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ALASKA’S OPPORTUNITY TO LEAD THE ENERGY
 RACE AND PROVIDE LOW COST ENERGY TO
                ALASKANS

         Senate Resources Committee
               August 17, 2011

             Anchorage, Alaska
Trans Alaska Oil Pipeline (TAPS) in decline
which funds 90% of State Revenues
From Pennsylvania to Japan??
North Slope Leaseholders Are Active Elsewhere
with LNG Projects

  North Slope leaseholders’ LNG projects currently
  operating, under construction or in various stages of
  development bound for the Asian markets:
      ExxonMobil
       • Gorgon (Australia)
       • Scarborough (Australia)
       • Papua New Guinea expansion
       • Qatargas 1
       • Qatargas 2
         Ras Gas I, II, III
      BP
       • Northwest Shelf (Australia)
       • Browse (Australia)
       • Tangguh LNG train 3 (Indonesia)
       • Discussions with Gazprom re LNG project in Russia
      ConocoPhillips
       • Darwin (Australia)
       • Australia Pacific LNG
       • Greater Sunrise (Australia)
       • Freeport, Texas
       • Qatargas 3
HOW DOES ALASKA COMPARE?




 According to Wood Mac,
 here is how Alaska’s
 LNG Project Compares
 to Other LNG Projects
Top 5 North Slope Gas Leaseholders/Owner (State)
Wood Mac’s Forecast of State & Producer Profit (3
Price Scenarios)
Market Opportunities



  Premium market
  opportunities will be filled
  with LNG from either
  Australia, Qatar, PNG,
  British Columbia or the
  Lower 48 LNG projects if
  Alaska continues to
  remain on the sidelines.
Benefits to North Slope Exploration Activity



  Without question, a large
  volume gasline from the
  North Slope to Valdez with
  access to premium Asian
  markets will be the single
  largest stimulator for
  North Slope oil and gas
  exploration activity.
NPRA Development




 Anchorage Daily News May 11, 2011 Headline:

  USGS SAYS NEW NPR-A EXPLORATION DEPENDS
          ON A VIABLE GAS LINE

 “And last week the agency followed up with the
  announcement of a new economic analysis of the
  reserve, characterizing the reserve as a GAS
  PROVINCE and essentially saying that viable
  development of both oil and gas in the reserve
  depends on the construction of a North Slope gasline
  to transport gas to market.”
AGIA is Only a Permitting Process/ Not a Pipeline
Project



 “AGIA IS ONLY A PERMITTING
  PROCESS. ”

 “AGIA DOES NOT = GAS PIPELINE”

 Quotes from the Federal Gasline
  Coordinator to the Commonwealth
  North Board August 12, 2011
THERE HAS NEVER BEEN A PERMITTING PROBLEM
FOR A GASLINE IN ALASKA


1.  Natural Gas Act Jurisdiction Over the TAGS Project (October 26, 1998)
    FERC Declaratory Order Regarding its TAGS Jurisdiction (May 27, 1987)
2.  Presidential Finding Approving Export of Alaska Natural Gas (January 12,1988)
3.  Coastal Zone Consistency Determination (January 12, 1988)
4.  TAGS Project-wide Final EIS (June 1988)
5.  Ahtna Corporation Right-of-Way Agreement (October 14, 1988)
6.  Federal Pipeline Right-of-Way Grant (October 17, 1988)
    Record of Decision for the Trans-Alaska Gas System (October 17, 1988)
    Amendment to Grant of Right-of-Way for Trans-Alaska Gas System (June 23, 1993)
    Joint Pipeline Office (JPO) Letter (July 29, 1996)
7. State of Alaska Conditional Right-of-Way Lease (December 10, 1988)
    Renewal of Conditional Right-of-Way Lease for Trans-Alaska Gas System (December 11,
    1998)
    Amendment of Conditional Right-of-Way for Trans-Alaska Gas System (June 3, 1993)
8.  DOE/OFE Authorization for Export of Natural Gas (Order 350)(November 16, 1989)
9.  DOE/OFE Confirmation of Order 350 (March 8, 1990)
10. FERC Anderson Bay Final EIS (March 1995)
11. FERC Authorization for Siting LNG/MT Facility (May 22, 1995)
    FERC Extension Letter (April 17, 1998)
12. Anderson Bay LNG/MT Facility Air Quality (PSD) Permit (August 5, 1997)
Canadian Gas Pipeline History


First Trans Canadian Gas Pipeline:

 Early 1950’s Canadian Parliament takes
  control of the much studied gasline project
  from Alberta to Toronto and hires private
  sector to built the gasline.

