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Journal of Experimental Psychology: General
Divine Intuition: Cognitive Style Influences Belief in God
Amitai Shenhav, David G. Rand, and Joshua D. Greene
Online First Publication, September 19, 2011. doi: 10.1037/a0025391



CITATION
Shenhav, A., Rand, D. G., & Greene, J. D. (2011, September 19). Divine Intuition: Cognitive
Style Influences Belief in God. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General. Advance online
publication. doi: 10.1037/a0025391
Journal of Experimental Psychology: General                                                                                     © 2011 American Psychological Association
2011, Vol. ●●, No. ●, 000 – 000                                                                                              0096-3445/11/$12.00 DOI: 10.1037/a0025391




                                                                    BRIEF REPORT

                      Divine Intuition: Cognitive Style Influences Belief in God

                                              Amitai Shenhav, David G. Rand, and Joshua D. Greene
                                                                        Harvard University


                               Some have argued that belief in God is intuitive, a natural (by-)product of the human mind given its
                               cognitive structure and social context. If this is true, the extent to which one believes in God may be
                               influenced by one’s more general tendency to rely on intuition versus reflection. Three studies support
                               this hypothesis, linking intuitive cognitive style to belief in God. Study 1 showed that individual
                               differences in cognitive style predict belief in God. Participants completed the Cognitive Reflection Test
                               (CRT; Frederick, 2005), which employs math problems that, although easily solvable, have intuitively
                               compelling incorrect answers. Participants who gave more intuitive answers on the CRT reported
                               stronger belief in God. This effect was not mediated by education level, income, political orientation, or
                               other demographic variables. Study 2 showed that the correlation between CRT scores and belief in God
                               also holds when cognitive ability (IQ) and aspects of personality were controlled. Moreover, both studies
                               demonstrated that intuitive CRT responses predicted the degree to which individuals reported having
                               strengthened their belief in God since childhood, but not their familial religiosity during childhood,
                               suggesting a causal relationship between cognitive style and change in belief over time. Study 3 revealed
                               such a causal relationship over the short term: Experimentally inducing a mindset that favors intuition
                               over reflection increases self-reported belief in God.

                               Keywords: reasoning, religion, religiosity, reflection, atheism




   A 2007 survey by the Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life                            Wegner, 2007). Others have proposed that the belief in God
(2008) found that 92% of Americans believe in God, with 71%                            provides explanations that reduce uncertainty (Preston & Epley,
holding this belief with “absolute certainty” (p. 163). Worldwide,                     2005, 2009), particularly when unexpected events are personally
estimates suggest that approximately 88%–93% of the population                         meaningful (Lupfer, Tolliver, & Jackson, 1996). Moreover, belief
believes in a God or gods (Zuckerman, 2007). Some have argued                          in God may reduce anxiety related to such uncertainties (Inzlicht,
that belief in God is intuitive, a natural (by-)product of the human                   McGregor, Hirsh, & Nash, 2009; Inzlicht & Tullett, 2010).
mind given its cognitive structure (Bering, 2011; Bloom, 2005;                            Despite the prevalence of belief in God, not all people believe,
Boyer, 2001; Guthrie, 1993; Preston & Epley, 2005) and social                          and believers vary widely in their confidence (Zuckerman, 2007).
context (Atran, 2002; Wilson, 2002). More specifically, humans                         Some have attempted to explain such variation in terms of cultural
may have a number of early-developing, and possibly innate,                            transmission, focusing on how individuals’ beliefs are affected by
cognitive tendencies that support belief in God and other super-                       their social contexts rather than on the distinctive psychological
natural entities. These include the overattribution of intentional                     features of individual believers (Gervais & Henrich, 2010; Ger-
causation and purpose to events (Dennett, 1989; Guthrie, 1993;                         vais, Willard, Norenzayan, & Henrich, in press; Henrich, 2009).
Kelemen, 2004; Kelemen & Rosset, 2009; Waytz, Cacioppo, &                              While we do not deny that cultural transmission models can
Epley, 2010) and the tendency to posit the existence of disembod-                      explain much of the observed variation, it is also possible that
ied minds (Bering, 2006; Bloom, 2004, 2007; Gray, Gray, &                              individual differences in cognitive style, independent of social
                                                                                       context, play an important role in shaping theological beliefs (cf.
                                                                                       Aarnio & Lindeman, 2005, 2007).
                                                                                          One potentially relevant aspect of cognitive style is the extent to
   Amitai Shenhav, David G. Rand, and Joshua D. Greene, Department of                  which individuals form their judgments intuitively, as opposed to
Psychology, Harvard University.                                                        through reflection (Frederick, 2005; Stanovich & West, 1998). By
   Amitai Shenhav and David G. Rand contributed equally to this work.                  intuitive judgments we mean judgments made with little effort
   The authors gratefully acknowledge Randy Buckner, Avram Holmes,                     based on automatic processes, and by reflective judgments we
and the Genomic Superstruct Project for providing data for Study 2 and                 mean judgments in which the judge pauses to critically examine
Wendy Berry Mendes for her helpful comments. This work was supported
                                                                                       the dictates of her intuition(s), thus allowing for the possibility of
by National Science Foundation Grant SES-0821978 to Joshua D. Greene,
National Science Foundation Graduate Research Fellowship to Amitai
                                                                                       a less-intuitive or counterintuitive conclusion. Reflection is typi-
Shenhav, and a John Templeton Foundation grant to David G. Rand.                       cally assumed to be more effortful than intuition, and the two
   Correspondence concerning this article should be addressed to Amitai                processes have been studied as competing components in a number
Shenhav, Department of Psychology, 33 Kirkland Street, Harvard Univer-                 of conceptually similar dual-process models (Evans, 2008; Kah-
sity, Cambridge, MA 02138, E-mail: ashenhav@wjh.harvard.edu                            neman, 2003). Under this general framework, constructs related to

