SlideShare uma empresa Scribd logo
1 de 42
Seismic hazard: quake hazards & forecasting
Structure of talk ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Hazardous phenomena generated by earthquakes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Ground shaking ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Kobe 1995
More on duration of strong motion ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],F Intensity of shaking Duration of shaking Increasing distance from fault
Duration and peak acceleration of strong motion
Local influences on ground shaking ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
More on ground conditions Ground conditions can also affect seismic intensity
The clay problem (Mexico City 1985) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Mexico City 1985
Ground lurching & displacement ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],San Francisco 1906
Differential ground settlement ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Izmit 1999
Liquefaction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Void collapse Pore pressure increases result Original sediment structure
More about liquefaction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Sand boils result from expelled water
Examples of liquefaction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Niigata (Japan 1964)
Maximum possible distances for liquefaction M   s  8.5 20 km 125 km 650 km 1500 km M  s  8 M  s  7 M  s  6
Seismogenic mass movements ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Lateral spread San Francisco 1906
Lituya Bay (Alaska 1958)
Other major seismogenic landslides Huascaran  (Peru 1970) Sherman glacier (Alaska 1964)
Seiches & tsunami ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Hilo (Hawaii) 1946
Some notable seismogenic tsunami
Destructive capacity of tsunami ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Aitape (PNG) 1998
Tsunamigenic earthquakes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Submarine slide simulation (PNG 1998)
Tsunami magnitude scale (Japan)
Structural collapse ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Pancake collapse of concrete building (Gujarat 2001)
More on structural collapse ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Collapse of rock and cement buildings (Gujarat 2001)
Solutions to structural collapse ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Earthquake loss-susceptibility by construction type NSD = Non-seismic design Modified Mercalli Intensity Average damage (%)
Fire-following quake ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],San Francisco 1906
Fire following Japanese quakes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Kobe Tokyo
Floods & dam bursts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Lower San Fernando Dam (California) 1971
Forecasting earthquakes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
San Andreas example ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Problems with forecasting ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Cascadia subd. zone
The Seismic Gap concept ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Istanbul seismic gap
Seismic intensity forecasting ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Seismic intensity forecast  map - Tokai (Japan)
Probabilistic forecasting ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Strain measurement and forecasting ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Calculating probabilities ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Magnitude 6 Amount of slip Time
The quake probability histogram ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Quake frequency Recurrence time T1 T2 T1 T2
The quake probability histogram & the San Andreas ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Predicting earthquakes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Proposed earthquake precursors ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Mais conteúdo relacionado

Mais procurados

Mais procurados (20)

Volcanic eruptions
Volcanic eruptionsVolcanic eruptions
Volcanic eruptions
 
Earthquake and effects of it
Earthquake and effects of itEarthquake and effects of it
Earthquake and effects of it
 
deformation
 deformation  deformation
deformation
 
Seismology
SeismologySeismology
Seismology
 
Earthquake belts and Plate Tectonics
Earthquake belts and Plate TectonicsEarthquake belts and Plate Tectonics
Earthquake belts and Plate Tectonics
 
Sedimentary rocks
Sedimentary rocksSedimentary rocks
Sedimentary rocks
 
Volcanism
VolcanismVolcanism
Volcanism
 
Volcanism presentation by md wabidur rahman
Volcanism presentation by md wabidur rahmanVolcanism presentation by md wabidur rahman
Volcanism presentation by md wabidur rahman
 
Mantle plumes
Mantle plumesMantle plumes
Mantle plumes
 
Fault
FaultFault
Fault
 
Plate Tectonics
Plate TectonicsPlate Tectonics
Plate Tectonics
 
Earthquakes and Richter scale
Earthquakes and Richter scaleEarthquakes and Richter scale
Earthquakes and Richter scale
 
Continental margins
Continental marginsContinental margins
Continental margins
 
Basalt
BasaltBasalt
Basalt
 
Eolian Systems
Eolian SystemsEolian Systems
Eolian Systems
 
EarthQuakes
EarthQuakesEarthQuakes
EarthQuakes
 
Tsunami
TsunamiTsunami
Tsunami
 
Earthquake
EarthquakeEarthquake
Earthquake
 
Seismic waves
Seismic wavesSeismic waves
Seismic waves
 
joints and its classification and its recognition
joints and its classification and its recognitionjoints and its classification and its recognition
joints and its classification and its recognition
 

Destaque

The Android app Geohazard - Experiences with shared information on natural ha...
The Android app Geohazard - Experiences with shared information on natural ha...The Android app Geohazard - Experiences with shared information on natural ha...
The Android app Geohazard - Experiences with shared information on natural ha...Martin Hammitzsch
 
Earthquake Presentation
Earthquake PresentationEarthquake Presentation
Earthquake PresentationRyan Cataga
 
Earthquake resistant structure
Earthquake resistant structureEarthquake resistant structure
Earthquake resistant structurevikskyn
 

Destaque (6)

The Android app Geohazard - Experiences with shared information on natural ha...
The Android app Geohazard - Experiences with shared information on natural ha...The Android app Geohazard - Experiences with shared information on natural ha...
The Android app Geohazard - Experiences with shared information on natural ha...
 
