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“ Immigration Reform, Labor Mobility and Regional Economic Growth in North America 2010”   Alejandro Díaz-Bautista,  Ph.D.   Professor of Economics and Researcher at  DEE, El Colegio de la Frontera Norte (COLEF) adiazbau@hotmail.com  Prepared for the 14 th  Annual U.S. - Mexico Congressional Border Issues Conference Immigration Reform and Security Cooperation, March 17-18, 2010, Rayburn House Office Building, Capitol Hill, Washington, D.C.
Recent History ,[object Object],[object Object]
After the 9/11 attacks, the top level talks on migration were put off.  ,[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object]
If it were possible to locate most illegal immigrants currently in the U.S., would you favor deporting as many as possible or would you favor setting up a system for them to become legal residents? Source: Fox News poll, June 2007
Economic Integration in North America ,[object Object],[object Object]
United States - Mexico Border Geography ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Increasing Economic Ties in the Border Region. ,[object Object],[object Object]
NAFTA Agreement ,[object Object],[object Object]
NAFTA’s Trade Impact at 16 ,[object Object],[object Object]
NAFTA’s impact on the U.S. labor market ,[object Object],[object Object]
FDI and Regional Economic Growth  ,[object Object],[object Object]
 
Economic Integration in North America ,[object Object],[object Object]
Economic Synchronization Between Mexico and the U.S. ,[object Object],[object Object]
Mexico is dependent on the American Economy as seen during the economic crisis  ,[object Object],[object Object]
U.S. Unemployment during NAFTA ,[object Object],[object Object]
The North American Model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
( % annual variation) Sources:  INEGI and US Federal Reserve. Industrial Production in Mexico and the United States during the Fox and Calderon Administrations
Contribution of Mexican Immigrants to the U.S. Economy Since the enactment of the NAFTA agreement in 1994, more than 10 million Mexican immigrants have crossed the border. Some recent studies suggest that the contribution of Mexican immigrants to the U.S. Economy is greater than the impact of NAFTA in the economy.  First generation Mexican immigrants are estimated to be more than 11 million, which is equivalent to 11 percent of the population that resides in Mexico and 64% of the Hispanic work force in the U.S. If we add second and third generation migrants, the number comes out to be close to 18 million people. The number of people with Mexican decent is estimated close to 30 million living in the United States. Mexican migrants that live in the United Status are relatively young with an average age of 35 years old. In 1994, 63% of migrants did not reach 10 years of education. By 2007, 47% of migrants did not have more than 10 years of education.
Contribution of Mexican Immigrants to the U.S. Economy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Contribution of Mexican Immigrants to the U.S. Economy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Contribution of Mexican Immigrants to the U.S. Economy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Hot Topics in the U.S. Mexico Agenda during the year ,[object Object]
Immigration Reform ,[object Object],[object Object]
President Obama and the Immigration Reform ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
President Obama and the Immigration Reform 2010 ,[object Object]
President Obama and the Immigration Reform 2010 ,[object Object]
President Obama and the Immigration Reform 2010 ,[object Object]
President Obama and the Immigration Reform 2010 ,[object Object]
National Guard in the Border ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Border Enforcement  ,[object Object],[object Object]
Insecurity in the Border Region ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Concentrated border enforcement era Spending on border enforcement has quadrupled since 1993.
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
National Guard in the Border ,[object Object]
Border Enforcement Security Task Forces. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Immigration Reform ,[object Object]
The National ID Card with an identity verification biometric system ,[object Object],[object Object]
Expanded Programs for Temporary Guest Workers ,[object Object],[object Object]
Immigrants with Deportation Orders ,[object Object]
Official Registration System ,[object Object],[object Object]
Future Immigration. Young Immigrants come out in the U.S. ,[object Object],[object Object]
Analysis of the Immigration reform in 2010 ,[object Object]
Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object]
“ Immigration Reform, Labor Mobility and Regional Economic Growth in North America 2010”   Alejandro Díaz-Bautista,  Ph.D.   Professor of Economics and Researcher at  DEE, El Colegio de la Frontera Norte (COLEF) adiazbau@hotmail.com  Prepared for the 14 th  Annual U.S. - Mexico Congressional Border Issues Conference Immigration Reform and Security Cooperation, March 17-18, 2010, Rayburn House Office Building, Capitol Hill, Washington, D.C.
References ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Dr. Alejandro Diaz Bautista Presentation U.S. Congress Washington D.C. March 2010

  • 1. “ Immigration Reform, Labor Mobility and Regional Economic Growth in North America 2010” Alejandro Díaz-Bautista, Ph.D. Professor of Economics and Researcher at DEE, El Colegio de la Frontera Norte (COLEF) adiazbau@hotmail.com Prepared for the 14 th Annual U.S. - Mexico Congressional Border Issues Conference Immigration Reform and Security Cooperation, March 17-18, 2010, Rayburn House Office Building, Capitol Hill, Washington, D.C.
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  • 5. If it were possible to locate most illegal immigrants currently in the U.S., would you favor deporting as many as possible or would you favor setting up a system for them to become legal residents? Source: Fox News poll, June 2007
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  • 19. ( % annual variation) Sources: INEGI and US Federal Reserve. Industrial Production in Mexico and the United States during the Fox and Calderon Administrations
  • 20. Contribution of Mexican Immigrants to the U.S. Economy Since the enactment of the NAFTA agreement in 1994, more than 10 million Mexican immigrants have crossed the border. Some recent studies suggest that the contribution of Mexican immigrants to the U.S. Economy is greater than the impact of NAFTA in the economy. First generation Mexican immigrants are estimated to be more than 11 million, which is equivalent to 11 percent of the population that resides in Mexico and 64% of the Hispanic work force in the U.S. If we add second and third generation migrants, the number comes out to be close to 18 million people. The number of people with Mexican decent is estimated close to 30 million living in the United States. Mexican migrants that live in the United Status are relatively young with an average age of 35 years old. In 1994, 63% of migrants did not reach 10 years of education. By 2007, 47% of migrants did not have more than 10 years of education.
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  • 34. Concentrated border enforcement era Spending on border enforcement has quadrupled since 1993.
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  • 48. “ Immigration Reform, Labor Mobility and Regional Economic Growth in North America 2010” Alejandro Díaz-Bautista, Ph.D. Professor of Economics and Researcher at DEE, El Colegio de la Frontera Norte (COLEF) adiazbau@hotmail.com Prepared for the 14 th Annual U.S. - Mexico Congressional Border Issues Conference Immigration Reform and Security Cooperation, March 17-18, 2010, Rayburn House Office Building, Capitol Hill, Washington, D.C.
  • 49.

Notas do Editor

  1. “ [The goal of this slide is to put in perspective the size, population and economic power of the border states’ region]” In the 10 states of the Mexico-U.S. border region, we have a population of 92 million, which represent almost 1/4 of the combined populations of both countries. In this sense, one fourth of the population in each country is directly more influenced by the neighboring country’s culture.