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Electricity 101:
    Operations and Recent Statistics
                                                November 2009




Legislative advertising paid for by: John W. Fainter, Jr. • President and CEO Association of Electric Companies of Texas, Inc.
           1005 Congress, Suite 600 • Austin, TX 78701 • phone 512-474-6725 • fax 512-474-9670 • www.aect.net
AECT Principles



 • AECT is an advocacy group composed of member companies committed to:

            - Ensuring a modern, reliable infrastructure for the supply & delivery of
              electricity.

            - Supporting efficient competitive markets that are fair to customers and
              market participants.

            - Supporting consistent and predictable oversight and regulation that will
              promote investment and ensure the stability of Texas’ electric industry.

            - Promoting an economically strong and environmentally healthy future for
              Texas, including conservation and efficient use of available resources.

 • AECT member companies remain dedicated to providing Texas customers with
   reliable service and are committed to the highest standards of integrity.

 The Association of Electric Companies of Texas, Inc. (AECT) is a trade organization of investor-
 owned electric companies in Texas. Organized in 1978, AECT provides a forum for member
 company representatives to exchange information about public policy, and to communicate with
 government officials and the public. For more information, visit www.aect.net.
                                                                                                    2
U.S. Divided into Eight
Reliability Regions



 • The eight reliability regions in the      FERC
 continental U.S. are subject to the
 oversight and enforcement authority of      NERC
 the North American Electric Reliability
 Corporation (NERC), which is subject to
 the Federal Energy Regulatory
 Commission’s (FERC) oversight. NERC
 is responsible for developing standards
 to ensure and improve reliability for
 delivery of electricity on the bulk power
 system.


• Electric systems in Texas are located
 within four separate reliability regions:
 - Texas Regional Entity (TRE),
   which oversees participants in the
   Electric Reliability Council of
   Texas (ERCOT) (green shading);
 - SERC Reliability Corporation;
 - Southwest Power Pool (SPP); and
 - Western Electricity Coordinating
   Council (WECC).
                                             (ERCOT)



                                                       3
AECT Member Companies
Within ERCOT


                               Retail Electric Providers




                        Transmission and Distribution Utilities




                               Generation Companies




                                                              4
AECT Companies
Outside of ERCOT



                    SERC Reliability Corporation




                   Southwest Power Pool (SPP)




                   Western Electricity Coordinating
                          Council (WECC)




                                                      5
Contents




       Slide 7:    AECT Member Companies
       Slide 24:   Electric Market Structures in Texas
       Slide 37:   Texas’ Wholesale Electric Markets
       Slide 47:   ERCOT Generation Mix
       Slide 53:   Types of Generation: Benefits and
                   Challenges
       Slide 64:   Emissions and the Environment
       Slide 76:   Transmission and Distribution Utilities
       Slide 84:   Energy Efficiency
       Slide 91:   Competitive Retail Electric Market in
                   ERCOT
                                                             6
AECT Member Companies




                        7
AEP SWEPCO
Vertically Integrated Utility




 Southwestern Electric Power Company,
 headquartered in Shreveport, LA,
 serves 460,000 customers in East
 Texas and the Texas Panhandle,
 Northwest Louisiana, and the western
 edge of Arkansas. SWEPCO has been
 providing low-cost, reliable electricity to
 customers since 1912. SWEPCO is a
 vertically integrated company operating
 as a member of the Southwest Power
 Pool.


                                               8
AEP Texas
Transmission & Distribution Utility




 AEP Texas is connected to and serves
 more than 900,000 electric consumers
 in the deregulated Texas marketplace.
 As an energy delivery company, AEP
 Texas delivers electricity safely and
 reliably to homes, businesses and
 industry across its nearly 100,000
 square mile service territory in south
 and west Texas.




                                          9
CenterPoint Energy
Transmission & Distribution Utility




 CenterPoint Energy maintains the wires,
 poles and electric infrastructure
 delivering service to more than 2 million
 consumers in its 5,000-square-mile
 electric service territory in the Houston
 metropolitan area. While CenterPoint
 Energy employees ensure the reliable
 delivery of electricity from power plants
 to homes and businesses, the company
 neither generates power nor sells it to
 retail customers.


                                             10
Direct Energy
Retail Electric Provider




 Direct Energy is part of the Centrica
 group of companies, one of the largest
 multi-state providers of retail energy
 services in North America. The North
 American operations have grown to
 more than 5 million residential and
 commercial customer relationships.
 Through its Direct Energy, CPL Retail
 Energy and WTU Retail Energy brands,
 the company is the third largest retail
 energy provider in Texas.
                                           Competitive Areas of Texas


                                                                        11
El Paso Electric Company
Vertically Integrated Utility




 El Paso Electric is a vertically integrated
 utility serving approximately 357,000
 customers in the Rio Grande Valley in
 west Texas and southern New Mexico.
 El Paso Electric is an operating member
 of the Western Electricity Coordinating
 Council.




                                               12
Entergy Texas
Vertically Integrated Utility




 The Entergy Texas service area starts
 at the southeast Texas/Louisiana border
 and stretches up into the piney woods
 of east Texas, down to the Gulf of
 Mexico and across to the lake country
 north of Houston. Entergy Texas serves
 approximately 385,000 customers in 26
 counties.




                                           13
Exelon Generation
Electric Generation Company




 Exelon Generation owns and controls about
 33,000 megawatts of electricity generation
 capacity from a diverse portfolio that includes
 the nation’s largest fleet of nuclear power
 plants. The company maintains strong
 positions in the Midwest and Mid-Atlantic
 regions. In Texas, it owns or controls about
 3,700 megawatts of natural gas-fired
 generation, with plants in Dallas, Fort Worth
 and LaPorte. Exelon has also announced
 plans to submit a combined Construction and
 Operating License application for the possible
 construction of a nuclear power plant in
 Victoria County.

                                                   14
First Choice Power
Retail Electric Provider




 First Choice Power began serving
 customers as a retail electric provider
 across Texas on Jan. 1, 2002, when
 deregulation of the electric industry was
 introduced in Texas. First Choice Power
 is one of the largest retail electric
 providers in the state. It is led by a
 management team with experience in
 the deregulated markets in Texas and
 throughout the nation.

                                             Competitive Areas of Texas


                                                                          15
Luminant
Electric Generation Company




 Luminant is a competitive power
 generation business, including mining,
 wholesale marketing and trading,
 construction and development. It has
 over 18,300 MW of generation in Texas,
 including 2,300 MW of nuclear and
 5,800 MW of coal-fueled generation
 capacity, and is the largest purchaser of
 wind-generated electricity in Texas and
 fifth largest in the U.S.



                                             16
NRG Energy
Electric Generation Company




 NRG Texas is the second largest
 electrical generator in Texas with more
 than 1,100 professional employees
 operating a diverse generation portfolio
 of almost 11,000 megawatts of power.
 NRG Texas also has an extensive
 repowering program including a new
 combined cycle gas plant at the Cedar
 Bayou plant east of Houston, a coal unit
 at Limestone; two wind projects in West
 Texas and the first new nuclear units
 proposed for the United States in more
 than 29 years.
                                            17
Oncor
Transmission & Distribution Utility




 Oncor is a regulated electric distribution
 and transmission business that delivers
 reliable electricity to consumers. Oncor
 operates the largest distribution and
 transmission system in Texas, providing
 power to more than 3 million electric
 delivery points over more than 115,000
 miles of transmission and distribution
 lines.




                                              18
Optim Energy
Electric Generation Company




 Optim Energy is a joint venture of PNM
 Resources and Cascade Investment,
 L.L.C. It provides wholesale generation
 and marketing and trading services in
 the ERCOT region. The company owns
 two generation assets, both in Texas,
 representing 920 megawatts. In
 addition, the company and NRG are
 jointly developing a 550-megwatt
 combined cycle natural gas unit near
 Houston.


                                           19
Reliant Energy
Retail Electric Provider




 Reliant Energy, Inc., based in Houston,
 Texas, provides electricity and energy-
 related products to more than 1.8 million
 retail and wholesale customers in Texas
 and in the Mid-Atlantic Region. As one
 of the largest electricity providers in
 Texas, Reliant works hard to provide its
 customers with competitive electric
 prices, innovative products and
 unmatched customer service for their
 homes and businesses.
                                             Competitive Areas of Texas


                                                                          20
Texas-New Mexico Power Co.
Transmission & Distribution Utility




 Currently, TNMP provides electric
 service to 76 cities and more than
 226,000 customers throughout Texas.
 TNMP is owned by PNM Resources, an
 energy holding company based in
 Albuquerque, New Mexico.




                                       21
TXU Energy
Retail Electric Provider




 TXU Energy is a market-leading
 competitive retailer that provides
 electricity and related services to more
 than 2 million electricity customers in
 Texas. TXU Energy offers a variety of
 innovative products and solutions,
 including 24/7 customer service,
 competitively priced service plans,
 energy efficiency options and renewable
 energy programs.

                                            Competitive Areas of Texas


                                                                         22
Xcel Energy
Vertically Integrated Utility




 Xcel Energy owns Southwestern Public
 Service Company, a regional electric
 utility that provides retail and wholesale
 service to about 1 million persons in a
 45,000 square-mile area comprised of
 the South Plains and Panhandle of
 Texas, and eastern New Mexico.




                                              23
Electric Market Structures in Texas




                                      24
History of Electric Utility
Regulation in Texas

Pre-1975
•   Cities regulated electric utility service and rates.
•   Generally, a declining cost industry – rate applications most often filed to decrease rates.


1975
•   Inflation, construction costs and fuel costs drive electricity rates up.
•   64th Texas Legislature enacts Public Utility Regulatory Act (PURA) to implement state regulation of
    electric utility service and rates (Cities permitted to retain original jurisdiction).
      – Service area, transmission line and generating plant certification.
      – Rate regulation (based on cost of service plus reasonable return on investment).
      – Rates based on historical test year costs and original costs of infrastructure, less depreciation.
      – Service quality regulation.
      – Customer protection.




                                                                                                             25
History of Electric Utility
    Regulation in Texas


1976-1995
•     1978 U.S. Fuel Use Act required utilities to discontinue use of natural gas and encouraged the use of
      coal and nuclear for fuel.
•     Inflation, volatile fuel costs and the need to add new generating capacity continue to increase
      electricity rates.
•     Rate proceedings at PUC become increasingly adversarial.
       –   Consumer groups concerned about frequency and amount of rate increases.
       –   Utilities concerned about increasingly large PUC cost disallowances that are at odds with the
           regulatory compact and erode rates of return.
•     Large customers tire of subsidizing other ratepayers seek opportunities to by-pass regulated rates and
      obtain choice of suppliers.
       –   Cogeneration/self-generation.
       –   Advocate wholesale competition and transmission open access.
       –   Advocate “retail wheeling”.
•     Natural gas was favored again when the 1978 U.S. Fuel Use Act was repealed in the 1990s.



                                                                                                               26
Steps to Electric Competition
 In Texas

                                                                          Jan.
                                                                          2007
                                                            Jan.
                                                                         End of
                                                            2005         price-to-
                                                  Jan.      Affiliate
                                                                         beat
                                                  2002      REPs
                                       July     Retail
                                                            allowed to
                                       2001                 offer non-
                                                choice
                                                            price-to-
                              Sept.   Texas
                                                begins in
                                                            beat
                              1999              ERCOT
                                      Choice                prices
                  June    ERCOT       pilot
                          Electric    program
                  1999                begins
                          rates
   May                    frozen
              Retail
   1995       competition
Wholesale     legislation
competition
legislation
              Passed (SB 7)
passed (SB 373)                                                                  27
Wholesale and Retail Electric
Competition Were Passed
With Broad, Bipartisan Support


•   Senate Bill 373, which opened the wholesale electricity market in Texas,
    passed in 1995 when the Democrats were the majority party in the
    House and Senate.
     – The Speaker of the House and the Lieutenant Governor were both
       Democrats, and the bill sponsors and authors were both Democrats.


•   Senate Bill 7, which opened the competitive market, passed in 1999.
     – The Senate and the Lieutenant Governor were Republican, but the House
       was still majority Democrat. The House sponsor and author of the bill and the
       House Speaker in 1999 were both Democrats.
     – Senate Bill 7 passed the House with a vote of 144 Ayes and 4 Nays.


•   It was a bipartisan measure: 74 of the Aye votes were from Democrats,
    while 68 were from Republicans.
     – The bill passed the Senate with a vote of 28 Ayes and 3 nays.


                                                                                       28
Steps to Competition:
Wholesale Competition


•   Senate Bill No. 373 enacted in May 1995
    –   Required utilities to provide non-discriminatory open access transmission
        to support wholesale competition in ERCOT.
    –   Recognized new, unregulated participants in ERCOT wholesale market.
            Exempt wholesale generators
            Power marketers
    –   Allowed non-utility wholesale market participants to offer market-based
        prices in ERCOT.
    –   Deregulated electric cooperative distribution rates.
    Note: Non-ERCOT areas are subject to FERC jurisdiction for wholesale
    services, including transmission services.




