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14/01/2013




The More for Less Emerging Consumer

              Alberto Serrentino
                  Senior Partner




                 Scenario




                  Scenario

Declining unemployment rates
+ Increase in household income, mass wage and
purchasing power
+ High confidence level
+ Credit expansion
+ Consumption and retail sales growth

= Massive demographic shift




                                                        1
14/01/2013




               The emerging middle class phenomenon
                                               2003        2012
               Wealthy
                                   A1      1
                                                       0.5


              Upper                A2      5           4
            middle class                              10
                                   B1      9


                                   B2      14
                                                      21.7


              Enlarged
             emerging
            middle class*              C   36


                                               50%    48.8



                                                           70,5%
                 Poor                  D   31


                                                      14.2
              Extremely
                poor                   E   4           0.7


Source: Target 2012 / GS&MD analysis




                             The More for Less
                            Emerging Consumers




                The More for Less emerging consumers




                                                                           2
14/01/2013




          The More for Less Consumer Survey - 2012


          320 personal interviews with Brazilian consumers
          who moved upwards in the SEG in the last 5 years




             The More for Less emerging consumers




              They are optimistic (86%)...




Source: GS&MD Research “The emerging middle class consumers”, 2012




             The More for Less emerging consumers



   …their life standards improved in
   the last 5 years (73%) and they
   believe they will keep improving
         over the next 2 years



Source: GS&MD Research “The emerging middle class consumers”, 2012




                                                                             3
14/01/2013




             The More for Less emerging consumers




           …they compare prices (66%)
            primarily in physical stores
                     (63%)…



Source: GS&MD Research “The emerging middle class consumers”, 2012




                                                • 825 stores in Latin America
                                                • Sales 2011: US$ 15.6 bn




                                                                                        4
14/01/2013




                                                          183 stores
                                                          in Brazil




                                                                       HYPERCASH FORMAT

                                                                        Hybrid model: cash &
                                                                         carry + discount
                                                                         retailing

                                                                        +28% avg sales/sq-ft
                                                                         compared to
                                                                         supermarkets

                                                                        +19% avg sales/sq-ft
                                                                         compared to
                                                                         hypermarkets




             The More for Less emerging consumers




                …they are shopping online
                        (26%)…




Source: GS&MD Research “The emerging middle class consumers”, 2012




                                                                                                        5
14/01/2013




             The More for Less emerging consumers




      …their main aspirations are buying
      the house (42%), the car (32%),
       education (27%) and travelling
                  (15%)…



Source: GS&MD Research “The emerging middle class consumers”, 2012




                                                                     • The largest tour
                                                                       operator in Latam
                                                                     • Vertically integrated
                                                                     • 665 Stores
                                                                     • Multichannel




                                                                                                       6
14/01/2013




             The More for Less emerging consumers




   …product brands are a key driver
       to choose the stores…




Source: GS&MD Research “The emerging middle class consumers”, 2012




             The More for Less emerging consumers




   …the have not abandoned their
preferred stores (66%), however they
    expect to shop in better ones
               (66%)…



Source: GS&MD Research “The emerging middle class consumers”, 2012




                                                                             7
14/01/2013




                                                                     Vertically integrated




Source: GS&MD Research “The emerging middle class consumers”, 2012




                                                                                                     8
14/01/2013




             The More for Less emerging consumers




         …stores drivers are proximity,
             service and credit…




Source: GS&MD Research “The emerging middle class consumers”, 2012




                                    70% of Brazilian women have
                                         curly or frizzy hair




                                                                      12 beauty centers

                                                                      Vertically integrated – R&D,
                                                                       manufacturing, retail,
                                                                       service, experience

                                                                      1 million customers served
                                                                       in 2012




                                                                                                              9
14/01/2013




       10
14/01/2013




                The emerging middle class consumers




      …stores lose them by providing
      poor service and high prices…




Source: GS&MD Research “The emerging middle class consumers”, 2012




                The emerging middle class consumers




         …the home is the epicenter of
                their lives…




Source: GS&MD Research “The emerging middle class consumers”, 2012




              The home is the epicenter of their lives
                                                                                                          52%
 I spend time with my family at home
                                                                                                    47%
                                                                                              41%
 I watch TV/movies at home                                                                  39%
                                                                                 23%
 I hang out with friends/boyfriend                                                        35%
                                                                                       31%
 I go to my families' home
                                                                                21%
                                                                              18%
 I stay at home alone                                                            24%
                                                                        12%
 I surf on the internet                                                11%
                                                                      10%
 Work                                                                8%
                                                                      10%
 Shopping                                                    2%
                                                                     9%
 Books                                                        3%
                                                               5%                               Women
 Study                                                       2%                                 Men




                                                                                                                       11
14/01/2013




       12
14/01/2013




                The emerging middle class consumers




           …the real revolution is yet to
                      come.




