1. How Brazilian
Immigrants Vote
(Presidential Elections 2010)
Alvaro
Lima,
February
2013

2. Brazilian
Immigrant
Electorate
Characteris@cs…
 According
to
the
elec.on
commission
(Tribunal
Superior
Eleitoral),
the
number
of
Brazilian
voters
abroad
increased
significantly,
going
from
69,937
in
2002
to
86,360
in
2006,
surpassing
200,000
voters
in
2010;
•
 The
Brazilian
electorate
abroad
comprises
1.85%
of
the
Brazilian
electorate,
totaling
135,804,433
voters;
 Brazilian
voters
abroad
are
mainly
females
(60.4%)
with
a
higher
degree
of
educa.on
than
Brazilian
men
abroad.
While
only
29%
of
the
laQer
have
finished
college,
33%
of
Brazilian
women
voters
have
college
degrees.
The
mean
college-­‐level
educa.on
of
the
total
electorate
abroad
is
31.16%.
Sixty
four
per
cent
of
voters
in
the
total
electorate
with
a
college
degree
or
higher
are
women;••
 The
majority
of
voters
abroad
are
between
the
ages
of
25
and
59
(83.7%).
Younger
voters
between
the
ages
of
16
and
24,
represent
only
9.53%
of
total
voters
abroad.
Voters
over
60
years
of
age
total
6.61%;
 Brazilian
immigrant
voters
are
concentrated
in
Europe
(51%),
followed
by
North
America
(26%);
La.n
America
&
the
Caribbean
(12%);
Asia
(7%);
the
Middle
East
(2%);
Oceania
(1%);
and
Africa
(1%):
•
July
2010
data.
Available
at
hQp://www.tse.jus.br/internet/eleicoes/regi_uf_blank.htm.
••
The
educa.onal
profile
of
the
electorate
has
not
changed
much
from
elec.on
to
elec.on,
with
a
small
varia.on
in
the
voters
with
complete
and
incomplete
college;
34,43%
and
15.78
in
2002;
34,31%
and
15,09%
in
2006;
31,16%
and
13,88%
in
2010
respec.vely.
Note
1:
The
sta.s.cs
that
reference
the
Brazilian
electorate
abroad
include
Brazilian
immigrants
and
non-­‐immigrants
such
as
the
members
of
the
diploma.c
corps,
students,
etc..
Note
2:
According
to
Ministério
das
Relações
Exteriores
do
Brasil,
the
Brazilian
immigrant
popula.on
in
2010
is
3,040,993.
AFRICA
1%
NORTH
AMERICA
26%
LATIN
AMERICA
&
CARIBBEAN
12%
ASIA
7%
EUROPE
51%
OCEANIA
1%
MIDDLE
EAST
2%
Figure
1:
DISTRIBUTION
OF
THE
ELECTORATE
ABROAD

3. First
and
Second
Round
Results
of
the
2010
Elec@ons
 Brazilian
voters
abroad
cast
84,303
valid
votes
in
the
first
turn
of
the
2010
elec.on.
Absentee
levels
were
high
(42%)
when
compared
to
voters
in
the
na.onal
territory
(18%).
In
the
second
turn,
rates
of
absenteeism
among
voters
abroad
decreased
(from
42%
to
40%)
while
absenteeism
among
voters
in
the
na.onal
territory
increased
(from
18%
to
21.5%);
 This
low
vo.ng
rate
among
Brazilians
abroad
together
with
the
fact
that
only
7
in
every
100
Brazilians
abroad
register
to
vote
(compared
to
70
in
every
100
Brazilians
in
the
na.onal
territory)
shows
the
low
engagement
in
the
electoral
process
by
Brazilians
abroad.
Figures
2
and
3
illustrate
the
vo.ng
distribu.on
on
both
turns
of
the
2010
elec.on
by
con.nent:
AFRICA
1%
NORTH
AMERICA
36%
LATIN
AMERICA
&
CARIBBEAN
15%
ASIA
8%
EUROPE
37%
OCEANIA
1%
MIDDLE
EAST
2%
Figure
2:
DISTRIBUTION
OF
VOTES
BY
CONTINENT
–
1st
TURN
AFRICA
1%
NORTH
AMERICA
36%
LATIN
AMERICA
&
CARIBBEAN
15%
ASIA
8%
EUROPE
37%
OCEANIA
1%
MIDDLE
EAST
2%
Figure
3:
DISTRIBUTION
OF
VOTES
BY
CONTINENT
–
2nd
TURN