                                                                                    29
Steps to Competition:
Retail Competition

•   ERCOT market restructuring legislation, Senate Bill 7, passed in
    1999
     – Initiated competition in ERCOT retail markets beginning January 2002.
     – Municipally-owned utilities and electric cooperatives allowed to “opt-in”.
     – Included environmental and energy efficiency provisions.
          • Required reduction of nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions from older power plants by
            50%, and sulfur dioxide emission from coal-fired facilities by 25%.
          • Utilities required to fund energy efficiency programs equal to at least 10% of each
            year’s annual growth in demand.
     – 1999 - 2001 – Preparation for retail competition.
          • Electricity rates frozen.
          • ERCOT develops systems required to support competition.
          • PUC promulgates competition rules.
          • PUC determines rate unbundling cases.
     – July 2001 – Retail competition pilot project begins.




                                                                                                  30
Steps to Competition:
    Transition Period


•    January 2002-2006 Transition Period
      –   “Affiliated” generators
           • Required to make 15% of their power available to non-affiliated retail providers
           • During first two years, limited to guaranteed market price for power as projected by
                PUC
           • Given incentives to install environmental clean-up equipment

      –   Transmission and Distribution Utilities
           • Initial rates set using estimated/generic costs
           • Recovery of stranded and other transition costs authorized but delayed until 2004
              True-up proceeding
               – Securitization bonds lower cost to customers


      –   “Affiliated” retail electric providers
           • Required to lower base rates by six percent (Price to Beat)
               – Adjustable only for increases in natural gas prices
               – Price to Beat remains in place until 12-31-06
           • No price competition allowed in former service area until 2005


                                                                                                    31
Structural Unbundling


•   Incumbents required to separate business activities into the following
    units.
     – Power generation company.
     – Retail electric provider.
     – Transmission and distribution utility.
•   Generation and retail businesses are not regulated utilities.
     – Power Generation Companies must be registered with PUC.
     – Retail Electric Providers must be certified by PUC.

•   Transmission and distribution businesses remain regulated utilities.

•   Methods for separation of business activities.
     – Creation of separate non-affiliated companies.
     – Creation of separate affiliated companies owned by a common holding
       company.
     – Sale of assets to a third party.

•   Each ERCOT utility chose different models.
•   Code of conduct rules enforce separation requirements.                   32
ERCOT: Separate companies provide
retail, transmission & distribution and
generation services




                                                                        Power Flow
                                                                        Financial Flow
                                                                        Regulated




    • In competitive markets, consumers have multiple retail electric providers
    (REPs) and service plans to choose from.

    • Wholesale and retail prices are set by competitive market forces, while the
    PUC sets transmission and distribution rates.                                        33
ERCOT: Separate companies provide
retail, transmission & distribution and
generation services




                                                                        Power Flow
                                                                        Financial Flow
                                                                        Regulated




    • Because wholesale electric prices are set by the competitive market, the
    risks associated with the cost of construction, operations and maintenance
    of a generation plant are borne entirely by the generator and its investors,
    not by end-use customers.
                                                                                         34
Outside ERCOT: A single company
provides retail, transmission & distribution
and generation services in each area




                                                                          Power Flow
                                                                          Financial Flow
                                                                          Regulated




    • In fully regulated markets, the PUC sets retail rates charged to end-use
    customers.
    • Each of these service areas is part of multi-state electric grids, with
    differing regulations. In many cases, vertically integrated utilities purchase
    wholesale power from certain unregulated entities.                                     35
Outside ERCOT: A single company
provides retail, transmission & distribution
and generation services in each area




                                                                       Power Flow
                                                                       Financial Flow
                                                                       Regulated




    • New power plants in these regions can be built by both regulated entities
    and certain unregulated entities or qualifying facilities.
    • Regulated utility power plants, however, must be approved by the PUC
    after a rigorous review of need and siting.
                                                                                        36
Texas’ Wholesale
 Electric Markets




                    37
The Competitive Wholesale Market: A
Success Story



               Competition has brought greater efficiency
                         to the wholesale market
   – Generators shoulder the risk of building new power plants, bringing efficient,
     cost-effective generation to consumers.
   – New power plants produce more electricity per unit of fuel.
   – New power plants include modern environmental emissions controls.

            The competitive market is in the public interest
   – Operational efficiency of a competitive market helps push wholesale prices
     downward.
   – No market structure is more effective at ensuring efficient operations than a
     competitive one.

                 Policy decisions should be focused on
                      maintaining vibrant competition
   – Texas leaders should support policies that maintain the competitive market.
   – The competitive market will bring forward the right mix of technology and fuel
     type based on environmental choices by policymakers.
                                                                                      38
Permitted and Operating Electric
Generating Units in Texas




                                   39
ERCOT Wholesale
Market Management



•   System Reliability
     –   ERCOT oversees system reliability.
     –   ERCOT is part of national reliability council.
     –   ERCOT protocols, approved by PUC, mandate system reliability standards that all
         market participants must follow.

•   Statute and Rules Address “Market Power” and Generation Merger Issues
     –   Independent Market Monitor oversees wholesale market operations.
     –   Generating capacity owned and controlled by a Power Generation Company limited to
         20% of installed generating capacity capable of delivering power to a power region.
     –   Administrative penalties for market power abuse were reviewed and updated during the
         79th Regular Session.
     –   Mergers of Power Generation Companies subject to PUC review.

•   Market Design
     –   ERCOT will transition to a Nodal Market in 2009 as a result of PUC rulemaking.
     –   The change is expected to bring cost-savings and additional efficiency to the market by
         enhancing market transparency and allocating costs more accurately to market
         participants.

                                                                                                   40
Wholesale Market
Management Outside ERCOT



•   System Reliability
     –   Larger, multi-state Councils (SERC, SPP, WECC) oversee system reliability.
     –   Each is part of national reliability council.
     –   Protocols, approved by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC), mandate
         system reliability standards that all market participants must follow.



•   Wholesale market operations overseen by FERC




                                                                                           41
Increased Population Drives
Future Electric Consumption


                                    Texas’ Projected Population Growth
                                    Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2004
                                               (median scenario)


   •To meet increases in electric                                                43.6 million

   load created by Texas’ rapid
   population and economic                                        36.3 million
   growth, Texas will require                      30.3 million
   additional power, transmission
   and distribution, customer       25.1 million
   demand response and energy
   efficiency.




                                      2010          2020            2030           2040

                                                              Source: Texas State Data Center

                                                                                                42
Electric Demand Continues to
Grow in ERCOT




 Note: The peak in electric consumption in 2000 was   Source: ERCOT, “Report on Existing and Potential
 due to an exceptionally hot summer.                  Electric System Constraints and Needs,” December
                                                                                                       43
                                                      2008
ERCOT Restructuring Spurred
Massive Generation Investment


  Generation Investment in ERCOT: Before and After Wholesale Competition




                                                                           44
Update on ERCOT Reserve Margins




 Source: ERCOT, “Report on Existing and Potential Electric System Constraints and Needs,” December 2008

                                                                                                          45
ERCOT Long-Term Projections Show
Substantial Investment Still Needed




 Source: ERCOT, “Report on the Capacity, Demand and Reserves in the ERCOT Region,” May 2008

                                                                                              46
ERCOT Generation Mix




                       47
ERCOT Generation Mix



•       The generation technology mix is an outcome of a robust competitive wholesale
        market and environmental policy decisions.

•       In addition to the price of fuels and the cost of technology, environmental and siting
        issues impact choices made by generation developers.

•       Coal, including lignite, is an important fuel in the ERCOT electric generation mix.

          – Coal is the most abundant fossil fuel in the United States, with an estimated
            200 year supply remaining (per the Energy Information Administration (EIA)).
          – Electricity produced from Texas lignite exceeds the entire generation of 28
            states individually.
                  • Texas lignite accounts for about 45% of the coal used in the state for electricity.
                  • Texas’ lignite mining industry is a key part of the state economy, providing over
                    33,000 permanent jobs and contributing about $10.5 billion in annual Total
                    Expenditures.

•       The existing framework of Texas’ competitive wholesale electric market has helped
        lead generators to invest in and announce plans for over 27,000 MW of new
        generation, including natural gas, coal, nuclear and renewable power.
    Sources: EIA, National Mining Association, The Perryman Group                                         48
ERCOT Generation Mix
In 2009




Source: Public Utility Commission of Texas (PUC) Chair Barry Smitherman Presentation to the Gulf Coast Power Association, Oct. 6, 2009   49
ERCOT Generation Mix
In 2013


           Assuming 18,000 MW of wind, approximately 5,600 MW of new
                        coal, 4,300 MW of new natural gas




Source: Public Utility Commission of Texas (PUC) Chair Barry Smitherman Presentation to the Gulf Coast Power Association, Oct. 6, 2009   50
Gas on the Margin in ERCOT
Year-Round




                                        Examples are purely illustrative

•   There are multiple types of power plants with different operations in ERCOT that are operated
    on different schedules.
     –   Because of their lower marginal costs, nuclear and coal-fired power plants in ERCOT operate
         approximately 90 percent of the time.
     –   In contrast, natural gas-fired power plants are ramped on and off, depending upon demand.
     –   Wind-generated electricity is only intermittently available, depending on wind conditions.

•   Some natural gas-fired generation is required to operate at all times in the ERCOT region to
    meet demand.
     –   Natural gas-fired generation sets the market price of wholesale electricity in ERCOT.
     –   Natural gas-fired units that are used to meet peak demand tend to be older units that cost more to   51
         operate.
Business Climate for Generators
in ERCOT


•    In ERCOT, generation companies assume all of the financial risk included in a new generation
     projects.

•    The decision to build new generation thus depends upon whether the generator believes the
     electricity can be sold at a price to recoup construction costs, cover operations and
     maintenance costs and achieve a profit.

•    Market forces have been effective in bringing new generation to the state, with over 37,063
     MW of generation constructed since the advent of wholesale competition in 1995. Another
     4,433 MW of new generation is under construction, according to the PUC.

•    While not all is expected to the built, the PUC reports 25,756 MW of new generation has been
     announced:
      – 6,389 MW of new coal-fired generation
      – 6,002 MW of new nuclear generation
      – 8,012 MW of new wind-powered generation
      – 5,253 MW of new natural gas-fired generation

•    Though such news is positive, market forces and legislative and regulatory certainty will
     ultimately dictate how much of the announced new generation is actually built.



Data source: PUC, “New Electric Generating Plants in Texas,” as of November 17, 2007                52
Types of Generation:
Benefits and Challenges




                          53
Three Key Factors Affecting Choices
for New Generation




                                                En
                                n
                             tio




                                                  vir
                           ra




                                                     on
                         ne




                                                       m
                       Ge




                                                        en
                                                          ta
                    of




                                                            l Is
                 pe




                                                                su
               Ty




                                    Wholesale




                                                                  es
                                     Market


                      Cost of Construction and Fuels



                                                                       54
Coal-Fired Generation




Type of Generation
+ Coal-fired plants provide baseload generation, by running
   approximately 90 percent of the time.

Environmental Issues
- Greater air emissions than natural gas-fired plants,
   including rate of about twice the CO2 per kWh generated.
- Risk of higher costs due to future carbon-capture
   requirements.


Cost of Construction and Fuels
+ Currently, pulverized coal generation is economical to build based on current
   natural gas prices.
+ Long-term domestic supply of coal, including lignite.
+ Fuel cost is relatively low
- High initial capital costs relative to natural gas-fired plants.

                                                                                  55
Natural Gas-Fired Generation




Type of Generation
- Natural gas plants, such as combined-cycle plants, can
   provide baseload generation, but demand conditions in
   ERCOT result in a lower capacity factor than for coal-fired
   or nuclear-powered generation.
+ Other simple-cycle natural gas plants have quick start-up
   and shut-down times to allow them to meet peak demand.

Environmental Issues
+ Lowest air emissions among fossil fuels.
+ Newest power plants operate more efficiently, burning less
   fuel per MWh of generation.

Cost of Construction and Fuels
+ Low initial capital costs.
- When natural gas prices are high, gas-fired power plants are expensive to operate.


                                                                                       56
Nuclear-Powered Generation




Type of Generation
+ Nuclear-powered plants provide baseload generation by
   running approximately 90 percent of the time.


Environmental Issues
+ No air emissions.
- Long-term storage of waste needs to be implemented.
- Historic concerns regarding public perception of safety of
   nuclear power.

Cost of Construction and Fuels
+ Lowest fuel cost of all large-scale generation.
- High capital costs.
- Longest permitting and construction times among generation types.



                                                                      57
Wind-Powered Generation




Type of Generation
+ Wind is plentiful in certain parts of Texas.
- Wind blows intermittently, making it a less reliable power
   source.

Environmental Issues
+ No air emissions.
- Can affect migratory birds.
- Concerns about aesthetic impact.


Cost of Construction and Fuels
+ No fuel cost.
- Limited ability to replace other generation to satisfy reserve margins.
- Imposes other costs on the system, such as increased ancillary service
   requirements, backup capacity and the need for transmission lines to reach rural
   wind farms.

                                                                                      58
Solar Generation




Type of Generation
+ Solar power is generally reliable, but intermittent, as it
   depends on certain levels of sunlight.
- Plants are generally small in scale.

Environmental Issues
+ No air emissions.
- Large areas of land needed for effective solar arrays.


Cost of Construction and Fuels
- Can have 15 to 20 times the capacity cost of natural gas-fired generation
+ No fuel cost.
- Cannot be used to replace other generation to satisfy reserve margins.
- Imposes other costs on the system, such as the need for transmission lines, since
   large-scale solar power plants would be located in areas far from population
   centers.

