods analysis and logical reasoning
           “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   43
Where Things can go Wrong


 -   Excess, Cash & Non operating assets;
 -   Transparency & Corporate Governance;
 -   Accounting Practices;
 -   Cross Holdings;
 -   Legal Environment & Tax Implications;
 -   Intangibles and IPR’s;
 -   Subsequent Events;
 -   Off Balance Sheet Items;
 -   Discounts and Premiums.



           “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   44
Where Things can go Wrong (cont’d)

                                 DISCOUNTS & PREMIUMS
 Discounts & Premiums come into picture when there exist difference between the
 subject being valued and the Methodologies applied. As this can translate control value
 to non-control and vise versa , so these should be judiciously applied.
 Control Premium - An amount or percentage by which the pro-rata value of a controlling interest
 exceeds the pro-rata value of a non – controlling interest in a business enterprise to reflect the
 power of control.
 Discount on Lack of Control (DLOC) - An amount or percentage deducted from the pro-rata
 share of value of 100% of an equity interest in a business to reflect the absence of some or all
 of the powers of control.
 Discount on Lack of Marketability (DLOM) - An amount or percentage deducted from the value
 of an ownership interest to reflect the relative absence of marketability.

  FOR BETTER VALUE CONCLUSION:
  •If valuing on control basis, Valuer should prefer methods that reach control value without having to
  start with minority value and estimate control premium;
  •If valuing on minority basis, Valuer should prefer methods that reach minority value directly without
  having to start with control value and estimate minority discount.

              “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   45
International Valuation Standards & Indian Scenario




Valuation Standards are basically codes of practice that are used in valuation analysis. However in International
arena the above mentioned bodies govern the valuation practices. At present there are no prescribed standards
and codes for valuation in India (Companies Bill, 2011 is introducing the concept of “Registered Valuers’)

After the erstwhile CCI guidelines, Technical Guide to Share Valuation and Business Valuation Standard of ICAI are
probably the only pieces of Valuation guidance in India.

               “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   46
IRS Revenue Ruling (59-60),USA


 Revenue Ruling (RR) 59-60 is one of the oldest guidance available on
 Valuation in the world but still most relevant for Tax Valuations specifically
 for Valuing closely held common stock. It is the most widely referenced
 revenue ruling, also often referenced for Non Tax Valuations.

 While Valuing , it gives primary guidance on eight basic factors to consider-

 •Nature of the Business and the History of the Enterprise from its inception
 •Economic outlook in general and outlook of the specific industry in particular
 •Book Value of the stock and the Financial condition of the business
 •Earning Capacity of the company
 •Dividend-Paying Capacity of the company.
 •Goodwill or other Intangible value
 •Sales of the stock and the Size of the block of stock to be valued
 •Market prices of stock of corporations engaged in the same or a similar line of
 business


           “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012   47
Mr. Chander Sawhney
                                (FCA, CS, Certified Valuer (ICAI)


            Any Specific Valuation Query may be mailed @
          info@corporatevaluations.in / chander@indiacp.com
                 M: +91 9810557353; Ph: 011-40622252
      W: www.corporatevaluations.in; corporateprofessionals.com
Disclaimer:
This presentation contains information in summary form and is therefore intended for general guidance only. It is not intended to be a
substitute for detailed research or the exercise of professional judgment. Neither corporatevaluations.in nor any other member of the
Corporate Professionals organization accept any responsibility for loss occasioned to any person acting or refraining from action as a
result of any material in this presentation. On any specific matter, reference should be made to the appropriate advisor.