4.  The
Brazilian
electorate
abroad
voted
in
154
locali.es
and
624
polling
sta.ons
distributed
in
five
con.nents.
The
largest
electorate
is
in
the
United
States
(66,940);
followed
by
Portugal
(23,182
voters);
Italy
(14,903
voters);
Japan
(11,827
voters);
and
Germany
(8,533
voters).
 New
York
is
the
city
with
the
largest
electorate
with
21,076
voters
represen.ng
10.5%
of
the
Brazilian
immigrant
electorate;
followed
by
Lisbon
with
12,360
voters
(6.2%);
Boston
(12,330
or
6.1%);
Milan
(11,415
or
5.7%);
Porto
(10,822
or
5.4%);
and
Miami
(10,273
or
5.1%);
 Figures
4
and
5
illustrate
the
vo.ng
distribu.on
in
the
United
States.
In
the
first
turn,
New
York
accounted
for
31%
of
the
valid
votes,
followed
by
Boston
(20%),
and
Miami
(16%).
In
the
second
turn,
this
distribu.on
did
not
change
much,
with
New
York,
Boston,
and
Miami
occupying
the
same
posi.ons:
ATLANTA
3%
BOSTON
20%
CHICAGO
2%
HARTFORD
1%
HOUSTON
6%
LOS
ANGELES
5%
MIAMI
16%
NEW
YORK
31%
SAN
FRANCISCO
6%
WASHINGTON
10%
Figure
4:
2010
ELECTION
UNITED
STATES
–
1st
TURN
ATLANTA
3%
BOSTON
21%
CHICAGO
2%
HARTFORD
1%
HOUSTON
5%
LOS
ANGELES
5%
MIAMI
16%
NEW
YORK
32%
SAN
FRANCISCO
6%
WASHINGTON
9%
Figure
5:
2010
ELECTION
UNITED
STATES
–
2nd
TURN

5. 
Aker
the
results
of
the
first
turn
of
the
2010
elec.ons
were
compiled,
the
three
candidates
with
the
most
votes
had
a
total
of
81,891
votes
with
the
candidate
from
the
Par.do
da
Social
Democracia
Brasileira
(PSDB),
José
Serra,
receiving
33,933
of
the
valid
votes,
followed
by
the
candidate
from
the
Par.do
dos
Trabalhadores
(PT),
Dilma
Roussef,
with
30,736
followed
by
the
candidate
from
the
Par.do
Verde
(PV),
Marina
da
Silva,
with
17,222
votes;
 This
vo.ng
paQern
is
very
different
from
that
of
the
resident
Brazilian
popula.on.
Among
the
resident
popula.on,
the
PT
candidate
obtained
46.91%
of
the
votes,
while,
abroad,
she
obtained
only
36.5%
of
the
valid
votes.
The
PSDB
candidate,
on
the
other
hand,
obtained
40.2%
of
the
immigrant
vote
while
receiving
only
32.61%
of
the
vote
in
Brazil.
Finally,
Marina
da
Silva
showed
a
greater
balance
between
the
votes
she
received
outside
(20.4%)
and
within
the
country
(19.33%):
1st
Turn:
33,933
votes
or
40.2%
of
the
votes
abroad
(32.61%
in
Brazil)
1st
Turn:
30,736
votes
or
36.5%
of
the
votes
abroad
(46.91%
in
Brazil)
1st
Turn:
17,222
votes
or
20.4%
of
the
votes
abroad
(19.33%
in
Brazil)
 In
the
second
turn,
this
trend
did
not
change.
In
Brazil
the
PT
candidate
received
56.05%
of
the
votes,
while
abroad
she
received
only
40.87%.
As
in
the
first
turn,
the
PSDB
candidate
had
the
majority
of
the
immigrant
vote
(59.13%)
while
in
the
na.onal
territory
he
received
only
43.95%
of
the
valid
votes.
The
difference
between
the
first
and
second
turns
was
13,980
more
votes
for
the
PSDB
candidate:
2nd
Turn:
47,913
votes
or
59.13%
of
the
votes
abroad
(43.95%
in
Brazil)
2nd
Turn:
33,112
votes
or
40.87%
of
the
votes
abroad
(56.05%
in
Brazil)