 Government of Canada owned that Trans
  Canadian gasline for only one day following
  its completion. They sold it to TransCanada
  Pipeline Company.
Trans Alaska Oil Pipeline History


 Governor Bill Egan summons chief executives of all
  potential pipeline owner companies to Juneau. He
  told them that he wants Alaska to own the yet to be
  built Trans Alaska oil pipeline. (October 1971)

 Leaseholders object, saying Alaska could not finance
  it.

 Governor Egan holds State Oil Pipeline Ownership
  hearings in March 1972.

 Oil companies object to state ownership, but commit
  to start construction of the trans Alaska oil pipeline.
AGIA Constricted Small Volume Line


 Concerns with the AGIA Constricted/Small Volume Line Being Studied by
 AHFC/AGDC:

 1. Does not provide low cost energy to Alaskans.

 2. Does not put any additional oil into TAPS.

 3. Does not provide any income to the State to replace the
    gradual declining throughput in the oil line, which funds
    90% of Alaska’s revenue.

 4. While it creates short term construction jobs,
    there are no long term benefits to Alaska.

 5. Small volume line is revenue taker; whereas the large volume line,
    anchored in long term contracts in the Asian markets, is a revenue maker
    for Alaska.

 6. Only one gasline will be built in Alaska and it should be the one that
    benefits all Alaskans.
Frequently Asked Questions About the
      All Alaska LNG Project

     How do we get the gas?

     Are there permits for a gasline from the North Slope to Valdez?

     Will a gasline cause there to be a pressure drop in Prudhoe Bay thereby
      stranding oil?

     Can Alaska get an export license?

     Why Valdez vs. Cook Inlet for an export port?

     Doesn’t AGIA already provide for an LNG option out of Valdez?

      •    ADN August 6,2011:

      •    “FERC SAID IT IS FOCUSING ON THE ALBERTA ROUTE
           FOR NOW BECAUSE IT HAS RECEIVED ‘VERY LITTLE
           INFORMATION’ ABOUT THE VALDEZ OPTION.”

      •    “TRANSCANADA SPOKESMAN MILLAR SAID THE COMPANY
           IS FOCUSING ITS CURRENT WORK EFFORTS ON THE
           ALBERTA OPTION.”
REASONS THE VALDEZ LNG OPTION WILL NOT BE
ADDRESSED UNDER THE AGIA CONTRACT


1. The AGIA license is with two companies, TransCanada Alaska Company, LLC
     and Foothills Pipe Lines Ltd. ( Foothills).

2. Here is what Foothills had to say to FERC when opposing the YPC export
     license for LNG out of Alaska:

         (a) North Slope gas somehow belongs to the ANGTS( Canadian
             pipeline project)
         (b) North Slope reserves must remain in the ground, forever, if need be
             until ANGTS( Canadian pipeline) sponsors are ready to secure
             financing for ANGTS
         (c) The sponsors of the ANGTS ( Foothills and others) have an open
             ended right of first refusal on North Slope gas
         (d) Congress intended North Slope gas exclusively for the domestic
             market and prohibited its export

3. Now this very same company, Foothills has control over which project it
   wishes to advance under AGIA.

4.   Which route do you really think they will pursue?
Return on Investment



 State’s investment into the All
  Alaska Gas Line =
  $5 Billion ( 70/30 debt/equity
  ration)

 The FERC allowed rate of return
  on Alaska’s equity in gasline
  @12% = $600 million/year
  revenue to Alaska
A GAS PIPELINE IS JUST ANOTHER PIECE OF STATE
OWNED INFRASTRUCTURE ( Built/Operated by
Private Sector)
Examples of other Alaska owned infrastructure :

1. Alaska Railroad ( providing transportation for the coal resource to move to
     markets in state and around the world)

2. Alaska Marine Highway System

3.   Alaska Highway System (12):
           Parks Highway
           Richardson Highway
           Glenn Highway
           Seward Highway
           Steese Highway
           Alaska Highway
           Dalton Highway
           Haines Highway
           Elliot Highway
           Taylor Highway
           Denali Highway
           DeLong Mountain Transportation System (toll road for Red Dog Mine)

4. Airports
5. Harbors
Action Plan For Alaska's Future


   Exercise existing exit clause in AGIA.

   Follow the voter mandate of 2002 when 62% of Alaskans
    voted in favor of a State owned All Alaska gasline. (A.S.
    41.41.010).

   Announce to the world that Alaska’s gas will go to the
    Asian markets.

   Work with current North Slope leaseholders to market
    Alaska’s gas to the Asian market.

   Begin working towards FID of the gasline/LNG project.

