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Returns to

Angel Groups
   in
      Investors


                               November 2007



                  Rober t Wiltbank, Ph.D.
                    Willamette University
                 Wiltbank@willamette.edu

                   W a r r e n B o e k e r, P h . D .
               University of Washington
              WBoeker@u.washington.edu
Fi n a n c i a l a s s i s t a n c e a n d s u p p o r t r e c e ive d

f r o m t h e E w i n g M a r i o n K a u f f m a n Fo u n d a t i o n

   a n d A n g e l C a p i t a l E d u c a t i o n Fo u n d a t i o n .

Th e v i e w s e x p r e s s e d a r e t h o s e o f t h e a u t h o r s .

     We ow e a t r e m e n d o u s d e b t o f g ra t i t u d e

     to the angel group directors and angel

          i nve s t o r s wh o g e n e r o u s l y s h a r e d

                       their experiences.
Seven percent of the exits achieved
                                                                         returns of more than ten times the
                                                                                           money invested.




summary
  Entrepreneurs and investors regularly wonder what                We also evaluated three factors that appear to
the returns are in angel investing. The completion of            impact these angel investors’ outcomes:
this research project provides robust data on this                  1. Due diligence time: More hours of due diligence
subject that has never before been available.                          positively relates to greater returns.
  Our findings in this study are based on the largest               2. Experience: An angel investor’s expertise in the
data set of accredited angel investors collected to                    industry of the venture in which they invest also is
date, with information on exits from 539 angels. These                 related to greater returns.
investors have experienced 1,137 “exits” (acquisitions
or Initial Public Offerings that provided positive returns,         3. Participation: Angel investors that interacted
or firm closures that led to negative returns) from their              with their portfolio companies at least a couple
venture investments during the last two decades, with                  of times per month by mentoring, coaching,
most exits occurring since 2004.                                       providing leads, and/or monitoring performance
                                                                       experienced greater returns.
  Analysis of the data revealed important details of
the investment outcomes for angel investors                         One factor—angel or venture capital investors
connected to angel organizations:                                making follow-on investments in their portfolio
                                                                 companies—is related to lower performance,
  • The average return of angel investments in this              although additional research may be needed to
    study is 2.6 times the investment in 3.5 years—              better understand these results and the factors that
    approximately 27 percent Internal Rate of Return             affect them.
    (IRR). This average return compares favorably with
    the IRRs of other types of private equity                      The angel investments reported in the study were in
    investment.                                                  early-stage companies, generally in seed or start-up
                                                                 ventures. Forty-five percent of the companies that
  • The distribution of returns for this type of                 received financing from angels had no revenues when
    investment is quite varied. Like venture capital,            they received the angel investment.
    “average return” may not describe the
    performance of most angels in the study. The                    This study also provides interesting statistics (detailed
    analysis identified a wide range of performance              in the appendices) on the investors who belong to
    for the investment exits in the study:                       angel groups and the size, stage, and industries of the
                                                                 ventures that received funding.
     - Fifty-two percent of all of the exits returned
       less than the capital the angel had invested in             It should be noted that the data and analysis in the
       the venture.                                              report refer only to angel investors who are connected
                                                                 to angel organizations and not to all angel investors,
     - Seven percent of the exits achieved returns of            as the differences between group and non-group
       more than ten times the money invested,                   investors are simply unknown empirically at this time.
       accounting for 75 percent of the total
       investment dollar returns.




                      R E T U R N S     T O   A N G E L       I N V E S T O R S   I N   G R O U P S                             1
background
      Capital is a critical component of new venture                investors team up to consider investment
    creation. It comes in many forms: the sale of a car, a          opportunities, share opinions and expertise about
    second mortgage or home equity loan, severance pay,             investments, pool their capital, and negotiate
    credit cards, family, and—sometimes—from early-stage            investments. Angel groups have increased in number
    investors commonly known as angel investors.                    by 67 percent since 1999, and the Angel Capital
       Experts estimate that angels invest billions of dollars      Education Foundation (ACEF) estimates that about ten
    in thousands of new ventures every year, and they               thousand accredited investors now belong to 265
    frequently are the first outside, arms-length investors         groups that play a critical role in the deal flow in their
    that entrepreneurs trying to build their businesses             communities. In spite of this role, we still know little
    engage. Understanding the strategies, tactics, and              about how the practices of these group efforts impact
    experiences of angels is critical because early-stage           the investment outcomes of angel investors.
    companies are far more likely to secure angel
    investment than to secure financing from formal
    venture capitalists. During the last ten years, formal
    venture capitalists invested less than 2 percent of total               Experts estimate that angels invest
    venture capital dollars in seed-stage companies.
                                                                       billions of dollars in thousands of new
      Among angel investors, an important trend is the
    emergence of angel groups, in which individual
                                                                                            ventures every year.




