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Asia Pacific
Office Market Overview
3Q 2012




Accelerating success.
table of contents
asia pacific office market overview | 3q 2012



Regional Overview	                                                                                                                                 3

Greater China	                                                                                                                                 4-6
Beijing, China.....................................................................................................................................4
Chengdu, China..................................................................................................................................4
Guangzhou, China..............................................................................................................................5
Shanghai, China.................................................................................................................................5
Hong Kong SAR, China......................................................................................................................6
Taipei, Taiwan....................................................................................................................................6


North Asia	                                                                                                                                        7
Seoul, South Korea............................................................................................................................ 7
Tokyo, Japan...................................................................................................................................... 7


Southeast Asia	                                                                                                                               8-11
Jakarta, Indonesia..............................................................................................................................8
Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.....................................................................................................................8
Karachi, Pakistan...............................................................................................................................9
Manila, Philippines.............................................................................................................................9
Singapore......................................................................................................................................... 10
Bangkok, Thailand............................................................................................................................ 10
Hanoi, Vietnam.................................................................................................................................. 11
Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam................................................................................................................ 11
	
India		                                                                                                                                     12-13
Bengaluru (Bangalore).................................................................................................................... 12
Chennai............................................................................................................................................ 12
Mumbai............................................................................................................................................. 13	
New Delhi......................................................................................................................................... 13
	
Australasia	14-17
Adelaide, Australia........................................................................................................................... 14
Brisbane, Australia.......................................................................................................................... 14
Canberra, Australia.......................................................................................................................... 15
Melbourne, Australia........................................................................................................................ 15
Perth, Australia................................................................................................................................ 16
Sydney, Australia............................................................................................................................. 16
Auckland, New Zealand....................................................................................................................17
Wellington, New Zealand..................................................................................................................17


Prime Office Supply, Rents and Net Take-up	                                                                                                 18-19

Trends & Forecasts	                                                                                                                        20-21

Definition & Terminology	                                                                                                                  22-23

Contacts	24-25
regional overview

Economic Overview
The office sector in the Asia Pacific region continued to be challenging in 3Q 2012 with
a slowing economic growth and the unresolved European debt crisis. Although overall
market sentiment was weakening, it remained positive in 3Q 2012. Following two rounds
of quantitative easing (QE1 and QE2), the US Federal Reserve announced a third round
(QE3) on 13 September 2012. With the US Federal Reserve instigating the third round of
bond purchases, commodity prices have been pushed up and this has spilled over to real
estate costs and pricing.

Based on the findings of Colliers Asia Office Leasing Survey for 3Q 2012, market participants
are holding positive views on market outlook but confidence is not as strong as the previous
quarter.



Leasing Market
The overall level of new office leasing inquiries decreased in 3Q 2012. However vacancy
rates and rentals remained strong throughout the quarter due to the limited supply of office
space. Firms in the IT/communication and Finance industries continued to be the major
source of leasing demand in 3Q 2012.

Most cities in Australia and China continued to exhibit positive rental growth. The average
rent increased 2.3% QoQ during 3Q 2012. Individual markets like Guangzhou, Hanoi, Ho
Chi Minh City, New Delhi and Singapore on the other hand, are expected to face growing
downward pressure for the coming months despite the solid demand for Grade A office
space. The Colliers Asia Office leasing Survey for 3Q 2012 found that most tenants are
seeking expansion however the pace will be less aggressive.



Sales Market
On the sales front, average transacted office prices edged up by 2.1% QoQ. The office market
became more active compared to the first half of 2012. This is mainly due to high quality
projects receiving encouraging sales performance in the last quarter, especially in Auckland,
Sydney, Perth and Brisbane which all saw an increase in sales activities. Institutions and
foreign investors remained active to source quality office developments in prime locations.



Market Outlook
Market sentiment remained positive in 3Q 2012 and market players are holding an optimistic
view on the market outlook. Therefore looking ahead, the prospective trend of office rents in
most cities will remain positive in the next 12 months, despite a substantial supply projected
to enter the market in individual cities.

With the expectation of the low interest rate trend to continue and the Chinese government
to continue stimulate growth, investment in office real estate in the region is expected to
remain strong.




                                                          Colliers International |        p. 3
asia pacific office market overview | 3Q 2012

     CHINA
   BEIJING OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP &
                                                                                                                        Beijing
   VACANCY RATE                                                                                                         •	 Supply remained tight in Beijing’s Grade A office property market during 3Q12, with the
                   1.00                                                                       25.0%                        total stock resting at 5.17 million sq m, due to a lack of new completions for the third
                   0.80                                                                       20.0%                        consecutive quarter.

                                                                                                                        •	 Overall, demand remained strong throughout the quarter. However, due to the limited




                                                                                                       Vacancy Rate
                                                                                              15.0%
  Million sq m




                   0.60


                   0.40                                                                       10.0%                        letting space available on the market, leasing transaction volume continued to decrease.
                   0.20                                                                       5.0%
                                                                                                                           Net absorption of the Grade A office property market in 3Q12 totalled 1,888 sq m, down
                                                                                                                           85.6% QoQ and the overall average vacancy rate edged down by 0.04 percentage points
                   0.00                                                                       0.0%
                          2009         2010           2011        2012 F         2013 F                                    to 3.51%.
                                    Supply            Take-up           Vacancy Rate

                                                                                                                        •	 Rentals continued with its upward trend during this quarter, with the average net effective
                                                                                                                           rent growing by 7.47% QoQ to RMB325.1 per sq m per month. The expansion of rental
                                                                                                                           growth, was mostly a result of the epidemic of reduced or even withdrawal of rent free
   BEIJING OFFICE CAPITAL AND RENTAL VALUES                                                                                periods provided by most landlords.
                 800.00                                                                       80,000
                                                                                                                        •	 Office investment market activity increased in 3Q 2012. A domestic B2B enterprise
                 700.00                                                                       70,000

                 600.00                                                                       60,000
                                                                                                                           acquired a 57,000 sq m Grade A office building in the Wangjing area for owner-occupancy.
                 500.00                                                                       50,000                       Moreover, a private equity investor acquired four blocks of Grade A office buildings or
                                                                                                       Capital Values
  Rentals




                 400.00                                                                       40,000                       a total of 26,000 sq m for investment purpose.
                 300.00                                                                       30,000

                 200.00                                                                       20,000                     major transactions
                 100.00                                                                       10,000

                   0.00                                                                       0                          Building                       Lease (L) /           Tenant / Purchaser              Area
                           1Q 2009
                           2Q 2009
                           3Q 2009
                           4Q 2009
                            1Q 2010
                           2Q 2010
                           3Q 2010
                           4Q 2010
                             1Q 2011




                          3Q 2013 F
                            2Q 2011
                            3Q 2011
                            4Q 2011
                            1Q 2012
                           2Q 2012
                           3Q 2012
                          4Q 2012 F
                          1Q 2013 F
                          2Q 2013 F

                          4Q 2013 F
                          1Q 2014 F
                          2Q 2014 F




                                                                                                                                                         Sale (S)                                             (sq ft)
                                                                                                                         Parkview Green                     L                                    Roche        71,000
                             Rentals (RMB / sq m / Month)       Capital Values (RMB / sq m)
                                                                                                                         Gateway Plaza                      L           Nanyang Commercial Bank NCB           48,400
                                                                                                                         Oriental Plaza                     L            Cheung Kong Graduate School          32,300
                                                                                                                                                                                            of Business
                                                                                                                         SK Tower                           L                           Black & Veatch        16,100
                                                                                                                         Tengda building                    L                 China State Construction        16,100



   CHENGDU OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP &
                                                                                                                        chengdu
   VACANCY RATE                                                                                                         •	 Raffles City, the Grade A office building comprising 74,024 sq m, was introduced in
                   0.50                                                                       50.0%
                                                                                                                           September, thus boosting the total stock of Grade A office space in Chengdu to 718,922 sq m.
                   0.40                                                                       40.0%
                                                                                                                        •	 The average rent decreased 0.38% QoQ to RMB137.28 per sq m per month. The overall
                                                                                                       Vacancy Rate




                   0.30                                                                       30.0%
                                                                                                                           vacancy rate edged 3.75% QoQ, to 24.42% in 3Q 2012.
  Million sq m




                   0.20                                                                       20.0%

                                                                                                                        •	 The average vacancy rate of the Grade A office buildings remained steady, signifying
                   0.10                                                                       10.0%
                                                                                                                           the solid demand for Grade A office space.
                   0.00                                                                       0.0%
                          2009         2010          2011        2012 F         2013 F
                                                                                                                        •	 In view of the current supply cycle and the continued slowdown of economic environment,
                                    Supply            Take-up           Vacancy Rate
                                                                                                                           the local office market is expected to face growing downward pressure over the coming
                                                                                                                           months.

   CHENGDU OFFICE CAPITAL AND RENTAL VALUES                                                                              major transactions

                 225.00                                                                       22,500
                                                                                                                         Building                         Lease (L) /        Tenant / Purchaser               Area
                 200.00                                                                       20,000                                                       Sale (S)                                           (sq ft)
                 175.00                                                                       17,500
                                                                                                                         Western Tower                          L             Ganzi Shangshan Water           12,900
                 150.00                                                                       15,000
                                                                                                       Capital Values




                 125.00                                                                       12,500                     Aerospace Technology Plaza             L                    Starbucks Coffee         10,800
  Rentals




                 100.00                                                                       10,000

                  75.00                                                                       7,500
                                                                                                                         Square One                             L           Kasikorn Bank of Thailand          7,500
                  50.00                                                                       5,000                      Square One                             L       Jintai International Investment        9,700
                  25.00                                                                       2,500

                   0.00                                                                       0                          China Overseas International           L           Chengdu Runfu Properties          12,200
                           1Q 2009
                           2Q 2009
                           3Q 2009
                           4Q 2009
                            1Q 2010
                           2Q 2010
                           3Q 2010
                           4Q 2010
                             1Q 2011
                            2Q 2011
                            3Q 2011
                            4Q 2011
                            1Q 2012
                           2Q 2012
                           3Q 2012
                          4Q 2012 F
                          1Q 2013 F
                          2Q 2013 F
                          3Q 2013 F
                          4Q 2013 F
                          1Q 2014 F
                          2Q 2014 F




                                                                                                                         Centre
                                                                                                                         China Overseas International           L                   Yusen Agriculture          9,900
                             Rentals (RMB / sq m / Month)       Capital Values (RMB / sq m)
                                                                                                                         Centre



p. 4                | Colliers International
asia pacific office market overview | 3Q 2012

CHINA
 GUANGZHOU OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP &
                                                                                                                         guangzhou
 VACANCY RATE                                                                                                            •	 Evergrande Center and Poly V Plaza in Pearl River New City and Lavendome Hui in
                2.00                                                                           40.0%                        Pazhou, were launched in 3Q 2012, providing a total of 266,627 sq m new stock. The
                                                                                                                            total stock of Grade A office grew to 2.80 million sq m. The overall vacancy rate increased
                 1.50                                                                          30.0%
                                                                                                                            1.6 percentage points to 22.2% in 3Q 2012.