                                                                                      59
Biomass and Landfill Gas
Generation


Type of Generation
+ Biomass and landfill gas generation generally operates
   reliably.
- Plants are generally small in scale.


Environmental Issues
- Plants burning biomass can have high CO2 emissions.
+ Landfill gas facilities reduce methane greenhouse gas
   emissions.
- Generation is difficult to permit and site.


Cost of Construction and Fuels
- Requires high capital and operating costs when compared with fossil fuel-fired
   generation
- Often located far from population centers, requiring high transmission costs


                                                                                   60
Hydroelectric Generation




Type of Generation
+ Hydroelectric power is reliable to operate, except during
   drought.
- Texas has very little potential for new hydroelectric power
   generation.

Environmental Issues
+ No air emissions.
- Can kill fish.


Cost of Construction and Fuels
+ Once built, hydroelectric power is among the least expensive forms of power, as it
   has no fuel costs.
- High capital costs



                                                                                       61
Energy Efficiency and
Demand-Side Management


Type of Technology
+ Several cost effective solutions available.
- Success requires broad implementation.


Environmental Issues
+ Reduces emissions that would otherwise accompany fossil
   fuel usage.


Cost of Construction and Fuels
+ Can improve cost levels for residents and customers.
+ Reduces need for building new power supply.




                                                            62
Estimated Cost of New Generation




 Chart Source: EEI




                                   63
Emissions and the Environment




                                64
Texas is Already Leading the Way
in Clean Power Plants




                                                       0.246
                0.419                                   OK              0.219
                 NM                                                      AR


                                                                        0.170
                                            0.103                        LA
                                             TX


                                                                                  2007 NOx Emission Rate
                                                                       Area         Averages (lbs/mmBtu)
                                                                       National                   0.237
                                                                       Texas                      0.103




Source: EPA Clean Air Markets Division - 2007 Acid Rain Program Data                                       65
Electric Generator-
NOx Reductions Achieved Under
TCEQ 1-hr Ozone SIP Rules



– HGA SIP- 86% overall reduction from 1997

– DFW SIP- 88% overall reduction from 1997

– Beaumont SIP- 45% reduction from 1997

– East Texas SIP- 51% reduction from 1997

         Between 2000 and 2005, electric generating
       companies in Texas spent over $1 billion on NOx
                emission reductions alone.
                                                         66
Texas’ Electric Generating
        Plants Among Lowest NOx
        Emitters in the Nation
                                     NOX RATE


                 0.700




                 0.600                          Texas has the 8th
                                                lowest NOx emissions
NOx (lb/MMBtu)




                                                rate and the lowest of
                 0.500
                                                states that use coal.

                 0.400




                 0.300


                                                       U.S. Average

                 0.200




                 0.100




                 0.000



                                                                                             67
                                                         EPA Acid Rain Database, 2007 data
Texas’ Electric Generating
   Plants Among Lowest SO2
   Emitters in the Nation

                                SO2_RATE


                 2.000



                 1.800
                                           Texas has the 16th
                 1.600
                                           lowest SO2 emissions
                                           rate and one of the
SO2 (lb/MMBtu)




                 1.400                     lowest of states that
                                           use coal.
                 1.200



                 1.000



                 0.800

                                                  U.S. Average
                 0.600



                 0.400



                 0.200



                 0.000




                                                                                       68
                                                   EPA Acid Rain Database, 2007 data
CO2 Emissions:
                 Texas vs. Other States

                                          CO2 RATE


                 250
                                               Texas has the 16th
                                               lowest CO2 emissions
                                               rate and one of the
                                               lowest of states that
                 200                           use coal.
CO2 (lb/MMBtu)




                                                                            U.S. Average


                 150




                 100




                  50




                   0




                                                                                                       69
                                                                   EPA Acid Rain Database, 2007 data
CO2 Emissions in
Context of Texas’ Economy


A common refrain is that CO2 emissions generated in Texas are higher than in
other states. However, it is critical to view that in the context of other truths:

−       Texas generates more electricity than any other state; in fact, Texas produces almost
        80% more electricity than the next most generating state.1

−       Much of the CO2 emitted in Texas results from the generation of “products” that are
        very significant to our state and nation. For example, Texas produces about:
          −     60% of petrochemicals produced in the U.S.
          −     30% of gasoline and diesel refined in the U.S.
          −     10% of electricity generated in the U.S.

−       The dollars of gross product produced in Texas per ton of CO2 emitted is high, and it
        increased by more than 1000% between 1963 and 2001.

−       The ratio of the amount of CO2 emitted per MWh of electricity generated in Texas is
        lower than half of the states that have more than a nominal amount of coal-fired or oil-
        fired electricity generation (see previous slide).



1
                                                                                              70
    Source: EIA, 2006 State Electricity Profiles
Technical Feasibility of
CO2 Reductions




          Technology                 EIA 2008 Reference                Target

      Efficiency                  Load Growth ~ +1.05%/yr     Load Growth ~ +0.75%/yr
      Renewables                     55 GWe by 2030               100 GWe by 2030
      Nuclear
                                     15 GWe by 2030               64 GWe by 2030
      Generation

                              No Heat Rate Improvement      1-3% Heat Rate Improvement
      Advanced Coal               for Existing Plants        for 130 GWe Existing Plants
      Generation               40% New Plant Efficiency        46% New Plant Efficiency
                                    by 2020–2030                 by 2020; 49% in 2030

      CCS                                  None              Widely Deployed After 2020

                                                            10% of New Light-Duty Vehicle
      PHEV                                 None
                                                             Sales by 2017; 33% by 2030

      DER                    < 0.1% of Base Load in 2030      5% of Base Load in 2030

      Chart Source: EEI and EIA
                                                                                            71
Future Additional
Emission Reductions


   Federal Clean Air Interstate Rules (CAIR)
     − Requires additional NOx and SO2 emissions reductions from power plants in
       2009, 2010, and again in 2015, with a cap and trade program.
     − The NOx and SO2 emissions from all new units must “fit” under the 2009, 2010,
       and 2015 caps; such emissions are not in addition to those caps.
     − TCEQ has recently revised its rules to implement CAIR.

   Regional Haze
     − Requires reductions in NOx, SO2, and Particulate Matter (PM) emissions based
       on best available retrofit technology (BART) for different types of facilities,
       including electric generating units, industrial boilers, and refineries.
     − EPA has decided that NOx and SO2 emissions reductions made for CAIR will
       suffice for the NOx and SO2 emissions reduction requirements under Regional
       Haze.
     − The TCEQ is developing rules to implement BART.




                                                                                         72
Future Additional
    Emission Reductions


    Federal mercury (Hg) regulations (CAMR)
      − February 8th decision by DC Circuit Court to vacate rules
      − Would have marked the first time the any country has regulated
        mercury emissions from power plants
      − Would have required a 70% reduction of mercury emissions from
        power plants in all 50 states
      − If EPA has to set a Maximum Achievable Control Technology
        (MACT) standard:
          − the new emissions standard for each existing and new facility needs to
            be set according to fuel type
          − Different coals will require different controls and considerations.




                                                                                     73
Giving Back to the
Environment


•    AECT member companies help to improve our environment through stewardship,
     support for new technologies and partnership with other agencies.



    Environmental Stewardship                         Environmental Partnerships
    - Reducing releases of chlorofluorocarbons from
                                                      - Climate Challenge Program
    electrical equipment                              - Energy Star
    - Recycling coal combustion products              - Energy Smart Schools
    - Educating schools and communities about         - Environment Research Program
    renewable energy
    - Designating land and reservoirs for public      - EPA SF6 Partnership program
    recreational use                                  - Mickey Leland Internship Program
    - Preserving and restoring forests by planting    -TCEQ Teaching Environmental Science
    millions of trees                                 - Green Lights
    - Helping other industries adopt pollution-       - Habitat Protection
    prevention plans                                  - Learning From Light!
    - Launching education campaigns to help           - Millennium Council
    communities save energy                           - Million Solar Roofs
    - Creating wetlands and wildlife habitats on      - National Energy Education Development
    company properties                                (NEED) Project
                                                      - Natural Gas Star
    - Reclaimed water utilization
    - Offering renewable energy products to retail
    customers
                                                                                                74
Selected Environmental
Programs and Fees


•     The electric industry is among the most heavily regulated in the nation, complying
      with hundreds of regulations and paying millions of dollars in fees annually.



    Selected Current                                 Selected Current
    Environmental Programs                           Environmental Fees
    - Compliance with National Ambient Air Quality   - Title V federal operating permit fees
    Standards                                        - Air inspection fees
    - State Implementation Plan                      - Air quality permit fees
    - NOx reductions for electric generating units   - Air quality permit renewal fees
    - Clean Air Interstate/Clean Air Mercury Rules   - Wastewater inspection fees
    - New Source Review (NSR)                        - Wastewater permit application fees
    Prevention of Significant Deterioration          - Water quality fees
    - Non-attainment NSR, including offset           - Potable water fees
    - State Minor NSR                                - Water use permit application fees
    - Title V and Acid rain permits                  - Hazardous waste generation fees
    - Compliance Assurance Monitoring                - Non-hazardous waste fees
    - Continuous Emissions Monitoring Systems        - Low level radioactive waste fee
    - Toxic Release Inventory                        - Injection well fee
    - Monitoring cooling water
    - Mass Emission Cap and Trade Program
                                                                                               75
Transmission and Distribution Utilities




                                      76
TDUs’ Role in the Competitive ERCOT
Market



•   Transmission and Distribution Utilities:
       –    Provide reliable delivery of electricity on a 24-7 basis.
       –    Invest in and build infrastructure (e.g., transmission lines, Smart Grid) to support
            the needs of Texas’ growing economy.
       –    Manage their transmission networks under the direction of ERCOT; coordinating
            with ERCOT on transmission planning activities.
       –    Respond to outages (e.g., storms, natural disasters) that affect the grid and restore
            service as quickly as safely possible.
       –    Provide key market information, such as premise information and metering
            services to facilitate successful operation of the ERCOT deregulated market.
       –    Provide regulated transmission and distribution services to facilitate operations of
            wholesale and retail business entities.
       –    Charge regulated delivery rates to REPs
                  Rates based on a historical cost of service including a PUC-established return on capital
                   investment
                  Allocation of ERCOT-wide transmission costs
                  Non-bypassable charges include the cost to deliver electricity, System Benefit Fund,
                   recovery of true-up costs and nuclear decommissioning expenses for existing nuclear
                   facilities



                                                                                                               77
T&D Market Design:
ERCOT


• ERCOT Transmission
   – 1995 amendments to the Public Utilities Regulatory Act (PURA) required PUC to
     ensure open access to transmission grid, allowing new independent generators to
     utilize transmission network.
   – TX76RSB 7 adopted “postage stamp” transmission pricing structure and eliminated
     impact of location on transmission rates.
   – Transmission Cost of Service (TCOS) ratemaking structure implemented and billed
     to distribution service providers (DSP).
       – DSPs recover TCOS through the TDSP delivery rate and transmission cost recovery factor
         (TCRF), approved by PUC.

   – New transmission investment is coordinated through the ERCOT regional
     transmission planning process and requires PUC facility certification.




                                                                                                  78
Transmission Investment in Texas




                                                              •   Since 2006, TDUs have
                                                                  invested about $2.5 billion
                                                                  in the ERCOT transmission
                                                                  grid.

                                                              •   ERCOT estimates that the
                                                                  electric grid will require
                                                                  adding or improving 2,888
                                                                  circuit miles of transmission
                                                                  lines at a cost of about $3
                                                                  billion from 2009 through
                                                                  2013.

                                                              •   In addition, the integration
                                                                  of Competitive Renewable
Source: ERCOT, “Report on Existing and Potential Electrical       Energy Zones (CREZs) into
System Constraints and Needs,” December 2008                      the competitive ERCOT
                                                                  market will require
                                                                  additional investment of
                                                                  about $4.9 billion.             79
Continued Transmission and Distribution
Investment Needed Throughout Texas




•   According to the Texas State Data
    Center, 5 million new residents are
    expected in Texas by 2020.

•   New generation must be delivered
    effectively and efficiently to
    population centers of the state.

•   Texas must provide regulatory
    certainty and fair rates of return to
    ensure appropriate capital
    investment.

•   Though not shown here, areas of
    Texas located outside the ERCOT
    grid are also growing, both in terms
    of population and economic
    development.
                                            Source: ERCOT, “Report on Existing and Potential
                                            Electric System Constraints and Needs,” December
                                            2008


                                                                                               80
Challenges of Transmission
Line Construction

              Example of Transmission Construction Process in ERCOT




•   While certain types of generation can be constructed quickly -- often as short as 12-18
    months -- transmission lines typically take between three and five years. Generation can be
    brought into the market more rapidly if the siting takes advantage of the existing transmission
    infrastructure.
•   Building long transmission lines can affect many landowners, often requiring a lengthy and
    extensive easement acquisition effort.
•   The transmission line siting process must take into account the impact of those lines on
    environmentally sensitive and historically significant lands.
•   Utility is not typically allowed to begin recovering costs until year 5 or 6.                     81
Distribution Investment
Also Needed




•   The need to replace an aging distribution
    infrastructure to meet population and demand
    growth will require continued investment.

