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THE ECONOMIC VALUE OF
 PROTECTED OPEN SPACE IN
SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA

         Greenspace Alliance / DVRPC
                         April 20, 2010


                                Econsult Corporation
Economic Value Components

•   Job and revenue generation
•   Environmental services provided
•   Direct use benefits
•   Property value impact

• Status
    –   Research, modeling complete
    –   Fine-tuning results and visuals
    –   Deciding how conservative to be
    –   Accounting for potential overlaps within/between categories

                                                                Econsult Corporation
Status of Engagement

•   Research, modeling complete
•   Fine-tuning results and visuals
•   Deciding how conservative to be
•   Accounting for potential overlaps within/between categories




                                                      Econsult Corporation
Economic Value Components

• Job and revenue generation
• Environmental services provided
• Direct use benefits
• Property value impact




                                    Econsult Corporation
Job and Revenue Generation

• Accounting for economic impacts
• Categories
   –   Privately controlled open space
   –   Publicly controlled open space
   –   Tourism activity
   –   Aggregate impact
• Context and commentary




                                         Econsult Corporation
Accounting for Economic Impacts

• Typical discussion: dollar terms vs. non-dollar terms
• Development = net new revenues AND net new expenditures
• Economic activity from open space > 0
    – Privately controlled preserved farmland
    – Publicly controlled park space
    – Tourism attracted by open space
• Ancillary effects of any direct expenditures




                                                 Econsult Corporation
Privately Controlled Open Space

• Acreage: preserved farmland 59.6K + land trust 42.0K = 101.6K
• Satellite imagery isolates only agricultural uses: preserved
  farmland 35.7K + land trust 14.6K = 50.3K
• Commercial activities on small community gardens not included
• USDA/Census data on sales and employment by county,
  apportioned




                                                  Econsult Corporation
Estimated Annual Direct
Economic Activity on Privately
Controlled Open Space (in $M)

        County       Sales   Employment

      Bucks          $1.1       25
      Chester        $5.5       123
      Delaware       $0.2       16
      Montgomery     $1.0       24
      Philadelphia   $0.5       19

      TOTAL          $8.2       207



                                          Econsult Corporation
Publicly Controlled Open Space

• Budget data obtained from federal/state/county/municipal parks
  and related departments
• Independence National Historic Park not included, recreation
  portions of “parks and recreation” departments not included
• Municipal parks account for 34.5K out of 95.7K acres, but only
  municipalities with park acreage >200 acres included (16% of
  municipalities and 43% of acreage)




                                                   Econsult Corporation
Estimated Annual Direct
Economic Activity on Publicly
Controlled Open Space (in $M)

                  Budgets   Employment

   Bucks           $13.7       187
   Chester         $11.1       137
   Delaware        $13.8       188
   Montgomery      $12.7       173
   Philadelphia    $12.6       171

   Total           $63.9       856



                                     Econsult Corporation
Estimated Annual 5-County Total
              Economic Impact of All Protected
                    Open Space (in $M)


                  5-County Total   Philadelphia   Bucks   Chester   Delaware    Montgomery

Expenditures         $135.6           $24.7       $27.9    $30.7     $26.5         $25.8

Employment           1650.3           295.3       335.6    394.5     314.4         310.5

Earnings              $76.8           $14.4       $13.8    $20.3     $14.1         $14.1

Local Taxes           $1.0            $0.9        $0.0     $0.1       $0.0         $0.1




                                                                    Econsult Corporation
Tourism Activity

• Protected open space a significant component of Philadelphia
  region tourism industry
    – 2007 survey of international visitors ~ 16% participated in outdoor
      activities
    – Out of 30M visitors, top attractions incl. Valley Forge (1.3M), Longwood
      Gardens (730K)
• Tourism industry as a whole - $9.3B in expenditures supporting
  87K employees and $2.8B earnings, and generating $600M in
  local/state taxes
• Assuming 2% attributable to protected open space - $186M in
  expenditures supporting 1,750 employees and $56M earnings,
  and generating $12M in local/state taxes          Econsult Corporation
Estimated Annual 5-County Total
              Economic Impact of All Protected
                    Open Space (in $M)

                  5-County Total   Philadelphia   Bucks   Chester   Delaware    Montgomery

Expenditures         $322.2          $131.3       $44.9   $48.3      $41.7        $56.0

Employment            3,396          1,059        570      586        506          674

Earnings             $133.2          $46.0        $19.0   $25.5      $18.9        $23.7

Local Taxes           $6.8            $5.0        $0.4     $0.4      $0.4          $0.6




                                                                    Econsult Corporation
Context and Commentary

• Estimates intended to be rough and conservative
• Impact relative to overall regional economy – insignificant
• Impact relative to how protected open space is often perceived –
  significant
• Little to no overlap with other impact types from this study
    – Environmental services provided – no overlap
    – Direct use benefits / Tourism – small overlap with usage fees
    – Property value impact – no overlap




                                                              Econsult Corporation
Economic Value Components

• Job and revenue generation
• Environmental services provided
• Direct use benefits
• Property value impact




                                    Econsult Corporation
Environmental Services Provided

• Air Pollution
• Ecosystem Services




                           Econsult Corporation
Air Pollution Benefits

• Open space offers the ability to remove significant amounts of air
  pollutants

• Most of the air pollution benefits are generated by the tree canopy cover
  found on the open space parcels