   Once long term gas contracts/financing is secured, begin
    construction.
Conclusion



  Alaska must own the All
  Alaska gas pipeline that
  provides low cost energy to
  the maximum number of
  Alaskans and ensures stable
  revenues now and for future
  generations.
Thank you

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Alaska's Opportunity to Lead the Energy Race and Provide Low Cost Energy to Alaskans

  • 1. ALASKA’S OPPORTUNITY TO LEAD THE ENERGY RACE AND PROVIDE LOW COST ENERGY TO ALASKANS Senate Resources Committee August 17, 2011 Anchorage, Alaska
  • 2. Trans Alaska Oil Pipeline (TAPS) in decline which funds 90% of State Revenues
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 7. North Slope Leaseholders Are Active Elsewhere with LNG Projects North Slope leaseholders’ LNG projects currently operating, under construction or in various stages of development bound for the Asian markets:  ExxonMobil • Gorgon (Australia) • Scarborough (Australia) • Papua New Guinea expansion • Qatargas 1 • Qatargas 2 Ras Gas I, II, III  BP • Northwest Shelf (Australia) • Browse (Australia) • Tangguh LNG train 3 (Indonesia) • Discussions with Gazprom re LNG project in Russia  ConocoPhillips • Darwin (Australia) • Australia Pacific LNG • Greater Sunrise (Australia) • Freeport, Texas • Qatargas 3
  • 8.
  • 9. HOW DOES ALASKA COMPARE? According to Wood Mac, here is how Alaska’s LNG Project Compares to Other LNG Projects
  • 10.
  • 11. Top 5 North Slope Gas Leaseholders/Owner (State)
  • 12. Wood Mac’s Forecast of State & Producer Profit (3 Price Scenarios)
  • 13. Market Opportunities Premium market opportunities will be filled with LNG from either Australia, Qatar, PNG, British Columbia or the Lower 48 LNG projects if Alaska continues to remain on the sidelines.
  • 14. Benefits to North Slope Exploration Activity Without question, a large volume gasline from the North Slope to Valdez with access to premium Asian markets will be the single largest stimulator for North Slope oil and gas exploration activity.
  • 15. NPRA Development  Anchorage Daily News May 11, 2011 Headline: USGS SAYS NEW NPR-A EXPLORATION DEPENDS ON A VIABLE GAS LINE  “And last week the agency followed up with the announcement of a new economic analysis of the reserve, characterizing the reserve as a GAS PROVINCE and essentially saying that viable development of both oil and gas in the reserve depends on the construction of a North Slope gasline to transport gas to market.”
  • 16. AGIA is Only a Permitting Process/ Not a Pipeline Project  “AGIA IS ONLY A PERMITTING PROCESS. ”  “AGIA DOES NOT = GAS PIPELINE”  Quotes from the Federal Gasline Coordinator to the Commonwealth North Board August 12, 2011
  • 17. THERE HAS NEVER BEEN A PERMITTING PROBLEM FOR A GASLINE IN ALASKA 1. Natural Gas Act Jurisdiction Over the TAGS Project (October 26, 1998) FERC Declaratory Order Regarding its TAGS Jurisdiction (May 27, 1987) 2. Presidential Finding Approving Export of Alaska Natural Gas (January 12,1988) 3. Coastal Zone Consistency Determination (January 12, 1988) 4. TAGS Project-wide Final EIS (June 1988) 5. Ahtna Corporation Right-of-Way Agreement (October 14, 1988) 6. Federal Pipeline Right-of-Way Grant (October 17, 1988) Record of Decision for the Trans-Alaska Gas System (October 17, 1988) Amendment to Grant of Right-of-Way for Trans-Alaska Gas System (June 23, 1993) Joint Pipeline Office (JPO) Letter (July 29, 1996) 7. State of Alaska Conditional Right-of-Way Lease (December 10, 1988) Renewal of Conditional Right-of-Way Lease for Trans-Alaska Gas System (December 11, 1998) Amendment of Conditional Right-of-Way for Trans-Alaska Gas System (June 3, 1993) 8. DOE/OFE Authorization for Export of Natural Gas (Order 350)(November 16, 1989) 9. DOE/OFE Confirmation of Order 350 (March 8, 1990) 10. FERC Anderson Bay Final EIS (March 1995) 11. FERC Authorization for Siting LNG/MT Facility (May 22, 1995) FERC Extension Letter (April 17, 1998) 12. Anderson Bay LNG/MT Facility Air Quality (PSD) Permit (August 5, 1997)
  • 18. Canadian Gas Pipeline History First Trans Canadian Gas Pipeline:  Early 1950’s Canadian Parliament takes control of the much studied gasline project from Alberta to Toronto and hires private sector to built the gasline.  Government of Canada owned that Trans Canadian gasline for only one day following its completion. They sold it to TransCanada Pipeline Company.