Source: GS&MD Research “The emerging middle class consumers”, 2012




                                                                            13
14/01/2013




                             736 stores

                             15 years among the best
                              companies to work for




 1.3 mn online customers

 55,000 Facebook Stores
  opened by clients




                                                               14
14/01/2013




        Challenges and insights




        Business model’s challenges


• Balance price and access with aspiration: make
  dreams come true

• Cross channel: information, convenience,
  shopping

• Enlarge the portfolio of services: tourism,
  residential, education, connectivity

• Build a connection to the home




              The bottom line




                                                          15
14/01/2013




                         The bottom line

• Think simple

• Define a clear and straight value proposition

• Pursue cost efficiency

• Integrate physical and digital channels

• Execute




   Retail, Marketing and Distribution Channels




                       Alberto Serrentino
                        aserrentino@gsmd.com.br




                                                 Thank you!
                                                 Thank you!




                                                                     16

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Nrf13 brasil varejo mercado emergente

  • 1. 14/01/2013 The More for Less Emerging Consumer Alberto Serrentino Senior Partner Scenario Scenario Declining unemployment rates + Increase in household income, mass wage and purchasing power + High confidence level + Credit expansion + Consumption and retail sales growth = Massive demographic shift 1
  • 2. 14/01/2013 The emerging middle class phenomenon 2003 2012 Wealthy A1 1 0.5 Upper A2 5 4 middle class 10 B1 9 B2 14 21.7 Enlarged emerging middle class* C 36 50% 48.8 70,5% Poor D 31 14.2 Extremely poor E 4 0.7 Source: Target 2012 / GS&MD analysis The More for Less Emerging Consumers The More for Less emerging consumers 2
  • 3. 14/01/2013 The More for Less Consumer Survey - 2012 320 personal interviews with Brazilian consumers who moved upwards in the SEG in the last 5 years The More for Less emerging consumers They are optimistic (86%)... Source: GS&MD Research “The emerging middle class consumers”, 2012 The More for Less emerging consumers …their life standards improved in the last 5 years (73%) and they believe they will keep improving over the next 2 years Source: GS&MD Research “The emerging middle class consumers”, 2012 3
  • 4. 14/01/2013 The More for Less emerging consumers …they compare prices (66%) primarily in physical stores (63%)… Source: GS&MD Research “The emerging middle class consumers”, 2012 • 825 stores in Latin America • Sales 2011: US$ 15.6 bn 4
  • 5. 14/01/2013 183 stores in Brazil HYPERCASH FORMAT  Hybrid model: cash & carry + discount retailing  +28% avg sales/sq-ft compared to supermarkets  +19% avg sales/sq-ft compared to hypermarkets The More for Less emerging consumers …they are shopping online (26%)… Source: GS&MD Research “The emerging middle class consumers”, 2012 5
  • 6. 14/01/2013 The More for Less emerging consumers …their main aspirations are buying the house (42%), the car (32%), education (27%) and travelling (15%)… Source: GS&MD Research “The emerging middle class consumers”, 2012 • The largest tour operator in Latam • Vertically integrated • 665 Stores • Multichannel 6
  • 7. 14/01/2013 The More for Less emerging consumers …product brands are a key driver to choose the stores… Source: GS&MD Research “The emerging middle class consumers”, 2012 The More for Less emerging consumers …the have not abandoned their preferred stores (66%), however they expect to shop in better ones (66%)… Source: GS&MD Research “The emerging middle class consumers”, 2012 7
  • 8. 14/01/2013 Vertically integrated Source: GS&MD Research “The emerging middle class consumers”, 2012 8
  • 9. 14/01/2013 The More for Less emerging consumers …stores drivers are proximity, service and credit… Source: GS&MD Research “The emerging middle class consumers”, 2012 70% of Brazilian women have curly or frizzy hair  12 beauty centers  Vertically integrated – R&D, manufacturing, retail, service, experience  1 million customers served in 2012 9
  • 11. 14/01/2013 The emerging middle class consumers …stores lose them by providing poor service and high prices… Source: GS&MD Research “The emerging middle class consumers”, 2012 The emerging middle class consumers …the home is the epicenter of their lives… Source: GS&MD Research “The emerging middle class consumers”, 2012 The home is the epicenter of their lives 52% I spend time with my family at home 47% 41% I watch TV/movies at home 39% 23% I hang out with friends/boyfriend 35% 31% I go to my families' home 21% 18% I stay at home alone 24% 12% I surf on the internet 11% 10% Work 8% 10% Shopping 2% 9% Books 3% 5% Women Study 2% Men 11
  • 13. 14/01/2013 The emerging middle class consumers …the real revolution is yet to come. Source: GS&MD Research “The emerging middle class consumers”, 2012 13
  • 14. 14/01/2013  736 stores  15 years among the best companies to work for  1.3 mn online customers  55,000 Facebook Stores opened by clients 14
  • 15. 14/01/2013 Challenges and insights Business model’s challenges • Balance price and access with aspiration: make dreams come true • Cross channel: information, convenience, shopping • Enlarge the portfolio of services: tourism, residential, education, connectivity • Build a connection to the home The bottom line 15
  • 16. 14/01/2013 The bottom line • Think simple • Define a clear and straight value proposition • Pursue cost efficiency • Integrate physical and digital channels • Execute Retail, Marketing and Distribution Channels Alberto Serrentino aserrentino@gsmd.com.br Thank you! Thank you! 16