• Trees improve air quality by removing NO2 , SO2 , CO, O3 , and PM10

• Trees help clean the air by storing and sequestering carbon in their
  biomass

                                                        Econsult Corporation
Air Pollution Benefits

• Tree canopy amounts were estimated from satellite land cover
  data

• Air Pollutant Removal amounts were estimated using the i-Tree
  Vue model from the US Forest Service
Tree Canopy Cover


                                                 Preserved
    County     County     Federal    Municipal              Non-Profit   State     Total
                                                 Farmland
Bucks             3,642          0       3,959        1,387      2,838     8,364    20,189
Chester           3,229        623       3,716        3,267    14,065      4,477    29,377
Delaware            594        103       1,861            0      1,421     1,955     5,934
Montgomery        2,332        677       3,673          709      2,450     2,206    12,047
Philadelphia      3,774          0         115            0        254        59     4,202
Total            13,571      1,404      13,324        5,362    21,028     17,060    71,749




                                                                    Econsult Corporation
Pollutant Removal (tons)

Pollutant (tons)    Bucks            Chester         Delaware      Montgomery     Philadelphia    Total
O3                       310               446              93            185               66      1,099
PM10                     325               468              97            194               69      1,153
NO2                      156               224              47             93               33        553
SO2                       69                 99             21             41               15        244
CO                        17                 24               5            10                4          59



Pollutant ( Thousands
         tons)          Bucks            Chester        Delaware     Montgomery    Philadelphia   Total
Carbon Sequestration            27              39              8            16               6        95
Carbon Storage                 815           1,175            244           488             174     2,895
Air Pollution Benefits

• Benefits were calculated by multiplying the pollutant removal
  amounts by the externality value of the pollutant

• Externality values are considered the estimated costs of pollution
  to society that is not accounted for in the market price of the
  goods or services that produced the pollution

• One example is the value that society would have to pay in areas
  such as healthcare if trees did not remove these pollutants due
  to increased cases of asthma and other respiratory conditions
Air Pollution Benefits

    Value ($million)       Bucks           Chester          Delaware      Montgomery     Philadelphia        Total
O3                     $        2.78   $         4.01   $         0.83   $       1.66   $         0.59   $        9.88
PM10                   $        1.95   $         2.81   $         0.58   $       1.16   $         0.41   $        6.92
NO2                    $        1.40   $         2.02   $         0.42   $       0.84   $         0.30   $        4.97
SO2                    $        0.15   $         0.22   $         0.05   $       0.09   $         0.03   $        0.54
CO                     $        0.02   $         0.03   $         0.01   $       0.01   $         0.00   $        0.08
Total                  $        6.30   $         9.08   $         1.89   $       3.77   $         1.34   $       22.38



   Value ($million)        Bucks         Chester          Delaware        Montgomery     Philadelphia        Total
Carbon Sequestration   $        0.56   $       0.80     $       0.17     $       0.33   $         0.12   $       1.97
Carbon Storage         $       16.86   $     24.30      $       5.05     $      10.09   $         3.59   $      59.88
Total                  $       17.41   $     25.10      $       5.21     $      10.42   $         3.71   $      61.86
Ecosystem Services

• In addition to air pollution removal, open space parcels also
  provide a number of valuable ecosystem services

• Examples include: waste treatment, disturbance buffering, plant
  and animal habitat and others

• The amount and type of ecosystem services generated depends
  on the land cover of the preserved open space
Value Transfer

• Utilized value transfer techniques to generate estimates of
  ecosystem service values

• Value transfer has become a practical way to inform policy
  decisions when primary data collection is not feasible due to
  budget or time constraints

• It is important tool because it can be reliably used to the
  economic value associated with a particular landscape, based on
  existing research for considerably less time and expense than a
  new primary study
Ecosystem Service Methods
• Utilized satellite land cover data to estimate the amounts of
  various land cover types

• Ecosystem service flow values were then determined by
  multiplying the amount of land cover types by the estimated
  dollar value per acre for each ecosystem service

• We used the mean value of the studies cited by Costanza et al.
  (2005) for a similar study in New Jersey; the Costanza report
  identified and used over 100 earlier studies, including 94 studies
  that contained original research and were published in peer-
  reviewed journals
Ecosystem Services Benefits

   Ecosystem Service
        ($Million)             Bucks          Chester          Delaware     Montgomery    Philadelphia       Total
Disturbance Prevention /
Flood Control              $      15.36   $        13.80   $         4.23   $      4.06   $       5.35   $       42.80

Waste Treatment            $       3.11   $         4.66   $         0.86   $      1.32   $       0.87   $       10.82

Water Supply               $       9.47   $        11.72   $         2.91   $      4.45   $       2.54   $       31.09

Pollination                $       3.61   $         5.57   $         1.04   $      2.21   $       0.66   $       13.09

Habitat Refugium           $      30.37   $        42.93   $         7.17   $     17.36   $       4.28   $      102.10

Soil Formation             $       0.12   $         0.26   $         0.04   $      0.08   $       0.02   $           0.52

Total                      $      34.10   $        48.75   $         8.25   $     19.64   $       4.96   $      115.71
Context and Commentary

• Estimates intended to be rough and conservative
• The estimates are conservative due to:
    – Gaps in the valuation literature
    – Distortions in current prices used to estimate the values are carried
      through the analysis
    – Most studies are based on individuals’ willingness to pay
• Little or no overlap with other impacts estimated in the study
    – No internal overlap within environmental services categories
    – Little or no overlap with property value impact
Economic Value Components

