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Demographic and Socio-economic Trends
             in Boston:
What we’ve learned from the latest Census data


                         Mark Melnik, Deputy Director for Research
                                  Boston Redevelopment Authority
                                               November 29, 2011
Outline of Presentation
• Selected demographic trends
    • Growth
    • Diversity
    • Youth
    • Education
• Selected socio-economic trends
    • Historic employment and unemployment trends
    • Educational attainment of labor force
    • Labor force characteristics




                                                    2
Boston is Growing




                    3
Historic Trends – Boston’s Population
•   Boston reached its population peak in 1950
•   Boston’s population, like many major cities, declined after 1950
•   In recent decades, Boston’s population has grown
•   The 2010 Census marks the first time since 1970 that Boston’s population has been
    over 600,000
          850,000
                                    801,444
          800,000
          750,000
                                                           697,197
          700,000
                                                                     641,071
          650,000                                                                                         617,594
          600,000                                                                        574,283
                                                                                                      589,141
          550,000
                                                                               562,994
          500,000
          450,000
          400,000
                                 1950               1960        1970       1980          1990      2000     2010

    Source: US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis                                                        4
Major Northeastern Cities and Population Change, 2010 Census
• Boston’s population growth since 2000 compares favorably to most other
  northeastern cities
                                                    Population Change
                                   Total Population
                     City                               2000-2010
                                    2000     2010      N         %
                         Washington (DC)                     572,059     601,723   29,664     5.2%
                         Worcester (MA)                      172,648     181,045   8,397      4.9%
                         Boston (MA)                         589,141     617,594  28,453     4.8%
                         Cambridge (MA)                      101,355     105,162   3,807      3.8%
                         Elizabeth (NJ)                      120,568     124,969   4,401      3.7%
                         Hartford (CT)                       121,578     124,775   3,197      2.6%
                         Providence (RI)                     173,618     178,042   4,424      2.5%
                         New York (NY)                      8,008,278   8,175,133 166,855    2.1%
                         Newark (NJ)                         273,546     277,140   3,594     1.3%
                         Springfield (MA)                    152,082     153,060    978      0.6%
                         Philadelphia (PA)                  1,517,550   1,526,006 8,456      0.6%
                         Baltimore (MD)                      651,154     620,961 -30,193     -4.6%
                         Pittsburgh (PA)                     334,563     305,704 -28,859     -8.6%
                         Buffalo (NY)                        292,648     261,310 -31,338    -10.7%

 Source: US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis                                            5
20 Largest US Cities and Population Change, 2010 Census
• Boston’s population growth rate since 2000 was higher than the rates for New York and San Francisco
• Four of the 20 largest cities experienced population declines between 2000 and 2010
                                                                  Total Population        Population Change 2000-2010
                                    City
                                                                 2000            2010            N             %
                    Fort Worth (TX)                              534,694       741,206        206,512       38.6%
                    Charlotte (NC)                               540,828       731,424        190,596       35.2%
                    Austin (TX)                                  656,562       790,390        133,828       20.4%
                    San Antonio (TX)                            1,144,646     1,327,407       182,761       16.0%
                    El Paso (TX)                                 563,662       649,121        85,459        15.2%
                    Jacksonville (FL)                            735,617       821,784        86,167        11.7%
                    Columbus (OH)                                711,470       787,033        75,563        10.6%
                    Nashville (TN)                               545,524       601,222        55,698        10.2%
                    Phoenix (AZ)                                1,321,045     1,445,632       124,587       9.4%
                    Seattle (WA)                                 563,374       608,660        45,286        8.0%
                    Houston (TX)                                1,953,631     2,099,451       145,820       7.5%
                    San Diego (CA)                              1,223,400     1,307,402       84,002        6.9%
                    San Jose (CA)                                894,943       945,942        50,999        5.7%
                    Washington (DC)                              572,059       601,723        29,664        5.2%
                    Indianapolis (IN)                            781,870       820,445        38,575        4.9%
                    Boston (MA)                                 589,141       617,594         28,453        4.8%
                    San Francisco (CA)                           776,733       805,235        28,502         3.7%
                    Los Angeles (CA)                            3,694,820     3,792,621       97,801         2.6%
                    New York City (NY)                          8,008,278     8,175,133       166,855        2.1%
                    Dallas (TX)                                 1,188,580     1,197,816        9,236         0.8%



     Source: US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis                                                           6
Housing Units and Average Household Size
• Boston’s housing stock has grown consistently over the last 40 years
• Boston’s housing stock grew 8.2% since 2000
                    280,000
                    270,000
                                                                                                               272,481
                    260,000
                    250,000
                    240,000                                                                   250,863251,935
                    230,000                          238,695                     241,304
                                                                   232,401
                    220,000
                    210,000           222,079
                    200,000
                                         1950          1960           1970             1980    1990   2000      2010
                          3.5
                                      3.39
                             3
                                                     2.95
                          2.5                                       2.77

                                                                                   2.40        2.37   2.31
                             2                                                                                  2.26
                                      1950           1960           1970           1980        1990   2000      2010

 Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey, BRA Research Division Analysis                                     7
Boston is Diverse




                    8
Racial and Ethnic Breakdown for Boston’s Population,
  1980-2010
• Over the last several decades, the racial and ethnic composition of Boston has changed a great deal
• In 1980, close to 70% of Boston was white. Today, only half the city is white.
• The last two Census reports show Boston as a “majority-minority” city
                  1980                                                               1990
                 1%       3%                                                   0% 5%          1%
         6%
                                                                        11%