    methodology
       This year-long study surveyed only group-affiliated          Although we would have preferred a higher response
    North American angel investors to understand their              rate, it is consistent with many existing studies of
    pre- and post-investment strategies and the returns             formal venture capitalists. This survey approach has
    they earned from exited and closed investments                  several methodological issues, including survivor bias
    between 1990 and 2007. The resulting data are the               (researchers received data only from people who
    largest set of angel investor exits compiled thus far;          continue to participate in angel investor groups, thus
    and also are unique in that all of the participants are         potentially missing data from angels who failed and
    accredited under the Security and Exchange                      left the groups) and self-selection bias (only people
    Commission’s (SEC’s) standards, which require a net             who have had positive experiences tend to share their
    worth of at least $1 million, annual salary of $200,000         numbers). We used information from seven of the
    for the last three years, or $300,000 salary between            eighty-six groups who responded at rates of 60
    the angel and his or her spouse.                                percent or more to evaluate the effects of any self-
      Collection of data about angel investors is                   selection bias. If the self-selection bias were strong, we
    complicated because there are no legal reporting                would expect the returns reported by high-response-
    requirements for such investors, other than their tax           rate groups to be significantly lower than the
    returns. We chose to work through angel groups,                 distribution from groups where few members self-
    which enabled relatively efficient access to angel              selected to participate because the high-response-rate
    investors, but this does mean that generalization of            groups would capture more failed investments. We did
    these findings should focus exclusively on angel                not, however, find any significant differences in the
    investors who operate as members of groups.                     distribution of returns between these high- and low-
                                                                    response-rate groups.
      Researchers contacted 276 angel investor groups
    and asked their members to confidentially share their             Our primary goal in this research was to identify the
    experiences as angel investors through an online                returns from investments made by angels affiliated
    questionnaire. Eighty-six angel groups participated.            with angel organizations. This is commonly assessed as
    Thirteen percent of the members of those eighty-six             the multiple of the sum of cash returned from a
    groups, or 539 individual angel investors, responded.           venture divided by the sum of capital invested in that




2                         R E T U R N S     T O   A N G E L      I N V E S T O R S   I N   G R O U P S
venture by the angel investor (e.g., $500,000 returned                                   after 2004, and only 8 percent of the exits occurred
on a $100,000 investment would be a 5X multiple).                                        before 2000. Ninety percent of the initial investments
We gathered data from the angels on the amount of                                        occurred after 1994, and 65 percent were initiated
cash they originally invested in each venture, plus any                                  after 1999.
follow-on investment(s), and the years in which they
made those investments. Investors also identified the
year and type of exit, along with the amount of cash
they received back from the venture both during the
investment period and at that exit event. These details
form the basis of the multiples and rates of return
                                                                                                     Our primary goal in this research
reported in this study.                                                                                was to identify the returns from
   The exits detailed in this study are quite recent.                                            investments made by angels affiliated
Sixty-two percent of the exits or closures occurred                                                          with angel organizations.




distribution of group-
affiliated angel returns
  While overall returns on group-affiliated angel                                                multiple of at least 1X, showing the advantage of
investments average to a 2.6X return on investment                                               making multiple investments (that is, maintaining
after 3.5 years, the outcomes are not evenly                                                     a portfolio).
distributed among the investors and ventures.                                               • Of course, this means that 52 percent of all
  • Forty-eight percent of all the exits returned more                                        venture exits are at a loss, and 39 percent of the
    than the capital the angel had invested.                                                  angel investors in this study had portfolios of
  • Seven percent of the exits achieved returns of                                            investment exits with a less than 1X multiple.
    more than 10X.                                                                         The accompanying chart details the distribution of
  • While only 48 percent of venture exits had at least                                  returns across growing categories of multiples.
    a 1X return, 61 percent of investors had an overall


                                                            Distribution of Returns by Venture Investment


                                              60.0     3 years

                                              50.0                                                        Overall Multiple: 2.6X
                     Percent of Total Exits




                                              40.0                    3.3 years                       Avg. Holding Period: 3.5 years


                                              30.0


                                              20.0
                                                                                         4.6 years
                                              10.0                                                        4.9 years           6 years


                                                 0
                                                     < 1X         1X to 5X           5X to 10X       10X to 30X            > 30X

                                                                                  Exit Multiples




                          R E T U R N S                     T O   A N G E L         I N V E S T O R S             I N   G R O U P S                  3
Sixty-one percent of angels in the study
              had portfolio returns that were greater than
                                 the capital they invested.



           Of particular relevance to investors assessing the relative risk of
         angel investments, the skew demonstrated in the chart on page 3 is
         comparable to that of formal venture capital investing. The data show
         declining occurrences of higher returns, even though the categories
         expand in size (i.e., 1X to 5X is a more narrow category than 10X to
         30X). The top 10 percent of exits account for 75 percent of the total
         cash returns in the sample.
           The chart also shows that returns varied with the amount of time
         an investor held an investment. In line with the saying, “lemons ripen
         faster than plums,” typically, the length of time investors held their
         investments increased with each level of positive return; analysis
         indicated that it is not unusual for group-affiliated angels with strong
         returns to hold their investments for more than ten years. While the
         average hold period was 3.5 years, exits with a less than 1X multiple
         took only three years to achieve that result. The average years to exit
         were 3, 3.3, 4.6, 4.9, and 6 years, demonstrating the importance of
         patience and non-liquidity in angel investing.
           Returns to the portfolios of each of the 539 angel investors provide
         additional insight. While 52 percent of the exits resulted in a less than
         1X multiple, the angel investors’ portfolios brought that down to 39
         percent of the angel investors who had an overall multiple of less than
         1X. These small portfolios of early-stage investments significantly
         improved their prospects of overall positive multiples. The returns also
         are concentrated when looking at the outcomes from the angel
         investor perspective (rather than individual venture exit); the top 10
         percent of angel investor performers earned 50 percent of the total
         capital returns in this sample. These distributions of returns show that
         making successful angel investments is challenging, but an investment
         approach across multiple companies can lead to attractive returns.