• Job and revenue generation
• Environmental services provided
• Direct use benefits
• Property value impact




                                    Econsult Corporation
Direct Use Benefits

• Preserved open space provides value through the recreational activities
  enjoyed on the open space

• Value are determined based on a consumer’s “willingness to pay”
  (WTP) for the recreational experience

• WTP represents the amount of money residents save by not having to
  pay market rates to partake in many of the recreational activities
  provided by the open space



                                                       Econsult Corporation
Direct Use Benefits

• The direct use benefits were quantified using methods based on the
  Army Corps of Engineers “Unit Day Value” method

• Estimates of number of park visits were obtained from the SCORP data
  collected from DCNR

• The activities enjoyed were estimated using data collected from State
  Parks usage data



                                                       Econsult Corporation
Direct Use Benefits Methods
• We assumed that the users of County, State, and Federal lands
  engaged in the same types of activities in the same proportions

• We estimated the average direct-use benefit enjoyed by the average
  State Park visitor using State Park usage data and unit day values

• For municipal parks we used the average “unit day value” assigned to
  the general recreation category




                                                       Econsult Corporation
Direct Use Benefits Methods

• Using SCORP data we estimated:

   – The number of times that average households participated in outdoor
     recreation in the past year

   – What percentage of the recreational activities took place on the various
     types of open space
Direct Use Benefits Methods
• The average household in the study area:

   – Participated in 36 outdoor recreation activities in the past year; this
     resulted in 53 million estimated outdoor recreation activities

   – Visited a municipal park for 38% of their outdoor activities, a county park
     for 11%, state park/recreation area for 17% and federal park/recreation
     area for 8%
Direct Use Benefits


 Value ($millions)       Bucks        Chester       Delaware   Montgomery   Philadelphia     Total
Local/Municipal      $      20.16 $       15.50 $        18.17 $     26.50 $       49.92 $     130.24
County               $      51.20 $       39.37 $        46.14 $     67.30 $      126.80 $     330.81
State                $      79.12 $       60.84 $        71.31 $    104.01 $      195.96 $     511.25
Federal              $      37.23 $       28.63 $        33.56 $     48.95 $       92.22 $     240.59
Total                $     187.71 $      144.33 $       169.19 $    246.76 $      464.89 $   1,212.87
Context and Commentary

• Estimates intended to be rough and conservative

• Does not include data for activities that occur on land trust
  owned land

• Minimal overlap with other categories
    – Direct use benefits / Tourism – small overlap with usage fees
    – Likely some overlap with the health care cost savings estimates (users
      accounting for health care savings when deciding on willingness to pay)
    – Some overlap with property value impact, which accounts primarily for
      aesthetics of proximity to open space but may also account for
      convenience of direct use)
Health Care Cost Savings
• The importance of physical activity in reducing the morbidity and
  mortality from a number of chronic diseases is well established in the
  medical literature

• Exercising 3 or more times per week at a moderate to strenuous pace is
  considered enough to generate health benefits

• Strong evidence shows that when people have accesses to parks and
  open space, they are more likely to meet or exceed the minimum
  exercise requirements.



                                                         Econsult Corporation
Health Care Cost Savings

• The cost savings can be thought of as the “costs avoided” by a
  physically active person compared to a physically inactive person

• The costs savings per physically active person were estimated using
  the Physical Inactivity Cost Calculator developed by East Carolina
  University




                                                       Econsult Corporation
Cost Categories

• We included 5 costs of physical inactivity:
    – Direct Medical Costs: the costs associated with treating the disease(s)
      attributable to physical activity
    – Indirect Medical Costs. Pain and suffering due to the medical conditions, a
      reduction in quality life and shorter life expectancy
    – Direct Workers Compensation Costs. Physically inactive persons are
      more likely to incur worker compensation injuries and have longer
      recovery times
    – Indirect Worker Compensation Costs. These costs include the cost of
      processing the compensation claims as well as other administrative costs
    – Lost Productivity. These include missed work associated with health
      conditions related to physical inactivity, absenteeism, and “presenteeism”
Health Care Savings Methods
• Using SCORP data we estimated:

   – The number of working-age residents living in the study area that engage
      in moderate or strenuous activities at least 3 time per week

   – The proportion of that exercise that is engaged in at a park or on a trail
Health Care Savings Methods
• We found that:

   – 38% of the working age population of the suburban counties and 33% of
     City residents meet the exercise requirements

   – 41% of moderate or strenuous exercise occurred at a park or a trail
Health Care Benefits

     Cost Savings
       ($ Million)          Bucks          Chester          Delaware      Montgomery        Philadelphia        Total
Direct Medical Cost
Savings                 $      34.04   $        26.02   $         29.56   $     42.51   $           77.49   $      209.63
Indirect Medical Cost
Savings                 $     102.13   $        78.07   $         88.67   $    127.53   $          232.48   $      628.88
Direct Workers
Compensation Cost
Savings                 $       0.25   $         0.19   $          0.22   $      0.32   $            0.58   $           1.57
Indirect Workers
Compensation Cost
Savings                 $       1.02   $         0.78   $          0.88   $      1.27   $           2.32    $        6.27
Lost Productivity       $      99.72   $        76.23   $         86.58   $    167.35   $         305.07    $      734.95
Total                   $     237.17   $       181.29   $        205.91   $    338.97   $         617.95    $    1,581.29
Context and Commentary