                                                                                                        Vacancy Rate
Million sq m




                 1.00                                                                          20.0%
                                                                                                                         •	 The average rental recorded RMB157.6 per sq m per month, down 2.3% Q-o-Q, due to
                 0.50                                                                          10.0%                        the weak demand and large supply. Enterprises from IT/communication, pharmaceuticals
                                                                                                                            and professional services were the major source of leasing demand in 3Q 2012.
                0.00                                                                           0.0%
                        2009        2010           2011           2012 F         2013 F

                                 Supply                Take-up           Vacancy Rate
                                                                                                                         •	 High quality projects such as R&F Yingkai Plaza and Bravo Plaza received encouraging
                                                                                                                            sales performance. The achievable price of R&F Yingkai Plaza reached about RMB50,000
                                                                                                                            per sq m in 3Q 2012. The average sales price of Guangzhou Grade A office further edged
                                                                                                                            up by 1.61% QoQ to RMB32,586 per sq m.
 GUANGZHOU OFFICE CAPITAL
 AND RENTAL VALUES
                                                                                               36,000
               180.00
                                                                                                                          major transactions
               160.00                                                                          32,000

                                                                                               28,000
               140.00
                                                                                                                          Building                        Lease (L) /           Tenant / Purchaser            Area
               120.00                                                                          24,000
                                                                                                                                                           Sale (S)                                           (sq ft)
                                                                                                        Capital Values




               100.00                                                                          20,000
Rentals




               80.00                                                                           16,000                     International Financial             L                           Alcatel Lucent      16,000
               60.00                                                                           12,000

               40.00                                                                           8,000
                                                                                                                          Center (IFC)
               20.00                                                                           4,000                      China International Center          L                 Guangzhou City Telecom        23,500
                                                                                               0
                0.00
                                                                                                                          Centra Plaza                        L                    Qianhai Life Insurance     13,600
                         1Q 2009
                         2Q 2009
                         3Q 2009
                         4Q 2009
                          1Q 2010
                         2Q 2010
                         3Q 2010
                         4Q 2010
                           1Q 2011
                          2Q 2011
                          3Q 2011
                          4Q 2011
                          1Q 2012
                         2Q 2012
                         3Q 2012
                        4Q 2012 F
                        1Q 2013 F
                        2Q 2013 F
                        3Q 2013 F
                        4Q 2013 F
                        1Q 2014 F
                        2Q 2014 F




                                                                                                                          Leatop Plaza                        L                       Lukadilong Clothes       5,400
                          Rentals (RMB / sq m / Month)           Capital Values (RMB / sq m)                              R&F Yingkai Plaza                   S                                 ANGLEE        51,700




 SHANGHAI OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP &
                                                                                                                         shanghai
 VACANCY RATE                                                                                                            •	 Shanghai remained the world's sixth-most competitive financial center in 2012, according
                 1.20                                                                          20.0%                        to Xinhua-Dow Jones International Financial Centers Development Index released in
                                                                                                                            August 2012.
                 0.90                                                                          15.0%


                                                                                                                         •	 Five new projects were launched in 3Q 2012, adding a total of approximately 330,256
                                                                                                        Vacancy Rate
Million sq m




                 0.60                                                                          10.0%
                                                                                                                            sq m new supply to Shanghai’s Grade A office market.
                 0.30                                                                          5.0%

                                                                                                                         •	 Average Grade A office rental rates increased 1.2% QoQ to RMB 8.7 per square meter
                0.00
                        2009        2010          2011            2012 F         2013 F
                                                                                               0.0%                         per day.
                                 Supply                Take-up           Vacancy Rate
                                                                                                                         •	 In 3Q 2012, the overall vacancy rate increased from the previous quarter’s 6.7 to 9.5%.
                                                                                                                            Among the six major central business districts, Jing’an recorded the lowest vacancy
                                                                                                                            rates, at 5.3%. Zhuyuan and Changning posted the highest vacancy rates, at 14.9% and
 SHANGHAI OFFICE CAPITAL AND RENTAL VALUES
                                                                                                                            14.2% respectively.
                18.00                                                                          72,000


                15.00                                                                          60,000                     major transactions
                12.00                                                                          48,000
                                                                                                                          Building                            Lease (L) /       Tenant / Purchaser            Area
                                                                                                        Capital Values
Rentals




                 9.00                                                                          36,000
                                                                                                                                                               Sale (S)                                       (sq ft)
                 6.00                                                                          24,000
                                                                                                                          International Commerce Center            L                              Adidas     187,300
                 3.00                                                                          12,000
                                                                                                                          Kerry Parkside                           L                       Danone Group       76,400
                0.00                                                                           0                          L'Avenue                                 L                                  3M      72,000
                         1Q 2009
                         2Q 2009
                         3Q 2009
                         4Q 2009
                          1Q 2010




                        3Q 2013 F
                         2Q 2010
                         3Q 2010
                         4Q 2010
                           1Q 2011
                          2Q 2011
                          3Q 2011
                          4Q 2011
                          1Q 2012
                         2Q 2012
                         3Q 2012
                        4Q 2012 F
                        1Q 2013 F
                        2Q 2013 F

                        4Q 2013 F
                        1Q 2014 F
                        2Q 2014 F




                                                                                                                          Jin Mao Tower                            L              MWE China Law Office        22,900
                          Rentals (RMB / sq m / Day)             Capital Values (RMB / sq m)
                                                                                                                          CITIC Square                             L                          Nike China      16,800




                                                                                                                                                                                   Colliers International |        p. 5
asia pacific office market overview | 3Q 2012

     h o ng ko ng
    HONG KONG OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP &
                                                                                                                           hong kong
    VACANCY RATE                                                                                                           •	 In view of uncertain economic outlook, individual large tenants downsized their premises
                    4.50                                                                         9.0%                         but still prefer to stay in the same district. The overall net take up fell 80% QoQ to 111,000
                    4.00                                                                         8.0%

                    3.50                                                                         7.0%
                                                                                                                              sq ft in 3Q 2012, which reflects the slowdown in leasing activity especially in Central/
                    3.00                                                                         6.0%                         Admiralty.




                                                                                                          Vacancy Rate
  Million sq ft




                    2.50                                                                         5.0%

                    2.00                                                                         4.0%
                                                                                                                           •	 The overall Grade A office rent rebounded in 3Q 2012 after falling for three consecutive
                    1.50                                                                         3.0%

                    1.00                                                                         2.0%                         months, rising a solid 1.5% QoQ. Meanwhile, the average Grade A office rent in Cetral/
                    0.50                                                                         1.0%
                                                                                                                              Admiralty showed its first quarterly gain since 3Q 2011, rising 0.8% QoQ in 3Q 2012 to
                    0.00                                                                         0.0%
                           2009         2010            2011        2012 F          2013 F                                    HK$ 98.8 per sq ft.
                                    Supply              Take-up            Vacancy Rate

                                                                                                                           •	 The outlook for the Hong Kong Grade A office market has been brighten up due to the
                                                                                                                              positive market sentiment and increased leasing enquires. On the back of scare supply
                                                                                                                              and positive demand, overall Grade A office rents are projected to climb 4% over the
    HONG KONG OFFICE CAPITAL                                                                                                  next 12 months.
    AND RENTAL VALUES
                  175.00                                                                         35,000                     major transactions
                  150.00                                                                         30,000
                                                                                                                            Building                         Lease (L) /          Tenant / Purchaser               Area
                  125.00                                                                         25,000
                                                                                                                                                              Sale (S)                                             (sq ft)
                                                                                                          Capital Values




                  100.00                                                                         20,000
  Rentals




                                                                                                                            China Resources Building              L                                 Regus          10,300
                   75.00                                                                         15,000

                   50.00                                                                         10,000
                                                                                                                            Grand Century Place Tower 1           L                               Covidien         12,800
                   25.00                                                                         5,000
                                                                                                                            Exchange Tower                        L         Parsons Brinckerhoff (Asia) Ltd        12,200
                    0.00                                                                         0
                                                                                                                            4 floors, Kowloon Commercial          S                China Shipping Logistics      105,200
                            1Q 2009
                            2Q 2009
                            3Q 2009
                            4Q 2009
                             1Q 2010
                            2Q 2010
                            3Q 2010
                            4Q 2010
                              1Q 2011
                             2Q 2011
                             3Q 2011
                             4Q 2011
                             1Q 2012
                            2Q 2012
                            3Q 2012
                           4Q 2012 F
                           1Q 2013 F
                           2Q 2013 F
                           3Q 2013 F
                           4Q 2013 F
                           1Q 2014 F
                           2Q 2014 F




                                                                                                                            Centre Tower B
                                                                                                                            5 floors, Kowloon Commercial          S           The Open University of Hong        124,800
                             Rentals (HK$ / sq ft / Month)        Capital Values (HK$ / sq ft)

                                                                                                                            Centre Tower B                                                            Kong
                                                                                                                            Park Building                         S                    Billion Mart Dec Ltd      145,000



     ta i wan

    TAIPEI OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP &
                                                                                                                           Taipei
    VACANCY RATE                                                                                                           •	 With a net take-up of Grade A office at 3,111 ping in 3Q 2012, vacancy rate was down
                  40,000                                                                         40.0%                        58 basis point to 9.42% - the lowest point since 1Q 2009.
                  35,000                                                                         35.0%

