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A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c .A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n
Making Information Pay 2013:
A First Look at BookStats
May 15, 2013
New York
Ned May
VP & Practice Leader
A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c .
Agenda
 An Overview of the US Book Industry Today
 Going Deep on Trade
 A Few Key Points
2
A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c .
An Overview of the US Book Industry Today
A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c .
The US Book Industry Today
Trade dominates sales
4
15.0
4.2
4.3
3.6
Trade K-12 Higher Education Professional / Scholarly
Source: 2013 BookStats
US Net Book Sales by Category (in US $B)
A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c .
The US Book Industry Today
Sales are relatively flat overall
5
26.5 27.1 27.9 $27.4
27.1
US Net Book Sales (in US $B)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Source: 2013 BookStats
A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c .
A Few Hard Truths
Divergent paths today
6
(78)
(110)
(180)
(238)
(801)
18
76
349
732
$(238)
Religion
Adult Non-Fiction
Professional
Higher Education
K-12
Scholarly
Juvenile Non-Fiction
Juvenile Fiction
Adult Fiction
TOTAL
2012 Change in US Net Books Sales by Category
(in US $M)
Source: 2013 BookStats
A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c .
Going Deep on Trade
A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c .
Online Continues to Flourish
The billion-dollar shift in trade
8
-194
52
1,111
Retail Stores (Total)
Other Channels
Online Retail
2012 Change in US Net Trade Book Sales by Channel
(in US $M)
Source: 2013 BookStats
A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c .
Digital Also Remains Robust
Trade e-books are still growing strong
9
-25
995
Physical
Non-Physical
2012 Change in US Net Trade Book Sales by Format
(in US $M)
Source: 2013 BookStats
A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c .
Trade e-Books
Growth slows, but dollars remain strong
10
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
355% Growth
199%
143%
44%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
400%
$-
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
e-Book Net Sales (in US $M) and Growth Rate
Source: 2013 BookStats
A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c .
Trade e-Books
Adult fiction dominates, but other categories are in play
11
40 18
197
68
585
198
46
1,291
484
216
1,831
592
469
Adult Fiction Adult Non-Fiction Juvenile Fiction
Trade e-Books Net Sales (in US $M)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Source: 2013 BookStats
A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c .
Adult Non-Fiction e-Books
Units outpace dollars
12
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
DollarsinUS$M
UnitsinMillions
Units Dollars Source: 2013 BookStats
A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c .
Special Considerations
A few key points
 Prices are relatively stable in trade
 e-Books have slowed a little
 Romance and young adult is on the rise
13
A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c .
About Outsell
Outsell, Inc. is the world’s only research and advisory firm focused solely on media,
information, and technology. We use a time-tested, quality-proven, top-secret blend of data,
brains, community, and pizzazz to produce extraordinary value for our clients. Elite
information industry executives from all over the world look to Outsell for trusted advice, bold
insights, and confidential access to exclusive intelligence and decision support. Outsell has
your back. You’ll stay more focused, save time, and grow revenue in a fast-changing, global,
digital environment, and sleep better at night. Guaranteed.
www.outsellinc.com
info@outsellinc.com
Burlingame, CA · USA
+1 650-342-6060
London · United Kingdom
+44 (0) 20 8090 6590
The information, analysis, and opinions (the “Content”) contained herein are based on the qualitative and quantitative research
methods of Outsell, Inc. and its staff’s extensive professional expertise in the industry. Outsell has used its best efforts and
judgment in the compilation and presentation of the Content and to ensure to the best of its ability that the Content is accurate
as of the date published. However, the industry information covered by this report is subject to rapid change. Outsell makes no
representations or warranties, express or implied, concerning or relating to the accuracy of the Content in this report and
Outsell assumes no liability related to claims concerning the Content of this report.
14

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MIP 2013 -- BookStats First Look -- Ned May

  • 1. A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c .A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n Making Information Pay 2013: A First Look at BookStats May 15, 2013 New York Ned May VP & Practice Leader
  • 2. A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c . Agenda  An Overview of the US Book Industry Today  Going Deep on Trade  A Few Key Points 2
  • 3. A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c . An Overview of the US Book Industry Today
  • 4. A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c . The US Book Industry Today Trade dominates sales 4 15.0 4.2 4.3 3.6 Trade K-12 Higher Education Professional / Scholarly Source: 2013 BookStats US Net Book Sales by Category (in US $B)
  • 5. A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c . The US Book Industry Today Sales are relatively flat overall 5 26.5 27.1 27.9 $27.4 27.1 US Net Book Sales (in US $B) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: 2013 BookStats
  • 6. A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c . A Few Hard Truths Divergent paths today 6 (78) (110) (180) (238) (801) 18 76 349 732 $(238) Religion Adult Non-Fiction Professional Higher Education K-12 Scholarly Juvenile Non-Fiction Juvenile Fiction Adult Fiction TOTAL 2012 Change in US Net Books Sales by Category (in US $M) Source: 2013 BookStats
  • 7. A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c . Going Deep on Trade
  • 8. A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c . Online Continues to Flourish The billion-dollar shift in trade 8 -194 52 1,111 Retail Stores (Total) Other Channels Online Retail 2012 Change in US Net Trade Book Sales by Channel (in US $M) Source: 2013 BookStats
  • 9. A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c . Digital Also Remains Robust Trade e-books are still growing strong 9 -25 995 Physical Non-Physical 2012 Change in US Net Trade Book Sales by Format (in US $M) Source: 2013 BookStats
  • 10. A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c . Trade e-Books Growth slows, but dollars remain strong 10 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 355% Growth 199% 143% 44% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350% 400% $- $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 $3,500 e-Book Net Sales (in US $M) and Growth Rate Source: 2013 BookStats
  • 11. A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c . Trade e-Books Adult fiction dominates, but other categories are in play 11 40 18 197 68 585 198 46 1,291 484 216 1,831 592 469 Adult Fiction Adult Non-Fiction Juvenile Fiction Trade e-Books Net Sales (in US $M) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: 2013 BookStats
  • 12. A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c . Adult Non-Fiction e-Books Units outpace dollars 12 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 DollarsinUS$M UnitsinMillions Units Dollars Source: 2013 BookStats
  • 13. A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c . Special Considerations A few key points  Prices are relatively stable in trade  e-Books have slowed a little  Romance and young adult is on the rise 13
  • 14. A d v a n c i n g t h e B u s i n e s s o f I n f o r m a t i o n © 2 0 1 3 O u t s e l l , I n c . About Outsell Outsell, Inc. is the world’s only research and advisory firm focused solely on media, information, and technology. We use a time-tested, quality-proven, top-secret blend of data, brains, community, and pizzazz to produce extraordinary value for our clients. Elite information industry executives from all over the world look to Outsell for trusted advice, bold insights, and confidential access to exclusive intelligence and decision support. Outsell has your back. You’ll stay more focused, save time, and grow revenue in a fast-changing, global, digital environment, and sleep better at night. Guaranteed. www.outsellinc.com info@outsellinc.com Burlingame, CA · USA +1 650-342-6060 London · United Kingdom +44 (0) 20 8090 6590 The information, analysis, and opinions (the “Content”) contained herein are based on the qualitative and quantitative research methods of Outsell, Inc. and its staff’s extensive professional expertise in the industry. Outsell has used its best efforts and judgment in the compilation and presentation of the Content and to ensure to the best of its ability that the Content is accurate as of the date published. However, the industry information covered by this report is subject to rapid change. Outsell makes no representations or warranties, express or implied, concerning or relating to the accuracy of the Content in this report and Outsell assumes no liability related to claims concerning the Content of this report. 14