                                                                                   1
2                                                         SHENHAV, RAND, AND GREENE


intuitive thinking include thinking that is reflexive, heuristic, as-           has been reliably (positively) associated with scores on standard-
sociative, holistic or experiential in nature, whereas reflective               ized measures of reasoning abilities (e.g., SAT and various IQ
thinking has been related to processes such as controlled, system-              tests) and measures of thinking style revealed both through self-
atic, analytic, rule-based, or “rational” thinking. If belief in God is         report (e.g., Cacioppo & Petty’s (1982) Need for Cognition Scale)
indeed intuitive (consistent with propositions that the underlying              and through decreased bias susceptibility in classic judgment and
beliefs spring to mind automatically or effortlessly), this suggests            decision-making tasks (Frederick, 2005; Toplak, West, & Stanov-
that the extent to which one believes in God may be influenced by               ich, in press). We analyzed the number of intuitive responses given
one’s tendency to rely on intuition versus reflection. Here we                  by each participant rather than the number of correct responses to
tested this hypothesis. In Study 1, we examined the correlation                 avoid classifying nonintuitive incorrect responses (e.g., $0.08 in
between individual differences in cognitive style (intuitive vs.                the example above) as intuitive.
reflective) and belief in God. In Study 2, we did the same while                   We collected additional demographic/socioeconomic information
controlling for cognitive ability (IQ) and personality. In Study 3,             concerning age, gender, education, income, and political orientation.
we tested for a causal relationship between cognitive style and                 Participants indicated the highest education level obtained (at present)
belief in God by experimentally inducing mindsets favoring intu-                by themselves and by their biological parents, their immediate family
ition over reflection or vice versa.                                            income level during childhood, their own income in the previous year,
                                                                                and how liberal or conservative they are, both socially and fiscally. To
                                Study 1                                         maximize the reliability and generalizability of our results, we em-
                                                                                ployed an attentiveness check based on recommendations of Oppen-
Method                                                                          heimer, Meyvis, and Davidenko (2009). Participants completed this
                                                                                attentiveness check after completing the surveys described previously,
   We recruited participants online (N 882, 64% female; Mage                    and their data were excluded from analyses if they failed to follow the
33 years; SD       11.7; U.S. residents only; excluding participants            directions given. Numbers of responses vary by item due to omitted
who failed an attentiveness check; details follow) using Amazon’s               responses and the fact that not all items were included in an initial
Mechanical Turk (www.mturk.com; see Buhrmester, Kwang, &                        version of the survey.
Gosling, 2011; Horton, Rand, & Zeckhauser, 2011). Participants
completed a demographic survey including questions about belief                                      Results and Discussion
in God. We employed continuous measures of belief in God
(anchored at confident atheist and confident believer), belief in an               Participants who gave more intuitive CRT responses reported
immortal soul, familial religiosity during childhood, and change in             more confident belief in God on our continuous atheist– believer
belief in God since childhood (i.e., the degree to which the par-               scale (Table 1); F(1, 880)      28.1, p    .0001,       .18 (all tests
ticipant has become a more/less confident atheist/believer since                two-tailed unless otherwise specified; all F tests based on ordinary
childhood). We also employed a binary forced-choice question                    least-squares multiple regression models with belief in God as
asking whether participants had had an experience that convinced                dependent variable). This relationship remained significant, F(1,
them of God’s existence (Kass, Friedman, Leserman, Zuttermeis-                  725)      11.3, p    .001,       .13, when we controlled for age,
ter, & Benson, 1991).                                                           gender, education, each parent’s education, current income, and
   Participants then completed a three-item Cognitive Reflection                family income during childhood. The effect was also robust to
Test (CRT; Frederick, 2005), which we used to assess cognitive                  additionally controlling for economic and social conservatism,
style. The three items are math problems with intuitively attractive            F(1, 715)       5.6, p     .02,        0.08, despite the previously
but incorrect answers. For example: “A bat and a ball cost $1.10 in             observed strong relationship between belief in God and political
total. The bat costs $1.00 more than the ball. How much does the                conservatism (Layman & Carmines, 1997; Malka, Lelkes, Srivas-
ball cost?” The response $0.10 springs immediately to mind, but                 tava, Cohen, & Miller, in press). Intuitive responses were also
the correct answer is $0.05. Choosing the attractive but incorrect              positively correlated with self-reported belief in immortal souls,
answer signals greater reliance on intuition and less reliance on               r(875)      .14, p     .0001, and with reports of experiences that
reflection. The number of correct responses an individual provides              convinced the participant of God’s existence (Figure 1A); 2(1,