                  30,000                                                                         30.0%
                                                                                                                           •	 The total net take up of Hsin-Yi district amounted to 2,160 ping in 3Q 2012. The key
                  25,000                                                                         25.0%
                                                                                                                              contributor was Shin Kong Bank who leased 2,400 ping in Shin Kong Xin Yi Financial
                                                                                                          Vacancy Rate
  Ping




                  20,000                                                                         20.0%

                  15,000                                                                         15.0%                        Building.
                  10,000                                                                         10.0%

                   5,000                                                                         5.0%                      •	 Thanks to the net take up of 680 ping at the Pacific Century Tower in West district, the
                      0
                           2009         2010           2011         2012 F          2013 F
                                                                                                 0.0%
                                                                                                                              average vacancy in the district decreased 1.45 percentage points to 4.92%.
                  -5,000                                                                         -5.0%
                                    Supply              Take-up            Vacancy Rate
                                                                                                                           •	 The average effective Grade A office rent edged up mildly to NT$ 2,441 per ping per
                                                                                                                              month in 3Q 2012. The effective rent of Hsin-Yi district was NT$ 2,824 per ping per
                                                                                                                              month, an increase of 0.32% QoQ. However, MS-TN district fell 0.30% to NT$ 2,247
    TAIPEI OFFICE CAPITAL AND RENTAL VALUES                                                                                   per ping per month.

                   3,500                                                                         1,400,000                   major transactions
                   3,000                                                                         1,200,000

                   2,500                                                                         1,000,000
                                                                                                                             Building                           Lease (L) /          Tenant / Purchaser             Area
                                                                                                                                                                 Sale (S)                                           (sq ft)
                                                                                                          Capital Values




                   2,000                                                                         800,000
  Rentals




                   1,500                                                                         600,000                     Prince Financial Building                S              Cathay Life Insurance Co.     262,000
                   1,000                                                                         400,000                     CEC Tun Nan Building                     L                        3M Taiwan Ltd.      113,500
                    500                                                                          200,000                     Taipei 101 Tower                         L                     Bayer Taiwan Ltd.       69,900
                      0                                                                          0                           Shin Kong Xin Yi Financial               L          Kraton Polymers International      10,700
                            1Q 2009
                            2Q 2009
                            3Q 2009
                            4Q 2009
                             1Q 2010
                            2Q 2010
                            3Q 2010
                            4Q 2010
                              1Q 2011
                             2Q 2011
                             3Q 2011
                             4Q 2011
                             1Q 2012
                            2Q 2012
                            3Q 2012
                           4Q 2012 F
                           1Q 2013 F
                           2Q 2013 F
                           3Q 2013 F
                           4Q 2013 F
                           1Q 2014 F
                           2Q 2014 F




                                                                                                                             Building                                                                  Limited
                             Rentals (NT$ / Ping / Month)         Capital Values (NT$ / Ping)
                                                                                                                             Cathay Xin-Yi Trading Center             L               China Construction Bank       10,100
                                                                                                                             Exchange Square Two                      L         Bates Asia Pacific Taiwan Ltd.       9,200
                                                                                                                             Taipei 101 Tower                         L              Christian Dior Taiwan Ltd       8,900


p. 6                 | Colliers International
asia pacific office market overview | 3Q 2012

s o u t h ko r e a
 SEOUL OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP &
                                                                                                                      seoul
 VACANCY RATE                                                                                                         •	 During 3Q 2012, a total of two buildings covering 122,147 sq m came in market including
          800,000                                                                            16.0%                       Two IFC in YBD of 78,031 sq m. The launch of State Gwanghwamun Building of 40,972
                                                                                                                         sq m is delayed to next quarter.
          700,000                                                                            14.0%

          600,000                                                                            12.0%

          500,000                                                                            10.0%
                                                                                                                      •	 The average rent increased 8.85% QoQ in 3Q 2012 to KRW 24,103 per sq mper month.




                                                                                                     Vacancy Rate
sq m




          400,000                                                                            8.0%

          300,000                                                                            6.0%                        The YBD showed a rental increase of 2.15% due to completion of A+ office building Two
          200,000                                                                            4.0%                        IFC.
          100,000                                                                            2.0%

                0
                    2009        2010           2011         2012 F         2013 F
                                                                                             0.0%
                                                                                                                      •	 The overall vacancy rate rose 0.92 percentage points QoQ in 3Q 2012 to 7.88%. Despite
      -100,000                                                                               -2.0%
                             Supply             Take-up           Vacancy Rate
                                                                                                                         the large new space from Two IFC, the vacancy rate in YBD witnessed marginal increase
                                                                                                                         of 0.50 percent points QoQ owing to the successful take-up in One IFC.

                                                                                                                      •	 The net take-up in 3Q 2012 softened from the previous quarter to 44,956 sq m. Net
 SEOUL OFFICE CAPITAL AND RENTAL VALUES                                                                                  take-up increased in the GBD and YBD, but decreased in the CBD.

           40,000                                                                        8,000,000

           35,000                                                                        7,000,000
                                                                                                                       major transactions
           30,000                                                                        6,000,000

           25,000                                                                        5,000,000                     Building                       Lease (L) /        Tenant / Purchaser                Area
                                                                                                     Capital Values
Rentals




           20,000                                                                        4,000,000                                                     Sale (S)                                            (sq ft)
           15,000                                                                        3,000,000
                                                                                                                       Rinnai Korea Bldg                   S                              Private       186,600
           10,000                                                                        2,000,000

            5,000                                                                        1,000,000
                                                                                                                       CJ E&M Bundang Building             S             Gongpyung Savings Bank            73,700
                0                                                                        0                             Junghak Building                    S           Vestas Investment Manage-        902,200
                     1Q 2009
                     2Q 2009
                     3Q 2009
                     4Q 2009
                      1Q 2010
                     2Q 2010
                     3Q 2010
                     4Q 2010
                       1Q 2011
                      2Q 2011
                      3Q 2011
                      4Q 2011
                      1Q 2012




                    4Q 2013 F
                     2Q 2012
                     3Q 2012
                    4Q 2012 F
                    1Q 2013 F
                    2Q 2013 F
                    3Q 2013 F

                    1Q 2014 F
                    2Q 2014 F




                                                                                                                                                                                            ment
                      Rentals (Won / sq m / Month)        Capital Values (Won / sq m)
                                                                                                                       Hyundai Group Building              S             KORAMCO REITS & Trust          564,800
                                                                                                                       Asia Tower                          L                     GS Construction           53,400
                                                                                                                       Banpo Building                      L                       Sanofi Aventis          80,600
                                                                                                                       IFC                                 L                                Citrix         29,500




japan

 TOKYO OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP &                                                                                       tokyo
 VACANCY RATE                                                                                                         •	 New supply declines after significant completion during the first half of 2012.
          240,000                                                                            12.0%


          200,000                                                                            10.0%                    •	 Vacancy increase has slowed and may begin to decline modestly in the near term.
          160,000                                                                            8.0%
                                                                                                                      •	 Corporate restructuring continues keeping rents low and vacancy high.
                                                                                                     Vacancy Rate
Tsubo




          120,000                                                                            6.0%


           80,000                                                                            4.0%                     •	 Relocation to higher grade and more efficient space continues.
           40,000                                                                            2.0%
                                                                                                                      •	 Value for money, cost reduction and workplace modernization are key factors.
               0                                                                             0.0%
                    2009         2010           2011        2012 F          2013 F

                             Supply             Take-up           Vacancy Rate                                        •	 Some rent stabilization on an individual building basis, but overall market remains weak.


 TOKYO OFFICE CAPITAL AND RENTAL VALUES                                                                                major transactions

           50,000                                                                        10,000,000                    Building                       Lease (L) /        Tenant / Purchaser                Area
                                                                                                                                                       Sale (S)                                            (sq ft)
           40,000                                                                        8,000,000
                                                                                                                       Otemachi Financial City             L                Morgan Stanley MUFG         248,500
                                                                                                     Capital Values




           30,000                                                                        6,000,000
                                                                                                                       North Tower                                                     Securities
Rentals




           20,000                                                                        4,000,000                     Mita Bellju                         L                 Japan Marine United           63,900
           10,000                                                                        2,000,000
                                                                                                                       Lunesite Tower                      L                                 TDK           63,900
                                                                                                                       Roppongi First Building             L            Nuclear Regulatory Agency          71,000
                0                                                                        0
                                                                                                                       Shinjuku Eastside Square            L                       Citibank Japan       177,500
                     1Q 2009
                     2Q 2009
                     3Q 2009
                     4Q 2009
                      1Q 2010
                     2Q 2010
                     3Q 2010
                     4Q 2010
                       1Q 2011
                      2Q 2011
                      3Q 2011
                      4Q 2011
                      1Q 2012




                    4Q 2013 F
                     2Q 2012
                     3Q 2012
                    4Q 2012 F
                    1Q 2013 F
                    2Q 2013 F
                    3Q 2013 F

                    1Q 2014 F
                    2Q 2014 F




                      Rentals (Yen / Tsubo / Month)       Capital Values (Yen / Tsubo)




                                                                                                                                                                               Colliers International |          p. 7
asia pacific office market overview | 3Q 2012

     i nd o n es i a
    JAKARTA OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP &
                                                                                                                                    jakarta
    VACANCY RATE                                                                                                                    •	 The authority of Jakarta province issued a new environmental policy. As such, more
                  500,000                                                                               20.0%                          new buildings in compliance with environmental guidelines can be seen in the future.
                  400,000                                                                               16.0%
                                                                                                                                    •	 The absorption level is expected to remain high as the rental rates are anticipated to
                                                                                                                                       climb further due to a scarce supply of good quality office space.




