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                                                                                      Consumption   Consumption w/
                                                                                                        TUSD
                1H04                                    1H05
                                                                                            1H04        1H05
Note: The charts do not take into account AES Eletropaulo’s own consumption.




                                                                                                                     *
Net Revenues w/ TUSD R$ million


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Semelhante a ABRADEE Meeting – Electricity Sector’s Panel – 09/16/2005 (20)

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ABRADEE Meeting – Electricity Sector’s Panel – 09/16/2005

  • 1.
  • 2.
  • 3. %& , #! "" $ % * #+ ++ $ % ! "" $ % " #" ! "" $ " #" --#! .$ % ' !# $ !/+ #( # ) % ' %& 2 .! #1$ % . #0 "" $ % 1.-, # $ % //# $ -! % /#-$ % 0 . -, -# $ % "+ $ % #.
  • 4. 3 4 3 ! $ "#% 5 &# ' & 5 $ 6 7 -8* * 0 , /8" *, 1 8. "" $ #, ! 80 80 -** ** - ! " 8" 181.! ! -# $ /! & 4 0 "//. .8 0 8* ,0 ! ! #. !" $ 9: ) ( ;
  • 5. ' = ) & !" <* !" <, . "* . ", ! *. : /8* ( ! + ( /8-* : -8 - ( -, : +! "( 8, : 6.4% 11.9% 7.2% 12.9% 9.9% 31.7% 7.6% 32.2% 9.9% 31.8% 7.4% 32.3% 27.4% 27.0% 26.3% 26.6% 24.6% 21.3% 24.8% 20.8% !" <* !" <, . "* . ", >0/ 4 8 >**4 8 >!+4 8 >..4 8 1.3% 3.0% 1.4% 3.5% 7.8% 6.7% 6.5% 40.6% 41.2% 8.0% 30.4% 40.9% 41.1% 30.2% 29.5% 30.0% 19.9% 18.9% 20.2% 18.9% ?& (
  • 6. + ( , (: 1#$ * ** #$ ,/-/ 8 0/$ # ! + /8-* ,* - 80 @! #$ "! *1-0*-, 8 8 , *. 1 8, ! .+ /8. 0-. 8 - + #$ !, @!/$ # @. #$ "+ .! 1 8* ! !+ 18" !/0 8 . !8 - ,-0 !0 81+ !! ! 8. Residential Industrial Commercial Other TUSD Billed Billed Consumption Consumption w/ TUSD 1H04 1H05 1H04 1H05 Note: The charts do not take into account AES Eletropaulo’s own consumption. *
  • 7. Net Revenues w/ TUSD R$ million 78 54 48 38 30 19 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 # $ . " 9 ,0 ! : ; " * 0 8* ( 13.3% 81.1% 5.6% Captive clients Free clients Potentially free clients
  • 8. A ! + @ . " B >.4 +- "* !" <, > !0 ,, A 00 !0 ' !- !. - 3 / 0. 01" @ 01 0/ * !* 0" + 0- " !, ./* .-! ./ + !0 !11 !-1 !+ . !* * @ !, !+ !+ ." ." ." ." ." ! " ." +- ++ "" "! ". "0 "* < , ", !+ !+ ." ." ." ." ." ! " ." +- ++ "" "! ". "0 "* < , ", 9; 9; !* * A @ -
