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Connecting Cape Town



              Brian Pinnock




      Wednesday 14th April 2010
Agenda – Connecting Cape Town


 • What is broadband connectivity exactly?


 • What it costs to connect a broadband user

 • Connecting Cape Town to the world (and Africa)

 • Connecting Cape Town to South Africa

 • Connecting Cape Town to itself

 • Implications for Cape Town & business in Cape Town




 2   © Copyright Dimension Data 2010                    17 September 2012
Introduction – Why is broadband connectivity important?

• Broadband Projects 1% extra GDP


• Digital cities initiatives worldwide

• E-Government enablement

 • Foundation for virtual working


 • Foundation for virtual services

 • Enabler – business, education,…




 3   © Copyright Dimension Data 2010                      17 September 2012
What is broadband connectivity exactly?


 • Fibre Optic Cable


      • International

      • National

      • Metropolitan

 • Other last mile

      • Copper

      • Wireless



 4   © Copyright Dimension Data 2010      17 September 2012
What it costs to connect a user from Cape Town


           ISP Operations 6%

 IPC 12%                                     International
                                             Bandwidth 12%




                                       Last Mile Bandwidth 70%




 5   © Copyright Dimension Data 2010                             17 September 2012
Connecting Cape Town to the World

                                       International traffic flows 2009




 6   © Copyright Dimension Data 2010                                      17 September 2012
Connecting Cape Town to the World

                                       Global Undersea Cable Systems 2010




 7   © Copyright Dimension Data 2010                                        17 September 2012
Connecting Cape Town to the World

                                       Global Undersea Cable Systems 2010




 8   © Copyright Dimension Data 2010                                        17 September 2012
The “African” issue



•  Most routing still via
   Europe and North
   America to rest of Africa
•  Coastal cables not
   being used yet
Connecting Cape
  Town to the world

•  Many cables planned
•  Both East and West
   coast
•  Land locked countries?
•  Operating models are
   key
Cables, lots of bandwidth


                         Seacom            EASSy       TEAMs       WACs       MainOne       GL01         ACE

Cost/[USDm]                  650            265         130         600         240          150          ???

                       East coast East coast East coast West coast West coast West coast West coast
     Routing            UK, SA,       SA       Kenya       UK        Portugal     UK      Gabon
                         India     to Sudan   to UAE      to SA     to Nigeria to Nigeria  to SA

 Length/[km]              13,700           10,000      4,500       14,000      7,000        9,500      14,000

Capacity/[tb/s]             1.28            1.40        1.28        3.84        1.92         0.64        1.92

 Completion              Jun 2009         Jun 2010    Sep 2009    Q2 2011     Q4 2010      Nov 2009      2011
                                                                  Telkom,
                                            African   TEAMs
                        USA 25%                                 Vodacom,
                                           telecom (Kenya) 85%              US, Nigeria,               France
 Ownership              SA 50%                                  MTN, Tata
                                          operators  Etisalaat                AFDB                    Telecom
                       Kenya 25%                                 (Neotel),
                                             90%    (UAE) 15%
                                                               Infraco, etc




11      © Copyright Dimension Data 2010                                                               17 September 2012
Connecting to Africa is slow
                                   The “African” issue



                               •  North African reasonable
                               •  Central Africa terrible
                               •  High latency = satellites
                               •  High latency reduces your
                                  options (especially voice
                                  services)
Connecting Cape
    Town to Africa

•  Many terrestrial cables
   planned
•  Mostly East coast
•  Last mile still a problem
Connecting Cape Town to South Africa

                                  •  Legacy network
         Telkom
                                  •  NGN


                                  •  Major centers connected
          Neotel
                                  •  Duopoly pricing


                                  •  Neotel, MTN , Vodacom & SANRAL cost sharing joint venture
      Joint Venture               •  Own use priority
                                  •  Spare capacity to sell

                                  •  Fiber systems from Transtel & Eskom
       Broadband
                                  •  Carrier of carriers
         Infraco
                                  •  Sentech or saviour?


     Implications for             •  Short term – major centers vs. small towns
        business                  •  Medium term – competition may drive prices down further


14     © Copyright Dimension Data 2010                                                           17 September 2012
Connecting Cape Town to itself (Last Mile)


                                   •  Built, lit and operating
     Ethekwini Metro
                                   •  +-1/3 of incumbent operators pricing


      Johannesburg                 •  POC phase complete
          Metro                    •  Not operating yet


                     •  Physical fiber rollout at an advanced stage
       Cape Town
                     •  Switching centres go live in July
     Metro Broadband
                     •  Unclear on costing/pricing model and final ETA unknown

                                   •  Dark Fiber Africa – Internet Solutions (IS Fiber)
       Other Metro
                                   •  Incumbent telecoms operators – Metro Ethernet
       Broadband
                                   •  SANREN


         Last Mile                 •  Wireless (3G, 4G, CDMA, WIMAX)
       Competition                 •  Copper (Local loop unbundling)

15      © Copyright Dimension Data 2010                                                   17 September 2012
Implications


                                        Threats                  Opportunities




                                 •  International connection
     Competition
                                 •  National backbone connection
      needed
                                 •  Last mile connection most important

                                 •  Offshoring -Legal, financial, contact centres, creative industry
     Opportunities               •  Expansion into Africa
                                 •  Attract talent – work from anywhere for anyone