•   It is becoming more evident that rising construction
    material costs are an increasingly important driver
    contributing to the higher actual and planned utility
    industry infrastructure investments.
•   Nationwide, distribution investment is expected to be almost triple the size of
    projected transmission spending, according to the Edison Electric Institute.
    Distribution investment is likely to exceed generation and environmental capital
    spending, as well.




                                                                                       82
T&D Market Design:
Non-ERCOT



•   Non-ERCOT Transmission
    – Wholesale open access transmission rights subject to Federal Energy
      Regulatory Commission (FERC) jurisdiction.
    – FERC transmission pricing reflects location of generation.
    – FERC requires generators to bear higher cost relative to the ERCOT
      system of connecting with the transmission grid.
    – Certification in Texas is with the PUC.
    – Recently adopted PUC rules allows most non-ERCOT utilities to recover
      transmission investments between rate cases through a transmission cost
      recovery factor (TCRF).




                                                                                83
Renewable Generation in Texas




                                84
Texas Has the Most Installed
Wind Energy Capacity




                Almost 35% of the nation’s installed wind generation capacity
                                    is located in Texas.
Source: American Wind Energy Association, 1/09 (www.awea.org/projects)          85
Competitive Renewable Energy Zones:
Legislative and Regulatory Steps


•   The Texas Legislature mandated steady increases in renewable power in
    TX76RSB 7 (1999) and TX791RSB 20 (2005).
     –   Starting Line: 880 MW in 1999
     –   Old Goal 1: 2,880 MW by 2009 (Achieved by 2007)
     –   New Goal 1: 5,880 MW by 2015
     –   New Target 1: 10,000 MW by 2025
     –   New Target 2: 500 MW non-wind renewable generation

•   TX791SB 20 (2005) also required PUC to:
     –   designate Competitive Renewable Energy Zones (CREZs) in areas in which renewable
         energy resources and suitable land areas are sufficient to develop generating capacity
         from renewable technologies;
     –   develop a plan to construct necessary transmission capacity in a manner that is most
         beneficial and cost effective to customers; and
     –   take into account transmission constraints, the need for generation and the level of
         financial commitment by generators when defining CREZs.

•   PUC adopted Substantive Rule 25.174 in December 2006, which creates
    framework for determining CREZs.
•   Texas currently has 8,976 MW of installed renewable generation capacity (Oct
    2009).                                                                                        86
Map of Adopted
Competitive Renewable Energy Zones




                                     87
Energy Efficiency




                    88
Energy Efficiency in Texas:
Overview


•   Texas continues to be an energy leader through policies designed to improve the state’s
    energy efficiency programs and bring improved technologies to the electric market.
     –   Utility programs have reduced customer consumption that has allowed existing resources to meet
         new customer load, reducing the need for new generation.
     –   Advanced metering can help customers better manage their electric usage by providing information
         and opportunities that enable customer to take control of their energy consumption and bills.


•   The Texas Electric Choice Act requires electric utilities to provide energy efficiency
    programs and incentives, including low-income energy efficiency programs.
     –   TX80RHB 3693 raised the energy efficiency goal for electric utilities from 10% of annual demand
         growth to 15% in 2008 and 20% in 2009.


•   ERCOT competitive retailers are developing innovative plans and products that will help
    customers use less energy (e.g., customer education programs, energy audits, Internet-
    controllable thermostats, etc.)




                                                                                                            89
Energy Efficiency Programs
 Have Exceeded Goals


                                    Total Energy Savings by Investor-Owned Utilities
                                                      2003 - 2008




 •     In 2008, utilities in Texas exceeded their statewide legislative energy efficiency goals for the
       sixth straight year. Utilities achieved 202 MW of peak demand reduction in 2008, which was
       76% above their 115 MW goal.

 •     Energy savings from standard offer programs and market transformation programs resulted
       in an equivalent reduction of 882,519 pounds of nitrogen oxide emissions per year.
Source: Frontier Associates LLC, “Energy Efficiency Accomplishments of Texas Investor Owned Utilities, Calendar Year 2008”   90
TX80RHB 3693:
Enhancing Energy Efficiency


                    TX80RHB 3693 included a host of programs designed
                         to help reduce electricity usage in Texas.

•   Raises energy efficiency goal for electric utilities from 10% of annual demand growth to 15%
    in 2008 and 20% in 2009.

•   PUC will study energy efficiency programs by January 15, 2009, and submit a report to the
    legislature.
     –   The study shall address whether utility energy efficiency programs should continue and whether
         energy efficiency programs are best provided by the competitive market.
     –   The findings of the study will determine whether a goal increase to 30 percent is achievable by 2010
         and 50 percent by 2015.

•   PUC will work with ERCOT to develop a method to account for projected energy efficiency
    impacts in ERCOT’s forecasts of future capacity, demand, and reserves.




                                                                                                                91
TX80RHB 3693:
Enhancing Energy Efficiency



•   The bill also includes:
     –   an energy efficiency cost recovery factor;
     –   a utility financial incentive for exceeding goals; and
     –   the ability for utilities under a rate freeze to defer recognition of these costs.
     –   Provisions aimed at reducing energy consumption by schools and government
         buildings.
     –   Stronger, more energy-efficient building standards for low-income housing.
     –   Creates an annual sales tax holiday during Memorial Day weekend for energy efficient
         products that bear the designation of the nationwide “Energy Star” program.




                                                                                                92
Benefits of Advanced Metering




•   Customers can better manage their electric
    consumption, better manage their bills and
    lessen their environmental impact.

•   Advanced meters and other new technologies
    and associated infrastructure will provide information
    and opportunities that will enable customers to better
    understand the impact of controlling their energy
    consumption (e.g., shifting usage to off-peak times).

•   Advanced meters will also allow for more automation of utility functions
    such as meter reading and connections/disconnections, helping to
    reduce costs.




                                                                               93
The Smart Grid Transforms the Way
We Buy, Deliver and Use Electricity


Key Stakeholder                              Benefits
                  •   Real time grid feedback allows for more effective loading of utility assets
 Electric         •   Enables increased monitoring and diagnostics to enhance the life of utility assets
                  •   Improved line fault detection and diagnostics
 Utility          •   Improved system reliability and greater ease/timeliness of power restoration
                  •   Automated meter reading


                  • Power quality and reliability improvements
                  • Friendly access to detailed consumption information to make informed choices
 Consumers          and enable faster transactions
                  • Enables and promotes energy conservation


                  •   Expands retailer’s ability to offer new products
                  •   Facilitates time-of-use rates and critical peak pricing
 Retailers        •   Establishes platform to offer future home appliance monitoring and control
                  •   Allows retailers to offer pre-payment programs


                  •   Enables demand-side management
                  •   Facilitates integration of solar and wind generation into grid
 Environment      •   Promotes energy efficiency through immediate energy consumption awareness
                  •   Facilitates reduced electric consumption which leads to reduced power plant
                      emissions
                                                                                                           94
Advanced Metering Activities
in Texas


•   CenterPoint Energy and Oncor have received approvals from the Public Utility Commission
    of Texas (PUC) to deploy advanced metering systems (AMS) across their respective
    service territories.

•   The approved deployment plan for CenterPoint Energy calls for installation of advanced
    meters over five years beginning in March 2009. Through mid-September, CenterPoint
    Energy has installed over 76,500 advanced meters and expects to install a total of 145,000
    meters by year-end.

•   Oncor’s approved deployment plan initiated in late 2008 will have installation of advanced
    meters completed by the end of 2012. To date, Oncor has installed 294,000 meters.

•   The cost for the meters will be recovered through a monthly surcharge, which may be
    adjusted over time to reflect both the inclusion of AMS costs in future base rates and
    variances between the estimated versus the actual cost of implementing the deployment
    plan. The respective surcharges for both Oncor and CenterPoint Energy take into account
    the savings advanced meters are expected to bring each company.

•   AEP Texas has filed its deployment plan with the PUC and anticipates approval by the
    fourth quarter of this year.

                                                                                                 95
Competitive Retail Electric Market
           in ERCOT




                                     96
The ERCOT Competitive Retail Electric
Market is Providing Strong Customer
Benefits

                                       Key Takeaways
   –   Since the start of retail competition, more than four out of five eligible ERCOT customers
       have chosen a new REP or a new product with their existing REP.
   –   Costs and prices have risen in competitive areas, in areas served by municipally owned
       utilities and in areas served by electric co-ops.
   –   Natural gas influences wholesale electric prices in Texas, and, due to natural gas
       increases over the past several years, wholesale electricity prices have increased -- but
       only about half as much as natural gas prices.
   –   Retail electric prices have grown far less than other energy commodities, such as
       gasoline, crude oil, natural gas and coal.
   –   Available prices in the ERCOT competitive electric market are falling significantly, a stark
       contrast to the national average which is rising and projected to keep rising. In fact, the
       average U.S. residential power price is expected to increase 9.4 percent in 2009,
       according to the federal government.
   –   Natural gas prices reached an all-time high in July, but they’ve subsequently fallen over
       the past few months. Because of the robust competition among multiple viable retail
       electric providers (REPs), residential electric price offers have fallen by over 28 percent.
   –   The System Benefit Fund (SBF) provided benefits for low-income Texans during the
       summer. Several retailers, including AECT member companies, also offer additional low-
       income customer assistance programs, so customers should also contact their REP to
       learn more about the options that might be available to them.

                                                                                                      97
Retail Investment In The Texas
Competitive Market Has Grown
Significantly And Continues To Grow

 Year-end active retailers in ERCOT                                                      133
 2001-2008                                                                       127

                                                                       111
                                                              99
                                                       89

                                                72

                                55
                     45                                                                   Residential
                                                                                             offers
                                                                                           increased
                                                                                         significantly
                                                                                         from 2005 to
                                                                                             today



                2001         2002              2003   2004   2005      2006      2007    TODAY
     Avg. # of
Residential offers   1        14                na    na      18        45        90      91
 in each Electric
  Delivery area:

                          ERCOT retail competition is fierce and continues to increase

Sources: PUC, www.powertochoose.org website.
                                                                                                   98
Customers Continue to Shop in the
Competitive Electric Market




                                    99
Eligible Residential Customers Have More
Retail Electric Choices than Ever Before


                                                                           Texas-New Mexico Power Co.
           AEP Texas North
                                                                                 Service Territory
           Service Territory

       Number of REPs: 25                                                     Number of REPs: 24
       Change in number of                                                    Change in number of
    residential product choices:                                           residential product choices:
          92% increase                                                           100% increase

                                                                                                   Oncor
                                                                                              Service Territory

                                                                                          Number of REPs: 26
                                                                                          Change in number of
                                                                                       residential product choices:
                                                                                             86% increase

                                                                                   CenterPoint Energy
                                                                                    Service Territory

            AEP Texas Central                                                    Number of REPs: 26
             Service Territory                                                   Change in number of
                                                                              residential product choices:
         Number of REPs: 25                                                         73% increase
         Change in number of
      residential product choices:
            79% increase                             Since January 2007, investment by REPs in ERCOT has
                                                      increased available choices for residential customers.
Sources: PUC historical data, www.powertochoose.org (1/1/07 and 11/2/09)                                              100
Competitive Residential Electric Prices
Have Fallen Since Full Competition Began
in January 2007
                                                                            Texas-New Mexico Power Co.
           AEP Texas North
                                                                                  Service Territory
           Service Territory

          Lowest available                                                      Lowest available
          residential price:                                                    residential price:
          6% decrease                                                           14% decrease

                                                                                                   Oncor
                                                                                              Service Territory

                                                                                             Lowest available
                                                                                             residential price:
                                                                                             19% decrease


                                                                                   CenterPoint Energy
                                                                                    Service Territory

            AEP Texas Central                                                       Lowest available
             Service Territory                                                      residential price:
                                                                                   16% decrease
            Lowest available
            residential price:
            13% decrease
                                                      Since January 2007, competitive prices for residential
                                                          customers have fallen in every service area.
Source: http://www.powertochoose.org (1/1/07 & 11/2/09)                                                           101
Better Prices Available Today




                                           November 3, 2008             November 2, 2009       Percent Change

        # of 1-Year Fixed-Price
        Products
                                                     28                           41           37% more offers

        Average 1-Year Fixed-
        Price Offer
                                               14.36¢/kWh                   11.74¢/kWh          18% decrease

        Lowest 1-Year Fixed-
        Price Offer
                                                12.7¢/kWh                    10.3¢/kWh          19% decrease

        Lowest Offer Available
        in the Market
                                                11.5¢/kWh                     8.9¢/kWh          23% decrease




Source: http://www.powertochoose.org; prices are a simple average among service territories.                     102
Retail Electric Prices Have Grown
 Far Less Than Other Energy
 Commodities


                                                                                     Percentage Change in
                                                                                         Commodities
                                                                                 December 2001 - November 2009




Sources: Public Utility Commission of Texas, U.S. Energy Information Association, NYMEX Commodity Exchange, Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Notes: Coal and copper commodity prices as of March 2009; other commodity prices latest available as of November 2, 2009.
       Inflation covers period from 2001 to 2009                                                                                          103
Texas Continues to Perform Well Compared
With Other States Utilizing Natural Gas




                                                                                        Average Lowest Available
                                                                                             Price in ERCOT
                                                                                          Competitive Market
                                                                                           Today: 8.9¢/kWh




     Sources: Energy Information Administration (data as of July 2009); EIA natural gas-intensive states


     Note: Texas statewide average price includes prices from both competitive and regulated areas of the state.
                                                                                                                   104
Texas’ National Price Ranking Has Improved
With Competition Despite Input Fuel Cost
Increases AND Customers Can Choose
Plans To Meet Their Needs

         2001 State Ranking (Pre-Competition)

                                                                                                                  TX
 ¢/kWh




         2009 State Ranking (Current)

                Average lowest available
                offer in Texas competitive
                                                                                                          TX
¢/kWh




                      areas: 8.9¢/kWh




  Source: EIA average annual residential rates for 2001 and July 2009 monthly data (latest available). Lowest available price from
  www.powertochoose.org website as of 11/2/2009 for a residential customer using an average of 1,000 kWh per month.                  105
Every Competitive Area in ERCOT Has
Variable and 1-Year Lock Offers Available
that are Lower than the National Average Price




                                                          Sources: powertochoose.org,
                                                 U.S. Energy Information Administration
                                                                                          106
The ERCOT Competitive Market is
               Responding to Recent Drops in Natural
               Gas Prices

 NYMEX natural gas and residential electricity prices                                     NYMEX Average 12-Month Strip
                                                                                          Average offer for new customers in ERCOT
 January 2006 – September 14, 2009
                                                                                          Lowest offer for new customers in ERCOT

 NYMEX natural gas ($/MMBtu)                                                                  Residential electric (¢/kWh)




Note: Electric prices for residential customers using an average of 1,000 kWh per month
Sources: NYMEX; www.powertochoose.org                                                                                         107
Benefits for Qualified
Low-Income Customers:
The System Benefit Fund


•   The System Benefit Fund (SBF) was enacted as part of the Texas
    Electric Choice Act in 1999. It is intended to provide funding specifically
    for:
     – assistance to low-income customers through reduced electric rates;
     – weatherization programs; and
     – administrative funding.

