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19 October 2010
The SKF Group



Tom Johnstone, President and CEO




19 October 2010
2




    Agenda
      • Nine-months report and outlook


      • New financial targets


      • Acquisition of Lincoln Industrial




19 October 2010
3




    Agenda
      • Nine-months report and outlook


      • New financial targets


      • Acquisition of Lincoln Industrial




19 October 2010
Key points, Q3 report                                                                 4



       • Strong performance
         Operating profit: SEK 2,309 m (957). Operating margin: 14.9% (7.2)
         Profit before tax: SEK 1,950 m (689), including SEK 150 m related to Ovako.
         Cash flow: SEK 1,936 m (1,359)
       • Organic sales development in local currency:
         SKF Group:           +19.3%
         Industrial Division: +17.9%
         Service Division:    +22.7%
         Automotive Division: +15.0%

       Outlook for Q4
       • Demand
         Significantly higher compared to Q4 2009
         Slightly higher sequentially compared to Q3 2010, adjusted for normal seasonality
       • Manufacturing level
         Significantly higher year over year
         Unchanged compared to Q3 2010, adjusted for normal seasonality


19 October 2010
Highlights Q3 2010 – investing for the future                   5




       • Two new factories announced:
         -Dalian, China for medium-sized bearings
          Investment: around SEK 400 m
          In operation: in 2011
          Employees: 250 people
             -Mysore, India for seals
              Investment: around SEK 160 m
              In operation: second half of 2012
              Employees: 600 people
       • Investment of around USD 18 m in a new heat treatment
         facility in Falconer, USA.
       • Two new SKF Solution Factories were inaugurated, one in the
         UK and one in Turkey.




19 October 2010
Highlights Q3 2010 – customers and sustainability                    6




       • Contract gained with Guohua Energy Investment for 180
         SKF WindCon systems for existing turbines, and 58 SKF
         WindCon systems for a new wind farm in Beijing.
       • Over two billion USD documented savings by customers as a
         result of using SKF solutions. Data collected over a 10-year
         period with the use of SKF Documented Solutions Program.
       • Continued launch of new products.
       • SKF's factory in Tver, Russia achieved Gold and SKF’s headoffice
         in the USA Platinum awards to the U.S. Green Building council's
         LEED standard.
       • SKF was included in the 2010 Dow Jones Sustainability Indexes
         (DJSI) and in the FTSE4Good Index Series.




19 October 2010
Examples of new product launches                                                       7




    Four-row tapered                             Low friction X-Tracker        SKF Engineering
    roller bearing                                                                  Simulation
                                                                                      Services

                            SKF Commutation
                           Sensor-Bearing Unit

       SKF MetroCon –         SKF Crane Asset            SKF One Way      SKF Hydraulic
                                 Management                    Clutch     driven lubricator




   CBM for elevators and
        escalators                                                        SKF Idler Sound
                                                 SKF Cam
                                                 Follower                 Monitor kit
    SKF solutions for      SKF SPEEDI-SLEEVE     Unit
    special pumps




19 October 2010
Sales volume                    8




        % change y-o-y
            20
            15
            10
             5
             0
            -5
           -10
           -15
           -20
           -25
           -30
           -35

                  2008   2009   2010

19 October 2010
Sales in local currencies (excl. structural changes)   9




     % change y-o-y
          20
          15
          10
           5
           0
          -5
         -10
         -15
         -20
         -25
         -30
                  2008      2009           2010


19 October 2010
Growth in local currency                                            10
       (Organic growth + acquisition/divestments)



             % y-o-y

                                                               13.2%
                  15
                  10        7.1%
                  5                               -19.0%
                  0
                  -5
              -10
              -15
              -20

                           2008                   2009     YTD September
                                                               2010
                       Organic growth
                       Acquisitions/Divestments
19 October 2010
Growth development by geography                                   11
        Local currency Q3 2010 vs Q3 2009



                                            Europe
                                             +12%


North America
    +24%
                                                          Asia/Pacific
                                                             +34%


                  Latin America
                      +19%
                                            Middle East
                                             & Africa
                                               +11%


19 October 2010
Growth development by geography                                            12
        Local currency YTD September 2010 vs YTD September 2009



                                        Europe
                                         +4%


North America
    +11%
                                                                  Asia/Pacific
                                                                     +34%


                  Latin America
                      +22%
                                      Middle East
                                       & Africa
                                         +11%


19 October 2010
Components in net sales                                                             13




                    2008                         2009                       2010
Percent y-o-y       Q1     Q2     Q3     Q4      Q1     Q2    Q3     Q4     Q1     Q2     Q3

Volume              4.9    6.2    2.7 -13.0    -26.9 -30.8 -24.9 -14.1      5.3   16.6   19.0


Structure           1.0    1.3    0.5    2.4    1.4     1.1   1.2    0.4    0.0    0.0    0.0


Price / Mix         3.8    4.0    6.4    8.5    7.1     5.6   3.7    0.3   -0.3   -0.5    0.3