6. First
and
Second
Turn
Results
of
the
2010
Elec@ons
by
Con@nent…
 In
the
first
turn
of
the
2010
elec.ons,
the
PSDB
candidate
won
the
majority
of
the
votes
in
North
America,
Asia,
and
Oceania.
The
PT
candidate
had
the
majority
of
the
votes
of
Europe,
La.n
America
and
the
Caribbean,
Middle
East,
and
Africa.
The
candidate
of
the
green
party
(PV)
placed
second
in
North
America
and
Oceania
–
see
Figures
6
–
12:
DILMA
24%
SERRA
49%
MARINA
25%
OTHERS
2%
Figure
6:
1st
TURN
2010
–
NORTH
AMERICA
DILMA
23%
SERRA
43%
MARINA
31%
OTHERS
3%
Figure
8:
1st
TURN
2010
-­‐
OCEANIA
DILMA
28%
SERRA
55%
MARINA
13%
OTHERS
4%
Figure
7:
1st
TURN
2010
-­‐
ASIA
DILMA
46%
SERRA
31%
MARINA
21%
OTHERS
2%
Figure
9:
1st
TURN
2010
-­‐
EUROPE
DILMA
47%
SERRA
39%
MARINA
12%
OTHERS
2%
Figure
11:
1st
TURN
2010
–
LATIN
AMERICA
&
CARIBBEAN
DILMA
60%
SERRA
25%
MARINA
9%
OTHERS
6%
Figure
10:
1st
TURN
2010
–
MIDDLE
EAST
DILMA
44%
SERRA
29%
MARINA
25%
OTHERS
2%
Figure
12:
1st
TURN
2010
-­‐
AFRICA

7.  In
the
second
turn,
the
PSDB
candidate
once
again
won
the
majority
of
the
votes
in
North
America,
Asia,
and
Oceania,
increasing
his
margins
significantly
in
North
America
(from
49%
in
the
first
turn
to
72%
in
the
second),
Asia
(from
55%
in
the
first
turn
to
74%
in
the
second),
and
Oceania
(from
43%
in
the
first
turn
to
67%
in
the
second).
The
PSDB
candidate
also
won
in
La.n
America.
–
see
Figures
13
–
19:
DILMA
28%
SERRA
72%
Figure
13:
2nd
TURN
2010
–
NORTH
AMERICA
DILMA
26%
SERRA
74%
Figure
14:
2nd
TURN
2010
-­‐
ASIA
DILMA
33%
SERRA
67%
Figure
15:
2nd
TURN
2010
-­‐
OCEANIA
DILMA
49%
SERRA
51%
Figure
16:
2nd
TURN
2010
–
LATIN
AMERICA
DILMA
52%
SERRA
48%
Figure
17:
2nd
TURN
2010
-­‐
EUROPE
DILMA
67%
SERRA
33%
Figure
18:
2nd
TURN
2010
–
MIDDLE
EAST
DILMA
58%
SERRA
42%
Figure
19:
2nd
TURN
2010
-­‐
AFRICA