•   The PUC approved the utilization of the $80 million of SBF funds
    authorized by the 80th legislature.
     – These funds will be used to provide a discount to low-income customers in
       the competitive areas of the state.
     – During the months of May through September, eligible low-income customers
       will receive an approximate 20 percent discount through the “LITE-UP Texas”
       electric discount program.




                                                                                   108
Benefits for Qualified
Customers: REP Programs


•   Several retail electric providers across the state also provide additional, voluntary
    programs to assist low-income customers. Examples of programs include:
     –   Since May 2003, the Neighbor-to-Neighbor program has helped tens-of-thousands of Direct Energy,
         CPL Retail Energy, and WTU Retail Energy customers with their home energy expenses. The program
         was created to assist families experiencing financial emergencies with up to $200 in bill payment
         assistance, as much as twice during a calendar year. The program is administered by more than 30
         community action agencies across the state.

     –   The Care to Share Fund provides bill payment assistance to eligible First Choice Power residential
         customers in need of emergency funding. Customers can donate to the Care to Share Fund and assist
         residential customers who need a little extra help by providing extra emergency assistance through the
         Care to Share Fund.

     –   The CARE Energy Assistance Program was created by Reliant Energy to help Reliant customers
         during a difficult time. Customers who qualify may receive this one-time annual assistance through non-
         profit social service agencies in communities that are served by Reliant Energy. These agencies review
         customer cases and qualify them based upon the agency’s designated hardship criteria.

     –   TXU Energy has committed $25 million per year for 5 years to fund a 10% low-income discount, and an
         additional $5 million per year for 5 years for low-income bill assistance through its TXU Energy Aid
         program. In addition, TXU Energy has established the Low Income Advisory Committee and works
         collaboratively with over 400 agencies across the state to assist customers in need.

     –   Since September 2006, several REPs have participated in the low-income credit program resulting from
         CenterPoint Energy’s 2006 rate case settlement. This program is currently providing a credit of $7.68
         per month to eligible customers.

•   Texans can check their electric provider’s Web site or call their provider to see
    what other programs are available.                                                                            109
Q&A




