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NEW WORLD, NEW RULES
             SURVIVING, LEADING & THRIVING IN OUR NEW WORLD




                        Carlos Dominguez
                        Cisco Systems
                        Senior Vice President            DRIVING BUSINESS EVOLUTION
                        Office of the Chairman and CEO

                        TECH NOWIST
Monday, July 25, 2011
Role




                                IC @ F
                             OFFRSE OCISCO
                            YEA
                        19+ AIRMAN & CEO
                         CH




Monday, July 25, 2011
“                                   ”
               SELF-PROCLAIMED



           TECH NOWIST

   Leveraging the Present
         Preparing for the Future


Monday, July 25, 2011
AGENDA

                        EXPLORE
                        OUR NEW WORLD



                                IMPLICATIONS
                                ON BUSINESS & LEADERSHIP



                                          SUGGESTIONS
                                          SURVIVE, LEAD & THRIVE
Monday, July 25, 2011
Agenda
     EXPLORE
     OUR NEW WORLD


    4  Forces
    Defining Our New World




Monday, July 25, 2011
EXPLORE
           OUR NEW WORLD




            FORCE #1
             Rate & Speed of Change




Monday, July 25, 2011
POLL QUESTION?


                               “The World Is Changing at a
                                  Comfortable Pace?”




Monday, July 25, 2011
SPEED AND PACE OF CHANGE: FACT OR FICTION
                               If Facebook were a country it would be the world’s third largest and
                                2 times the size of the U.S. population.


                                                              1 in 5 couples meet online;
                                                1 in 5 divorces are blamed on Facebook.


 More video was uploaded to Youtube in the last 2 months than if
                                        had been airing new content 24/7/365..............     Since 1948

                                   More people return home for their cell phone than their wallet



                    Carlos Dominguez is usually confused with Elvis...... not the fat one!

Monday, July 25, 2011
PREDICTION




Monday, July 25, 2011
                           THAN THE PREVIOUS   25
                        MORE CHANGE NEXT 3 YEARS
                                                   9
FORCE #2
             Social Networking - “Power to the People”




Monday, July 25, 2011
Who Was Time Magazine’s
                        Person of the Year in 2006?




Monday, July 25, 2011
Who Was Time Magazine’s
                        Person of the Year in 2010?




Monday, July 25, 2011
The Power of WE




                              2006        2010
Monday, July 25, 2011
Oscar Morales




   1 Million People
  Against the FARC




        12 MILLION PEOPLE IN 120 COUNTRIES PROTEST
Monday, July 25, 2011
Egypt




                                   Youth Organized
                                Leveraging Social Media




Monday, July 25, 2011
FORCE #3
             Contribution & Co-Creation Revolution




Monday, July 25, 2011
17




Monday, July 25, 2011
How Many Man
                             a) 3 Million
        Hours Are Invested   b) 10 Million
          In Wikepedia?      c) 30 Million
                             d) 100 Million



Monday, July 25, 2011
Interesting Fact:




                          *100 M Hours = The number of hours American spend
                          every weekend watching television......Commercials




                        *Clay Shirky NYU Professor, Writer - Cognitive Surplus




Monday, July 25, 2011
TYPES
                                The Contribution Revolution - “Co-Creation Era”
                             New Business Models Emerging - Change Everything




                                               Expertise:         Software Code:     Creative Expression:
                        Opinions & Ratings:
                                               Wikipedia          Firefox & Linux      YouTube, Flickr
                              Zagats




                        Social Connections:    Specialized      Design &             Capital                Goods:
                         Facebook, Twitter    Connections:   Developments:          Resource:                eBay
                                                Craigslist   Threadless, Ryz         Skype




                                         Platforms That Allow Users To Contribute

Monday, July 25, 2011
Companies Born Into Change - “Crowdsourcing”
                                              Facts:
                                      - Founded 2000
                                      - 50 Employees
                                      - 30+ M Revenues
                                      - Double Digit Growth
                                      - 500,000 Community Members
                                      - 120,000 Designers
                                      - 10,000 orders / day
                                      - 288,753 Likes on Facebook
                                      - 1.6 M Twitter Followers
                                      - 30 Avg. Age Employees

                                       “Crowdsourcing“…a focus group on
                                                                          a grand scale
                                                                                          21
Monday, July 25, 2011
FORCE #4
             Net Generation - “100% Digital, All the Time




Monday, July 25, 2011
1980 -1995 (80 M)




                            The New People Come Infected
                                 With The New World.