                             Overall Multiple by Angel Investor




                                                      Less than 1X
                           Greater than 1X                39%
                                61%




4   R E T U R N S   T O   A N G E L          I N V E S T O R S       I N   G R O U P S
strategic choices and the
distribution of returns
   In addition to this historical picture of group angel                             explore methods to assess the quality of due diligence
investor outcomes, some strategic questions also                                     rather than just the quantity.
reveal useful patterns. For example, does the extent of                                 Spending time on due diligence is significantly
due diligence matter in relation to the outcomes                                     related to better outcomes. Simply splitting the sample
experienced? Does the extent of angel investor                                       between investors who spent less than the median
interaction with the venture relate to the outcomes? Is                              twenty hours of due diligence and investors who spent
it more effective to put capital into follow-on                                      more shows an overall multiple difference of 5.9X for
investments in existing deals, or into a larger number                               those with high due diligence compared to only 1.1X
of ventures? Patterns in the distribution of outcomes                                for those with low due diligence. Sixty-five percent of
can shed some light on the relationships these choices                               the exits with below-median due diligence reported
have on group angel investor returns.                                                less than 1X returns, compared to 45 percent for the
                                                                                     above-median group. The differences become more
Due Diligence Time                                                                   stark when comparing the top and bottom quartiles
   To assess the role of due diligence, each respondent                              of time dedicated to due diligence. The exits where
was asked how many hours of due diligence he or she                                  investors spent more than 40 hours doing due
performed for each investment. Angel investors                                       diligence (the top quartile) experienced a 7.1X
reported the median length of due diligence prior to                                 multiple.
investing was twenty hours. Enough investors went far
beyond the median that the mean (average) length of
due diligence was sixty hours per investment. For
comparison, formal venture capitalists may spend
several months on due diligence, though the actual
number of hours spent working on diligence for a                                               Angel investors reported the median
single venture investment is less clear. It is worth                                               length of due diligence prior to
noting that length of time may not be the only
                                                                                                        investing was twenty hours.
important factor in due diligence; future research may



                                                            The Impact of Time in Due Diligence


                                        70.0                                                                          Median: 20 hours
                                        60.0                                                     Avg. 26% involved more than 40 hours

                                        50.0
                     Percent of Exits




                                        40.0                                       Overall Multiple for High Diligence 5.9X (4.1 years)

                                        30.0                                        Overall Multiple for Low Diligence 1.1X (3.4 years)

                                        20.0

                                        10.0

                                          0
                                               < 1X            1X to 5X            5X to 10X            10X to 30X           > 30X

                                                                               Exit Multiples
                                                                          Low Diligence        High Diligence




                         R E T U R N S                T O   A N G E L         I N V E S T O R S                 I N    G R O U P S             5
Industry Expertise
                           A choice facing angel groups is the extent to which they will invest
                        within or beyond the areas of industry expertise of their member
                        angels. Focusing investments in a single industry or on a particular
                        product may simplify their due diligence work and lead to more
                        insightful evaluation of the factors critical to the venture’s success, as
                        well as provide opportunities for connecting that venture to new
                        talent and opportunities. However, geography or business conditions
                        may not bring deal flow to the group that allows it to capitalize on its
                        talent or experience. Angel investors may have more opportunities to
                        invest outside, rather than inside, their areas of expertise.
                          Investors reported their years of experience in the industry of each
                        venture in which they invested. The study indicates that half of the
                        investments made were unrelated to investors’ industry experience.
                        When ventures were related to an angel’s expertise, the angel typically
                        had fourteen years of relevant experience. Analysis indicates that
                        expertise had a material impact on angel investors’ earned returns.
                        Investment multiples were twice as high for investments in ventures
                        connected to investors’ industry expertise.



                                             Relationship to Industry Expertise


                         70.0                                                          50% of deals were not related
                         60.0                              When related, they typically had 14 years of experience

                         50.0
     Percent of Exits




                         40.0

                         30.0

                         20.0

                         10.0

                           0
                                   < 1X         1X to 5X            5X to 10X            10X to 30X            > 30X

                                                               Exit Multiples
                                                Low Industry Expertise          High Industry Expertise




6   R E T U R N S                  T O    A N G E L        I N V E S T O R S                  I N         G R O U P S
Participation (Interaction with Portfolio Companies)
                      After an angel makes an investment, his or her participation in the
                    venture—through mentoring, coaching, financial monitoring, and
                    making connections—is significantly related to that venture’s
                    outcomes. This study measured the frequency of post-investment
                    participation for each investment on a scale from daily through
                    weekly, monthly, quarterly, annually, or rarely/never.
                      Respondents reported meeting with each venture a couple of times
                    per month (between weekly and monthly) on average. Angel investors
                    reported their primary activities included mentoring/coaching, strategic
                    consultation, and monitoring financial information.
                       In the data collected for this study, angel investors who interacted
                    with the venture a couple of times per month experienced an overall
                    multiple of 3.7X in four years. In contrast, investors who participated
                    a couple of times per year experienced overall multiples of only 1.3X
                    in 3.6 years. This relationship does not necessarily mean that
                    participation beyond a couple of times per month would be better.
                    Rather, as frequency increases, the quality and types of participation
                    become more important than the frequency of participation.



                                            The Impact of Participation


                     60.0                                                         High = 1 or 2 times per month

                     50.0                                                            Low = 1 or 2 times per year

                     40.0
 Percent of Exits




                                                                                            High 3.7X (4.0 years)

                     30.0                                                                       Low 1.3X (3.6 years)

                     20.0

                     10.0

                       0
                              < 1X         1X to 5X            5X to 10X             10X to 30X               > 30X

                                                          Exit Multiples
                                           Low Participation               High Participation




R E T U R N S                  T O   A N G E L        I N V E S T O R S                  I N        G R O U P S        7
Follow-on Investment
                          In this sample, angel investors made follow-on investment in
                        29 percent of the ventures from which they exited. Follow-on
                        investments were related to lower returns. This is not a measure of
                        whether any follow-on investment was made, just whether the same
                        angel investor made a follow-on investment in the venture. Of course,
                        the choice to not invest again to help keep a struggling venture going
                        can immediately lead to its demise.
                          If the choice is to let a firm close or to follow-on with more capital,
                        sometimes the follow-on investment still can be a good choice. To
                        that point, the overall multiple for ventures that did receive a follow-
                        on investment from the same angel investor is still positive, at 1.4X,
                        but is lower than the 3.6X for those that did not take a follow-on
                        investment. It is risky to make follow-on investments, however. In this
                        sample, 68 percent of the exits that took follow-on investments
                        resulted in a loss of capital.




