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Institutional
November, 2009
AES Brasil Group
Market Share

7 million clients
6 thousand AES People

... with a 2008 result:
R$ 3.2 billion (Ebitda)
R$ 1.7 billion (net income)

Discos

14,6%
85,4%

Gencos

3,0%

97,0%

Investments 1998-2008:
R$ 5 billion after privatization

AES Brasil
Others

Disco
Trading Co.

Genco
Telecom

2
Shareholding structure

BNDES

AES Corp
C 50.00% + 1 share
P 0.00%
T 46.15%

O = Common Shares
P = Preferred Shares
T = Total

C 50.00% - 1 share

Cia. Brasiliana de
Energia

T 99.76%

AES
Sul

C 99.99%
T 99.99%

AES
Infoenergy

C 100.00%
T 100.00%

AES
Uruguaiana

C 98.26%
T 98.26%

AES
Com RJ

C 76.46%
P 7.43%
T 34.80%

AES
Eletropaulo

C 71.35%
P 32.34%
T 52.55%

AES
TietĂŞ

C 99.99 %
T 99.99 %

AES EP
Telecom

3
Shareholding composition

Federal
Government or
Eletrobras1

Free Float

16.1%

19.7%

8.0%

56.2%

24.2%

28.3%

7.9%

39.5%

1 – Federal Government and Eletrobrás correspond to AES Eletropaulo and AES Tietê, respectively

4
Energy sector agents in Brazil
Ministry of Mines and
Energy (MME)
(Set Guidelines and Policies)

National Council of
Energy Policy (CNPE)
(Formulates Policies)

Electricity Sector
Surveillance
Committee (CMSE)

Brazilian Electricity
Regulatory Agency
(ANEEL)

Energy Research
Enterprise (EPE)

(Monitors energy supply)

(Ruling, Inspection & Auditing,
Monitoring, and Mediation)

(Generation & Transmission
Planning)

Distribution
companies
Electric Energy
Commercialization
Chamber (CCEE)
Pricing and clearing of
energy transactions

Transmission
companies

System Operator
(ONS)

Generation
companies
Trading
companies

Generator resources
scheduling and dispatch

5
Energy sector in Brazil
(Contracting Environment)
Free Market

Regulated Market

Auctions

Distribution Companies

Spot Market

PPAs1

Trading Companies

Free Clients

•

Trading Companies

Free Clients

Main auctions (reverse auctions):
– New Energy (A-5): Delivery in 5 years, 15-30

Distribution
Companies

years regulated PPA
– New Energy (A-3): Delivery in 3 years, 15-30
years regulated PPA
– Existing Energy (A-1): Delivery in 1 year, 5-15
years PPA
1 – Power Purchase Agreement

6
Discos regulatory methodology
(Tariff Reset and Adjustment)
Tariff Readjustment and Reset
• Tariff Reset is applied each 3 to 5 years

• Parcel A Costs

− AES Eletropaulo: each 4 years
Energy

− AES Sul: each 5 years

Purchase

− Parcel A costs pass trough the tariff

Transmission

− Parcel B costs are set by ANEEL

− Non-manageable costs that totally
pass- through to the tariff
− Losses reduction improve the passthrough effectiveness

Sector Charges

• Tariff Adjustment: annually
− Parcel A costs pass trough the tariff
− Parcel B cost are adjusted by IGPM +/- X(1)
Factor
X WACC

Remuneration
Asset
Base
X Depreciation

(1) X Factor: index that capture productivity gains

Reference
Company
(PMSO)

Investment
Remuneration

Depreciation

Regulatory
Ebitda

• Reference Company:
– Efficient cost structure, determined by
ANEEL (National Electricity Agency)

• Remuneration Asset Base:
– Applicable investments used to
calculate the Investment Remuneration
(applying WACC) and Depreciation
Parcel A Non-Manageable Costs
Parcel B Manageable Costs

7
AES Eletropaulo overview
Concession Area
•

Largest electricity distribution company in Latin America

•

Serving 24 municipalities in the SĂŁo Paulo Metropolitan area

•

Concession area with the highest GDP in Brazil:

SĂŁo Paulo Metropolitan Area

–

17.1% of the Brazilian GDP and 50.3% of São Paulo’s state GDP

•
•

•
Regional ABC

1.1 million electricity poles
4,143 employees

•

5.9 million of consumption units

•

Total distributed volume of 41 TWh in 2008

Regional North

Regional South

4,526 km2 of concession area

•

Regional West

46 thousand kilometers of lines

Regional East

Note – Data as of Sept. 2009, except GDP which is 2006

9
Rankingš for energy distributors
8.000

Net Revenue - R$ MM

7.000
6.000
5.000

2007

2008

4.000
3.000
2.000

CELG

COELCE

CPFL
PIRATININGA

CELPE

AMPLA

ELEKTRO

CELESC

COELBA

COPEL

1.600

BANDEIRANTE

1.800

CPFL PAULISTA

1.000
LIGHT

1st

CEMIG

1st

AES
ELETROPAULO

Net Revenue

Ebitda - R$ MM

1.400
1.200
1.000

Ebitda

2nd

1st

800
600
400

1 – Source: ABRADEE (Brazilian Association of Energy Distributors); research among 48 energy distributors in Brazil.

