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Christine Austin

Espiritual Esportes

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A growing literature has affirmed with great confidence the feasibility of high penetration levels of wind and solar energy in electric generation under existing technology. This optimism is based in part on the belief that improved forecasting has effectively “solved” the challenge of intermittency. For example, the UK’s Royal Academy of Engineering has recently noted that wind energy’s capacity weighted forecast error of about five percent is evidence that the wind energy forecasts in Great Britain are highly accurate. This paper assesses this claim using data from Great Britain, 50Hertz in Germany, Amprion in Germany, the California ISO, the Bonneville Power Administration, the Midcontinent ISO, France, Western Demark, Eastern Denmark, and Belgium. The analysis proceeds by comparing the forecast accuracy of load, wind, and solar energy with the accuracy of the corresponding persistence forecasts for load, wind, and solar energy. The analysis indicates that while the load forecasts are generally more accurate than a persistence load forecast, the wind and solar energy forecasts are generally less accurate than the corresponding persistence forecasts for wind and solar energy. Specifically, with a persistence forecast as reference, the mean-square-error-skill-score (MSESS) of the load forecasts are generally positive while the MSESS of the wind or solar energy forecast are generally negative. Evidence is also presented that the forecast errors have a systematic component. Modelling of this systematic component can yield short-run solar and wind energy forecasts that are significantly more accurate. This does not resolve the challenge of intermittency but may mitigate matters.

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In this sermon Pastor Ryan Shannon introduces a new sermon series on the Book of Jude entitled, "The Acts of the Apostates". Apostates are the earliest "deconversion" stories of the New Testament. These are false teachers who rejected a truth that they once felt some affinity towards. They preached another gospel and posed a great danger to the early church. Like the first century, the 21st century church faces this same real risk. False teachers are often attractive, charismatic and incredibly positive in their message. But they reject the hard teachings of Jesus and offer a message that offers affirmation without correction. There is nothing sadder than someone who believes a lie and stakes their eternal destiny on that lie that our sin is something God winks at. In this series we will learn the importance of discernment coupled with a bold commitment to stand up, stand out and stand firm for the gospel.

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Genesis 1:5 And God called the light Day, and the darkness he called Night. And the evening and the morning were the first day. God. Ps 74:16. called. ver. 5, 8, 10. Ge 5:2. Ps 92:2. Ec 3:11. 10:13. 11:6. Is 41:4. 44:6. 48:12. Re 1:8, 11, 17. 2:8. 21:6. 22:13. Day, and. Ge 8:22. Ps 19:2. Is 45:7. Je 33:20. Jn 8:12. 11:9. Ro 13:13. 1 Co 3:13. 2Cor 4:6. Ep 5:13. 1 Th 5:5. He 1:2, 3. And the evening was, and the morning was. ver. 8, 13, 19, 23, 31. Ge 19:27. Le 23:32. Ps 65:8. 74:16. 104:20. day. Ex 20:9, 10. Pr 4:18. 1 J 2:8. The meaning of the Scripture is the Scripture. Be saturated with the Word of God.... daily.

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