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Personal Financial Planning
  H O W S H O U L D W E S AV E F O R O U R F U T U R E ?

       P R E S E N T E D B Y AN D R E W WAI T M A N
Personal Finance in 30 Seconds
                                        2

 What is your philosophy around saving for retirement? You should

 Where is the safest place to invest your money (that gives the best return) when
   you don't have much time to plan for retirement? Bank
   Stocks, iSharesETFs, Mutual Funds, Index Funds
 Besides Pythian what are some of the best investments you have made? High
   Technology & High Fashion Stocks.
 What is your advice for people who are working towards paying off large debts -
   should they be putting money down on debts before saving for retirement? Yes
 What was the best advice you ever received about saving? Balance savings
   with living.
 What are some of the worst mistakes you have seen people make about money ?
  i) NOT INVESTING THE TIME. Ii) NOT SELLING THEIR LOSER STOCKS.




© Andrew Waitman 2013                                                    06/03/2013
Money Management Matters
                                 3




        Time            Income       Assets   Skills




© Andrew Waitman 2013                             06/03/2013
Life Stages
                                      4




        Dependent       Independent       Interdependent   Autonomous




© Andrew Waitman 2013                                             06/03/2013
Time PIE
                                5

                        Time Spent Per Day


                                             Work

                                             Sleep

                                             Necessary Activities

                                             Less Important Discretionary
                                             Activities
                                             Important Discretionary
                                             Activities




© Andrew Waitman 2013                                           06/03/2013
Discretionary Time
                                   6




      Intimate          Extended        Current      Future
       Family            Family        Enjoyment   Investment




© Andrew Waitman 2013                                    06/03/2013
Income PIE
                                      7

                        Discretionary Income After Tax




                                                         Necessities
                                                         Nice to Have
                                                         Luxuries
                                                         Savings




© Andrew Waitman 2013                                        06/03/2013
Discretionary Spending
                                                 8




    Home/Food/Clothes     Kids/Vacation/Social       Indulgence/Fun/Vices   Future Investment




© Andrew Waitman 2013                                                                  06/03/2013
Risk Appetite Asset PIE
                                      9

                          Risk Application per Asset


                                                  Stable Low Risk (eg.Home)

                                                  Low Risk (eg. Emergency
                                                  Funds)
                                                  Medium Risk (eg. Wealth
                                                  Sustaining Funds)
                                                  High Risk (eg. Wealth
                                                  Creating Funds)
                                                  High Risk (eg. Rapid Wealth
                                                  Creating)




© Andrew Waitman 2013                                               06/03/2013
How to Invest
                                     10




        Do it             Hybrid-         Investment    Passive
       Yourself         Investment          Advisor    Strategies
                          Advisor




© Andrew Waitman 2013                                        06/03/2013
Where do you spend your time?
                             11




© Andrew Waitman 2013                          06/03/2013
Scourge of Wealth Creation
                                12




      Inflation               Fees         Taxes




© Andrew Waitman 2013                            06/03/2013
What is Inflation in Canada?
                                13




© Andrew Waitman 2013                             06/03/2013
What is Inflation in Canada?
                                14




© Andrew Waitman 2013                             06/03/2013
What do you earn on your savings in Canada?
                        15




© Andrew Waitman 2013                      06/03/2013
What do you earn on your savings in Canada?
                        16




© Andrew Waitman 2013                      06/03/2013
How to Become Really, Really Rich
                                  17




      Inherit           Plunder        Build   Invest
        It                 It           It       It




© Andrew Waitman 2013                              06/03/2013
Powerful Ideas in Investing
                                            18




    There are no        Know thyself     INVEST         Wealth     Luck Plays a
    silver bullets         RISK        TIME - You      Creation     Role Too
                        TOLERANCE      get out what   Takes Time
                                        you put in.




© Andrew Waitman 2013                                                    06/03/2013
Major Asset Investment Themes
                                    19




     Real Estate         Bonds           Equity     Exotics
     Residential          Gov’t          Private   Derivatives
     Commercial         Corporate        Public    Currencies
       REITs                                         Gold
        Land                                         Wine
      Buildings                                       Art


© Andrew Waitman 2013                                     06/03/2013
What does Risk Taking mean?
                                 20




           Low          Medium        High   Reckless
           Risk          Risk         Risk




© Andrew Waitman 2013                              06/03/2013
Why Invest in a Home?
                                  21




© Andrew Waitman 2013                           06/03/2013
Equity Investing Advice in 60 Seconds
                           22




          Buy            Buy         Buy
         Banks          Pillars     what
                                   you Buy