                                                NEW
                                                      WORKER
Monday, July 25, 2011
EXPLORE
             OUR NEW WORLD




            SUMMARY
              Rate & Speed of Change
              Social Networking - “Power of the People”
              Contribution & Co-Creation Revolution
              Net Generation - 100% Digital, All the Time




Monday, July 25, 2011
Agenda
     IMPLICATIONS
     ON BUSINESS & LEADERSHIP



      CURRENT
      ENVIRONMENT


Monday, July 25, 2011
What is your current business environment?

                        Challenges?



Monday, July 25, 2011
CEO                IBM SURVEY OF
                        SURVEY          1500 CEOs GLOBALLY
                        KEY FINDINGS?




Monday, July 25, 2011
Organizations are experiencing significant upheaval




               69%                                                                                                                            More volatile
                                                                                                                                              Deeper/faster cycles, more risk




               65%                                                                                                                            More uncertain
                                                                                                                                              Less predictable




               60%                                                                                                                            More complex
                                                                                                                                              Multifaceted, interconnected




               53%                                                                                                                            Structurally different
                                                                                                                                              Sustained change


       Source: IBM 2010 Global CEO Study                                                                To a large/very large extent

                                       © 2009 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.       Carlos Dominguez, SVP Cisco Systems                                             36
                                                                                                                                                                             28
                                           © 2006 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.                               Cisco Confidential

Monday, July 25, 2011
Organizations are experiencing significant upheaval




               69%                                                                                                                            More volatile
                                                                                                                                              Deeper/faster cycles, more risk




               65%                                                                                                                            More uncertain
                                                                                                                                              Less predictable




               60%                                                                                                                            More complex
                                                                                                                                              Multifaceted, interconnected




               53%                                                                                                                            Structurally different
                                                                                                                                              Sustained change


       Source: IBM 2010 Global CEO Study                                                                To a large/very large extent

                                       © 2009 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.       Carlos Dominguez, SVP Cisco Systems                                             36
                                                                                                                                                                             29
                                           © 2006 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.                               Cisco Confidential

Monday, July 25, 2011
Organizations are experiencing significant upheaval




               69%                                                                                                                            More volatile
                                                                                                                                              Deeper/faster cycles, more risk




               65%                                                                                                                            More uncertain
                                                                                                                                              Less predictable




               60%                                                                                                                            More complex
                                                                                                                                              Multifaceted, interconnected




               53%                                                                                                                            Structurally different
                                                                                                                                              Sustained change


       Source: IBM 2010 Global CEO Study                                                                To a large/very large extent

                                       © 2009 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.       Carlos Dominguez, SVP Cisco Systems                                             36
                                                                                                                                                                             30
                                           © 2006 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.                               Cisco Confidential

Monday, July 25, 2011
Organizations are experiencing significant upheaval




               69%                                                                                                                            More volatile
                                                                                                                                              Deeper/faster cycles, more risk




               65%                                                                                                                            More uncertain
                                                                                                                                              Less predictable




               60%                                                                                                                            More complex
                                                                                                                                              Multifaceted, interconnected




               53%                                                                                                                            Structurally different
                                                                                                                                              Sustained change


       Source: IBM 2010 Global CEO Study                                                                To a large/very large extent

                                       © 2009 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.       Carlos Dominguez, SVP Cisco Systems                                             36
                                                                                                                                                                             31
                                           © 2006 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.                               Cisco Confidential

Monday, July 25, 2011
Expected level of complexity
     CEOs agree complexity will only continue to rise




              60%
                                                                                                                                              Currently experiencing high/very high level of
                                                                                                                                              complexity



              79%


       Source: IBM 2010 Global CEO Study

                                       © 2009 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.       Carlos Dominguez, SVP Cisco Systems                                                               36
                                                                                                                                                                                               32
                                           © 2006 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.                               Cisco Confidential

Monday, July 25, 2011
Expected level of complexity
     CEOs agree complexity will only continue to rise




              60%
                                                                                                                                              Currently experiencing high/very high level of
                                                                                                                                              complexity


                                                                                                                                                                     Expect high/very high
              79%                                                                                                                                                    level of complexity over
                                                                                                                                                                     five years




       Source: IBM 2010 Global CEO Study

                                       © 2009 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.       Carlos Dominguez, SVP Cisco Systems                                                               36
                                                                                                                                                                                               33
                                           © 2006 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.                               Cisco Confidential

Monday, July 25, 2011
Todayʼs complexity is only expected to rise,
           and more than half of CEOs doubt their ability
           to manage it.



