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Civil Beat Poll, June 5-7, 2012                       1


              1,105 Likely August Voters – Margin of Error +/- 2.9%



--In a [General Election] contest between Mazie Hirono and Linda Lingle, who
would you vote for?


                  HironoLingle

         Hirono                          49%
         Lingle                          44%
         Unsure                           6%
         Total                          100%




--In a [General Election] contest between Ed Case and Linda Lingle, who would
you vote for?


                  CaseLingle

         Case                            52%
         Lingle                          36%
         Unsure                          12%
         Total                          100%
Civil Beat Poll, June 5-7, 2012                  2



         731 Likely Democratic Senate Primary Voters – Margin of Error +/- 3.6%
                               [From Yesterdayʼs Report]

Democratic Primary Voters only


                    HironoLingle

              Hirono                           65%
              Lingle                           28%
              Unsure                            7%
              Total                           100%




                         HironoLingle * DemMatchup Crosstabulation
% within DemMatchup
                                                     DemMatchup
                                             Hirono     Case       Unsure
 HironoLingle    Hirono                          94%       38%         50%
                 Lingle                           4%       55%         19%
                 Unsure                           2%         7%        31%
 Total                                          100%      100%        100%




Democratic Primary Voters only

                       CaseLingle

              Case                             68%
              Lingle                           18%
              Unsure                           14%
              Total                           100%




                         CaseLingle * DemMatchup Crosstabulation
% within DemMatchup
                                                     DemMatchup
                                             Hirono     Case       Unsure
 CaseLingle     Case                             68%       70%         52%
                Lingle                           12%       25%         15%
                Unsure                           20%         5%        33%
 Total                                          100%      100%        100%
Civil Beat Poll, June 5-7, 2012                         3




     249 Likely Republican Senate Primary Voters – Margin of Error +/- 6.2%



--If the Republican Senate primary were held today, would you vote for former
Hawaii Governor Linda Lingle, or former State Senator John Carroll?

[Order in which candidate names were presented was randomized]




         GOPMatchup

         Lingle         86%
         Carroll         8%
         Unsure          7%
         Total         100%
Civil Beat Poll, June 5-7, 2012      4




Republican Primary Voters Only

                       HironoLingle

              Hirono                                5%
              Lingle                               92%
              Unsure                                3%
              Total                               100%




                  HironoLingle * GOPMatchup Crosstabulation
% within GOPMatchup
                                             GOPMatchup
                                      Lingle     Carroll   Unsure
 HironoLingle    Hirono                     1%       42%        6%
                 Lingle                   98%        58%       63%
                 Unsure                     1%                 31%
 Total                                   100%      100%       100%




Republican Primary Voters Only

                         CaseLingle

              Case                                  8%
              Lingle                               88%
              Unsure                                5%
              Total                               100%




                   CaseLingle * GOPMatchup Crosstabulation
% within GOPMatchup
                                             GOPMatchup
                                      Lingle     Carroll   Unsure
 CaseLingle     Case                        4%       53%
                Lingle                    94%        47%       56%
                Unsure                      2%                 44%
 Total                                   100%      100%       100%

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The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — Hawaii Senate General Election Matchups

  • 1. Civil Beat Poll, June 5-7, 2012 1 1,105 Likely August Voters – Margin of Error +/- 2.9% --In a [General Election] contest between Mazie Hirono and Linda Lingle, who would you vote for? HironoLingle Hirono 49% Lingle 44% Unsure 6% Total 100% --In a [General Election] contest between Ed Case and Linda Lingle, who would you vote for? CaseLingle Case 52% Lingle 36% Unsure 12% Total 100%
  • 2. Civil Beat Poll, June 5-7, 2012 2 731 Likely Democratic Senate Primary Voters – Margin of Error +/- 3.6% [From Yesterdayʼs Report] Democratic Primary Voters only HironoLingle Hirono 65% Lingle 28% Unsure 7% Total 100% HironoLingle * DemMatchup Crosstabulation % within DemMatchup DemMatchup Hirono Case Unsure HironoLingle Hirono 94% 38% 50% Lingle 4% 55% 19% Unsure 2% 7% 31% Total 100% 100% 100% Democratic Primary Voters only CaseLingle Case 68% Lingle 18% Unsure 14% Total 100% CaseLingle * DemMatchup Crosstabulation % within DemMatchup DemMatchup Hirono Case Unsure CaseLingle Case 68% 70% 52% Lingle 12% 25% 15% Unsure 20% 5% 33% Total 100% 100% 100%
  • 3. Civil Beat Poll, June 5-7, 2012 3 249 Likely Republican Senate Primary Voters – Margin of Error +/- 6.2% --If the Republican Senate primary were held today, would you vote for former Hawaii Governor Linda Lingle, or former State Senator John Carroll? [Order in which candidate names were presented was randomized] GOPMatchup Lingle 86% Carroll 8% Unsure 7% Total 100%
  • 4. Civil Beat Poll, June 5-7, 2012 4 Republican Primary Voters Only HironoLingle Hirono 5% Lingle 92% Unsure 3% Total 100% HironoLingle * GOPMatchup Crosstabulation % within GOPMatchup GOPMatchup Lingle Carroll Unsure HironoLingle Hirono 1% 42% 6% Lingle 98% 58% 63% Unsure 1% 31% Total 100% 100% 100% Republican Primary Voters Only CaseLingle Case 8% Lingle 88% Unsure 5% Total 100% CaseLingle * GOPMatchup Crosstabulation % within GOPMatchup GOPMatchup Lingle Carroll Unsure CaseLingle Case 4% 53% Lingle 94% 47% 56% Unsure 2% 44% Total 100% 100% 100%