      110

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Aect Electricity101

  • 1. Electricity 101: Operations and Recent Statistics November 2009 Legislative advertising paid for by: John W. Fainter, Jr. • President and CEO Association of Electric Companies of Texas, Inc. 1005 Congress, Suite 600 • Austin, TX 78701 • phone 512-474-6725 • fax 512-474-9670 • www.aect.net
  • 2. AECT Principles • AECT is an advocacy group composed of member companies committed to: - Ensuring a modern, reliable infrastructure for the supply & delivery of electricity. - Supporting efficient competitive markets that are fair to customers and market participants. - Supporting consistent and predictable oversight and regulation that will promote investment and ensure the stability of Texas’ electric industry. - Promoting an economically strong and environmentally healthy future for Texas, including conservation and efficient use of available resources. • AECT member companies remain dedicated to providing Texas customers with reliable service and are committed to the highest standards of integrity. The Association of Electric Companies of Texas, Inc. (AECT) is a trade organization of investor- owned electric companies in Texas. Organized in 1978, AECT provides a forum for member company representatives to exchange information about public policy, and to communicate with government officials and the public. For more information, visit www.aect.net. 2
  • 3. U.S. Divided into Eight Reliability Regions • The eight reliability regions in the FERC continental U.S. are subject to the oversight and enforcement authority of NERC the North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC), which is subject to the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission’s (FERC) oversight. NERC is responsible for developing standards to ensure and improve reliability for delivery of electricity on the bulk power system. • Electric systems in Texas are located within four separate reliability regions: - Texas Regional Entity (TRE), which oversees participants in the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) (green shading); - SERC Reliability Corporation; - Southwest Power Pool (SPP); and - Western Electricity Coordinating Council (WECC). (ERCOT) 3
  • 4. AECT Member Companies Within ERCOT Retail Electric Providers Transmission and Distribution Utilities Generation Companies 4
  • 5. AECT Companies Outside of ERCOT SERC Reliability Corporation Southwest Power Pool (SPP) Western Electricity Coordinating Council (WECC) 5
  • 6. Contents Slide 7: AECT Member Companies Slide 24: Electric Market Structures in Texas Slide 37: Texas’ Wholesale Electric Markets Slide 47: ERCOT Generation Mix Slide 53: Types of Generation: Benefits and Challenges Slide 64: Emissions and the Environment Slide 76: Transmission and Distribution Utilities Slide 84: Energy Efficiency Slide 91: Competitive Retail Electric Market in ERCOT 6
  • 8. AEP SWEPCO Vertically Integrated Utility Southwestern Electric Power Company, headquartered in Shreveport, LA, serves 460,000 customers in East Texas and the Texas Panhandle, Northwest Louisiana, and the western edge of Arkansas. SWEPCO has been providing low-cost, reliable electricity to customers since 1912. SWEPCO is a vertically integrated company operating as a member of the Southwest Power Pool. 8
  • 9. AEP Texas Transmission & Distribution Utility AEP Texas is connected to and serves more than 900,000 electric consumers in the deregulated Texas marketplace. As an energy delivery company, AEP Texas delivers electricity safely and reliably to homes, businesses and industry across its nearly 100,000 square mile service territory in south and west Texas. 9
  • 10. CenterPoint Energy Transmission & Distribution Utility CenterPoint Energy maintains the wires, poles and electric infrastructure delivering service to more than 2 million consumers in its 5,000-square-mile electric service territory in the Houston metropolitan area. While CenterPoint Energy employees ensure the reliable delivery of electricity from power plants to homes and businesses, the company neither generates power nor sells it to retail customers. 10
  • 11. Direct Energy Retail Electric Provider Direct Energy is part of the Centrica group of companies, one of the largest multi-state providers of retail energy services in North America. The North American operations have grown to more than 5 million residential and commercial customer relationships. Through its Direct Energy, CPL Retail Energy and WTU Retail Energy brands, the company is the third largest retail energy provider in Texas. Competitive Areas of Texas 11
  • 12. El Paso Electric Company Vertically Integrated Utility El Paso Electric is a vertically integrated utility serving approximately 357,000 customers in the Rio Grande Valley in west Texas and southern New Mexico. El Paso Electric is an operating member of the Western Electricity Coordinating Council. 12
  • 13. Entergy Texas Vertically Integrated Utility The Entergy Texas service area starts at the southeast Texas/Louisiana border and stretches up into the piney woods of east Texas, down to the Gulf of Mexico and across to the lake country north of Houston. Entergy Texas serves approximately 385,000 customers in 26 counties. 13
  • 14. Exelon Generation Electric Generation Company Exelon Generation owns and controls about 33,000 megawatts of electricity generation capacity from a diverse portfolio that includes the nation’s largest fleet of nuclear power plants. The company maintains strong positions in the Midwest and Mid-Atlantic regions. In Texas, it owns or controls about 3,700 megawatts of natural gas-fired generation, with plants in Dallas, Fort Worth and LaPorte. Exelon has also announced plans to submit a combined Construction and Operating License application for the possible construction of a nuclear power plant in Victoria County. 14
  • 15. First Choice Power Retail Electric Provider First Choice Power began serving customers as a retail electric provider across Texas on Jan. 1, 2002, when deregulation of the electric industry was introduced in Texas. First Choice Power is one of the largest retail electric providers in the state. It is led by a management team with experience in the deregulated markets in Texas and throughout the nation. Competitive Areas of Texas 15
  • 16. Luminant Electric Generation Company Luminant is a competitive power generation business, including mining, wholesale marketing and trading, construction and development. It has over 18,300 MW of generation in Texas, including 2,300 MW of nuclear and 5,800 MW of coal-fueled generation capacity, and is the largest purchaser of wind-generated electricity in Texas and fifth largest in the U.S. 16
  • 17. NRG Energy Electric Generation Company NRG Texas is the second largest electrical generator in Texas with more than 1,100 professional employees operating a diverse generation portfolio of almost 11,000 megawatts of power. NRG Texas also has an extensive repowering program including a new combined cycle gas plant at the Cedar Bayou plant east of Houston, a coal unit at Limestone; two wind projects in West Texas and the first new nuclear units proposed for the United States in more than 29 years. 17
  • 18. Oncor Transmission & Distribution Utility Oncor is a regulated electric distribution and transmission business that delivers reliable electricity to consumers. Oncor operates the largest distribution and transmission system in Texas, providing power to more than 3 million electric delivery points over more than 115,000 miles of transmission and distribution lines. 18
  • 19. Optim Energy Electric Generation Company Optim Energy is a joint venture of PNM Resources and Cascade Investment, L.L.C. It provides wholesale generation and marketing and trading services in the ERCOT region. The company owns two generation assets, both in Texas, representing 920 megawatts. In addition, the company and NRG are jointly developing a 550-megwatt combined cycle natural gas unit near Houston. 19
  • 20. Reliant Energy Retail Electric Provider Reliant Energy, Inc., based in Houston, Texas, provides electricity and energy- related products to more than 1.8 million retail and wholesale customers in Texas and in the Mid-Atlantic Region. As one of the largest electricity providers in Texas, Reliant works hard to provide its customers with competitive electric prices, innovative products and unmatched customer service for their homes and businesses. Competitive Areas of Texas 20
  • 21. Texas-New Mexico Power Co. Transmission & Distribution Utility Currently, TNMP provides electric service to 76 cities and more than 226,000 customers throughout Texas. TNMP is owned by PNM Resources, an energy holding company based in Albuquerque, New Mexico. 21
  • 22. TXU Energy Retail Electric Provider TXU Energy is a market-leading competitive retailer that provides electricity and related services to more than 2 million electricity customers in Texas. TXU Energy offers a variety of innovative products and solutions, including 24/7 customer service, competitively priced service plans, energy efficiency options and renewable energy programs. Competitive Areas of Texas 22
  • 23. Xcel Energy Vertically Integrated Utility Xcel Energy owns Southwestern Public Service Company, a regional electric utility that provides retail and wholesale service to about 1 million persons in a 45,000 square-mile area comprised of the South Plains and Panhandle of Texas, and eastern New Mexico. 23
  • 25. History of Electric Utility Regulation in Texas Pre-1975 • Cities regulated electric utility service and rates. • Generally, a declining cost industry – rate applications most often filed to decrease rates. 1975 • Inflation, construction costs and fuel costs drive electricity rates up. • 64th Texas Legislature enacts Public Utility Regulatory Act (PURA) to implement state regulation of electric utility service and rates (Cities permitted to retain original jurisdiction). – Service area, transmission line and generating plant certification. – Rate regulation (based on cost of service plus reasonable return on investment). – Rates based on historical test year costs and original costs of infrastructure, less depreciation. – Service quality regulation. – Customer protection. 25
  • 26. History of Electric Utility Regulation in Texas 1976-1995 • 1978 U.S. Fuel Use Act required utilities to discontinue use of natural gas and encouraged the use of coal and nuclear for fuel. • Inflation, volatile fuel costs and the need to add new generating capacity continue to increase electricity rates. • Rate proceedings at PUC become increasingly adversarial. – Consumer groups concerned about frequency and amount of rate increases. – Utilities concerned about increasingly large PUC cost disallowances that are at odds with the regulatory compact and erode rates of return. • Large customers tire of subsidizing other ratepayers seek opportunities to by-pass regulated rates and obtain choice of suppliers. – Cogeneration/self-generation. – Advocate wholesale competition and transmission open access. – Advocate “retail wheeling”. • Natural gas was favored again when the 1978 U.S. Fuel Use Act was repealed in the 1990s. 26
  • 27. Steps to Electric Competition In Texas Jan. 2007 Jan. End of 2005 price-to- Jan. Affiliate beat 2002 REPs July Retail allowed to 2001 offer non- choice price-to- Sept. Texas begins in beat 1999 ERCOT Choice prices June ERCOT pilot Electric program 1999 begins rates May frozen Retail 1995 competition Wholesale legislation competition legislation Passed (SB 7) passed (SB 373) 27
  • 28. Wholesale and Retail Electric Competition Were Passed With Broad, Bipartisan Support • Senate Bill 373, which opened the wholesale electricity market in Texas, passed in 1995 when the Democrats were the majority party in the House and Senate. – The Speaker of the House and the Lieutenant Governor were both Democrats, and the bill sponsors and authors were both Democrats. • Senate Bill 7, which opened the competitive market, passed in 1999. – The Senate and the Lieutenant Governor were Republican, but the House was still majority Democrat. The House sponsor and author of the bill and the House Speaker in 1999 were both Democrats. – Senate Bill 7 passed the House with a vote of 144 Ayes and 4 Nays. • It was a bipartisan measure: 74 of the Aye votes were from Democrats, while 68 were from Republicans. – The bill passed the Senate with a vote of 28 Ayes and 3 nays. 28
  • 29. Steps to Competition: Wholesale Competition • Senate Bill No. 373 enacted in May 1995 – Required utilities to provide non-discriminatory open access transmission to support wholesale competition in ERCOT. – Recognized new, unregulated participants in ERCOT wholesale market.  Exempt wholesale generators  Power marketers – Allowed non-utility wholesale market participants to offer market-based prices in ERCOT. – Deregulated electric cooperative distribution rates. Note: Non-ERCOT areas are subject to FERC jurisdiction for wholesale services, including transmission services. 29
  • 30. Steps to Competition: Retail Competition • ERCOT market restructuring legislation, Senate Bill 7, passed in 1999 – Initiated competition in ERCOT retail markets beginning January 2002. – Municipally-owned utilities and electric cooperatives allowed to “opt-in”. – Included environmental and energy efficiency provisions. • Required reduction of nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions from older power plants by 50%, and sulfur dioxide emission from coal-fired facilities by 25%. • Utilities required to fund energy efficiency programs equal to at least 10% of each year’s annual growth in demand. – 1999 - 2001 – Preparation for retail competition. • Electricity rates frozen. • ERCOT develops systems required to support competition. • PUC promulgates competition rules. • PUC determines rate unbundling cases. – July 2001 – Retail competition pilot project begins. 30
  • 31. Steps to Competition: Transition Period • January 2002-2006 Transition Period – “Affiliated” generators • Required to make 15% of their power available to non-affiliated retail providers • During first two years, limited to guaranteed market price for power as projected by PUC • Given incentives to install environmental clean-up equipment – Transmission and Distribution Utilities • Initial rates set using estimated/generic costs • Recovery of stranded and other transition costs authorized but delayed until 2004 True-up proceeding – Securitization bonds lower cost to customers – “Affiliated” retail electric providers • Required to lower base rates by six percent (Price to Beat) – Adjustable only for increases in natural gas prices – Price to Beat remains in place until 12-31-06 • No price competition allowed in former service area until 2005 31
  • 32. Structural Unbundling • Incumbents required to separate business activities into the following units. – Power generation company. – Retail electric provider. – Transmission and distribution utility. • Generation and retail businesses are not regulated utilities. – Power Generation Companies must be registered with PUC. – Retail Electric Providers must be certified by PUC. • Transmission and distribution businesses remain regulated utilities. • Methods for separation of business activities. – Creation of separate non-affiliated companies. – Creation of separate affiliated companies owned by a common holding company. – Sale of assets to a third party. • Each ERCOT utility chose different models. • Code of conduct rules enforce separation requirements. 32
  • 33. ERCOT: Separate companies provide retail, transmission & distribution and generation services Power Flow Financial Flow Regulated • In competitive markets, consumers have multiple retail electric providers (REPs) and service plans to choose from. • Wholesale and retail prices are set by competitive market forces, while the PUC sets transmission and distribution rates. 33
  • 34. ERCOT: Separate companies provide retail, transmission & distribution and generation services Power Flow Financial Flow Regulated • Because wholesale electric prices are set by the competitive market, the risks associated with the cost of construction, operations and maintenance of a generation plant are borne entirely by the generator and its investors, not by end-use customers. 34
  • 35. Outside ERCOT: A single company provides retail, transmission & distribution and generation services in each area Power Flow Financial Flow Regulated • In fully regulated markets, the PUC sets retail rates charged to end-use customers. • Each of these service areas is part of multi-state electric grids, with differing regulations. In many cases, vertically integrated utilities purchase wholesale power from certain unregulated entities. 35
  • 36. Outside ERCOT: A single company provides retail, transmission & distribution and generation services in each area Power Flow Financial Flow Regulated • New power plants in these regions can be built by both regulated entities and certain unregulated entities or qualifying facilities. • Regulated utility power plants, however, must be approved by the PUC after a rigorous review of need and siting. 36
  • 38. The Competitive Wholesale Market: A Success Story Competition has brought greater efficiency to the wholesale market – Generators shoulder the risk of building new power plants, bringing efficient, cost-effective generation to consumers. – New power plants produce more electricity per unit of fuel. – New power plants include modern environmental emissions controls. The competitive market is in the public interest – Operational efficiency of a competitive market helps push wholesale prices downward. – No market structure is more effective at ensuring efficient operations than a competitive one. Policy decisions should be focused on maintaining vibrant competition – Texas leaders should support policies that maintain the competitive market. – The competitive market will bring forward the right mix of technology and fuel type based on environmental choices by policymakers. 38
  • 39. Permitted and Operating Electric Generating Units in Texas 39
  • 40. ERCOT Wholesale Market Management • System Reliability – ERCOT oversees system reliability. – ERCOT is part of national reliability council. – ERCOT protocols, approved by PUC, mandate system reliability standards that all market participants must follow. • Statute and Rules Address “Market Power” and Generation Merger Issues – Independent Market Monitor oversees wholesale market operations. – Generating capacity owned and controlled by a Power Generation Company limited to 20% of installed generating capacity capable of delivering power to a power region. – Administrative penalties for market power abuse were reviewed and updated during the 79th Regular Session. – Mergers of Power Generation Companies subject to PUC review. • Market Design – ERCOT will transition to a Nodal Market in 2009 as a result of PUC rulemaking. – The change is expected to bring cost-savings and additional efficiency to the market by enhancing market transparency and allocating costs more accurately to market participants. 40