© 2012, Corporate Professionals. All rights reserved

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DCF Valuation : Business Valuation Article by Corporate Valuation Team

  • 1. Insight of Valuation With Focus on RBI Pricing Norms / Guidelines By: Chander Sawhney (FCA, CS, Certified Valuer (ICAI) Asst. Vice President Ggdd SEBI REGISTERED (CAT -I) MERCHANT BANKER “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012
  • 2. Contents TABLE OF CONTENT Particulars Pg. No. Valuation Overview 1 FDI Valuation - FEMA Guidelines to Valuation 13 - Approaches to FDI Valuation 15 - Major Characteristics of DFCF 16 - DFCF Valuation Process 17 - Free Cash Flow- Value Trend 19 - DFCF Value Constituents 20 - Free Cash Flow Calculation 21 - Cost of Capital Calculation 22 - Terminal Value Calculation 24 - Tricky Issues in DFCF 25 Approaches to ODI Valuation 27 Other Valuation Methods 32 Reason to get Valuations 38 Key take away for better Valuation 43 Where things can go wrong 44 International Valuation Standards & Indian Scenario 46 “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012
  • 4. Value & Valuation Value is* An Economic concept; An Estimate of likely prices to be concluded by the buyer and seller of a good or service that is available for purchase; Not a fact. Valuation is the process of determining the “Economic Worth” of an Asset or Company under certain assumptions and limiting conditions and subject to the data available on the valuation date. * Source -International Valuation Standard Council “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 1
  • 5. Key Facts of Valuation PRICE IS NOT THE SAME AS VALUE The Value of a business, by whatever valuation method it is obtained, is not the selling price of the business. Value is an economic concept based on certain data & assumptions, however Price is what a Buyer is willing to pay keeping in consideration the Economic and Non Economic factors like Emotions, Perception, Greed Etc which cannot be valued as such. VALUE VARIES WITH PERSON, PURPOSE AND TIME The Value is a subjective term and can have different connotations meaning different things to different people and the result may not be the same, as the context or time changes. TRANSACTION CONCLUDES AT NEGOTIATED PRICES Though the value of a business can be objectively determined employing valuation approaches, this value is still subjective, dependent on buyer and seller expectations and subsequent negotiations and the Transaction happens at negotiated price only. VALUATION IS HYBRID OF ART & SCIENCE Valuation is more of an art and not an exact science. The Art is Professional Judgment and Science is Statistics. Mathematical certainty is neither determined nor indeed is it possible as use of professional judgment is an essential component of estimating value “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 2
  • 6. Standard of Value Standard of Value is the first step in valuation exercise which helps in determining the type of value being utilized in a specific valuation engagement. While selecting the Standard of Value following points is to be taken care of Subject matter of Valuation; Purpose of Valuation; Statute; Case Laws; Circumstances. “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 3
  • 7. Types of Standard of Value FAIR MARKET VALUE The price at which the property would change hands between a willing buyer and a willing seller, when the former is not under any compulsion to buy and the latter is not under any compulsion to sell & both parties having reasonable knowledge of the relevant facts. INVESTMENT VALUE Value to a particular investor based on individual investment requirements & expectations INTRINSIC VALUE The value of the business arising from the Fundamental or intrinsic factor FAIR VALUE The price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 4
  • 8. Types of Premise of Value Premise of value - Talks about types of market conditions likely to be encountered Premise of Value Going Concern – Value as an ongoing operating business enterprise. Liquidation – Value when business is terminated . It could be ‘forced’ or ‘orderly’. Premise of value is of utmost important while undertaking any valuation assignment because there is a significant change in value if it’s valued as a going concern or on liquidation. “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 5
  • 9. Valuation: The law of Economics Valuation across business cycle follow the law of economics  Turnover/Profits: Drops  Proven Track Record: Substantial Operating History Declining `  Method of Valuation: Entirely Cos. from Existing Assets  Cost of Capital: N.A.  Turnover/Profits: Saturated Mature  Proven Track Record: Widely Available Cos.  Method of Valuation: More from Existing Assets  Cost of Capital: May be High  Turnover/Profits : Good  Proven Track Record: Available  Valuation Methodology: Business Model with Asset High Growth s i f o P/ r ev on uT Base Cos.  Cost of Capital: Reasonable r  Turnover/Profits: Increasing still Low  Proven Track Record: Limited Growing  Valuation Methodology: Substantially on Business Model Cos.  Cost of Capital: Quite High t r  Turnover/Profits: Negligible Start Up Time  Proven Track Record: None Cos.  Valuation Methodology: Entirely on Business Model  Cost of Capital: Very High 6 “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012