22%

                                                                 24%                                             59%
                                            68%



                   2000                                                               2010
               3%                                                                    2% 2%
         8% 1%                                                               9%
       0%
                                                                       0%
 14%

                                              50%                18%

                                                                                                                47%
                                                                 22%
      24%

      Source: U.S. Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis.
      Note: 2000 was the first year the Census compiled data on individuals who identified themselves as “multiracial”   9
Proportion of the Population that is Foreign-Born,
 1850-2009
 • Historically, Boston has had a greater proportion of foreign-born residents than both
   the Commonwealth of Massachusetts and the nation as a whole
 • Since the 1970s, the proportion of foreign-born residents in Boston has grown
   dramatically
40%
                                                                                                                                    Boston
35%                                                                                                                                 Massachusetts
                                                                                                                                    United States
30%

25%

20%

15%

10%

5%

0%
           1850

                     1860

                               1870

                                         1880

                                                   1890

                                                            1900

                                                                      1910

                                                                                1920

                                                                                          1930

                                                                                                 1940

                                                                                                        1950

                                                                                                               1960

                                                                                                                      1970

                                                                                                                             1980

                                                                                                                                    1990

                                                                                                                                           2000

                                                                                                                                                  2006

                                                                                                                                                         2009
      Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, BRA Research Division Analysis
                                                                                                                                                          10
Countries of Origin for Boston’s Foreign-Born
Population, 2010
• Most of Boston’s immigrants today come from the Caribbean, Latin American, and Asia
• This plays a major factor in “majority-minority”
                           Haiti                                                                          10.2%
                         China                                                                   8.9%
Dominican Republic                                                                             8.3%
                    Vietnam                                               4.2%
               El Salvador                                                4.2%
                      Jamaica                                             4.2%
                 Colombia                                          3.3%
                       Ireland                                     3.3%
                         Brazil                                   3.1%
  Trinidad & Tobago                                             2.5%

                                   0.0%                  2.0%          4.0%      6.0%   8.0%          10.0%       12.0%

  Source: 2010 Census, BRA Research Division Analysis.
                                                                                                                      11
25 Largest US Cities by Foreign Born Population
• Boston ranks 6th among the 25 largest                                              Foreign % Foreign                         Population
                                                                                                                        City
  cities in the US in proportion of the                                             Born Rank Born                               Rank
                                                                                             1    39.1%   Los Angeles, CA          2
  population that is foreign-born
                                                                                             2    38.6%   San Jose, CA             10
                                                                                             3    37.2%   New York, NY             1
                                                                                             4    35.5%   San Francisco, CA        13
                                                                                             5    28.7%   Houston, TX              4
                          Nativity                                                           6    26.9% Boston, MA                22
                                                                                              7   26.1%   San Diego, CA             8
                                                                                              8   25.3%   Dallas, TX                9
         27%                                                                                  9   24.6%   El Paso, TX              19
                                                                                             10   20.7%   Chicago, IL               3
                                                                                             11   20.0%   Phoenix, AZ               6
                                                                                             12   18.7%   Austin, TX               14
                                                                                             13   17.2%   Seattle, WA              23
                                                                                             14   16.9%   Fort Worth, TX           16
                                                                                             15   14.4%   San Antonio, TX          7
                                                                                             16   14.4%   Charlotte, NC            17
                                                                                             17   13.5%   Washington, DC           24
                                                     73%                                     18   12.2%   Nashville, TN            25
                                                                                             19   11.6%   Philadelphia, PA         5
                                                                                             20   11.0%   Columbus, OH             15
                                                                                             21   9.4%    Jacksonville, FL         11
                 Native             Foreign-Born                                             22   9.0%    Indianapolis, IN         12
                                                                                             23   7.1%    Baltimore, MD            21
                                                                                             24   6.2%    Memphis, TN              20
                                                                                             25   4.8%    Detroit, MI              18
  Source: 2010 American Community Survey, US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis                                         12
Planning District Diversity Index: 2000-2010
• Most of Boston’s planning districts are more diverse today than in 2000
                                                              North
                                                            Dorches…                       2010    2000
                                             Back Bay/    0.80
                                             Beacon…
                                        South             0.70                   Harbor
                                        Boston            0.60                   Islands
                                                          0.50
                         Mattapan                         0.40                         Boston
                                                          0.30
                    Charlesto                             0.20
                                                                                            South End
                      wn                                  0.10
                                                          0.00
                      West
                                                                                            Roslindale
                     Roxbury


                             Central                                                   Hyde Park

                                     Allston/                                    Jamaica
                                     Brighton                                      Plain
                                            Feneway/
                                                                       Roxbury
                                             Kenmore
                                                             East
                                                            Boston                                        13
 Source: US Census 2010, BRA Research Division Analysis
Linguistic Isolation
     In 2010, 12.4% of households in Boston were without a resident 14 years or older that
      spoke English very well; this was an increase from 10.7% of households in 2000
  The rise in linguistically isolated Spanish households reflects the high growth rate of
   foreign-born Hispanic households between 2000 and 2010
60.0%
50.0%                                                       48.3%
                                                                   43.1%
                    38.5%
40.0%
             30.5%
30.0%                                  27.7% 27.8%
                                                                                   20.6% 19.8%
20.0%
10.0%
    0.0%
                   Spanish households                        Other Indo-                              Asian and Pacific   Other languages
                                                         European languages                          Island languages
                                                             households                                 households
                                                                              2000            2010