Sales in local      9.7   11.5    9.6   -2.1   -18.4 -24.1 -20.0 -13.4      5.0   16.1   19.3
currency
Currency           -1.2   -4.1   -0.9   10.3   13.6   12.2    6.6   -1.4   -7.7   -5.2   -3.2

Net sales           8.5    7.4    8.7    8.2    -4.8 -11.9 -13.4 -14.8     -2.7   10.9   16.1



 19 October 2010
Operating profit                                      14




         SEKm
         2 400
         2 200
         2 000
         1 800
         1 600
         1 400
         1 200
         1 000
           800
           600
           400
           200
             0

                  2008                   2009         2010
                   Restructuring and one-time items
19 October 2010
Operating margin                                        15




          %
         16

         14

         12

         10

           8

           6

           4

           2

           0

                  2008                  2009            2010

                     Restructuring and one-time items
19 October 2010
Operating margin                                                        16




                  %
              16
                                                                   13.9*
              14            12.7*
              12                                                   13.7
              10
                            12.2
                                                  8.0*
                  8
                  6
                  4                               5.7
                  2
                  0

                           2008                  2009          YTD September
                                                                   2010
                      Restructuring and one-time items
                  *   Excluding restructuring and one-time items
19 October 2010
Operating margin per division                                                                         17


            %
          18
          16
          14                                                                                    Service
          12                                                                                    Industrial
          10
           8                                                                                        Automotive
           6
           4
           2
           0
          -2
          -4
          -6
          -8
         -10
         -12
                  Q1   Q2       Q3        Q4        Q1        Q2           Q3   Q4   Q1   Q2   Q3

                  2008                               2009                            2010

                         Excluding one-off items
                         (eg. restructuring, impairments, capital gains)

19 October 2010
Third quarter 2010                                              18




           SEKm                                       2010     2009

           Net sales                                 15,465   13,324
           Operating profit                           2,309     957
           Operating margin, %                        14.9%     7.2%
           Operating margin excl. restructuring, %    14.9%     8.7%

           Profit before taxes                        1,950     689
           Net profit                                 1,425     483
           Basic earnings per share, SEK               3.05     1.01
           Cash flow after investments before         1,936    1,359
           financial items


19 October 2010
First nine months 2010                                          19




           SEKm                                       2010     2009

           Net sales                                 45,620   42,340
           Operating profit                           6,250    2,199
           Operating margin, %                        13.7%     5.2%
           Operating margin excl. restructuring, %    13.9%     7.3%

           Profit before taxes                        5,501    1,532
           Net profit                                 3,946    1,200
           Basic earnings per share, SEK               8.41     2.56
           Cash flow after investments before         3,128    4,307
           financial items


19 October 2010
Inventories as % of annual sales                             20




           %                              Long-term target level: 18%
          25

          24

          23

          22

          21

          20

          19

          18
                  2008    2009               2010

19 October 2010
Cash flow, after investments before financial items              21




        SEKm
        2 500
                                                      Cash out from
        2 000                                         acquisitions (SEKm):
        1 500                                         2008          1,284
                                                      2009            241
        1 000

           500

              0

         -500

       -1 000

                  2008     2009           2010



19 October 2010
Return on capital employed                                                         22




           %
          30
                          24.0
          25
                                                                              20.7
          20
          15
                                                      9.1
          10
            5
            0
                         2008                        2009                 YTD September
                                                                              2010
        ROCE: Operating profit plus interest income, as a percentage of
        twelve months average of total assets less the average of non-
        interest bearing liabilities.

19 October 2010
Net debt                                                                            23
       (Short-term financial assets minus loans and post-employment benefits)




          SEKm
                  0
                                                                       AB SKF,
         -2 000
                                                                       dividend paid (SEKm):
         -4 000
                                                                       2008 Q2           2,277
         -6 000                                                        2009 Q2           1,594
         -8 000                                                        2010 Q2           1,594
       -10 000
                                                                       Redemption (SEKm):
       -12 000
                                                                       2008 Q2         2,277
       -14 000
       -16 000
       -18 000

                      2008         2009                2010



19 October 2010
Debt structure                                                                        24



       Maturity years, EURm
       500

       400                                            446


       300

       200

       100                                                       130
                                                                            100        100
                                   55
           0
                    2010         2011         2012   2013      2014       2015        2016

                  • Unutilized credit facilities:    • No financial covenants nor material
                             EUR 500 m 2014            adverse change clause
                           SEK 3,000 m 2017

19 October 2010
September 2010:                                                      25
       Outlook for the fourth quarter 2010

        Development compared to fourth quarter last year
        The demand for SKF products and services is expected to be
        significantly higher for the Group, the divisions and for the
        different geographical areas.
        Development compared to the third quarter 2010 and
        adjusted for normal seasonality
        The demand is expected to be slightly higher for the Group, the
        divisions and for the different geographical areas.
        Manufacturing level
        The manufacturing level will be significantly higher year on year
        and unchanged compared to the third quarter, adjusted for
        normal seasonality.