            Source: IBM 2010 Global CEO Study



Monday, July 25, 2011
A Telecommunications CEO in Brazil predicted




       “        The services that account for 80 percent of our revenue today


                                                                              ”
                will only be our second largest source of revenue in five years.




         With few expectations, CEOs expect
         continued disruption in one form or another.
          Source: IBM 2010 Global CEO Study

Monday, July 25, 2011
NAME THE 3 EXTERNAL FORCES WHICH WILL HAVE THE
                      BIGGEST IMPACT ON YOUR ORGANIZATIONS?




Monday, July 25, 2011
Agenda
   SUGGESTIONS
   SURVIVE, LEAD & THRIVE




Monday, July 25, 2011
IN10 YEARS
                          OVER 40% OF THE

                          FORTUNE 500
                          WILL NO LONGER BE HERE*

   *Babson Olin School of Business Advertisement, Fast Company April 2011, page 121.

Monday, July 25, 2011
NEW
                        SUCCESS     WHAT DO YOU THINK?

                        CRITERIA?

Monday, July 25, 2011
POOR CUSTOMER
                           SERVICE

                         OUT OF SYNC
                          CUSTOMER

                         DIDN’T VALUE
                         EMPLOYEES

                        LACK INNOVATION


                          Philip Schoonover       Brian Dunn
                          CEO of Circuit City   CEO of Best Buy
Monday, July 25, 2011
Female Executive Challenged The Male Dominated Company
                             CHALLENGE: Only 16% of its customers are women


          What it’s doing:
          tapping its female employees for ideas on how to sell to women


          Set up “Women’s Leadership Forums”
          - Groups of female workers who meet regularly


          ‣ increase appliance sales by re-designing showrooms to resemble
            kitchens
          ‣ new focus on women for smart phone sales
          ‣ market to moms who buy video games for kids
          ‣ Best Buy Mobile - mall-based, gadget stores
            to access female shoppers in malls
          ‣ focused on women in Home Theater sales
Monday, July 25, 2011
Jim Keyes            Reed Hastings
                        CEO of Blockbuster   CEO of Netflix




Monday, July 25, 2011
Physical stores   DVDs mailed to you   Internet Video Streaming
                                               no late fees

                                                                        (and DVDs)

                                                                    Good partnering!
                                                                  Securing licensing deals
                                                                  with content producers

                                               Reed Hastings




Monday, July 25, 2011
Cinematch
                                 Improve our movie recommendation
                                  ratings by 10% and win $1 million


               85%
           Crowd source
           Innovation
                                                95%
           35,000+ contestants, 180 countries
                            IRONMAN
           Participate & Contribute

                                 After ultrarich inventor and weapons maker Tony


           Winners: 3 rocket scientists from AT&T Labs in NJ
                                 Stark (Robert Downey Jr.) escapes from kidnappers
                                 using makeshift power armor, he turns his invention
                                 to good by using it to fight crime. But when he must

           (8.4% improvement rate)
                                 face the evil Iron monger, his skills are stretched to
                                 the limit. Based on the Marvel comic, this captivating
                                 superhero tale from director John Favreau co-stars
           They’ve sinced gotten to 9.6%
                                 Gwyneth Paltrow, Jeff Bridges and Terrence Howard.




Monday, July 25, 2011
Bennett S. LeBow          Jeff Bezos
                        CEO of Borders            CEO of Amazon.com




                                           Predict the future
                                           Leverage Assets




Monday, July 25, 2011
Sergio Marchionne                     Alan Mulally
                          CEO of Chrysler                       CEO of Ford




