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Modelling the coupling between carbon turnover and climate variability of terrestrial ecosystems.

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World Agroforestry (ICRAF)
World Agroforestry (ICRAF)

Seminar presentation at ICRAF, Nairobi (Kenya), 1st December 2010

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Modelling the coupling between carbon turnover and climate variability of terrestrial ecosystems Per-Erik Jansson Department of Land and Water Resources Engineering Royal Institute of Technology KTH, Stockholm Seminar at ICRAF, Nairobi, 1 December 2010
Outline of presentation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A process oriented Ecosystem model - CoupModel ,[object Object]
Model Availability and Features http://www.lwr.kth.se/Vara%20Datorprogram/CoupModel/index.htm Includes documentation and tutorials
Water and Heat Processes
Carbon and Nitrogen Processes
Process oriented modelling platform with many components
Coupling between different submodels
Transpiration and Photosynthesis ,[object Object],[object Object],LAI
Single/Multiple Big Leaf Model
Emission of NO and N20
Methane emission model
Modelling of carbon dynamic of Swedish forest soils ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],To start... x 1 yr
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],3 steps ... 1 yr
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Regional approach N
Regional input data N
Tree Biomass simulation in for four regions
N Decomp. rate coeff. (kh) Organic N uptake Versus min N Uptake Soil C change (g C m -2 yr -1 ) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Tree and Field layer dynamics important for modelling long term dynamics South North
Flakaliden- calibration ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],N
Model performance (mean of accepted runs)
Uncertainty estimates 644 ±74 363 ±43 207 ±31 -69 ±18 570 ±55 138 ±37
Climate change scenarios ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],N
Different response on key components of ecosystem environment
Response for GPP (North and South)
Seasonal Dynamics Differs (north – south)
[object Object],[object Object],Climate change effect on tree growth and soil C change
Implications for future ,[object Object],[object Object]
Coupled models are necessary to understand long term behaviour of ecosystem ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Current Climate and Management Future Climate and Management x x x Site Region 100 yr 1 yr
Last comment ,[object Object]
Thanks for Thanks for your attention

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