    Source: 2000 US Census Summary File 3 and2010 American Community Survey BRA Research Division Analysis
                                                                                                                                            14
English Proficiency
      An estimated 8.5% of Bostonians had limited English proficiency in 2009; this increased
       about 0.8% from the same statistic in 2000.
      A higher percentage of foreign born residents have Limited English proficiency in 2009
       than in 2000         2000
                       7.7%
                                                                     2009
                                                                8.5%




                                                        92.3%                                                                       91.5%




                               English Proficient                                                         English Proficient
                               Limited English Proficiency                                                Limited English Proficiency

    Source: 2000 Census Public Use Microdata Sample and 2009 American Community Survey, Public Use Microdata Sample BRA Research Division Analysis   15
Boston is Young




                  16
Breakdown of Boston’s Population by Age
 • Boston is a young city; currently it has the highest concentration of young adults (20-34) among 15 of the
   largest cities in the US
              20 to 34-Year- % of Total                       Location
        City
                   Olds      Population                       Quotient
Boston        216,213          35.0%                            1.73                   Age
Austin        251,064          31.8%                            1.57
Washington DC 188,855          31.4%                            1.55           19%                   22%
Atlanta       127,101          30.3%                            1.49
Seattle       181,501          29.8%                            1.47
San Francisco 228,738          28.4%                            1.40
Chicago       738,578          27.4%                            1.35
Dallas        314,728          26.3%                            1.29
                                                                         24%
Houston       545,071          26.0%                            1.28
Baltimore     160,024          25.8%                            1.27
                                                                                                    35%
Philadelphia  392,776          25.7%                            1.27
Los Angeles   953,443          25.1%                            1.24     0-19 years                 20-34 years
New York      2,035,030        24.9%                            1.23     35-54 years                55 and older
San Antonio   304,784          23.0%                            1.13
Phoenix       330,885          22.9%                            1.13
  Source: Age – 2010 Census, BRA Research Division Analysis
                                                                                                                17
Boston is Educated




                     18
Educational Attainment of Population, 2000 and 2010
• Boston has one of the most highly-educated populations among major American cities.
  According to the 2010 American Community Survey, 44.3% of Boston’s adult population has at
  least a bachelor’s degree, ranking Boston 4th amongst the 25 largest cities in the nation.
 30.0%                                                                                                                                   120,000

                                                   23.8%                                                   24.5%
 25.0%                                                                                                                                   100,000
                    21.1%
                                                   24.0%                                                                   19.8%
 20.0%                                                                          19.4%                                                    80,000
                                                                                                           20.2%
                      14.2%                                                    17.7%
 15.0%                                                                                                                                   60,000
                                                                                                                           15.3%
 10.0%                                                                                                                                   40,000

   5.0%                                                                                                                                  20,000

   0.0%                                                                                                                                  -
                 Less than high               High school              Some college or                  Bachelor's      Graduate or
                school diploma                  graduate                 associate's                     degree         professional
                                                (includes                  degree                                         degree
                                              equivalency)
                    2000                       2010                        % of 2000 Population                         % of 2010 Population
 Source: 2000 Census Summary File 3, 2010 American Community Survey, US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis
                                                                                                                                                   19
Educational Attainment of 25 Largest US Cities by Bachelor’s
Degree or Greater (25 years and older)
                                                                              Bachelor's  Graduate or     Bachelor's
       Rank                                City
                                                                               degree professional degree or greater
          1      Seattle, Washington                                                        33.1%    22.9%      56.0%
          2      San Francisco, California                                                  31.4%    19.5%      50.9%
          3      Washington, District of Columbia                                           23.2%    26.9%      50.1%
          4      Boston, Massachusetts                                                      24.5%    19.8%      44.3%
          5      Austin, Texas                                                              27.5%    16.1%      43.6%
          6      Portland, Oregon                                                           26.3%    15.9%      42.2%
          7      Denver, Colorado                                                           25.4%    15.5%      40.9%
          8      San Diego, California                                                      24.1%    16.3%      40.4%
          9      Charlotte, North Carolina                                                  25.9%    12.8%      38.7%
         10      San Jose, California                                                       23.2%    13.4%      36.6%
         11      Nashville-Davidson, Tennessee                                              20.0%    13.6%      33.6%
         12      Chicago, Illinois                                                          20.2%    13.2%      33.4%
         13      New York, New York                                                         19.9%    13.4%      33.3%
         14      Columbus, Ohio                                                             21.3%    10.4%      31.7%
         15      Los Angeles, California                                                    20.4%    10.3%      30.7%
         16      Dallas, Texas                                                              18.5%    10.4%      28.9%
         17      Houston, Texas                                                             17.4%    11.0%      28.4%
         18      Louisville-Jefferson, Kentucky                                             16.4%    11.0%      27.4%
         19      Indianapolis, Indiana                                                      17.6%     9.0%      26.6%
         20      Fort Worth, Texas                                                          18.5%     7.5%      26.0%

 Source: 2010 American Community Survey, US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis
                                                                                                                        20
Socio-economic Characteristics




                                 21
Historic Unemployment Trend:1979-2010
• Boston’s unemployment rate is typically lower than national and state rates
• As of January 2011, Boston’s unemployment rate was 7.8; two points lower than the national
  average
 12.0
                                                                                       United States