19 October 2010
Volume trends, regions                                                       26
       (based on current assumptions and adjusted for seasonality)




                  Net sales             Daily volume trends for:      Outlook Q4
                   2009                  Q3 2010      Q4 2010        2010 vs 2009

         Europe               51%                                       +++
         North America        17%                                       +++
         Asia Pacific         23%                                       +++
         Latin America        6%                                        +++
         Total                                                          +++


19 October 2010
Volume trends, divisions                                                     27
       (based on current assumptions and adjusted for seasonality)




                  Net sales                Daily volume trends        Outlook Q4
                   2009                        for Q4 2010           2010 vs 2009

         Industrial           34%                                       +++
         Service              35%                                       +++
         Automotive           29%                                       +++
         Total                                                          +++




19 October 2010
Sequential volume trend main segments Q4 2010   28
       (based on current assumptions)
      Net sales 2009

          14% Cars
            5% Railway
          22% Industrial distribution
          16% Industrial OEM, General+Special
          12% Vehicle Service Market
          11% Industrial OEM, Heavy + Off-highway
            7% Aerospace
            7% Energy
            3% Electrical and two-wheeler
            3% Trucks


19 October 2010
Guidance for the fourth quarter 2010                                           29




         • Tax level: around 30%
         • Financial net for the fourth quarter:
           Around SEK -175 m
         • Exchange rates on operating profit versus 2009
           Q4:        SEK -50 m
           Full year: SEK -400 m
         • Additions to PPE: Around SEK 1.6 bn for 2010



       Guidance is approximate and based on current assumptions and exchange rates.


19 October 2010
30




    Agenda
      • Nine-months report and outlook


      • New financial targets


      • Acquisition of Lincoln Industrial




19 October 2010
SKF Group performance                                                                                                        31


                      Operating margin                                       Sales growth in local currency
        %                                                               %

       14                         12.6 12.9 12.2              13.7                                     13.2
                                                                      15           11.8                                      13.2
                           10.8                                                            7.3* 7.5*           7.1
       12           9.9                                               10     5.2
       10    8.0                                                       5
        8                                              5.7
                                                                       0
        6                                                                   2003 2004     2005   2006 2007    2008   2009     ytd
                                                                       -5
                                                                                                                             2010
        4                                                             -10
        2                                                             -15
        0                                                             -20                                            -19.0
             2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009                ytd
                                                              2010    -25    * Excl. effects from sale of Ovako: 2005: 10.4%
               Return on capital employed                                                                        2006: 10.1%
         %
                                         24.9 24.0
        26
        24                 21.9 23.0
        22          19.0                                      20.7*         Long-term targets
        20
        18   14.0
                                                                            • 12% Operating margin, level
        16
        14                                                                  • 6-8% Growth per annum (local)
                                                       9.1
        12
        10
                                                                            • 24% Return on capital employed
         8
         6
         4
         2
         0
             2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009    ytd
19 October 2010
        * 2010 annualised is 23.9%                            2010
SKF Group performance                                                                                                         32


                      Operating margin                                              Sales growth in local currency
        %                                                                  %

       14                         12.6 12.9 12.2              13.7                                           13.2
                                                                           15             11.8                                    13.2
                           10.8                                                                  7.3* 7.5*          7.1
       12           9.9                                                    10       5.2
       10    8.0                                                               5
        8                                              5.7



                                                                               ED
                                                                               0
        6                                                                           2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009             ytd
                                                                               -5



                                                                            EV
                                                                                                                                  2010
        4

                                                                           I
                                                                           -10




                                                                        CH
        2                                                                  -15
        0

                                                                      A
                                                                           -20                                            -19.0
             2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009                ytd


                                                            ts
                                                              2010         -25 * Excl. effects from sale of Ovako: 2005: 10.4%
               Return on capital employed
                                                          e
                                                                                                                     2006: 10.1%


                                              rg
         %
                                         24.9 24.0


                                            Ta
        26
        24                 21.9 23.0
        22          19.0                                      20.7*             Long-term targets
        20
        18   14.0
                                                                                • 12% Operating margin, level
        16
        14                                                                      • 6-8% Growth per annum (local)
                                                       9.1
        12
        10
                                                                                • 24% Return on capital employed
         8
         6
         4
         2
         0
             2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009    ytd
19 October 2010
        * 2010 annualised is 23.9%                            2010
New financial targets                                     33




                                     Old targets   New targets

            Operating margin level      12%           15%
            Annual sales growth
                                       6-8%            8%
            in local currencies
            ROCE                        24%           27%
            Inventory to sales          18%           18%




19 October 2010
SKF Group, long-term view                                         34




       World recovery will continue (with some uncertainties)

       Growth will be uneven between regions
              - Asia                              +++
              - L. America, Cent/East Europe, MEA ++
              - N. America, W. Europe, Japan      +

       SKF Group focus on platforms/segments and delivering value will
       result in better growth than industrial production


       Asia, Industrial business and the aftermarket will continue to
       increase as part of the Group


19 October 2010
SKF’s business strategy for achieving long-term             35
       profitable growth and attaining financial targets