  • 10. Sources of Information for Valuation Historical financial results – Sources of Income Statement and Balance Information Sheets Data available in Public Domain – Stock Exchange / MCA/SEBI/Independent Report Data on comparable companies – SALES/EV- EBITDA/ PAT/BV Stock market quotations – BSE/ NSE Discussion and Representation Data on projects planned/under with/by the management of the implementations including future Company projection In God we trust, all others bring data… Dr. W. Edwards Demings 7 “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012
  • 11. Key drivers of valuation CASH FLOW Investor assign value based on the cash flow they expect to receive in the future - Dividends / distributions - Sale of liquidation proceeds Value of a cash flow stream is a function of - Timing of cash Receipt - Risk associated with the cashflow ASSETS Operating Assets - Assets used in the operation of the business including working capital, Property, Plant & Equipment & Intangible assets - Valuing of operating assets is generally reflected in the cash flow generated by the business Non - Operating Assets - Assets not used in the operations including excess cash balances, and assets held for investment purposes, such as vacant land & Securities - Non operating assets are generally valued separately and added to the value of the operations 8 “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012
  • 12. Judiciary Guidance on valuation Preference to Income Approach than Asset Approach  The dominance of profits for valuation of share was emphasised in “McCathies case” (Taxation, 69 CLR 1) where it was said that “the real value of shares in a company will depend more on the profits which the company has been making and should be capable of making, having regard to the nature of its business, than upon the amount which the shares would realise on liquidation”.  This was also re-iterated by the Indian Courts in Commissioner of Wealth Tax v. Mahadeo Jalan’s case (S.C.) (86 ITR 621) and Additional Commissioner of Gift Tax v. Kusumben D. Mahadevia (S.C.) (122 ITR 38). 9 “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012
  • 13. Broad Approaches to Valuation 10
  • 14. Broad Approaches to FDI / ODI Valuation ODI ODI Minority Stake Minority Stake Valuation Valuation Proxy Proxy Minimum Minimum Value Value ODI ODI FDI FDI Control Stake Control Stake Valuation Valuation 11
  • 15. FDI VALUATION • Notification No. FEMA 20/2000-RB dated May 3, 2000, as amended from time to time deals with Foreign Exchange Management (Transfer or Issue of Security by a Person Resident Outside India) Regulations, 2000. •In terms of Schedule 1 of the Notification, an Indian company may issue equity shares/compulsorily convertible preference shares and compulsorily convertible debentures (equity instruments) to a person resident outside India under the FDI policy, subject to inter alia, compliance with the pricing guidelines. •The price/ conversion formula of convertible capital instruments should be determined upfront at the time of issue of the instruments. 12
  • 16. FEMA Guidelines to Valuation Particulars Valuation before April 21, 2010 Valuation after April 21, 2010 Guidelines in Force CCI Guidelines In case of FDI Transactions: Methods Prescribed Net Assets Value (NAV) Listed Company: Market Value Profit Earning Capacity Value(PECV) as per SEBI Preferential Market Value (in case of Listed Allotment Guidelines Company) Unlisted Company: DFCF In case of ODI Transactions: No method has been prescribed Discount 15% Discount has been prescribed on No such Discount has been account of Lack of Marketability prescribed Historical / Futuristic It is based on Historical Values It is based on Future Projections Possibility of variation in As valuation is more Formulae based, As valuation is more dependent Value Conclusion final values came standardized on Assumptions and choice of factors like Growth Rate, Cost of Capital etc, value conclusion may vary significantly. “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 13
  • 17. 14