  • 41. Wholesale Market Management Outside ERCOT • System Reliability – Larger, multi-state Councils (SERC, SPP, WECC) oversee system reliability. – Each is part of national reliability council. – Protocols, approved by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC), mandate system reliability standards that all market participants must follow. • Wholesale market operations overseen by FERC 41
  • 42. Increased Population Drives Future Electric Consumption Texas’ Projected Population Growth Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2004 (median scenario) •To meet increases in electric 43.6 million load created by Texas’ rapid population and economic 36.3 million growth, Texas will require 30.3 million additional power, transmission and distribution, customer 25.1 million demand response and energy efficiency. 2010 2020 2030 2040 Source: Texas State Data Center 42
  • 43. Electric Demand Continues to Grow in ERCOT Note: The peak in electric consumption in 2000 was Source: ERCOT, “Report on Existing and Potential due to an exceptionally hot summer. Electric System Constraints and Needs,” December 43 2008
  • 44. ERCOT Restructuring Spurred Massive Generation Investment Generation Investment in ERCOT: Before and After Wholesale Competition 44
  • 45. Update on ERCOT Reserve Margins Source: ERCOT, “Report on Existing and Potential Electric System Constraints and Needs,” December 2008 45
  • 46. ERCOT Long-Term Projections Show Substantial Investment Still Needed Source: ERCOT, “Report on the Capacity, Demand and Reserves in the ERCOT Region,” May 2008 46
  • 48. ERCOT Generation Mix • The generation technology mix is an outcome of a robust competitive wholesale market and environmental policy decisions. • In addition to the price of fuels and the cost of technology, environmental and siting issues impact choices made by generation developers. • Coal, including lignite, is an important fuel in the ERCOT electric generation mix. – Coal is the most abundant fossil fuel in the United States, with an estimated 200 year supply remaining (per the Energy Information Administration (EIA)). – Electricity produced from Texas lignite exceeds the entire generation of 28 states individually. • Texas lignite accounts for about 45% of the coal used in the state for electricity. • Texas’ lignite mining industry is a key part of the state economy, providing over 33,000 permanent jobs and contributing about $10.5 billion in annual Total Expenditures. • The existing framework of Texas’ competitive wholesale electric market has helped lead generators to invest in and announce plans for over 27,000 MW of new generation, including natural gas, coal, nuclear and renewable power. Sources: EIA, National Mining Association, The Perryman Group 48
  • 49. ERCOT Generation Mix In 2009 Source: Public Utility Commission of Texas (PUC) Chair Barry Smitherman Presentation to the Gulf Coast Power Association, Oct. 6, 2009 49
  • 50. ERCOT Generation Mix In 2013 Assuming 18,000 MW of wind, approximately 5,600 MW of new coal, 4,300 MW of new natural gas Source: Public Utility Commission of Texas (PUC) Chair Barry Smitherman Presentation to the Gulf Coast Power Association, Oct. 6, 2009 50
  • 51. Gas on the Margin in ERCOT Year-Round Examples are purely illustrative • There are multiple types of power plants with different operations in ERCOT that are operated on different schedules. – Because of their lower marginal costs, nuclear and coal-fired power plants in ERCOT operate approximately 90 percent of the time. – In contrast, natural gas-fired power plants are ramped on and off, depending upon demand. – Wind-generated electricity is only intermittently available, depending on wind conditions. • Some natural gas-fired generation is required to operate at all times in the ERCOT region to meet demand. – Natural gas-fired generation sets the market price of wholesale electricity in ERCOT. – Natural gas-fired units that are used to meet peak demand tend to be older units that cost more to 51 operate.
  • 52. Business Climate for Generators in ERCOT • In ERCOT, generation companies assume all of the financial risk included in a new generation projects. • The decision to build new generation thus depends upon whether the generator believes the electricity can be sold at a price to recoup construction costs, cover operations and maintenance costs and achieve a profit. • Market forces have been effective in bringing new generation to the state, with over 37,063 MW of generation constructed since the advent of wholesale competition in 1995. Another 4,433 MW of new generation is under construction, according to the PUC. • While not all is expected to the built, the PUC reports 25,756 MW of new generation has been announced: – 6,389 MW of new coal-fired generation – 6,002 MW of new nuclear generation – 8,012 MW of new wind-powered generation – 5,253 MW of new natural gas-fired generation • Though such news is positive, market forces and legislative and regulatory certainty will ultimately dictate how much of the announced new generation is actually built. Data source: PUC, “New Electric Generating Plants in Texas,” as of November 17, 2007 52
  • 53. Types of Generation: Benefits and Challenges 53
  • 54. Three Key Factors Affecting Choices for New Generation En n tio vir ra on ne m Ge en ta of l Is pe su Ty Wholesale es Market Cost of Construction and Fuels 54
  • 55. Coal-Fired Generation Type of Generation + Coal-fired plants provide baseload generation, by running approximately 90 percent of the time. Environmental Issues - Greater air emissions than natural gas-fired plants, including rate of about twice the CO2 per kWh generated. - Risk of higher costs due to future carbon-capture requirements. Cost of Construction and Fuels + Currently, pulverized coal generation is economical to build based on current natural gas prices. + Long-term domestic supply of coal, including lignite. + Fuel cost is relatively low - High initial capital costs relative to natural gas-fired plants. 55
  • 56. Natural Gas-Fired Generation Type of Generation - Natural gas plants, such as combined-cycle plants, can provide baseload generation, but demand conditions in ERCOT result in a lower capacity factor than for coal-fired or nuclear-powered generation. + Other simple-cycle natural gas plants have quick start-up and shut-down times to allow them to meet peak demand. Environmental Issues + Lowest air emissions among fossil fuels. + Newest power plants operate more efficiently, burning less fuel per MWh of generation. Cost of Construction and Fuels + Low initial capital costs. - When natural gas prices are high, gas-fired power plants are expensive to operate. 56
  • 57. Nuclear-Powered Generation Type of Generation + Nuclear-powered plants provide baseload generation by running approximately 90 percent of the time. Environmental Issues + No air emissions. - Long-term storage of waste needs to be implemented. - Historic concerns regarding public perception of safety of nuclear power. Cost of Construction and Fuels + Lowest fuel cost of all large-scale generation. - High capital costs. - Longest permitting and construction times among generation types. 57
  • 58. Wind-Powered Generation Type of Generation + Wind is plentiful in certain parts of Texas. - Wind blows intermittently, making it a less reliable power source. Environmental Issues + No air emissions. - Can affect migratory birds. - Concerns about aesthetic impact. Cost of Construction and Fuels + No fuel cost. - Limited ability to replace other generation to satisfy reserve margins. - Imposes other costs on the system, such as increased ancillary service requirements, backup capacity and the need for transmission lines to reach rural wind farms. 58
  • 59. Solar Generation Type of Generation + Solar power is generally reliable, but intermittent, as it depends on certain levels of sunlight. - Plants are generally small in scale. Environmental Issues + No air emissions. - Large areas of land needed for effective solar arrays. Cost of Construction and Fuels - Can have 15 to 20 times the capacity cost of natural gas-fired generation + No fuel cost. - Cannot be used to replace other generation to satisfy reserve margins. - Imposes other costs on the system, such as the need for transmission lines, since large-scale solar power plants would be located in areas far from population centers. 59
  • 60. Biomass and Landfill Gas Generation Type of Generation + Biomass and landfill gas generation generally operates reliably. - Plants are generally small in scale. Environmental Issues - Plants burning biomass can have high CO2 emissions. + Landfill gas facilities reduce methane greenhouse gas emissions. - Generation is difficult to permit and site. Cost of Construction and Fuels - Requires high capital and operating costs when compared with fossil fuel-fired generation - Often located far from population centers, requiring high transmission costs 60
  • 61. Hydroelectric Generation Type of Generation + Hydroelectric power is reliable to operate, except during drought. - Texas has very little potential for new hydroelectric power generation. Environmental Issues + No air emissions. - Can kill fish. Cost of Construction and Fuels + Once built, hydroelectric power is among the least expensive forms of power, as it has no fuel costs. - High capital costs 61
  • 62. Energy Efficiency and Demand-Side Management Type of Technology + Several cost effective solutions available. - Success requires broad implementation. Environmental Issues + Reduces emissions that would otherwise accompany fossil fuel usage. Cost of Construction and Fuels + Can improve cost levels for residents and customers. + Reduces need for building new power supply. 62
  • 63. Estimated Cost of New Generation Chart Source: EEI 63
  • 64. Emissions and the Environment 64
  • 65. Texas is Already Leading the Way in Clean Power Plants 0.246 0.419 OK 0.219 NM AR 0.170 0.103 LA TX 2007 NOx Emission Rate Area Averages (lbs/mmBtu) National 0.237 Texas 0.103 Source: EPA Clean Air Markets Division - 2007 Acid Rain Program Data 65
  • 66. Electric Generator- NOx Reductions Achieved Under TCEQ 1-hr Ozone SIP Rules – HGA SIP- 86% overall reduction from 1997 – DFW SIP- 88% overall reduction from 1997 – Beaumont SIP- 45% reduction from 1997 – East Texas SIP- 51% reduction from 1997 Between 2000 and 2005, electric generating companies in Texas spent over $1 billion on NOx emission reductions alone. 66
  • 67. Texas’ Electric Generating Plants Among Lowest NOx Emitters in the Nation NOX RATE 0.700 0.600 Texas has the 8th lowest NOx emissions NOx (lb/MMBtu) rate and the lowest of 0.500 states that use coal. 0.400 0.300 U.S. Average 0.200 0.100 0.000 67 EPA Acid Rain Database, 2007 data
  • 68. Texas’ Electric Generating Plants Among Lowest SO2 Emitters in the Nation SO2_RATE 2.000 1.800 Texas has the 16th 1.600 lowest SO2 emissions rate and one of the SO2 (lb/MMBtu) 1.400 lowest of states that use coal. 1.200 1.000 0.800 U.S. Average 0.600 0.400 0.200 0.000 68 EPA Acid Rain Database, 2007 data
  • 69. CO2 Emissions: Texas vs. Other States CO2 RATE 250 Texas has the 16th lowest CO2 emissions rate and one of the lowest of states that 200 use coal. CO2 (lb/MMBtu) U.S. Average 150 100 50 0 69 EPA Acid Rain Database, 2007 data
  • 70. CO2 Emissions in Context of Texas’ Economy A common refrain is that CO2 emissions generated in Texas are higher than in other states. However, it is critical to view that in the context of other truths: − Texas generates more electricity than any other state; in fact, Texas produces almost 80% more electricity than the next most generating state.1 − Much of the CO2 emitted in Texas results from the generation of “products” that are very significant to our state and nation. For example, Texas produces about: − 60% of petrochemicals produced in the U.S. − 30% of gasoline and diesel refined in the U.S. − 10% of electricity generated in the U.S. − The dollars of gross product produced in Texas per ton of CO2 emitted is high, and it increased by more than 1000% between 1963 and 2001. − The ratio of the amount of CO2 emitted per MWh of electricity generated in Texas is lower than half of the states that have more than a nominal amount of coal-fired or oil- fired electricity generation (see previous slide). 1 70 Source: EIA, 2006 State Electricity Profiles
  • 71. Technical Feasibility of CO2 Reductions Technology EIA 2008 Reference Target Efficiency Load Growth ~ +1.05%/yr Load Growth ~ +0.75%/yr Renewables 55 GWe by 2030 100 GWe by 2030 Nuclear 15 GWe by 2030 64 GWe by 2030 Generation No Heat Rate Improvement 1-3% Heat Rate Improvement Advanced Coal for Existing Plants for 130 GWe Existing Plants Generation 40% New Plant Efficiency 46% New Plant Efficiency by 2020–2030 by 2020; 49% in 2030 CCS None Widely Deployed After 2020 10% of New Light-Duty Vehicle PHEV None Sales by 2017; 33% by 2030 DER < 0.1% of Base Load in 2030 5% of Base Load in 2030 Chart Source: EEI and EIA 71
  • 72. Future Additional Emission Reductions  Federal Clean Air Interstate Rules (CAIR) − Requires additional NOx and SO2 emissions reductions from power plants in 2009, 2010, and again in 2015, with a cap and trade program. − The NOx and SO2 emissions from all new units must “fit” under the 2009, 2010, and 2015 caps; such emissions are not in addition to those caps. − TCEQ has recently revised its rules to implement CAIR.  Regional Haze − Requires reductions in NOx, SO2, and Particulate Matter (PM) emissions based on best available retrofit technology (BART) for different types of facilities, including electric generating units, industrial boilers, and refineries. − EPA has decided that NOx and SO2 emissions reductions made for CAIR will suffice for the NOx and SO2 emissions reduction requirements under Regional Haze. − The TCEQ is developing rules to implement BART. 72
  • 73. Future Additional Emission Reductions  Federal mercury (Hg) regulations (CAMR) − February 8th decision by DC Circuit Court to vacate rules − Would have marked the first time the any country has regulated mercury emissions from power plants − Would have required a 70% reduction of mercury emissions from power plants in all 50 states − If EPA has to set a Maximum Achievable Control Technology (MACT) standard: − the new emissions standard for each existing and new facility needs to be set according to fuel type − Different coals will require different controls and considerations. 73
  • 74. Giving Back to the Environment • AECT member companies help to improve our environment through stewardship, support for new technologies and partnership with other agencies. Environmental Stewardship Environmental Partnerships - Reducing releases of chlorofluorocarbons from - Climate Challenge Program electrical equipment - Energy Star - Recycling coal combustion products - Energy Smart Schools - Educating schools and communities about - Environment Research Program renewable energy - Designating land and reservoirs for public - EPA SF6 Partnership program recreational use - Mickey Leland Internship Program - Preserving and restoring forests by planting -TCEQ Teaching Environmental Science millions of trees - Green Lights - Helping other industries adopt pollution- - Habitat Protection prevention plans - Learning From Light! - Launching education campaigns to help - Millennium Council communities save energy - Million Solar Roofs - Creating wetlands and wildlife habitats on - National Energy Education Development company properties (NEED) Project - Natural Gas Star - Reclaimed water utilization - Offering renewable energy products to retail customers 74
  • 75. Selected Environmental Programs and Fees • The electric industry is among the most heavily regulated in the nation, complying with hundreds of regulations and paying millions of dollars in fees annually. Selected Current Selected Current Environmental Programs Environmental Fees - Compliance with National Ambient Air Quality - Title V federal operating permit fees Standards - Air inspection fees - State Implementation Plan - Air quality permit fees - NOx reductions for electric generating units - Air quality permit renewal fees - Clean Air Interstate/Clean Air Mercury Rules - Wastewater inspection fees - New Source Review (NSR) - Wastewater permit application fees Prevention of Significant Deterioration - Water quality fees - Non-attainment NSR, including offset - Potable water fees - State Minor NSR - Water use permit application fees - Title V and Acid rain permits - Hazardous waste generation fees - Compliance Assurance Monitoring - Non-hazardous waste fees - Continuous Emissions Monitoring Systems - Low level radioactive waste fee - Toxic Release Inventory - Injection well fee - Monitoring cooling water - Mass Emission Cap and Trade Program 75
  • 77. TDUs’ Role in the Competitive ERCOT Market • Transmission and Distribution Utilities: – Provide reliable delivery of electricity on a 24-7 basis. – Invest in and build infrastructure (e.g., transmission lines, Smart Grid) to support the needs of Texas’ growing economy. – Manage their transmission networks under the direction of ERCOT; coordinating with ERCOT on transmission planning activities. – Respond to outages (e.g., storms, natural disasters) that affect the grid and restore service as quickly as safely possible. – Provide key market information, such as premise information and metering services to facilitate successful operation of the ERCOT deregulated market. – Provide regulated transmission and distribution services to facilitate operations of wholesale and retail business entities. – Charge regulated delivery rates to REPs  Rates based on a historical cost of service including a PUC-established return on capital investment  Allocation of ERCOT-wide transmission costs  Non-bypassable charges include the cost to deliver electricity, System Benefit Fund, recovery of true-up costs and nuclear decommissioning expenses for existing nuclear facilities 77
  • 78. T&D Market Design: ERCOT • ERCOT Transmission – 1995 amendments to the Public Utilities Regulatory Act (PURA) required PUC to ensure open access to transmission grid, allowing new independent generators to utilize transmission network. – TX76RSB 7 adopted “postage stamp” transmission pricing structure and eliminated impact of location on transmission rates. – Transmission Cost of Service (TCOS) ratemaking structure implemented and billed to distribution service providers (DSP). – DSPs recover TCOS through the TDSP delivery rate and transmission cost recovery factor (TCRF), approved by PUC. – New transmission investment is coordinated through the ERCOT regional transmission planning process and requires PUC facility certification. 78
  • 79. Transmission Investment in Texas • Since 2006, TDUs have invested about $2.5 billion in the ERCOT transmission grid. • ERCOT estimates that the electric grid will require adding or improving 2,888 circuit miles of transmission lines at a cost of about $3 billion from 2009 through 2013. • In addition, the integration of Competitive Renewable Source: ERCOT, “Report on Existing and Potential Electrical Energy Zones (CREZs) into System Constraints and Needs,” December 2008 the competitive ERCOT market will require additional investment of about $4.9 billion. 79