8.  The
results
of
the
first
turn
of
the
2010
elec.on
in
Brazil
were
similar
in
some
ways
to
the
results
in
2006.
In
2010,
the
candidate
of
the
PSDB,
José
Serra,
won
the
majority
of
the
votes
in
eight
states,
the
candidate
of
the
PT,
Dilma
Rouseff,
won
in
18
states
and
Marina
da
Silva
won
the
Distrito
Federal.
Dilma
won
the
same
16
states
that
President
Lula
won
in
2006
and,
the
states
of
Rio
Grande
do
Sul
and
Goiás.
That
is,
only
three
states
did
not
elect
the
same
party
in
2010
as
they
had
in
2006.
AFRICA
LATIN
AMERICA
&
THE
CARIBBEAN**
NORTH
AMERICA*
EUROPE
ASIA
MIDDLE
EAST
OCEANIA
2002
LULA
LULA
LULA
CIRO
SERRA
LULA
LULA
2006
LULA
LULA
ALCKMIN
ALCKMIN
ALCKMIN
LULA
ALCKMIN
2010
DILMA
DILMA
SERRA
DILMA
SERRA
DILMA
SERRA
 Abroad,
there
were
also
similari.es
between
the
first
turn
of
the
two
elec.ons.
Only
La.n
America
&
the
Caribbean
did
not
elect
the
same
winning
party
as
2006.
The
PT
con.nued
its
domina.on
in
Europe,
Africa
and
the
Middle
East,
while
the
PSDB
con.nued
to
maintain
majori.es
in
Asia
and
seemed
to
consolidate
its
gains
in
North
America
and
Oceania:
*
Does
not
include
Mexico,
**
Includes
Mexico.
2002
ELECTIONS
1st
TURN
2006
ELECTION
1st
TURN
2010
ELECTION
1st
TURN
Source:
Revista
Época,
2010

9.  In
the
second
turn,
differences
between
2010
and
2006
results
were
more
significant.
In
this
turn,
four
states
did
not
elect
the
same
party
as
2006.
Changes
were
also
registered
between
the
first
and
the
second
turns
of
the
2010
elec.ons.
Dilma
Rouseff
won
in
Mato
Grosso
do
Sul
which
was
won
by
the
candidate
of
the
PSDB
in
the
first
turn
and
she
also
won
the
Distrito
Federal
won
by
the
candidate
of
the
PV.
The
candidate
of
the
PSDB,
on
the
other
hand,
won
in
Espírito
Santo
and
Rio
Grande
do
Sul,
states
that
were
won
in
the
first
turn
by
the
candidate
of
the
PT.
AFRICA
LATIN
AMERICA
&
THE
CARIBBEAN**
NORTH
AMERICA*
EUROPE
ASIA
MIDDLE
EAST
OCEANIA
2002
LULA
LULA
LULA
CIRO
SERRA
LULA
LULA
2006
LULA
LULA
ALCKMIN
ALCKMIN
ALCKMIN
LULA
ALCKMIN
2010
DILMA
DILMA
SERRA
SERRA
SERRA
DILMA
SERRA
 The
results
of
the
second
turn
seemed
to
show
a
consolida.on
of
the
PSDB
in
North
America,
Asia,
Oceania,
and
La.n
America
&
Caribbean;
and
that
of
the
PT
in
Europe,
Africa,
and
the
Middle
East.
*
Does
not
include
Mexico,
**
Includes
Mexico.
ELEIÇÃO
2010
2nd
TURNO
2006
ELECTION
2nd
TURN
Source:
Revista
Época,
2010
2002
ELECTION
2nd
TURN
Legend

10. SERRA
39%
LULA
61%
Figure
20:
VOTING
DISTRIBUTION
BETWEEN
THE
TWO
FINALISTS
-­‐
BRAZIL
ALCKMIN
39%
LULA
61%
Figure
21:
VOTING
DISTRIBUTION
BETWEEN
THE
TWO
FINALISTS
-­‐
BRAZIL
SERRA
44%
DILMA
56%
Figure
22:
VOTING
DISTRIBUTION
BETWEEN
THE
TWO
FINALISTS
-­‐
BRAZIL
SERRA
40%
LULA
60%
Figure
23:
VOTING
DISTRIBUTION
BETWEEN
THE
TWO
FINALISTS
-­‐
EXTERIOR
ALCKMIN
54%
LULA
46%
FIGURE
24:
VOTING
DISTRIBUTION
BETWEEN
THE
TWO
FINALISTS
–
EXTERIOR
2002,
2006,
AND
2010
ELECTION
RESULTS
IN
BRAZIL
AND
ABROAD:
2002
2006
2010
2002
2006
+
22%
+
22%
+
12%
+
20%
+
8%

The
PT
won
the
2002
and
2006
elec.ons
in
Brazil
by
the
same
margin
(22%).
In
the
last
elec.on
in
Brazil
(2010),
the
candidate
of
the
PT,
Dilma
Rouseff,
won
by
a
smaller
margin
(12%).
Abroad,
only
the
elec.on
of
2002
showed
similar
results
to
that
of
the
na.onal
territory.
The
PSDB
was
victorious
in
the
elec.ons
of
2006
and
2010
abroad.
+
18%
SERRA
59%
DILMA
41%
Figure
25:
VOTING
DISTRIBUTION
BETWEEN
THE
TWO
FINALISTS
-­‐
EXTERIOR
2010