  • 19. Trans Alaska Oil Pipeline History  Governor Bill Egan summons chief executives of all potential pipeline owner companies to Juneau. He told them that he wants Alaska to own the yet to be built Trans Alaska oil pipeline. (October 1971)  Leaseholders object, saying Alaska could not finance it.  Governor Egan holds State Oil Pipeline Ownership hearings in March 1972.  Oil companies object to state ownership, but commit to start construction of the trans Alaska oil pipeline.
  • 20. AGIA Constricted Small Volume Line Concerns with the AGIA Constricted/Small Volume Line Being Studied by AHFC/AGDC: 1. Does not provide low cost energy to Alaskans. 2. Does not put any additional oil into TAPS. 3. Does not provide any income to the State to replace the gradual declining throughput in the oil line, which funds 90% of Alaska’s revenue. 4. While it creates short term construction jobs, there are no long term benefits to Alaska. 5. Small volume line is revenue taker; whereas the large volume line, anchored in long term contracts in the Asian markets, is a revenue maker for Alaska. 6. Only one gasline will be built in Alaska and it should be the one that benefits all Alaskans.
  • 21. Frequently Asked Questions About the All Alaska LNG Project  How do we get the gas?  Are there permits for a gasline from the North Slope to Valdez?  Will a gasline cause there to be a pressure drop in Prudhoe Bay thereby stranding oil?  Can Alaska get an export license?  Why Valdez vs. Cook Inlet for an export port?  Doesn’t AGIA already provide for an LNG option out of Valdez? • ADN August 6,2011: • “FERC SAID IT IS FOCUSING ON THE ALBERTA ROUTE FOR NOW BECAUSE IT HAS RECEIVED ‘VERY LITTLE INFORMATION’ ABOUT THE VALDEZ OPTION.” • “TRANSCANADA SPOKESMAN MILLAR SAID THE COMPANY IS FOCUSING ITS CURRENT WORK EFFORTS ON THE ALBERTA OPTION.”
  • 22. REASONS THE VALDEZ LNG OPTION WILL NOT BE ADDRESSED UNDER THE AGIA CONTRACT 1. The AGIA license is with two companies, TransCanada Alaska Company, LLC and Foothills Pipe Lines Ltd. ( Foothills). 2. Here is what Foothills had to say to FERC when opposing the YPC export license for LNG out of Alaska: (a) North Slope gas somehow belongs to the ANGTS( Canadian pipeline project) (b) North Slope reserves must remain in the ground, forever, if need be until ANGTS( Canadian pipeline) sponsors are ready to secure financing for ANGTS (c) The sponsors of the ANGTS ( Foothills and others) have an open ended right of first refusal on North Slope gas (d) Congress intended North Slope gas exclusively for the domestic market and prohibited its export 3. Now this very same company, Foothills has control over which project it wishes to advance under AGIA. 4. Which route do you really think they will pursue?
  • 23. Return on Investment  State’s investment into the All Alaska Gas Line = $5 Billion ( 70/30 debt/equity ration)  The FERC allowed rate of return on Alaska’s equity in gasline @12% = $600 million/year revenue to Alaska
  • 24. A GAS PIPELINE IS JUST ANOTHER PIECE OF STATE OWNED INFRASTRUCTURE ( Built/Operated by Private Sector) Examples of other Alaska owned infrastructure : 1. Alaska Railroad ( providing transportation for the coal resource to move to markets in state and around the world) 2. Alaska Marine Highway System 3. Alaska Highway System (12): Parks Highway Richardson Highway Glenn Highway Seward Highway Steese Highway Alaska Highway Dalton Highway Haines Highway Elliot Highway Taylor Highway Denali Highway DeLong Mountain Transportation System (toll road for Red Dog Mine) 4. Airports 5. Harbors
  • 25. Action Plan For Alaska's Future  Exercise existing exit clause in AGIA.  Follow the voter mandate of 2002 when 62% of Alaskans voted in favor of a State owned All Alaska gasline. (A.S. 41.41.010).  Announce to the world that Alaska’s gas will go to the Asian markets.  Work with current North Slope leaseholders to market Alaska’s gas to the Asian market.  Begin working towards FID of the gasline/LNG project.  Once long term gas contracts/financing is secured, begin construction.
  • 26. Conclusion Alaska must own the All Alaska gas pipeline that provides low cost energy to the maximum number of Alaskans and ensures stable revenues now and for future generations.