                                   Follow-On Investment from Same Angel Investor

                         70.0                                                    30% of deals had follow-on investments

                         60.0                                                                        No 3.6X (3.3 years)

                         50.0                                                                        Yes 1.4X (3.9 years)
     Percent of Exits




                         40.0

                         30.0

                         20.0

                         10.0

                           0
                                  < 1X         1X to 5X            5X to 10X            10X to 30X             > 30X

                                                                Exit Multiples

                                                          Follow-On Yes        Follow-On No




8   R E T U R N S                  T O   A N G E L         I N V E S T O R S                  I N    G R O U P S
Formal Venture Capital Involvement
                       Angel investors and entrepreneurs make choices about whether
                    and how to involve formal venture capitalists in a venture. Strategic
                    choices about how fast to grow, how to finance that growth, and
                    when to exit the business are tied up in the decision to involve VCs.
                    In this sample, a relatively large 35 percent of the ventures took on
                    venture capital investment at some point after the investment by the
                    angel investor. This, of course, begs the question of how VC-backed
                    ventures in which the angels were involved performed relative to their
                    ventures where VCs did not invest.
                       Overall, the multiples for the ventures that took on formal venture
                    capital were not significantly higher than for those that had no
                    investment from venture capital firms. There was, however, a marked
                    difference in the distribution of their returns. As shown in the chart
                    below, those exits where VC investment occurred had a more extreme
                    distribution, with more failures and larger exits than those where VCs
                    were not involved. The latter tended to fail less but have more exits in
                    the 1X to 5X category.




                                           Venture Capital Involvement


                     70.0                                      35% of deals took on VC investment at some point

                     60.0

                     50.0
 Percent of Exits




                     40.0

                     30.0

                     20.0

                     10.0

                       0
                              < 1X         1X to 5X            5X to 10X           10X to 30X          > 30X

                                                           Exit Multiples
                                                      VC Yes               VC No




R E T U R N S                  T O   A N G E L        I N V E S T O R S                I N      G R O U P S       9
conclusion
       This research represents the largest empirical study         to formal venture capital will continue to refine the
     of the investment returns to angel investing, and sets         understanding and the practice of angel investing.
     a benchmark on returns and performance factors for
                                                                       While angels’ average multiples compare favorably
     angel investors connected to angel groups.
                                                                    with other equity investments, the range of outcomes
       As a group, the risk taken by these angels is                demonstrates that angel investing is a risky
     rewarded with overall returns—2.6X in 3.5 years—that           undertaking. As with other forms of equity
     are fairly attractive. This research also indicates that       investment, relatively few ventures earn very large
     angel investors may positively influence their rates of        returns. In any particular venture, an angel investor is
     return by making wise decisions about due diligence,
                                                                    more likely to lose than to make money, and a
     avoiding ventures in unfamiliar industries, follow-on
                                                                    significant portion of the angel investors in this sample
     investments, and productively participating in the
                                                                    experienced a return less than 1X.
     ventures post-investment. We hope that additional
     research into the specifics of due diligence and                 While clearly not for the faint of heart, this research
     participation, as well as the factors that lead to better      suggests that angel investing can be done well in the
     follow-on investment and more effective connections            pursuit of legitimate financial returns.




10                        R E T U R N S    T O    A N G E L      I N V E S T O R S   I N   G R O U P S
appendix



R E T U R N S   T O   A N G E L   I N V E S T O R S   I N   G R O U P S   11
appendix
     Characteristics of Investors in Angel                                  early-stage investments, significantly
                                                                            earlier than formal venture capitalists
     Groups
                                                                            typically invest.
       The typical group-affiliated angel investor has been
     investing for just over nine years on average, and has            Investment Sizes: Each individual investor’s median
     made slightly more than one investment per year. The            investment was $50,000, and the mean investment
     results reported above are based only on those                  was $191,000, per venture. This includes all follow-on
     investments from which the investor has exited (those           investment plus the initial investment, though follow-
     that have closed, been acquired, or entered the public          on investing was relatively rare in this sample. These
     markets). Most investors continue making new                    angel investors put additional money into the same
     investments and have open investments at the time of            venture in only 29 percent of their investments.
     this study.                                                        Industries: The industries of the investments in this
       This sample of group-affiliated angel investors               sample reflect venture investing in broad terms. The
     consisted of 86 percent male participants who were,             numbers here represent the percentage of total exits in
     on average, fifty-seven years old. Ninety-nine percent          this sample. As in traditional venture capital, software
     of them hold college degrees; more than half hold               is the lead component, followed by health care and
     graduate degrees.                                               biotech investments. Given the overlap with other
                                                                     venture investing, it appears that industry differences
       Entrepreneurial experience is the norm among the
                                                                     are not a major factor in the returns found in this
     investors in this sample. On average, they have
                                                                     sample.
     operated as entrepreneurs for more than fourteen
     years and founded nearly three ventures in that time.
     Twenty-two percent of the investors in this sample had
     never worked in a large corporation.                               Industry of Investments
                                                                          19% Software
     Investment Characteristics
                                                                          18% Health/Biotech
       Timing of Angel Investment: The information
     collected in this study allows for analysis of the details           16% Business Products & Services
     of angel investments. One topic of interest is the level             15% Consumer Products & Services
     of development of the ventures in which angel
                                                                          12% Hardware
     investors will invest. This research found that these
     group angel investors made very early-stage                          12% Other
     investments:                                                         7%    Media/Entertainment
         • Thirty-four percent of the deals were done
           when the venture was in the seed stage,
           and 41 percent in the start-up stage. Angel
           investors reported conducting 18 percent
           of the deals in early-growth stage. Later-
           stage opportunities made up only 7 percent
           of the investments.
         • Stage also can be viewed from the
           perspective of whether a venture is pre- or
           post-revenues prior to investment. In this
           sample, 45 percent of the ventures had no
           revenue at the time these group angel
           investors made their investments, and the
           median revenue for all of the ventures at
           the time of the angel investment was only
           $125,000. By any standard or definition,
           these angel investors are engaged in very




