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Later Life 2012 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Overview ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Demographics and Population Trends
Ageing in the UK ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],UK Population estimates and projections (2010-based), ONS 2011
UK population pyramid (mid-2010 estimate) Source:  ONS 2011
Ageing of the UK population Source:  ONS 2010
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Life Expectancy at birth (UK)
Life expectancy at birth (UK) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source:  World Bank Development Indicators 20 Nov 09 and ONS Oct 2011
Life Expectancy at Birth 1980-82 to 2006-08 Source: ONS 2011
Ageing - Internationally ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Sources: see Age UK Later Life International Fact Sheet 2011
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Longevity Revolution - Global Source: WHO 2010
The World’s ‘Oldest’ Countries (2009)   Source: WHO WORLD HEALTH STATISTICS, 2011 Country Aged 60+ (%) Japan  30 Germany  26 Italy  26 Sweden  25 Bulgaria  24 Finland  24 Greece  24 Austria  23 Belgium  23 Croatia  23 Denmark  23 France  23 Portugal  23 Switzerland  23 Czech Republic  22 Estonia  22 Hungary  22 Latvia  22 Slovenia  22 Spain  22 United Kingdom 22
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Longevity Revolution - Japan
Italy – population pyramid Source: US Census Bureau 2011
China – population pyramids (millions, by age and sex) 1950 2000 Male Female Male Female Age Source:  World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision  (2005). 80+ 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 Age 2050 Female 80+ 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 Male
 
Later life in the UK- an overview ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Sources available in Age UK Later Life in UK fact sheet January 2012
Later Life – internationally: an overview ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Sources available in Age UK International Later Life fact sheet 2011
Health and wellbeing
In eight years’ time, demographic change alone would mean that there would be: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Demographic projections based on ONS population projections for the UK and currently available prevalence figures (sources in Age UK Later Life in UK fact sheet, January 2012
Why is this important? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What do older people think? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Long Term Health Conditions:  The Strategic Challenge ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Sources available in Age UK Later Life in UK fact sheet January 2012 unless otherwise stated
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Prevalence of Long Term Conditions (1) Sources available in Age UK Later Life in UK fact sheet January 2012
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Prevalence of Long Term Conditions (2) Sources available in Age UK Later Life in UK fact sheet January 2012
Prevalence of Long Term Conditions (3) ,[object Object],[object Object],Sources available in Age UK Later Life in UK fact sheet January 2012
Disability, Age and Activities of Daily Living   % Dependent
Older people and functional limitations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Analysis of English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) Waves 1-3
Severe Cognitive Limitation  by Age and Gender (US)
Healthy Life Expectancy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Age UK analysis of life expectancy and healthy life expectancies at age 65, ONS 2011 published in Agenda for Later Life 2011
Work and Learning
[object Object],[object Object],Education and age Source: NIACE annual surveys of learning Economic activity by highest qualification, 50-69 y/o 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Degree/ equiv Higher edu A-Level /equiv GCSE A*-C/equiv Other No Qual Those 50+ with no qualifications experience employment rates over 20% lower than those with qualifications  – much of the difference explained by illness or disability Employed Unemployed Inactive: sick or disabled Inactive: Other Inactive: looking after family/home Inactive: Retired
[object Object],[object Object],Continuing learning Source: NIACE annual surveys of learning. The 2011 and 2012 reports follow this trend
Advantages of learning in later life (1) In the community ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Note: Although there is a great deal of research on the benefits of learning in general, there is a shortage of reliable data on improvements to the health (physical and mental/ psychological) to older learners.