                        Bailout               No bailout - Increase in share price




Monday, July 25, 2011
COMMON CHARACTERISTICS
                        PRODUCT LEADERSHIP      CUSTOMER SERVICE
                                                          NIMBLE
        OPER ATIONAL EXCELLENCE
                                                       ORGANIZATIONS
            HARNESS ASSETS                 EMPOWERMENT
          ACROSS ORGANIZATION            &VALUE EMPLOYEES
                                                      FOCUS ON INNOVATION
                    CUSTOMER            EXPERIMENT
                  CONTRIBUTION          CONSTANTLY          LEVERAGE
                   & FEEDBACK                               DIVERSITY
                                                LEVERAGE
            CULTURE OF                         TECHNOLOGY    REWARDS
              CHANGE             IMAGINE THE
                                   FUTURE                   CREATIVITY

Monday, July 25, 2011
“Tech Nowist”4 STEP PROCESS

                              Someone who   EMBRACES CHANGE,
                              understands what technology is available,


                              EXPERIMENTS with it,
                              LEARNS         from the experiments &




                        4
                              LEVERAGES it for a competitive advantage

Monday, July 25, 2011
7                  SUGGESTIONS
                   SURVIVE, LEAD & THRIVE
                        1. EMBRACE CHANGE




Monday, July 25, 2011
Change is easy Intellectually
                        “Who Likes Change?”
                                 But... Very hard emotionally!




Monday, July 25, 2011
“If you had to change your life patterns
                        to   avoid death could you do it?”




Monday, July 25, 2011
QUESTION?

                          WHAT % OF PATIENTS CONFORM TO A HEALTHY
                              LIFESTYLE AFTER A HEART ATTACK?


                                          A)10%
                                          B)20%
                                          C)30%
                                          D)40%


Monday, July 25, 2011
20%
                        LACK OF URGENCY
                        CHANGE CHALLENGE 1
Monday, July 25, 2011
Is it easier to change during
                        a crisis or during good times?



Monday, July 25, 2011
CHANGE
             SUMMARY
              Lack of urgency
              Don’t see it
              Familiarity
              Wrong perception



Monday, July 25, 2011
CHANGE
           “            IT IS NOT THE STRONGEST OF THE SPECIES THAT SURVIVES, NOR


                                                                                ”
                        THE MOST INTELLIGENT, BUT THE ONE THAT IS MOST RESPONSIVE
                        TO CHANGE


                                                        -CHARLES DARWIN




Monday, July 25, 2011
                                ATTENTION
7                  SUGGESTIONS
                   SURVIVE, LEAD & THRIVE
                        1. EMBRACE CHANGE
                        2. EMBRACE SOCIAL MEDIA




Monday, July 25, 2011
WHAT’S YOUR
                        POLICY ON SOCIAL
                             MEDIA?

Monday, July 25, 2011
GUIDE YOUR EMPLOYEES

                            http://wwwin.cisco.com/cisco/ccoe/




Monday, July 25, 2011
7                  SUGGESTIONS
                   SURVIVE, LEAD & THRIVE
                        1. EMBRACE CHANGE
                        2. EMBRACE SOCIAL MEDIA
                        3. FOCUS ON DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION




Monday, July 25, 2011
EXAMPLE

Monday, July 25, 2011
TIMELINE



                        2000 - Kodak vows to lead in digital
                        2005 - Kodak ranked #1 in digital camera sales
                             - Surged 40% to $5.7B
                             - Film fell 18%




Monday, July 25, 2011
WHAT HAPPENED?
                        Low margins on camera’s / high margin on film
                              Crushing profit disappointment




Monday, July 25, 2011
7                  SUGGESTIONS
                   SURVIVE, LEAD & THRIVE
                        1. EMBRACE CHANGE
                        2. EMBRACE SOCIAL MEDIA
                        3. FOCUS ON DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION
                        4. IMAGINE THE FUTURE




Monday, July 25, 2011
Arthur C. Clark
                        Predicting the future
                              in 1964


Monday, July 25, 2011
IMAGINE THE FUTURE
                        1. Conduct research - hire / buy
                        2. Brainstorming sessions - inside and outside
                        3. Listen, listen, listen
                        4. Dialogue with cutting edge thinkers
                        5. Understand technology - what’s available and what’s coming
                        6. Attend conferences
                        7. Constantly ask - what if?
                        8. Be curious
                        9. Be enthusiastic
                        10. Take time to think..... quietly


Monday, July 25, 2011
7                  SUGGESTIONS
                   SURVIVE, LEAD & THRIVE
                        1. EMBRACE CHANGE
                        2. EMBRACE SOCIAL MEDIA
                        3. FOCUS ON DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION
                        4. IMAGINE THE FUTURE
                        5. EXPERIMENT VS ROI