         • keeping a clear and dedicated customer focus
         • developing new products, solutions and services
         • improving price quality by applying the SKF platform
           and segment approach
         • strengthening the product portfolio through greater
           investment in R&D and through acquisitions
         • focusing on rapidly expanding segments and regions
         • reducing capital employed and fixed costs
         • attracting, retaining and developing the right people




19 October 2010
Main initiatives going forward                       36




                  • Accelerate profitable growth


                  • Reduce cost and eliminate waste


                  • Invest for growth



                   One SKF and SKF Care as guiding lights



19 October 2010
Main actions going forward                                 37




                  Accelerate profitable growth
                  • Continue to strengthen the platform/segment
                    approach
                  • Increase the development, launch and
                    commercialisation of new offerings (green)
                  • Value based selling – using
                    Documented Solutions Programme
                  • Strengthen our service business
                  • Acquisitions to strengthen platform offer



19 October 2010
Main actions going forward                                  38




                  Reduce cost and eliminate waste
                  • Build on Manufacturing Excellence into other
                    areas - Business Excellence

                  • Increased manufacturing and sourcing in
                    Best Cost Countries

                  • Reduce product cost through ICR* activities


                   * ICR means Integrated Cost Reduction


19 October 2010
Main actions going forward                                 39




                  Invest for growth
                  • Increase sales and engineering resources

                  • Additional factories in growth markets

                  • Additional SKF Solution Factories

                  • Increase spending in R&D and improve global
                    network
                    - accelerate plans for India and China


19 October 2010
Main initiatives going forward                       40




                  • Accelerate profitable growth


                  • Reduce cost and eliminate waste


                  • Invest for growth



                   One SKF and SKF Care as guiding lights



19 October 2010
SKF Group – operating margin development                                  41




18
16
14
12
10
 8
 6
 4
 2
 0
-2
-4




                                                                              10
  90


         92


                      94


                             96


                                    98


                                           00


                                                  02


                                                         04


                                                                06


                                                                       08

                                                                            20
19


       19


                    19


                           19


                                  19


                                         20


                                                20


                                                       20


                                                              20


                                                                     20

                                                                          d
  19 October 2010                                                       yt
SKF Group – sales development (in local currencies) 42


 18
 16
 14
 12
 10
  8
  6
  4
  2
  0
 -2
 -4
 -6
 -8
-10
-12
-14
-16
-18
-20




                                                                              10
  90


          92


                      94


                             96


                                    98


                                           00


                                                  02


                                                         04


                                                                06


                                                                       08

                                                                            20
19


        19


                    19


                           19


                                  19


                                         20


                                                20


                                                       20


                                                              20


                                                                     20

                                                                          d
  19 October 2010                                                       yt
New SKF long-term financial targets             43




        15%       Operating margin level
            8%    Annual sales growth (local currencies)
        27%       ROCE
        18%       Inventory to sales




19 October 2010
44




    Agenda
      • Nine-months report and outlook


      • New financial targets


      • Acquisition of Lincoln Industrial




19 October 2010
SKF Group Vision                45




                  To equip the world
                  with SKF knowledge




19 October 2010
What is SKF knowledge?   46




19 October 2010
SKF’s platforms                             47




                  Managing and reducing friction


19 October 2010
Increasing need for lubrication systems                                            48




                  • Increase performance and productivity
                  • Improve reliability and component life
                    -Protect in harsh conditions               Dual-line lubrication systems
                                                               pumps, reservoirs
                    -Reduce catastrophic failures
                  • Lower maintenance and service costs
                    -Reduce labour spend
                    -Reduce lubrication consumption
                  • Reduce energy consumption




                                                              Oil and air lubrication systems


                     Progressive lubrication systems
                     Lubricant distributors, metering units
19 October 2010
Lubrication systems market                                          49



       • The lubrication systems market comprises two main
           technologies:
                  –Oil-based systems
                  –Grease-based systems

       • The total world market incl products and services is estimated
           to be >20 BSEK


       • The main segments for lubrication systems are:
          -Heavy industrial machinery (e.g metals, mining, pulp & paper)
          -Special industrial machinery (e.g machine tools, marine)
          -Energy (e.g wind, oil & gas)
          -Off highway
          -Agriculture

19 October 2010
SKF Lubrication Systems                                                     50




                                                          Acquisitions
                                                          Cirval (Argentina)    2008
                                                          ALS (Canada)          2007
                                                          Safematic (Finland)   2006
                                                          Sommers (Sweden)      2005
                                                          Vogel (Germany)       2004




                  Manufacturing and engineering centres


19 October 2010
Acquisition of Lincoln Industrial                                              51




       • Lubrication systems is one of SKF’s technology platforms and SKF has
         improved its offerings in this area in recent years. It is a vital part of
         SKF’s core competence in the management of friction.

       • Lincoln Industrial is highly complementary to SKF Lubrication Systems
         when it comes to technology as well as geographical sales coverage
         and manufacturing footprint, particularly in North America and Asia.

       • Lincoln Industrial is a highly attractive business, with consistent record
         of strong financial performance, very good margins and strong cash flow.