RGE

CEMAR

CPFL
PIRATININGA

AMAZONAS

COELCE

CELPE

AMPLA

ELEKTRO

COPEL

CPFL PAULISTA

COELBA

LIGHT

CEMIG

AES
ELETROPAULO

200

10
Consumption evolution
Total Market - (GWh)1

9M09 Consumption Share - (GWh)1

8%
6%

+ 8%

17%
38,183
6,527

39,932

37%

41,243
7,383

30,730
410

31,656

32,577

30,377

5,625

7,355

14%

5,024

26%

33,860
25,105

25,353

CAGR 2006-08

9M09

+6%
+0%

Others

Free Clients

9M08

+2%

Industrial

2008

+7%

Free Clients

2007

Residential
Commercial

2006

+2%

Captive market

1 – Own consumption not considered

11
Most important consumption classes
Residential - (GWh)

Commercial - (GWh)
+ 5%

3,742

+ 3%

11,214

3,978

7,850
2,657

10,708

2,625

2,567

1Q09

2Q09

3Q09

3,494

1Q09

2Q09

3Q09

9M08

9M09

Industrial - (GWh)

7,603

9M08

Captive Marketš - (GWh)
- 11%

+ 1%

4,878

1,327

1Q09

1,465

2Q09

9M09

4,337

1,546

8,118

3Q09

1 – Own consumption not considered

9M08

9M09

1Q09

8,493

2Q09

8,742

3Q09

25,104

9M08

25,353

9M09
12
Investments amounted up to
R$ 324 million in 9M09
Investments 9M09

Investments Breakdown – R$ million

8%

523

433
378

457

4%
4%

55

45%

16%

47
69
305

77
468

324
26
22%

36

27%

410
364
301

269

298
Customer Service and
System Expansion
Customer Financed

2006

2007
Capex

2008

2009e

9M08

9M09

Maintenance
IT

Loss Recovery

Others

Paid by customers
13
SAIDI & SAIFI
SAIDI - System Average Interruption Duration Index

11.81

11.34

SAIFI - System Average Interruption Frequency Index

10.92
8.61
8.49

7.87

8.90

9.20

11.01
5.52

2006

2007

2008

3rd

3rd

5th

SAIDI (hours)

8.41

9M09š

SAIDI Aneel Target

5.64

2006
3rd

5.20

5.78

2007

2008

9M09š

1st

1st

SAIFI (times)

SAIFI Aneel Target

ABRADEE ranking position between 28 distributors with
over 500 thousand consumers
1 – Last twelve months
Source: ABRADEE, ANEEL e AES Eletropaulo

14
Operational indexes
Losses – %

Collection Rate – % over gross revenue
- 1.3 b.p.

99.1

99.5

- 0.4 b.p.

101.4
97.8

97.7

12.0
11.5

11.6

11.6

11.8

5.5

2007

2008

9M08

5.2

5.3

6.5

6.5

6.5

6.5

2006

9M09

5.1

6.5

2006

5.0

2007

2008

9M081

9M091

Commercial Losses
•

Disconnections and Reconnection – Monthly Average (9M08 X
9M09)

•

Technical Losses²

Fraud and Illegal Connections (9M09)
–

– Disconnections: increase from 233 thousand to 733 thousand

271,000 inspections e 32,000 frauds detected

–

57,000 illegal connections regularized

– Reconnection: increase from 248 thousand to 488 thousand
•

Past due bill credit report (9M09 average): 190 thousand

1 – Last 12 months

2 - Current Technical Losses used retroactively as reference

15
Net revenue of R$ 5.9 billion in 9M09
Net Revenue – R$ million

Ebitda – R$ million
2003

EMBI+ BR

Regulatory WACC (%)

2007

4.63% 2.21%

Selic target 16.50% 11.25%

+ 10%
17.1

7,193

15.1

7,529

6,852

1,766
5,540

2006

2007

2008

9M08

1,566

5,855

1,696
1,140

9M09

2006

2007

2008

1,143

9M08

9M09

16
Net income of R$ 538 million in 9M09
Dividend payout1 – R$ million

Net Income – R$ million

Pay-out

Dividends
+ 175%
100.3%

101.5%

14.4%

1,027

20.3%

34.9%

713

Yield2 PNB

3.2%

496

373

1,043

538
715

323
130

2006

2007

2008

9M08

2006

9M09

2007

2008

9M09

•
•
1 – Gross amount

2 – Considered 1st semester data

25% of minimum pay-out according to bylaw
Practice on semi-annual basis of maximum permitted
dividend distribution, since 2006 results

•

Yield2 of 6.3% and pay-out² of 106.7%
17
R$ 663 million paid as dividends in 2009
Managerial Cash Flow – R$ million

3Q08

4Q08

1Q09

2Q09

3Q09

1,454

1,373

1,536

1,258

989

613

491

301

448

798

Investments

(107)

(126)

(104)

(113)

(116)

Net Financial Expenses

(107)

(37)

(113)

(45)

(98)

Net Amortizations

(21)

(40)

(184)

(54)

(35)

CESP Foundation

(32)

(46)

(58)

(56)

(53)

Income Tax

(68)

(80)

(119)

(83)

(45)

Dividends

(359)

-

-

(366)

(297)

Free Cash Flow

(81)

162

(278)

(269)

