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Measuring carbon in
complex landscapes with trees
                 experiences from the
       World Agroforestry Centre and the
        Moving the audience to act
  ASB Partnership for the Tropical Forest Margins
Measuring carbon in complex landscapes with trees




• Introduction: Henry Neufeldt
• REALU approach: Peter A Minang
• Case studies: Johannes Dietz
• Contextualization: Henry Neufeldt
• Questions
Reducing Emissions from
          All Land Uses:
a framework for global emissions reductions
                    Peter A Minang
                       Global Coordinator
   ASB Partnership audience toTropical Forest Margins at the
           Moving the
                      for the act
                  World Agroforestry Centre
Why REALU?
• Current forest definition within UNFCCC is
  problematic
• Drivers of deforestation not adequately addressed
  within REDD+ this far
• Current REDD+ construction ignores high
  potential emissions reduction and sequestration in
  landscapes
• Copenhagen text on REDD indicates total
  accounting within IPCC guidelines
• A third of Indonesia’s forest
  emissions (total of 0.6 Gt C/yr)
  occur outside institutionally
  defined forest and is not
  accounted for under the current
  REDD+ policy
• The famous E. Usambaras
  forest in Tanzania 8.8 Mt C
  emitted between 1992 and
  2006 but no deforestation
  occurred according to definition
Complex and variable landscapes - the reality
REALU in Sync with IPCC
• All carbon pools: living biomass (aboveground and
  belowground), dead organic matters (litter and necromass) and
  soil carbon
• All 6 land use categories: Forest land, cropland, wetland,
  grassland, settlement, other land
• All transition between land use categories (remains and
  converted)
• Disaggregation-aggregation, stratification by climatic or other
  ecological regions, forest types, land-use or forestry practices,
  fuelwood gathering patterns, etc
• Tier definitions for methods in AFOLU: from simplest (Tier 1) to
  the most sophisticated (Tier 3)
• Choice of methods (gain-loss vs stock changes) and choice of
  activity data
The Legend is Key
Projects on REALU Approach
• REALU Project
• Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and
  Degradation through Alternative Landuses in
  Rainforests of the Tropics - REDD ALERT
• Accountability and Local Level Initiative for
  Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and
  Degradation in Indonesia - ALLREDDI
• Carbon Benefits Project - CBP

• Countries: Cameroon, Indonesia, Peru, Vietnam,
  Nepal, Kenya and others
Indonesian Soil
                Research Institute



             Case studies:
1. Counting trees outside forests in the
   Peruvian Amazon - Glenn Hyman, CIAT
2. Carbon measured and modeled in
   landscapes with trees on farms: an example
   from Western Kenya - Johannes Dietz, ICRAF
3. Carbon Budget from the Peatland of West
   Kalimantan, Indonesia - Fahmuddin Agus, ISRI
4. Land Degradation Surveillance - Thomas
   Gumbricht, AfSIS
Case Study 1
About 1/3 of the central Peruvian Amazon study area
        available in high resolution imagery
            Aguaytia watershed
               17,000 km2
Counting trees on the farms and in other landscapes
Field work


• GPS
• Digital photographs
• Google fusion tables
• Google maps
RED    REDD




REDD+   REDD++
Errors related to scale:
     ASTER image
Up to 48 times more CO2eq in forests
               compared to pastures
                          Forest with 80% canopy cover
Large cattle ranches      (240 Mg/ha) contained within
 (5 Mg/ha carbon)         large cattle ranches
Carbon stock and large cattle ranchesC-stock Detallada
                    C-stock Hacienda Vs with and without accounting for trees
       20000,00

                                                            Difference and
                                                            carbon stock
       18000,00


       16000,00
                                                            depends on the
       14000,00                                             resolution of the
       12000,00
                                                            analysis
                                                          C-stock Haciendas Vs C-stock detallada
                                                                Analyzed on ASTER
       10000,00
                                                          empleando aster
                                                          C-stock Haciendas Vs C-stock detallada
       8000,00
                                                                Analyzed on Google Earth
                                                          empleando GE