Table 1
Correlations Between CRT and Measures of Religious Belief (Study 1)

              Variable                             1                        2                        3                      4                      5

1.   CRT–intuitive responding                     —
2.   Belief in God                              .176882                     —
3.   Belief in immortal souls                   .141875                   .725874                   —
4.   Familial religiosity                       .048743                   .375738                 .267733                  —
5.   Belief change since childhood              .192736                   .755738                 .548729                .162741                  —
6.   Convinced of God’s existencea              .145829                   .680826                 .572821                .317685                .615680

Note. CRT Cognitive Reflection Test (Frederick, 2005). Pairwise Ns are provided in subscript.
a
  Values are point biserial correlation coefficients (for dichotomous variable).
  p .05.       p .01.         p .001 (two-tailed).
COGNITIVE STYLE INFLUENCES BELIEF IN GOD                                                         3




                   Figure 1. The frequency of intuitive/incorrect responses to Cognitive Reflection Test items was positively
                   correlated with (A) experience-based belief in God and (B) the degree to which belief in God has increased since
                   childhood (Study 1). Error bars reflect standard errors of the mean.




N 829) 17.6, p .0001, rpoint-biserial .15. Participants who                  and measures of belief in God used in Study 1. Here we focus on
provided all intuitive responses were 1.5 times as likely (39% vs            the continuous belief in God measure.
59.1%) to report having had an experience convincing them of                    Cognitive ability—specifically verbal and nonverbal reasoning
God’s existence as those who provided none.                                  abilities—was assessed with two measures: the Shipley Vocabu-
   In addition, CRT scores were significantly positively correlated          lary Test (Shipley, 1986) and the Wechsler Adult Intelligence
with the degree to which belief in God was reported to have                  Scale Matrix Reasoning test (3rd ed., Wechsler, 1997). These
changed since childhood, r(736)        .19, p     .0001, with more           scales provide well-validated estimates of IQ in their respective
intuitive participants reporting becoming more confident believers           domains and are close analogs to ones used previously in disso-
and more reflective participants reporting becoming more confi-              ciating cognitive ability from cognitive style (Macpherson &
dent atheists (Figure 1B). Post hoc comparisons to the midpoint on           Stanovich, 2007; Toplak et al., in press). Participants were ex-
this scale (5, indicating no change) confirmed that participants             cluded from analysis if they failed to fully respond or reported the
who were most reflective (provided no intuitive responses on the             use of outside assistance. Personality variables were assessed using
CRT) were significantly below that midpoint (Wilcoxon signed-                the following scales: Barratt Impulsiveness Scale (Patton, Stan-
rank test, p .05), suggesting they had on average become more                ford, & Barratt, 1995), NEO Personality Inventory (Costa &
confident atheists. Participants on the opposite extreme (all intui-         McRae, 1992), and the Behavioral Inhibition/Activation Scales
tive responses) were significantly above the midpoint (Wilcoxon              (BIS/BAS; Carver & White, 1994). Numbers of responses vary by
signed-rank test, p       .0001). Notably, CRT scores were not               item due to omitted responses.
significantly correlated with reported familial religiosity during
childhood, r(743) .05, p .19. This suggests that the correlation                                   Results and Discussion
between intuitive thinking and belief in God is not simply a
                                                                                Replicating previous findings (Toplak, et al., in press; cf.
reflection of a cultural pattern whereby childhood environments
                                                                             Frederick, 2005), we found that the number of correct responses
favoring religion also happen to favor intuition. Rather, these data
                                                                             given on the CRT was correlated with both vocabulary IQ,
suggest that cognitive style predicts how one’s religious beliefs
                                                                             r(307) .27, p .001, and matrix reasoning IQ, r(302) .34,
change over time, independent of one’s childhood religious influ-
                                                                             p     .001. We also replicated the results from Study 1, again
ences or lack thereof. This suggests a causal relationship between
                                                                             finding a significant positive association between intuitive re-
cognitive style and belief in God, a relationship for which we
                                                                             sponses on the CRT and belief in God, r(300) .14, one-tailed
tested experimentally in Study 3. In Study 2, we examined the
                                                                             p     .01. Moreover, we found that this relationship held, F(1,
relationship between CRT and belief in God while controlling for
                                                                             270)      5.0, one-tailed p     .01,        0.13, while including
IQ and selected personality variables.
                                                                             controls for age, gender, and all measures of cognitive ability
                                                                             and personality described earlier in a multiple regression model
                             Study 2                                         with belief in God as a dependent variable (see Table 2). Thus
                                                                             the relationship between CRT and belief in God cannot be
Method                                                                       explained as an effect of cognitive ability per se (Stanovich,
                                                                             2009; Stanovich & West, 2008). We also replicated the positive
  We examined data from an independent neuroscientific and                   association between CRT and our binary measure of belief in
genomic study (see acknowledgments in the author note) employ-               God, 2(1, N 289) 3.64, one-tailed p .05, rpoint-biserial
ing a range of laboratory and online measures of cognitive ability           .11, and with change in belief in God since childhood, r(300)
and personality (N 321, 65% female; Mage 20.3 years; SD                      .10, one-tailed p     .05, while still not finding an association
2.7). Participants completed an online survey including the CRT              with familial religiosity, r(312)     –.01, ns.
4                                                           SHENHAV, RAND, AND GREENE