Seismic
SeismicSeismic
Seismic
 
Deformación de la corteza cap 10
Deformación de la corteza cap 10Deformación de la corteza cap 10
Deformación de la corteza cap 10
 
Earthquake Presentation
Earthquake PresentationEarthquake Presentation
Earthquake Presentation
 
Earthquake resistant structure
Earthquake resistant structureEarthquake resistant structure
Earthquake resistant structure
 
Earthquake ppt
Earthquake pptEarthquake ppt
Earthquake ppt
 

Semelhante a Barajlar002 (20)

Unit-4_Ground shaking final.pdf
Unit-4_Ground shaking final.pdfUnit-4_Ground shaking final.pdf
Unit-4_Ground shaking final.pdf
 
3.4.1 Earthquake Hazards
3.4.1 Earthquake Hazards3.4.1 Earthquake Hazards
3.4.1 Earthquake Hazards
 
Earthquakes
EarthquakesEarthquakes
Earthquakes
 
Earth quake failures best
Earth quake failures bestEarth quake failures best
Earth quake failures best
 
Liquefaction of Soil
Liquefaction of SoilLiquefaction of Soil
Liquefaction of Soil
 
Earthquake Hazards: Effects and its mitigation
Earthquake Hazards: Effects and its mitigationEarthquake Hazards: Effects and its mitigation
Earthquake Hazards: Effects and its mitigation
 
Iotsunami
IotsunamiIotsunami
Iotsunami
 
Earthquake engineering : Causes, Analysis and Mitigation.
Earthquake engineering : Causes, Analysis and Mitigation.Earthquake engineering : Causes, Analysis and Mitigation.
Earthquake engineering : Causes, Analysis and Mitigation.
 
Plate Tectonics, Earthquake & Volcano
Plate Tectonics, Earthquake & VolcanoPlate Tectonics, Earthquake & Volcano
Plate Tectonics, Earthquake & Volcano
 
All about earthquakes!
All about earthquakes!All about earthquakes!
All about earthquakes!
 
Ch 03 - 05
Ch 03 - 05Ch 03 - 05
Ch 03 - 05
 
443130440-EARTHQUAKE-ENGINEERING-ppt-1-pptx.pptx
443130440-EARTHQUAKE-ENGINEERING-ppt-1-pptx.pptx443130440-EARTHQUAKE-ENGINEERING-ppt-1-pptx.pptx
443130440-EARTHQUAKE-ENGINEERING-ppt-1-pptx.pptx
 
Earthquake
EarthquakeEarthquake
Earthquake
 
Iotsunami
IotsunamiIotsunami
Iotsunami
 
I.1 Earthquakes
I.1 EarthquakesI.1 Earthquakes
I.1 Earthquakes
 
Plate Tectonics: An Introduction
Plate Tectonics: An IntroductionPlate Tectonics: An Introduction
Plate Tectonics: An Introduction
 
Earthquake and earthquake resistant design
Earthquake   and earthquake resistant designEarthquake   and earthquake resistant design
Earthquake and earthquake resistant design
 
Climatic changes el nino and la nina
Climatic changes  el nino and la ninaClimatic changes  el nino and la nina
Climatic changes el nino and la nina
 
Earthquake
EarthquakeEarthquake
Earthquake
 
The lithosphere
The lithosphereThe lithosphere
The lithosphere
 

Último

08448380779 Call Girls In Diplomatic Enclave Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Diplomatic Enclave Women Seeking Men08448380779 Call Girls In Diplomatic Enclave Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Diplomatic Enclave Women Seeking MenDelhi Call girls
 
SQL Database Design For Developers at php[tek] 2024
SQL Database Design For Developers at php[tek] 2024SQL Database Design For Developers at php[tek] 2024
SQL Database Design For Developers at php[tek] 2024Scott Keck-Warren
 
GenCyber Cyber Security Day Presentation
GenCyber Cyber Security Day PresentationGenCyber Cyber Security Day Presentation
GenCyber Cyber Security Day PresentationMichael W. Hawkins
 
