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PS409
    Psychology, Science,
     & Pseudoscience



           Dr Brian Hughes
              School of Psychology

brian.hughes@nuigalway.ie            @b_m_hughes
Evidentiary reasoning:
Why do people believe weird
         things?
Testimonial evidence




  “At what speed were the vehicles going when they hit into   31.8 mph
  each other?”
  “At what speed were the vehicles going when they smashed    40.8 mph
  into each other?”


                             Loftus (1976)
Testimonial evidence




  “At what speed were the vehicles going when they hit into   31.8 mph
  each other?”
  “At what speed were the vehicles going when they smashed    40.8 mph
  into each other?”


                             Loftus (1976)
False assumption regarding evidence:
    People absorb information accurately, evaluate it
   accurately, and use it to draw accurate conclusions




           More accurate assertion:
  People absorb information crudely, evaluate it
inconsistently, and use it to draw conclusions that
   are often–but not always–roughly accurate
Evidentiary reasoning errors

   Cognitive factors
      Difficulties with randomness
      Difficulties with sampling
      Difficulties with probabilistic
      reasoning

   Social factors
      Difficulties with motivation
      Difficulties with second-hand information
      Difficulties with first-hand information
      Difficulties with exaggerated impressions of
      corroboration
Difficulties with randomness
Difficulties with randomness
Difficulties with randomness
Difficulties with randomness




  Pattern detection ‘built-in’ for evolutionary reasons
     Human psychology results in a failure to appreciate
     randomness
     Allows some useful mental shortcuts
     But leaves us prone to being fooled
“Pareidolia”




                                “The Badlands Guardian”
                                    Alberta, Canada
                                       Google map




“The Old Man of the Mountain”
     New Hampshire, US
     (collapsed in 2003)

                                             Tree aliens
www.mrbreakfast.com
skepticalteacher.wordpress.com
Steven Gerrard in a plate of chips
Auditory pareidolia

  Electronic Voice Phenomena (EVPs)
      electronically captured sounds which resemble
      speech, but which are not the result of
      intentional voice recording
     http://www.glowingdial.com/audiofiles.htm

  Backmasking
     a recording technique in which a sound or
     message is recorded backward onto a track that
     is meant to be played forward
Backmasking

Led Zeppelin – Stairway to Heaven


              Forward:
              If there’s a bustle in your hedgerow, don’t be alarmed
     Play     now, it’s just a spring clean for the May queen. Yes there
   forward
              are two paths you can go by, but in the long run there’s
              still time to change the road you’re on.


              Backward:

    Play
  backward
                  Click here for audio files and lyric reveal:
                  http://jeffmilner.com/backmasking/stairway-to-heaven-
                  backwards.html
Backmasking

Queen – Another One Bites the Dust


              Forward:
              Another one bites the dust! Another one bites the dust!
     Play     Another one bites the dust! Another one bites the dust!
   forward




              Backward:

    Play
  backward
                 Click here for audio files and lyric reveal:
                 http://jeffmilner.com/backmasking/another-one-bites-the-
                 dust-backwards.html
Backmasking

Britney Spears – …Baby One More Time


             Forward:
             With you I lose my mind. Give me a sign…
     Play
   forward




             Backward:

    Play
  backward
                 Click here for audio files and lyric reveal:
                 http://jeffmilner.com/backmasking/baby-one-more-time-
                 backwards.html
Summary
Human observation is predicated on the construction
of perceptions from fragmentary sensations
   In general, our scanning of environments for major cues is quickly
   overtaken by a “filling-in of the blanks”

Thus, human observers are adept at detecting patterns
from vague information
   Pattern recognition acuity helps us navigate our surroundings both
   normally, and when perception is compromised

However, by necessity, such a process is prone to error
   Illustrations include pareidolia, both visual and acoustic

Over-active ‘pattern recognition’ shows our tendency
to attach false meaning to what we see and hear
   Which demonstrates our susceptibility to acquiring unreliable beliefs
PS409
    Psychology, Science,
     & Pseudoscience