Table 2
Correlations Between CRT, Religious Belief, IQ, and Personality Variables (Study 2)

           Variable                           1                           2                        3                   4                      5          6

1.   CRT–intuitive responding                —
2.   CRT–correct responding                .754                         —
3.   IQ–matrix reasoning                   .272                       .337                         —
4.   IQ–vocabulary                         .213                       .266                       .293                  —
5.   Belief in God                     .135 [0.138 ]              .178 [ 0.166 ]                 .047                .081                      —
6.   Openness to experience                .011                       .035                       .033                .214                    .322        —
7.   Extraversion                          .023                       .106                       .003                .174                    .120       .105

Note. CRT Cognitive Reflection Test (Frederick, 2005). For brevity, we include here only personality variables that continue to predict belief in God
when all other variables are included. Partial correlations given in brackets reflect first-order correlations between CRT and belief in God when controlling
for IQ and personality variables shown. Pairwise Ns vary from 299 to 314 individuals.
  p .05.       p .01.          p .001 (two-tailed).



                                 Study 3                                          ing the aforementioned question about experienced-based belief in
                                                                                  God and a continuous measure of strength of belief in God. We
Method                                                                            hypothesized that inducing participants to favor intuition over
                                                                                  reflection would increase self-reported belief in God.
   Participants were recruited online (N         373; 63% female;
Mage      31 years; SD        11.5; U.S. residents only; excluding
                                                                                                         Results and Discussion
participants based on partial task completion). As our experimental
manipulation, we induced participants to favor intuition over re-                    As predicted, we found that participants who wrote about an
flection and vice versa using a writing exercise. We employed a                   experience that vindicated intuition (intuition-positive or
2     2 between-subjects design in which participants were ran-                   reflection-negative) reported stronger belief in God, compared
domly assigned to write about a situation in which they adopted                   with participants who wrote about an experience that vindicated
one of two cognitive approaches (intuitive vs. reflective) and in                 reflection (intuition-negative or reflection-positive). This was de-
which that approach led to an outcome that was either positive or                 termined by a 2       2 between-subjects analysis of variance with
negative. Situations involving intuitive/reflective approaches were               self-reported belief in God as a dependent variable. Neither factor
respectively defined as ones in which the participant followed his                exhibited a main effect on reported belief in God—main effect of
or her “intuition/first instinct” or ones in which the participant                thinking style: F(1, 369) 0.41, p .52; main effect of outcome
employed a strategy of “carefully reasoning through a situation.”                 valence: F(1, 369) 0.10, p .76. However, as suggested earlier,
For example, participants assigned to the intuition-positive condi-               we did observe the predicted crossover interaction between the
tion responded to the following prompt (italicized portions varied                recollected cognitive approach and the valence of the recollected
by condition): “Please write a paragraph (approximately 8 –10                     outcome (Figure 2); F(1, 369) 4.5, p .035; Cohen’s d 0.22.
sentences) describing a time your intuition/first instinct led you in             Likewise, we observed the same crossover interaction for our
the right direction and resulted in a good outcome.” Participants                 binary reports of having been convinced of God’s existence (Fig-
were excluded if they failed to write at least eight sentences.                   ure 2); logistic regression 2(1, N 373) 9.8, p .002, Cohen’s
Participants then completed a demographic questionnaire includ-                   d 0.33; main effect 2s 0.55).




                      Figure 2. Recollecting the past efficacy of intuition, or inefficacy or reflection, increases reported belief in God
                      (Study 3). Error bars reflect standard errors of the mean.
COGNITIVE STYLE INFLUENCES BELIEF IN GOD                                                              5

