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Anric Blatt Sustainability as an asset class
1. ANRIC BLATT
Chairman
GOBAL FUND EXCHANGE GROUP
Partner
TERRA PRIMA PARTNERS LLC
Sustainability as an Asset Class
FOOD, WATER & ENERGY
AND WHY IT’S A MUST
2. “Treat the Earth well. It was not given
to you by your parents.
It was loaned to you by your children.”
“Treat the Earth well. It was not given
to you by your parents.
It was loaned to you by your children.”
4. 30% of the world's arable land will be unusable by 2020
50% may be unusable by 2050
with dire consequences for investors, consumers and governments.
Namib Desert, Namibia 2007
8. 0
175
350
525
700
1970
1980 1990
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
POPULATION
AVERAGE CALORIES PER PERSON
FEED GRAIN NEEDED - All Indexed back to 100 in 1970
“It takes 1,000 tons of water to make 1 ton of grain and 7 tons of grain to produce 1 ton of beef.
9. 9
“If we unbalance nature, mankind will suffer.
We must consider future generations: a clean environment is a human
right like any other.
It is therefore part of our responsibility toward others to ensure that the
world we pass on is as healthy as, if not healthier than, we found it.
10. “go long agriculture and water and
go to the beach ......
... put those investments in the
bottom drawer for 10 years.
Agriculture and water would even
beat energy investments”
Invest in agriculture and water,
says BlackRock CEO Larry Fink
11. we are extracting fresh water at
rates up 100 x the natural
replenishment rate.
12. To avoid political turmoil and
regime changes, governments
have no choice but to
continue investing in
food, water and energy
infrastructure
14. Sir David King, Chief Scientific Adviser UK Government
“The global battle for natural resources – from food and
water to energy and precious metals – is only beginning, and
will intensify to proportions that could mean enormous
upheavals for every country.”
20. if bee populations fall too far, our food
supplies will be seriously threatened . . .
Over 70% of our food is pollinated by bees . . . .
5.9 Million (1947)
2.62 Million (2012)
1.8 Million (2013)
4.5 Million (1980)
21. This crisis for mankind and our planet is
simultaneously our greatest challenge, as well
as a once in a lifetime investment opportunity
for visionary investors.
22. 22
by 2025 the agricultural sector will experience
serious water shortages.
Crop losses due to water scarcity could be as high
as 350 million metric tons per year,
slightly more than the entire crop yield of the U.S.
International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
31. 31
Amazon Deforestation 2012. Since President Dilma Rousseff
took office in Jan. 2011, she has reversed deforestation laws
WHAT IF WE KEEP CUTTING?
DOWN OUR FORESTS
32. 32
Amazon Deforestation 2012. Since President Dilma Rousseff
took office in Jan. 2011, she has reversed deforestation laws
WHAT IF WE KEEP CUTTING?
WHEN WILL IT STOP ?
35. 35
Wondering why our children are sick ?
Kansas, July 2nd, 2007
WHAT IF WE, CONTINUE POLLUTING ?
36. 36
Fire at the Chevron oil refinery in Richmond, California, August 6, 2012
WHY DO WE KEEP BURNING?
37. enough solar energy hits
the earth in one single
hour
WHEN
to power the entire globe for a full year.
38. 38
A view of an illegal oil refinery
is seen along a creek outside
the oil hub city Port Harcourt in
Nigeria's Delta region.
WHAT IF WE KEEP LOOKING THE OTHER WAY?
39. 39
In a world where, over 1.4
billion people – 20% of the
world’s population . . .
That’s 20% of the world’s population
40. 40
. . . live in areas where the limits of
sustainable water use have already been
reached or breached.
63. Global energy demand to increase
50% by 2030
Weather & climate anomalies
Population growth of
80 million people/year
Significant infrastructure
underinvestment since 2008
Significant stress on global food
supply
Rapid industrialization &
urbanization of emerging markets
Severe water stress & major
increases in water demand
China, India & developing world
natural resource consumption
Peak Oil vs. Peak Cheap Oil
China’s race to super power needs
Energy, Water, Agri & Resources
WHY ? BECAUSE THEY ARE MUST OUTCOMES
Global shift towards lower carbon
energy & CO2 use
Population and income growth – the two most powerful forces behind rising
global demand for energy, water and natural resources.