155

1,373

1,536

1,258

989

1,143

Initial Cash
Operating Cash Flow

Final Cash

18
Debt profile
Amortization Schedule – R$ million

Net Debt

2.1x
1.3x

1.4x

1.2x

1,532

3.7
3.0

78

2.7

2.5

2006

2007

2008

2009

9M09

Net Debt (R$ billion)

524

2010

62

66

70

250

10
41
3

250

250

75
50

80
125

375

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016-2028

Local Currency (w/out Pension Fund)

Pension Fund

Foreign Currency2

Net Debt / Adjusted Ebitda1
•

September, 2009:
–

Average debt cost is 116.5% of CDI3 per year which means an effective rate of 13.9% per year

–

Average debt maturity is 7.3 years

1 - Last 12 months of adjusted Ebitda

2 – Exchange rate in 09/30/2009 – US$ 1.00 = R$ 1.7781

3 - Brazil’s Interbank Interest Rate19
Capital market
AES Eletropaulo1 X Ibovespa X IEE

Average Daily Volume3 - R$ thousand

YTD ’09
170

B

150
130

64%
64%

C

26,066

25,677
21,187

46%

A
7,508

110
90

dec-082 jan-09 feb-09 mar-09 apr-09 may-09 jun-09 jul-09 aug-09 sep-09
ELPL6

IEE

2006

2007

2008

9M09

IBOV

•

A) 25/02/2009 – Finsocial and São Paulo municipality agreement

•

B) 16/04/2009 - Public Consultation of Tariff Reset

•

C) 16/06/2009 – Conclusion of Second Periodic Tariff Reset

1 – Shares were adjusted by declared dividend of the period under analysis

2 – Data Base: 12/28/07 = 100

20
AES TietĂŞ overview
Concession Area

•

30 year concession, expires in 2029, renewable for
another 30 years

•

10 hydroelectric plants in the State of SĂŁo Paulo at TietĂŞ,
Pardo and Mogi Guaçu rivers

Atlantic Ocean

•

Installed capacity of 2,657 MW, with assured energy1 of
1,280 MW

Name and Installed Capacity of AES Tietê’s Plants:
Água Vermelha (1,396 MW)

Ibitinga (132 MW)

Nova Avanhandava (347 MW)

Euclides da Cunha (109 MW)

PromissĂŁo (264 MW)

Limoeiro (32 MW)

Bariri (143 MW)

100% of assured energy contracted with AES

Caconde (80 MW)

Barra Bonita (141 MW)

•

Mogi-Guaçu (7 MW)

1 - Amount of energy allowed to be long term contracted

Eletropaulo until the end of 2015
•

310 employees

22
Operational Performance
Billed Energy – GWh2

Energy Generation – MW average

September ’09 Prices (R$ / MWh)

AES Eletropaulo

129%
121%

MRE

118%

1,646
1,424

13,421
12,774

1,510

13,148

573

330

1,740

1,680

10,336

536
1,130

327
1,663

11,108

11,108

2007

Generation – MW average

2008

9M09

Generation / Assured Energy2

2006

2007

AES Eletropaulo

1 - Energy Reallocation Mechanism 2 - Amount of energy allowed to be long term contracted

10,728
607
1,571

11,138
8,346

2006

39.68

Spot (9M09 avg.)

112%

1,543

152.00
8.18

2008

9M08
MRE1

8,550

9M09

Spot Market

23
Investments
Investments – R$ million

9M09 Investments

New SHPP’s1
Investments

47

63
59
14

51
8

33%
20

12

33
49
43

39

•

45%

19%

35

2006

3%

11
22

2007

2008

2009(e)

9M09

9M09 x 9M08: higher reforestation expending, due to
Carbon Credit Project, partially offset by lower investments
on Piabanha SHPP

1- Small Hydro Power Plant Jaguari Mirim and Piabanha

Equip. and Maint.

New SHPPs

IT

Environment

24
Expansion requirement of 15%


Increase installed capacity in Sao Paulo State by 15% (400 MW), either in greenfield projects or through long term
purchase agreement with new plants



The obligation was supposed to be accomplished by December 2007, however AES TietĂŞ was not able to comply with this
requirement due to the following restrictions:
–

Insufficient remaining hydro resources within the State of SĂŁo Paulo

–

Environmental restrictions

–

Insufficiency of gas supply / timing issue

–

More restricted regulation on energy sale established by the New Model of Electric Sector (Law # 10,848/2004)
which eliminated the self dealing

•

In August 2008, Aneel informed that the issue is not linked to the concession

•

Popular law action against Federal Government, Aneel, AES TietĂŞ, and Duke
–

Status: Defense filed on first instance in October 2008 by AES TietĂŞ. In December, 2008, the author replied AES
TietĂŞ defense and, since this, both parties are waiting judge movement about the necessity of proves production

•

On July 27, 2009, AES Tietê was notified by the State Government Attorney’s Office to present arguments on compliance
with the expansion obligation
–

The Company filed a response on July, 29th, which exhausts the procedure for notification. Possible deployment
depends on new manifestation of the Prosecution

25
Projects
expansion requirement
AES TietĂŞ has been seeking opportunities to increase its installed capacity to comply with the 15%
increase requirement in the State of SĂŁo Paulo
•

6MW of co-generation by biomass contracted for 15 years (initiating in 2010)