                       General Discussion                                 because of variation in how commonly the belief is held. A
                                                                          framework that incorporates individual differences in cognitive
   Three studies—two correlational, one experimental—showed               style may help illuminate the causes of cultural variability in belief
that intuitive thinking predicts belief in God. Study 1 showed that       in God, for example the high rates of atheism in Scandinavian
people who exhibit thinking styles that are more intuitive and less       countries (Zuckerman, 2007).
reflective are more likely to believe in God and to believe in God           In sum, the present results are noteworthy because they help
with greater confidence. These results held while variables related       explain a profoundly important and elusive social phenomenon in
to education, socioeconomic status, and political orientation were        terms of more basic cognitive tendencies, ones with observable
controlled. Study 2 showed that these results held while cognitive        effects across a wide range of psychological domains (Stanovich,
ability and personality were controlled. In both studies, we found        Toplak, & West, 2008; Stanovich & West, 1998). How people
that cognitive style predicted self-reported changes in belief since      think— or fail to think—about the prices of bats and balls is
childhood but was uncorrelated with religious influences during           reflected in their thinking, and ultimately their convictions, about
childhood. This suggests that cognitive style is not only predictive      the metaphysical order of the universe.
of one’s beliefs but also a critical factor in the evolution of one’s
beliefs over time. Consistent with this hypothesis, we demon-
strated a causal relationship between (induced) cognitive style and
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  manipulation checks: Detecting satisficing to increase statistical power.                                                  Received June 4, 2011
  Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 45, 867– 872. doi:10.1016/                                           Revision received August 8, 2011
  j.jesp.2009.03.009                                                                                                      Accepted August 8, 2011

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Divine intuition — cognitive style influences belief in god (shenhav et al. 2011)