10.0                                                                                   Massachusetts
                                                                                       Boston
 8.0

 6.0

 4.0

 2.0

 0.0
           1979
           1980
           1981
           1982
           1983
           1984
           1985
           1986
           1987
           1988
           1989
           1990
           1991
           1992
           1993
           1994
           1995
           1996
           1997
           1998
           1999
           2000
           2001
           2002
           2003
           2004
           2005
           2006
           2007
           2008
           2009
           2010
 Source: Bureau Labor of Statistics and MA Division of Employment and Training (DET)
                                                                                                       22
Household Income
      The distribution of income in Boston is more polarized than in 2000.
      The share of middle income households is getting smaller, while the share of low income and
       high income households increased.
   Household Income            2000                                                             Household Income          2010 ACS
                                          Location                                                                                     Location
(1999 Inflation-Adjusted                                                                     (2009 Inflation-Adjusted
        Dollars)         Estimate Percent Quotient                                                   Dollars)         Estimate Percent Quotient
Less than $10,000                        37,230 15.5%                    1.63               Less than $10,000        38,718 15.4%       2.08
$10,000 to $14,999                       15,764          6.6%            1.04               $10,000 to $14,999       15,509   6.2%      1.11
$15,000 to $24,999                       27,276 11.4%                    0.89               $15,000 to $24,999       23,974   9.5%      0.88
$25,000 to $34,999                       27,496 11.5%                    0.90               $25,000 to $34,999       20,198   8.0%      0.75
$35,000 to $49,999                       35,928 15.0%                    0.91               $35,000 to $49,999       27,593 11.0%       0.77
$50,000 to $74,999                       41,496 17.3%                    0.89               $50,000 to $74,999       39,015 15.5%       0.83
$75,000 to $99,999                       23,784          9.9%            0.97               $75,000 to $99,999       25,057 10.0%       0.81
$100,000 to $149,999                     18,496          7.7%            1.00               $100,000 to $149,999     31,559 12.5%       1.03
$150,000 to $199,999                      5,491          2.3%            1.04               $150,000 to $199,999     13,485   5.4%      1.29
$200,000 or more                          6,642          2.8%            1.17               $200,000 or more         16,613   6.6%      1.65

     Source: 2000 Census Summary File 3, 2010 American Community Survey, US Census Bureau, BRA
        Research Division Analysis                                                                                                             23
     .
Employment
     Boston’s labor force grew by 18.5% from 2000 to 2010
     Recessions in 2001 and 2008 has lead to the unemployed population in
      Boston to more than double in size since 2000

        400,000
        350,000                      365,182
        300,000                       100% 308,107,                                   318,250
                                             100%                                      87.1% 285,859
        250,000                                                                               92.8%
        200,000
        150,000
        100,000                                                                                                               46,932
                                                                                                                              12.9% 22,248
          50,000                                                                                                                     7.2%
                 -
                                   Civilian labor force                                    Employed                            Unemployed
                                                                                  2010         2000

    Source: 2000 Census Summary File 3 and 2010 American Community Survey, US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis
                                                                                                                                             24
Labor Force Characteristics
     A greater percent of non-white residents are unemployed than white residents
     Unemployment appears to be particularly high among African-Americans in the city



     70.0%
                                                     Employment Status by Race
                      59.0%
     60.0%

     50.0%

     40.0%                     35.7%
                                                                             32.1%
     30.0%
                                                   20.2%
     20.0%                                                                17.0%
                                               13.9%
     10.0%                                                                              6.8%7.3%
                                                                                                    1.8%2.6%    1.4%2.1%
       0.0%
                         White                  Hispanic                   Black          Asian    Two or more Other race
                                                                                                      races
                                                                     Employed        Unemployed

    Source: 2010 American Community Survey, Public Use Microdata Sample
    BRA Research Division Analysis.                                                                                         25
Labor Force Characteristics
         Young workers make up a larger portion of the unemployed than they make up amongst the
          employed.
         The ratio of males to females that are employed is nearly 1:1; however, there are fewer
          unemployed females than unemployed males.

50.0%                          47.1% 47.1%
                                                                                          54.0%
45.0%                                                                                                                        53.4%

40.0%                                                                                     52.0%
                                                     35.5%
35.0%                                                                                                     50.6%
                                                             30.3%                        50.0%
30.0%                                                                                             49.4%

25.0%
                                                                                          48.0%
20.0%                                                                                                                                46.6%

15.0%             13.9%                                                  13.0%            46.0%

10.0%                                                                              8.7%
                                                                                          44.0%
 5.0%      4.3%

 0.0%                                                                                     42.0%
            Under 20               20-34                35-55            55 and older               Employed                  Unemployed
                                   Employed       Unemployed                                                      Male   Female




        Source: 2006-2010 American Community Survey, Public Use Microdata Sample
        BRA Research Division Analysis.                                                                                                      26
Unemployment Characteristics
                                                                                                         Unemployment
                                       Subject                             Employed       Unemployed
                                                                                                             Rate
                       Male                                                    157,163          17,152           9.8%
                       Female                                                  160,690          14,973           8.5%

                       Under 20 Years                                           13,770           4,468          24.5%
                       20 to 34 Years                                          149,778          15,123           9.2%
                       35 to 54 Years                                           112,861          9,728           7.9%
                       55 Years+                                                 41,444          2,806           6.3%