Monday, July 25, 2011
Experimentation is key:
                        Prototype a lot, fail often, and fail early




Monday, July 25, 2011
7                  SUGGESTIONS
                   SURVIVE, LEAD & THRIVE
                        1. EMBRACE CHANGE
                        2. EMBRACE SOCIAL MEDIA
                        3. FOCUS ON DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION
                        4. IMAGINE THE FUTURE
                        5. EXPERIMENT VS ROI
                        6. LEVERAGE TECHNOLOGY


Monday, July 25, 2011
Monday, July 25, 2011
7                  SUGGESTIONS
                   SURVIVE, LEAD & THRIVE
                        1. EMBRACE CHANGE
                        2. EMBRACE SOCIAL MEDIA
                        3. FOCUS ON DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION
                        4. IMAGINE THE FUTURE
                        5. EXPERIMENT VS ROI
                        6. LEVERAGE TECHNOLOGY
                        7. IMPLEMENT EFFECTIVE COLLABORATION
Monday, July 25, 2011
“KILLER APP”
                          Collaboration




Monday, July 25, 2011
“ A power shift is underway, and a tough
                                                                            business rule is emerging.
                                                                            Harness the new collaboration or perish.
                                                                            Those that fail to grasp this will find
                                                                            themselves ever more isolated.
                                                                                                                                 ”
                                                                                                          Don Tapscott
                                                                                                          Author of Wikinomics




    14184_11_2007       © 2006 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved.              Cisco Confidential                              73

Monday, July 25, 2011
“WHY COLLABORATE?”
                        The goal of collaboration is not collaboration, but great results.




Monday, July 25, 2011
TECHNOLOGY



                          FRAMEWORK FOR
                             EFFECTIVE
                          COLLABORATION
                        PROCESS                CULTURE


Monday, July 25, 2011
Hunt for Value Across I.C.E. - Cisco Examples

                                                          Cross-unit product innovation
                                                          New business creations
                                INNOVATION
                                                          PRODUCT - TELEPRESENCE / WEBEX INTEGRATION
                                                          NEW BUSINESS -IPRIZE - CROWDSOURCING


                                                          Cross-selling, better coordination
                                                          Better customer service by coordination
                                CUSTOMERS
                                                          CUSTOMER SERVICE - WEB PROPERTIES - / SELF SERVICE
                                                          CROSS SELLING - DATA CENTER - PARTNER COMMUNITY



                                                          Costs/investments savings by coordinating/sharing
                                                          Better decisions by getting input
                                EFFICIENCY
                                                          WEBEX




                        MORTEN HANSEN - “COLLABORATION”

Monday, July 25, 2011
Thank you.




Monday, July 25, 2011

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IT Executive Forum, Cisco LIve 2011

