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Research and Commercialization Opportunities for the future Low Carbon Economy   Bill St. Arnaud [email_address] Unless otherwise noted all material in this slide deck may be reproduced, modified or distributed without prior permission of the author
Theme of this talk ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
Global Average Temperature
2009 second warmest year ever
Spring 2010 warmest ever This is despite a solar sun spot minimum
The Earth is Warming Over 100 Times Faster Today Than During the Last Ice Age Warming! http://scrippsco2.ucsd.edu/program_history/keeling_curve_lessons.html CO 2  Rose From  185 to 265ppm (80ppm)  in 6000 years or  1.33 ppm per Century CO 2  Has Risen From  335 to 385ppm (50ppm)  in 30 years or  1.6 ppm per Year
Climate Forecasts MIT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Climate Change is not reversible ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],All we hope to achieve is to slow down the rapid rate of climate change Weaver et al., GRL (2007)
Climate tipping points ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Arctic Summer Ice Melting Accelerating Relative to IPCC 2007 Predictions Source: www.copenhagendiagnosis.org
2009-10 Canada winter 4.2C warmer than average
Urgency of Action ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman http://www.nytimes.com/2010/04/11/magazine/11Economy-t.html?pagewanted=1
The Falsehood of Energy Efficiency ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
More on Energy Efficiency ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The challenge of utilities ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Trends: Policy and Legislative Changes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Public Sector to be carbon neutral by 2010 in BC ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],22
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],GHG Regulation in British Columbia SOURCE:  “Greenhouse Gas Inventory Report 2007”, Ministry of Environment, Victoria, British Columbia, July 2009 Source: Jerry Sheehan UCSD
State Climate Action ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],SOURCE:  Pew Center on Global Climate Change, Climate101-State Actions, January 2009
Zero Carbon strategy essential ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Grand Challenge – Building solutions using renewable energy only ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ICT  Enabling Effect is  Significant  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source:  SMART 2020: Enabling the low carbon economy in the information age, 2008 12
Canada’s ICT enabler effect ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: Industry Canada
The Global ICT Carbon Footprint is Roughly the Same as the Aviation Industry Today www.smart2020.org But ICT Emissions are Growing at 6% Annually! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Global ICT Carbon Footprint  by Subsector www.smart2020.org The Number of PCs (Desktops and Laptops) Globally is Expected to Increase  from 592 Million in 2002  to More Than Four Billion in 2020  Data Centers  & Clouds Are Low Hanging Fruit Telecom & Internet fastest growing PCs Are Biggest Problem
IT biggest power draw Heating, Cooling and Ventilation 40-50% Lighting 11% IT  Equipment 30-40% Other 6% Sources: BOMA 2006, EIA 2006, AIA 2006 Energy Consumption Typical Building Energy Consumption World Wide Transportation 25% Manufacturing 25% Buildings 50%
Digital vs Traditional appliances
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Get off the Grid!
Zero Carbon Data Center source: Dan Gillard BCnet 04/09 BC’s Green Data Centre  MUST  be in Proximity to a Clean Source of Power
MIT to build zero carbon data center in Holyoke MA ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Zero Carbon Data Centers Hydro-electric powered data centers Data Islandia Digital Data Archive ASIO solar powered data centers Wind powered data centers Ecotricity in UK builds windmills at data center locations with no capital cost to user
GreenStar –World’s First Zero Carbon Internet ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],http://www.greenstarnetwork.com/
GreenStar Network ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Economic benefits of follow the wind/sun architectures ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Building a “5G” wireless network ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Impact of 5G networks ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: Tim OReilly
400 Hz Power Systems ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Mobile Charging for Electric Vehicles ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Virtualization and De-materialization Source: European Commission Joint Research Centre, “The Future Impact of ICTs on Environmental Sustainability”, August 2004 Direct replacement of physical goods – 10% - 20% impact
Policy Frameworks ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Case Western pilot with Kindle DX ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Free Wifi on Buses ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],32
Carbon Reward Strategy for last mile infrastructure ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What are carbon offsets? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Carbon Economy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: ClimateCheck 20
Carbon offsets to fund research ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Final remarks ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Let’s Keep The Conversation Going Blogspot Bill St. Arnaud http://green-broadband.blogspot.com Twitter http://twitter.com/BillStArnaud E-mail list [email_address]
Background Slides
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],New R&E network funding scenario “ Cap and Reward”
Other sectors (40%)  (e.g. manufacturing, coal mining, export transport) Emissions under direct consumer control (35%) Consumer influenced sectors (25%) (e.g. retail, food and drink, wholesale, agriculture, public sector) Heating Private cars Electricity Other transport Consumers control or influence 60 per cent of emissions http://www.cbi.org.uk/pdf/climatereport2007full.pdf