•

7 MW of hydropower generation through SHPPs2 in Jaguari Mirim river
– SHPP São José (4 MW) is expected to begin the operation in 1H10
– SHPP São Joaquim (3 MW) is expected to begin the operation in 1H10

•

500 MW of natural gas fired thermo plant
– In stage of defining plant location

•

Concluded
Concluded
(PPA1))
(PPA1

32 MW of hydropower generation through SHPPs under technical and economic viability study

In Progress
In Progress

Under
Under
Evaluation
Evaluation

1 - Power Purchase Agreement

2 - Small Hydro Power Plant

26
Net revenue of
R$ 1.3 billion in 9M09
Net Revenue – R$ million

Ebitda – R$ million

+ 17%

+ 14%

1,254

1,621
1,464
1,387

1,277

1,097

1,099
1,028

1,186

2006

2007

2008

9M08

936

9M09

2006

2007

2008

9M08

9M09

27
Sustainable profitability and dividend payment
Dividend Payout1 – R$ million

Net Income – R$ million

Dividends

Pay-out

100 %

692
614

2007

2008

100 %

10%

12%

636

609

614

9M08

9M09

609

2006

495

2006

100 %

12%

+ 13%

Yield PN2

2007

692

2008

636

9M09

•
•

1 - Gross amount

2 - Average Weighted Price during the Period

25% of minimum pay-out according to bylaw
Practice on quarterly basis of maximum permitted
dividend distribution, since 2006 results

•

Yield2 of 9.4% and pay-out of 100% in 9M09

28
Strong cash flow
Managerial Cash Flow – R$ million

3T08
Initial Cash
Operating Cash Flow
Investments
Net Financial Expenses
Net Amortization
Income Tax
Dividends and IoE
Free Cash Flow
Final Cash – Parent Company
Final Cash of Subs. And Assoc. Comp
Final Cash

673
340
(14)
(13)
(50)
(19)
(134)
110
783
5
788

4T08
783
337
(22)
(7)
(52)
(17)
(188)
53
836
5
840

1T09
836
297
(9)
(6)
(53)
(252)
0
(24)
812
2
814

2T09
812
332
(8)
(13)
(55)
(20)
(409)
(173)
639
2
641

3T09
639
316
(14)
(15)
(58)
(19)
(199)
12
651
1
652

29
Debt
Net Debt

0.6x

0.6x
0.3x

0.3x

•

Eletrobras Debt
–

0.4

2006

2007

2008

0.4

9M09

–

Monthly amortization
Maturity: May 15, 2013

–

0.7

Balance: R$ 1,029 million

–

0.7

Interest of 10% p.a. and monetary adjustment
of IGP-M

Net Debt (R$ billion)
Net Debt / Ebitda

30
Capital market
AES TietĂŞ1 X Ibovespa X IEE

Daily Average Volume - R$ thousand

10,109

9M092

190

9,067
+ 64%
+ 46%
+ 40%

160
130

5,760

8,160
8,106

5,531
5,468

4,188

100

3,566

2,692

2,003

2007

2008

9M09

1,572

70
Dec-08

Mar-09
GETI4

Jun-09
IBOV

Sep-09

IEE

1 – Shares were adjusted by declared dividend of the period under analysis

2006

Preferred

2 – Data Base: 12/30/08 =100

Common

31
Social Responsibility and
Environmental Actions
Social Responsibility
Volunteering Program

distributing
Energy of
Good

Acting to
Transform

Enterprising in
the Community

Specific social mobilization or
emergency campaign.

Opportunities for volunteering in
social organizations, which are
partners of AES Brazil

Acknowledgement and
support of projects for the
development of social
organizations.

Winter clothes, Christmas
campaign, among others.

Co-workers can enroll in
volunteer activities available at
AES Brazil volunteering portal
since September/09
www.energiadobem.com.br

Volunteers may submit
projects to help other
organizations develop. Launch
scheduled for January/10.

•

Launched in December,2008;

•

Objective: to get the co-workers committed to the transformation of low income communities and development
of non-governmental institutions

•

1,100 volunteers

33
Social Responsibility
“Casa da Cultura e Cidadania” Project
•

Over 6 thousand children, teenagers,
and adults have been benefited

•

Own and incentive investments:
approximately R$ 14 million in 2009

•

Activities of acting, dancing, circus arts, visual arts, music,
gymnastics, courses of income generation, and education of safe
use of electrical power and the right use of natural resources

•

5 units operating and another one to be launched in the
municipality of Osasco in November, 2009

“Centros Educacionais Infantis Luz e Lápis” - Project

•

302 benefited children between 1 and 6 years old

•

Own investments amounting R$ 1.5 million in 2009

•

Units: Santo Amaro and Guarapiranga
34
Environmental actions

•

Carbon Credit
– Clean Development Methodology (CDM) approved by United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
(UNFCCC), allows up to 10,000 hectare reforestation on reservoir borders
– AES Tietê is seeking for good business opportunities, and has not transacted credits so far

•

Reforestation
– One million of seedlings production in seed-plot of Promissão hydroelectric power plant
– Donation of seedlings to the society, rural producers, city halls, and non-governmental organizations

•

Fish Farming
– Reproduction of 2.5 million fishes in 10 reservoirs of AES Tiete's plants

•

Archeological Park
– Community involvement into archeological artifacts conservation and better understanding of its scientific
importance
– Social access to the archeological history of the reservoir area

35
Contacts:
ri.eletropaulo@aes.com
ri.aestiete@aes.com
+ 55 11 2195 7048
The statements contained in this document with regard to the business prospects, projected operating and financial results, and growth potential are merely
forecasts based on the expectations of the Company’s Management in relation to its future performance. Such estimates are highly dependent on market
behavior and on the conditions affecting Brazil’s macroeconomic performance as well as the electric sector and international market, and they are therefore
subject to changes.