© Andrew Waitman 2013                     06/03/2013
Why Buy Canadian Banks?
                               23




© Andrew Waitman 2013                         06/03/2013
Why Buy Canadian Banks?
                                     24




     Dividend            Inflation        Oligopoly   Relatively
        Tax             Protection                    low Risk
     Treatment




© Andrew Waitman 2013                                       06/03/2013
Why buy Canadian Banks Stocks NOW?
                        25




© Andrew Waitman 2013                06/03/2013
Why buy Canadian Banks Stocks NOW?
                        26




© Andrew Waitman 2013                06/03/2013
Public Equity Investing Methods
                                    27




    Discount             Full     Mutual   Exchange   Index
     Broker             Service   Funds     Traded    Funds
                        Broker              Funds




© Andrew Waitman 2013                                   06/03/2013
Public Equity Investing Choices
                              28




       Industry            Size of     Geography
       or Sector          Company




© Andrew Waitman 2013                            06/03/2013
Where you are at matters
                                                29




SAVINGS CALCULATOR:
http://www.financialpost.com/personal-finance/calculators/savings/index.html
© Andrew Waitman 2013                                                          06/03/2013
More Ambitious
                              30




© Andrew Waitman 2013                    06/03/2013
Financial Planning 101
                                                    31

 1.     Have a plan. Be explicit.
             1.    Goals, objectives, short term, long term
             2.    Short, medium, long term
   2.    Do some homework
             1.    Understand products and options
             2.    Understand use/value of financial advisors
             3.    WEB is a treasure trove of information
   3.    Beware of the hidden costs, inflation & After Tax Matters
             1.    Most things have a cost…understand what are they.
             2.    Understand the after tax returns. Single biggest variable under your control.
   4.    Save regularly toward some goal.
             1.    “Bad Event” Fund
             2.    Home / Holiday / Cottage / Investment Portfolio
             3.    Kids Costs / Education / Parents Costs
             4.    Retirement / Travel / Opening a Business (eg. Bed and Breakfast, Coffee Shop)
   5.    Live and Enjoy the NOW!

© Andrew Waitman 2013                                                                          06/03/2013
Major Personal Financial Planning Topics
                                   32

1. Risk, volatility and you
2. Financial Planners
3. Investment Options (Cash, Bonds, Stocks, Funds, Real Estate)
4. Cost of Investing
5. Equity Investing
6. Tax Planning & Inflation
7. How do people become really wealthy?
8. When do you end up eating cat food in retirement?
9. Who should you listen to and why?
10. Spouses, Partners and Financial Congruence


© Andrew Waitman 2013                                             06/03/2013
1. Risk, Volatility and You
                                    33


 What can you afford to lose? And in what time frame?
 Where are you in your life for risk appetite?
 You can likely absorb risk more than you think
 Inflation erodes your capital…requiring you to take some
  risk
 Markowitz portfolio theory.
 Short term vs long term volatility
 Consider dollar cost averaging to smooth investment risks




© Andrew Waitman 2013                                 06/03/2013
Risk vs Uncertainty
                                 34

Risk is present when future events occur with
measurable probability

Uncertainty is present when the likelihood of future
events is indefinite or incalculable




© Andrew Waitman 2013                            06/03/2013
Risk and Uncertainty
                                   35



 Risk has an unknown outcome. But we know what the underlying
 outcome distribution looks like.

 Uncertainty also implies an unknown outcome. But we don't know
 what the underlying distribution looks like.

 So games of chance like roulette or blackjack are risky, while the
 outcome of a war is uncertain.

 Objective probability is the basis for risk, while subjective
 probability underlies uncertainty.


© Andrew Waitman 2013                                            06/03/2013
Objective vs Subjective probability
                                     36

Subjective probabilities differ from person to person. Because the
probability is subjective, it contains a high degree of personal bias.
An example of subjective probability could be asking New York Yankees
fans, before the baseball season starts, the chances of New York winning
the world series.

Objective probability is the probability that an event will occur based an
analysis in which each measure is based on a recorded
observation, rather than a subjective estimate. Objective probabilities are
a more accurate way to determine probabilities than observations based
on subjective measures, such as personal estimates.




