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Closing Due Diligence: A Cautionary Tale
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Closing Due Diligence: A Cautionary Tale
1.
M&A TOOLKIT
Closing: Due Diligence © 2007-2013 IESIES Development Ltd. All Ltd. Reserved © 2007-2013 Development Rights All Rights Reserved
2.
Poor due diligence
is the fastest way to destroy a company A CAUTIONARY TALE: THE DISTINGUISHED HISTORY OF FERRANTI 1882 Founded in London, championing AC power 1887 Designed the first modern power station in the world 1910 Amassed 176 patents in electronics World War II Heavily involved in the early development of radar 1955 The first European company to produce a silicon diode 1987 Ferranti purchased International Signal and Control (ISC), a Pennsylvania based defence contractor for $1.1 billion for cash • Unknown to Ferranti, ISC's business primarily consisted of illegal arms sales started at the behest of various US clandestine organizations • On paper the company looked to be extremely profitable on sales of high-priced "above board" items, but in fact these profits were essentially non-existent • With the sale to Ferranti all illegal sales ended immediately, leaving the company with no obvious cash flow 1993 The massive financial and legal difficulties that resulted forced Ferranti into bankruptcy in December 1993 © 2007-2013 IES Development Ltd. All Rights Reserved
3.
More recently, Ken
Lynch, CEO of Bank of America lost his job after conducting due diligence on Merrill Lynch over a weekend…… LYNCHED AT MERRILL …Bank of America shareholders should be asking why their company's due diligence process allowed it to undertake a takeover valued at $50bn last September for a business that made an operating loss of $15.5bn in its first quarter of ownership. ….Now, not surprisingly, Bank of America’s shareholders are paying the price. Since Mr Lewis agreed to the Merrill deal during the fateful weekend of September 15, Bank of America’s stock has crashed to about $7 per share, down a whopping 80 per cent from the $34 a share the stock was trading at the day before the Merrill deal was announced, and 40 per cent so far in 2009. Bank of America’s total market value is now less than the $50bn it offered for Merrill’s stock last September. ….Mr Lewis defended his decision to complete the Merrill Lynch takeover on January 1 as being “in the best interest of our company and our stockholders and the country to move forward with the original terms and timing” of the deal. But it is going to be increasingly difficult for Mr Lewis to continue to defend such a horrific failure of due diligence. Some are already calling for his head. “The thing is unravelling so fast Mr Lewis may know his job is lost” FT, January 28th © 2007-2013 IES Development Ltd. All Rights Reserved
4.
Due diligence has
three main purposes THE PURPOSE OF DUE DILIGENCE 1) Confirm your “As Is” business value • You understand the business/industry drivers • Restate target P&L to get an accurate baseline • Incorporate detailed analysis in your forecasts 2) Prove your Value Hypothesis • Are your synergy assumptions realistic? • Can you see how to realise them in merger integration? 3) Find “booby traps” • What is the downside of all potential liabilities? • Do assets exist and are owned? • What don’t you know that you don’t know? © 2007-2013 IES Development Ltd. All Rights Reserved
5.
You can use
a checklist to conduct general due diligence DUE DILIGENCE CHECKLIST FINANCIAL P&L Assets (e.g. cash position) Liabilities (e.g. pensions) Taxation LEGAL Contracts and Commitments Ownership and Control of the Company IP (Patents, trademarks, licences, copyright) Compliance Litigation Environmental BUSINESS Operations Reports Organisation Employees, Benefits, Pensions © 2007-2013 IES Development Ltd. All Rights Reserved
6.
In addition, every
business has different ways to “dress-up” a business for sale that due diligence has to identify WAYS TO DRESS A BUSINESS UP FOR SALE Inflated revenues •Stuffing distribution channels •Sale-or-return agreements •One-off sales classified as recurring Depressed costs •Cost taken outside the books •Recurring costs classified as one-off Underinvestment in the lead-up to sale •Below maintenance capital expenditure •Switching marketing spend from brand building into promotions •Organisation under-invested (e.g. many vacancies) Optimistic projections for new businesses, markets, products etc © 2007-2013 IES Development Ltd. All Rights Reserved
7.
Ways to pump
short term profits INDUSTRY HOW TO PUMP FMCG •Stuffing distribution channels Finance •Extend depreciation period – change in accounting policy Prof services •Booking profit before – revenue recognition Airlines •Mothballing aircraft •Change depreciation •Release provisions •Sell treasury bonds •Acquisition goodwill/write-offs Factoring •Selling receivables •Vs Ownership •Cost booking Bank •Liabilities off balance sheet •Lower provisions •Non mark to market •Reclassify assets © 2007-2013 IES Development Ltd. All Rights Reserved 6
8.
There is a
big difference between conducting due diligence on a Western listed vs a Chinese private company Buying a Western Listed Company Buying a Chinese Private company Due Diligence starts Public Tender Offer Heads of Terms after Timescale Strict timetable: 2-3 weeks Flexible: Months Access Dataroom only Whatever negotiated Audited accounts Usually reliable Usually less reliable Data availability Usually OK Target may need help Key risks Embedded liabilities Compromised assets (Contractual/Litigation/ Guanxi value Pensions/Environmental) Lack of titles/contracts Poor data/financials Related parties Indemnities and Listed: WYSIWYG Only effective with deferred Warranties payment © 2007-2013 IES Development Ltd. All Rights Reserved
9.
You can include
Reps, Warranties and Indemnities in the SPA for a private company if you find something unpleasant in due diligence ACTION AFTER DUE DILIGENCE Listed target Continue bid Reduce price Walk away Private target The above, plus include in the Share Purchase Agreement: • Representations (Reps) – Promises from the seller about the situation today • Warranties – Promises about the future • Indemnities if promises breached (could be 10% of price held in ecsrow for 1 year) © 2007-2013 IES Development Ltd. All Rights Reserved
10.
Key points on
due diligence • Poor due diligence is the fastest way to destroy a company… ……even a small deal can bankrupt a large company • In due diligence you are looking to - Confirm your “As Is” valuation - Prove your value hypothesis - Find and disarm booby traps • For listed companies, WYSIWYG • For private deals, use your full negotiation scope post-due diligence • Employ good local lawyers and accountants who know the target business…..this is not a place to cut corners © 2007-2013 IES Development Ltd. All Rights Reserved