                       Less than High School                                    30,498           6,981          18.6%
                       High School                                              60,085           9,434          13.6%
                       Some College                                             58,767           7,894          11.8%
                       Associate's Degree                                       15,069           1,223           7.5%
                       Bachelor's Degree                                        91,624           4,806           5.0%
                       Graduate Degree                                          61,810           1,787           2.8%

                       White                                                   175,845          10,046           5.4%
                       Hispanic                                                 46,747           6,715          12.6%
                       Black                                                    59,432          11,560          16.3%
                       Asian                                                    26,231           2,586           9.0%
                       Two or More Races                                         4,404             640          12.7%
                       Other Race                                                5,194             578          10.0%

Source: 2006-2010 American Community Survey, Public Use Microdata Sample
BRA Research Division Analysis.                                                                                         27
Planning District Characteristics
                                                                  2006 - 2010 ACS                 2000 Census
  Unemployment by Planning
                                                            Unemployment                                      Poverty
          District                                                          Poverty Status Unemployment Rate
                                                                Rate                                           Status
Boston                                                          7.9%            15.0%            7.2%          19.5%
 Allston-Brighton                                               4.9%            23.1%            5.3%          23.0%
                                                                3.5%
 Back Bay-Beacon Hill                                                           11.4%            6.0%          10.3%
 Central                                                              4.8%                    18.9%    8.9%   16.9%
 Charlestown                                                          5.5%                    16.8%   4.1%    17.5%
 East Boston                                                          9.4%                    15.0%   7.3%    19.5%
 Fenway-Kenmore                                                      11.1%                    38.3%   11.4%   37.3%
 Hyde Park                                                           10.3%                    11.0%   5.5%    10.4%
 Jamaica Plain                                                       5.1%                     14.3%   5.5%    20.9%
 Mattapan                                                            15.0%                    22.7%   9.7%    22.3%
 North Dorchester                                                    11.8%                    26.7%   9.6%    20.8%
 Roslindale                                                          8.8%                     14.0%   4.9%    13.6%
 Roxbury                                                             17.7%                    32.3%   11.6%   27.1%
 South Boston                                                        5.6%                     17.8%   5.0%    17.3%
 South Dorchester                                                    14.7%                    19.9%   7.9%    17.3%
 South End                                                           12.3%                    30.5%   6.9%    23.9%
 West Roxbury                                                        6.3%                     5.6%    3.0%    6.4%

  Source: 2006-2010 American Community Survey, 2000 Census, BRA Research Division Analysis.                       28
The BRA Research Division has put together profiles of Boston’s
Planning Districts, Neighborhoods, City Council Districts, and Wards,
which can all be found here:

http://www.bostonredevelopmentauthority.org/Research/Research.asp

For more information from the US Census Bureau, please visit:

http://www.census.gov

Thank you.

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Demographic and Socio-economic Trends in Boston