© Andrew Waitman 2013                                               06/03/2013
Equities Volatility Index
                                    37




© Andrew Waitman 2013                               06/03/2013
Personal Risk Tolerance Assessment
                                   38

 http://www.myrisktolerance.com/riskprofilingsystem




© Andrew Waitman 2013                                  06/03/2013
Major Personal Financial Planning Topics
                                   39

1. Risk, volatility and you
2. Financial Planners
3. Investment Options (Cash, Bonds, Stocks, Funds, Real Estate)
4. Cost of Investing
5. Equity Investing
6. Tax Planning & Inflation
7. How do people become really wealthy?
8. When do you end up eating cat food in retirement?
9. Who should you listen to and why?
10. Spouses, Partners and Financial Congruence


© Andrew Waitman 2013                                             06/03/2013
Financial Planners
                                    40
  Rarely add value or are worth what they charge…
  But if you want to pay no attention to your savings…they will pay
   slightly more attention to your savings ‗cause it‘s their job!
  Unless you have substantial assets, complex context
   (Insurance, Tax, Homes, Hold Co) etc. or have absolutely no time to
   watch your savings strategy, I would advise against using FPs.
  They are a tax on your savings above inflation
     and taxes.




© Andrew Waitman 2013                                             06/03/2013
Major Personal Financial Planning Topics
                                   41

1. Risk, volatility and you
2. Financial Planners
3. Investment Options (Cash, Bonds, Stocks, Funds, Real Estate)
4. Cost of Investing
5. Equity Investing
6. Tax Planning & Inflation
7. How do people become really wealthy?
8. When do you end up eating cat food in retirement?
9. Who should you listen to and why?
10. Spouses, Partners and Financial Congruence


© Andrew Waitman 2013                                             06/03/2013
Asset Investment Alternatives
                               42
  Bank Accounts, Money Market Accounts
  Bonds/Fixed Income (Sovereign, Municipal, Corporate)
  Real Estate
  Mutual Funds – 100‘s of flavors, high cost
  ETFs - 100‘s of flavors, low cost
  Stocks - Publicly traded National/International
  Private Equity - Local or other business
  Complicated and exotic instruments
    Currencies, Commodities, Derivatives

  Art, Jewelry, Gold, Whiskey, Wine, Rare collections, On-
     line currencies.

© Andrew Waitman 2013                                  06/03/2013
New On-Line Currency
                                 43




© Andrew Waitman 2013                          06/03/2013
Major Personal Financial Planning Topics
                                   44

1. Risk, volatility and you
2. Financial Planners
3. Investment Options (Cash, Bonds, Stocks, Funds, Real Estate)
4. Cost of Investing
5. Equity Investing
6. Tax Planning & Inflation
7. How do people become really wealthy?
8. When do you end up eating cat food in retirement?
9. Who should you listen to and why?
10. Spouses, Partners and Financial Congruence


© Andrew Waitman 2013                                             06/03/2013
Cost of Investing
                                45

 Beware of both the hidden and explicit costs
 Self-Directed using ETFs are now most efficient way to
  invest
 Financial planners can be very expensive for cost to value
 After inflation and after tax returns are relevant to
   you because purchasing power decreases over
   time




© Andrew Waitman 2013                                  06/03/2013
Major Personal Financial Planning Topics
                                   46

1. Risk, volatility and you
2. Financial Planners
3. Investment Options (Cash, Bonds, Stocks, Funds, Real Estate)
4. Cost of Investing
5. Equity Investing
6. Tax Planning & Inflation
7. How do people become really wealthy?
8. When do you end up eating cat food in retirement?
9. Who should you listen to and why?
10. Spouses, Partners and Financial Congruence


© Andrew Waitman 2013                                             06/03/2013
Stock Market Investing
                                  47

 Over the long term (15-20 years) equity investing IS the
    best risk adjusted returns—The Warren Buffet method of
    making money
   Many books on the subject
   ETFs are best/most efficient way to invest
   Mutual Funds are expensive and rarely beat the markets
    over the long term
   Invest in companies you know eg. Lulu
    Lemon, Starbucks, TD Bank etc.



© Andrew Waitman 2013                                  06/03/2013
Major Personal Financial Planning Topics
                                   48

1. Risk, volatility and you
2. Financial Planners
3. Investment Options (Cash, Bonds, Stocks, Funds, Real Estate)
4. Cost of Investing
5. Equity Investing
6. Tax Planning & Inflation
7. How do people become really wealthy?
8. When do you end up eating cat food in retirement?
9. Who should you listen to and why?
10. Spouses, Partners and Financial Congruence


© Andrew Waitman 2013                                             06/03/2013
Tax Planning/Inflation
                                  49

  Critical mass matters due to inefficiency
  Inflation erodes purchasing power. Make sure you
   understand this!!!!
  Tax efficient investment can dominate long term returns.
   Income vs Capital Gains. Tax driven vehicles vs
   ―normal‖ investments




© Andrew Waitman 2013                                  06/03/2013
How the rich beat Inflation
                                 50