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AES Brasil Group Market Share and Financial Results

  • 2. AES Brasil Group Market Share 7 million clients 6 thousand AES People ... with a 2008 result: R$ 3.2 billion (Ebitda) R$ 1.7 billion (net income) Discos 14,6% 85,4% Gencos 3,0% 97,0% Investments 1998-2008: R$ 5 billion after privatization AES Brasil Others Disco Trading Co. Genco Telecom 2
  • 3. Shareholding structure BNDES AES Corp C 50.00% + 1 share P 0.00% T 46.15% O = Common Shares P = Preferred Shares T = Total C 50.00% - 1 share Cia. Brasiliana de Energia T 99.76% AES Sul C 99.99% T 99.99% AES Infoenergy C 100.00% T 100.00% AES Uruguaiana C 98.26% T 98.26% AES Com RJ C 76.46% P 7.43% T 34.80% AES Eletropaulo C 71.35% P 32.34% T 52.55% AES TietĂŞ C 99.99 % T 99.99 % AES EP Telecom 3
  • 4. Shareholding composition Federal Government or Eletrobras1 Free Float 16.1% 19.7% 8.0% 56.2% 24.2% 28.3% 7.9% 39.5% 1 – Federal Government and EletrobrĂĄs correspond to AES Eletropaulo and AES TietĂŞ, respectively 4
  • 5. Energy sector agents in Brazil Ministry of Mines and Energy (MME) (Set Guidelines and Policies) National Council of Energy Policy (CNPE) (Formulates Policies) Electricity Sector Surveillance Committee (CMSE) Brazilian Electricity Regulatory Agency (ANEEL) Energy Research Enterprise (EPE) (Monitors energy supply) (Ruling, Inspection & Auditing, Monitoring, and Mediation) (Generation & Transmission Planning) Distribution companies Electric Energy Commercialization Chamber (CCEE) Pricing and clearing of energy transactions Transmission companies System Operator (ONS) Generation companies Trading companies Generator resources scheduling and dispatch 5
  • 6. Energy sector in Brazil (Contracting Environment) Free Market Regulated Market Auctions Distribution Companies Spot Market PPAs1 Trading Companies Free Clients • Trading Companies Free Clients Main auctions (reverse auctions): – New Energy (A-5): Delivery in 5 years, 15-30 Distribution Companies years regulated PPA – New Energy (A-3): Delivery in 3 years, 15-30 years regulated PPA – Existing Energy (A-1): Delivery in 1 year, 5-15 years PPA 1 – Power Purchase Agreement 6
  • 7. Discos regulatory methodology (Tariff Reset and Adjustment) Tariff Readjustment and Reset • Tariff Reset is applied each 3 to 5 years • Parcel A Costs − AES Eletropaulo: each 4 years Energy − AES Sul: each 5 years Purchase − Parcel A costs pass trough the tariff Transmission − Parcel B costs are set by ANEEL − Non-manageable costs that totally pass- through to the tariff − Losses reduction improve the passthrough effectiveness Sector Charges • Tariff Adjustment: annually − Parcel A costs pass trough the tariff − Parcel B cost are adjusted by IGPM +/- X(1) Factor X WACC Remuneration Asset Base X Depreciation (1) X Factor: index that capture productivity gains Reference Company (PMSO) Investment Remuneration Depreciation Regulatory Ebitda • Reference Company: – Efficient cost structure, determined by ANEEL (National Electricity Agency) • Remuneration Asset Base: – Applicable investments used to calculate the Investment Remuneration (applying WACC) and Depreciation Parcel A Non-Manageable Costs Parcel B Manageable Costs 7
  • 8.
  • 9. AES Eletropaulo overview Concession Area • Largest electricity distribution company in Latin America • Serving 24 municipalities in the SĂŁo Paulo Metropolitan area • Concession area with the highest GDP in Brazil: SĂŁo Paulo Metropolitan Area – 17.1% of the Brazilian GDP and 50.3% of SĂŁo Paulo’s state GDP • • • Regional ABC 1.1 million electricity poles 4,143 employees • 5.9 million of consumption units • Total distributed volume of 41 TWh in 2008 Regional North Regional South 4,526 km2 of concession area • Regional West 46 thousand kilometers of lines Regional East Note – Data as of Sept. 2009, except GDP which is 2006 9
  • 10. Rankingš for energy distributors 8.000 Net Revenue - R$ MM 7.000 6.000 5.000 2007 2008 4.000 3.000 2.000 CELG COELCE CPFL PIRATININGA CELPE AMPLA ELEKTRO CELESC COELBA COPEL 1.600 BANDEIRANTE 1.800 CPFL PAULISTA 1.000 LIGHT 1st CEMIG 1st AES ELETROPAULO Net Revenue Ebitda - R$ MM 1.400 1.200 1.000 Ebitda 2nd 1st 800 600 400 1 – Source: ABRADEE (Brazilian Association of Energy Distributors); research among 48 energy distributors in Brazil. RGE CEMAR CPFL PIRATININGA AMAZONAS COELCE CELPE AMPLA ELEKTRO COPEL CPFL PAULISTA COELBA LIGHT CEMIG AES ELETROPAULO 200 10