• Likely some overlap with the direct use benefit estimates; as
  noted previously, users accounting for health care savings when
  deciding on willingness to pay
• Substitution effect vis a vis direct use and health care benefits
    – Present calculations represent benefits associated with use of protected
      open space
    – Not the same as costs associated with unavailability of protected open
      space, as some will substitute to other recreational/exercise outlets
Context and Commentary

• Therefore it matters whether the inquiry is “what is the benefit of
  its existence” or “what is the cost of its removal”
    – Magnitude of costs may be less than magnitude of benefits, because of
      substitution
    – Costs/benefits may not be linear as protected open space is
      added/subtracted
    – Not all open space is alike, in terms of recreational/exercise use
Economic Value Components

• Job and revenue generation
• Environmental services provided
• Direct use benefits
• Property value impact




                                    Econsult Corporation
Property Value Impact

• Data:
   – Universe of all arms-length home sales in the city and suburbs from
      2005-2009 = ~230,000 transactions
   – Open space parcel file from DVRPC
• Home sales are geo-coded and distance to nearest open space parcel
  is computed
• Hedonic valuation regression is estimated, with open space variables
  added to the specification



                                                       Econsult Corporation
Property Value Impact




                   Econsult Corporation
Property Value Impact




                   Econsult Corporation
City Homes are Actually More
Proximate to Open Space than
      Suburban Homes




                       Econsult Corporation
Regression Results I
Suburban County Regression
N=127,756, R-sq=0.71
Variable        Label                                         Est. Coeff.     S.E.     t Value       Pr > |t|
Intercept       Intercept                                             11.85407 0.00959 1235.71        <.0001
qtr_mi_ospace dummy=1 if <=1/4 mile from open space                     0.0553 0.00309        17.9    <.0001
Dist_OSpace     distance to open space (mi.)                          -0.03625 0.00827       -4.38    <.0001
ospace_acres    acreage of nearest open space                      0.00001974 3.11E-06        6.36    <.0001



Philadelphia County Regression
N=100,457, R-
sq=0.64
Variable          Label                                                Est. Coeff. S.E.        t Value          Pr > |t|
Intercept                                                                   6.65084     0.1563       42.55       <.0001
qtr_mi_5          dummy=1 if <=1/4 mile from open space >=5 acres           0.06922 0.00963           7.19      <.0001
dist_ospace_5     distance to open space (mi.) >=5 acres                   -0.29739  0.0577          -5.15      <.0001
ospace_acres      acreage of nearest open space                         0.00002143 1.01E-05           2.12      0.0339




                                                                                      Econsult Corporation
Proximity to Open Space is More
   Valuable to City Dwellers
                           Change in House $Values by
                            Proximity to Open Space
  $35,000


  $30,000                                                                       Philadelphia
                                                                                Suburbs
  $25,000


  $20,000


  $15,000


  $10,000


   $5,000


      $0
            0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5 0.55 0.6 0.65 0.7 0.75 0.8 0.85 0.9 0.95 1

                                        Miles from Open Space

                                                                                    Econsult Corporation
An Acre of Open Space is More
   Valuable to City Dwellers
         %Change in House Value for Each 1,000 acres of
                  Open Space within 1/4 mile
 2.20%
                   2.17%

 2.15%


 2.10%


 2.05%


 2.00%                                       1.99%



 1.95%


 1.90%
                   City                      Suburb



                                                      Econsult Corporation
But an Acre of Open Space Has a
Higher $Value in the Suburbs, due to
     their Higher House Values
             $Change in House Value for Each 1,000 acres of
                      Open Space within 1/4 mile
    $6,000

                                                 $5,034
    $5,000


    $4,000


    $3,000
                       $2,491

    $2,000


    $1,000


       $0
                        City                     Suburb




                                                          Econsult Corporation
It takes Large Quantities of Open Space to
Have a Meaningful Impact on House Values

                 $Change in House Value by Quantity of
                             Open Space
        $7,000
                     $Value-City
        $6,000       $Value-Suburbs

        $5,000


        $4,000


        $3,000


        $2,000


        $1,000


           $0




                 1,000
                 1,050
                 1,100
                    50




                 1,150
                 1,200
                 1,250
                   100
                   150
                   200
                   250
                   300
                   350
                   400
                   450
                   500
                   550
                   600
                   650
                   700
                   750
                   800
                   850
                   900
                   950
                     0




                           Acreage of Open Space within 1/4 mile


                                                                   Econsult Corporation
The Value of Open Space has
      Grown Over Time

        %Change in Value of Proximity (<1/4 mi.) to
                Open Space, 2005-2009
12.0%

                                                  10.2%
10.0%      City%
                                                                 9.0%
           Suburb%                  8.5%
8.0%

                      6.2%
6.0%



4.0%

                                                                        2.1%
2.0%                                       1.5%
        0.7%                                              0.7%
               0.4%          0.6%
0.0%
          2005          2006          2007          2008           2009


                                                                 Econsult Corporation
Both the % and $ Values of Open Space has
Increased by More in the City than Suburbs
              $14,000

                                                                y = 2371.5x - 5E+06
                                                                     R² = 0.749
              $12,000
                                                                        $11,741


                                                                                      $10,336
              $10,000
                                                          $9,746