      ASSET VALUES               OWN          NATURAL
      WHICH TRACK             BUSINESSES    INFLATION
      TO INFLATION          THAT INCREASE     HEDGES
                               REVENUE         -Land
                            AHEAD OF RATE
                             OF INFLATION       -Gold
                                             -Businesses
                                                 -Art


© Andrew Waitman 2013                                 06/03/2013
How the rich beat Taxes
                                   51




        OFF SHORE              ARMIES OF        SMART
        INVESTING             TAX LAWYERS    INVESTING
                                   &          DRIVE UP
                              ACCOUNTANTS   ASSET VALUES
                                                 AND
                                              DECREASE
                                               INCOME


© Andrew Waitman 2013                                06/03/2013
Major Personal Financial Planning Topics
                                   52

1. Risk, volatility and you
2. Financial Planners
3. Investment Options (Cash, Bonds, Stocks, Funds, Real Estate)
4. Cost of Investing
5. Equity Investing
6. Tax Planning & Inflation
7. How do people become really wealthy?
8. When do you end up eating cat food in retirement?
9. Who should you listen to and why?
10. Spouses, Partners and Financial Congruence


© Andrew Waitman 2013                                             06/03/2013
How do people become really wealthy?
                                             53

  Scarce resource control/ownership
            eg. Real Estate Accumulation/Landlord/Building etc.
  Business Founding/Creation/ownership
  Wealth Management at Scale
  Anywhere you are paid as % with large cash flows
   or you own % of businesses
  Celebrity at scale
            Actors, Athletes, Authors, Artists
  Local monopoly/oligopoly over time
            Car Dealerships

© Andrew Waitman 2013                                              06/03/2013
Major Personal Financial Planning Topics
                                   54

1. Risk, volatility and you
2. Financial Planners
3. Investment Options (Cash, Bonds, Stocks, Funds, Real Estate)
4. Cost of Investing
5. Equity Investing
6. Tax Planning & Inflation
7. How do people become really wealthy?
8. When do you end up eating cat food in retirement?
9. Who should you listen to and why?
10. Spouses, Partners and Financial Congruence


© Andrew Waitman 2013                                             06/03/2013
Eating Cat Food in Retirement
                                      55




       Bad Luck         Inattention            Bad       All Eggs in
                                           Investments   One Basket




© Andrew Waitman 2013                                           06/03/2013
Major Personal Financial Planning Topics
                                   56

1. Risk, volatility and you
2. Financial Planners
3. Investment Options (Cash, Bonds, Stocks, Funds, Real Estate)
4. Cost of Investing
5. Equity Investing
6. Tax Planning & Inflation
7. How do people become really wealthy?
8. When do you end up eating cat food in retirement?
9. Who should you listen to and why?
10. Spouses, Partners and Financial Congruence


© Andrew Waitman 2013                                             06/03/2013
Who do you listen to and why?
                                   57




       People           People           Great    Yourself
        You             with the         Track
       Trust             Least          Records
                         Bias



© Andrew Waitman 2013                                  06/03/2013
Major Personal Financial Planning Topics
                                   58

1. Risk, volatility and you
2. Financial Planners
3. Investment Options (Cash, Bonds, Stocks, Funds, Real Estate)
4. Cost of Investing
5. Equity Investing
6. Tax Planning & Inflation
7. How do people become really wealthy?
8. When do you end up eating cat food in retirement?
9. Who should you listen to and why?
10. Spouses, Partners and Financial Congruence


© Andrew Waitman 2013                                             06/03/2013
Spouses, Partners, Financial Plans
                               59

 Highest source of stress in relationships
 Make sure you share some financial goals eg. Kids
  education, savings amount agreement
 Divorce is highly probable…keep some financial
  awareness/independence. Prenups are good.
 When not divorcing, cohere financial plans when possible.




© Andrew Waitman 2013                                 06/03/2013
Your questions to me… in more than 30 seconds
                                     60

 What is your philosophy around saving for retirement?
 Where is the safest place to invest your money (that gives the best
    return) when you don't have much time to plan for retirement?
   Besides Pythian what are some of the best investments you have made?
   What is your advice for people who are working towards paying off
    large debts - should they be putting money down on debts before saving
    for retirement?
   What was the best advice you ever received about saving?
   What are some of the worst mistakes you have seen people make about
    money?




© Andrew Waitman 2013                                              06/03/2013
Philosophy
                               61

 Yes.
 My way is not your way.
 Take care of living. Then take care of retirement.
 What is retirement?
 Avoiding cat food?
 The world in 40 – 20 – 10 – 5 years will be v different
   1971 – 1991 – 2011 – 2006




© Andrew Waitman 2013                                       06/03/2013
Safest Place when…
                                62

 No time to plan!
 Buy a home and keep upgrading then down grade in
   retirement.




