Getting Real About Single Payer:
The Economic Argument for the Long Term
Walter Tsou, MD, MPH
Health Care for All Pennsylvania (www.healthcare4allpa.org)
February 7, 2015
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Getting real about single payer
1. Getting Real About Single Payer:
The Economic Argument for the Long Term
Walter Tsou, MD, MPH
Health Care for All Pennsylvania
February 7, 2015
2. Pennsylvania in a Pickle
• $2+ billion dollar deficit
• Revenue from shale gas much less than predicted
• Huge pension obligation
• Restore $1 billion of public education funding?
• Republican legislature tax adverse
• Cut spending? But where?
3. What would you cut to get $3 billion?
Zogby, 2014-15 Mid Year Budget Briefing, Dec. 3, 2014
4. What is the biggest ignored
waste of taxpayer funds?
5. US spends more per capita
OECD Health Data, Kaiser Family Foundation
12. State single payer bill
• The Family and Business Health Security Act
would cost 10% of payroll and 3% personal
income tax for individuals
• Comprehensive coverage for all medical,
vision, dental, mental health and long term
care services
• Coverage for life (eliminates need for retiree
health costs for those who stay in Penna)
13. Outside Economic Analysis
• Dr. Gerald Friedman, Professor of Economics,
Univ. of Massachusetts studied the plan
• $17 billion annual savings
14. Education funding
• Restore $1 billion in cuts
• 10% payroll vs. 2009 school district health
spending (19.4%)?
• Savings for school districts? $1.15 billion
15. Pension funding, 2 parts
• Pensions – wages post retirement –somewhat
funded
• Other Post Employment Benefits – pay as you
go
– Health care premiums
– Life insurance premiums
– Deferred compensation
17. Accrued Retiree Health Unfunded
Liability is over $16 BILLION!
Hay Group, August 21, 2013, “Actuarial Valuation of the Post Retirement Medical Plan”
18. Bottom Line, $2.5 Billion annually for
Retiree Health Costs just in PA
Hay Group, August 21, 2013, “Actuarial Valuation of the Post Retirement Medical Plan”
19. Retiree Health Care Costs
• Only a single payer plan can you guarantee
coverage of future health care costs
• Converts an accrual $16 billion liability to a
pay as you go liability – much more affordable
20. Expand Medicaid
• While we support, it maintains the enormous
administrative waste
• No cost containment features
21. Summary
• Single payer is the only solution that can
generate billions in state savings
• Able to save in education, pensions, and
Medicaid
• The alternative budget are unconscionable
cuts