  • 80. Continued Transmission and Distribution Investment Needed Throughout Texas • According to the Texas State Data Center, 5 million new residents are expected in Texas by 2020. • New generation must be delivered effectively and efficiently to population centers of the state. • Texas must provide regulatory certainty and fair rates of return to ensure appropriate capital investment. • Though not shown here, areas of Texas located outside the ERCOT grid are also growing, both in terms of population and economic development. Source: ERCOT, “Report on Existing and Potential Electric System Constraints and Needs,” December 2008 80
  • 81. Challenges of Transmission Line Construction Example of Transmission Construction Process in ERCOT • While certain types of generation can be constructed quickly -- often as short as 12-18 months -- transmission lines typically take between three and five years. Generation can be brought into the market more rapidly if the siting takes advantage of the existing transmission infrastructure. • Building long transmission lines can affect many landowners, often requiring a lengthy and extensive easement acquisition effort. • The transmission line siting process must take into account the impact of those lines on environmentally sensitive and historically significant lands. • Utility is not typically allowed to begin recovering costs until year 5 or 6. 81
  • 82. Distribution Investment Also Needed • The need to replace an aging distribution infrastructure to meet population and demand growth will require continued investment. • It is becoming more evident that rising construction material costs are an increasingly important driver contributing to the higher actual and planned utility industry infrastructure investments. • Nationwide, distribution investment is expected to be almost triple the size of projected transmission spending, according to the Edison Electric Institute. Distribution investment is likely to exceed generation and environmental capital spending, as well. 82
  • 83. T&D Market Design: Non-ERCOT • Non-ERCOT Transmission – Wholesale open access transmission rights subject to Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) jurisdiction. – FERC transmission pricing reflects location of generation. – FERC requires generators to bear higher cost relative to the ERCOT system of connecting with the transmission grid. – Certification in Texas is with the PUC. – Recently adopted PUC rules allows most non-ERCOT utilities to recover transmission investments between rate cases through a transmission cost recovery factor (TCRF). 83
  • 85. Texas Has the Most Installed Wind Energy Capacity Almost 35% of the nation’s installed wind generation capacity is located in Texas. Source: American Wind Energy Association, 1/09 (www.awea.org/projects) 85
  • 86. Competitive Renewable Energy Zones: Legislative and Regulatory Steps • The Texas Legislature mandated steady increases in renewable power in TX76RSB 7 (1999) and TX791RSB 20 (2005). – Starting Line: 880 MW in 1999 – Old Goal 1: 2,880 MW by 2009 (Achieved by 2007) – New Goal 1: 5,880 MW by 2015 – New Target 1: 10,000 MW by 2025 – New Target 2: 500 MW non-wind renewable generation • TX791SB 20 (2005) also required PUC to: – designate Competitive Renewable Energy Zones (CREZs) in areas in which renewable energy resources and suitable land areas are sufficient to develop generating capacity from renewable technologies; – develop a plan to construct necessary transmission capacity in a manner that is most beneficial and cost effective to customers; and – take into account transmission constraints, the need for generation and the level of financial commitment by generators when defining CREZs. • PUC adopted Substantive Rule 25.174 in December 2006, which creates framework for determining CREZs. • Texas currently has 8,976 MW of installed renewable generation capacity (Oct 2009). 86
  • 87. Map of Adopted Competitive Renewable Energy Zones 87
  • 89. Energy Efficiency in Texas: Overview • Texas continues to be an energy leader through policies designed to improve the state’s energy efficiency programs and bring improved technologies to the electric market. – Utility programs have reduced customer consumption that has allowed existing resources to meet new customer load, reducing the need for new generation. – Advanced metering can help customers better manage their electric usage by providing information and opportunities that enable customer to take control of their energy consumption and bills. • The Texas Electric Choice Act requires electric utilities to provide energy efficiency programs and incentives, including low-income energy efficiency programs. – TX80RHB 3693 raised the energy efficiency goal for electric utilities from 10% of annual demand growth to 15% in 2008 and 20% in 2009. • ERCOT competitive retailers are developing innovative plans and products that will help customers use less energy (e.g., customer education programs, energy audits, Internet- controllable thermostats, etc.) 89
  • 90. Energy Efficiency Programs Have Exceeded Goals Total Energy Savings by Investor-Owned Utilities 2003 - 2008 • In 2008, utilities in Texas exceeded their statewide legislative energy efficiency goals for the sixth straight year. Utilities achieved 202 MW of peak demand reduction in 2008, which was 76% above their 115 MW goal. • Energy savings from standard offer programs and market transformation programs resulted in an equivalent reduction of 882,519 pounds of nitrogen oxide emissions per year. Source: Frontier Associates LLC, “Energy Efficiency Accomplishments of Texas Investor Owned Utilities, Calendar Year 2008” 90
  • 91. TX80RHB 3693: Enhancing Energy Efficiency TX80RHB 3693 included a host of programs designed to help reduce electricity usage in Texas. • Raises energy efficiency goal for electric utilities from 10% of annual demand growth to 15% in 2008 and 20% in 2009. • PUC will study energy efficiency programs by January 15, 2009, and submit a report to the legislature. – The study shall address whether utility energy efficiency programs should continue and whether energy efficiency programs are best provided by the competitive market. – The findings of the study will determine whether a goal increase to 30 percent is achievable by 2010 and 50 percent by 2015. • PUC will work with ERCOT to develop a method to account for projected energy efficiency impacts in ERCOT’s forecasts of future capacity, demand, and reserves. 91
  • 92. TX80RHB 3693: Enhancing Energy Efficiency • The bill also includes: – an energy efficiency cost recovery factor; – a utility financial incentive for exceeding goals; and – the ability for utilities under a rate freeze to defer recognition of these costs. – Provisions aimed at reducing energy consumption by schools and government buildings. – Stronger, more energy-efficient building standards for low-income housing. – Creates an annual sales tax holiday during Memorial Day weekend for energy efficient products that bear the designation of the nationwide “Energy Star” program. 92
  • 93. Benefits of Advanced Metering • Customers can better manage their electric consumption, better manage their bills and lessen their environmental impact. • Advanced meters and other new technologies and associated infrastructure will provide information and opportunities that will enable customers to better understand the impact of controlling their energy consumption (e.g., shifting usage to off-peak times). • Advanced meters will also allow for more automation of utility functions such as meter reading and connections/disconnections, helping to reduce costs. 93
  • 94. The Smart Grid Transforms the Way We Buy, Deliver and Use Electricity Key Stakeholder Benefits • Real time grid feedback allows for more effective loading of utility assets Electric • Enables increased monitoring and diagnostics to enhance the life of utility assets • Improved line fault detection and diagnostics Utility • Improved system reliability and greater ease/timeliness of power restoration • Automated meter reading • Power quality and reliability improvements • Friendly access to detailed consumption information to make informed choices Consumers and enable faster transactions • Enables and promotes energy conservation • Expands retailer’s ability to offer new products • Facilitates time-of-use rates and critical peak pricing Retailers • Establishes platform to offer future home appliance monitoring and control • Allows retailers to offer pre-payment programs • Enables demand-side management • Facilitates integration of solar and wind generation into grid Environment • Promotes energy efficiency through immediate energy consumption awareness • Facilitates reduced electric consumption which leads to reduced power plant emissions 94
  • 95. Advanced Metering Activities in Texas • CenterPoint Energy and Oncor have received approvals from the Public Utility Commission of Texas (PUC) to deploy advanced metering systems (AMS) across their respective service territories. • The approved deployment plan for CenterPoint Energy calls for installation of advanced meters over five years beginning in March 2009. Through mid-September, CenterPoint Energy has installed over 76,500 advanced meters and expects to install a total of 145,000 meters by year-end. • Oncor’s approved deployment plan initiated in late 2008 will have installation of advanced meters completed by the end of 2012. To date, Oncor has installed 294,000 meters. • The cost for the meters will be recovered through a monthly surcharge, which may be adjusted over time to reflect both the inclusion of AMS costs in future base rates and variances between the estimated versus the actual cost of implementing the deployment plan. The respective surcharges for both Oncor and CenterPoint Energy take into account the savings advanced meters are expected to bring each company. • AEP Texas has filed its deployment plan with the PUC and anticipates approval by the fourth quarter of this year. 95
  • 96. Competitive Retail Electric Market in ERCOT 96
  • 97. The ERCOT Competitive Retail Electric Market is Providing Strong Customer Benefits Key Takeaways – Since the start of retail competition, more than four out of five eligible ERCOT customers have chosen a new REP or a new product with their existing REP. – Costs and prices have risen in competitive areas, in areas served by municipally owned utilities and in areas served by electric co-ops. – Natural gas influences wholesale electric prices in Texas, and, due to natural gas increases over the past several years, wholesale electricity prices have increased -- but only about half as much as natural gas prices. – Retail electric prices have grown far less than other energy commodities, such as gasoline, crude oil, natural gas and coal. – Available prices in the ERCOT competitive electric market are falling significantly, a stark contrast to the national average which is rising and projected to keep rising. In fact, the average U.S. residential power price is expected to increase 9.4 percent in 2009, according to the federal government. – Natural gas prices reached an all-time high in July, but they’ve subsequently fallen over the past few months. Because of the robust competition among multiple viable retail electric providers (REPs), residential electric price offers have fallen by over 28 percent. – The System Benefit Fund (SBF) provided benefits for low-income Texans during the summer. Several retailers, including AECT member companies, also offer additional low- income customer assistance programs, so customers should also contact their REP to learn more about the options that might be available to them. 97
  • 98. Retail Investment In The Texas Competitive Market Has Grown Significantly And Continues To Grow Year-end active retailers in ERCOT 133 2001-2008 127 111 99 89 72 55 45 Residential offers increased significantly from 2005 to today 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 TODAY Avg. # of Residential offers 1 14 na na 18 45 90 91 in each Electric Delivery area: ERCOT retail competition is fierce and continues to increase Sources: PUC, www.powertochoose.org website. 98
  • 99. Customers Continue to Shop in the Competitive Electric Market 99
  • 100. Eligible Residential Customers Have More Retail Electric Choices than Ever Before Texas-New Mexico Power Co. AEP Texas North Service Territory Service Territory Number of REPs: 25 Number of REPs: 24 Change in number of Change in number of residential product choices: residential product choices: 92% increase 100% increase Oncor Service Territory Number of REPs: 26 Change in number of residential product choices: 86% increase CenterPoint Energy Service Territory AEP Texas Central Number of REPs: 26 Service Territory Change in number of residential product choices: Number of REPs: 25 73% increase Change in number of residential product choices: 79% increase Since January 2007, investment by REPs in ERCOT has increased available choices for residential customers. Sources: PUC historical data, www.powertochoose.org (1/1/07 and 11/2/09) 100
  • 101. Competitive Residential Electric Prices Have Fallen Since Full Competition Began in January 2007 Texas-New Mexico Power Co. AEP Texas North Service Territory Service Territory Lowest available Lowest available residential price: residential price: 6% decrease 14% decrease Oncor Service Territory Lowest available residential price: 19% decrease CenterPoint Energy Service Territory AEP Texas Central Lowest available Service Territory residential price: 16% decrease Lowest available residential price: 13% decrease Since January 2007, competitive prices for residential customers have fallen in every service area. Source: http://www.powertochoose.org (1/1/07 & 11/2/09) 101
  • 102. Better Prices Available Today November 3, 2008 November 2, 2009 Percent Change # of 1-Year Fixed-Price Products 28 41 37% more offers Average 1-Year Fixed- Price Offer 14.36¢/kWh 11.74¢/kWh 18% decrease Lowest 1-Year Fixed- Price Offer 12.7¢/kWh 10.3¢/kWh 19% decrease Lowest Offer Available in the Market 11.5¢/kWh 8.9¢/kWh 23% decrease Source: http://www.powertochoose.org; prices are a simple average among service territories. 102
  • 103. Retail Electric Prices Have Grown Far Less Than Other Energy Commodities Percentage Change in Commodities December 2001 - November 2009 Sources: Public Utility Commission of Texas, U.S. Energy Information Association, NYMEX Commodity Exchange, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Notes: Coal and copper commodity prices as of March 2009; other commodity prices latest available as of November 2, 2009. Inflation covers period from 2001 to 2009 103
  • 104. Texas Continues to Perform Well Compared With Other States Utilizing Natural Gas Average Lowest Available Price in ERCOT Competitive Market Today: 8.9¢/kWh Sources: Energy Information Administration (data as of July 2009); EIA natural gas-intensive states Note: Texas statewide average price includes prices from both competitive and regulated areas of the state. 104
  • 105. Texas’ National Price Ranking Has Improved With Competition Despite Input Fuel Cost Increases AND Customers Can Choose Plans To Meet Their Needs 2001 State Ranking (Pre-Competition) TX ¢/kWh 2009 State Ranking (Current) Average lowest available offer in Texas competitive TX ¢/kWh areas: 8.9¢/kWh Source: EIA average annual residential rates for 2001 and July 2009 monthly data (latest available). Lowest available price from www.powertochoose.org website as of 11/2/2009 for a residential customer using an average of 1,000 kWh per month. 105
  • 106. Every Competitive Area in ERCOT Has Variable and 1-Year Lock Offers Available that are Lower than the National Average Price Sources: powertochoose.org, U.S. Energy Information Administration 106
  • 107. The ERCOT Competitive Market is Responding to Recent Drops in Natural Gas Prices NYMEX natural gas and residential electricity prices NYMEX Average 12-Month Strip Average offer for new customers in ERCOT January 2006 – September 14, 2009 Lowest offer for new customers in ERCOT NYMEX natural gas ($/MMBtu) Residential electric (¢/kWh) Note: Electric prices for residential customers using an average of 1,000 kWh per month Sources: NYMEX; www.powertochoose.org 107
  • 108. Benefits for Qualified Low-Income Customers: The System Benefit Fund • The System Benefit Fund (SBF) was enacted as part of the Texas Electric Choice Act in 1999. It is intended to provide funding specifically for: – assistance to low-income customers through reduced electric rates; – weatherization programs; and – administrative funding. • The PUC approved the utilization of the $80 million of SBF funds authorized by the 80th legislature. – These funds will be used to provide a discount to low-income customers in the competitive areas of the state. – During the months of May through September, eligible low-income customers will receive an approximate 20 percent discount through the “LITE-UP Texas” electric discount program. 108
  • 109. Benefits for Qualified Customers: REP Programs • Several retail electric providers across the state also provide additional, voluntary programs to assist low-income customers. Examples of programs include: – Since May 2003, the Neighbor-to-Neighbor program has helped tens-of-thousands of Direct Energy, CPL Retail Energy, and WTU Retail Energy customers with their home energy expenses. The program was created to assist families experiencing financial emergencies with up to $200 in bill payment assistance, as much as twice during a calendar year. The program is administered by more than 30 community action agencies across the state. – The Care to Share Fund provides bill payment assistance to eligible First Choice Power residential customers in need of emergency funding. Customers can donate to the Care to Share Fund and assist residential customers who need a little extra help by providing extra emergency assistance through the Care to Share Fund. – The CARE Energy Assistance Program was created by Reliant Energy to help Reliant customers during a difficult time. Customers who qualify may receive this one-time annual assistance through non- profit social service agencies in communities that are served by Reliant Energy. These agencies review customer cases and qualify them based upon the agency’s designated hardship criteria. – TXU Energy has committed $25 million per year for 5 years to fund a 10% low-income discount, and an additional $5 million per year for 5 years for low-income bill assistance through its TXU Energy Aid program. In addition, TXU Energy has established the Low Income Advisory Committee and works collaboratively with over 400 agencies across the state to assist customers in need. – Since September 2006, several REPs have participated in the low-income credit program resulting from CenterPoint Energy’s 2006 rate case settlement. This program is currently providing a credit of $7.68 per month to eligible customers. • Texans can check their electric provider’s Web site or call their provider to see what other programs are available. 109
  • 110. Q&A 110