                                                                                                                   Vacancy Rate
                  300,000                                                                               12.0%
  sq m




                  200,000                                                                               8.0%
                                                                                                                                    •	 Up to 3Q 2012, the mining, oil & gas related companies and other business sectors like
                  100,000                                                                               4.0%
                                                                                                                                       consumer goods, agribusiness, insurance and finance related industries continued to
                       0
                            2009          2010            2011          2012 F           2013 F
                                                                                                        0.0%
                                                                                                                                       expand their business operation.
                                       Supply              Take-up             Vacancy Rate
                                                                                                                                    •	 With the increasing office demand from business expansion, competition for office space
                                                                                                                                       can be expected for 2013.
    JAKARTA OFFICE CAPITAL AND RENTAL VALUES

                  270,000                                                                          45,000,000
                                                                                                                                     major transactions
                  240,000                                                                          40,000,000

                  210,000                                                                          35,000,000
                                                                                                                                     Building                        Lease (L) /        Tenant / Purchaser                          Area
                  180,000                                                                          30,000,000                                                         Sale (S)                                                      (sq ft)
                                                                                                                   Capital Values




                                                                                                   25,000,000
                  150,000
                                                                                                                                     The East                             L             Net Mediatama Indonesia                     54,800
  Rentals




                  120,000                                                                          20,000,000

                   90,000                                                                          15,000,000                        Eighty 8                             L                               Prudential                53,800
                   60,000                                                                          10,000,000                        Eighty 8                             L                                  Huawei                 32,300
                   30,000                                                                          5,000,000
                                                                                                                                     Menara 165                           L          PT. Rajawali Swiber Perkasa                    19,400
                       0                                                                           0
                                                                                                                                     Eighty 8                             L                                    Regus                14,000
                              1Q 2009
                              2Q 2009
                              3Q 2009
                              4Q 2009
                               1Q 2010
                              2Q 2010
                              3Q 2010
                              4Q 2010
                                1Q 2011
                               2Q 2011
                               3Q 2011
                               4Q 2011
                               1Q 2012
                              2Q 2012
                              3Q 2012
                            4Q 2012 F
                            1Q 2013 F
                            2Q 2013 F
                            3Q 2013 F
                            4Q 2013 F
                            1Q 2014 F
                             2Q 2014F




                                                                                                                                     Menara 165                           L                        PT. Feni Haltim                  13,000
                                                                                                                                     Menara Mulia                         L              Trijaya Pratama Futures                    12,900
                             Rentals (Rupiah / sq m / Month)         Capital Values (Rupiah / sq m)




     m a l ays i a

    KUALA LUMPUR OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP
                                                                                                                                    kual a lumpur
    & VACANCY RATE                                                                                                                  •	 New completion in 3Q 2012 include Menara Darulssalam and Menara Binjai and
                     3.50                                                                               35.0%
                                                                                                                                       contributed a total of 564,000 sq ft of net lettable area
                     3.00                                                                               30.0%

                     2.50                                                                               25.0%                       •	 Tun Razak Exchange (TRX) was launched in July to promote Malaysia as an international
                                                                                                                   Vacancy Rate




                                                                                                                                       financial hub and to attract foreign investment. It is estimated to generate a gross
  Million sq ft




                     2.00                                                                               20.0%

                     1.50                                                                               15.0%
                                                                                                                                       development value of RM26 billion.
                     1.00                                                                               10.0%

                     0.50                                                                               5.0%                        •	 TRX-status companies will be given 10 years income tax exemption, stamp duty exemption,
                     0.00
                            2009          2010            2011          2012 F           2013 F
                                                                                                        0.0%
                                                                                                                                       industrial building allowance and accelerated capital allowance for TRX Marquee-status
                                       Supply              Take-up             Vacancy Rate
                                                                                                                                       companies while tax exemption is also available for property developers

                                                                                                                                    •	 Although the office market was generally subdued, it is noted that tenants have been
                                                                                                                                       taking the opportunity to relocate and / or expand to better quality buildings within city
    KUALA LUMPUR OFFICE CAPITAL AND                                                                                                    centre.
    RENTAL VALUES
                    12.00                                                                           1,200
                                                                                                                                     major transactions
                    10.00                                                                           1,000


                     8.00                                                                           800                              Building                        Lease (L) /         Tenant / Purchaser                         Area
                                                                                                                Capital Values




                                                                                                                                                                      Sale (S)                                                      (sq ft)
  Rentals




                     6.00                                                                           600

                                                                                                                                     Menara MBF                           L                BostonWeb College of                     12,400
                     4.00                                                                           400


                     2.00                                                                           200
                                                                                                                                                                                       Technology & Management
                                                                                                                                     Hampshire Place                      L           Tioman Drilling Co Sdn Bhd                    70,800
                     0.00                                                                           0
                                                                                                                                     Menara Prestige                      L               KFH (Malaysia) Berhad                   133,100
                              1Q 2009
                              2Q 2009
                              3Q 2009
                              4Q 2009
                               1Q 2010
                              2Q 2010
                              3Q 2010
                              4Q 2010
                                1Q 2011
                               2Q 2011
                               3Q 2011
                               4Q 2011
                               1Q 2012
                              2Q 2012
                              3Q 2012
                            4Q 2012 F
                            1Q 2013 F
                            2Q 2013 F
                            3Q 2013 F
                            4Q 2013 F
                            1Q 2014 F
                             2Q 2014F




                                                                                                                                                                                            Data sourced from C H Williams Talhar & Wong Sdn Bhd
                             Rentals (Ringgit / sq ft / Month)       Capital Values (Ringgit / sq ft)




p. 8                  | Colliers International
asia pacific office market overview | 3Q 2012

pa k i stan
  KARACHI OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP &
                                                                                                                                  Karachi
  VACANCY RATE                                                                                                                    •	 The office market is not expected to revive over the medium term due to the political
                   1.60                                                                                 80.0%                        scenario in the country. As a result, many companies have adopted a cautious approach
                   1.40                                                                                 70.0%
                                                                                                                                     in the office market.
                   1.20                                                                                 60.0%

                   1.00                                                                                 50.0%
                                                                                                                                  •	 No major office leasing deals were concluded in 3Q 2012. The office sector has been




                                                                                                                   Vacancy Rate
Million sq ft




                   0.80                                                                                 40.0%

                   0.60                                                                                 30.0%                        stable and showed no signs of demand growth.
                   0.40                                                                                 20.0%

                   0.20                                                                                 10.0%                     •	 Asking rent in the recently launched Bahria Complex IV has been reduced by nearly 40%
                  0.00
                          2009           2010             2011          2012 F          2013 F
                                                                                                        0.0%                         in order to attract tenants.
                                     Supply                Take-up             Vacancy Rate




  KARACHI OFFICE CAPITAL AND RENTAL VALUES

                   160                                                                              16,000

                   140                                                                              14,000

                   120                                                                              12,000

                   100                                                                              10,000
                                                                                                                Capital Values
Rentals




                    80                                                                              8,000

                    60                                                                              6,000

                    40                                                                              4,000

                    20                                                                              2,000

                     0                                                                              0
                            1Q 2009
                            2Q 2009
                            3Q 2009
                            4Q 2009
                             1Q 2010
                            2Q 2010
                            3Q 2010
                            4Q 2010
                              1Q 2011
                             2Q 2011
                             3Q 2011
                             4Q 2011
                             1Q 2012




                          1Q 2013 F
                            2Q 2012
                            3Q 2012
                          4Q 2012 F

                          2Q 2013 F
                          3Q 2013 F
                          4Q 2013 F
                          1Q 2014 F
                           2Q 2014F




                          Rentals (Rupee/ sq ft / Year)                Capital Values (Rupee / sq ft)




 ph i l i pp i n es

  MANILA OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP &
                                                                                                                                  manil a
  VACANCY RATE                                                                                                                    •	 The Grade A office stock in Makati CBD reached 922,944 sq m with Zuellig Building
                120,000                                                                                 12.0%
                                                                                                                                     (57,000 sq m) completed in 3Q 2012. In 2013, Alphaland Makati Tower and V Tower will
                100,000                                                                                 10.0%                        be completed, thus adding about 61,400 sq m new space to the total stock.
                80,000                                                                                  8.0%
                                                                                                                   Vacancy Rate




                60,000                                                                                  6.0%
                                                                                                                                  •	 Amongst the various sub-markets, Makati CBD remains the preferred office location by
sq m




                40,000                                                                                  4.0%
                                                                                                                                     tenants. In 3Q 2012, the overall vacancy rate increased by 4.28% due to the inclusion
                20,000                                                                                  2.0%
                                                                                                                                     of Zuellig Building. However, it is forecast to taper off to 3.2% by late 2012.
                     0                                                                                  0.0%
                          2009          2010              2011          2012 F         2013 F                                     •	 Average prime rental rate was at P755 per sq m per month in 3Q 2012. It is projected
                                                                                                        -2.0%
                                                                                                                                     to increase above P800 per sq m by 2Q 2013 due to the limited supply of office space.
                -20,000
                                     Supply                Take-up             Vacancy Rate




  MANILA OFFICE CAPITAL AND RENTAL VALUES                                                                                          major transactions

                                                                                                                                   Building                      Lease (L) /       Tenant / Purchaser             Area
                  1,200                                                                             120,000
                                                                                                                                                                  Sale (S)                                        (sq ft)
                  1,000                                                                             100,000
                                                                                                                                   Aseana One                         L         Seven Tall Trees Events, Inc.     62,400
                   800                                                                              80,000
                                                                                                                                   Q-Plaza                            L                       Results Manila      25,800
                                                                                                                Capital Values
Rentals




                   600                                                                              60,000
                                                                                                                                   Science Hub 2                      L              Factset Philippines Inc.     22,900
                   400                                                                              40,000
                                                                                                                                   Net Cube Bonifacio                 L                 Shore Solutions Inc.      12,100
                   200                                                                              20,000


                     0                                                                              0
                            1Q 2009
                            2Q 2009
                            3Q 2009
                            4Q 2009
                             1Q 2010
                            2Q 2010
                            3Q 2010
                            4Q 2010
                              1Q 2011
                             2Q 2011
                             3Q 2011
                             4Q 2011
                             1Q 2012




                          1Q 2013 F


                          4Q 2013 F
                            2Q 2012
                            3Q 2012
                          4Q 2012 F

                          2Q 2013 F
                          3Q 2013 F

                          1Q 2014 F
                           2Q 2014F




                            Rentals (Peso / sq m / Month)            Capital Values (Peso / sq m)




                                                                                                                                                                                         Colliers International |      p. 9
asia pacific office market overview | 3Q 2012

        s i ngapo r e
           SINGAPORE OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP &
                                                                                                                                                      singapore
           VACANCY RATE                                                                                                                               •	 The rent of Grade A office buildings in the CBD continued to decline under the slowing
                          2.50                                                                                   25.0%                                   global economy in 3Q 2012. Nonetheless, the average rent decline slowed for the second
                         2.00                                                                                    20.0%                                   consecutive quarter due to an increasing number of foreign companies setting up entities
                                                                                                                                                         in Singapore and existing companies relocating to higher quality office space.