© Andrew Waitman 2013                                06/03/2013
Stocks vs Housing
                                63




© Andrew Waitman 2013                       06/03/2013
Most recent Decade
                                64




© Andrew Waitman 2013                        06/03/2013
Best Investments I have made?
                            65


  When I sold a gain.
  When I invested in people not ideas.
  When I invested in Vertex One/John Theissen
  When I don‘t get too clever.
  When I purchased great stocks
     Banks, Starbucks, etc. after a big crash eg.
     Starbucks?



© Andrew Waitman 2013                               06/03/2013
Pay down debt/mortgage first?
                              66

 YES. Almost always.
 Always consider tax implications.
 Cost of capital.
 Risk vs return vs cost of capital




© Andrew Waitman 2013                           06/03/2013
Best Advice
                             67

  Warren Buffett investment strategy, duh!
  Stay away from trends/crowds/media
  You always don‘t know what you don‘t know
  Most people are bad sellers as opposed to bad
   investors
  Real wealth is created in healthy growing
   businesses over the long term
  The legal and accounting burden of ―doing
   exotic‖ is rarely worth the tax and cost in time
   and dollars
© Andrew Waitman 2013                             06/03/2013
Worst Mistakes
                              68

 Holding on to a bad investment/decision
 Not selling a great return. (e.g. Getting greedy)
 Getting caught up in the crowd euphoria when the
  going is good
 Bulls make money, Bears make money, Pigs get
  slaughtered
 Not thinking about everything ―after tax and after
  inflation‖


© Andrew Waitman 2013                            06/03/2013
Finding Resources on-line
                                              69

   http://www.theskilledinvestor.com/ss.category.12/financial-planning-process.html

   http://www.financialpost.com/personal-finance/calculators/savings/index.html




© Andrew Waitman 2013                                                              06/03/2013
Worth Reading
                              70




© Andrew Waitman 2013                   06/03/2013
How to invest in Stock Markets
                        71




© Andrew Waitman 2013                06/03/2013
Read Good Books
                               72




© Andrew Waitman 2013                     06/03/2013
The Wealthy Barber
                                73




© Andrew Waitman 2013                        06/03/2013
Canada’s Gordon Pape
                                 74




© Andrew Waitman 2013                          06/03/2013

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2013 march madness_mythsmysteriesandmoneymakingmethods v2.1