  • 11. Consumption evolution Total Market - (GWh)1 9M09 Consumption Share - (GWh)1 8% 6% + 8% 17% 38,183 6,527 39,932 37% 41,243 7,383 30,730 410 31,656 32,577 30,377 5,625 7,355 14% 5,024 26% 33,860 25,105 25,353 CAGR 2006-08 9M09 +6% +0% Others Free Clients 9M08 +2% Industrial 2008 +7% Free Clients 2007 Residential Commercial 2006 +2% Captive market 1 – Own consumption not considered 11
  • 12. Most important consumption classes Residential - (GWh) Commercial - (GWh) + 5% 3,742 + 3% 11,214 3,978 7,850 2,657 10,708 2,625 2,567 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 3,494 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 9M08 9M09 Industrial - (GWh) 7,603 9M08 Captive Marketš - (GWh) - 11% + 1% 4,878 1,327 1Q09 1,465 2Q09 9M09 4,337 1,546 8,118 3Q09 1 – Own consumption not considered 9M08 9M09 1Q09 8,493 2Q09 8,742 3Q09 25,104 9M08 25,353 9M09 12
  • 13. Investments amounted up to R$ 324 million in 9M09 Investments 9M09 Investments Breakdown – R$ million 8% 523 433 378 457 4% 4% 55 45% 16% 47 69 305 77 468 324 26 22% 36 27% 410 364 301 269 298 Customer Service and System Expansion Customer Financed 2006 2007 Capex 2008 2009e 9M08 9M09 Maintenance IT Loss Recovery Others Paid by customers 13
  • 14. SAIDI & SAIFI SAIDI - System Average Interruption Duration Index 11.81 11.34 SAIFI - System Average Interruption Frequency Index 10.92 8.61 8.49 7.87 8.90 9.20 11.01 5.52 2006 2007 2008 3rd 3rd 5th SAIDI (hours) 8.41 9M09š SAIDI Aneel Target 5.64 2006 3rd 5.20 5.78 2007 2008 9M09š 1st 1st SAIFI (times) SAIFI Aneel Target ABRADEE ranking position between 28 distributors with over 500 thousand consumers 1 – Last twelve months Source: ABRADEE, ANEEL e AES Eletropaulo 14
  • 15. Operational indexes Losses – % Collection Rate – % over gross revenue - 1.3 b.p. 99.1 99.5 - 0.4 b.p. 101.4 97.8 97.7 12.0 11.5 11.6 11.6 11.8 5.5 2007 2008 9M08 5.2 5.3 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 2006 9M09 5.1 6.5 2006 5.0 2007 2008 9M081 9M091 Commercial Losses • Disconnections and Reconnection – Monthly Average (9M08 X 9M09) • Technical Losses² Fraud and Illegal Connections (9M09) – – Disconnections: increase from 233 thousand to 733 thousand 271,000 inspections e 32,000 frauds detected – 57,000 illegal connections regularized – Reconnection: increase from 248 thousand to 488 thousand • Past due bill credit report (9M09 average): 190 thousand 1 – Last 12 months 2 - Current Technical Losses used retroactively as reference 15
  • 16. Net revenue of R$ 5.9 billion in 9M09 Net Revenue – R$ million Ebitda – R$ million 2003 EMBI+ BR Regulatory WACC (%) 2007 4.63% 2.21% Selic target 16.50% 11.25% + 10% 17.1 7,193 15.1 7,529 6,852 1,766 5,540 2006 2007 2008 9M08 1,566 5,855 1,696 1,140 9M09 2006 2007 2008 1,143 9M08 9M09 16
  • 17. Net income of R$ 538 million in 9M09 Dividend payout1 – R$ million Net Income – R$ million Pay-out Dividends + 175% 100.3% 101.5% 14.4% 1,027 20.3% 34.9% 713 Yield2 PNB 3.2% 496 373 1,043 538 715 323 130 2006 2007 2008 9M08 2006 9M09 2007 2008 9M09 • • 1 – Gross amount 2 – Considered 1st semester data 25% of minimum pay-out according to bylaw Practice on semi-annual basis of maximum permitted dividend distribution, since 2006 results • Yield2 of 6.3% and pay-out² of 106.7% 17
  • 18. R$ 663 million paid as dividends in 2009 Managerial Cash Flow – R$ million 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 1,454 1,373 1,536 1,258 989 613 491 301 448 798 Investments (107) (126) (104) (113) (116) Net Financial Expenses (107) (37) (113) (45) (98) Net Amortizations (21) (40) (184) (54) (35) CESP Foundation (32) (46) (58) (56) (53) Income Tax (68) (80) (119) (83) (45) Dividends (359) - - (366) (297) Free Cash Flow (81) 162 (278) (269) 155 1,373 1,536 1,258 989 1,143 Initial Cash Operating Cash Flow Final Cash 18
  • 19. Debt profile Amortization Schedule – R$ million Net Debt 2.1x 1.3x 1.4x 1.2x 1,532 3.7 3.0 78 2.7 2.5 2006 2007 2008 2009 9M09 Net Debt (R$ billion) 524 2010 62 66 70 250 10 41 3 250 250 75 50 80 125 375 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016-2028 Local Currency (w/out Pension Fund) Pension Fund Foreign Currency2 Net Debt / Adjusted Ebitda1 • September, 2009: – Average debt cost is 116.5% of CDI3 per year which means an effective rate of 13.9% per year – Average debt maturity is 7.3 years 1 - Last 12 months of adjusted Ebitda 2 – Exchange rate in 09/30/2009 – US$ 1.00 = R$ 1.7781 3 - Brazil’s Interbank Interest Rate19