               $8,000
     $Value




                                            $7,088                                                  City$
                                                                                                    Suburb$
               $6,000                                                                               Linear (City$)
                                                                                      $5,318        Linear (Suburb$)
                                                               y = 876.06x - 2E+06
               $4,000                                              R² = 0.5798
                                                          $3,749



               $2,000
                                                                        $1,693
                                            $1,420
                              $1,073
                              $806
                  $0
                    2005   2005   2006   2006   2007   2007   2008   2008   2009   2009   2010   Econsult Corporation
                                                       Year
Econsult Corporation
Econsult Corporation
There is Substantial Variation in the Value of
          Proximity, Across Sites

                   $ Value of House Proximity to Case Study Sites

                     Radnor                                                         $175,756


                  Clark Park                       $45,879


                Peace Valley                   $35,155


                   Hopewell           $8,273


                  Perkiomen          $4,766


                  Glenolden         $382


        -$29,319 Honeybrook


     -$50,000                  $0               $50,000      $100,000   $150,000        $200,000



                                                                               Econsult Corporation
Econsult Corporation
The More Developed an Area, the More
 Valuable Open Space is to Residents

            %Value of Proximity to Open Space by
                       Planning Area
    16.0%
              14.4%
    14.0%

    12.0%

    10.0%

    8.0%
                           6.7%
    6.0%

    4.0%

    2.0%                                  1.1%
                                                          0.7%

    0.0%
             Core City   Developed   Growing Suburb*   Rural Area*
                         Community



                                                                 Econsult Corporation
But When Adjusted for House Values, Open
Space Has Nearly Identical $ Value in Cities
        and Developed Suburbs
                             $Change in House Values by
                              Proximity to Open Space
     $20,000

     $18,000                                                              Core City

     $16,000                                                              Developed Community
                                                                          Growing Suburb
     $14,000
                                                                          Rural Area
     $12,000

     $10,000

      $8,000

      $6,000

      $4,000

      $2,000

         $0
               0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5 0.55 0.6 0.65 0.7 0.75 0.8 0.85 0.9 0.95 1

                                     Miles from Open Space

                                                                                             Econsult Corporation
Summary and Coming Attractions

• Being within walking distance to open space has a positive and
  statistically significant value in almost all cases
   – 1-15% increase in home values, depending upon size and location
   – Only exception is small parks in the city
• Although urban dwellers willing to pay more for open space,
  suburban dwellers actually pay more due to their higher home
  values




                                                          Econsult Corporation
Summary and Coming Attractions

• Policy implications
    – Holding the total amount of open space constant, lots of smaller open
      spaces create more value than fewer but larger open spaces
    – Urban dwellers enjoy urban space more, but suburban dwellers will pay
      more (in the form of total house prices)
• Coming soon: total economic and fiscal value of open space




                                                            Econsult Corporation
Questions/Comments?




                 Econsult Corporation

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Economic Value of Open Space in Pennsylvania