       • Lincoln Industrial’s consistent financial performance, the outlook and
         synergies are reflected in the sales price of around USD 1 billion
         (~10 times EBIT).

19 October 2010
Lincoln Industrial                                                  52




     Net sales geographical split      Manufacturing and engineering centres

                  Other
         Asia
                           North
                           America


     Europe


   2010: Sales approaching USD 400 m
         EBIT margin around 24%.




19 October 2010
Lincoln Industrial’s offer portfolio                                                                                                        53

       Spectrum
       Solution



                                                  Increasing Application Complexity                                                  Manually
                                 Automated
                                                                                                                                     Operated
                                  Systems
                                                                                                       Fast Application             Equipment
       Products
       Selected
         Selected Applications




                                  Food/Beverage          Heavy Construction           Wind Energy    General Manufacturing        Aftermarket
                                                                                                                                Vehicle Services




                                    Steel/Glass             Agriculture                 Mining            Fire/Rescue          Vocational Service


                                    Engineered to move heavy grease under high pressure in extreme environments for every application



19 October 2010
The acquisition is in line with SKF’s strategy                               54




            Acquisitions are an integral part of the profitable growth strategy.
            A systematic acquisition process has been established and the
            strategic targets are identified

            Acquisition criteria:
            • Strategic fit with clear potential synergies and ability to exploit
              these in a reasonable timeframe.
            • Strong commitment and ownership by acquiring Division.
            • EPS accretive in the first full year, positive TVA effect in two
              to three years, including amortization of intangible assets.




19 October 2010
Summary of the third quarter                                   55




                  • Very strong quarter

                  • Positive outlook

                  • New financial targets

                  • Significant acquisition in lubrication systems area




19 October 2010
Cautionary statement                                                                    56




           This presentation contains forward-looking statements that are based on the
           current expectations of the management of SKF.
           Although management believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-
           looking statements are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such
           expectations will prove to have been correct. Accordingly, results could differ
           materially from those implied in the forward-looking statements as a result of,
           among other factors, changes in economic, market and competitive conditions,
           changes in the regulatory environment and other government actions, fluctuations
           in exchange rates and other factors mentioned in SKF's latest annual report
           (available on www.skf.com) under the Administration Report; “Important factors
           influencing the financial results", "Financial risks" and "Sensitivity analysis”.