                                                                                                                                       Vacancy Rate
                          1.50                                                                                   15.0%
       Million sq ft




                          1.00                                                                                   10.0%                                •	 The average occupancy rate of Grade A office in the CBD increased from 92.0% in 2Q
                         0.50                                                                                    5.0%
                                                                                                                                                         2012 to 93.1% in 3Q 2012, which is the highest level in the last five consecutive quarters.

                         0.00
                                     2009           2010           2011          2012 F          2013 F
                                                                                                                 0.0%                                 •	 Supported by a stronger occupancy rate, the drop in rents slowed marginally to 1.0%
                                                 Supply             Take-up              Vacancy Rate
                                                                                                                                                         QoQ in 3Q 2012, from 1.1% QoQ in 2Q 2012. By the end of September 2012, monthly
                                                                                                                                                         gross rents for CBD Grade A office space averaged at S$8.37 per sq ft.

                                                                                                                                                      •	 With the long-running Eurozone debt crisis and the risk of an office supply overhang,
           SINGAPORE OFFICE CAPITAL AND                                                                                                                  office rents in the CBD are expected to continue on a downtrend for the rest of 2012.
           RENTAL VALUES
                        30.00                                                                                3,000


                        25.00                                                                                2,500
                                                                                                                                                       major transactions
                        20.00                                                                                2,000
                                                                                                                                  Capital Values




                                                                                                                                                       Building                      Lease (L) /          Tenant / Purchaser               Area
       Rentals




                         15.00                                                                               1,500
                                                                                                                                                                                      Sale (S)                                             (sq ft)
                         10.00                                                                               1,000
                                                                                                                                                      Marina Bay Financial Centre         L                                  Goldin        16,000
                          5.00                                                                               500
                                                                                                                                                      Tower 3
                         0.00                                                                                0
                                                                                                                                                      Marina Bay Financial Centre         L                                    Lego        20,000
                                     1Q 2009
                                     2Q 2009
                                     3Q 2009
                                     4Q 2009
                                      1Q 2010
                                     2Q 2010
                                     3Q 2010
                                     4Q 2010
                                       1Q 2011
                                      2Q 2011
                                      3Q 2011
                                      4Q 2011
                                      1Q 2012
                                     2Q 2012
                                     3Q 2012
                                   4Q 2012 F
                                   1Q 2013 F
                                   2Q 2013 F
                                   3Q 2013 F
                                   4Q 2013 F
                                   1Q 2014 F
                                    2Q 2014F




                                                                                                                                                      Tower 3
                                                                                                                                                      Ocean Financial Centre              L                             Freshfields         8,300
                                     Rentals (Singapore$/ sq ft / Month)        Capital Values (Singapore$ / sq ft)



                                                                                                                                                      One Raffles Place Tower 2           L                            Virgin Active       33,000




      t ha i l and
                                                                                                                                                      bangkok
     BANGKOK OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP &
     VACANCY RATE                                                                                                                                     •	 In 3Q 2012, many international companies have been looking for Grade A office space
                   120,000                                                                                    24.0%                                      in the CBD area.
                   100,000                                                                                    20.0%


                                                                                                              16.0%
                                                                                                                                                      •	 During the last quarter some companies have expanded their office space or have
                       80,000
                                                                                                                                                         relocated to CBD area.
                                                                                                                                 Vacancy Rate
    sq m




                       60,000                                                                                 12.0%


                       40,000                                                                                 8.0%
                                                                                                                                                      •	 The rental rate of Grade A office buildings in the CBD area has increased over the year
                       20,000                                                                                 4.0%
                                                                                                                                                         due to the limited supply.
                               0                                                                              0.0%
                                    2009           2010           2011          2012 F         2013 F

                                                Supply             Take-up            Vacancy Rate
                                                                                                                                                       major transactions

                                                                                                                                                       Building                      Lease (L) /           Tenant / Purchaser              Area
  BANGKOK OFFICE CAPITAL AND RENTAL VALUES                                                                                                                                            Sale (S)                                             (sq ft)
                                                                                                                                                       Ploenchit Center                   L               Bumrungrad Hospital Pcl.         28,000
                       1,400                                                                            140,000

                       1,200                                                                            120,000
                                                                                                                                                       Sathorn Square                     L         Ford Sales & Service (Thailand)        43,100
                       1,000                                                                            100,000                                                                                                             Co., Ltd.
                                                                                                                                                       Asia Centre                        L                  Ipsos Thailand Co., Ltd.      32,100
                                                                                                                      Capital Values




                        800                                                                             80,000
 Rentals




                        600                                                                             60,000

                        400                                                                             40,000

                        200                                                                             20,000

                          0                                                                             0
                                 1Q 2009
                                 2Q 2009
                                 3Q 2009
                                 4Q 2009
                                  1Q 2010




                               3Q 2013 F
                                 2Q 2010
                                 3Q 2010
                                 4Q 2010
                                   1Q 2011
                                  2Q 2011
                                  3Q 2011
                                  4Q 2011
                                  1Q 2012
                                 2Q 2012
                                 3Q 2012
                               4Q 2012 F
                               1Q 2013 F
                               2Q 2013 F

                               4Q 2013 F
                               1Q 2014 F
                                2Q 2014F




                                   Rentals (Baht/ sq m / Month)               Capital Values (Baht / sq m)




p. 10                      | Colliers International
Asia pacific office market overview 3Q 2012
Asia pacific office market overview 3Q 2012
Asia pacific office market overview 3Q 2012
Asia pacific office market overview 3Q 2012
Asia pacific office market overview 3Q 2012
Asia pacific office market overview 3Q 2012
Asia pacific office market overview 3Q 2012
Asia pacific office market overview 3Q 2012
Asia pacific office market overview 3Q 2012
Asia pacific office market overview 3Q 2012
Asia pacific office market overview 3Q 2012
Asia pacific office market overview 3Q 2012
Asia pacific office market overview 3Q 2012
Asia pacific office market overview 3Q 2012
Asia pacific office market overview 3Q 2012
Asia pacific office market overview 3Q 2012
Asia pacific office market overview 3Q 2012
Asia pacific office market overview 3Q 2012

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Asia pacific office market overview 3Q 2012