  • 1. Personal Financial Planning H O W S H O U L D W E S AV E F O R O U R F U T U R E ? P R E S E N T E D B Y AN D R E W WAI T M A N
  • 2. Personal Finance in 30 Seconds 2  What is your philosophy around saving for retirement? You should  Where is the safest place to invest your money (that gives the best return) when you don't have much time to plan for retirement? Bank Stocks, iSharesETFs, Mutual Funds, Index Funds  Besides Pythian what are some of the best investments you have made? High Technology & High Fashion Stocks.  What is your advice for people who are working towards paying off large debts - should they be putting money down on debts before saving for retirement? Yes  What was the best advice you ever received about saving? Balance savings with living.  What are some of the worst mistakes you have seen people make about money ? i) NOT INVESTING THE TIME. Ii) NOT SELLING THEIR LOSER STOCKS. © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 3. Money Management Matters 3 Time Income Assets Skills © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 4. Life Stages 4 Dependent Independent Interdependent Autonomous © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 5. Time PIE 5 Time Spent Per Day Work Sleep Necessary Activities Less Important Discretionary Activities Important Discretionary Activities © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 6. Discretionary Time 6 Intimate Extended Current Future Family Family Enjoyment Investment © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 7. Income PIE 7 Discretionary Income After Tax Necessities Nice to Have Luxuries Savings © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 8. Discretionary Spending 8 Home/Food/Clothes Kids/Vacation/Social Indulgence/Fun/Vices Future Investment © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 9. Risk Appetite Asset PIE 9 Risk Application per Asset Stable Low Risk (eg.Home) Low Risk (eg. Emergency Funds) Medium Risk (eg. Wealth Sustaining Funds) High Risk (eg. Wealth Creating Funds) High Risk (eg. Rapid Wealth Creating) © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 10. How to Invest 10 Do it Hybrid- Investment Passive Yourself Investment Advisor Strategies Advisor © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 11. Where do you spend your time? 11 © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 12. Scourge of Wealth Creation 12 Inflation Fees Taxes © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 13. What is Inflation in Canada? 13 © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 14. What is Inflation in Canada? 14 © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 15. What do you earn on your savings in Canada? 15 © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 16. What do you earn on your savings in Canada? 16 © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 17. How to Become Really, Really Rich 17 Inherit Plunder Build Invest It It It It © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 18. Powerful Ideas in Investing 18 There are no Know thyself INVEST Wealth Luck Plays a silver bullets RISK TIME - You Creation Role Too TOLERANCE get out what Takes Time you put in. © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 19. Major Asset Investment Themes 19 Real Estate Bonds Equity Exotics Residential Gov’t Private Derivatives Commercial Corporate Public Currencies REITs Gold Land Wine Buildings Art © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 20. What does Risk Taking mean? 20 Low Medium High Reckless Risk Risk Risk © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 21. Why Invest in a Home? 21 © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 22. Equity Investing Advice in 60 Seconds 22 Buy Buy Buy Banks Pillars what you Buy © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 23. Why Buy Canadian Banks? 23 © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 24. Why Buy Canadian Banks? 24 Dividend Inflation Oligopoly Relatively Tax Protection low Risk Treatment © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 25. Why buy Canadian Banks Stocks NOW? 25 © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 26. Why buy Canadian Banks Stocks NOW? 26 © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 27. Public Equity Investing Methods 27 Discount Full Mutual Exchange Index Broker Service Funds Traded Funds Broker Funds © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 28. Public Equity Investing Choices 28 Industry Size of Geography or Sector Company © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 29. Where you are at matters 29 SAVINGS CALCULATOR: http://www.financialpost.com/personal-finance/calculators/savings/index.html © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 30. More Ambitious 30 © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 31. Financial Planning 101 31 1. Have a plan. Be explicit. 1. Goals, objectives, short term, long term 2. Short, medium, long term 2. Do some homework 1. Understand products and options 2. Understand use/value of financial advisors 3. WEB is a treasure trove of information 3. Beware of the hidden costs, inflation & After Tax Matters 1. Most things have a cost…understand what are they. 2. Understand the after tax returns. Single biggest variable under your control. 4. Save regularly toward some goal. 1. “Bad Event” Fund 2. Home / Holiday / Cottage / Investment Portfolio 3. Kids Costs / Education / Parents Costs 4. Retirement / Travel / Opening a Business (eg. Bed and Breakfast, Coffee Shop) 5. Live and Enjoy the NOW! © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 32. Major Personal Financial Planning Topics 32 1. Risk, volatility and you 2. Financial Planners 3. Investment Options (Cash, Bonds, Stocks, Funds, Real Estate) 4. Cost of Investing 5. Equity Investing 6. Tax Planning & Inflation 7. How do people become really wealthy? 8. When do you end up eating cat food in retirement? 9. Who should you listen to and why? 10. Spouses, Partners and Financial Congruence © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 33. 1. Risk, Volatility and You 33  What can you afford to lose? And in what time frame?  Where are you in your life for risk appetite?  You can likely absorb risk more than you think  Inflation erodes your capital…requiring you to take some risk  Markowitz portfolio theory.  