19 October 2010
57




19 October 2010

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Skf q3 2010_presentation

  • 2. The SKF Group Tom Johnstone, President and CEO 19 October 2010
  • 3. 2 Agenda • Nine-months report and outlook • New financial targets • Acquisition of Lincoln Industrial 19 October 2010
  • 4. 3 Agenda • Nine-months report and outlook • New financial targets • Acquisition of Lincoln Industrial 19 October 2010
  • 5. Key points, Q3 report 4 • Strong performance Operating profit: SEK 2,309 m (957). Operating margin: 14.9% (7.2) Profit before tax: SEK 1,950 m (689), including SEK 150 m related to Ovako. Cash flow: SEK 1,936 m (1,359) • Organic sales development in local currency: SKF Group: +19.3% Industrial Division: +17.9% Service Division: +22.7% Automotive Division: +15.0% Outlook for Q4 • Demand Significantly higher compared to Q4 2009 Slightly higher sequentially compared to Q3 2010, adjusted for normal seasonality • Manufacturing level Significantly higher year over year Unchanged compared to Q3 2010, adjusted for normal seasonality 19 October 2010
  • 6. Highlights Q3 2010 – investing for the future 5 • Two new factories announced: -Dalian, China for medium-sized bearings Investment: around SEK 400 m In operation: in 2011 Employees: 250 people -Mysore, India for seals Investment: around SEK 160 m In operation: second half of 2012 Employees: 600 people • Investment of around USD 18 m in a new heat treatment facility in Falconer, USA. • Two new SKF Solution Factories were inaugurated, one in the UK and one in Turkey. 19 October 2010
  • 7. Highlights Q3 2010 – customers and sustainability 6 • Contract gained with Guohua Energy Investment for 180 SKF WindCon systems for existing turbines, and 58 SKF WindCon systems for a new wind farm in Beijing. • Over two billion USD documented savings by customers as a result of using SKF solutions. Data collected over a 10-year period with the use of SKF Documented Solutions Program. • Continued launch of new products. • SKF's factory in Tver, Russia achieved Gold and SKF’s headoffice in the USA Platinum awards to the U.S. Green Building council's LEED standard. • SKF was included in the 2010 Dow Jones Sustainability Indexes (DJSI) and in the FTSE4Good Index Series. 19 October 2010
  • 8. Examples of new product launches 7 Four-row tapered Low friction X-Tracker SKF Engineering roller bearing Simulation Services SKF Commutation Sensor-Bearing Unit SKF MetroCon – SKF Crane Asset SKF One Way SKF Hydraulic Management Clutch driven lubricator CBM for elevators and escalators SKF Idler Sound SKF Cam Follower Monitor kit SKF solutions for SKF SPEEDI-SLEEVE Unit special pumps 19 October 2010
  • 9. Sales volume 8 % change y-o-y 20 15 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 -25 -30 -35 2008 2009 2010 19 October 2010
  • 10. Sales in local currencies (excl. structural changes) 9 % change y-o-y 20 15 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 -25 -30 2008 2009 2010 19 October 2010
  • 11. Growth in local currency 10 (Organic growth + acquisition/divestments) % y-o-y 13.2% 15 10 7.1% 5 -19.0% 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 2008 2009 YTD September 2010 Organic growth Acquisitions/Divestments 19 October 2010
  • 12. Growth development by geography 11 Local currency Q3 2010 vs Q3 2009 Europe +12% North America +24% Asia/Pacific +34% Latin America +19% Middle East & Africa +11% 19 October 2010
  • 13. Growth development by geography 12 Local currency YTD September 2010 vs YTD September 2009 Europe +4% North America +11% Asia/Pacific +34% Latin America +22% Middle East & Africa +11% 19 October 2010
  • 14. Components in net sales 13 2008 2009 2010 Percent y-o-y Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Volume 4.9 6.2 2.7 -13.0 -26.9 -30.8 -24.9 -14.1 5.3 16.6 19.0 Structure 1.0 1.3 0.5 2.4 1.4 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 Price / Mix 3.8 4.0 6.4 8.5 7.1 5.6 3.7 0.3 -0.3 -0.5 0.3 Sales in local 9.7 11.5 9.6 -2.1 -18.4 -24.1 -20.0 -13.4 5.0 16.1 19.3 currency Currency -1.2 -4.1 -0.9 10.3 13.6 12.2 6.6 -1.4 -7.7 -5.2 -3.2 Net sales 8.5 7.4 8.7 8.2 -4.8 -11.9 -13.4 -14.8 -2.7 10.9 16.1 19 October 2010
  • 15. Operating profit 14 SEKm 2 400 2 200 2 000 1 800 1 600 1 400 1 200 1 000 800 600 400 200 0 2008 2009 2010 Restructuring and one-time items 19 October 2010
  • 16. Operating margin 15 % 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2008 2009 2010 Restructuring and one-time items 19 October 2010
  • 17. Operating margin 16 % 16 13.9* 14 12.7* 12 13.7 10 12.2 8.0* 8 6 4 5.7 2 0 2008 2009 YTD September 2010 Restructuring and one-time items * Excluding restructuring and one-time items 19 October 2010
  • 18. Operating margin per division 17 % 18 16 14 Service 12 Industrial 10 8 Automotive 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 -10 -12 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2008 2009 2010 Excluding one-off items (eg. restructuring, impairments, capital gains) 19 October 2010
  • 19. Third quarter 2010 18 SEKm 2010 2009 Net sales 15,465 13,324 Operating profit 2,309 957 Operating margin, % 14.9% 7.2% Operating margin excl. restructuring, % 14.9% 8.7% Profit before taxes 1,950 689 Net profit 1,425 483 Basic earnings per share, SEK 3.05 1.01 Cash flow after investments before 1,936 1,359 financial items 19 October 2010
  • 20. First nine months 2010 19 SEKm 2010 2009 Net sales 45,620 42,340 Operating profit 6,250 2,199 Operating margin, % 13.7% 5.2% Operating margin excl. restructuring, % 13.9% 7.3% Profit before taxes 5,501 1,532 Net profit 3,946 1,200 Basic earnings per share, SEK 8.41 2.56 Cash flow after investments before 3,128 4,307 financial items 19 October 2010
  • 21. Inventories as % of annual sales 20 % Long-term target level: 18% 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 2008 2009 2010 19 October 2010
  • 22. Cash flow, after investments before financial items 21 SEKm 2 500 Cash out from 2 000 acquisitions (SEKm): 1 500 2008 1,284 2009 241 1 000 500 0 -500 -1 000 2008 2009 2010 19 October 2010