       6000,00


       4000,00


       2000,00


           0,00

                  Pastures
                   Haciendas     Pastures
                               Hacienda+Bosque= C-stock
                                       detallada
                                 with trees
Case Study 2
    Western Kenya: Complex and
heterogeneous agricultural landscape
Rationale

•       Mix of land cover types
•       Support for remote sensing approaches with
        ground based measurements
•       Need for reliable and practical approaches for
        assessing biomass in trees across such
        landscapes:
    –     Cost reduction
    –     Quality tiers
    –     Trade-off Cost:Accuracy
Rationale

•       Mix of land cover types
•       Support for remote sensing approaches with
        ground based measurements
•       Need for reliable and practical approaches for
        assessing biomass in trees across such
        landscapes:
    –     Cost reduction
    –     Quality tiers
    –     Trade-off Cost:Accuracy
Approach
•       Destructive sampling of randomly selected
        trees across 5 size classes
•       Additional parameters recorded:
    –     Below ground biomass
    –     Wood density (http://www.worldagroforestry.org/sea/Products/AFDbases/WD/Index.htm)
    –     Canopy projection
    –     Canopy cover
    –     Fractal branching
•       Development of calibrated non-destructive
        ground sampling methods
First results

•       Size does matter:
    –     < 25cm diameter = 10% BM
    –     > 40 cm diameter = 75% BM
    –     10% largest trees = 45% BM
•       Exisiting formulas apply but complex
        landscapes seem to resemble a mix of forest
        types
First results
Case Study 3
                  Methods
Land use (2008)        Future arable peatland
                      • Overlay of peat depth and land
                        cover maps
                      • Time series land cover maps
                        for developing land use change
                        matrix
                      • Some measurement of peat C
                        stock, and use of default
                        values of emission. removal
                        factors
Challenges
Including
• Lack of baseline data
• Laborious and
  intensive sampling
• Remoteness of sites
Policy Applications:
CO2 Emissions under BAU and Different
              Scenarios
Next steps

• Combine repeated CO2 gas flux
  measurement and C stock data
• Test the scenarios at local level, evaluate
  for the legal and institutional constraints.
• Evaluate the abatement costs and have a
  sensitivity test for willingness to accept
Case Study 4
Random Hierarchical Field Sampling


                                     Sentinel Site

                                     16 Clusters

                                       10 Plots

                                       4 Sub-plots
Spectral libraries and Soil Mapping

The spectral properties of different
vegetation and soils, and even soil
physical and chemical properties can
be used for “fingerprinting” complex
landscapes.
Using reflectance corrected satellite
imagery, soil conditions can be
inferred from the spectral
information.
Mapping the landscape from satellite images
                  Mount Kilimanjaro
       Reflectance corrected anniversary Landsat images




          1987
                                      2000
                                                          2006
Mapping the landscape from satellite images
Density of woody biomass on the northern slopes of Mount Kilimanjaro
              Reflectance corrected anniversary Landsat images




                 1987
                                             2000
                                                                 2006
Carbon Benefits and Costs
Comparing the costs for measuring and monitoring within the CBP
           with the benefits obtained on the markets

                            Henry Neufeldt,
               Climate Change Research Leader
             Moving the audience to act
                    World Agroforestry Centre
Challenges with MRV


• High costs for project-based carbon estimation

• Unreliable measurements on the ground

• Problems related to scaling from plot to landscape level

• Problems related to carbon leakage

• Lack of comprehensive, standardized, robust methodology to
  assess and report terrestrial carbon
The Carbon Benefits Project aims to
provide a cost-effective end-to-end
estimation and support system for
showing carbon benefits in GEF and
potentially other natural resource
management projects

The system will be applicable to a
wide range of soils, climates and land
uses
Component 1:
Development of standardized and integrated tools for
quantification and assessment of carbon (including C
accounting) and GHG benefits, both above and below
ground