11. 3753
2510
1938
1312
1168
1152
1144
1009
961
929
2198
622
1795
536
590
1106
2094
2099
1976
251
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
NOVA
YORK
MIAMI
BOSTON
WASHINGTON
NAGOYA
LONDRES
LISBOA
PORTO
MILAO
HOUSTON
Figure
29:
DILMA
VOTES
IN
THE
CITIES
THAT
SERRA
HAD
HIS
LARGEST
VOTING
SERRA
DILMA
2198
2099
2094
1976
1795
1187
1177
1106
992
964
3753
1009
1144
961
1938
546
897
1152
496
618
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
NOVA
YORK
PORTO
LISBOA
MILÃO
BOSTON
BUENOS
AIRES
ZURIQUE
LONDRES
CAIENA
PARIS
Figure
28:
SERRA
VOTES
IN
THE
CITIES
THAT
DILMA
HAD
HER
LARGEST
VOTING
DILMA
SERRA
 Figure
26
and
27
illustrate
the
ci.es
in
which
the
candidates
of
the
PSDB
and
PT
each
had
the
majority
of
the
votes.
Figure
28
and
29
illustrate
the
votes
of
the
two
candidates
in
the
ci.es
in
which
the
other
had
the
majority
of
the
votes.
A
comparison
of
these
Figure
shows
that
the
candidate
of
the
PSDB
obtained
more
votes
in
the
ci.es
where
Dilma
Rouseff
had
her
largest
concentra.on
of
voters
–
New
York,
Boston,
and
London;
while
the
candidate
of
the
PT
had
the
majority
of
the
votes
in
the
ci.es
where
the
candidate
of
the
PSDB
had
its
largest
concentra.on
of
voters
–
Lisbon,
Porto,
and
Milan.
2198
2099
2094
1976
1795
1187
1177
1106
992
964
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
NOVA
YORK
PORTO
LISBOA
MILÃO
BOSTON
BUENOS
AIRES
ZURIQUE
LONDRES
CAIENA
PARIS
#
of
Votes
Ci@es
Figure
26:
10
CITIES
WHERE
DILMA
HAD
HER
LARGEST
VOTING
3753
2510
1938
1312
1168
1152
1144
1009
961
929
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
NOVA
YORK
MIAMI
BOSTON
WASHINGTON
NAGOYA
LONDRES
LISBOA
PORTO
MILAO
HOUSTON
#
of
Votes
Cidades
Figure
27:
10
CITIES
WHERE
SERRA
HAD
HIS
LARGEST
VOTING

12. 5715
3340
3298
1784
1783
1667
1608
1516
1457
1429
2340
692
2040
640
1299
2289
557
2093
1359
1899
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
NOVA
YORK
MIAMI
BOSTON
WASHINGTON
LONDRES
LISBOA
NAGOYA
PORTO
ZURIQUE
MILAO
Figure
33:
DILMA’S
VOTES
IN
THE
10
CITIES
WHERE
SERRA
OBTAINED
HIS
LARGEST
VOTING
SERRA
DILMA
 In
the
second
turn,
as
Figure
30
and
31
illustrate,
some
ci.es
changed
posi.on,
but
the
ten
ci.es
in
which
the
Pt
candidate
had
the
majority
of
her
votes
remained
the
same.
The
same
occurred
with
the
candidate
of
PSDB,
with
the
excep.on
of
Houston
which
ceded
its
place
to
Zurique.
 Figure
32
and
33
show
the
ci.es
in
which
the
candidate
of
PT
had
the
highest
number
of
votes
(New
York,
Boston
and
London)
while
in
the
ci.es
where
the
PSDB
candidate
had
his
highest
number
of
votes,
the
candidate
of
PT
had
the
majority
of
votes
in
Lisbon,
Porto,
and
Milan.
Therefore,
there
was
no
change
between
the
first
and
second
terms.
The
PSDB
candidate
increased
his
vo.ng
margin
in
the
second
turn,
however.
2340
2289
2093
2040
1899
1359
1299
1297
1037
986
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
NOVA
YORK
LISBOA
PORTO
BOSTON
MILAO
ZURIQUE
LONDRES
BUENOS
AIRES
PARIS
CAIENA
#
de
Votos
Ci@es
Figure
30:
10
CITIES
WHERE
DILMA
OBTAINED
HER
LARGEST
VOTING
5715
3340
3298
1784
1783
1667
1608
1516
1457
1429
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
NOVA
YORK
MIAMI
BOSTON
WASHINGTON
LONDRES
LISBOA
NAGOYA
PORTO
ZURIQUE
MILAO
#
de
Votos
Ci@es
Figure
31:
10
CITIES
WHERE
SERRA
OBTAINED
HIS
LARGEST
VOTING
2340
2289
2093
2040
1899
1359
1299
1297
1037
986
5715
1667
1516
3298
1429
1457
1783
748
772
665
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
NOVA
YORK
LISBOA
PORTO
BOSTON
MILAO
ZURIQUE
LONDRES
BUENOS
AIRES
PARIS
CAIENA
Figure
32:
SERRA’S
VOTES
IN
THE
10
CITIES
WHERE
DILMA
OBTAINED
HER
LARGEST
VOTING
DILMA
SERRA