  • 1. Demographic and Socio-economic Trends in Boston: What we’ve learned from the latest Census data Mark Melnik, Deputy Director for Research Boston Redevelopment Authority November 29, 2011
  • 2. Outline of Presentation • Selected demographic trends • Growth • Diversity • Youth • Education • Selected socio-economic trends • Historic employment and unemployment trends • Educational attainment of labor force • Labor force characteristics 2
  • 4. Historic Trends – Boston’s Population • Boston reached its population peak in 1950 • Boston’s population, like many major cities, declined after 1950 • In recent decades, Boston’s population has grown • The 2010 Census marks the first time since 1970 that Boston’s population has been over 600,000 850,000 801,444 800,000 750,000 697,197 700,000 641,071 650,000 617,594 600,000 574,283 589,141 550,000 562,994 500,000 450,000 400,000 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Source: US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis 4
  • 5. Major Northeastern Cities and Population Change, 2010 Census • Boston’s population growth since 2000 compares favorably to most other northeastern cities Population Change Total Population City 2000-2010 2000 2010 N % Washington (DC) 572,059 601,723 29,664 5.2% Worcester (MA) 172,648 181,045 8,397 4.9% Boston (MA) 589,141 617,594 28,453 4.8% Cambridge (MA) 101,355 105,162 3,807 3.8% Elizabeth (NJ) 120,568 124,969 4,401 3.7% Hartford (CT) 121,578 124,775 3,197 2.6% Providence (RI) 173,618 178,042 4,424 2.5% New York (NY) 8,008,278 8,175,133 166,855 2.1% Newark (NJ) 273,546 277,140 3,594 1.3% Springfield (MA) 152,082 153,060 978 0.6% Philadelphia (PA) 1,517,550 1,526,006 8,456 0.6% Baltimore (MD) 651,154 620,961 -30,193 -4.6% Pittsburgh (PA) 334,563 305,704 -28,859 -8.6% Buffalo (NY) 292,648 261,310 -31,338 -10.7% Source: US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis 5
  • 6. 20 Largest US Cities and Population Change, 2010 Census • Boston’s population growth rate since 2000 was higher than the rates for New York and San Francisco • Four of the 20 largest cities experienced population declines between 2000 and 2010 Total Population Population Change 2000-2010 City 2000 2010 N % Fort Worth (TX) 534,694 741,206 206,512 38.6% Charlotte (NC) 540,828 731,424 190,596 35.2% Austin (TX) 656,562 790,390 133,828 20.4% San Antonio (TX) 1,144,646 1,327,407 182,761 16.0% El Paso (TX) 563,662 649,121 85,459 15.2% Jacksonville (FL) 735,617 821,784 86,167 11.7% Columbus (OH) 711,470 787,033 75,563 10.6% Nashville (TN) 545,524 601,222 55,698 10.2% Phoenix (AZ) 1,321,045 1,445,632 124,587 9.4% Seattle (WA) 563,374 608,660 45,286 8.0% Houston (TX) 1,953,631 2,099,451 145,820 7.5% San Diego (CA) 1,223,400 1,307,402 84,002 6.9% San Jose (CA) 894,943 945,942 50,999 5.7% Washington (DC) 572,059 601,723 29,664 5.2% Indianapolis (IN) 781,870 820,445 38,575 4.9% Boston (MA) 589,141 617,594 28,453 4.8% San Francisco (CA) 776,733 805,235 28,502 3.7% Los Angeles (CA) 3,694,820 3,792,621 97,801 2.6% New York City (NY) 8,008,278 8,175,133 166,855 2.1% Dallas (TX) 1,188,580 1,197,816 9,236 0.8% Source: US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis 6
  • 7. Housing Units and Average Household Size • Boston’s housing stock has grown consistently over the last 40 years • Boston’s housing stock grew 8.2% since 2000 280,000 270,000 272,481 260,000 250,000 240,000 250,863251,935 230,000 238,695 241,304 232,401 220,000 210,000 222,079 200,000 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 3.5 3.39 3 2.95 2.5 2.77 2.40 2.37 2.31 2 2.26 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey, BRA Research Division Analysis 7
  • 9. Racial and Ethnic Breakdown for Boston’s Population, 1980-2010 • Over the last several decades, the racial and ethnic composition of Boston has changed a great deal • In 1980, close to 70% of Boston was white. Today, only half the city is white. • The last two Census reports show Boston as a “majority-minority” city 1980 1990 1% 3% 0% 5% 1% 6% 11% 22% 24% 59% 68% 2000 2010 3% 2% 2% 8% 1% 9% 0% 0% 14% 50% 18% 47% 22% 24% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis. Note: 2000 was the first year the Census compiled data on individuals who identified themselves as “multiracial” 9
  • 10. Proportion of the Population that is Foreign-Born, 1850-2009 • Historically, Boston has had a greater proportion of foreign-born residents than both the Commonwealth of Massachusetts and the nation as a whole • Since the 1970s, the proportion of foreign-born residents in Boston has grown dramatically 40% Boston 35% Massachusetts United States 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2006 2009 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, BRA Research Division Analysis 10
  • 11. Countries of Origin for Boston’s Foreign-Born Population, 2010 • Most of Boston’s immigrants today come from the Caribbean, Latin American, and Asia • This plays a major factor in “majority-minority” Haiti 10.2% China 8.9% Dominican Republic 8.3% Vietnam 4.2% El Salvador 4.2% Jamaica 4.2% Colombia 3.3% Ireland 3.3% Brazil 3.1% Trinidad & Tobago 2.5% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% Source: 2010 Census, BRA Research Division Analysis. 11