  • 1. Asia Pacific Office Market Overview 3Q 2012 Accelerating success.
  • 2. table of contents asia pacific office market overview | 3q 2012 Regional Overview 3 Greater China 4-6 Beijing, China.....................................................................................................................................4 Chengdu, China..................................................................................................................................4 Guangzhou, China..............................................................................................................................5 Shanghai, China.................................................................................................................................5 Hong Kong SAR, China......................................................................................................................6 Taipei, Taiwan....................................................................................................................................6 North Asia 7 Seoul, South Korea............................................................................................................................ 7 Tokyo, Japan...................................................................................................................................... 7 Southeast Asia 8-11 Jakarta, Indonesia..............................................................................................................................8 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.....................................................................................................................8 Karachi, Pakistan...............................................................................................................................9 Manila, Philippines.............................................................................................................................9 Singapore......................................................................................................................................... 10 Bangkok, Thailand............................................................................................................................ 10 Hanoi, Vietnam.................................................................................................................................. 11 Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam................................................................................................................ 11 India 12-13 Bengaluru (Bangalore).................................................................................................................... 12 Chennai............................................................................................................................................ 12 Mumbai............................................................................................................................................. 13 New Delhi......................................................................................................................................... 13 Australasia 14-17 Adelaide, Australia........................................................................................................................... 14 Brisbane, Australia.......................................................................................................................... 14 Canberra, Australia.......................................................................................................................... 15 Melbourne, Australia........................................................................................................................ 15 Perth, Australia................................................................................................................................ 16 Sydney, Australia............................................................................................................................. 16 Auckland, New Zealand....................................................................................................................17 Wellington, New Zealand..................................................................................................................17 Prime Office Supply, Rents and Net Take-up 18-19 Trends & Forecasts 20-21 Definition & Terminology 22-23 Contacts 24-25
  • 3. regional overview Economic Overview The office sector in the Asia Pacific region continued to be challenging in 3Q 2012 with a slowing economic growth and the unresolved European debt crisis. Although overall market sentiment was weakening, it remained positive in 3Q 2012. Following two rounds of quantitative easing (QE1 and QE2), the US Federal Reserve announced a third round (QE3) on 13 September 2012. With the US Federal Reserve instigating the third round of bond purchases, commodity prices have been pushed up and this has spilled over to real estate costs and pricing. Based on the findings of Colliers Asia Office Leasing Survey for 3Q 2012, market participants are holding positive views on market outlook but confidence is not as strong as the previous quarter. Leasing Market The overall level of new office leasing inquiries decreased in 3Q 2012. However vacancy rates and rentals remained strong throughout the quarter due to the limited supply of office space. Firms in the IT/communication and Finance industries continued to be the major source of leasing demand in 3Q 2012. Most cities in Australia and China continued to exhibit positive rental growth. The average rent increased 2.3% QoQ during 3Q 2012. Individual markets like Guangzhou, Hanoi, Ho Chi Minh City, New Delhi and Singapore on the other hand, are expected to face growing downward pressure for the coming months despite the solid demand for Grade A office space. The Colliers Asia Office leasing Survey for 3Q 2012 found that most tenants are seeking expansion however the pace will be less aggressive. Sales Market On the sales front, average transacted office prices edged up by 2.1% QoQ. The office market became more active compared to the first half of 2012. This is mainly due to high quality projects receiving encouraging sales performance in the last quarter, especially in Auckland, Sydney, Perth and Brisbane which all saw an increase in sales activities. Institutions and foreign investors remained active to source quality office developments in prime locations. Market Outlook Market sentiment remained positive in 3Q 2012 and market players are holding an optimistic view on the market outlook. Therefore looking ahead, the prospective trend of office rents in most cities will remain positive in the next 12 months, despite a substantial supply projected to enter the market in individual cities. With the expectation of the low interest rate trend to continue and the Chinese government to continue stimulate growth, investment in office real estate in the region is expected to remain strong. Colliers International | p. 3
  • 4. asia pacific office market overview | 3Q 2012 CHINA BEIJING OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP & Beijing VACANCY RATE • Supply remained tight in Beijing’s Grade A office property market during 3Q12, with the 1.00 25.0% total stock resting at 5.17 million sq m, due to a lack of new completions for the third 0.80 20.0% consecutive quarter. • Overall, demand remained strong throughout the quarter. However, due to the limited Vacancy Rate 15.0% Million sq m 0.60 0.40 10.0% letting space available on the market, leasing transaction volume continued to decrease. 0.20 5.0% Net absorption of the Grade A office property market in 3Q12 totalled 1,888 sq m, down 85.6% QoQ and the overall average vacancy rate edged down by 0.04 percentage points 0.00 0.0% 2009 2010 2011 2012 F 2013 F to 3.51%. Supply Take-up Vacancy Rate • Rentals continued with its upward trend during this quarter, with the average net effective rent growing by 7.47% QoQ to RMB325.1 per sq m per month. The expansion of rental growth, was mostly a result of the epidemic of reduced or even withdrawal of rent free BEIJING OFFICE CAPITAL AND RENTAL VALUES periods provided by most landlords. 800.00 80,000 • Office investment market activity increased in 3Q 2012. A domestic B2B enterprise 700.00 70,000 600.00 60,000 acquired a 57,000 sq m Grade A office building in the Wangjing area for owner-occupancy. 500.00 50,000 Moreover, a private equity investor acquired four blocks of Grade A office buildings or Capital Values Rentals 400.00 40,000 a total of 26,000 sq m for investment purpose. 300.00 30,000 200.00 20,000 major transactions 100.00 10,000 0.00 0 Building Lease (L) / Tenant / Purchaser Area 1Q 2009 2Q 2009 3Q 2009 4Q 2009 1Q 2010 2Q 2010 3Q 2010 4Q 2010 1Q 2011 3Q 2013 F 2Q 2011 3Q 2011 4Q 2011 1Q 2012 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 4Q 2012 F 1Q 2013 F 2Q 2013 F 4Q 2013 F 1Q 2014 F 2Q 2014 F Sale (S) (sq ft) Parkview Green L Roche 71,000 Rentals (RMB / sq m / Month) Capital Values (RMB / sq m) Gateway Plaza L Nanyang Commercial Bank NCB 48,400 Oriental Plaza L Cheung Kong Graduate School 32,300 of Business SK Tower L Black & Veatch 16,100 Tengda building L China State Construction 16,100 CHENGDU OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP & chengdu VACANCY RATE • Raffles City, the Grade A office building comprising 74,024 sq m, was introduced in 0.50 50.0% September, thus boosting the total stock of Grade A office space in Chengdu to 718,922 sq m. 0.40 40.0% • The average rent decreased 0.38% QoQ to RMB137.28 per sq m per month. The overall Vacancy Rate 0.30 30.0% vacancy rate edged 3.75% QoQ, to 24.42% in 3Q 2012. Million sq m 0.20 20.0% • The average vacancy rate of the Grade A office buildings remained steady, signifying 0.10 10.0% the solid demand for Grade A office space. 0.00 0.0% 2009 2010 2011 2012 F 2013 F • In view of the current supply cycle and the continued slowdown of economic environment, Supply Take-up Vacancy Rate the local office market is expected to face growing downward pressure over the coming months. CHENGDU OFFICE CAPITAL AND RENTAL VALUES major transactions 225.00 22,500 Building Lease (L) / Tenant / Purchaser Area 200.00 20,000 Sale (S) (sq ft) 175.00 17,500 Western Tower L Ganzi Shangshan Water 12,900 150.00 15,000 Capital Values 125.00 12,500 Aerospace Technology Plaza L Starbucks Coffee 10,800 Rentals 100.00 10,000 75.00 7,500 Square One L Kasikorn Bank of Thailand 7,500 50.00 5,000 Square One L Jintai International Investment 9,700 25.00 2,500 0.00 0 China Overseas International L Chengdu Runfu Properties 12,200 1Q 2009 2Q 2009 3Q 2009 4Q 2009 1Q 2010 2Q 2010 3Q 2010 4Q 2010 1Q 2011 2Q 2011 3Q 2011 4Q 2011 1Q 2012 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 4Q 2012 F 1Q 2013 F 2Q 2013 F 3Q 2013 F 4Q 2013 F 1Q 2014 F 2Q 2014 F Centre China Overseas International L Yusen Agriculture 9,900 Rentals (RMB / sq m / Month) Capital Values (RMB / sq m) Centre p. 4 | Colliers International