  • 1. NEW WORLD, NEW RULES SURVIVING, LEADING & THRIVING IN OUR NEW WORLD Carlos Dominguez Cisco Systems Senior Vice President DRIVING BUSINESS EVOLUTION Office of the Chairman and CEO TECH NOWIST Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 2. Role IC @ F OFFRSE OCISCO YEA 19+ AIRMAN & CEO CH Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 3. ” SELF-PROCLAIMED TECH NOWIST Leveraging the Present Preparing for the Future Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 4. AGENDA EXPLORE OUR NEW WORLD IMPLICATIONS ON BUSINESS & LEADERSHIP SUGGESTIONS SURVIVE, LEAD & THRIVE Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 5. Agenda EXPLORE OUR NEW WORLD 4 Forces Defining Our New World Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 6. EXPLORE OUR NEW WORLD FORCE #1 Rate & Speed of Change Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 7. POLL QUESTION? “The World Is Changing at a Comfortable Pace?” Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 8. SPEED AND PACE OF CHANGE: FACT OR FICTION If Facebook were a country it would be the world’s third largest and 2 times the size of the U.S. population. 1 in 5 couples meet online; 1 in 5 divorces are blamed on Facebook. More video was uploaded to Youtube in the last 2 months than if had been airing new content 24/7/365.............. Since 1948 More people return home for their cell phone than their wallet Carlos Dominguez is usually confused with Elvis...... not the fat one! Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 9. PREDICTION Monday, July 25, 2011 THAN THE PREVIOUS 25 MORE CHANGE NEXT 3 YEARS 9
  • 10. FORCE #2 Social Networking - “Power to the People” Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 11. Who Was Time Magazine’s Person of the Year in 2006? Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 12. Who Was Time Magazine’s Person of the Year in 2010? Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 13. The Power of WE 2006 2010 Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 14. Oscar Morales 1 Million People Against the FARC 12 MILLION PEOPLE IN 120 COUNTRIES PROTEST Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 15. Egypt Youth Organized Leveraging Social Media Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 16. FORCE #3 Contribution & Co-Creation Revolution Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 18. How Many Man a) 3 Million Hours Are Invested b) 10 Million In Wikepedia? c) 30 Million d) 100 Million Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 19. Interesting Fact: *100 M Hours = The number of hours American spend every weekend watching television......Commercials *Clay Shirky NYU Professor, Writer - Cognitive Surplus Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 20. TYPES The Contribution Revolution - “Co-Creation Era” New Business Models Emerging - Change Everything Expertise: Software Code: Creative Expression: Opinions & Ratings: Wikipedia Firefox & Linux YouTube, Flickr Zagats Social Connections: Specialized Design & Capital Goods: Facebook, Twitter Connections: Developments: Resource: eBay Craigslist Threadless, Ryz Skype Platforms That Allow Users To Contribute Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 21. Companies Born Into Change - “Crowdsourcing” Facts: - Founded 2000 - 50 Employees - 30+ M Revenues - Double Digit Growth - 500,000 Community Members - 120,000 Designers - 10,000 orders / day - 288,753 Likes on Facebook - 1.6 M Twitter Followers - 30 Avg. Age Employees “Crowdsourcing“…a focus group on a grand scale 21 Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 22. FORCE #4 Net Generation - “100% Digital, All the Time Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 23. 1980 -1995 (80 M) The New People Come Infected With The New World. NEW WORKER Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 24. EXPLORE OUR NEW WORLD SUMMARY Rate & Speed of Change Social Networking - “Power of the People” Contribution & Co-Creation Revolution Net Generation - 100% Digital, All the Time Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 25. Agenda IMPLICATIONS ON BUSINESS & LEADERSHIP CURRENT ENVIRONMENT Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 26. What is your current business environment? Challenges? Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 27. CEO IBM SURVEY OF SURVEY 1500 CEOs GLOBALLY KEY FINDINGS? Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 28. Organizations are experiencing significant upheaval 69% More volatile Deeper/faster cycles, more risk 65% More uncertain Less predictable 60% More complex Multifaceted, interconnected 53% Structurally different Sustained change Source: IBM 2010 Global CEO Study To a large/very large extent © 2009 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Carlos Dominguez, SVP Cisco Systems 36 28 © 2006 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 29. Organizations are experiencing significant upheaval 69% More volatile Deeper/faster cycles, more risk 65% More uncertain Less predictable 60% More complex Multifaceted, interconnected 53% Structurally different Sustained change Source: IBM 2010 Global CEO Study To a large/very large extent © 2009 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Carlos