  • 20. Capital market AES Eletropaulo1 X Ibovespa X IEE Average Daily Volume3 - R$ thousand YTD ’09 170 B 150 130 64% 64% C 26,066 25,677 21,187 46% A 7,508 110 90 dec-082 jan-09 feb-09 mar-09 apr-09 may-09 jun-09 jul-09 aug-09 sep-09 ELPL6 IEE 2006 2007 2008 9M09 IBOV • A) 25/02/2009 – Finsocial and SĂŁo Paulo municipality agreement • B) 16/04/2009 - Public Consultation of Tariff Reset • C) 16/06/2009 – Conclusion of Second Periodic Tariff Reset 1 – Shares were adjusted by declared dividend of the period under analysis 2 – Data Base: 12/28/07 = 100 20
  • 21.
  • 22. AES TietĂŞ overview Concession Area • 30 year concession, expires in 2029, renewable for another 30 years • 10 hydroelectric plants in the State of SĂŁo Paulo at TietĂŞ, Pardo and Mogi Guaçu rivers Atlantic Ocean • Installed capacity of 2,657 MW, with assured energy1 of 1,280 MW Name and Installed Capacity of AES Tietê’s Plants: Água Vermelha (1,396 MW) Ibitinga (132 MW) Nova Avanhandava (347 MW) Euclides da Cunha (109 MW) PromissĂŁo (264 MW) Limoeiro (32 MW) Bariri (143 MW) 100% of assured energy contracted with AES Caconde (80 MW) Barra Bonita (141 MW) • Mogi-Guaçu (7 MW) 1 - Amount of energy allowed to be long term contracted Eletropaulo until the end of 2015 • 310 employees 22
  • 23. Operational Performance Billed Energy – GWh2 Energy Generation – MW average September ’09 Prices (R$ / MWh) AES Eletropaulo 129% 121% MRE 118% 1,646 1,424 13,421 12,774 1,510 13,148 573 330 1,740 1,680 10,336 536 1,130 327 1,663 11,108 11,108 2007 Generation – MW average 2008 9M09 Generation / Assured Energy2 2006 2007 AES Eletropaulo 1 - Energy Reallocation Mechanism 2 - Amount of energy allowed to be long term contracted 10,728 607 1,571 11,138 8,346 2006 39.68 Spot (9M09 avg.) 112% 1,543 152.00 8.18 2008 9M08 MRE1 8,550 9M09 Spot Market 23
  • 24. Investments Investments – R$ million 9M09 Investments New SHPP’s1 Investments 47 63 59 14 51 8 33% 20 12 33 49 43 39 • 45% 19% 35 2006 3% 11 22 2007 2008 2009(e) 9M09 9M09 x 9M08: higher reforestation expending, due to Carbon Credit Project, partially offset by lower investments on Piabanha SHPP 1- Small Hydro Power Plant Jaguari Mirim and Piabanha Equip. and Maint. New SHPPs IT Environment 24
  • 25. Expansion requirement of 15%  Increase installed capacity in Sao Paulo State by 15% (400 MW), either in greenfield projects or through long term purchase agreement with new plants  The obligation was supposed to be accomplished by December 2007, however AES TietĂŞ was not able to comply with this requirement due to the following restrictions: – Insufficient remaining hydro resources within the State of SĂŁo Paulo – Environmental restrictions – Insufficiency of gas supply / timing issue – More restricted regulation on energy sale established by the New Model of Electric Sector (Law # 10,848/2004) which eliminated the self dealing • In August 2008, Aneel informed that the issue is not linked to the concession • Popular law action against Federal Government, Aneel, AES TietĂŞ, and Duke – Status: Defense filed on first instance in October 2008 by AES TietĂŞ. In December, 2008, the author replied AES TietĂŞ defense and, since this, both parties are waiting judge movement about the necessity of proves production • On July 27, 2009, AES TietĂŞ was notified by the State Government Attorney’s Office to present arguments on compliance with the expansion obligation – The Company filed a response on July, 29th, which exhausts the procedure for notification. Possible deployment depends on new manifestation of the Prosecution 25
  • 26. Projects expansion requirement AES TietĂŞ has been seeking opportunities to increase its installed capacity to comply with the 15% increase requirement in the State of SĂŁo Paulo • 6MW of co-generation by biomass contracted for 15 years (initiating in 2010) • 7 MW of hydropower generation through SHPPs2 in Jaguari Mirim river – SHPP SĂŁo JosĂŠ (4 MW) is expected to begin the operation in 1H10 – SHPP SĂŁo Joaquim (3 MW) is expected to begin the operation in 1H10 • 500 MW of natural gas fired thermo plant – In stage of defining plant location • Concluded Concluded (PPA1)) (PPA1 32 MW of hydropower generation through SHPPs under technical and economic viability study In Progress In Progress Under Under Evaluation Evaluation 1 - Power Purchase Agreement 2 - Small Hydro Power Plant 26
  • 27. Net revenue of R$ 1.3 billion in 9M09 Net Revenue – R$ million Ebitda – R$ million + 17% + 14% 1,254 1,621 1,464 1,387 1,277 1,097 1,099 1,028 1,186 2006 2007 2008 9M08 936 9M09 2006 2007 2008 9M08 9M09 27