  • 1. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General Divine Intuition: Cognitive Style Influences Belief in God Amitai Shenhav, David G. Rand, and Joshua D. Greene Online First Publication, September 19, 2011. doi: 10.1037/a0025391 CITATION Shenhav, A., Rand, D. G., & Greene, J. D. (2011, September 19). Divine Intuition: Cognitive Style Influences Belief in God. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General. Advance online publication. doi: 10.1037/a0025391
  • 2. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General © 2011 American Psychological Association 2011, Vol. ●●, No. ●, 000 – 000 0096-3445/11/$12.00 DOI: 10.1037/a0025391 BRIEF REPORT Divine Intuition: Cognitive Style Influences Belief in God Amitai Shenhav, David G. Rand, and Joshua D. Greene Harvard University Some have argued that belief in God is intuitive, a natural (by-)product of the human mind given its cognitive structure and social context. If this is true, the extent to which one believes in God may be influenced by one’s more general tendency to rely on intuition versus reflection. Three studies support this hypothesis, linking intuitive cognitive style to belief in God. Study 1 showed that individual differences in cognitive style predict belief in God. Participants completed the Cognitive Reflection Test (CRT; Frederick, 2005), which employs math problems that, although easily solvable, have intuitively compelling incorrect answers. Participants who gave more intuitive answers on the CRT reported stronger belief in God. This effect was not mediated by education level, income, political orientation, or other demographic variables. Study 2 showed that the correlation between CRT scores and belief in God also holds when cognitive ability (IQ) and aspects of personality were controlled. Moreover, both studies demonstrated that intuitive CRT responses predicted the degree to which individuals reported having strengthened their belief in God since childhood, but not their familial religiosity during childhood, suggesting a causal relationship between cognitive style and change in belief over time. Study 3 revealed such a causal relationship over the short term: Experimentally inducing a mindset that favors intuition over reflection increases self-reported belief in God. Keywords: reasoning, religion, religiosity, reflection, atheism A 2007 survey by the Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life Wegner, 2007). Others have proposed that the belief in God (2008) found that 92% of Americans believe in God, with 71% provides explanations that reduce uncertainty (Preston & Epley, holding this belief with “absolute certainty” (p. 163). Worldwide, 2005, 2009), particularly when unexpected events are personally estimates suggest that approximately 88%–93% of the population meaningful (Lupfer, Tolliver, & Jackson, 1996). Moreover, belief believes in a God or gods (Zuckerman, 2007). Some have argued in God may reduce anxiety related to such uncertainties (Inzlicht, that belief in God is intuitive, a natural (by-)product of the human McGregor, Hirsh, & Nash, 2009; Inzlicht & Tullett, 2010). mind given its cognitive structure (Bering, 2011; Bloom, 2005; Despite the prevalence of belief in God, not all people believe, Boyer, 2001; Guthrie, 1993; Preston & Epley, 2005) and social and believers vary widely in their confidence (Zuckerman, 2007). context (Atran, 2002; Wilson, 2002). More specifically, humans Some have attempted to explain such variation in terms of cultural may have a number of early-developing, and possibly innate, transmission, focusing on how individuals’ beliefs are affected by cognitive tendencies that support belief in God and other super- their social contexts rather than on the distinctive psychological natural entities. These include the overattribution of intentional features of individual believers (Gervais & Henrich, 2010; Ger- causation and purpose to events (Dennett, 1989; Guthrie, 1993; vais, Willard, Norenzayan, & Henrich, in press; Henrich, 2009). Kelemen, 2004; Kelemen & Rosset, 2009; Waytz, Cacioppo, & While we do not deny that cultural transmission models can Epley, 2010) and the tendency to posit the existence of disembod- explain much of the observed variation, it is also possible that ied minds (Bering, 2006; Bloom, 2004, 2007; Gray, Gray, & individual differences in cognitive style, independent of social context, play an important role in shaping theological beliefs (cf. Aarnio & Lindeman, 2005, 2007). One potentially relevant aspect of cognitive style is the extent to Amitai Shenhav, David G. Rand, and Joshua D. Greene, Department of which individuals form their judgments intuitively, as opposed to Psychology, Harvard University. through reflection (Frederick, 2005; Stanovich & West, 1998). By Amitai Shenhav and David G. Rand contributed equally to this work. intuitive judgments we mean judgments made with little effort The authors gratefully acknowledge Randy Buckner, Avram Holmes, based on automatic processes, and by reflective judgments we and the Genomic Superstruct Project for providing data for Study 2 and mean judgments in which the judge pauses to critically examine Wendy Berry Mendes for her helpful comments. This work was supported the dictates of her intuition(s), thus allowing for the possibility of by National Science Foundation Grant SES-0821978 to Joshua D. Greene, National Science Foundation Graduate Research Fellowship to Amitai a less-intuitive or counterintuitive conclusion. Reflection is typi- Shenhav, and a John Templeton Foundation grant to David G. Rand. cally assumed to be more effortful than intuition, and the two Correspondence concerning this article should be addressed to Amitai processes have been studied as competing components in a number Shenhav, Department of Psychology, 33 Kirkland Street, Harvard Univer- of conceptually similar dual-process models (Evans, 2008; Kah- sity, Cambridge, MA 02138, E-mail: ashenhav@wjh.harvard.edu neman, 2003). Under this general framework, constructs related to 1
  • 3. 2 SHENHAV, RAND, AND GREENE intuitive thinking include thinking that is reflexive, heuristic, as- has been reliably (positively) associated with scores on standard- sociative, holistic or experiential in nature, whereas reflective ized measures of reasoning abilities (e.g., SAT and various IQ thinking has been related to processes such as controlled, system- tests) and measures of thinking style revealed both through self- atic, analytic, rule-based, or “rational” thinking. If belief in God is report (e.g., Cacioppo & Petty’s (1982) Need for Cognition Scale) indeed intuitive (consistent with propositions that the underlying and through decreased bias susceptibility in classic judgment and beliefs spring to mind automatically or effortlessly), this suggests decision-making tasks (Frederick, 2005; Toplak, West, & Stanov- that the extent to which one believes in God may be influenced by ich, in press). We analyzed the number of intuitive responses given one’s tendency to rely on intuition versus reflection. Here we by each participant rather than the number of correct responses to tested this hypothesis. In Study 1, we examined the correlation avoid classifying nonintuitive incorrect responses (e.g., $0.08 in between individual differences in cognitive style (intuitive