Component 2:
Test Cases and capacity building using existing GEF
projects in five countries

Component 3:
Best practice toolbox for project design using
socioeconomic and biophysical appraisal

Component 4:
Integrated and easy-to-use frontend for carbon
management, accounting and exchange
An Operational System using EO




                                                        Carbon Sellers

                                                         GEF managers
                       Earth Observation System




                                                  WWW


  Satellite Database
  Data Analysis
                                                               Markets
                        Carbon Models                          Buyers
                        Carbon Accounts
Chamber measurements

                            3.5
                                       Forest
N2O emissions (ng cm hr )




                                       Agriculture
-1




                            3.0
-2




                            2.5

                            2.0

                            1.5

                            1.0

                            0.5

                            0.0

                            -0.5
                                   0           1      2     3   4
                                                     Site
Community Based Carbon Measurement


                 Benefits of community – based
                 carbon measurements
                         –    Access to local knowledge
                         –    Community buy-in
                         –    More project resources go to
                              communities
                         –    Transparency for the
                              community and others
                         –    Cost effective extension of
                              sampling resources


                 The CBP will develop community-
                 based measurement materials for
                         –    Extension personnel
                         –    Community members
Sentinel Site based on the
Land Degradation Surveillance
        Framework
     a spatially stratified,
  hierarchical, randomized
    sampling framework




                                                     Sentinel site (100 km2)

                                                     16 Clusters (1 km2)

                                                     10 Plots (1000 m2)

                                                     4 Sub-Plots (100 m2)


                    Randomization to minimize local biases that might arise from convenience sampling
Local (site-level) Cref   Examples from UNEP-ICRAF West Africa Drylands Project




                                                                     10 km

                                                                0.064% measured

                                                               Very high resolution


                                                                 Extrapolation to
                                                                     Landsat
Local (site-level) Cref   Examples from UNEP-ICRAF West Africa Drylands Project




                                                                     160 km
Conclusions

  • MRV costs are likely to decrease strongly with scale but are
    potentially very high for small projects
   need to use different methodological tiers

  • Management costs will decrease moderately with scale

  • Significant costs for third-party verification of standards

  • Significant setup costs

  • Carbon benefits for small farmers are generally small
   need for co-benefits (e.g. tree products; better market connection;
    time)

  • Benefits for farmers will not likely increase strongly through
    bundling
Thank you!

Henry Neufeldt
h.neufeldt@cgiar.org


Peter A Minang
a.minang@cgiar.org


Johannes Dietz
j.dietz@cgiar.org

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Measuring Carbon in Complex Landscapes with Trees - ICRAF and ASB at UNFCCC SB32