  • 12. 25 Largest US Cities by Foreign Born Population • Boston ranks 6th among the 25 largest Foreign % Foreign Population City cities in the US in proportion of the Born Rank Born Rank 1 39.1% Los Angeles, CA 2 population that is foreign-born 2 38.6% San Jose, CA 10 3 37.2% New York, NY 1 4 35.5% San Francisco, CA 13 5 28.7% Houston, TX 4 Nativity 6 26.9% Boston, MA 22 7 26.1% San Diego, CA 8 8 25.3% Dallas, TX 9 27% 9 24.6% El Paso, TX 19 10 20.7% Chicago, IL 3 11 20.0% Phoenix, AZ 6 12 18.7% Austin, TX 14 13 17.2% Seattle, WA 23 14 16.9% Fort Worth, TX 16 15 14.4% San Antonio, TX 7 16 14.4% Charlotte, NC 17 17 13.5% Washington, DC 24 73% 18 12.2% Nashville, TN 25 19 11.6% Philadelphia, PA 5 20 11.0% Columbus, OH 15 21 9.4% Jacksonville, FL 11 Native Foreign-Born 22 9.0% Indianapolis, IN 12 23 7.1% Baltimore, MD 21 24 6.2% Memphis, TN 20 25 4.8% Detroit, MI 18 Source: 2010 American Community Survey, US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis 12
  • 13. Planning District Diversity Index: 2000-2010 • Most of Boston’s planning districts are more diverse today than in 2000 North Dorches… 2010 2000 Back Bay/ 0.80 Beacon… South 0.70 Harbor Boston 0.60 Islands 0.50 Mattapan 0.40 Boston 0.30 Charlesto 0.20 South End wn 0.10 0.00 West Roslindale Roxbury Central Hyde Park Allston/ Jamaica Brighton Plain Feneway/ Roxbury Kenmore East Boston 13 Source: US Census 2010, BRA Research Division Analysis
  • 14. Linguistic Isolation  In 2010, 12.4% of households in Boston were without a resident 14 years or older that spoke English very well; this was an increase from 10.7% of households in 2000  The rise in linguistically isolated Spanish households reflects the high growth rate of foreign-born Hispanic households between 2000 and 2010 60.0% 50.0% 48.3% 43.1% 38.5% 40.0% 30.5% 30.0% 27.7% 27.8% 20.6% 19.8% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% Spanish households Other Indo- Asian and Pacific Other languages European languages Island languages households households 2000 2010 Source: 2000 US Census Summary File 3 and2010 American Community Survey BRA Research Division Analysis 14
  • 15. English Proficiency  An estimated 8.5% of Bostonians had limited English proficiency in 2009; this increased about 0.8% from the same statistic in 2000.  A higher percentage of foreign born residents have Limited English proficiency in 2009 than in 2000 2000 7.7% 2009 8.5% 92.3% 91.5% English Proficient English Proficient Limited English Proficiency Limited English Proficiency Source: 2000 Census Public Use Microdata Sample and 2009 American Community Survey, Public Use Microdata Sample BRA Research Division Analysis 15
  • 17. Breakdown of Boston’s Population by Age • Boston is a young city; currently it has the highest concentration of young adults (20-34) among 15 of the largest cities in the US 20 to 34-Year- % of Total Location City Olds Population Quotient Boston 216,213 35.0% 1.73 Age Austin 251,064 31.8% 1.57 Washington DC 188,855 31.4% 1.55 19% 22% Atlanta 127,101 30.3% 1.49 Seattle 181,501 29.8% 1.47 San Francisco 228,738 28.4% 1.40 Chicago 738,578 27.4% 1.35 Dallas 314,728 26.3% 1.29 24% Houston 545,071 26.0% 1.28 Baltimore 160,024 25.8% 1.27 35% Philadelphia 392,776 25.7% 1.27 Los Angeles 953,443 25.1% 1.24 0-19 years 20-34 years New York 2,035,030 24.9% 1.23 35-54 years 55 and older San Antonio 304,784 23.0% 1.13 Phoenix 330,885 22.9% 1.13 Source: Age – 2010 Census, BRA Research Division Analysis 17
  • 19. Educational Attainment of Population, 2000 and 2010 • Boston has one of the most highly-educated populations among major American cities. According to the 2010 American Community Survey, 44.3% of Boston’s adult population has at least a bachelor’s degree, ranking Boston 4th amongst the 25 largest cities in the nation. 30.0% 120,000 23.8% 24.5% 25.0% 100,000 21.1% 24.0% 19.8% 20.0% 19.4% 80,000 20.2% 14.2% 17.7% 15.0% 60,000 15.3% 10.0% 40,000 5.0% 20,000 0.0% - Less than high High school Some college or Bachelor's Graduate or school diploma graduate associate's degree professional (includes degree degree equivalency) 2000 2010 % of 2000 Population % of 2010 Population Source: 2000 Census Summary File 3, 2010 American Community Survey, US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis 19
  • 20. Educational Attainment of 25 Largest US Cities by Bachelor’s Degree or Greater (25 years and older) Bachelor's Graduate or Bachelor's Rank City degree professional degree or greater 1 Seattle, Washington 33.1% 22.9% 56.0% 2 San Francisco, California 31.4% 19.5% 50.9% 3 Washington, District of Columbia 23.2% 26.9% 50.1% 4 Boston, Massachusetts 24.5% 19.8% 44.3% 5 Austin, Texas 27.5% 16.1% 43.6% 6 Portland, Oregon 26.3% 15.9% 42.2% 7 Denver, Colorado 25.4% 15.5% 40.9% 8 San Diego, California 24.1% 16.3% 40.4% 9 Charlotte, North Carolina 25.9% 12.8% 38.7% 10 San Jose, California 23.2% 13.4% 36.6% 11 Nashville-Davidson, Tennessee 20.0% 13.6% 33.6% 12 Chicago, Illinois 20.2% 13.2% 33.4% 13 New York, New York 19.9% 13.4% 33.3% 14 Columbus, Ohio 21.3% 10.4% 31.7% 15 Los Angeles, California 20.4% 10.3% 30.7% 16 Dallas, Texas 18.5% 10.4% 28.9% 17 Houston, Texas 17.4% 11.0% 28.4% 18 Louisville-Jefferson, Kentucky 16.4% 11.0% 27.4% 19 Indianapolis, Indiana 17.6% 9.0% 26.6% 20 Fort Worth, Texas 18.5% 7.5% 26.0% Source: 2010 American Community Survey, US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis 20