Dominguez, SVP Cisco Systems 36 29 © 2006 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 30. Organizations are experiencing significant upheaval 69% More volatile Deeper/faster cycles, more risk 65% More uncertain Less predictable 60% More complex Multifaceted, interconnected 53% Structurally different Sustained change Source: IBM 2010 Global CEO Study To a large/very large extent © 2009 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Carlos Dominguez, SVP Cisco Systems 36 30 © 2006 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 31. Organizations are experiencing significant upheaval 69% More volatile Deeper/faster cycles, more risk 65% More uncertain Less predictable 60% More complex Multifaceted, interconnected 53% Structurally different Sustained change Source: IBM 2010 Global CEO Study To a large/very large extent © 2009 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Carlos Dominguez, SVP Cisco Systems 36 31 © 2006 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 32. Expected level of complexity CEOs agree complexity will only continue to rise 60% Currently experiencing high/very high level of complexity 79% Source: IBM 2010 Global CEO Study © 2009 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Carlos Dominguez, SVP Cisco Systems 36 32 © 2006 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 33. Expected level of complexity CEOs agree complexity will only continue to rise 60% Currently experiencing high/very high level of complexity Expect high/very high 79% level of complexity over five years Source: IBM 2010 Global CEO Study © 2009 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Carlos Dominguez, SVP Cisco Systems 36 33 © 2006 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 34. Todayʼs complexity is only expected to rise, and more than half of CEOs doubt their ability to manage it. Source: IBM 2010 Global CEO Study Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 35. A Telecommunications CEO in Brazil predicted “ The services that account for 80 percent of our revenue today ” will only be our second largest source of revenue in five years. With few expectations, CEOs expect continued disruption in one form or another. Source: IBM 2010 Global CEO Study Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 36. NAME THE 3 EXTERNAL FORCES WHICH WILL HAVE THE BIGGEST IMPACT ON YOUR ORGANIZATIONS? Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 37. Agenda SUGGESTIONS SURVIVE, LEAD & THRIVE Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 38. IN10 YEARS OVER 40% OF THE FORTUNE 500 WILL NO LONGER BE HERE* *Babson Olin School of Business Advertisement, Fast Company April 2011, page 121. Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 39. NEW SUCCESS WHAT DO YOU THINK? CRITERIA? Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 40. POOR CUSTOMER SERVICE OUT OF SYNC CUSTOMER DIDN’T VALUE EMPLOYEES LACK INNOVATION Philip Schoonover Brian Dunn CEO of Circuit City CEO of Best Buy Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 41. Female Executive Challenged The Male Dominated Company CHALLENGE: Only 16% of its customers are women What it’s doing: tapping its female employees for ideas on how to sell to women Set up “Women’s Leadership Forums” - Groups of female workers who meet regularly ‣ increase appliance sales by re-designing showrooms to resemble kitchens ‣ new focus on women for smart phone sales ‣ market to moms who buy video games for kids ‣ Best Buy Mobile - mall-based, gadget stores to access female shoppers in malls ‣ focused on women in Home Theater sales Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 42. Jim Keyes Reed Hastings CEO of Blockbuster CEO of Netflix Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 43. Physical stores DVDs mailed to you Internet Video Streaming no late fees (and DVDs) Good partnering! Securing licensing deals with content producers Reed Hastings Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 44. Cinematch Improve our movie recommendation ratings by 10% and win $1 million 85% Crowd source Innovation 95% 35,000+ contestants, 180 countries IRONMAN Participate & Contribute After ultrarich inventor and weapons maker Tony Winners: 3 rocket scientists from AT&T Labs in NJ Stark (Robert Downey Jr.) escapes from kidnappers using makeshift power armor, he turns his invention to good by using it to fight crime. But when he must (8.4% improvement rate) face the evil Iron monger, his skills are stretched to the limit. Based on the Marvel comic, this captivating superhero tale from director John Favreau co-stars They’ve sinced gotten to 9.6% Gwyneth Paltrow, Jeff Bridges and Terrence Howard. Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 45. Bennett S. LeBow Jeff Bezos CEO of Borders CEO of Amazon.com Predict the future Leverage Assets Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 46. Sergio Marchionne Alan Mulally CEO of Chrysler CEO of Ford Bailout No bailout - Increase in share price Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 47. COMMON CHARACTERISTICS PRODUCT LEADERSHIP CUSTOMER SERVICE NIMBLE OPER ATIONAL EXCELLENCE ORGANIZATIONS HARNESS ASSETS EMPOWERMENT ACROSS ORGANIZATION &VALUE EMPLOYEES FOCUS ON INNOVATION CUSTOMER EXPERIMENT CONTRIBUTION CONSTANTLY LEVERAGE & FEEDBACK DIVERSITY LEVERAGE CULTURE OF TECHNOLOGY REWARDS CHANGE IMAGINE THE FUTURE CREATIVITY Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 48. “Tech Nowist”4 STEP PROCESS Someone who EMBRACES CHANGE, understands what technology is available, EXPERIMENTS with it, LEARNS from the experiments & 4 LEVERAGES it for a competitive advantage Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 49. 