08448380779 Call Girls In Greater Kailash - I Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Greater Kailash - I Women Seeking Men08448380779 Call Girls In Greater Kailash - I Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Greater Kailash - I Women Seeking MenDelhi Call girls
 
08448380779 Call Girls In Civil Lines Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Civil Lines Women Seeking Men08448380779 Call Girls In Civil Lines Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Civil Lines Women Seeking MenDelhi Call girls
 
08448380779 Call Girls In Friends Colony Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Friends Colony Women Seeking Men08448380779 Call Girls In Friends Colony Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Friends Colony Women Seeking MenDelhi Call girls
 
The Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptx
The Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptxThe Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptx
The Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptxMalak Abu Hammad
 
Breaking the Kubernetes Kill Chain: Host Path Mount
Breaking the Kubernetes Kill Chain: Host Path MountBreaking the Kubernetes Kill Chain: Host Path Mount
Breaking the Kubernetes Kill Chain: Host Path MountPuma Security, LLC
 
From Event to Action: Accelerate Your Decision Making with Real-Time Automation
From Event to Action: Accelerate Your Decision Making with Real-Time AutomationFrom Event to Action: Accelerate Your Decision Making with Real-Time Automation
From Event to Action: Accelerate Your Decision Making with Real-Time AutomationSafe Software
 
#StandardsGoals for 2024: What’s new for BISAC - Tech Forum 2024
#StandardsGoals for 2024: What’s new for BISAC - Tech Forum 2024#StandardsGoals for 2024: What’s new for BISAC - Tech Forum 2024
#StandardsGoals for 2024: What’s new for BISAC - Tech Forum 2024BookNet Canada
 
Understanding the Laravel MVC Architecture
Understanding the Laravel MVC ArchitectureUnderstanding the Laravel MVC Architecture
Understanding the Laravel MVC ArchitecturePixlogix Infotech
 
Injustice - Developers Among Us (SciFiDevCon 2024)
Injustice - Developers Among Us (SciFiDevCon 2024)Injustice - Developers Among Us (SciFiDevCon 2024)
Injustice - Developers Among Us (SciFiDevCon 2024)Allon Mureinik
 
Strategies for Unlocking Knowledge Management in Microsoft 365 in the Copilot...
Strategies for Unlocking Knowledge Management in Microsoft 365 in the Copilot...Strategies for Unlocking Knowledge Management in Microsoft 365 in the Copilot...
Strategies for Unlocking Knowledge Management in Microsoft 365 in the Copilot...Drew Madelung
 
Slack Application Development 101 Slides
Slack Application Development 101 SlidesSlack Application Development 101 Slides
Slack Application Development 101 Slidespraypatel2
 
🐬 The future of MySQL is Postgres 🐘
🐬  The future of MySQL is Postgres   🐘🐬  The future of MySQL is Postgres   🐘
🐬 The future of MySQL is Postgres 🐘RTylerCroy
 
FULL ENJOY 🔝 8264348440 🔝 Call Girls in Diplomatic Enclave | Delhi
FULL ENJOY 🔝 8264348440 🔝 Call Girls in Diplomatic Enclave | DelhiFULL ENJOY 🔝 8264348440 🔝 Call Girls in Diplomatic Enclave | Delhi
FULL ENJOY 🔝 8264348440 🔝 Call Girls in Diplomatic Enclave | Delhisoniya singh
 
IAC 2024 - IA Fast Track to Search Focused AI Solutions
IAC 2024 - IA Fast Track to Search Focused AI SolutionsIAC 2024 - IA Fast Track to Search Focused AI Solutions
IAC 2024 - IA Fast Track to Search Focused AI SolutionsEnterprise Knowledge
 
Finology Group – Insurtech Innovation Award 2024
Finology Group – Insurtech Innovation Award 2024Finology Group – Insurtech Innovation Award 2024
Finology Group – Insurtech Innovation Award 2024The Digital Insurer
 
How to Troubleshoot Apps for the Modern Connected Worker
How to Troubleshoot Apps for the Modern Connected WorkerHow to Troubleshoot Apps for the Modern Connected Worker
How to Troubleshoot Apps for the Modern Connected WorkerThousandEyes
 
My Hashitalk Indonesia April 2024 Presentation
My Hashitalk Indonesia April 2024 PresentationMy Hashitalk Indonesia April 2024 Presentation
My Hashitalk Indonesia April 2024 PresentationRidwan Fadjar
 

Último (20)

08448380779 Call Girls In Diplomatic Enclave Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Diplomatic Enclave Women Seeking Men08448380779 Call Girls In Diplomatic Enclave Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Diplomatic Enclave Women Seeking Men
 