13. 2010
Results
of
the
First
and
Second
Turns
in
North
America…

The
candidate
of
the
PSDB
had
the
most
votes
in
North
America
(49%)
compared
to
24%
and
25%
for
the
candidates
of
the
PV
and
PT
respec.vely.
The
candidate
of
the
PSDB
had
most
of
the
votes
both
in
the
United
States
and
Canada.
In
the
United
States,
he
obtained
49%
of
the
votes
followed
by
the
candidate
of
the
PV
(25%)
and
the
PT
(24%).
In
Canada,
the
majority
of
the
votes
went
to
the
candidate
of
the
PSDB
(47%)
followed
by
the
candidate
of
the
PV
(26%)
with
the
candidate
of
the
PT
totalling
only
25%.
It
is
worth
highligh.ng
that
the
candidate
of
the
PV,
Marina
da
Silva,
finished
second
in
these
two
countries
(see
Figures
34
-­‐
36);
DILMA
24%
SERRA
49%
MARINA
25%
OTHERS
2%
Figure
34:
1st
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTIONS
–
NORTH
AMERICA
DILMA
24%
SERRA
49%
MARINA
25%
OTHERS
2%
Figure
35:
1st
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTIONS
–
UNITED
STATES
DILMA
25%
SERRA
47%
MARINA
26%
OTHERS
2%
Figure
36:
1st
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTIONS
–
CANADA

14.  In
the
United
States,
the
candidate
of
the
PSDB
had
the
most
votes
in
all
ci.es
of
the
country:
Atlanta
(Serra
54%,
Marina
23%,
Dilma
21%);
Chicago
(Serra
61%,
Marina
23%,
Dilma
15%);
Boston
(Serra
36%,
Dilma
34%,
Marina
28%);
Haruord
(Serra
38%,
Dilma
30%,
Marina
28%);
Houston
(Serra
62%,
Marina
19%,
Dilma
17%);
Los
Angeles
(Serra
54%,
Marina
23%,
Dilma
21%);
Miami
(Serra
59%,
Marina
25%,
Dilma
15%);
New
York
(Serra
45%,
Dilma
26%,
Marina
25%);
San
Francisco
(Serra
53%,
Marina
25%,
Dilma
20%);
Washington
(Serra
52%,
Marina
25%,
Dilma
21%)
–
see
the
following
Figures:
21%
54%
23%
1,
2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
DILMA
SERRA
MARINA
OUTROS
%
of
Votes
Candidates
Figure
38:
1st
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
–
ATLANTA
ATLANTA
3%
BOSTON
20%
CHICAGO
2%
HARTFORD
1%
HOUSTON
6%
LOS
ANGELES
5%
MIAMI
16%
NOVA
YORK
31%
SAO
FRANCISCO
6%
WASHINGTON
10%
Figure
37:
1st
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
–
UNITED
STATES
34%
36%
28%
2%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
DILMA
SERRA
MARINA
OUTROS
%
of
Votes
Candidates
Figure
40:
1st
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
-­‐
BOSTON
15%
61%
23%
1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
DILMA
SERRA
MARINA
OUTROS
%
of
Votes
Candidates
Figure
39:
1st
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
–
CHICAGO

