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Credit Risk Management Primer
1.
Credit Risk Management
Primer September 16, 2009 By A. V. Vedpuriswar
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Average cumulative default
rates (%), 1970-2003 ( Source: Moody’s) Rating Term (Years) 1 2 3 4 5 7 10 15 20 Aaa 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.12 0.29 0.62 1.21 1.55 Aa 0.02 0.03 0.06 0.15 0.24 0.43 0.68 1.51 2.70 A 0.02 0.09 0.23 0.38 0.54 0.91 1.59 2.94 5.24 Baa 0.20 0.57 1.03 1.62 2.16 3.24 5.10 9.12 12.59 Ba 1.26 3.48 6.00 8.59 11.17 15.44 21.01 30.88 38.56 B 6.21 13.76 20.65 26.66 31.99 40.79 50.02 59.21 60.73 Caa 23.65 37.20 48.02 55.56 60.83 69.36 77.91 80.23 80.23
15.
Recovery rates on
corporate bonds as a percent of face value, 1982-2004. ( Source : Moody’s). Class Average recovery rate (%) Senior secured 57.4 Senior unsecured 44.9 Senior subordinated 39.1 Subordinated 32.0 Junior subordinated 28.9
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