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From Marconi to the Future Network
Dick Lynch
The Beginning…

t
January 18, 1903
April 15, 1912
The Capacity Challenge

Transmitter

(noisy)
Channel

Receiver
Mobile Telephone Service
MTS – 1946

• 3 channels
• Voice only
• Metro coverage with
one site
Improved Mobile Telephone Service
IMTS - 1964

•
•
•
•

25 channels
Voice only
Direct-Dial Service
Metro coverage with
one/few sites
Advanced Mobile Phone Service
“1G” - 1983

•
•
•
•

333 * 2 channels
Voice centric
Modems
Cell site coverage
“Cellular”

Meeting Demand for Capacity and Quality

–Marconi’s Law
–Shannon’s Theorem
The March of the “G”s

More Capacity + More Quality
= BUT Not Enough

Cisco Visual Networking Index: Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast Update, 2012–2017 - Cisco Systems

Figure 1. Cisco Forecasts 11.2 Exabytes per Month of Mobile Data Traffic by 2017

 2G – 1991
 2.5G – 1993
 3G – 2001
 4G – 2009

The Asia Pacific and North America regions will account for almost two-thirds of global mo
East and Africa will experience the highest CAGR of 77 percent, increasing 17.3-fold over
Spectrum-Expansion Relief

• More Spectrum Allocations

• White Space
A Big Step Toward Filling The Gap
The Future Landscape
LTE - Advanced
Heterogeneous Networks
LTE + WiFi Interop

Public Internet

Private IP nets

EPC
SCGW

BS

BS

BS
The Future Network
• Will do what every
predecessor network has
done = satisfy applications
BUT
• You will take the network
and app with you.

Cloud
Services
Personalized Retail
Digital Health
Connected Car
Thank you
We would love your feedback!
Don’t forget to fill out the session’s
survey – found in the session details
on the conference app
#iloveapis
From Marconi to the Future Network

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