64. Weather & climate anomalies
Population growth of
80 million people/year
Significant infrastructure
underinvestment since 2008
Significant stress on global food
supply
Rapid industrialization &
urbanization of emerging markets
Severe water stress & major
increases in water demand
China, India & developing world
natural resource consumption
Global energy demand to increase
50% by 2030
Peak Oil vs. Peak Cheap Oil
Population and income growth – the two most powerful forces behind rising
global demand for energy, water and natural resources.
China’s race to super power needs
Energy, Water, Agri & Resources
WHY ? BECAUSE THEY ARE MUST OUTCOMES
Investments
in Water
Investments
in Energy
Investments
in
Agriculture
Clean Energy
Investments
Global shift towards lower carbon
energy & CO2 use
Natural
Resource &
Commodities
65. MARKET DRIVERS
65
ENERGY SUPPLY SHIFT
ENERGY PRICE VOLATILITY
WATER SCARCITY
BUILDING / LIGHT EFFICIENCY
GRID UPGRADES
NEW TRANSPORT SOLUTIONS
DECLINING ARABLE LAND CONSUMER
Evolving economics driving a shift toward
renewables, natural gas, nuclear, and away from
coal and oil. Shale gas is changing the energy
landscape.
Organic and efficient products experiencing
secular growth. Consumer driven demand for
smart technology taking off
Massive capital spending required to upgrade
aging transmission and distribution infrastructure
to a smart grid.
Energy cost volatility, regulatory changes and
cost savings initiatives driving investment.
Electric and natural gas vehicles approaching
mainstream adoption. THANK YOU ELON
As per capita incomes rise, expanding protein
consumption puts the pressure on agriculture
yield, this drives technology and investment.
Supply challenges complicated by accelerating
water demand and increasing concerns with
water quality. Climate change is hitting home
Security concerns and the recognition of a need
for more diversified sourcing, as well as a
perception of “peak oil” leads to supply
constraints.
TERRAPRIMAPARTNERS.COM
66. WAYS TO INVEST WITH IMPACT
66
EQUITY FUNDS
SECTOR FOCUSED FUNDS
REAL ASET FUNDS
COMMODITY FUNDS
OTHER
Public Long Only
Mutual Funds
ETF’s
Public Hedge
Private Equity
Venture Capital
Hybrids
Bonds
Credit Funds
Ag Land
Timber
Clean (er) Energy
Water rights & entitlements
Natural resources
Green infrastructure
Green Buildings Property REITS
Agriculture
Energy
MLP
Gas
Clean (er) Energy
Solar
Wind
Water
Natural resources
Impact Assets
TERRAPRIMAPARTNERS.COM
Systematic (CTA)
Energy Relative Value
Metals
73. SUSTAINABILITY AS AN ASSET CLASS
73
ENORMOUS UNIVERSE
RESEARCH - NOW MORE THAN EVER
PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION
CONSTANT INNOVATIONS
ECONOMIES OF SCALE
GEOPLITICAL FACTORS
RISK MANAGEMENT EXIT STRATEGY
25+ Different Asset Classes
Hundreds of sub-sectors
Geographic variances
Knowing when to exit and reinvest is
critical. Kick the buy high - sell low
habit.
Diversification amongst multiple
geographies, asset classes and
managers takes deep pockets
New technology coming to market
daily, need to remain flexible
Fed Monetary Policy
Regulation & Policy
Subsidies
Full time attention to changing
conditions, profit taking and portfolio
rebalancing
Combining different asset classes to
reduce risk, reduce volatility and
improve returns
Qualitative
Quantitative
Forensic
74. OR JUST GIVE IT TO THIS GUY
74
HE’LL DO SOMETHING GOOD WITH IT
THANK YOU TO PETER FUSARO
O P P O R T U N I T Y
75. ANRIC BLATT
+1 212 888 71 57
AB @ TERRA PRIMA PARTNERS . COM
Do not follow where the path may lead
go instead where there is no path
AND CAREFULLY LEAVE A TRAIL