  • 23. Return on capital employed 22 % 30 24.0 25 20.7 20 15 9.1 10 5 0 2008 2009 YTD September 2010 ROCE: Operating profit plus interest income, as a percentage of twelve months average of total assets less the average of non- interest bearing liabilities. 19 October 2010
  • 24. Net debt 23 (Short-term financial assets minus loans and post-employment benefits) SEKm 0 AB SKF, -2 000 dividend paid (SEKm): -4 000 2008 Q2 2,277 -6 000 2009 Q2 1,594 -8 000 2010 Q2 1,594 -10 000 Redemption (SEKm): -12 000 2008 Q2 2,277 -14 000 -16 000 -18 000 2008 2009 2010 19 October 2010
  • 25. Debt structure 24 Maturity years, EURm 500 400 446 300 200 100 130 100 100 55 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 • Unutilized credit facilities: • No financial covenants nor material EUR 500 m 2014 adverse change clause SEK 3,000 m 2017 19 October 2010
  • 26. September 2010: 25 Outlook for the fourth quarter 2010 Development compared to fourth quarter last year The demand for SKF products and services is expected to be significantly higher for the Group, the divisions and for the different geographical areas. Development compared to the third quarter 2010 and adjusted for normal seasonality The demand is expected to be slightly higher for the Group, the divisions and for the different geographical areas. Manufacturing level The manufacturing level will be significantly higher year on year and unchanged compared to the third quarter, adjusted for normal seasonality. 19 October 2010
  • 27. Volume trends, regions 26 (based on current assumptions and adjusted for seasonality) Net sales Daily volume trends for: Outlook Q4 2009 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 2010 vs 2009 Europe 51% +++ North America 17% +++ Asia Pacific 23% +++ Latin America 6% +++ Total +++ 19 October 2010
  • 28. Volume trends, divisions 27 (based on current assumptions and adjusted for seasonality) Net sales Daily volume trends Outlook Q4 2009 for Q4 2010 2010 vs 2009 Industrial 34% +++ Service 35% +++ Automotive 29% +++ Total +++ 19 October 2010
  • 29. Sequential volume trend main segments Q4 2010 28 (based on current assumptions) Net sales 2009 14% Cars 5% Railway 22% Industrial distribution 16% Industrial OEM, General+Special 12% Vehicle Service Market 11% Industrial OEM, Heavy + Off-highway 7% Aerospace 7% Energy 3% Electrical and two-wheeler 3% Trucks 19 October 2010
  • 30. Guidance for the fourth quarter 2010 29 • Tax level: around 30% • Financial net for the fourth quarter: Around SEK -175 m • Exchange rates on operating profit versus 2009 Q4: SEK -50 m Full year: SEK -400 m • Additions to PPE: Around SEK 1.6 bn for 2010 Guidance is approximate and based on current assumptions and exchange rates. 19 October 2010
  • 31. 30 Agenda • Nine-months report and outlook • New financial targets • Acquisition of Lincoln Industrial 19 October 2010
  • 32. SKF Group performance 31 Operating margin Sales growth in local currency % % 14 12.6 12.9 12.2 13.7 13.2 15 11.8 13.2 10.8 7.3* 7.5* 7.1 12 9.9 10 5.2 10 8.0 5 8 5.7 0 6 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 ytd -5 2010 4 -10 2 -15 0 -20 -19.0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 ytd 2010 -25 * Excl. effects from sale of Ovako: 2005: 10.4% Return on capital employed 2006: 10.1% % 24.9 24.0 26 24 21.9 23.0 22 19.0 20.7* Long-term targets 20 18 14.0 • 12% Operating margin, level 16 14 • 6-8% Growth per annum (local) 9.1 12 10 • 24% Return on capital employed 8 6 4 2 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 ytd 19 October 2010 * 2010 annualised is 23.9% 2010
  • 33. SKF Group performance 32 Operating margin Sales growth in local currency % % 14 12.6 12.9 12.2 13.7 13.2 15 11.8 13.2 10.8 7.3* 7.5* 7.1 12 9.9 10 5.2 10 8.0 5 8 5.7 ED 0 6 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 ytd -5 EV 2010 4 I -10 CH 2 -15 0 A -20 -19.0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 ytd ts 2010 -25 * Excl. effects from sale of Ovako: 2005: 10.4% Return on capital employed e 2006: 10.1% rg % 24.9 24.0 Ta 26 24 21.9 23.0 22 19.0 20.7* Long-term targets 20 18 14.0 • 12% Operating margin, level 16 14 • 6-8% Growth per annum (local) 9.1 12 10 • 24% Return on capital employed 8 6 4 2 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 ytd 19 October 2010 * 2010 annualised is 23.9% 2010
  • 34. New financial targets 33 Old targets New targets Operating margin level 12% 15% Annual sales growth 6-8% 8% in local currencies ROCE 24% 27% Inventory to sales 18% 18% 19 October 2010
  • 35. SKF Group, long-term view 34 World recovery will continue (with some uncertainties) Growth will be uneven between regions - Asia +++ - L. America, Cent/East Europe, MEA ++ - N. America, W. Europe, Japan + SKF Group focus on platforms/segments and delivering value will result in better growth than industrial production Asia, Industrial business and the aftermarket will continue to increase as part of the Group 19 October 2010
  • 36. SKF’s business strategy for achieving long-term 35 profitable growth and attaining financial targets • keeping a clear and dedicated customer focus • developing new products, solutions and services • improving price quality by applying the SKF platform and segment approach • strengthening the product portfolio through greater investment in R&D and through acquisitions • focusing on rapidly expanding segments and regions • reducing capital employed and fixed costs • attracting, retaining and developing the right people 19 October 2010
  • 37. Main initiatives going forward 36 • Accelerate profitable growth • Reduce cost and eliminate waste • Invest for growth One SKF and SKF Care as guiding lights 19 October 2010
  • 38. Main actions going forward 37 Accelerate profitable growth • Continue to strengthen the platform/segment approach • Increase the development, launch and commercialisation of new offerings (green) • Value based selling – using Documented Solutions Programme • Strengthen our service business • Acquisitions to strengthen platform offer 19 October 2010