  • 1. THE ECONOMIC VALUE OF PROTECTED OPEN SPACE IN SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA Greenspace Alliance / DVRPC April 20, 2010 Econsult Corporation
  • 2. Economic Value Components • Job and revenue generation • Environmental services provided • Direct use benefits • Property value impact • Status – Research, modeling complete – Fine-tuning results and visuals – Deciding how conservative to be – Accounting for potential overlaps within/between categories Econsult Corporation
  • 3. Status of Engagement • Research, modeling complete • Fine-tuning results and visuals • Deciding how conservative to be • Accounting for potential overlaps within/between categories Econsult Corporation
  • 4. Economic Value Components • Job and revenue generation • Environmental services provided • Direct use benefits • Property value impact Econsult Corporation
  • 5. Job and Revenue Generation • Accounting for economic impacts • Categories – Privately controlled open space – Publicly controlled open space – Tourism activity – Aggregate impact • Context and commentary Econsult Corporation
  • 6. Accounting for Economic Impacts • Typical discussion: dollar terms vs. non-dollar terms • Development = net new revenues AND net new expenditures • Economic activity from open space > 0 – Privately controlled preserved farmland – Publicly controlled park space – Tourism attracted by open space • Ancillary effects of any direct expenditures Econsult Corporation
  • 7. Privately Controlled Open Space • Acreage: preserved farmland 59.6K + land trust 42.0K = 101.6K • Satellite imagery isolates only agricultural uses: preserved farmland 35.7K + land trust 14.6K = 50.3K • Commercial activities on small community gardens not included • USDA/Census data on sales and employment by county, apportioned Econsult Corporation
  • 8. Estimated Annual Direct Economic Activity on Privately Controlled Open Space (in $M) County Sales Employment Bucks $1.1 25 Chester $5.5 123 Delaware $0.2 16 Montgomery $1.0 24 Philadelphia $0.5 19 TOTAL $8.2 207 Econsult Corporation
  • 9. Publicly Controlled Open Space • Budget data obtained from federal/state/county/municipal parks and related departments • Independence National Historic Park not included, recreation portions of “parks and recreation” departments not included • Municipal parks account for 34.5K out of 95.7K acres, but only municipalities with park acreage >200 acres included (16% of municipalities and 43% of acreage) Econsult Corporation
  • 10. Estimated Annual Direct Economic Activity on Publicly Controlled Open Space (in $M) Budgets Employment Bucks $13.7 187 Chester $11.1 137 Delaware $13.8 188 Montgomery $12.7 173 Philadelphia $12.6 171 Total $63.9 856 Econsult Corporation
  • 11. Estimated Annual 5-County Total Economic Impact of All Protected Open Space (in $M) 5-County Total Philadelphia Bucks Chester Delaware Montgomery Expenditures $135.6 $24.7 $27.9 $30.7 $26.5 $25.8 Employment 1650.3 295.3 335.6 394.5 314.4 310.5 Earnings $76.8 $14.4 $13.8 $20.3 $14.1 $14.1 Local Taxes $1.0 $0.9 $0.0 $0.1 $0.0 $0.1 Econsult Corporation
  • 12. Tourism Activity • Protected open space a significant component of Philadelphia region tourism industry – 2007 survey of international visitors ~ 16% participated in outdoor activities – Out of 30M visitors, top attractions incl. Valley Forge (1.3M), Longwood Gardens (730K) • Tourism industry as a whole - $9.3B in expenditures supporting 87K employees and $2.8B earnings, and generating $600M in local/state taxes • Assuming 2% attributable to protected open space - $186M in expenditures supporting 1,750 employees and $56M earnings, and generating $12M in local/state taxes Econsult Corporation
  • 13. Estimated Annual 5-County Total Economic Impact of All Protected Open Space (in $M) 5-County Total Philadelphia Bucks Chester Delaware Montgomery Expenditures $322.2 $131.3 $44.9 $48.3 $41.7 $56.0 Employment 3,396 1,059 570 586 506 674 Earnings $133.2 $46.0 $19.0 $25.5 $18.9 $23.7 Local Taxes $6.8 $5.0 $0.4 $0.4 $0.4 $0.6 Econsult Corporation
  • 14. Context and Commentary • Estimates intended to be rough and conservative • Impact relative to overall regional economy – insignificant • Impact relative to how protected open space is often perceived – significant • Little to no overlap with other impact types from this study – Environmental services provided – no overlap – Direct use benefits / Tourism – small overlap with usage fees – Property value impact – no overlap Econsult Corporation
  • 15. Economic Value Components • Job and revenue generation • Environmental services provided • Direct use benefits • Property value impact Econsult Corporation
  • 16. Environmental Services Provided • Air Pollution • Ecosystem Services Econsult Corporation
  • 17. Air Pollution Benefits • Open space offers the ability to remove significant amounts of air pollutants • Most of the air pollution benefits are generated by the tree canopy cover found on the open space parcels • Trees improve air quality by removing NO2 , SO2 , CO, O3 , and PM10 • Trees help clean the air by storing and sequestering carbon in their biomass Econsult Corporation
  • 18. Air Pollution Benefits • Tree canopy amounts were estimated from satellite land cover data • Air Pollutant Removal amounts were estimated using the i-Tree Vue model from the US Forest Service
  • 19. Tree Canopy Cover Preserved County County Federal Municipal Non-Profit State Total Farmland Bucks 3,642 0 3,959 1,387 2,838 8,364 20,189 Chester 3,229 623 3,716 3,267 14,065 4,477 29,377 Delaware 594 103 1,861 0 1,421 1,955 5,934 Montgomery 2,332 677 3,673 709 2,450 2,206 12,047 Philadelphia 3,774 0 115 0 254 59 4,202 Total 13,571 1,404 13,324 5,362 21,028 17,060 71,749 Econsult Corporation
  • 20. Pollutant Removal (tons) Pollutant (tons) Bucks Chester Delaware Montgomery Philadelphia Total O3 310 446 93 185 66 1,099 PM10 325 468 97 194 69 1,153 NO2 156 224 47 93 33 553 SO2 69 99 21 41 15 244 CO 17 24 5 10 4 59 Pollutant ( Thousands tons) Bucks Chester Delaware Montgomery Philadelphia Total Carbon Sequestration 27 39 8 16 6 95 Carbon Storage 815 1,175 244 488 174 2,895
