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Sean Moffitt
Sean Moffitt

The Past is Not a Great Pedictor of The Future: The Climate is Changing Kickass Green Event - Toronto - Jan 12, 2009 (Linda Mortsch)

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The Past is Not a Great Predictor of the Future: The Climate IS Changing Linda Mortsch Adaptation and Impacts Research Division, Environment Canada League of KA Business People - Green Event Hart House January 12, 2009
“ Warming of the climate system is unequivocal… ” IPCC 2007 …. ,[object Object]
Multiple climate futures depending on greenhouse gas emissions… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The future temperature projections … Source: IPCC, 2007 www.ipcc.ch Committed warming if GHG held at 2000 levels ~0.1°C/decade Need to adapt to warming of ~0.4°C next 2 decades 2030 Impact of mitigation felt in future 2050 Business as Usual Warming 0.74°C 1906-2005
We need to mitigate and adapt … ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Adaptation in coastal communities … ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],retreat Rebuild further away protection Build a wall zoning Control new development
Urban design & planning Implementing heat-health alert initiatives Adapting infrastructure design Implemented in urban areas in Ontario and Quebec Green Roofs Building on pylons to reduce damage from flooding FireSmart & FireSafe Technology & business plan changes 19 Some adaptation in Canada: in response to, & in anticipation of, climate change impacts…
The adaptation challenge…reThinking ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Thank you… Linda Mortsch, Environment Canada [email_address]
The IPCC wins 2007 Nobel Peace Prize

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Jan 2009 Ka Presentation Final

  • 1. The Past is Not a Great Predictor of the Future: The Climate IS Changing Linda Mortsch Adaptation and Impacts Research Division, Environment Canada League of KA Business People - Green Event Hart House January 12, 2009
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. The future temperature projections … Source: IPCC, 2007 www.ipcc.ch Committed warming if GHG held at 2000 levels ~0.1°C/decade Need to adapt to warming of ~0.4°C next 2 decades 2030 Impact of mitigation felt in future 2050 Business as Usual Warming 0.74°C 1906-2005
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7. Urban design & planning Implementing heat-health alert initiatives Adapting infrastructure design Implemented in urban areas in Ontario and Quebec Green Roofs Building on pylons to reduce damage from flooding FireSmart & FireSafe Technology & business plan changes 19 Some adaptation in Canada: in response to, & in anticipation of, climate change impacts…
  • 8.
  • 9. Thank you… Linda Mortsch, Environment Canada [email_address]
  • 10. The IPCC wins 2007 Nobel Peace Prize

Notas do Editor

  1. Bear in Churchill Manitoba Flooding in Peterborough, On Drought in the upper Thames river watershed, Ontario