  • 18. Approaches to FDI Valuation Discounted Free Cash Flow Method (DFCF)  RBI has prescribed DFCF as the only valuation method in case of FDI; but has not provided any guidance on its technical aspects. In India, RBI is the only Regulator which has mandated using DFCF method Though DFCF is one of the most acceptable Valuation methods used by Business valuers worldwide; however DFCF for all FDI transactions (like minority stake/start up valuation etc) may not yield Fair Value in line with the Commercial understanding. However Law being such, suitable Logical adjustments may be necessary on a case to case basis. DFCF expresses the present value of the business as a function of its future DFCF expresses the present value of the business as a function of its future cash earnings capacity. In this method, the appraiser estimates the cash flows of cash earnings capacity. In this method, the appraiser estimates the cash flows of any business after all operating expenses, taxes, and necessary investments in any business after all operating expenses, taxes, and necessary investments in working capital and capital expenditure is being met. Valuing equity using the free working capital and capital expenditure is being met. Valuing equity using the free cash flow to stockholders requires estimating only free cash flow to equity holders, cash flow to stockholders requires estimating only free cash flow to equity holders, after debt holders have been paid off. after debt holders have been paid off. “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 15
  • 19. Major Characteristics of DFCF Valuation  Forward Looking and focuses on cash generation  Recognizes Time value of Money  Allows operating strategy to be built into a model Incorporates value of Tangible and Intangible assets Only as accurate as assumptions and projections used Works best in producing a range of likely values It Represents the Control Value “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 16
  • 20. DFCF Valuation Process  Understand Business Model  Identify Business Cycle  Analyze Historical Financial Performance  Review Industry and Regulatory Trends  Understand Future Growth Plans (including Capex needs)  Segregate Business and Other Cash Generating Assets  Identify Surplus Assets (assets not utilized for Business say Land/Investments)  Create Business Projections (Profitability statement and Balance Sheets)  Discount Business Projections to Present (Explicit Period and Perpetuity)  Add Value of Surplus Assets and Subtract Value of Contingent Liabilities “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 17
  • 21. Weighing the Shortcomings and Merits of DFCF 18 “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012
  • 22. Free Cash Flows- Value Trend Terminal Value is calculated for the Perpetuity period based on the Adjusted last year cash flows of the Projected period. “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 19
  • 23. DFCF: MAJOR CONSTITUENTS “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 20
  • 24. Free Cash Flow calculation FREE CASH FLOWS Free cash flows to firm (FCFF) is calculated as Taxes Change in Non Cash Working capital Free Cash EBITDA EBITDA Flow to Firm Capital Expenditure Note that an alternate to above is following (FCFE) method in which the value of Equity is directly valued in lieu of the value of Firm. Under this approach, the Interest and Finance charges is also deducted to arrive at the Free Cash Flows. Adjustment is also made for Debt (Inflows and Outflows) over the definite period of Cash Flows and also in Perpetuity workings. Theoretically, the value conclusion should remain same irrespective of the method followed (FCFF or FCFE), (Provided, assumptions are consistent). 21 “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012
  • 25. Cost of Capital calculation DISCOUNT RATE – WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL (Kd x D) + (Ke x E) WACC (D + E) Where: D = Debt part of capital structure E = Equity part of capital structure Kd = Cost of Debt (Post tax) Ke = Cost of Equity In case of following FCFE, Discount Rate is Ke and Not WACC “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 22
  • 26. Cost of Equity calculation DISCOUNT RATE - COST OF EQUITY The Cost of Equity (Ke) is computed by using Modified Capital Asset Pricing Model (Mod. CAPM) Mod. CAPM Model ke = Rf + B ( Rm-Rf) + SCRP + CSRP Where: Rf = Risk free rate of return (Generally taken as 10-year Government Bond Yield) B = Beta Value (Sensitivity of the stock returns to market returns) Ke = Cost of Equity Rm= Market Rate of Return (Generally taken as Long Term average return of Stock Market) SCRP = Small Company Risk Premium CSRP= Company specific Risk premium “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 23
  • 27. Terminal value calculation PERPETUITY FORMULA – Usually comprises a Large part of Total Value and is sensitive to small changes – Capitalizes FCF after definite forecast period as a growing perpetuity; – Estimate Terminal Value using Terminal Value Multiplier applied on last year cash flows – Gordon Formula is often used to derive the Terminal Cash (1 + g) Flows by applying the last year cash flows as a multiple of (WACC – g) the growth rate and discounting factor – Estimated Terminal Value is then discounted to present day at company’s cost of capital based on the discounting factor of last year projected cash flows IMPORTANT TIP- It is advised to do Sanity check by applying Relative Valuation Multiples to the Terminal Year Financials and also doing Scenario Analysis. “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 24