                                 •  Low cost geographies taking jobs from Cape Town
        Threats                  •  Low cost competitors selling services into Cape Town (Google)
                                 •  Digital ghettos




16    © Copyright Dimension Data 2010                                                                  17 September 2012
Connecting Cape Town



              Brian Pinnock




      Wednesday 14th April 2010
Diginet Price Trajectory




18   © Copyright Dimension Data 2010   17 September 2012

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Connecting cape town v3.0.pptx

  • 1. Connecting Cape Town Brian Pinnock Wednesday 14th April 2010
  • 2. Agenda – Connecting Cape Town • What is broadband connectivity exactly? • What it costs to connect a broadband user • Connecting Cape Town to the world (and Africa) • Connecting Cape Town to South Africa • Connecting Cape Town to itself • Implications for Cape Town & business in Cape Town 2 © Copyright Dimension Data 2010 17 September 2012
  • 3. Introduction – Why is broadband connectivity important? • Broadband Projects 1% extra GDP • Digital cities initiatives worldwide • E-Government enablement • Foundation for virtual working • Foundation for virtual services • Enabler – business, education,… 3 © Copyright Dimension Data 2010 17 September 2012
  • 4. What is broadband connectivity exactly? • Fibre Optic Cable • International • National • Metropolitan • Other last mile • Copper • Wireless 4 © Copyright Dimension Data 2010 17 September 2012
  • 5. What it costs to connect a user from Cape Town ISP Operations 6% IPC 12% International Bandwidth 12% Last Mile Bandwidth 70% 5 © Copyright Dimension Data 2010 17 September 2012
  • 6. Connecting Cape Town to the World International traffic flows 2009 6 © Copyright Dimension Data 2010 17 September 2012
  • 7. Connecting Cape Town to the World Global Undersea Cable Systems 2010 7 © Copyright Dimension Data 2010 17 September 2012
  • 8. Connecting Cape Town to the World Global Undersea Cable Systems 2010 8 © Copyright Dimension Data 2010 17 September 2012
  • 9. The “African” issue •  Most routing still via Europe and North America to rest of Africa •  Coastal cables not being used yet
  • 10. Connecting Cape Town to the world •  Many cables planned •  Both East and West coast •  Land locked countries? •  Operating models are key
  • 11. Cables, lots of bandwidth Seacom EASSy TEAMs WACs MainOne GL01 ACE Cost/[USDm] 650 265 130 600 240 150 ??? East coast East coast East coast West coast West coast West coast West coast Routing UK, SA, SA Kenya UK Portugal UK Gabon India to Sudan to UAE to SA to Nigeria to Nigeria to SA Length/[km] 13,700 10,000 4,500 14,000 7,000 9,500 14,000 Capacity/[tb/s] 1.28 1.40 1.28 3.84 1.92 0.64 1.92 Completion Jun 2009 Jun 2010 Sep 2009 Q2 2011 Q4 2010 Nov 2009 2011 Telkom, African TEAMs USA 25% Vodacom, telecom (Kenya) 85% US, Nigeria, France Ownership SA 50% MTN, Tata operators Etisalaat AFDB Telecom Kenya 25% (Neotel), 90% (UAE) 15% Infraco, etc 11 © Copyright Dimension Data 2010 17 September 2012
  • 12. Connecting to Africa is slow The “African” issue •  North African reasonable •  Central Africa terrible •  High latency = satellites •  High latency reduces your options (especially voice services)
  • 13. Connecting Cape Town to Africa •  Many terrestrial cables planned •  Mostly East coast •  Last mile still a problem
  • 14. Connecting Cape Town to South Africa •  Legacy network Telkom •  NGN •  Major centers connected Neotel •  Duopoly pricing •  Neotel, MTN , Vodacom & SANRAL cost sharing joint venture Joint Venture •  Own use priority •  Spare capacity to sell •  Fiber systems from Transtel & Eskom Broadband •  Carrier of carriers Infraco •  Sentech or saviour? Implications for •  Short term – major centers vs. small towns business •  Medium term – competition may drive prices down further 14 © Copyright Dimension Data 2010 17 September 2012
  • 15. Connecting Cape Town to itself (Last Mile) •  Built, lit and operating Ethekwini Metro •  +-1/3 of incumbent operators pricing Johannesburg •  POC phase complete Metro •  Not operating yet •  Physical fiber rollout at an advanced stage Cape Town •  Switching centres go live in July Metro Broadband •  Unclear on costing/pricing model and final ETA unknown •  Dark Fiber Africa – Internet Solutions (IS Fiber) Other Metro •  Incumbent telecoms operators – Metro Ethernet Broadband •  SANREN Last Mile •  Wireless (3G, 4G, CDMA, WIMAX) Competition •  Copper (Local loop unbundling) 15 © Copyright Dimension Data 2010 17 September 2012
  • 16. Implications Threats Opportunities •  International connection Competition •  National backbone connection needed •  Last mile connection most important •  Offshoring -Legal, financial, contact centres, creative industry Opportunities •  Expansion into Africa •  Attract talent – work from anywhere for anyone •  Low cost geographies taking jobs from Cape Town Threats •  Low cost competitors selling services into Cape Town (Google) •  Digital ghettos 16 © Copyright Dimension Data 2010 17 September 2012
  • 17. Connecting Cape Town Brian Pinnock Wednesday 14th April 2010
  • 18. Diginet Price Trajectory 18 © Copyright Dimension Data 2010 17 September 2012