  • 9. & ! " 1#! !# ,/1 !# ,* !# *// !# 01. ! #/ ., & & ! . -#! ! #0 +* ! #* !* -#+ + ! #+ !" -#! . & & -#* + -# -, !+ +- !+ +- !+ ++ !+ ++ ." "" ." "" ." "! ." "! ." ". ." ". ." "0 ." "0 ." "* ." "* !" <, !" <, C) C) = = ! #+ ". ! #1 ". ! #. ". ++ #. +* #. -#, + ! #+ "! !# "+ +. # /#! , -# 1- 1#! + 1#! * 1# 1* !+ +- !+ +- !+ ++ !+ ++ ." "" ." "" ." "! ." "! ." ". ." ". ." "0 ." "0 ." "* ." "* !" <, !" <, C) C) = = ' !11 !11 !11 !11 !/ * !" 0 ' ' !1 , !0 0 -1 !" " !* ! +* +- +* !+ +- !+ +- !+ ++ !+ ++ ." "" ." "" ." "! ." "! ." ". ." ". ." "0 ." "0 ." "* ." "* !" <, !" <, C) C) = = % B ! " < , !. #
  • 10. D Privatization Review Review Year " ! . 0 * , 1 / - + !" Annual Adjustment (Factor X = 0 in the first 4 years) .! $ #. Annual Adjustment (Factor X = 0) D C .& /0 & .& E FE 9( ' F) G @ ; 9 H I& H ; +
  • 11. D ! 1$ -# 20% ! 1$ /# !# 0-$ ! #$ *0 15% ! #$ !! !# !1$ 7.6% 12.1% 16.9% 10% 1#$ * 11.8% 7.5% 7.3% 1.6% 5% D 6.3% 3.7% 4.5% 3.6% 4.8% 2.5% 1.7% .! $ #. 0% -4.3% -5% -10% 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Parcel B Parcel A PIS/COFINS IGPM GJ .* $ #0 ++
  • 12. 4 C ." "0 5 D ! #, "+ $ !# $ !1, / # & & & & 1 I > E >,. . 8* >*//! 8 ! " /#/$ ! " /#/$ >-+, >-!* 9 >-!; ( >-8/, . >+--, 8 & 0+ $ #, *0 $ #! & >0 / . >* 1 . >++ K' @ >.* >.* 3 >*. R$ 42 /0 & & R$ 106.9 + *2 3 #& & 4( & 2 & & (1 *2 +
  • 13. (: !$ .$ /$ !$ , ./$ .$ 4 1"$ .$ ! ,$ ! C L !$ + 0$ . 0$ . 0$ ! ." "0 ." "* ." ", +
  • 14. ( A & ++ 8-! 18+ 0! -8 + 1* ,10 8 / !1/. 8 !0 - 8+ !* 8/. !* + 8* ,, , *" " ,, 8/. 0, - 8* 01 0 .-0 8 + *. ! +// *, 81, /0- /,/ !0 . 1.0 0- * ** + 80 !. 8/. 0-, 8 ! 52 !/ + !-1 !" 81" .* 81. 48 -,* ." + 8! ,/! ." "0 ." "* !" <* !" <, ." "0 ." "* !" <* !" <, ." "0 ." "* !" <* !" <, & D A M3 .* !" . 9 /-; -1 9, ; !, 9, ; *0 48 48 1 9 1; ." "0 ." "* !" <* !" <, ." "0 ." "* !" <* ! " <, +
  • 15. 4 ST vs. LT Evolution of Debt 5,278 5,284 5,256 5,278 5,284 5,256 100% 29% 2,242.5 2,402.7 75% 3,090.8 77% 73% 50% 1,102.0 1,097.0 71% 762.5 25% 1,778.8 1,916.9 23% 27% 1,424.5 0% 2003 2004 2Q05 2003 2004 2Q05 ST LT FCESP CVA/RTE Private Creditors +(
  • 16. < ,+ . 8" ,. 8/- ,. 8-* ,. 1 8, !" "$ !/$ ! $N . *$ . 0$ , -"$ 0$ 1"$ *$ *$ " ,$ * 1.$ -0$ --$ .$ " "$ ." ". ." "0 ." "* . ", 3 < N"$ !" 4 # 4 # +*
  • 17. 5 !- + *-, !0 " !0 0 !+ , !! " -0 ./" !. " 0" " 1./ ," ! *0 + *- , ++ 0+ ! .-+ !0 + !- , ! " < , . " < , ." "1 ." "/ ." "- ." "+ .! "" > %& ? >N 56 & *$ $ ( 7 $ 8 2( ' 5 / 5 9& & # : & ++ $ ( 3 # # $ # & # # & & #& +-( *$ $ ( 1 + (2 & $-$ ( 1 7' (2 * 3 #( ; # & +
  • 18. " -@. " 1@. " , : & * 2 . & ( & < < & + 2 (; 22 + & < & & 9 & & & & ." ", & 9 & & & I ' ." "* = & & &# 3 > 3 & ." "0 ? @ # # +-
  • 19. !" C <, B + & ; & & ; ) ./ @< ! "B <, : & & &> 3 # # .# & # A 2 B & & @ )' # ) ' : & ) 6 & 2 :& # & & &> #& 2 C. , & <6 & # 6 & D & & & # & & & @1 @2 ( . "B , 6 .& 3 )? :'6 C ' <$= < :& &@ < # & - 3 # ;3 # & & & 3# & >2 & / # 6 & 3 & # # & & & & & # & & 2 +
  • 20. .# & & # & # 6 & D & & & & 0 & 3# && & & # ? & 6 & ! & & & # 2 #? & ' & ## &> # & # & @& D 9 # & # & & &> 2 # & . # 0 #& 2