12                         R E T U R N S     T O   A N G E L      I N V E S T O R S   I N   G R O U P S
A N G E L CA P I TA L E D U CAT I O N F O U N DAT I O N
E W I N G M A R I O N K AU F F M A N F O U N DAT I O N                Fo u n d e d by K AU F F M A N
               4 8 0 1 R O C K H I L L R OA D                          8 5 2 7 B L U E JAC K E T S T
        K A N S A S C I T Y, M I S S O U R I 6 4 1 1 0                    LENEXA, KS 66214
                      816-932-1000                                            913-894-4700
                  w w w. k a u f f m a n . o r g                  w w w. a n g e l c a p i t a l e d u c a t i o n . o r g

                                                                                                                             110700 JP

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Angel Groups 111207

  • 1. Returns to Angel Groups in Investors November 2007 Rober t Wiltbank, Ph.D. Willamette University Wiltbank@willamette.edu W a r r e n B o e k e r, P h . D . University of Washington WBoeker@u.washington.edu
  • 2. Fi n a n c i a l a s s i s t a n c e a n d s u p p o r t r e c e ive d f r o m t h e E w i n g M a r i o n K a u f f m a n Fo u n d a t i o n a n d A n g e l C a p i t a l E d u c a t i o n Fo u n d a t i o n . Th e v i e w s e x p r e s s e d a r e t h o s e o f t h e a u t h o r s . We ow e a t r e m e n d o u s d e b t o f g ra t i t u d e to the angel group directors and angel i nve s t o r s wh o g e n e r o u s l y s h a r e d their experiences.
  • 3. Seven percent of the exits achieved returns of more than ten times the money invested. summary Entrepreneurs and investors regularly wonder what We also evaluated three factors that appear to the returns are in angel investing. The completion of impact these angel investors’ outcomes: this research project provides robust data on this 1. Due diligence time: More hours of due diligence subject that has never before been available. positively relates to greater returns. Our findings in this study are based on the largest 2. Experience: An angel investor’s expertise in the data set of accredited angel investors collected to industry of the venture in which they invest also is date, with information on exits from 539 angels. These related to greater returns. investors have experienced 1,137 “exits” (acquisitions or Initial Public Offerings that provided positive returns, 3. Participation: Angel investors that interacted or firm closures that led to negative returns) from their with their portfolio companies at least a couple venture investments during the last two decades, with of times per month by mentoring, coaching, most exits occurring since 2004. providing leads, and/or monitoring performance experienced greater returns. Analysis of the data revealed important details of the investment outcomes for angel investors One factor—angel or venture capital investors connected to angel organizations: making follow-on investments in their portfolio companies—is related to lower performance, • The average return of angel investments in this although additional research may be needed to study is 2.6 times the investment in 3.5 years— better understand these results and the factors that approximately 27 percent Internal Rate of Return affect them. (IRR). This average return compares favorably with the IRRs of other types of private equity The angel investments reported in the study were in investment. early-stage companies, generally in seed or start-up ventures. Forty-five percent of the companies that • The distribution of returns for this type of received financing from angels had no revenues when investment is quite varied. Like venture capital, they received the angel investment. “average return” may not describe the performance of most angels in the study. The This study also provides interesting statistics (detailed analysis identified a wide range of performance in the appendices) on the investors who belong to for the investment exits in the study: angel groups and the size, stage, and industries of the ventures that received funding. - Fifty-two percent of all of the exits returned less than the capital the angel had invested in It should be noted that the data and analysis in the the venture. report refer only to angel investors who are connected to angel organizations and not to all angel investors, - Seven percent of the exits achieved returns of as the differences between group and non-group more than ten times the money invested, investors are simply unknown empirically at this time. accounting for 75 percent of the total investment dollar returns. R E T U R N S T O A N G E L I N V E S T O R S I N G R O U P S 1
  • 4. background Capital is a critical component of new venture investors team up to consider investment creation. It comes in many forms: the sale of a car, a opportunities, share opinions and expertise about second mortgage or home equity loan, severance pay, investments, pool their capital, and negotiate credit cards, family, and—sometimes—from early-stage investments. Angel groups have increased in number investors commonly known as angel investors. by 67 percent since 1999, and the Angel Capital Experts estimate that angels invest billions of dollars Education Foundation (ACEF) estimates that about ten in thousands of new ventures every year, and they thousand accredited investors now belong to 265 frequently are the first outside, arms-length investors groups that play a critical role in the deal flow in their that entrepreneurs trying to build their businesses communities. In spite of this role, we still know little engage. Understanding the strategies, tactics, and about how the practices of these group efforts impact experiences of angels is critical because early-stage the investment outcomes of angel investors. companies are far more likely to secure angel investment than to secure financing from formal venture capitalists. During the last ten years, formal venture capitalists invested less than 2 percent of total Experts estimate that angels invest venture capital dollars in seed-stage companies. billions of dollars in thousands of new Among angel investors, an important trend is the emergence of angel groups, in which individual ventures every year. methodology This year-long study surveyed only group-affiliated Although we would have preferred a higher response North American angel investors to understand their rate, it is consistent with many existing studies of pre- and post-investment strategies and the returns formal venture capitalists. This survey approach has they earned from exited and closed investments several methodological issues, including survivor bias between 1990 and 2007. The resulting data are