  • 28. Sustainable profitability and dividend payment Dividend Payout1 – R$ million Net Income – R$ million Dividends Pay-out 100 % 692 614 2007 2008 100 % 10% 12% 636 609 614 9M08 9M09 609 2006 495 2006 100 % 12% + 13% Yield PN2 2007 692 2008 636 9M09 • • 1 - Gross amount 2 - Average Weighted Price during the Period 25% of minimum pay-out according to bylaw Practice on quarterly basis of maximum permitted dividend distribution, since 2006 results • Yield2 of 9.4% and pay-out of 100% in 9M09 28
  • 29. Strong cash flow Managerial Cash Flow – R$ million 3T08 Initial Cash Operating Cash Flow Investments Net Financial Expenses Net Amortization Income Tax Dividends and IoE Free Cash Flow Final Cash – Parent Company Final Cash of Subs. And Assoc. Comp Final Cash 673 340 (14) (13) (50) (19) (134) 110 783 5 788 4T08 783 337 (22) (7) (52) (17) (188) 53 836 5 840 1T09 836 297 (9) (6) (53) (252) 0 (24) 812 2 814 2T09 812 332 (8) (13) (55) (20) (409) (173) 639 2 641 3T09 639 316 (14) (15) (58) (19) (199) 12 651 1 652 29
  • 30. Debt Net Debt 0.6x 0.6x 0.3x 0.3x • Eletrobras Debt – 0.4 2006 2007 2008 0.4 9M09 – Monthly amortization Maturity: May 15, 2013 – 0.7 Balance: R$ 1,029 million – 0.7 Interest of 10% p.a. and monetary adjustment of IGP-M Net Debt (R$ billion) Net Debt / Ebitda 30
  • 31. Capital market AES TietĂŞ1 X Ibovespa X IEE Daily Average Volume - R$ thousand 10,109 9M092 190 9,067 + 64% + 46% + 40% 160 130 5,760 8,160 8,106 5,531 5,468 4,188 100 3,566 2,692 2,003 2007 2008 9M09 1,572 70 Dec-08 Mar-09 GETI4 Jun-09 IBOV Sep-09 IEE 1 – Shares were adjusted by declared dividend of the period under analysis 2006 Preferred 2 – Data Base: 12/30/08 =100 Common 31
  • 33. Social Responsibility Volunteering Program distributing Energy of Good Acting to Transform Enterprising in the Community Specific social mobilization or emergency campaign. Opportunities for volunteering in social organizations, which are partners of AES Brazil Acknowledgement and support of projects for the development of social organizations. Winter clothes, Christmas campaign, among others. Co-workers can enroll in volunteer activities available at AES Brazil volunteering portal since September/09 www.energiadobem.com.br Volunteers may submit projects to help other organizations develop. Launch scheduled for January/10. • Launched in December,2008; • Objective: to get the co-workers committed to the transformation of low income communities and development of non-governmental institutions • 1,100 volunteers 33
  • 34. Social Responsibility “Casa da Cultura e Cidadania” Project • Over 6 thousand children, teenagers, and adults have been benefited • Own and incentive investments: approximately R$ 14 million in 2009 • Activities of acting, dancing, circus arts, visual arts, music, gymnastics, courses of income generation, and education of safe use of electrical power and the right use of natural resources • 5 units operating and another one to be launched in the municipality of Osasco in November, 2009 “Centros Educacionais Infantis Luz e LĂĄpis” - Project • 302 benefited children between 1 and 6 years old • Own investments amounting R$ 1.5 million in 2009 • Units: Santo Amaro and Guarapiranga 34
  • 35. Environmental actions • Carbon Credit – Clean Development Methodology (CDM) approved by United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), allows up to 10,000 hectare reforestation on reservoir borders – AES TietĂŞ is seeking for good business opportunities, and has not transacted credits so far • Reforestation – One million of seedlings production in seed-plot of PromissĂŁo hydroelectric power plant – Donation of seedlings to the society, rural producers, city halls, and non-governmental organizations • Fish Farming – Reproduction of 2.5 million fishes in 10 reservoirs of AES Tiete's plants • Archeological Park – Community involvement into archeological artifacts conservation and better understanding of its scientific importance – Social access to the archeological history of the reservoir area 35
  • 36. Contacts: ri.eletropaulo@aes.com ri.aestiete@aes.com + 55 11 2195 7048 The statements contained in this document with regard to the business prospects, projected operating and financial results, and growth potential are merely forecasts based on the expectations of the Company’s Management in relation to its future performance. Such estimates are highly dependent on market behavior and on the conditions affecting Brazil’s macroeconomic performance as well as the electric sector and international market, and they are therefore subject to changes.