  • 22. Historic Unemployment Trend:1979-2010 • Boston’s unemployment rate is typically lower than national and state rates • As of January 2011, Boston’s unemployment rate was 7.8; two points lower than the national average 12.0 United States 10.0 Massachusetts Boston 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Bureau Labor of Statistics and MA Division of Employment and Training (DET) 22
  • 23. Household Income  The distribution of income in Boston is more polarized than in 2000.  The share of middle income households is getting smaller, while the share of low income and high income households increased. Household Income 2000 Household Income 2010 ACS Location Location (1999 Inflation-Adjusted (2009 Inflation-Adjusted Dollars) Estimate Percent Quotient Dollars) Estimate Percent Quotient Less than $10,000 37,230 15.5% 1.63 Less than $10,000 38,718 15.4% 2.08 $10,000 to $14,999 15,764 6.6% 1.04 $10,000 to $14,999 15,509 6.2% 1.11 $15,000 to $24,999 27,276 11.4% 0.89 $15,000 to $24,999 23,974 9.5% 0.88 $25,000 to $34,999 27,496 11.5% 0.90 $25,000 to $34,999 20,198 8.0% 0.75 $35,000 to $49,999 35,928 15.0% 0.91 $35,000 to $49,999 27,593 11.0% 0.77 $50,000 to $74,999 41,496 17.3% 0.89 $50,000 to $74,999 39,015 15.5% 0.83 $75,000 to $99,999 23,784 9.9% 0.97 $75,000 to $99,999 25,057 10.0% 0.81 $100,000 to $149,999 18,496 7.7% 1.00 $100,000 to $149,999 31,559 12.5% 1.03 $150,000 to $199,999 5,491 2.3% 1.04 $150,000 to $199,999 13,485 5.4% 1.29 $200,000 or more 6,642 2.8% 1.17 $200,000 or more 16,613 6.6% 1.65 Source: 2000 Census Summary File 3, 2010 American Community Survey, US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis 23 .
  • 24. Employment  Boston’s labor force grew by 18.5% from 2000 to 2010  Recessions in 2001 and 2008 has lead to the unemployed population in Boston to more than double in size since 2000 400,000 350,000 365,182 300,000 100% 308,107, 318,250 100% 87.1% 285,859 250,000 92.8% 200,000 150,000 100,000 46,932 12.9% 22,248 50,000 7.2% - Civilian labor force Employed Unemployed 2010 2000 Source: 2000 Census Summary File 3 and 2010 American Community Survey, US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis 24
  • 25. Labor Force Characteristics  A greater percent of non-white residents are unemployed than white residents  Unemployment appears to be particularly high among African-Americans in the city 70.0% Employment Status by Race 59.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 35.7% 32.1% 30.0% 20.2% 20.0% 17.0% 13.9% 10.0% 6.8%7.3% 1.8%2.6% 1.4%2.1% 0.0% White Hispanic Black Asian Two or more Other race races Employed Unemployed Source: 2010 American Community Survey, Public Use Microdata Sample BRA Research Division Analysis. 25
  • 26. Labor Force Characteristics  Young workers make up a larger portion of the unemployed than they make up amongst the employed.  The ratio of males to females that are employed is nearly 1:1; however, there are fewer unemployed females than unemployed males. 50.0% 47.1% 47.1% 54.0% 45.0% 53.4% 40.0% 52.0% 35.5% 35.0% 50.6% 30.3% 50.0% 30.0% 49.4% 25.0% 48.0% 20.0% 46.6% 15.0% 13.9% 13.0% 46.0% 10.0% 8.7% 44.0% 5.0% 4.3% 0.0% 42.0% Under 20 20-34 35-55 55 and older Employed Unemployed Employed Unemployed Male Female Source: 2006-2010 American Community Survey, Public Use Microdata Sample BRA Research Division Analysis. 26
  • 27. Unemployment Characteristics Unemployment Subject Employed Unemployed Rate Male 157,163 17,152 9.8% Female 160,690 14,973 8.5% Under 20 Years 13,770 4,468 24.5% 20 to 34 Years 149,778 15,123 9.2% 35 to 54 Years 112,861 9,728 7.9% 55 Years+ 41,444 2,806 6.3% Less than High School 30,498 6,981 18.6% High School 60,085 9,434 13.6% Some College 58,767 7,894 11.8% Associate's Degree 15,069 1,223 7.5% Bachelor's Degree 91,624 4,806 5.0% Graduate Degree 61,810 1,787 2.8% White 175,845 10,046 5.4% Hispanic 46,747 6,715 12.6% Black 59,432 11,560 16.3% Asian 26,231 2,586 9.0% Two or More Races 4,404 640 12.7% Other Race 5,194 578 10.0% Source: 2006-2010 American Community Survey, Public Use Microdata Sample BRA Research Division Analysis. 27
  • 28. Planning District Characteristics 2006 - 2010 ACS 2000 Census Unemployment by Planning Unemployment Poverty District Poverty Status Unemployment Rate Rate Status Boston 7.9% 15.0% 7.2% 19.5% Allston-Brighton 4.9% 23.1% 5.3% 23.0% 3.5% Back Bay-Beacon Hill 11.4% 6.0% 10.3% Central 4.8% 18.9% 8.9% 16.9% Charlestown 5.5% 16.8% 4.1% 17.5% East Boston 9.4% 15.0% 7.3% 19.5% Fenway-Kenmore 11.1% 38.3% 11.4% 37.3% Hyde Park 10.3% 11.0% 5.5% 10.4% Jamaica Plain 5.1% 14.3% 5.5% 20.9% Mattapan 15.0% 22.7% 9.7% 22.3% North Dorchester 11.8% 26.7% 9.6% 20.8% Roslindale 8.8% 14.0% 4.9% 13.6% Roxbury 17.7% 32.3% 11.6% 27.1% South Boston 5.6% 17.8% 5.0% 17.3% South Dorchester 14.7% 19.9% 7.9% 17.3% South End 12.3% 30.5% 6.9% 23.9% West Roxbury 6.3% 5.6% 3.0% 6.4% Source: 2006-2010 American Community Survey, 2000 Census, BRA Research Division Analysis. 28
  • 29. The BRA Research Division has put together profiles of Boston’s Planning Districts, Neighborhoods, City Council Districts, and Wards, which can all be found here: http://www.bostonredevelopmentauthority.org/Research/Research.asp For more information from the US Census Bureau, please visit: http://www.census.gov Thank you.