Earth’s Climate is Rapidly Entering a Novel Realm Not Experienced for Millions of Years ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Obama orders 28% reduction in Government GHGs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
IEEE Standard GHG from Hydro and Wind Power Projects ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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NRC july 6

  • 1. Research and Commercialization Opportunities for the future Low Carbon Economy   Bill St. Arnaud [email_address] Unless otherwise noted all material in this slide deck may be reproduced, modified or distributed without prior permission of the author
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  • 6. Spring 2010 warmest ever This is despite a solar sun spot minimum
  • 7. The Earth is Warming Over 100 Times Faster Today Than During the Last Ice Age Warming! http://scrippsco2.ucsd.edu/program_history/keeling_curve_lessons.html CO 2 Rose From 185 to 265ppm (80ppm) in 6000 years or 1.33 ppm per Century CO 2 Has Risen From 335 to 385ppm (50ppm) in 30 years or 1.6 ppm per Year
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  • 11. Arctic Summer Ice Melting Accelerating Relative to IPCC 2007 Predictions Source: www.copenhagendiagnosis.org
  • 12. 2009-10 Canada winter 4.2C warmer than average
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  • 26. The Global ICT Carbon Footprint by Subsector www.smart2020.org The Number of PCs (Desktops and Laptops) Globally is Expected to Increase from 592 Million in 2002 to More Than Four Billion in 2020 Data Centers & Clouds Are Low Hanging Fruit Telecom & Internet fastest growing PCs Are Biggest Problem
  • 27. IT biggest power draw Heating, Cooling and Ventilation 40-50% Lighting 11% IT Equipment 30-40% Other 6% Sources: BOMA 2006, EIA 2006, AIA 2006 Energy Consumption Typical Building Energy Consumption World Wide Transportation 25% Manufacturing 25% Buildings 50%
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  • 30. Zero Carbon Data Center source: Dan Gillard BCnet 04/09 BC’s Green Data Centre MUST be in Proximity to a Clean Source of Power
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  • 32. Zero Carbon Data Centers Hydro-electric powered data centers Data Islandia Digital Data Archive ASIO solar powered data centers Wind powered data centers Ecotricity in UK builds windmills at data center locations with no capital cost to user
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  • 40. Virtualization and De-materialization Source: European Commission Joint Research Centre, “The Future Impact of ICTs on Environmental Sustainability”, August 2004 Direct replacement of physical goods – 10% - 20% impact
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  • 49. Let’s Keep The Conversation Going Blogspot Bill St. Arnaud http://green-broadband.blogspot.com Twitter http://twitter.com/BillStArnaud E-mail list [email_address]
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  • 52. Other sectors (40%) (e.g. manufacturing, coal mining, export transport) Emissions under direct consumer control (35%) Consumer influenced sectors (25%) (e.g. retail, food and drink, wholesale, agriculture, public sector) Heating Private cars Electricity Other transport Consumers control or influence 60 per cent of emissions http://www.cbi.org.uk/pdf/climatereport2007full.pdf
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Notas do Editor

  1. USGS report finds that future climate shifts have been underestimated and warns of debilitating abrupt shift in climate that would be devastating. http://www.climatescience.gov/Library/sap/sap3-4/final-report/default.htm http://climateprogress.org/2008/11/24/what-are-the-near-term-climate-pearl-harbors/ Tipping elements in the Earth's climate - National Academies of Science “ Society may be lulled into a false sense of security by smooth projections of global change. Our synthesis of present knowledge suggests that a variety of tipping elements could reach their critical point within this century under anthropogenic climate change. “ http://www.pnas.org/content/105/6/1786.abstract?maxtoshow=&HITS=10&hits=10&RESULTFORMAT=&fulltext=tipping+elements+lenton&searchid=1&FIRSTINDEX=0&resourcetype=HWCIT Arctic Climate Change may be at tipping point – Globe and Mail -Sept 2009 We thought by 2050, multi-year [sea] ice would be cut in half,” said Mr. Stewart from Ottawa. “Well, it happened in 2007.” http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/technology/science/arctic-climate-change-at-tipping-point/article1272939/ http://www.panda.org/wwf_news/news/?uNewsID=173262
  2. Source: SMART 2020: Enabling the low carbon economy in the information age First study to quantify the enabler effect of ICT on other sectors in terms of reducing CO2 emissions. Emissions from the ICT sector are estimated to rise significantly over the coming years No other sector can supply technology capabilities so integral to energy efficiency across such a range of other sectors or industries By 2020, ICT technologies can reduce global CO2 emissions by 7.8 versus 51.9 if business as usual (BAU) 7.8 Giga-tons of carbon dioxide emissions is greater than the current annual emissions of either the US or China
  3. Building a zero carbon ICT infrastructure Purchasing green power locally is expensive with significant transmission line losses Demand for green power within cities expected to grow dramatically ICT facilities DON’T NEED TO BE LOCATED IN CITIES -Cooling also a major problem in cities But most renewable energy sites are very remote and impractical to connect to electrical grid. Can be easily reached by an optical network Provide independence from electrical utility and high costs in wheeling power Savings in transmission line losses (up to 15%) alone, plus carbon offsets can pay for moving ICT facilities to renewable energy site ICT is only industry ideally suited to relocate to renewable energy sites Also ideal for business continuity in event of climate catastrophe