  • 21. Air Pollution Benefits • Benefits were calculated by multiplying the pollutant removal amounts by the externality value of the pollutant • Externality values are considered the estimated costs of pollution to society that is not accounted for in the market price of the goods or services that produced the pollution • One example is the value that society would have to pay in areas such as healthcare if trees did not remove these pollutants due to increased cases of asthma and other respiratory conditions
  • 22. Air Pollution Benefits Value ($million) Bucks Chester Delaware Montgomery Philadelphia Total O3 $ 2.78 $ 4.01 $ 0.83 $ 1.66 $ 0.59 $ 9.88 PM10 $ 1.95 $ 2.81 $ 0.58 $ 1.16 $ 0.41 $ 6.92 NO2 $ 1.40 $ 2.02 $ 0.42 $ 0.84 $ 0.30 $ 4.97 SO2 $ 0.15 $ 0.22 $ 0.05 $ 0.09 $ 0.03 $ 0.54 CO $ 0.02 $ 0.03 $ 0.01 $ 0.01 $ 0.00 $ 0.08 Total $ 6.30 $ 9.08 $ 1.89 $ 3.77 $ 1.34 $ 22.38 Value ($million) Bucks Chester Delaware Montgomery Philadelphia Total Carbon Sequestration $ 0.56 $ 0.80 $ 0.17 $ 0.33 $ 0.12 $ 1.97 Carbon Storage $ 16.86 $ 24.30 $ 5.05 $ 10.09 $ 3.59 $ 59.88 Total $ 17.41 $ 25.10 $ 5.21 $ 10.42 $ 3.71 $ 61.86
  • 23. Ecosystem Services • In addition to air pollution removal, open space parcels also provide a number of valuable ecosystem services • Examples include: waste treatment, disturbance buffering, plant and animal habitat and others • The amount and type of ecosystem services generated depends on the land cover of the preserved open space
  • 24. Value Transfer • Utilized value transfer techniques to generate estimates of ecosystem service values • Value transfer has become a practical way to inform policy decisions when primary data collection is not feasible due to budget or time constraints • It is important tool because it can be reliably used to the economic value associated with a particular landscape, based on existing research for considerably less time and expense than a new primary study
  • 25. Ecosystem Service Methods • Utilized satellite land cover data to estimate the amounts of various land cover types • Ecosystem service flow values were then determined by multiplying the amount of land cover types by the estimated dollar value per acre for each ecosystem service • We used the mean value of the studies cited by Costanza et al. (2005) for a similar study in New Jersey; the Costanza report identified and used over 100 earlier studies, including 94 studies that contained original research and were published in peer- reviewed journals
  • 26. Ecosystem Services Benefits Ecosystem Service ($Million) Bucks Chester Delaware Montgomery Philadelphia Total Disturbance Prevention / Flood Control $ 15.36 $ 13.80 $ 4.23 $ 4.06 $ 5.35 $ 42.80 Waste Treatment $ 3.11 $ 4.66 $ 0.86 $ 1.32 $ 0.87 $ 10.82 Water Supply $ 9.47 $ 11.72 $ 2.91 $ 4.45 $ 2.54 $ 31.09 Pollination $ 3.61 $ 5.57 $ 1.04 $ 2.21 $ 0.66 $ 13.09 Habitat Refugium $ 30.37 $ 42.93 $ 7.17 $ 17.36 $ 4.28 $ 102.10 Soil Formation $ 0.12 $ 0.26 $ 0.04 $ 0.08 $ 0.02 $ 0.52 Total $ 34.10 $ 48.75 $ 8.25 $ 19.64 $ 4.96 $ 115.71
  • 27. Context and Commentary • Estimates intended to be rough and conservative • The estimates are conservative due to: – Gaps in the valuation literature – Distortions in current prices used to estimate the values are carried through the analysis – Most studies are based on individuals’ willingness to pay • Little or no overlap with other impacts estimated in the study – No internal overlap within environmental services categories – Little or no overlap with property value impact
  • 28. Economic Value Components • Job and revenue generation • Environmental services provided • Direct use benefits • Property value impact Econsult Corporation
  • 29. Direct Use Benefits • Preserved open space provides value through the recreational activities enjoyed on the open space • Value are determined based on a consumer’s “willingness to pay” (WTP) for the recreational experience • WTP represents the amount of money residents save by not having to pay market rates to partake in many of the recreational activities provided by the open space Econsult Corporation
  • 30. Direct Use Benefits • The direct use benefits were quantified using methods based on the Army Corps of Engineers “Unit Day Value” method • Estimates of number of park visits were obtained from the SCORP data collected from DCNR • The activities enjoyed were estimated using data collected from State Parks usage data Econsult Corporation
  • 31. Direct Use Benefits Methods • We assumed that the users of County, State, and Federal lands engaged in the same types of activities in the same proportions • We estimated the average direct-use benefit enjoyed by the average State Park visitor using State Park usage data and unit day values • For municipal parks we used the average “unit day value” assigned to the general recreation category Econsult Corporation
  • 32. Direct Use Benefits Methods • Using SCORP data we estimated: – The number of times that average households participated in outdoor recreation in the past year – What percentage of the recreational activities took place on the various types of open space
  • 33. Direct Use Benefits Methods • The average household in the study area: – Participated in 36 outdoor recreation activities in the past year; this resulted in 53 million estimated outdoor recreation activities – Visited a municipal park for 38% of their outdoor activities, a county park for 11%, state park/recreation area for 17% and federal park/recreation area for 8%
  • 34. Direct Use Benefits Value ($millions) Bucks Chester Delaware Montgomery Philadelphia Total Local/Municipal $ 20.16 $ 15.50 $ 18.17 $ 26.50 $ 49.92 $ 130.24 County $ 51.20 $ 39.37 $ 46.14 $ 67.30 $ 126.80 $ 330.81 State $ 79.12 $ 60.84 $ 71.31 $ 104.01 $ 195.96 $ 511.25 Federal $ 37.23 $ 28.63 $ 33.56 $ 48.95 $ 92.22 $ 240.59 Total $ 187.71 $ 144.33 $ 169.19 $ 246.76 $ 464.89 $ 1,212.87