  • 5. asia pacific office market overview | 3Q 2012 CHINA GUANGZHOU OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP & guangzhou VACANCY RATE • Evergrande Center and Poly V Plaza in Pearl River New City and Lavendome Hui in 2.00 40.0% Pazhou, were launched in 3Q 2012, providing a total of 266,627 sq m new stock. The total stock of Grade A office grew to 2.80 million sq m. The overall vacancy rate increased 1.50 30.0% 1.6 percentage points to 22.2% in 3Q 2012. Vacancy Rate Million sq m 1.00 20.0% • The average rental recorded RMB157.6 per sq m per month, down 2.3% Q-o-Q, due to 0.50 10.0% the weak demand and large supply. Enterprises from IT/communication, pharmaceuticals and professional services were the major source of leasing demand in 3Q 2012. 0.00 0.0% 2009 2010 2011 2012 F 2013 F Supply Take-up Vacancy Rate • High quality projects such as R&F Yingkai Plaza and Bravo Plaza received encouraging sales performance. The achievable price of R&F Yingkai Plaza reached about RMB50,000 per sq m in 3Q 2012. The average sales price of Guangzhou Grade A office further edged up by 1.61% QoQ to RMB32,586 per sq m. GUANGZHOU OFFICE CAPITAL AND RENTAL VALUES 36,000 180.00 major transactions 160.00 32,000 28,000 140.00 Building Lease (L) / Tenant / Purchaser Area 120.00 24,000 Sale (S) (sq ft) Capital Values 100.00 20,000 Rentals 80.00 16,000 International Financial L Alcatel Lucent 16,000 60.00 12,000 40.00 8,000 Center (IFC) 20.00 4,000 China International Center L Guangzhou City Telecom 23,500 0 0.00 Centra Plaza L Qianhai Life Insurance 13,600 1Q 2009 2Q 2009 3Q 2009 4Q 2009 1Q 2010 2Q 2010 3Q 2010 4Q 2010 1Q 2011 2Q 2011 3Q 2011 4Q 2011 1Q 2012 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 4Q 2012 F 1Q 2013 F 2Q 2013 F 3Q 2013 F 4Q 2013 F 1Q 2014 F 2Q 2014 F Leatop Plaza L Lukadilong Clothes 5,400 Rentals (RMB / sq m / Month) Capital Values (RMB / sq m) R&F Yingkai Plaza S ANGLEE 51,700 SHANGHAI OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP & shanghai VACANCY RATE • Shanghai remained the world's sixth-most competitive financial center in 2012, according 1.20 20.0% to Xinhua-Dow Jones International Financial Centers Development Index released in August 2012. 0.90 15.0% • Five new projects were launched in 3Q 2012, adding a total of approximately 330,256 Vacancy Rate Million sq m 0.60 10.0% sq m new supply to Shanghai’s Grade A office market. 0.30 5.0% • Average Grade A office rental rates increased 1.2% QoQ to RMB 8.7 per square meter 0.00 2009 2010 2011 2012 F 2013 F 0.0% per day. Supply Take-up Vacancy Rate • In 3Q 2012, the overall vacancy rate increased from the previous quarter’s 6.7 to 9.5%. Among the six major central business districts, Jing’an recorded the lowest vacancy rates, at 5.3%. Zhuyuan and Changning posted the highest vacancy rates, at 14.9% and SHANGHAI OFFICE CAPITAL AND RENTAL VALUES 14.2% respectively. 18.00 72,000 15.00 60,000 major transactions 12.00 48,000 Building Lease (L) / Tenant / Purchaser Area Capital Values Rentals 9.00 36,000 Sale (S) (sq ft) 6.00 24,000 International Commerce Center L Adidas 187,300 3.00 12,000 Kerry Parkside L Danone Group 76,400 0.00 0 L'Avenue L 3M 72,000 1Q 2009 2Q 2009 3Q 2009 4Q 2009 1Q 2010 3Q 2013 F 2Q 2010 3Q 2010 4Q 2010 1Q 2011 2Q 2011 3Q 2011 4Q 2011 1Q 2012 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 4Q 2012 F 1Q 2013 F 2Q 2013 F 4Q 2013 F 1Q 2014 F 2Q 2014 F Jin Mao Tower L MWE China Law Office 22,900 Rentals (RMB / sq m / Day) Capital Values (RMB / sq m) CITIC Square L Nike China 16,800 Colliers International | p. 5
  • 6. asia pacific office market overview | 3Q 2012 h o ng ko ng HONG KONG OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP & hong kong VACANCY RATE • In view of uncertain economic outlook, individual large tenants downsized their premises 4.50 9.0% but still prefer to stay in the same district. The overall net take up fell 80% QoQ to 111,000 4.00 8.0% 3.50 7.0% sq ft in 3Q 2012, which reflects the slowdown in leasing activity especially in Central/ 3.00 6.0% Admiralty. Vacancy Rate Million sq ft 2.50 5.0% 2.00 4.0% • The overall Grade A office rent rebounded in 3Q 2012 after falling for three consecutive 1.50 3.0% 1.00 2.0% months, rising a solid 1.5% QoQ. Meanwhile, the average Grade A office rent in Cetral/ 0.50 1.0% Admiralty showed its first quarterly gain since 3Q 2011, rising 0.8% QoQ in 3Q 2012 to 0.00 0.0% 2009 2010 2011 2012 F 2013 F HK$ 98.8 per sq ft. Supply Take-up Vacancy Rate • The outlook for the Hong Kong Grade A office market has been brighten up due to the positive market sentiment and increased leasing enquires. On the back of scare supply and positive demand, overall Grade A office rents are projected to climb 4% over the HONG KONG OFFICE CAPITAL next 12 months. AND RENTAL VALUES 175.00 35,000 major transactions 150.00 30,000 Building Lease (L) / Tenant / Purchaser Area 125.00 25,000 Sale (S) (sq ft) Capital Values 100.00 20,000 Rentals China Resources Building L Regus 10,300 75.00 15,000 50.00 10,000 Grand Century Place Tower 1 L Covidien 12,800 25.00 5,000 Exchange Tower L Parsons Brinckerhoff (Asia) Ltd 12,200 0.00 0 4 floors, Kowloon Commercial S China Shipping Logistics 105,200 1Q 2009 2Q 2009 3Q 2009 4Q 2009 1Q 2010 2Q 2010 3Q 2010 4Q 2010 1Q 2011 2Q 2011 3Q 2011 4Q 2011 1Q 2012 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 4Q 2012 F 1Q 2013 F 2Q 2013 F 3Q 2013 F 4Q 2013 F 1Q 2014 F 2Q 2014 F Centre Tower B 5 floors, Kowloon Commercial S The Open University of Hong 124,800 Rentals (HK$ / sq ft / Month) Capital Values (HK$ / sq ft) Centre Tower B Kong Park Building S Billion Mart Dec Ltd 145,000 ta i wan TAIPEI OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP & Taipei VACANCY RATE • With a net take-up of Grade A office at 3,111 ping in 3Q 2012, vacancy rate was down 40,000 40.0% 58 basis point to 9.42% - the lowest point since 1Q 2009. 35,000 35.0% 30,000 30.0% • The total net take up of Hsin-Yi district amounted to 2,160 ping in 3Q 2012. The key 25,000 25.0% contributor was Shin Kong Bank who leased 2,400 ping in Shin Kong Xin Yi Financial Vacancy Rate Ping 20,000 20.0% 15,000 15.0% Building. 10,000 10.0% 5,000 5.0% • Thanks to the net take up of 680 ping at the Pacific Century Tower in West district, the 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 F 2013 F 0.0% average vacancy in the district decreased 1.45 percentage points to 4.92%. -5,000 -5.0% Supply Take-up Vacancy Rate • The average effective Grade A office rent edged up mildly to NT$ 2,441 per ping per month in 3Q 2012. The effective rent of Hsin-Yi district was NT$ 2,824 per ping per month, an increase of 0.32% QoQ. However, MS-TN district fell 0.30% to NT$ 2,247 TAIPEI OFFICE CAPITAL AND RENTAL VALUES per ping per month. 3,500 1,400,000 major transactions 3,000 1,200,000 2,500 1,000,000 Building Lease (L) / Tenant / Purchaser Area Sale (S) (sq ft) Capital Values 2,000 800,000 Rentals 1,500 600,000 Prince Financial Building S Cathay Life Insurance Co. 262,000 1,000 400,000 CEC Tun Nan Building L 3M Taiwan Ltd. 113,500 500 200,000 Taipei 101 Tower L Bayer Taiwan Ltd. 69,900 0 0 Shin Kong Xin Yi Financial L Kraton Polymers International 10,700 1Q 2009 2Q 2009 3Q 2009 4Q 2009 1Q 2010 2Q 2010 3Q 2010 4Q 2010 1Q 2011 2Q 2011 3Q 2011 4Q 2011 1Q 2012 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 4Q 2012 F 1Q 2013 F 2Q 2013 F 3Q 2013 F 4Q 2013 F 1Q 2014 F 2Q 2014 F Building Limited Rentals (NT$ / Ping / Month) Capital Values (NT$ / Ping) Cathay Xin-Yi Trading Center L China Construction Bank 10,100 Exchange Square Two L Bates Asia Pacific Taiwan Ltd. 9,200 Taipei 101 Tower L Christian Dior Taiwan Ltd 8,900 p. 6 | Colliers International
  • 7. asia pacific office market overview | 3Q 2012 s o u t h ko r e a SEOUL OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP & seoul VACANCY RATE • During 3Q 2012, a total of two buildings covering 122,147 sq m came in market including 800,000 16.0% Two IFC in YBD of 78,031 sq m. The launch of State Gwanghwamun Building of 40,972 sq m is delayed to next quarter. 700,000 14.0% 600,000 12.0% 500,000 10.0% • The average rent increased 8.85% QoQ in 3Q 2012 to KRW 24,103 per sq mper month. Vacancy Rate sq m 400,000 8.0% 300,000 6.0% The YBD showed a rental increase of 2.15% due to completion of A+ office building Two 200,000 4.0% IFC. 100,000 2.0% 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 F 2013 F 0.0% • The overall vacancy rate rose 0.92 percentage points QoQ in 3Q 2012 to 7.88%. Despite -100,000 -2.0% Supply Take-up Vacancy Rate the large new space from Two IFC, the vacancy rate in YBD witnessed marginal increase of 0.50 percent points QoQ owing to the successful take-up in One IFC. • The net take-up in 3Q 2012 softened from the previous quarter to 44,956 sq m. Net SEOUL OFFICE CAPITAL AND RENTAL VALUES take-up increased in the GBD and YBD, but decreased in the CBD. 40,000 8,000,000 35,000 7,000,000 major transactions 30,000 6,000,000 25,000 5,000,000 Building Lease (L) / Tenant / Purchaser Area Capital Values Rentals 20,000 4,000,000 Sale (S) (sq ft) 15,000 3,000,000 Rinnai Korea Bldg S Private 186,600 10,000 2,000,000 5,000 1,000,000 CJ E&M Bundang Building S Gongpyung Savings Bank 73,700 0 0 Junghak Building S Vestas Investment Manage- 902,200 1Q 2009 2Q 2009 3Q 2009 4Q 2009 1Q 2010 2Q 2010 3Q 2010 4Q 2010 1Q 2011 2Q 2011 3Q 2011 4Q 2011 1Q 2012 4Q 2013 F 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 4Q 2012 F 1Q 2013 F 2Q 2013 F 3Q 2013 F 1Q 2014 F 2Q 2014 F ment Rentals (Won / sq m / Month) Capital Values (Won / sq m) Hyundai Group Building S KORAMCO REITS & Trust 564,800 Asia Tower L GS Construction 53,400 Banpo Building L Sanofi Aventis 80,600 IFC L Citrix 29,500 japan TOKYO OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP & tokyo VACANCY RATE • New supply declines after significant completion during the first half of 2012. 240,000 12.0% 200,000 10.0% • Vacancy increase has slowed and may begin to decline modestly in the near term. 160,000 8.0% • Corporate restructuring continues keeping rents low and vacancy high. Vacancy Rate Tsubo 120,000 6.0% 80,000 4.0% • Relocation to higher grade and more efficient space continues. 40,000 2.0% • Value for money, cost reduction and workplace modernization are key factors. 0 0.0% 2009 2010 2011 2012 F 2013 F Supply Take-up Vacancy Rate • Some rent stabilization on an individual building basis, but overall market remains weak. TOKYO OFFICE CAPITAL AND RENTAL VALUES major transactions 50,000 10,000,000 Building Lease (L) / Tenant / Purchaser Area Sale (S) (sq ft) 40,000 8,000,000 Otemachi Financial City L Morgan Stanley MUFG 248,500 Capital Values 30,000 6,000,000 North Tower Securities Rentals 20,000 4,000,000 Mita Bellju L Japan Marine United 63,900 10,000 2,000,000 Lunesite Tower L TDK 63,900 Roppongi First Building L Nuclear Regulatory Agency 71,000 0 0 Shinjuku Eastside Square L Citibank Japan 177,500 1Q 2009 2Q 2009 3Q 2009 4Q 2009 1Q 2010 2Q 2010 3Q 2010 4Q 2010 1Q 2011 2Q 2011 3Q 2011 4Q 2011 1Q 2012 4Q 2013 F 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 4Q 2012 F 1Q 2013 F 2Q 2013 F 3Q 2013 F 1Q 2014 F 2Q 2014 F Rentals (Yen / Tsubo / Month) Capital Values (Yen / Tsubo) Colliers International | p. 7