  • 28. Tricky issues in DFCF  Pre Money or Post Money: If the effect of the money coming in Company is taken in Projections, the Expanded capital base should be considered or else the Equity Value should be reduced by the inflow amount to reconcile with the existing capital base.  Terminal growth rate: Since it is tough to estimate the perpetual growth rate of a company, it is preferred to take the perpetuity growth rate factoring in long term estimated GDP of the Country and Historical/Projection Inflation of the Country.  Projection Validation via-a-vis Industry: Need to have Sanity check of the projections with the trend of the industry.  Beta of Unlisted Company: It is calculated on relative basis by adjusting the average beta of its comparable companies for differences in Capital Structure of the unlisted company with the listed peers.  Risk Free Rate: Yield of a Zero Coupon Bond or Long Term government Bond yield should be taken as the risk free rate since it does not have any reinvestment risk . “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 25
  • 29. Tricky issues in DFCF (Cont.)  Adjustment of Company Specific Risk Premium or Small Company Risk Premium: Small Companies are generally more risky than big companies. CAPM model does not take into consideration the size risk and specific company risk as Beta measures only systematic risk and Market Risk Premium (generally pertaining to Sensex Companies). These risks should also be taken into account while computing the cost of equity.  Length of Projections: The Projected Cash Flows should factor in the entire Business Cycle of a Company.  Notional/Actual Tax: Actual Tax Liability may be worked out and replaced for the Notional Tax Liability  Investments: Investments should be valued separately based on their Independent Cash Flows  Surplus Assets: The Value of Surplus Assets (not being utilized for Business purposes) should be added separately and their cash flows should be ignored while computing the Free Cash Flows. 26 “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012
  • 30. APPROACHES TO ODI VALUATION
  • 31. An Insight of Valuation- 27 www.CorporateValuations.in
  • 32. Approaches to ODI Valuations For valuing Minority Stake Comparable Companies Market Multiples Method (CCM) Market Multiples of Comparable Listed Companies are computed and applied to the Company being valued to arrive at a multiple based valuation. The difficulty here is in the selection of a comparable company, since it is rare to find two or more companies with the same product portfolio, size, capital structure, business strategy, profitability and accounting practices. Most Valuations in stock markets are market based. Also Valuations for Tax purposes are done using this method. It Involves determining long term industry multiples using relevant parameters like: It Involves determining long term industry multiples using relevant parameters like:  Sales – EV / /Sales looks at the enterprise value (market value of equity and debt) of firm vis-à-  Sales – EV Sales looks at the enterprise value (market value of equity and debt) of firm vis-à- vis sales vis sales  Earnings before interest, taxes and depreciation (EBDITA) ––EV / /EBIDTA, values the firm on  Earnings before interest, taxes and depreciation (EBDITA) EV EBIDTA, values the firm on the basis of operating efficiency. Net Debt is deducted to arrive at the value of Equity the basis of operating efficiency. Net Debt is deducted to arrive at the value of Equity  Net Profit – P / /E, values the Equity on the basis of net earnings of company  Net Profit – P E, values the Equity on the basis of net earnings of company  Book Value –– P / /BV values the Equity on basis of book value of company  Book Value P BV values the Equity on basis of book value of company “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 28
  • 33. Approaches to ODI Valuations (Contd) - Book Value Method (Proxy Minimum Value) This form of valuation is based on the books of a business, where owners' equity i.e. total assets minus total liabilities are used to set a price. As this method is entirely dependent on the Accounting values which most like are not the fair values , so most business valuation experts prefer to use an adjusted book value. “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 29
  • 34. Approaches to ODI Valuations (Contd) For valuing Majority Stake Recommended Methods are as follows:  DFCF (Already discussed in earlier slides)  Comparable Transaction Multiple Method This technique is mostly used for valuing a company for M&A, the transaction that have taken place in the Industry which are similar to the transaction under consideration are taken into account. With the transaction multiple method, similar acquisition or divestitures are identified, and the multiples implied by their purchase prices are used to assess the subject company’s value. The greatest impediment in finding truly comparable transactions is the absence of available information on private transactions based on which such transactions took place. The more recent the transaction, the better this technique, with all other things being equal. “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 30