vs. the example above) as intuitive. reflective) and belief in God. In Study 2, we did the same while We collected additional demographic/socioeconomic information controlling for cognitive ability (IQ) and personality. In Study 3, concerning age, gender, education, income, and political orientation. we tested for a causal relationship between cognitive style and Participants indicated the highest education level obtained (at present) belief in God by experimentally inducing mindsets favoring intu- by themselves and by their biological parents, their immediate family ition over reflection or vice versa. income level during childhood, their own income in the previous year, and how liberal or conservative they are, both socially and fiscally. To Study 1 maximize the reliability and generalizability of our results, we em- ployed an attentiveness check based on recommendations of Oppen- Method heimer, Meyvis, and Davidenko (2009). Participants completed this attentiveness check after completing the surveys described previously, We recruited participants online (N 882, 64% female; Mage and their data were excluded from analyses if they failed to follow the 33 years; SD 11.7; U.S. residents only; excluding participants directions given. Numbers of responses vary by item due to omitted who failed an attentiveness check; details follow) using Amazon’s responses and the fact that not all items were included in an initial Mechanical Turk (www.mturk.com; see Buhrmester, Kwang, & version of the survey. Gosling, 2011; Horton, Rand, & Zeckhauser, 2011). Participants completed a demographic survey including questions about belief Results and Discussion in God. We employed continuous measures of belief in God (anchored at confident atheist and confident believer), belief in an Participants who gave more intuitive CRT responses reported immortal soul, familial religiosity during childhood, and change in more confident belief in God on our continuous atheist– believer belief in God since childhood (i.e., the degree to which the par- scale (Table 1); F(1, 880) 28.1, p .0001, .18 (all tests ticipant has become a more/less confident atheist/believer since two-tailed unless otherwise specified; all F tests based on ordinary childhood). We also employed a binary forced-choice question least-squares multiple regression models with belief in God as asking whether participants had had an experience that convinced dependent variable). This relationship remained significant, F(1, them of God’s existence (Kass, Friedman, Leserman, Zuttermeis- 725) 11.3, p .001, .13, when we controlled for age, ter, & Benson, 1991). gender, education, each parent’s education, current income, and Participants then completed a three-item Cognitive Reflection family income during childhood. The effect was also robust to Test (CRT; Frederick, 2005), which we used to assess cognitive additionally controlling for economic and social conservatism, style. The three items are math problems with intuitively attractive F(1, 715) 5.6, p .02, 0.08, despite the previously but incorrect answers. For example: “A bat and a ball cost $1.10 in observed strong relationship between belief in God and political total. The bat costs $1.00 more than the ball. How much does the conservatism (Layman & Carmines, 1997; Malka, Lelkes, Srivas- ball cost?” The response $0.10 springs immediately to mind, but tava, Cohen, & Miller, in press). Intuitive responses were also the correct answer is $0.05. Choosing the attractive but incorrect positively correlated with self-reported belief in immortal souls, answer signals greater reliance on intuition and less reliance on r(875) .14, p .0001, and with reports of experiences that reflection. The number of correct responses an individual provides convinced the participant of God’s existence (Figure 1A); 2(1, Table 1 Correlations Between CRT and Measures of Religious Belief (Study 1) Variable 1 2 3 4 5 1. CRT–intuitive responding — 2. Belief in God .176882 — 3. Belief in immortal souls .141875 .725874 — 4. Familial religiosity .048743 .375738 .267733 — 5. Belief change since childhood .192736 .755738 .548729 .162741 — 6. Convinced of God’s existencea .145829 .680826 .572821 .317685 .615680 Note. CRT Cognitive Reflection Test (Frederick, 2005). Pairwise Ns are provided in subscript. a Values are point biserial correlation coefficients (for dichotomous variable). p .05. p .01. p .001 (two-tailed).
  • 4. COGNITIVE STYLE INFLUENCES BELIEF IN GOD 3 Figure 1. The frequency of intuitive/incorrect responses to Cognitive Reflection Test items was positively correlated with (A) experience-based belief in God and (B) the degree to which belief in God has increased since childhood (Study 1). Error bars reflect standard errors of the mean. N 829) 17.6, p .0001, rpoint-biserial .15. Participants who and measures of belief in God used in Study 1. Here we focus on provided all intuitive responses were 1.5 times as likely (39% vs the continuous belief in God measure. 59.1%) to report having had an experience convincing them of Cognitive ability—specifically verbal and nonverbal reasoning God’s existence as those who provided none. abilities—was assessed with two measures: the Shipley Vocabu- In addition, CRT scores were significantly positively correlated lary Test (Shipley, 1986) and the Wechsler Adult Intelligence with the degree to which belief in God was reported to have Scale Matrix Reasoning test (3rd ed., Wechsler, 1997). These changed since childhood, r(736) .19, p .0001, with more scales provide well-validated estimates of IQ in their respective intuitive participants reporting becoming more confident believers domains and are close analogs to ones used previously in disso- and more reflective participants reporting becoming more confi- ciating cognitive ability from cognitive style (Macpherson & dent atheists (Figure 1B). Post hoc comparisons to the midpoint on Stanovich, 2007; Toplak et al., in press). Participants were ex- this scale (5, indicating no change) confirmed that participants cluded from analysis if they failed to fully respond or reported the who were most reflective (provided no intuitive responses on the use of outside assistance. Personality variables were assessed using CRT) were significantly below that midpoint (Wilcoxon signed- the following scales: Barratt Impulsiveness Scale (Patton, Stan- rank test, p .05), suggesting they had on average become more ford, & Barratt, 1995), NEO Personality Inventory (Costa & confident atheists. Participants on the opposite extreme (all intui- McRae, 1992), and the Behavioral Inhibition/Activation Scales tive responses) were significantly above the midpoint (Wilcoxon (BIS/BAS; Carver & White, 1994). Numbers of responses vary by signed-rank test, p .0001). Notably, CRT scores were not item due to omitted responses. significantly correlated with reported familial religiosity during childhood, r(743) .05, p .19. This suggests that the correlation Results and Discussion between intuitive thinking and belief in God is not simply a Replicating previous findings (Toplak, et al., in press; cf. reflection of a cultural pattern whereby childhood environments Frederick, 2005), we found that the number of correct responses favoring religion also happen to favor intuition. Rather, these data given on the CRT was correlated with