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1. Cf Indus Hldgs (CF) Price: $167.09
Industry: Agribusiness
Chaikin Power Gauge Report | Generated: Thu Nov 17 14:23 EST 2011
CF
Cf Indus Hldgs $167.09 Power Gauge Rating
CF - Very Bullish
TM
The Chaikin Power Gauge Rating for CF is very bullish due to very strong
earnings performance, very positive expert opinions, attractive financial metrics
and bullish price/volume activity.
Financial Metrics
CF's earnings performance is very strong as a result of an upward trend in
Earnings Performance earnings this year and a relatively low projected P/E ratio.
Price/Volume Activity
Expert Opinions
News Sentiment Rating
Bullish
CF Cf Indus Hldgs November 14, 2011 TM
Chaikin Sentiment Gauge for CF is bullish. There is currently a significant
positive sentiment within news stories concerning CF.
News Sentiment :Positive
Power Trend - 5 Year Chart
The Power Gauge distills a 20 factor model into a concise picture of a stock's potential. High Potential Neutral Low Potential
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2. Financials & Earnings
Financial Metrics
Financial Metrics Rating
LT Debt/Equity Ratio
Bullish
Price to Book Value CF's financial metrics are very good. The company yields a high return on
shareholder's equity and generates high free cash flow relative to market
Return on Equity
capitalization.
The rank is based on a high price to book value ratio, high return on equity, high
Price to Sales Ratio price to sales ratio and relatively high cash flow.
Business Value
Assets and Liabilities Valuation Returns
Ratio TTM Ratio TTM Ratio TTM
Current Ratio 1.37 Price/Book 2.52 Return on Invest 20.3%
LT Debt/Equity 0.44 Price/Sales 3.02 Return on Equity 27.4%
Earnings Performance
Earnings Performance Rating
Earnings Growth
Very Bullish
Earnings Surprise CF's earnings performance has been very strong. The company experienced
superior earnings growth in the past 12 months and is priced relatively low
compared to next year's projected EPS.
Earnings Trend
The rank is based on better than expected earnings in recent quarters, an upward
Projected P/E Ratio trend in earnings this year, a relatively low projected P/E ratio and consistent
earnings over the past 5 years.
Earnings Consistency
5 Year Revenue and Earnings Growth EPS Estimates
12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 Factor Actual EPS Prev EST EPS Current Change
Revenue(M) 1,949.50 2,756.70 3,921.10 2,608.40 3,965.00 Quarterly EPS $2.81 $6.68 +3.87
Rev % Growth -0.94% 41.41% 42.24% -33.48% 52.01% Yearly EPS $5.40 $22.55 +17.15
EPS $0.60 $6.71 $12.38 $7.54 $5.40 Factor Actual EPS Growth Est EPS Growth Change
EPS % Growth 184.51% 1,018.33% 84.50% -39.10% -28.38% 3-5 year EPS 20.25% 12.00% -8.25
EPS Surprise EPS Quarterly Results
Estimate Actual Difference % Difference FY Qtr 1 Qtr 2 Qtr 3 Qtr 4 Total
Latest Qtr $4.82 $5.16 $0.34 7.05 12/09 $1.29 $4.40 $0.79 $1.06 $7.54
1 Qtr Ago $5.94 $6.87 $0.93 15.66 12/10 $-0.09 $1.56 $0.68 $2.81 $4.96
2 Qtr Ago $3.23 $3.81 $0.58 17.96 12/11 $3.95 $6.81 $4.77 - -
3 Qtr Ago $2.62 $2.65 $0.03 1.15 Fiscal Year End Month is December.
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3. Price Trend & Expert Opinions
Price/Volume Activity
Price/Volume Activity Rating
Relative Strength vs Market Bullish
Chaikin Money Flow
Price and volume activity for CF is bullish. CF has outperformed the S&P 500
over 26 weeks and is experiencing sustained buying.
Price Trend
The rank for CF is based on its price strength versus the market, positive Chaikin
Price Trend ROC
money flow, a positive Chaikin price trend, a negative Chaikin price trend ROC
and a decreasing volume trend.