  • 39. Main actions going forward 38 Reduce cost and eliminate waste • Build on Manufacturing Excellence into other areas - Business Excellence • Increased manufacturing and sourcing in Best Cost Countries • Reduce product cost through ICR* activities * ICR means Integrated Cost Reduction 19 October 2010
  • 40. Main actions going forward 39 Invest for growth • Increase sales and engineering resources • Additional factories in growth markets • Additional SKF Solution Factories • Increase spending in R&D and improve global network - accelerate plans for India and China 19 October 2010
  • 41. Main initiatives going forward 40 • Accelerate profitable growth • Reduce cost and eliminate waste • Invest for growth One SKF and SKF Care as guiding lights 19 October 2010
  • 42. SKF Group – operating margin development 41 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 10 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 20 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 d 19 October 2010 yt
  • 43. SKF Group – sales development (in local currencies) 42 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 -10 -12 -14 -16 -18 -20 10 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 20 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 d 19 October 2010 yt
  • 44. New SKF long-term financial targets 43 15% Operating margin level 8% Annual sales growth (local currencies) 27% ROCE 18% Inventory to sales 19 October 2010
  • 45. 44 Agenda • Nine-months report and outlook • New financial targets • Acquisition of Lincoln Industrial 19 October 2010
  • 46. SKF Group Vision 45 To equip the world with SKF knowledge 19 October 2010
  • 47. What is SKF knowledge? 46 19 October 2010
  • 48. SKF’s platforms 47 Managing and reducing friction 19 October 2010
  • 49. Increasing need for lubrication systems 48 • Increase performance and productivity • Improve reliability and component life -Protect in harsh conditions Dual-line lubrication systems pumps, reservoirs -Reduce catastrophic failures • Lower maintenance and service costs -Reduce labour spend -Reduce lubrication consumption • Reduce energy consumption Oil and air lubrication systems Progressive lubrication systems Lubricant distributors, metering units 19 October 2010
  • 50. Lubrication systems market 49 • The lubrication systems market comprises two main technologies: –Oil-based systems –Grease-based systems • The total world market incl products and services is estimated to be >20 BSEK • The main segments for lubrication systems are: -Heavy industrial machinery (e.g metals, mining, pulp & paper) -Special industrial machinery (e.g machine tools, marine) -Energy (e.g wind, oil & gas) -Off highway -Agriculture 19 October 2010
  • 51. SKF Lubrication Systems 50 Acquisitions Cirval (Argentina) 2008 ALS (Canada) 2007 Safematic (Finland) 2006 Sommers (Sweden) 2005 Vogel (Germany) 2004 Manufacturing and engineering centres 19 October 2010
  • 52. Acquisition of Lincoln Industrial 51 • Lubrication systems is one of SKF’s technology platforms and SKF has improved its offerings in this area in recent years. It is a vital part of SKF’s core competence in the management of friction. • Lincoln Industrial is highly complementary to SKF Lubrication Systems when it comes to technology as well as geographical sales coverage and manufacturing footprint, particularly in North America and Asia. • Lincoln Industrial is a highly attractive business, with consistent record of strong financial performance, very good margins and strong cash flow. • Lincoln Industrial’s consistent financial performance, the outlook and synergies are reflected in the sales price of around USD 1 billion (~10 times EBIT). 19 October 2010
  • 53. Lincoln Industrial 52 Net sales geographical split Manufacturing and engineering centres Other Asia North America Europe 2010: Sales approaching USD 400 m EBIT margin around 24%. 19 October 2010
  • 54. Lincoln Industrial’s offer portfolio 53 Spectrum Solution Increasing Application Complexity Manually Automated Operated Systems Fast Application Equipment Products Selected Selected Applications Food/Beverage Heavy Construction Wind Energy General Manufacturing Aftermarket Vehicle Services Steel/Glass Agriculture Mining Fire/Rescue Vocational Service Engineered to move heavy grease under high pressure in extreme environments for every application 19 October 2010
  • 55. The acquisition is in line with SKF’s strategy 54 Acquisitions are an integral part of the profitable growth strategy. A systematic acquisition process has been established and the strategic targets are identified Acquisition criteria: • Strategic fit with clear potential synergies and ability to exploit these in a reasonable timeframe. • Strong commitment and ownership by acquiring Division. • EPS accretive in the first full year, positive TVA effect in two to three years, including amortization of intangible assets. 19 October 2010
  • 56. Summary of the third quarter 55 • Very strong quarter • Positive outlook • New financial targets • Significant acquisition in lubrication systems area 19 October 2010
  • 57. Cautionary statement 56 This presentation contains forward-looking statements that are based on the current expectations of the management of SKF. Although management believes that the expectations reflected in such forward- looking statements are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Accordingly, results could differ materially from those implied in the forward-looking statements as a result of, among other factors, changes in economic, market and competitive conditions, changes in the regulatory environment and other government actions, fluctuations in exchange rates and other factors mentioned in SKF's latest annual report (available on www.skf.com) under the Administration Report; “Important factors influencing the financial results", "Financial risks" and "Sensitivity analysis”. 19 October 2010