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Advantages of learning in later life (2) In care settings Source:  “Enhancing Informal Adult Learning for Older People in Care” NIACE 2010
Barriers to learning ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: NIACE
Employment trends ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Sources: Labour Market Statistics, ONS 2009 - 2011
What do older people think? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Sources in Age UK Later Life in UK fact sheet, January 2012
Why is this important? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Money Matters
Trends  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What do older people think? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: Turner final report, 2005
Why is this important? ,[object Object],[object Object]
Health and financial status ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Sources: Households below Average Income and Pensioner Income Series, DWP 2011
Wealth and health: Odds of poor health increase with poverty
Net Worth by Health of Husband and Wife
Pension coverage in UK For the latest figures on pensions and pension coverage, see Age UK Later Life in UK fact sheet, January 2012
Forecast change in public pension spending 2000–2040 (%)
Do Pension Incentives Matter? Survival probabilities, by pension status UK men No Occupational Pension With Occupational Pension
Do Pension Incentives Matter? Survival probabilities, by pension status UK women No Occupational Pension With Occupational Pension
Home and Care
Housing Why is this important? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: Older People, Decent Homes and Fuel Poverty. An Analysis of the English House Condition Survey, Help the Aged and BRE, 2006
Policy context ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What older people think ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Trends ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Health and Home ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Sources: see Age UK Later Life in UK fact sheet, January 2012
Care and support at home ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Sources: see Age UK Later Life in UK fact sheet, January 2012
Supported self-care ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: Internet Access Quarterly Update Q3 2011, ONS 2011
Social Inclusion
Why is this important? (1) Source: ESRC/NATCEN research (Dec 11) and Age UK Later Life in UK fact sheet, January 2012 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why is this important? (2) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: ELSA waves 1-3 and Age UK Later Life in UK fact sheet, January 2012
Social Inclusion impacts negatively on older people’s quality of life Source: ELSA waves 1-3
  Policy context ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What do older people think? Source: Own surveys and analysis of ELSA wave 3 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
  Trends Source: DCLG household estimates, 2006 One person households are  projected to overtake married couple households by 2030 As people age, the risk of being lonely increases.  For details of trends in volunteering and digital inclusion, see Appendix 226,000 797,000 923,000 834,000 947,000 1,061,000 1,659,000 254,000 1,048,000 1,460,000 1,415,000 1,792,000 1,559,000 2,359,000 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000   Under 25   25 - 34   35 - 44   45 - 54   55 - 64   65 - 74   75 and over 2026 2003
Public Policy Challenges
Long term challenges ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
2011: Uncertainty and Opportunity ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Equal citizens, equal rights ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PRIORITY: Outlaw mandatory retirement ages (2010 priority)
Enough Money ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PRIORITY: Roll out automatic payment of benefits
My life, my care ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PRIORITY: Spend an extra £1-2bn on older people’s care
Staying well and feeling good ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PRIORITY: Re-direct the NHS to prevent and manage common conditions of ageing
Places to age in ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PRIORITY: a national ‘offer’ and brand for local older people’s services
Opportunities and contributions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PRIORITY: ‘age proof’ employment and skills support during recession
Public Policy at Age UK ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The older consumer
A large and growing older population
Spending, income and wealth ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Sources: see Age UK Later Life in the UK fact sheet, January 2012
Distribution of wealth within and between cohorts
Real spending power ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Sources: see Age UK Later Life in the UK fact sheet, January 2012
Assumptions about older consumers ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Facts about older consumers (1) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Sources: see Age UK Later Life in the UK fact sheet, January 2012
Facts about older consumers (2) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Sources: see Age UK Later Life in the UK fact sheet, January 2012
Facts about older consumers (3) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Sources: see Age UK Later Life in the UK fact sheet, January 2012
Impact of ageing on activities of daily living ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Facts about older consumers (4) Sources: see Age UK Later Life in the UK fact sheet, January 2012
Attitudes and discrimination
An attitude problem ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
Age discrimination in the UK is still pervasive and widespread ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Sources: see Age UK Later Life in the UK fact sheet, January 2012
Ageist attitudes are considered a serious problem in Europe, especially in the UK and France Source: Ageism in Europe. Findings from the European Social Survey, Age UK 2011
Even amongst the old themselves…. Source: Ageism in Britain, Age Concern 2006
Society does not place a high value on old age ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Society is dominated by youth culture ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Society is bound by cultural conditioning and stereotyping of what old age means and looks like ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The idea and fact of ageing can be traumatic ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Summary: the business case ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Opportunities
The ‘Third Age’ should present rich opportunities   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Potentially a different life and opportunities ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Lifestages survey cluster analysis, ACRS
Thinking beyond age   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Attitudes are much more defining ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The way forward... ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Age UK - Later Life 2012

  • 1.
  • 2.
  • 4.
  • 5. UK population pyramid (mid-2010 estimate) Source: ONS 2011
  • 6. Ageing of the UK population Source: ONS 2010
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. Life Expectancy at Birth 1980-82 to 2006-08 Source: ONS 2011
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. The World’s ‘Oldest’ Countries (2009) Source: WHO WORLD HEALTH STATISTICS, 2011 Country Aged 60+ (%) Japan 30 Germany 26 Italy 26 Sweden 25 Bulgaria 24 Finland 24 Greece 24 Austria 23 Belgium 23 Croatia 23 Denmark 23 France 23 Portugal 23 Switzerland 23 Czech Republic 22 Estonia 22 Hungary 22 Latvia 22 Slovenia 22 Spain 22 United Kingdom 22
  • 13.
  • 14. Italy – population pyramid Source: US Census Bureau 2011
  • 15. China – population pyramids (millions, by age and sex) 1950 2000 Male Female Male Female Age Source: World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision (2005). 80+ 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 Age 2050 Female 80+ 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 Male
  • 16.  
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27. Disability, Age and Activities of Daily Living % Dependent
  • 28.