  • 35. Approaches to ODI Valuations (Contd)  Price of Recent Investment (PORI) Under this valuation approach, the recent investment in the business by an Independent party may be taken as the base value for the current appraisal, if no substantial changes have taken place since the date of such last investment. Generally the last Investment is seen over a period of last 1 year and suitable adjustments are made to arrive at current value. “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 31
  • 37. Other Valuation Methods Capitalization of Earning Method • The capitalization method basically divides the business expected earnings by the so-called capitalization rate. The idea is that the business value is defined by the business earnings and the capitalization rate is used to relate the two. • The first step under this method is the determination of capitalization rate - a rate of return required to take on the risk of operating the business (the riskier the business, the higher the required return). Earnings are then divided by that capitalization rate. The earnings figure to be capitalized should be one that reflects the true nature of the business based on the expected normalized profits, excluding the impact of any extraordinary items not expected to accrue in future. While determining a capitalization rate, it is necessary to compare with rates available to similarly risky investments. “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 32
  • 38. Other Valuation Methods Contingent Claim Valuation Under this valuation approach, Option Pricing Model is applied to estimate the Value. Generally ESOP Valuation for Accounting purpose is done using the Black Scholes Method. Now even Patent Valuation is also done using Black Scholes Method. Rule of Thumb Although technically not a valuation method, rule of thumb or benchmark indicator is used as a reasonableness check against the values determined by the use of other valuation approaches. For example: in case of Hotel Valuations- EV/No. of Rooms, in case of Mutual Funds- % of Asset Under Management (AUM) and likewise for each Industry there are certain parameters which can assist in arriving as a benchmark value. “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 33
  • 39. Reconciliation and Value Conclusion a. Different methodology may derive different values, so sanity check always required. b. Valuer shall consider relevance of each methodology depending upon the purpose and premise of each valuation; c. While Selecting the final value: - Subjective Weighting o Mathematical Weighting o Professional Judgement - In mathematical weighting specific weights are assigned to each approach and weighted average calculated - In professional judgment the conclusion is based on experience and judgment given the quality of information and the approaches applied. While concluding Value, all the methodologies must be considered and then weights applied as per the facts of the case. In other words, Value conclusion should be based on the Professional Judgement and Simple Average should best be avoided while concluding Value. 34 “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012
  • 41. Purchase Price Allocation What is a Purchase Price Allocation? -an acquiring entity must allocate the purchase price to the assets acquired and liabilities assumed based on estimated fair values at the date of acquisition; -The excess of the cost of an acquired entity (including tangible and intangible assets) over the net of the amounts assigned to assets acquired and liabilities assumed is recorded as “Goodwill”; Tangible Assets In Proportion to Fair Value Consideration paid for Allocated to Intangible Assets acquisition Balancing Goodwill Figure “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 35
  • 42. Purchase Price Allocation (cont’d) Why Purchase Price Allocation? -Intangible assets recognized separately from goodwill must be valued and amortized for financial reporting purposes, if appropriate -This may result in better Tax planning for undertaking the transactions of acquisition of assets and liabilities; Under Slump sale transaction, specifically the Intangible Assets can be separately accounted for by the Acquirer and Depreciation also claimed under the provisions of Indian Income Tax Law. -IFRS 3: Business Combinations, requires the allocation of the purchase price in a purchase combination to be allocated between tangible and intangible assets based on fair value. It may be noted that even under IFRS, there is no separate requirement of accounting separately for Intangibles. Thus the Valuation of Intangibles is needed specifically for PPA “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 36
  • 43. Purchase Price Allocation (cont’d) Fair Value of Tangible Assets Categories -Technology Based -Marketing Based -Customer Based -Artistic Skills Total Value of Company equals to the Value of Tangible Assets, Intangible Assets and the Goodwill. In other words, Intangible Assets form part of the Total Value computed using the Valuation Methodologies. PPA is used to allocate the Value amongst Tangible and Intangible Assets. “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 37