Short term vs long term volatility  Consider dollar cost averaging to smooth investment risks © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 34. Risk vs Uncertainty 34 Risk is present when future events occur with measurable probability Uncertainty is present when the likelihood of future events is indefinite or incalculable © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 35. Risk and Uncertainty 35 Risk has an unknown outcome. But we know what the underlying outcome distribution looks like. Uncertainty also implies an unknown outcome. But we don't know what the underlying distribution looks like. So games of chance like roulette or blackjack are risky, while the outcome of a war is uncertain. Objective probability is the basis for risk, while subjective probability underlies uncertainty. © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 36. Objective vs Subjective probability 36 Subjective probabilities differ from person to person. Because the probability is subjective, it contains a high degree of personal bias. An example of subjective probability could be asking New York Yankees fans, before the baseball season starts, the chances of New York winning the world series. Objective probability is the probability that an event will occur based an analysis in which each measure is based on a recorded observation, rather than a subjective estimate. Objective probabilities are a more accurate way to determine probabilities than observations based on subjective measures, such as personal estimates. © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 37. Equities Volatility Index 37 © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 38. Personal Risk Tolerance Assessment 38  http://www.myrisktolerance.com/riskprofilingsystem © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 39. Major Personal Financial Planning Topics 39 1. Risk, volatility and you 2. Financial Planners 3. Investment Options (Cash, Bonds, Stocks, Funds, Real Estate) 4. Cost of Investing 5. Equity Investing 6. Tax Planning & Inflation 7. How do people become really wealthy? 8. When do you end up eating cat food in retirement? 9. Who should you listen to and why? 10. Spouses, Partners and Financial Congruence © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 40. Financial Planners 40  Rarely add value or are worth what they charge…  But if you want to pay no attention to your savings…they will pay slightly more attention to your savings ‗cause it‘s their job!  Unless you have substantial assets, complex context (Insurance, Tax, Homes, Hold Co) etc. or have absolutely no time to watch your savings strategy, I would advise against using FPs.  They are a tax on your savings above inflation and taxes. © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 41. Major Personal Financial Planning Topics 41 1. Risk, volatility and you 2. Financial Planners 3. Investment Options (Cash, Bonds, Stocks, Funds, Real Estate) 4. Cost of Investing 5. Equity Investing 6. Tax Planning & Inflation 7. How do people become really wealthy? 8. When do you end up eating cat food in retirement? 9. Who should you listen to and why? 10. Spouses, Partners and Financial Congruence © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 42. Asset Investment Alternatives 42  Bank Accounts, Money Market Accounts  Bonds/Fixed Income (Sovereign, Municipal, Corporate)  Real Estate  Mutual Funds – 100‘s of flavors, high cost  ETFs - 100‘s of flavors, low cost  Stocks - Publicly traded National/International  Private Equity - Local or other business  Complicated and exotic instruments  Currencies, Commodities, Derivatives  Art, Jewelry, Gold, Whiskey, Wine, Rare collections, On- line currencies. © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 43. New On-Line Currency 43 © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 44. Major Personal Financial Planning Topics 44 1. Risk, volatility and you 2. Financial Planners 3. Investment Options (Cash, Bonds, Stocks, Funds, Real Estate) 4. Cost of Investing 5. Equity Investing 6. Tax Planning & Inflation 7. How do people become really wealthy? 8. When do you end up eating cat food in retirement? 9. Who should you listen to and why? 10. Spouses, Partners and Financial Congruence © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 45. Cost of Investing 45  Beware of both the hidden and explicit costs  Self-Directed using ETFs are now most efficient way to invest  Financial planners can be very expensive for cost to value  After inflation and after tax returns are relevant to you because purchasing power decreases over time © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 46. Major Personal Financial Planning Topics 46 1. Risk, volatility and you 2. Financial Planners 3. Investment Options (Cash, Bonds, Stocks, Funds, Real Estate) 4. Cost of Investing 5. Equity Investing 6. Tax Planning & Inflation 7. How do people become really wealthy? 8. When do you end up eating cat food in retirement? 9. Who should you listen to and why? 10. Spouses, Partners and Financial Congruence © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 47. Stock Market Investing 47  Over the long term (15-20 years) equity investing IS the best risk adjusted returns—The Warren Buffet method of making money  Many books on the subject  ETFs are best/most efficient way to invest  Mutual Funds are expensive and rarely beat the markets over the long term  Invest in companies you know eg. Lulu Lemon, Starbucks, TD Bank etc. © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 48. Major Personal Financial Planning Topics 48 1. Risk, volatility and you 2. Financial Planners 3. Investment Options (Cash, Bonds, Stocks, Funds, Real Estate) 4. Cost of Investing 5. Equity Investing 6. Tax Planning & Inflation 7. How do people become really wealthy? 8. When do you end up eating cat food in retirement? 9. Who should you listen to and why? 10. Spouses, Partners and Financial Congruence © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 49. Tax Planning/Inflation 49  Critical mass matters due to inefficiency  Inflation erodes purchasing power. Make sure you understand this!!!!  