  • 29. Severe Cognitive Limitation by Age and Gender (US)
  • 30.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45. Wealth and health: Odds of poor health increase with poverty
  • 46. Net Worth by Health of Husband and Wife
  • 47. Pension coverage in UK For the latest figures on pensions and pension coverage, see Age UK Later Life in UK fact sheet, January 2012
  • 48. Forecast change in public pension spending 2000–2040 (%)
  • 49. Do Pension Incentives Matter? Survival probabilities, by pension status UK men No Occupational Pension With Occupational Pension
  • 50. Do Pension Incentives Matter? Survival probabilities, by pension status UK women No Occupational Pension With Occupational Pension
  • 52.
  • 53.
  • 54.
  • 55.
  • 56.
  • 57.
  • 58.
  • 60.
  • 61.
  • 62. Social Inclusion impacts negatively on older people’s quality of life Source: ELSA waves 1-3
  • 63.
  • 64.
  • 65. Trends Source: DCLG household estimates, 2006 One person households are projected to overtake married couple households by 2030 As people age, the risk of being lonely increases. For details of trends in volunteering and digital inclusion, see Appendix 226,000 797,000 923,000 834,000 947,000 1,061,000 1,659,000 254,000 1,048,000 1,460,000 1,415,000 1,792,000 1,559,000 2,359,000 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000   Under 25   25 - 34   35 - 44   45 - 54   55 - 64   65 - 74   75 and over 2026 2003
  • 67.
  • 68.
  • 69.
  • 70.
  • 71.
  • 72.
  • 73.
  • 74.
  • 75.
  • 77. A large and growing older population
  • 78.
  • 79. Distribution of wealth within and between cohorts
  • 80.
  • 81.
  • 82.
  • 83.
  • 84.
  • 85.
  • 87.
  • 88.  
  • 89.
  • 90. Ageist attitudes are considered a serious problem in Europe, especially in the UK and France Source: Ageism in Europe. Findings from the European Social Survey, Age UK 2011
  • 91. Even amongst the old themselves…. Source: Ageism in Britain, Age Concern 2006
  • 92.
  • 93.
  • 94.
  • 95.
  • 96.
  • 98.
  • 99.
  • 100.
  • 101.
  • 102.

Notas do Editor

  1. Except for Japan, the world’s 15 oldest countries are all in Europe. The U.S. population is relatively “young” by European standards, with less than 13 percent age 65 or older, ranking as the 38 th oldest country. The aging of the baby-boom generation in the United States will push the proportion of older Americans to 20 percent by 2030; it will still be lower than in most Western European countries. The older share of the population is expected to more than double between 2000 and 2030 in Asia and Latin America and the Caribbean. Aging is occurring more slowly in sub-Saharan Africa, where relatively high birth rates are keeping the population “young.”
  2. This figure illustrates China’s shrinking young and working-age population and growing elderly population. Dramatic fertility decline (due to the success of the “one-child” policy) and improved longevity over the past two decades are causing China’s population to age at one of the fastest rates ever recorded. China now faces the prospect of having too few children to support its rapidly aging population. Meeting the health and long-term care needs of this growing elderly population will result in soaring health care costs and fewer working-age people to share the burden.
  3. Wide disparity in birth rates. China noteworthy. Kenya. Less than replacement growth in developed economies will bring different problems.
  4. Cardiovascular Disease – 89% of 190,000 deaths per year where in people 65 years or older. Stroke – 80% of 150,000 cases per year are over 65. Stroke is the leading cause of severe adult disability. Diabetes – 2.3 million people in the UK are diagnosed. Prevalence rises with age from one in 20 people over age of 65 to one in five in people over 85 years. Chronic Lung Disease – 900,000 people in the UK diagnosed. In 2004 there were 10,740 deaths – 92% occurred in people 65 years and older. Cancer – incidence increases with age – of the 135,000 deaths in 2004, three quarters occurred in people aged 65 and over. Arthritis – Osteoarthritis affects about 60% of men and 70% of women aged over 65. Osteoporosis – leading case of morbidity and mortality among older people. Up to 14,000 people die following osteoporotic hip fractures each year in the UK.
  5. Parkinson’s Disease – The second most common neurodegenerative disorder (120,000 have clinical diagnosis). The incidence increases with age. The average age of onset is in the early to mid 60’s. Sensory impairments : 2 million people in the UK have a sight problem. Of these, 1 in 10 people over 75 years and 1 in 3 over 90 years has a significant visual impairment (RNIB, 2007). Over 6 million people over 60 years are deaf or hard of hearing ( RNID, 2007) . Depression: A quarter of older people living in the community have symptoms which warrant intervention. Around half of these meet the clinical criteria for a diagnosis of depression. Dementia: 683,597 people in the UK have a diagnosis of dementia of these 1 in 20 people are over 65 years and 1 in 5 people are over 80 years.
  6. Associations between housing and health exist. They support the argument that good quality housing has a role to play in both physical and mental health