  • 44. Reason to get Valuation Mergers & Acquisitions Mergers & Acquisitions Going Public Going Public Regulatory Mandate Regulatory Mandate Succession Planning Succession Planning Dispute Resolution Dispute Resolution Voluntary Assessment Voluntary Assessment 38
  • 45. Reason to get Valuation (cont’d) MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS Valuation is an important aspect in Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A). A valuation can not only assist business owners in determining the value of their business, it can also help them maximize value when considering a sale, merger, acquisition, joint venture or strategic partnership. Also in M&A, accurate determination of share exchange ratio is very important. Share exchange ratio is generally determined by relative bargaining strength of the two companies i.e. the weaker a company's earning capacity or financial strength renders it weaker in bargaining strength and thus its shareholders are likely to have low value for the share's worth. There are a number of court cases judgements and observations of stock exchanges/ SEBI which need to be kept in mind before finalizing the swap ratio. DISPUTE RESOLUTION Valuations are an increasingly important aspect of many commercial disputes. Before, deciding as to how to manage a dispute, it is necessary to determine the likelihood of a successful outcome and the potential stake involved. Judicial precedents are also available that affect the selection of Valuation methodologies and applicability of Discounts/Premiums. “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 39
  • 46. Reason to get Valuation (cont’d) GOING PUBLIC In general, when a new company goes for an Initial Public Offering (IPO) it is doing that in order to generate capital for growing its business. In such a circumstance, a question arises as to how to evaluate the fair value of such a stock. The Indian Capital Market follows a free pricing regime and thus the accurate pricing of an IPO is of immense importance. Both Overpricing as well as under pricing have negative impact. For instance, if a stock is offered to the public at a higher price than the market will pay, the underwriters may have trouble meeting their commitments to sell shares. Even if they sell all of the issued shares, if the stock falls in value on the first few days of trading, it may lose its marketability and hence even more of its value. VOLUNTARY ASSESSMENT At times the management of the company wants to know the true worth and fair value of the business for which they undertake the exercise of voluntary assessment for internal management purpose and future decision making. Its better to have an idea of the Tentative Value of the Company, before approaching any Investors. “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 40
  • 47. Reason to get Valuation (cont’d) SUCCESSION PLANNING Types of Succession Planning Succession to Family Members In planning for the transfer of business to the next generation, the following important items must be considered: -Overall estate planning of the business owners; -Utilization and optimization of gifting where appropriate; -Utilization of trusts as a vehicle for transfer; -Life insurance; -Buy-sell agreements and shareholder agreements; -Family limited partnerships; -Retirement income planning of the owners; -Capital and financing needs of the business. Succession to Employees For many closely held businesses, the sale of the business to one or more key employees is often a viable succession strategy. Succession to Outside Parties It comprises of mergers, acquisitions, purchases and sales of businesses. “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 41
  • 48. REGULATORY VALUATIONS Transactions Prescribed Methodologies Mandate to be done by Inbound Investment Inbound Investment DFCF DFCF CA // MB CA MB Reserve Bank of India Outbound Investment Outbound Investment Valuer Discretion Valuer Discretion >5Mn$ - MB, otherwise CA/MB >5Mn$ - MB, otherwise CA/MB Gift of Unquoted Equity Gift of Unquoted Equity NAV NAV - - Shares (Min) Shares (Min) Gift of Unquoted Equity Gift of Unquoted Equity DCF, (Valuation Based on DCF, (Valuation Based on FCA // MB FCA MB Shares from Resident (Max) Shares from Resident (Max) Assets, Business & Intangibles Assets, Business & Intangibles Income Tax iare also acceptable) iare also acceptable) Gift of Unquoted Shares Gift of Unquoted Shares Price it would fetch if sold in Price it would fetch if sold in MB MB other than Equity Shares other than Equity Shares open market open market ESOP Tax ESOP Tax Valuer Discretion Valuer Discretion MB MB ESOP Accounting ESOP Accounting Option – Pricing Model Option – Pricing Model - - Takeover Code/ Delisting - Takeover Code/ Delisting - Only Parameters Prescribed – Parameters Prescribed CA/MB CA/MB SEBI Infrequently Traded Infrequently Traded Return on Net Worth, EPS, NAV Return on Net Worth, EPS, NAV vis-a vis Industry Average vis-a vis Industry Average Takeover Code/ Delisting - Takeover Code/ Delisting - Based on Market Price Based on Market Price - - Frequently Traded Frequently Traded Stock Exchanges Relisting Base Price Relisting Base Price Valuer Discretion Valuer Discretion MB MB Determination Determination Companies Act Sweat Equity Sweat Equity Valuer Discretion Valuer Discretion - - 42
