A Democratic and Republican insider present the case for why their side is going to win in 2008.

1. on the 2008 Election Red Meets Blue A Left to Right Perspective July 30, 2008

2. KELLEY ELLIS Beltway Brawlers on the Midway

5. It’s not like there could be a tie - right?

7. 1 2 States/114 EVs With Poll Margin 5% or Less

8. 2000 - Closest Electoral Margin since 1876 BUSH – 271 GORE - 266

9. 2004 - 3 rd Closest Electoral Margin since 1876 BUSH – 286 KERRY - 251

10. Merely changing 4 states from 2004 . . . Colorado, Iowa & New Mexico DEMS GAIN GOP GAIN New Hampshire 269-269

12. An election is coming. Universal peace is declared and the foxes have a sincere interest in prolonging the lives of the poultry. T.S. Eliot

19. McCain Wins if . . . Picks up NH and either MI or PA

20. Veepstakes The Safe Pick The Premature Pick The Over-rated Pick The Reach Pick The Surprise Pick The Please, Please Don’t Pick

28. Merci beaucoup pour cette introduction gentille. Je m'arrêterai maintenant pour de trente seconde pour donner un dernier hasard à trouver à Jim ces armes de destruction massive. Thank you very much for that kind introduction I will now pause for thirty seconds to give Jim one last chance at finding those weapons of mass destruction.

29. 2004 GOP 286 EVs +16 Dems 252 EVs -18

30. “ Safe States” 182 EVs in Play 140 - GOP 42 – Dem

31. Current Status with Leaners GOP States 157 - McCain 12 – Obama 102 – Tossup Dem States 210 - Obama 0 - McCain 17 – Tossup

32. Current Status with Leaners Magic Number 23 - Obama 98 - McCain

38. “ Straight Talk on Immigration” For several years, McCain has co-sponsored and supported comprehensive immigration reform legislation which included increased border security and a pathway to legal citizenship.

41. Internet Dominance Source: Nielson Net Ratings, Tom O”Keefe.com Pew Research Center When it comes to web analytics Barack Obama crushes John McCain in every category. - Tom O’Keefe, TOKiBiz

42. The Key Voters Obama leads by 37% among 18-34 year olds Source: Research 2000 (July 25-27, 2008)

44. The Key Voters Generation Jones tipped the election to Bush in 2004, but Obama is the first national Gen Jones candidate. Obama leads by 22% among women – Kerry had only 3% advantage Source: Research 2000 (July 25-27, 2008)

46. Veepstakes The Safe Pick The Premature Pick The Over-rated Pick The Reach Pick The Surprise Pick The Please, Please Don’t Pick

48. GOP “ I’ve often observed that if we were a dog food, they would take us off the shelf.”

51. Obama Wins! INDIANA VIRGINIA ELECTION NIGHT BELLWETHER

52. “ Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future ” Niels Bohr, Danish Physicist “ There is no way Dukakis or anyone for that matter can blow a 17 point lead. ” Bennet Kelley Greece (August 1988)

53. Recommended Sites

54. Questions?

55. THANK YOU No animals, small children or nuns were used and/or harmed during this production.