the (researchers received data only from people who largest set of angel investor exits compiled thus far; continue to participate in angel investor groups, thus and also are unique in that all of the participants are potentially missing data from angels who failed and accredited under the Security and Exchange left the groups) and self-selection bias (only people Commission’s (SEC’s) standards, which require a net who have had positive experiences tend to share their worth of at least $1 million, annual salary of $200,000 numbers). We used information from seven of the for the last three years, or $300,000 salary between eighty-six groups who responded at rates of 60 the angel and his or her spouse. percent or more to evaluate the effects of any self- Collection of data about angel investors is selection bias. If the self-selection bias were strong, we complicated because there are no legal reporting would expect the returns reported by high-response- requirements for such investors, other than their tax rate groups to be significantly lower than the returns. We chose to work through angel groups, distribution from groups where few members self- which enabled relatively efficient access to angel selected to participate because the high-response-rate investors, but this does mean that generalization of groups would capture more failed investments. We did these findings should focus exclusively on angel not, however, find any significant differences in the investors who operate as members of groups. distribution of returns between these high- and low- response-rate groups. Researchers contacted 276 angel investor groups and asked their members to confidentially share their Our primary goal in this research was to identify the experiences as angel investors through an online returns from investments made by angels affiliated questionnaire. Eighty-six angel groups participated. with angel organizations. This is commonly assessed as Thirteen percent of the members of those eighty-six the multiple of the sum of cash returned from a groups, or 539 individual angel investors, responded. venture divided by the sum of capital invested in that 2 R E T U R N S T O A N G E L I N V E S T O R S I N G R O U P S
  • 5. venture by the angel investor (e.g., $500,000 returned after 2004, and only 8 percent of the exits occurred on a $100,000 investment would be a 5X multiple). before 2000. Ninety percent of the initial investments We gathered data from the angels on the amount of occurred after 1994, and 65 percent were initiated cash they originally invested in each venture, plus any after 1999. follow-on investment(s), and the years in which they made those investments. Investors also identified the year and type of exit, along with the amount of cash they received back from the venture both during the investment period and at that exit event. These details form the basis of the multiples and rates of return Our primary goal in this research reported in this study. was to identify the returns from The exits detailed in this study are quite recent. investments made by angels affiliated Sixty-two percent of the exits or closures occurred with angel organizations. distribution of group- affiliated angel returns While overall returns on group-affiliated angel multiple of at least 1X, showing the advantage of investments average to a 2.6X return on investment making multiple investments (that is, maintaining after 3.5 years, the outcomes are not evenly a portfolio). distributed among the investors and ventures. • Of course, this means that 52 percent of all • Forty-eight percent of all the exits returned more venture exits are at a loss, and 39 percent of the than the capital the angel had invested. angel investors in this study had portfolios of • Seven percent of the exits achieved returns of investment exits with a less than 1X multiple. more than 10X. The accompanying chart details the distribution of • While only 48 percent of venture exits had at least returns across growing categories of multiples. a 1X return, 61 percent of investors had an overall Distribution of Returns by Venture Investment 60.0 3 years 50.0 Overall Multiple: 2.6X Percent of Total Exits 40.0 3.3 years Avg. Holding Period: 3.5 years 30.0 20.0 4.6 years 10.0 4.9 years 6 years 0 < 1X 1X to 5X 5X to 10X 10X to 30X > 30X Exit Multiples R E T U R N S T O A N G E L I N V E S T O R S I N G R O U P S 3
  • 6. Sixty-one percent of angels in the study had portfolio returns that were greater than the capital they invested. Of particular relevance to investors assessing the relative risk of angel investments, the skew demonstrated in the chart on page 3 is comparable to that of formal venture capital investing. The data show declining occurrences of higher returns, even though the categories expand in size (i.e., 1X to 5X is a more narrow category than 10X to 30X). The top 10 percent of exits account for 75 percent of the total cash returns in the sample. The chart also shows that returns varied with the amount of time an investor held an investment. In line with the saying, “lemons ripen faster than plums,” typically, the length of time investors held their investments increased with each level of positive return; analysis indicated that it is not unusual for group-affiliated angels with strong returns to hold their investments for more than ten years. While the average hold period was 3.5 years, exits with a less than 1X multiple took only three years to achieve that result. The average years to exit were 3, 3.3, 4.6, 4.9, and 6 years, demonstrating the importance of patience and non-liquidity in angel investing. Returns to the portfolios of each of the 539 angel investors provide additional insight. While 52 percent of the exits resulted in a less than 1X multiple, the angel investors’ portfolios brought that down to 39 percent of the angel investors who had an overall multiple of less than 1X. These small portfolios of early-stage investments significantly improved their prospects of overall positive multiples. The returns also are concentrated when looking at the outcomes from the angel investor perspective (rather than individual venture exit); the top 10 percent of angel investor performers earned 50 percent of the total capital returns in this sample. These distributions of returns show that making successful angel investments is challenging, but an investment approach across multiple companies can lead to attractive returns. Overall Multiple by Angel Investor Less than 1X Greater than 1X 39% 61% 4 R E T U R N S T O A N G E L I N V E S T O R S I N G R O U P S