Volume Trend
Relative Strength vs S&P500 Index Chaikin Money Flow
Chart shows whether CF is performing better or worse than the market. Chaikin Money Flow analyzes supply and demand for a company's stock.
Price Activity Price Activity Volume Activity
Factor Value Factor Value Factor Value
52 Week High 189.78 % Change Price - 4 Weeks 16.35% Average Volume 20 Days 1,737,222
52 Week Low 114.52 % Change Price - 24 Weeks 12.75% Average Volume 90 Days 2,450,896
% Change YTD Rel S&P 500 27.10% % Change Price - 4 Wks Rel to S&P 13.80% Chaikin Money Flow Persistency 66%
% Change Price - 24 Wks Rel to S&P 19.82%
Expert Opinions
Expert Opinions
Earnings Estimate Revisions Very Bullish
Short Interest Expert opinions about CF are very positive. Analysts are raising their EPS
estimates for CF and analysts's opinions on CF have been more positive recently.
Insider Activity
The rank for CF is based on analysts revising earnings estimates upward, a low
short interest ratio, optimistic analyst opinions and relative weakness of the stock
Analyst Opinions
versus the Agribusiness industry group.
Relative Strength vs Industry
Earnings Estimate Revisions Analyst Recommendations EPS Estimates Revision Summary
Current 7 Days Ago % Change Factor Value Last Week Last 4 Weeks
Current Qtr 6.68 6.68 0.00% Mean this Week Buy Up Down Up Down
Next Qtr 5.11 5.11 0.00% Mean Last Week Buy Curr Qtr 0 0 7 0
Curr Yr 0 0 7 0
Current 30 Days Ago % Change Change 0.00
Next Qtr 0 0 3 0
Current FY 22.55 20.91 1.64 Mean 5 Weeks Ago Buy
Next Yr 0 0 7 1
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4. The Company & Its Competitors
CF's Competitors in Agribusiness News Headlines for CF
Company Power Historic EPS Projected EPS Profit Margin PEG PE Revenue(M) Fertilizer group spent $367,110 lobbying in 1Q -
Gauge growth growth Jun 20, 2011
CF 20.25% 12.00% 23.15% 0.62 9.03 3,965 CF Industries settles emissions case at 9 plants
AGU 28.48% - 9.15% - 8.78 10,520
- Apr 19, 2011
CF Industries Reaches Settlement Resolving
POT 24.77% - 33.25% - 13.52 6,539
EPA Complaint - Apr 19, 2011
TNH 10.47% - 59.94% - 12.08 565 Fitch: Record Crop Prices Profit CF Industries;
IDR Upgraded to 'BBB-' - Mar 11, 2011
MOS 19.28% - 25.32% - 11.25 9,938
BRIEF: Ag co-op buys local terminal - Jan 7,
SQM 17.61% 16.86% 22.24% 1.59 34.01 1,830
2011
IPI -4.14% - 23.63% - 20.84 359
Company Details Company Profile
CF INDUS HLDGS CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is the holding company for the operations of CF Industries,
4 PARKWAY NORTH SUITE 400 Inc. CF Industries, Inc. is a major producer and distributor of nitrogen and phosphate
DEERFIELD, IL 60015 fertilizer products. CF Industries operates world-scale nitrogen fertilizer plants in
USA Louisiana and Alberta, Canada; conducts phosphate mining and manufacturing
Phone: (847) 405-2400 operations in Central Florida; and distributes fertilizer products through a system of
Fax: 847-405-2400 terminals, warehouses, and associated transportation equipment located primarily in the
Website: midwestern United States.
http://http://www.cfindustries.com
Full Time Employees: 2,500
Sector: Basic Materials
Power Gauge Ratings are created using a relative ranking system that assigns a rank of 0 to 100 (100 being the highest) to each stock in the universe. Rank is calculated
by evaluating each of the stocks factors and combining them into a single number using a weighting formula. A stock's rank ranges from 100-0, where 100 is the
strongest, and a rank of 95 indicates the stock is better than 95% of the stocks in the universe.
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LM 2.3 DS 3.0 LS 2.1
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