both vocabulary IQ, suggest that cognitive style predicts how one’s religious beliefs r(307) .27, p .001, and matrix reasoning IQ, r(302) .34, change over time, independent of one’s childhood religious influ- p .001. We also replicated the results from Study 1, again ences or lack thereof. This suggests a causal relationship between finding a significant positive association between intuitive re- cognitive style and belief in God, a relationship for which we sponses on the CRT and belief in God, r(300) .14, one-tailed tested experimentally in Study 3. In Study 2, we examined the p .01. Moreover, we found that this relationship held, F(1, relationship between CRT and belief in God while controlling for 270) 5.0, one-tailed p .01, 0.13, while including IQ and selected personality variables. controls for age, gender, and all measures of cognitive ability and personality described earlier in a multiple regression model Study 2 with belief in God as a dependent variable (see Table 2). Thus the relationship between CRT and belief in God cannot be Method explained as an effect of cognitive ability per se (Stanovich, 2009; Stanovich & West, 2008). We also replicated the positive We examined data from an independent neuroscientific and association between CRT and our binary measure of belief in genomic study (see acknowledgments in the author note) employ- God, 2(1, N 289) 3.64, one-tailed p .05, rpoint-biserial ing a range of laboratory and online measures of cognitive ability .11, and with change in belief in God since childhood, r(300) and personality (N 321, 65% female; Mage 20.3 years; SD .10, one-tailed p .05, while still not finding an association 2.7). Participants completed an online survey including the CRT with familial religiosity, r(312) –.01, ns.
  • 5. 4 SHENHAV, RAND, AND GREENE Table 2 Correlations Between CRT, Religious Belief, IQ, and Personality Variables (Study 2) Variable 1 2 3 4 5 6 1. CRT–intuitive responding — 2. CRT–correct responding .754 — 3. IQ–matrix reasoning .272 .337 — 4. IQ–vocabulary .213 .266 .293 — 5. Belief in God .135 [0.138 ] .178 [ 0.166 ] .047 .081 — 6. Openness to experience .011 .035 .033 .214 .322 — 7. Extraversion .023 .106 .003 .174 .120 .105 Note. CRT Cognitive Reflection Test (Frederick, 2005). For brevity, we include here only personality variables that continue to predict belief in God when all other variables are included. Partial correlations given in brackets reflect first-order correlations between CRT and belief in God when controlling for IQ and personality variables shown. Pairwise Ns vary from 299 to 314 individuals. p .05. p .01. p .001 (two-tailed). Study 3 ing the aforementioned question about experienced-based belief in God and a continuous measure of strength of belief in God. We Method hypothesized that inducing participants to favor intuition over reflection would increase self-reported belief in God. Participants were recruited online (N 373; 63% female; Mage 31 years; SD 11.5; U.S. residents only; excluding Results and Discussion participants based on partial task completion). As our experimental manipulation, we induced participants to favor intuition over re- As predicted, we found that participants who wrote about an flection and vice versa using a writing exercise. We employed a experience that vindicated intuition (intuition-positive or 2 2 between-subjects design in which participants were ran- reflection-negative) reported stronger belief in God, compared domly assigned to write about a situation in which they adopted with participants who wrote about an experience that vindicated one of two cognitive approaches (intuitive vs. reflective) and in reflection (intuition-negative or reflection-positive). This was de- which that approach led to an outcome that was either positive or termined by a 2 2 between-subjects analysis of variance with negative. Situations involving intuitive/reflective approaches were self-reported belief in God as a dependent variable. Neither factor respectively defined as ones in which the participant followed his exhibited a main effect on reported belief in God—main effect of or her “intuition/first instinct” or ones in which the participant thinking style: F(1, 369) 0.41, p .52; main effect of outcome employed a strategy of “carefully reasoning through a situation.” valence: F(1, 369) 0.10, p .76. However, as suggested earlier, For example, participants assigned to the intuition-positive condi- we did observe the predicted crossover interaction between the tion responded to the following prompt (italicized portions varied recollected cognitive approach and the valence of the recollected by condition): “Please write a paragraph (approximately 8 –10 outcome (Figure 2); F(1, 369) 4.5, p .035; Cohen’s d 0.22. sentences) describing a time your intuition/first instinct led you in Likewise, we observed the same crossover interaction for our the right direction and resulted in a good outcome.” Participants binary reports of having been convinced of God’s existence (Fig- were excluded if they failed to write at least eight sentences. ure 2); logistic regression 2(1, N 373) 9.8, p .002, Cohen’s Participants then completed a demographic questionnaire includ- d 0.33; main effect 2s 0.55). Figure 2. Recollecting the past efficacy of intuition, or inefficacy or reflection, increases reported belief in God (Study 3). Error bars reflect standard errors of the mean.
  • 6. COGNITIVE STYLE INFLUENCES BELIEF IN GOD 5 General Discussion because of variation in how commonly the belief is held. A framework that incorporates individual differences in cognitive Three studies—two correlational, one experimental—showed style may help illuminate the causes of cultural variability in belief that intuitive thinking predicts belief in God. Study 1 showed that in God, for example the high rates of atheism in Scandinavian people who exhibit thinking styles that are more intuitive and less countries (Zuckerman, 2007). reflective are more likely to believe in God and to believe in God In sum, the present results are noteworthy because they help with greater confidence. These results held while variables related explain a profoundly important and elusive social phenomenon in to education, socioeconomic status, and political orientation were terms of more basic cognitive tendencies, ones with observable controlled. Study 2 showed that these results held while cognitive effects across a wide range of psychological domains (Stanovich, ability and personality were controlled. In both studies, we found Toplak, & West, 2008; Stanovich & West, 1998). How people that cognitive style predicted self-reported changes in belief since think— or fail to think—about the prices of bats and balls is childhood but was uncorrelated with religious influences during reflected in their thinking, and ultimately their convictions, about childhood. This suggests that cognitive style is not only predictive the metaphysical order of the universe. of one’s beliefs but also a critical factor in the evolution of one’s beliefs over time. Consistent with this hypothesis, we demon- strated a causal relationship between (induced) cognitive style and References belief in God in Study 3, showing that the induction of mindsets Aarnio, K., & Lindeman, M. (2005). 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