  • 1. Measuring carbon in complex landscapes with trees experiences from the World Agroforestry Centre and the Moving the audience to act ASB Partnership for the Tropical Forest Margins
  • 2. Measuring carbon in complex landscapes with trees • Introduction: Henry Neufeldt • REALU approach: Peter A Minang • Case studies: Johannes Dietz • Contextualization: Henry Neufeldt • Questions
  • 3. Reducing Emissions from All Land Uses: a framework for global emissions reductions Peter A Minang Global Coordinator ASB Partnership audience toTropical Forest Margins at the Moving the for the act World Agroforestry Centre
  • 4. Why REALU? • Current forest definition within UNFCCC is problematic • Drivers of deforestation not adequately addressed within REDD+ this far • Current REDD+ construction ignores high potential emissions reduction and sequestration in landscapes • Copenhagen text on REDD indicates total accounting within IPCC guidelines
  • 5. • A third of Indonesia’s forest emissions (total of 0.6 Gt C/yr) occur outside institutionally defined forest and is not accounted for under the current REDD+ policy • The famous E. Usambaras forest in Tanzania 8.8 Mt C emitted between 1992 and 2006 but no deforestation occurred according to definition
  • 6. Complex and variable landscapes - the reality
  • 7. REALU in Sync with IPCC • All carbon pools: living biomass (aboveground and belowground), dead organic matters (litter and necromass) and soil carbon • All 6 land use categories: Forest land, cropland, wetland, grassland, settlement, other land • All transition between land use categories (remains and converted) • Disaggregation-aggregation, stratification by climatic or other ecological regions, forest types, land-use or forestry practices, fuelwood gathering patterns, etc • Tier definitions for methods in AFOLU: from simplest (Tier 1) to the most sophisticated (Tier 3) • Choice of methods (gain-loss vs stock changes) and choice of activity data
  • 9. Projects on REALU Approach • REALU Project • Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation through Alternative Landuses in Rainforests of the Tropics - REDD ALERT • Accountability and Local Level Initiative for Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation in Indonesia - ALLREDDI • Carbon Benefits Project - CBP • Countries: Cameroon, Indonesia, Peru, Vietnam, Nepal, Kenya and others
  • 10. Indonesian Soil Research Institute Case studies: 1. Counting trees outside forests in the Peruvian Amazon - Glenn Hyman, CIAT 2. Carbon measured and modeled in landscapes with trees on farms: an example from Western Kenya - Johannes Dietz, ICRAF 3. Carbon Budget from the Peatland of West Kalimantan, Indonesia - Fahmuddin Agus, ISRI 4. Land Degradation Surveillance - Thomas Gumbricht, AfSIS
  • 11. Case Study 1 About 1/3 of the central Peruvian Amazon study area available in high resolution imagery Aguaytia watershed 17,000 km2
  • 12. Counting trees on the farms and in other landscapes
  • 13. Field work • GPS • Digital photographs • Google fusion tables • Google maps
  • 14. RED REDD REDD+ REDD++
  • 15. Errors related to scale: ASTER image
  • 16. Up to 48 times more CO2eq in forests compared to pastures Forest with 80% canopy cover Large cattle ranches (240 Mg/ha) contained within (5 Mg/ha carbon) large cattle ranches
  • 17. Carbon stock and large cattle ranchesC-stock Detallada C-stock Hacienda Vs with and without accounting for trees 20000,00 Difference and carbon stock 18000,00 16000,00 depends on the 14000,00 resolution of the 12000,00 analysis C-stock Haciendas Vs C-stock detallada Analyzed on ASTER 10000,00 empleando aster C-stock Haciendas Vs C-stock detallada 8000,00 Analyzed on Google Earth empleando GE 6000,00 4000,00 2000,00 0,00 Pastures Haciendas Pastures Hacienda+Bosque= C-stock detallada with trees
  • 18. Case Study 2 Western Kenya: Complex and heterogeneous agricultural landscape
  • 19. Rationale • Mix of land cover types • Support for remote sensing approaches with ground based measurements • Need for reliable and practical approaches for assessing biomass in trees across such landscapes: – Cost reduction – Quality tiers – Trade-off Cost:Accuracy
  • 20. Rationale • Mix of land cover types • Support for remote sensing approaches with ground based measurements • Need for reliable and practical approaches for assessing biomass in trees across such landscapes: – Cost reduction – Quality tiers – Trade-off Cost:Accuracy
  • 21. Approach • Destructive sampling of randomly selected trees across 5 size classes • Additional parameters recorded: – Below ground biomass – Wood density (http://www.worldagroforestry.org/sea/Products/AFDbases/WD/Index.htm) – Canopy projection – Canopy cover – Fractal branching • Development of calibrated non-destructive ground sampling methods