  • 7. strategic choices and the distribution of returns In addition to this historical picture of group angel explore methods to assess the quality of due diligence investor outcomes, some strategic questions also rather than just the quantity. reveal useful patterns. For example, does the extent of Spending time on due diligence is significantly due diligence matter in relation to the outcomes related to better outcomes. Simply splitting the sample experienced? Does the extent of angel investor between investors who spent less than the median interaction with the venture relate to the outcomes? Is twenty hours of due diligence and investors who spent it more effective to put capital into follow-on more shows an overall multiple difference of 5.9X for investments in existing deals, or into a larger number those with high due diligence compared to only 1.1X of ventures? Patterns in the distribution of outcomes for those with low due diligence. Sixty-five percent of can shed some light on the relationships these choices the exits with below-median due diligence reported have on group angel investor returns. less than 1X returns, compared to 45 percent for the above-median group. The differences become more Due Diligence Time stark when comparing the top and bottom quartiles To assess the role of due diligence, each respondent of time dedicated to due diligence. The exits where was asked how many hours of due diligence he or she investors spent more than 40 hours doing due performed for each investment. Angel investors diligence (the top quartile) experienced a 7.1X reported the median length of due diligence prior to multiple. investing was twenty hours. Enough investors went far beyond the median that the mean (average) length of due diligence was sixty hours per investment. For comparison, formal venture capitalists may spend several months on due diligence, though the actual number of hours spent working on diligence for a Angel investors reported the median single venture investment is less clear. It is worth length of due diligence prior to noting that length of time may not be the only investing was twenty hours. important factor in due diligence; future research may The Impact of Time in Due Diligence 70.0 Median: 20 hours 60.0 Avg. 26% involved more than 40 hours 50.0 Percent of Exits 40.0 Overall Multiple for High Diligence 5.9X (4.1 years) 30.0 Overall Multiple for Low Diligence 1.1X (3.4 years) 20.0 10.0 0 < 1X 1X to 5X 5X to 10X 10X to 30X > 30X Exit Multiples Low Diligence High Diligence R E T U R N S T O A N G E L I N V E S T O R S I N G R O U P S 5
  • 8. Industry Expertise A choice facing angel groups is the extent to which they will invest within or beyond the areas of industry expertise of their member angels. Focusing investments in a single industry or on a particular product may simplify their due diligence work and lead to more insightful evaluation of the factors critical to the venture’s success, as well as provide opportunities for connecting that venture to new talent and opportunities. However, geography or business conditions may not bring deal flow to the group that allows it to capitalize on its talent or experience. Angel investors may have more opportunities to invest outside, rather than inside, their areas of expertise. Investors reported their years of experience in the industry of each venture in which they invested. The study indicates that half of the investments made were unrelated to investors’ industry experience. When ventures were related to an angel’s expertise, the angel typically had fourteen years of relevant experience. Analysis indicates that expertise had a material impact on angel investors’ earned returns. Investment multiples were twice as high for investments in ventures connected to investors’ industry expertise. Relationship to Industry Expertise 70.0 50% of deals were not related 60.0 When related, they typically had 14 years of experience 50.0 Percent of Exits 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0 < 1X 1X to 5X 5X to 10X 10X to 30X > 30X Exit Multiples Low Industry Expertise High Industry Expertise 6 R E T U R N S T O A N G E L I N V E S T O R S I N G R O U P S
  • 9. Participation (Interaction with Portfolio Companies) After an angel makes an investment, his or her participation in the venture—through mentoring, coaching, financial monitoring, and making connections—is significantly related to that venture’s outcomes. This study measured the frequency of post-investment participation for each investment on a scale from daily through weekly, monthly, quarterly, annually, or rarely/never. Respondents reported meeting with each venture a couple of times per month (between weekly and monthly) on average. Angel investors reported their primary activities included mentoring/coaching, strategic consultation, and monitoring financial information. In the data collected for this study, angel investors who interacted with the venture a couple of times per month experienced an overall multiple of 3.7X in four years. In contrast, investors who participated a couple of times per year experienced overall multiples of only 1.3X in 3.6 years. This relationship does not necessarily mean that participation beyond a couple of times per month would be better. Rather, as frequency increases, the quality and types of participation become more important than the frequency of participation. The Impact of Participation 60.0 High = 1 or 2 times per month 50.0 Low = 1 or 2 times per year 40.0 Percent of Exits High 3.7X (4.0 years) 30.0 Low 1.3X (3.6 years) 20.0 10.0 0 < 1X 1X to 5X 5X to 10X 10X to 30X > 30X Exit Multiples Low Participation High Participation R E T U R N S T O A N G E L I N V E S T O R S I N G R O U P S 7
  • 10. Follow-on Investment In this sample, angel investors made follow-on investment in 29 percent of the ventures from which they exited. Follow-on investments were related to lower returns. This is not a measure of whether any follow-on investment was made, just whether the same angel investor made a follow-on investment in the venture. Of course, the choice to not invest again to help keep a struggling venture going can immediately lead to its demise. If the choice is to let a firm close or to follow-on with more capital, sometimes the follow-on investment still can be a good choice. To that point, the overall multiple for ventures that did receive a follow- on investment from the same angel investor is still positive, at 1.4X, but is lower than the 3.6X for those that did not take a follow-on investment. It is risky to make follow-on investments, however. In this sample, 68 percent of the exits that took follow-on investments resulted in a loss of capital. Follow-On Investment from Same Angel Investor 70.0 30% of deals had follow-on investments 60.0 No 3.6X (3.3 years) 50.0 Yes 1.4X (3.9 years) Percent of Exits 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0 < 1X 1X to 5X 5X to 10X 10X to 30X > 30X Exit Multiples Follow-On Yes Follow-On No 8 R E T U R N S T O A N G E L I N V E S T O R S I N G R O U P S