15. 30%
38%
28%
4%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
DILMA
SERRA
MARINA
OUTROS
%
of
Votes
Candidates
Figure
41:
1st
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
-­‐
HARTFORD
17%
62%
19%
2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
DILMA
SERRA
MARINA
OUTROS
%
of
Votes
Candidates
Figure
42:
1st
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
-­‐
HOUSTON
21%
54%
23%
2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
DILMA
SERRA
MARINA
OUTROS
%
of
Votes
Candidates
Figure
43:
1st
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
-­‐
LOS
ANGELES
15%
59%
25%
2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
DILMA
SERRA
MARINA
OUTROS
%
of
Votes
Candidates
Figure
43:
1st
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
-­‐
MIAMI

16. 26%
45%
25%
3%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
DILMA
SERRA
MARINA
OUTROS
%
of
Votes
Candidates
Figure
45:
1st
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
NOVA
YORK
20%
53%
25%
2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
DILMA
SERRA
MARINA
OUTROS
%
of
Votes
Candidates
Figure
46:
1st
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
SÃO
FRANCISCO
21%
52%
25%
2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
DILMA
SERRA
MARINA
OUTROS
%
of
Votes
Candidates
Figure
47:
1st
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
-­‐
WASHINGTON

17.  As
in
the
first
turn,
the
candidate
of
the
PSDB
was
the
candidate
with
the
most
votes
in
North
America
moving
from
49%
to
72%
(which
may
indicate
that
the
majority
of
the
votes
given
in
the
first
turn
to
the
candidate
of
the
PV
(25%)
went
to
the
candidate
of
the
PSDB).
The
candidate
of
the
PT
also
increased
her
numbers
but
not
on
the
same
scale
(from
24%
to
28%).
This
trend
was
followed
in
the
United
States
and
Canada.
In
the
United
States,
the
candidate
of
the
PSDB
obtained
72%
while
in
Canada
he
obtained
68%
–
see
Figures
48
–
50.
DILMA
28%
SERRA
72%
Figure
48:
2nd
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
-­‐
NORTH
AMERICA
DILMA
28%
SERRA
72%
Figure
49:
2nd
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
–
UNITED
STATES
DILMA
32%
SERRA
68%
Figure
50:
2nd
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
-­‐
CANADA

18.  In
the
United
States,
in
the
second
turn,
the
candidate
of
the
PSDB
not
only
was
the
candidate
with
the
majority
of
the
votes
in
all
ci.es
of
the
country
as
in
the
first
turn
(see
Figures
52
–
61),
but
also
considerably
increased
his
margins
as
illustrated
by
Figure
62:
ATLANTA
3%
BOSTON
21%
CHICAGO
2%
HARTFORD
1%
HOUSTON
5%
LOS
ANGELES
5%
MIAMI
16%
NOVA
YORK
32%
0%
SAO
FRANCISCO
6%
WASHINGTON
9%
Figure
51:
-­‐
UNITED
STATES
23%
77%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
DILMA
SERRA
Figure
52:
2nd
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
ATLANTA
Candidates
%
of
Votes
20%
80%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
DILMA
SERRA
Figure
53:
2nd
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
CHICAGO
Candidates
%
of
Votes
38%
62%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
DILMA
SERRA
Figure
54:
2nd
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
BOSTON
%
of
Votes
Candidates

19. 34%
66%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
DILMA
SERRA
Figure
55:
2nd
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
HARTFORD
Candidates
%
of
Votes
19%
81%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
DILMA
SERRA
Figure
56:
2nd
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
HOUSTON
Candidates
%
of
Votes
22%
78%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
DILMA
SERRA
Figure
57:
2nd
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
LOS
ANGELES
Candidates
%
of
Votes
17%
83%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
DILMA
SERRA
Figure
58:
2nd
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
MIAMI
Candidates
%
of
Votes