  • 22. First results • Size does matter: – < 25cm diameter = 10% BM – > 40 cm diameter = 75% BM – 10% largest trees = 45% BM • Exisiting formulas apply but complex landscapes seem to resemble a mix of forest types
  • 24. Case Study 3 Methods Land use (2008) Future arable peatland • Overlay of peat depth and land cover maps • Time series land cover maps for developing land use change matrix • Some measurement of peat C stock, and use of default values of emission. removal factors
  • 25. Challenges Including • Lack of baseline data • Laborious and intensive sampling • Remoteness of sites
  • 26. Policy Applications: CO2 Emissions under BAU and Different Scenarios
  • 27. Next steps • Combine repeated CO2 gas flux measurement and C stock data • Test the scenarios at local level, evaluate for the legal and institutional constraints. • Evaluate the abatement costs and have a sensitivity test for willingness to accept
  • 28. Case Study 4 Random Hierarchical Field Sampling Sentinel Site 16 Clusters 10 Plots 4 Sub-plots
  • 29. Spectral libraries and Soil Mapping The spectral properties of different vegetation and soils, and even soil physical and chemical properties can be used for “fingerprinting” complex landscapes. Using reflectance corrected satellite imagery, soil conditions can be inferred from the spectral information.
  • 30. Mapping the landscape from satellite images Mount Kilimanjaro Reflectance corrected anniversary Landsat images 1987 2000 2006
  • 31. Mapping the landscape from satellite images Density of woody biomass on the northern slopes of Mount Kilimanjaro Reflectance corrected anniversary Landsat images 1987 2000 2006
  • 32. Carbon Benefits and Costs Comparing the costs for measuring and monitoring within the CBP with the benefits obtained on the markets Henry Neufeldt, Climate Change Research Leader Moving the audience to act World Agroforestry Centre
  • 33. Challenges with MRV • High costs for project-based carbon estimation • Unreliable measurements on the ground • Problems related to scaling from plot to landscape level • Problems related to carbon leakage • Lack of comprehensive, standardized, robust methodology to assess and report terrestrial carbon
  • 34. The Carbon Benefits Project aims to provide a cost-effective end-to-end estimation and support system for showing carbon benefits in GEF and potentially other natural resource management projects The system will be applicable to a wide range of soils, climates and land uses
  • 35. Component 1: Development of standardized and integrated tools for quantification and assessment of carbon (including C accounting) and GHG benefits, both above and below ground Component 2: Test Cases and capacity building using existing GEF projects in five countries Component 3: Best practice toolbox for project design using socioeconomic and biophysical appraisal Component 4: Integrated and easy-to-use frontend for carbon management, accounting and exchange
  • 36. An Operational System using EO Carbon Sellers GEF managers Earth Observation System WWW Satellite Database Data Analysis Markets Carbon Models Buyers Carbon Accounts
  • 37. Chamber measurements 3.5 Forest N2O emissions (ng cm hr ) Agriculture -1 3.0 -2 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 0 1 2 3 4 Site
  • 38. Community Based Carbon Measurement Benefits of community – based carbon measurements – Access to local knowledge – Community buy-in – More project resources go to communities – Transparency for the community and others – Cost effective extension of sampling resources The CBP will develop community- based measurement materials for – Extension personnel – Community members
  • 39. Sentinel Site based on the Land Degradation Surveillance Framework a spatially stratified, hierarchical, randomized sampling framework Sentinel site (100 km2) 16 Clusters (1 km2) 10 Plots (1000 m2) 4 Sub-Plots (100 m2) Randomization to minimize local biases that might arise from convenience sampling
  • 40. Local (site-level) Cref Examples from UNEP-ICRAF West Africa Drylands Project 10 km 0.064% measured Very high resolution Extrapolation to Landsat
  • 41. Local (site-level) Cref Examples from UNEP-ICRAF West Africa Drylands Project 160 km
  • 42. Conclusions • MRV costs are likely to decrease strongly with scale but are potentially very high for small projects  need to use different methodological tiers • Management costs will decrease moderately with scale • Significant costs for third-party verification of standards • Significant setup costs • Carbon benefits for small farmers are generally small  need for co-benefits (e.g. tree products; better market connection; time) • Benefits for farmers will not likely increase strongly through bundling
  • 43. Thank you! Henry Neufeldt h.neufeldt@cgiar.org Peter A Minang a.minang@cgiar.org Johannes Dietz j.dietz@cgiar.org