7 SUGGESTIONS SURVIVE, LEAD & THRIVE 1. EMBRACE CHANGE Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 50. Change is easy Intellectually “Who Likes Change?” But... Very hard emotionally! Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 51. “If you had to change your life patterns to avoid death could you do it?” Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 52. QUESTION? WHAT % OF PATIENTS CONFORM TO A HEALTHY LIFESTYLE AFTER A HEART ATTACK? A)10% B)20% C)30% D)40% Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 53. 20% LACK OF URGENCY CHANGE CHALLENGE 1 Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 54. Is it easier to change during a crisis or during good times? Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 55. CHANGE SUMMARY Lack of urgency Don’t see it Familiarity Wrong perception Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 56. CHANGE “ IT IS NOT THE STRONGEST OF THE SPECIES THAT SURVIVES, NOR ” THE MOST INTELLIGENT, BUT THE ONE THAT IS MOST RESPONSIVE TO CHANGE -CHARLES DARWIN Monday, July 25, 2011 ATTENTION
  • 57. 7 SUGGESTIONS SURVIVE, LEAD & THRIVE 1. EMBRACE CHANGE 2. EMBRACE SOCIAL MEDIA Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 58. WHAT’S YOUR POLICY ON SOCIAL MEDIA? Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 59. GUIDE YOUR EMPLOYEES http://wwwin.cisco.com/cisco/ccoe/ Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 60. 7 SUGGESTIONS SURVIVE, LEAD & THRIVE 1. EMBRACE CHANGE 2. EMBRACE SOCIAL MEDIA 3. FOCUS ON DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 62. TIMELINE 2000 - Kodak vows to lead in digital 2005 - Kodak ranked #1 in digital camera sales - Surged 40% to $5.7B - Film fell 18% Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 63. WHAT HAPPENED? Low margins on camera’s / high margin on film Crushing profit disappointment Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 64. 7 SUGGESTIONS SURVIVE, LEAD & THRIVE 1. EMBRACE CHANGE 2. EMBRACE SOCIAL MEDIA 3. FOCUS ON DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION 4. IMAGINE THE FUTURE Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 65. Arthur C. Clark Predicting the future in 1964 Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 66. IMAGINE THE FUTURE 1. Conduct research - hire / buy 2. Brainstorming sessions - inside and outside 3. Listen, listen, listen 4. Dialogue with cutting edge thinkers 5. Understand technology - what’s available and what’s coming 6. Attend conferences 7. Constantly ask - what if? 8. Be curious 9. Be enthusiastic 10. Take time to think..... quietly Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 67. 7 SUGGESTIONS SURVIVE, LEAD & THRIVE 1. EMBRACE CHANGE 2. EMBRACE SOCIAL MEDIA 3. FOCUS ON DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION 4. IMAGINE THE FUTURE 5. EXPERIMENT VS ROI Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 68. Experimentation is key: Prototype a lot, fail often, and fail early Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 69. 7 SUGGESTIONS SURVIVE, LEAD & THRIVE 1. EMBRACE CHANGE 2. EMBRACE SOCIAL MEDIA 3. FOCUS ON DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION 4. IMAGINE THE FUTURE 5. EXPERIMENT VS ROI 6. LEVERAGE TECHNOLOGY Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 71. 7 SUGGESTIONS SURVIVE, LEAD & THRIVE 1. EMBRACE CHANGE 2. EMBRACE SOCIAL MEDIA 3. FOCUS ON DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION 4. IMAGINE THE FUTURE 5. EXPERIMENT VS ROI 6. LEVERAGE TECHNOLOGY 7. IMPLEMENT EFFECTIVE COLLABORATION Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 72. “KILLER APP” Collaboration Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 73. “ A power shift is underway, and a tough business rule is emerging. Harness the new collaboration or perish. Those that fail to grasp this will find themselves ever more isolated. ” Don Tapscott Author of Wikinomics 14184_11_2007 © 2006 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 73 Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 74. “WHY COLLABORATE?” The goal of collaboration is not collaboration, but great results. Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 75. TECHNOLOGY FRAMEWORK FOR EFFECTIVE COLLABORATION PROCESS CULTURE Monday, July 25, 2011
  • 76. Hunt for Value Across I.C.E. - Cisco Examples Cross-unit product innovation New business creations INNOVATION PRODUCT - TELEPRESENCE / WEBEX INTEGRATION NEW BUSINESS -IPRIZE - CROWDSOURCING Cross-selling, better coordination Better customer service by coordination CUSTOMERS CUSTOMER SERVICE - WEB PROPERTIES - / SELF SERVICE CROSS SELLING - DATA CENTER - PARTNER COMMUNITY Costs/investments savings by coordinating/sharing Better decisions by getting input EFFICIENCY WEBEX MORTEN HANSEN - “COLLABORATION” Monday, July 25, 2011