  • 8. asia pacific office market overview | 3Q 2012 i nd o n es i a JAKARTA OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP & jakarta VACANCY RATE • The authority of Jakarta province issued a new environmental policy. As such, more 500,000 20.0% new buildings in compliance with environmental guidelines can be seen in the future. 400,000 16.0% • The absorption level is expected to remain high as the rental rates are anticipated to climb further due to a scarce supply of good quality office space. Vacancy Rate 300,000 12.0% sq m 200,000 8.0% • Up to 3Q 2012, the mining, oil & gas related companies and other business sectors like 100,000 4.0% consumer goods, agribusiness, insurance and finance related industries continued to 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 F 2013 F 0.0% expand their business operation. Supply Take-up Vacancy Rate • With the increasing office demand from business expansion, competition for office space can be expected for 2013. JAKARTA OFFICE CAPITAL AND RENTAL VALUES 270,000 45,000,000 major transactions 240,000 40,000,000 210,000 35,000,000 Building Lease (L) / Tenant / Purchaser Area 180,000 30,000,000 Sale (S) (sq ft) Capital Values 25,000,000 150,000 The East L Net Mediatama Indonesia 54,800 Rentals 120,000 20,000,000 90,000 15,000,000 Eighty 8 L Prudential 53,800 60,000 10,000,000 Eighty 8 L Huawei 32,300 30,000 5,000,000 Menara 165 L PT. Rajawali Swiber Perkasa 19,400 0 0 Eighty 8 L Regus 14,000 1Q 2009 2Q 2009 3Q 2009 4Q 2009 1Q 2010 2Q 2010 3Q 2010 4Q 2010 1Q 2011 2Q 2011 3Q 2011 4Q 2011 1Q 2012 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 4Q 2012 F 1Q 2013 F 2Q 2013 F 3Q 2013 F 4Q 2013 F 1Q 2014 F 2Q 2014F Menara 165 L PT. Feni Haltim 13,000 Menara Mulia L Trijaya Pratama Futures 12,900 Rentals (Rupiah / sq m / Month) Capital Values (Rupiah / sq m) m a l ays i a KUALA LUMPUR OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP kual a lumpur & VACANCY RATE • New completion in 3Q 2012 include Menara Darulssalam and Menara Binjai and 3.50 35.0% contributed a total of 564,000 sq ft of net lettable area 3.00 30.0% 2.50 25.0% • Tun Razak Exchange (TRX) was launched in July to promote Malaysia as an international Vacancy Rate financial hub and to attract foreign investment. It is estimated to generate a gross Million sq ft 2.00 20.0% 1.50 15.0% development value of RM26 billion. 1.00 10.0% 0.50 5.0% • TRX-status companies will be given 10 years income tax exemption, stamp duty exemption, 0.00 2009 2010 2011 2012 F 2013 F 0.0% industrial building allowance and accelerated capital allowance for TRX Marquee-status Supply Take-up Vacancy Rate companies while tax exemption is also available for property developers • Although the office market was generally subdued, it is noted that tenants have been taking the opportunity to relocate and / or expand to better quality buildings within city KUALA LUMPUR OFFICE CAPITAL AND centre. RENTAL VALUES 12.00 1,200 major transactions 10.00 1,000 8.00 800 Building Lease (L) / Tenant / Purchaser Area Capital Values Sale (S) (sq ft) Rentals 6.00 600 Menara MBF L BostonWeb College of 12,400 4.00 400 2.00 200 Technology & Management Hampshire Place L Tioman Drilling Co Sdn Bhd 70,800 0.00 0 Menara Prestige L KFH (Malaysia) Berhad 133,100 1Q 2009 2Q 2009 3Q 2009 4Q 2009 1Q 2010 2Q 2010 3Q 2010 4Q 2010 1Q 2011 2Q 2011 3Q 2011 4Q 2011 1Q 2012 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 4Q 2012 F 1Q 2013 F 2Q 2013 F 3Q 2013 F 4Q 2013 F 1Q 2014 F 2Q 2014F Data sourced from C H Williams Talhar & Wong Sdn Bhd Rentals (Ringgit / sq ft / Month) Capital Values (Ringgit / sq ft) p. 8 | Colliers International
  • 9. asia pacific office market overview | 3Q 2012 pa k i stan KARACHI OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP & Karachi VACANCY RATE • The office market is not expected to revive over the medium term due to the political 1.60 80.0% scenario in the country. As a result, many companies have adopted a cautious approach 1.40 70.0% in the office market. 1.20 60.0% 1.00 50.0% • No major office leasing deals were concluded in 3Q 2012. The office sector has been Vacancy Rate Million sq ft 0.80 40.0% 0.60 30.0% stable and showed no signs of demand growth. 0.40 20.0% 0.20 10.0% • Asking rent in the recently launched Bahria Complex IV has been reduced by nearly 40% 0.00 2009 2010 2011 2012 F 2013 F 0.0% in order to attract tenants. Supply Take-up Vacancy Rate KARACHI OFFICE CAPITAL AND RENTAL VALUES 160 16,000 140 14,000 120 12,000 100 10,000 Capital Values Rentals 80 8,000 60 6,000 40 4,000 20 2,000 0 0 1Q 2009 2Q 2009 3Q 2009 4Q 2009 1Q 2010 2Q 2010 3Q 2010 4Q 2010 1Q 2011 2Q 2011 3Q 2011 4Q 2011 1Q 2012 1Q 2013 F 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 4Q 2012 F 2Q 2013 F 3Q 2013 F 4Q 2013 F 1Q 2014 F 2Q 2014F Rentals (Rupee/ sq ft / Year) Capital Values (Rupee / sq ft) ph i l i pp i n es MANILA OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP & manil a VACANCY RATE • The Grade A office stock in Makati CBD reached 922,944 sq m with Zuellig Building 120,000 12.0% (57,000 sq m) completed in 3Q 2012. In 2013, Alphaland Makati Tower and V Tower will 100,000 10.0% be completed, thus adding about 61,400 sq m new space to the total stock. 80,000 8.0% Vacancy Rate 60,000 6.0% • Amongst the various sub-markets, Makati CBD remains the preferred office location by sq m 40,000 4.0% tenants. In 3Q 2012, the overall vacancy rate increased by 4.28% due to the inclusion 20,000 2.0% of Zuellig Building. However, it is forecast to taper off to 3.2% by late 2012. 0 0.0% 2009 2010 2011 2012 F 2013 F • Average prime rental rate was at P755 per sq m per month in 3Q 2012. It is projected -2.0% to increase above P800 per sq m by 2Q 2013 due to the limited supply of office space. -20,000 Supply Take-up Vacancy Rate MANILA OFFICE CAPITAL AND RENTAL VALUES major transactions Building Lease (L) / Tenant / Purchaser Area 1,200 120,000 Sale (S) (sq ft) 1,000 100,000 Aseana One L Seven Tall Trees Events, Inc. 62,400 800 80,000 Q-Plaza L Results Manila 25,800 Capital Values Rentals 600 60,000 Science Hub 2 L Factset Philippines Inc. 22,900 400 40,000 Net Cube Bonifacio L Shore Solutions Inc. 12,100 200 20,000 0 0 1Q 2009 2Q 2009 3Q 2009 4Q 2009 1Q 2010 2Q 2010 3Q 2010 4Q 2010 1Q 2011 2Q 2011 3Q 2011 4Q 2011 1Q 2012 1Q 2013 F 4Q 2013 F 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 4Q 2012 F 2Q 2013 F 3Q 2013 F 1Q 2014 F 2Q 2014F Rentals (Peso / sq m / Month) Capital Values (Peso / sq m) Colliers International | p. 9
  • 10. asia pacific office market overview | 3Q 2012 s i ngapo r e SINGAPORE OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP & singapore VACANCY RATE • The rent of Grade A office buildings in the CBD continued to decline under the slowing 2.50 25.0% global economy in 3Q 2012. Nonetheless, the average rent decline slowed for the second 2.00 20.0% consecutive quarter due to an increasing number of foreign companies setting up entities in Singapore and existing companies relocating to higher quality office space. Vacancy Rate 1.50 15.0% Million sq ft 1.00 10.0% • The average occupancy rate of Grade A office in the CBD increased from 92.0% in 2Q 0.50 5.0% 2012 to 93.1% in 3Q 2012, which is the highest level in the last five consecutive quarters. 0.00 2009 2010 2011 2012 F 2013 F 0.0% • Supported by a stronger occupancy rate, the drop in rents slowed marginally to 1.0% Supply Take-up Vacancy Rate QoQ in 3Q 2012, from 1.1% QoQ in 2Q 2012. By the end of September 2012, monthly gross rents for CBD Grade A office space averaged at S$8.37 per sq ft. • With the long-running Eurozone debt crisis and the risk of an office supply overhang, SINGAPORE OFFICE CAPITAL AND office rents in the CBD are expected to continue on a downtrend for the rest of 2012. RENTAL VALUES 30.00 3,000 25.00 2,500 major transactions 20.00 2,000 Capital Values Building Lease (L) / Tenant / Purchaser Area Rentals 15.00 1,500 Sale (S) (sq ft) 10.00 1,000 Marina Bay Financial Centre L Goldin 16,000 5.00 500 Tower 3 0.00 0 Marina Bay Financial Centre L Lego 20,000 1Q 2009 2Q 2009 3Q 2009 4Q 2009 1Q 2010 2Q 2010 3Q 2010 4Q 2010 1Q 2011 2Q 2011 3Q 2011 4Q 2011 1Q 2012 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 4Q 2012 F 1Q 2013 F 2Q 2013 F 3Q 2013 F 4Q 2013 F 1Q 2014 F 2Q 2014F Tower 3 Ocean Financial Centre L Freshfields 8,300 Rentals (Singapore$/ sq ft / Month) Capital Values (Singapore$ / sq ft) One Raffles Place Tower 2 L Virgin Active 33,000 t ha i l and bangkok BANGKOK OFFICE SUPPLY, TAKE-UP & VACANCY RATE • In 3Q 2012, many international companies have been looking for Grade A office space 120,000 24.0% in the CBD area. 100,000 20.0% 16.0% • During the last quarter some companies have expanded their office space or have 80,000 relocated to CBD area. Vacancy Rate sq m 60,000 12.0% 40,000 8.0% • The rental rate of Grade A office buildings in the CBD area has increased over the year 20,000 4.0% due to the limited supply. 0 0.0% 2009 2010 2011 2012 F 2013 F Supply Take-up Vacancy Rate major transactions Building Lease (L) / Tenant / Purchaser Area BANGKOK OFFICE CAPITAL AND RENTAL VALUES Sale (S) (sq ft) Ploenchit Center L Bumrungrad Hospital Pcl. 28,000 1,400 140,000 1,200 120,000 Sathorn Square L Ford Sales & Service (Thailand) 43,100 1,000 100,000 Co., Ltd. Asia Centre L Ipsos Thailand Co., Ltd. 32,100 Capital Values 800 80,000 Rentals 600 60,000 400 40,000 200 20,000 0 0 1Q 2009 2Q 2009 3Q 2009 4Q 2009 1Q 2010 3Q 2013 F 2Q 2010 3Q 2010 4Q 2010 1Q 2011 2Q 2011 3Q 2011 4Q 2011 1Q 2012 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 4Q 2012 F 1Q 2013 F 2Q 2013 F 4Q 2013 F 1Q 2014 F 2Q 2014F Rentals (Baht/ sq m / Month) Capital Values (Baht / sq m) p. 10 | Colliers International