SQL Database Design For Developers at php[tek] 2024
SQL Database Design For Developers at php[tek] 2024SQL Database Design For Developers at php[tek] 2024
SQL Database Design For Developers at php[tek] 2024
 
GenCyber Cyber Security Day Presentation
GenCyber Cyber Security Day PresentationGenCyber Cyber Security Day Presentation
GenCyber Cyber Security Day Presentation
 
08448380779 Call Girls In Greater Kailash - I Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Greater Kailash - I Women Seeking Men08448380779 Call Girls In Greater Kailash - I Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Greater Kailash - I Women Seeking Men
 
08448380779 Call Girls In Civil Lines Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Civil Lines Women Seeking Men08448380779 Call Girls In Civil Lines Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Civil Lines Women Seeking Men
 
08448380779 Call Girls In Friends Colony Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Friends Colony Women Seeking Men08448380779 Call Girls In Friends Colony Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Friends Colony Women Seeking Men
 
The Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptx
The Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptxThe Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptx
The Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptx
 
Breaking the Kubernetes Kill Chain: Host Path Mount
Breaking the Kubernetes Kill Chain: Host Path MountBreaking the Kubernetes Kill Chain: Host Path Mount
Breaking the Kubernetes Kill Chain: Host Path Mount
 
From Event to Action: Accelerate Your Decision Making with Real-Time Automation
From Event to Action: Accelerate Your Decision Making with Real-Time AutomationFrom Event to Action: Accelerate Your Decision Making with Real-Time Automation
From Event to Action: Accelerate Your Decision Making with Real-Time Automation
 
#StandardsGoals for 2024: What’s new for BISAC - Tech Forum 2024
#StandardsGoals for 2024: What’s new for BISAC - Tech Forum 2024#StandardsGoals for 2024: What’s new for BISAC - Tech Forum 2024
#StandardsGoals for 2024: What’s new for BISAC - Tech Forum 2024
 
Understanding the Laravel MVC Architecture
Understanding the Laravel MVC ArchitectureUnderstanding the Laravel MVC Architecture
Understanding the Laravel MVC Architecture
 
Injustice - Developers Among Us (SciFiDevCon 2024)
Injustice - Developers Among Us (SciFiDevCon 2024)Injustice - Developers Among Us (SciFiDevCon 2024)
Injustice - Developers Among Us (SciFiDevCon 2024)
 
Strategies for Unlocking Knowledge Management in Microsoft 365 in the Copilot...
Strategies for Unlocking Knowledge Management in Microsoft 365 in the Copilot...Strategies for Unlocking Knowledge Management in Microsoft 365 in the Copilot...
Strategies for Unlocking Knowledge Management in Microsoft 365 in the Copilot...
 
Slack Application Development 101 Slides
Slack Application Development 101 SlidesSlack Application Development 101 Slides
Slack Application Development 101 Slides
 
🐬 The future of MySQL is Postgres 🐘
🐬  The future of MySQL is Postgres   🐘🐬  The future of MySQL is Postgres   🐘
🐬 The future of MySQL is Postgres 🐘
 
FULL ENJOY 🔝 8264348440 🔝 Call Girls in Diplomatic Enclave | Delhi
FULL ENJOY 🔝 8264348440 🔝 Call Girls in Diplomatic Enclave | DelhiFULL ENJOY 🔝 8264348440 🔝 Call Girls in Diplomatic Enclave | Delhi
FULL ENJOY 🔝 8264348440 🔝 Call Girls in Diplomatic Enclave | Delhi
 
IAC 2024 - IA Fast Track to Search Focused AI Solutions
IAC 2024 - IA Fast Track to Search Focused AI SolutionsIAC 2024 - IA Fast Track to Search Focused AI Solutions
IAC 2024 - IA Fast Track to Search Focused AI Solutions
 
Finology Group – Insurtech Innovation Award 2024
Finology Group – Insurtech Innovation Award 2024Finology Group – Insurtech Innovation Award 2024
Finology Group – Insurtech Innovation Award 2024
 
How to Troubleshoot Apps for the Modern Connected Worker
How to Troubleshoot Apps for the Modern Connected WorkerHow to Troubleshoot Apps for the Modern Connected Worker
How to Troubleshoot Apps for the Modern Connected Worker
 
My Hashitalk Indonesia April 2024 Presentation
My Hashitalk Indonesia April 2024 PresentationMy Hashitalk Indonesia April 2024 Presentation
My Hashitalk Indonesia April 2024 Presentation
 

Barajlar002