Tax efficient investment can dominate long term returns. Income vs Capital Gains. Tax driven vehicles vs ―normal‖ investments © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 50. How the rich beat Inflation 50 ASSET VALUES OWN NATURAL WHICH TRACK BUSINESSES INFLATION TO INFLATION THAT INCREASE HEDGES REVENUE -Land AHEAD OF RATE OF INFLATION -Gold -Businesses -Art © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 51. How the rich beat Taxes 51 OFF SHORE ARMIES OF SMART INVESTING TAX LAWYERS INVESTING & DRIVE UP ACCOUNTANTS ASSET VALUES AND DECREASE INCOME © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 52. Major Personal Financial Planning Topics 52 1. Risk, volatility and you 2. Financial Planners 3. Investment Options (Cash, Bonds, Stocks, Funds, Real Estate) 4. Cost of Investing 5. Equity Investing 6. Tax Planning & Inflation 7. How do people become really wealthy? 8. When do you end up eating cat food in retirement? 9. Who should you listen to and why? 10. Spouses, Partners and Financial Congruence © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 53. How do people become really wealthy? 53  Scarce resource control/ownership  eg. Real Estate Accumulation/Landlord/Building etc.  Business Founding/Creation/ownership  Wealth Management at Scale  Anywhere you are paid as % with large cash flows or you own % of businesses  Celebrity at scale  Actors, Athletes, Authors, Artists  Local monopoly/oligopoly over time  Car Dealerships © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 54. Major Personal Financial Planning Topics 54 1. Risk, volatility and you 2. Financial Planners 3. Investment Options (Cash, Bonds, Stocks, Funds, Real Estate) 4. Cost of Investing 5. Equity Investing 6. Tax Planning & Inflation 7. How do people become really wealthy? 8. When do you end up eating cat food in retirement? 9. Who should you listen to and why? 10. Spouses, Partners and Financial Congruence © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 55. Eating Cat Food in Retirement 55 Bad Luck Inattention Bad All Eggs in Investments One Basket © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 56. Major Personal Financial Planning Topics 56 1. Risk, volatility and you 2. Financial Planners 3. Investment Options (Cash, Bonds, Stocks, Funds, Real Estate) 4. Cost of Investing 5. Equity Investing 6. Tax Planning & Inflation 7. How do people become really wealthy? 8. When do you end up eating cat food in retirement? 9. Who should you listen to and why? 10. Spouses, Partners and Financial Congruence © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 57. Who do you listen to and why? 57 People People Great Yourself You with the Track Trust Least Records Bias © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 58. Major Personal Financial Planning Topics 58 1. Risk, volatility and you 2. Financial Planners 3. Investment Options (Cash, Bonds, Stocks, Funds, Real Estate) 4. Cost of Investing 5. Equity Investing 6. Tax Planning & Inflation 7. How do people become really wealthy? 8. When do you end up eating cat food in retirement? 9. Who should you listen to and why? 10. Spouses, Partners and Financial Congruence © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 59. Spouses, Partners, Financial Plans 59  Highest source of stress in relationships  Make sure you share some financial goals eg. Kids education, savings amount agreement  Divorce is highly probable…keep some financial awareness/independence. Prenups are good.  When not divorcing, cohere financial plans when possible. © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 60. Your questions to me… in more than 30 seconds 60  What is your philosophy around saving for retirement?  Where is the safest place to invest your money (that gives the best return) when you don't have much time to plan for retirement?  Besides Pythian what are some of the best investments you have made?  What is your advice for people who are working towards paying off large debts - should they be putting money down on debts before saving for retirement?  What was the best advice you ever received about saving?  What are some of the worst mistakes you have seen people make about money? © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 61. Philosophy 61  Yes.  My way is not your way.  Take care of living. Then take care of retirement.  What is retirement?  Avoiding cat food?  The world in 40 – 20 – 10 – 5 years will be v different  1971 – 1991 – 2011 – 2006 © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 62. Safest Place when… 62  No time to plan!  Buy a home and keep upgrading then down grade in retirement. © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 63. Stocks vs Housing 63 © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 64. Most recent Decade 64 © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 65. Best Investments I have made? 65  When I sold a gain.  When I invested in people not ideas.  When I invested in Vertex One/John Theissen  When I don‘t get too clever.  When I purchased great stocks Banks, Starbucks, etc. after a big crash eg. Starbucks? © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 66. Pay down debt/mortgage first? 66  YES. Almost always.  Always consider tax implications.  Cost of capital.  Risk vs return vs cost of capital © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 67. Best Advice 67  Warren Buffett investment strategy, duh!  Stay away from trends/crowds/media  You always don‘t know what you don‘t know  Most people are bad sellers as opposed to bad investors  Real wealth is created in healthy growing businesses over the long term  The legal and accounting burden of ―doing exotic‖ is rarely worth the tax and cost in time and dollars © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 68. Worst Mistakes 68  Holding on to a bad investment/decision  Not selling a great return. (e.g. Getting greedy)  Getting caught up in the crowd euphoria when the going is good  Bulls make money, Bears make money, Pigs get slaughtered  Not thinking about everything ―after tax and after inflation‖ © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 69. Finding Resources on-line 69  http://www.theskilledinvestor.com/ss.category.12/financial-planning-process.html  http://www.financialpost.com/personal-finance/calculators/savings/index.html © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 70. Worth Reading 70 © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 71. How to invest in Stock Markets 71 © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 72. Read Good Books 72 © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 73. The Wealthy Barber 73 © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013
  • 74. Canada’s Gordon Pape 74 © Andrew Waitman 2013 06/03/2013