  • 49. Key Takeaways for Better Valuation - Use Simple Models; - Follow law of Economy; - Minimize bias in Valuation process; - Evaluate the stage of business Cycle; - Do sanity check by multiple methods; - Justify business model and key assumptions; - Substantiate Data; - Valuation conclusions are susceptible to challenge when based mainly on professional judgment - Professional judgment is not a substitute for properly applied statistical methods analysis and logical reasoning “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 43
  • 50. Where Things can go Wrong - Excess, Cash & Non operating assets; - Transparency & Corporate Governance; - Accounting Practices; - Cross Holdings; - Legal Environment & Tax Implications; - Intangibles and IPR’s; - Subsequent Events; - Off Balance Sheet Items; - Discounts and Premiums. “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 44
  • 51. Where Things can go Wrong (cont’d) DISCOUNTS & PREMIUMS Discounts & Premiums come into picture when there exist difference between the subject being valued and the Methodologies applied. As this can translate control value to non-control and vise versa , so these should be judiciously applied. Control Premium - An amount or percentage by which the pro-rata value of a controlling interest exceeds the pro-rata value of a non – controlling interest in a business enterprise to reflect the power of control. Discount on Lack of Control (DLOC) - An amount or percentage deducted from the pro-rata share of value of 100% of an equity interest in a business to reflect the absence of some or all of the powers of control. Discount on Lack of Marketability (DLOM) - An amount or percentage deducted from the value of an ownership interest to reflect the relative absence of marketability. FOR BETTER VALUE CONCLUSION: •If valuing on control basis, Valuer should prefer methods that reach control value without having to start with minority value and estimate control premium; •If valuing on minority basis, Valuer should prefer methods that reach minority value directly without having to start with control value and estimate minority discount. “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 45
  • 52. International Valuation Standards & Indian Scenario Valuation Standards are basically codes of practice that are used in valuation analysis. However in International arena the above mentioned bodies govern the valuation practices. At present there are no prescribed standards and codes for valuation in India (Companies Bill, 2011 is introducing the concept of “Registered Valuers’) After the erstwhile CCI guidelines, Technical Guide to Share Valuation and Business Valuation Standard of ICAI are probably the only pieces of Valuation guidance in India. “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 46
  • 53. IRS Revenue Ruling (59-60),USA Revenue Ruling (RR) 59-60 is one of the oldest guidance available on Valuation in the world but still most relevant for Tax Valuations specifically for Valuing closely held common stock. It is the most widely referenced revenue ruling, also often referenced for Non Tax Valuations. While Valuing , it gives primary guidance on eight basic factors to consider- •Nature of the Business and the History of the Enterprise from its inception •Economic outlook in general and outlook of the specific industry in particular •Book Value of the stock and the Financial condition of the business •Earning Capacity of the company •Dividend-Paying Capacity of the company. •Goodwill or other Intangible value •Sales of the stock and the Size of the block of stock to be valued •Market prices of stock of corporations engaged in the same or a similar line of business “CKF Master class on Recent Developments in Foreign Exchange Management Law” – 17 th Aug,2012 47
  • 54. Mr. Chander Sawhney (FCA, CS, Certified Valuer (ICAI) Any Specific Valuation Query may be mailed @ info@corporatevaluations.in / chander@indiacp.com M: +91 9810557353; Ph: 011-40622252 W: www.corporatevaluations.in; corporateprofessionals.com Disclaimer: This presentation contains information in summary form and is therefore intended for general guidance only. It is not intended to be a substitute for detailed research or the exercise of professional judgment. Neither corporatevaluations.in nor any other member of the Corporate Professionals organization accept any responsibility for loss occasioned to any person acting or refraining from action as a result of any material in this presentation. On any specific matter, reference should be made to the appropriate advisor. © 2012, Corporate Professionals. All rights reserved

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