20. 29%
71%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
DILMA
SERRA
Figure
59:
2nd
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
NOVA
YORK
Candidates
%
of
Votes
26%
74%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
DILMA
SERRA
Figure
60:
2nd
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
SAO
FRANCISCO
Candidates
%
of
Votes
26%
74%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
DILMA
SERRA
Figure
61
:
2nd
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
WASHINGTON
Candidates
%
dos
Votes

21. 21%
15%
34%
30%
17%
21%
15%
26%
20%
21%
23%
20%
38%
34%
19%
22%
17%
29%
26%
26%
54%
61%
36%
38%
62%
54%
59%
45%
53%
52%
77%
80%
62%
66%
81%
78%
83%
71%
74%
71%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
ATLANTA
CHICAGO
BOSTON
HARTFORD
HOUSTON
LOS
ANGELES
MIAMI
NOVA
YORK
SÃO
FRANCISCO
WASHINGTON
Figure
62:
VOTING
MARGINS
IN
THE
1st
AND
2nd
TURNS
–
UNITED
STATES
DILMA
(1
E
2
TURNOS)
SERRA
(1
E
2
TURNOS)
 Figure62
describes
the
difference
between
the
vo.ng
margins
of
the
first
and
second
turns
and
illustrates
the
large
margins
reached
by
the
candidate
of
the
PSDB
in
both
turns,
with
a
significant
increase
in
the
second
turn:

22.  Canada
follows
the
same
paQern
as
the
United
States
in
both
turns
with
the
candidate
of
the
PSDB
winning
in
Toronto
(Serra
49%,
Dilma
26%,
Marina
24%);
Vancouver
(Serra
63%,
Marina
35%,
Dilma
0%);
OQawa
(Serra
48%,
Marina
25%,
Dilma
24%);
and
Montreal
(Serra
43%,
Dilma
30%,
Marina
26%)
–
see
Figures.
MONTREAL
41%
OTTAWA
10%
TORONTO
42%
VANCOUVER
7%
Figure
63:
1st
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
CANADA
0%
63%
35%
2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
DILMA
SERRA
MARINA
OUTROS
%
dos
votos
Candidates
Figure
64:
1st
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
VANCOUVER
26%
49%
24%
1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
DILMA
SERRA
MARINA
OUTROS
%
of
Votes
Candidates
Figure
65:
1st
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
TORONTO
24%
48%
25%
3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
DILMA
SERRA
MARINA
OUTROS
%
of
Votes
Candidates
Figure
66:
1st
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
OTTAWA
30%
43%
26%
1%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
DILMA
SERRA
MARINA
OUTROS
%
of
Votes
Candidates
Figure
67:
1st
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
MONTREAL

23.  In
the
second
turn,
as
in
the
United
States,
the
margins
in
Canada
increased
significantly
in
favor
of
the
candidate
of
the
PSDB
–
see
Figures
69
-­‐
72.
MONTREAL
40%
OTTAWA
10%
TORONTO
42%
VANCOUVER
8%
Figure
68:
2nd
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
CANADA
28%
72%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
DILMA
SERRA
Figure
69:
2nd
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
VANCOUVER
%
of
Votes
Candidates
29%
71%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
DILMA
SERRA
Figure
70:
2nd
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
TORONTO
%
of
Votes
Candidates
33%
67%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
DILMA
SERRA
Figure
71:
2nd
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
OTTAWA
Candidates
%
of
Votes
36%
64%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
DILMA
SERRA
Figure
72:
2nd
TURN
OF
THE
2010
ELECTION
MONTREAL
Candidates
%
of
Votes

24.  Figure
73
describes
the
difference
between
the
vo.ng
margins
in
the
two
turns,
and
illustrates
the
high
margins
achieved
by
the
candidate
of
the
PSDB
in
both
turns,
with
a
significant
increase
in
the
second
turn:
0%
26%
24%
30%
28%
29%
33%
36%
63%
49%
48%
43%
72%
71%
67%
64%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
VANCOUVER
TORONTO
OTTAWA
MONTREAL
Figure
73:
VOTING
MARGINS
IN
THE
1st
AND
2nd
TURNS
-­‐
CANADA
DILMA
(1
E
2
TURNOS)
SERRA
(1
E
2
TURNOS)