           Dr Brian Hughes
              School of Psychology

brian.hughes@nuigalway.ie            @b_m_hughes

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Psychology, Science, and Pseudoscience: Class #05 (Randomness Fails)

  • 1. PS409 Psychology, Science, & Pseudoscience Dr Brian Hughes School of Psychology brian.hughes@nuigalway.ie @b_m_hughes
  • 2. Evidentiary reasoning: Why do people believe weird things?
  • 3. Testimonial evidence “At what speed were the vehicles going when they hit into 31.8 mph each other?” “At what speed were the vehicles going when they smashed 40.8 mph into each other?” Loftus (1976)
  • 4. Testimonial evidence “At what speed were the vehicles going when they hit into 31.8 mph each other?” “At what speed were the vehicles going when they smashed 40.8 mph into each other?” Loftus (1976)
  • 5. False assumption regarding evidence: People absorb information accurately, evaluate it accurately, and use it to draw accurate conclusions More accurate assertion: People absorb information crudely, evaluate it inconsistently, and use it to draw conclusions that are often–but not always–roughly accurate
  • 6. Evidentiary reasoning errors Cognitive factors Difficulties with randomness Difficulties with sampling Difficulties with probabilistic reasoning Social factors Difficulties with motivation Difficulties with second-hand information Difficulties with first-hand information Difficulties with exaggerated impressions of corroboration
  • 10. Difficulties with randomness Pattern detection ‘built-in’ for evolutionary reasons Human psychology results in a failure to appreciate randomness Allows some useful mental shortcuts But leaves us prone to being fooled
  • 11. “Pareidolia” “The Badlands Guardian” Alberta, Canada Google map “The Old Man of the Mountain” New Hampshire, US (collapsed in 2003) Tree aliens
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  • 20. Steven Gerrard in a plate of chips
  • 21. Auditory pareidolia Electronic Voice Phenomena (EVPs) electronically captured sounds which resemble speech, but which are not the result of intentional voice recording http://www.glowingdial.com/audiofiles.htm Backmasking a recording technique in which a sound or message is recorded backward onto a track that is meant to be played forward
  • 22. Backmasking Led Zeppelin – Stairway to Heaven Forward: If there’s a bustle in your hedgerow, don’t be alarmed Play now, it’s just a spring clean for the May queen. Yes there forward are two paths you can go by, but in the long run there’s still time to change the road you’re on. Backward: Play backward Click here for audio files and lyric reveal: http://jeffmilner.com/backmasking/stairway-to-heaven- backwards.html
  • 23. Backmasking Queen – Another One Bites the Dust Forward: Another one bites the dust! Another one bites the dust! Play Another one bites the dust! Another one bites the dust! forward Backward: Play backward Click here for audio files and lyric reveal: http://jeffmilner.com/backmasking/another-one-bites-the- dust-backwards.html
  • 24. Backmasking Britney Spears – …Baby One More Time Forward: With you I lose my mind. Give me a sign… Play forward Backward: Play backward Click here for audio files and lyric reveal: http://jeffmilner.com/backmasking/baby-one-more-time- backwards.html
  • 25. Summary Human observation is predicated on the construction of perceptions from fragmentary sensations In general, our scanning of environments for major cues is quickly overtaken by a “filling-in of the blanks” Thus, human observers are adept at detecting patterns from vague information Pattern recognition acuity helps us navigate our surroundings both normally, and when perception is compromised However, by necessity, such a process is prone to error Illustrations include pareidolia, both visual and acoustic Over-active ‘pattern recognition’ shows our tendency to attach false meaning to what we see and hear Which demonstrates our susceptibility to acquiring unreliable beliefs
  • 26. PS409 Psychology, Science, & Pseudoscience Dr Brian Hughes School of Psychology brian.hughes@nuigalway.ie @b_m_hughes