  • 11. Formal Venture Capital Involvement Angel investors and entrepreneurs make choices about whether and how to involve formal venture capitalists in a venture. Strategic choices about how fast to grow, how to finance that growth, and when to exit the business are tied up in the decision to involve VCs. In this sample, a relatively large 35 percent of the ventures took on venture capital investment at some point after the investment by the angel investor. This, of course, begs the question of how VC-backed ventures in which the angels were involved performed relative to their ventures where VCs did not invest. Overall, the multiples for the ventures that took on formal venture capital were not significantly higher than for those that had no investment from venture capital firms. There was, however, a marked difference in the distribution of their returns. As shown in the chart below, those exits where VC investment occurred had a more extreme distribution, with more failures and larger exits than those where VCs were not involved. The latter tended to fail less but have more exits in the 1X to 5X category. Venture Capital Involvement 70.0 35% of deals took on VC investment at some point 60.0 50.0 Percent of Exits 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0 < 1X 1X to 5X 5X to 10X 10X to 30X > 30X Exit Multiples VC Yes VC No R E T U R N S T O A N G E L I N V E S T O R S I N G R O U P S 9
  • 12. conclusion This research represents the largest empirical study to formal venture capital will continue to refine the of the investment returns to angel investing, and sets understanding and the practice of angel investing. a benchmark on returns and performance factors for While angels’ average multiples compare favorably angel investors connected to angel groups. with other equity investments, the range of outcomes As a group, the risk taken by these angels is demonstrates that angel investing is a risky rewarded with overall returns—2.6X in 3.5 years—that undertaking. As with other forms of equity are fairly attractive. This research also indicates that investment, relatively few ventures earn very large angel investors may positively influence their rates of returns. In any particular venture, an angel investor is return by making wise decisions about due diligence, more likely to lose than to make money, and a avoiding ventures in unfamiliar industries, follow-on significant portion of the angel investors in this sample investments, and productively participating in the experienced a return less than 1X. ventures post-investment. We hope that additional research into the specifics of due diligence and While clearly not for the faint of heart, this research participation, as well as the factors that lead to better suggests that angel investing can be done well in the follow-on investment and more effective connections pursuit of legitimate financial returns. 10 R E T U R N S T O A N G E L I N V E S T O R S I N G R O U P S
  • 13. appendix R E T U R N S T O A N G E L I N V E S T O R S I N G R O U P S 11
  • 14. appendix Characteristics of Investors in Angel early-stage investments, significantly earlier than formal venture capitalists Groups typically invest. The typical group-affiliated angel investor has been investing for just over nine years on average, and has Investment Sizes: Each individual investor’s median made slightly more than one investment per year. The investment was $50,000, and the mean investment results reported above are based only on those was $191,000, per venture. This includes all follow-on investments from which the investor has exited (those investment plus the initial investment, though follow- that have closed, been acquired, or entered the public on investing was relatively rare in this sample. These markets). Most investors continue making new angel investors put additional money into the same investments and have open investments at the time of venture in only 29 percent of their investments. this study. Industries: The industries of the investments in this This sample of group-affiliated angel investors sample reflect venture investing in broad terms. The consisted of 86 percent male participants who were, numbers here represent the percentage of total exits in on average, fifty-seven years old. Ninety-nine percent this sample. As in traditional venture capital, software of them hold college degrees; more than half hold is the lead component, followed by health care and graduate degrees. biotech investments. Given the overlap with other venture investing, it appears that industry differences Entrepreneurial experience is the norm among the are not a major factor in the returns found in this investors in this sample. On average, they have sample. operated as entrepreneurs for more than fourteen years and founded nearly three ventures in that time. Twenty-two percent of the investors in this sample had never worked in a large corporation. Industry of Investments 19% Software Investment Characteristics 18% Health/Biotech Timing of Angel Investment: The information collected in this study allows for analysis of the details 16% Business Products & Services of angel investments. One topic of interest is the level 15% Consumer Products & Services of development of the ventures in which angel 12% Hardware investors will invest. This research found that these group angel investors made very early-stage 12% Other investments: 7% Media/Entertainment • Thirty-four percent of the deals were done when the venture was in the seed stage, and 41 percent in the start-up stage. Angel investors reported conducting 18 percent of the deals in early-growth stage. Later- stage opportunities made up only 7 percent of the investments. • Stage also can be viewed from the perspective of whether a venture is pre- or post-revenues prior to investment. In this sample, 45 percent of the ventures had no revenue at the time these group angel investors made their investments, and the median revenue for all of the ventures at the time of the angel investment was only $125,000. By any standard or definition, these angel investors are engaged in very 12 R E T U R N S T O A N G E L I N V E S T O R S I N G R O U P S
  • 15.
  • 16. A N G E L CA P I TA L E D U CAT I O N F O U N DAT I O N E W I N G M A R I O N K AU F F M A N F O U N DAT I O N Fo u n d e d by K AU F F M A N 4 8 0 1 R O C K H I L L R OA D 8 5 2 7 B L U E JAC K E T S T K A N S A S C I T Y, M I S S O U R I 6 4 1 1 0 LENEXA, KS 66214 816-932-1000 913-894-4700 w w w. k a u f f m a n . o r g w w w. a n g e l c a p i t a l e d u c a t i o n . o r g 110700 JP