  • 35. Context and Commentary • Estimates intended to be rough and conservative • Does not include data for activities that occur on land trust owned land • Minimal overlap with other categories – Direct use benefits / Tourism – small overlap with usage fees – Likely some overlap with the health care cost savings estimates (users accounting for health care savings when deciding on willingness to pay) – Some overlap with property value impact, which accounts primarily for aesthetics of proximity to open space but may also account for convenience of direct use)
  • 36. Health Care Cost Savings • The importance of physical activity in reducing the morbidity and mortality from a number of chronic diseases is well established in the medical literature • Exercising 3 or more times per week at a moderate to strenuous pace is considered enough to generate health benefits • Strong evidence shows that when people have accesses to parks and open space, they are more likely to meet or exceed the minimum exercise requirements. Econsult Corporation
  • 37. Health Care Cost Savings • The cost savings can be thought of as the “costs avoided” by a physically active person compared to a physically inactive person • The costs savings per physically active person were estimated using the Physical Inactivity Cost Calculator developed by East Carolina University Econsult Corporation
  • 38. Cost Categories • We included 5 costs of physical inactivity: – Direct Medical Costs: the costs associated with treating the disease(s) attributable to physical activity – Indirect Medical Costs. Pain and suffering due to the medical conditions, a reduction in quality life and shorter life expectancy – Direct Workers Compensation Costs. Physically inactive persons are more likely to incur worker compensation injuries and have longer recovery times – Indirect Worker Compensation Costs. These costs include the cost of processing the compensation claims as well as other administrative costs – Lost Productivity. These include missed work associated with health conditions related to physical inactivity, absenteeism, and “presenteeism”
  • 39. Health Care Savings Methods • Using SCORP data we estimated: – The number of working-age residents living in the study area that engage in moderate or strenuous activities at least 3 time per week – The proportion of that exercise that is engaged in at a park or on a trail
  • 40. Health Care Savings Methods • We found that: – 38% of the working age population of the suburban counties and 33% of City residents meet the exercise requirements – 41% of moderate or strenuous exercise occurred at a park or a trail
  • 41. Health Care Benefits Cost Savings ($ Million) Bucks Chester Delaware Montgomery Philadelphia Total Direct Medical Cost Savings $ 34.04 $ 26.02 $ 29.56 $ 42.51 $ 77.49 $ 209.63 Indirect Medical Cost Savings $ 102.13 $ 78.07 $ 88.67 $ 127.53 $ 232.48 $ 628.88 Direct Workers Compensation Cost Savings $ 0.25 $ 0.19 $ 0.22 $ 0.32 $ 0.58 $ 1.57 Indirect Workers Compensation Cost Savings $ 1.02 $ 0.78 $ 0.88 $ 1.27 $ 2.32 $ 6.27 Lost Productivity $ 99.72 $ 76.23 $ 86.58 $ 167.35 $ 305.07 $ 734.95 Total $ 237.17 $ 181.29 $ 205.91 $ 338.97 $ 617.95 $ 1,581.29
  • 42. Context and Commentary • Likely some overlap with the direct use benefit estimates; as noted previously, users accounting for health care savings when deciding on willingness to pay • Substitution effect vis a vis direct use and health care benefits – Present calculations represent benefits associated with use of protected open space – Not the same as costs associated with unavailability of protected open space, as some will substitute to other recreational/exercise outlets
  • 43. Context and Commentary • Therefore it matters whether the inquiry is “what is the benefit of its existence” or “what is the cost of its removal” – Magnitude of costs may be less than magnitude of benefits, because of substitution – Costs/benefits may not be linear as protected open space is added/subtracted – Not all open space is alike, in terms of recreational/exercise use
  • 44. Economic Value Components • Job and revenue generation • Environmental services provided • Direct use benefits • Property value impact Econsult Corporation
  • 45. Property Value Impact • Data: – Universe of all arms-length home sales in the city and suburbs from 2005-2009 = ~230,000 transactions – Open space parcel file from DVRPC • Home sales are geo-coded and distance to nearest open space parcel is computed • Hedonic valuation regression is estimated, with open space variables added to the specification Econsult Corporation
  • 46. Property Value Impact Econsult Corporation
  • 47. Property Value Impact Econsult Corporation
  • 48. City Homes are Actually More Proximate to Open Space than Suburban Homes Econsult Corporation
  • 49. Regression Results I Suburban County Regression N=127,756, R-sq=0.71 Variable Label Est. Coeff. S.E. t Value Pr > |t| Intercept Intercept 11.85407 0.00959 1235.71 <.0001 qtr_mi_ospace dummy=1 if <=1/4 mile from open space 0.0553 0.00309 17.9 <.0001 Dist_OSpace distance to open space (mi.) -0.03625 0.00827 -4.38 <.0001 ospace_acres acreage of nearest open space 0.00001974 3.11E-06 6.36 <.0001 Philadelphia County Regression N=100,457, R- sq=0.64 Variable Label Est. Coeff. S.E. t Value Pr > |t| Intercept 6.65084 0.1563 42.55 <.0001 qtr_mi_5 dummy=1 if <=1/4 mile from open space >=5 acres 0.06922 0.00963 7.19 <.0001 dist_ospace_5 distance to open space (mi.) >=5 acres -0.29739 0.0577 -5.15 <.0001 ospace_acres acreage of nearest open space 0.00002143 1.01E-05 2.12 0.0339 Econsult Corporation
  • 50. Proximity to Open Space is More Valuable to City Dwellers Change in House $Values by Proximity to Open Space $35,000 $30,000 Philadelphia Suburbs $25,000 $20,000 $15,000 $10,000 $5,000 $0 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5 0.55 0.6 0.65 0.7 0.75 0.8 0.85 0.9 0.95 1 Miles from Open Space Econsult Corporation
  • 51. An Acre of Open Space is More Valuable to City Dwellers %Change in House Value for Each 1,000 acres of Open Space within 1/4 mile 2.20% 2.17% 2.15% 2.10% 2.05% 2.00% 1.99% 1.95% 1.90% City Suburb Econsult Corporation
  • 52. But an Acre of Open Space Has a Higher $Value in the Suburbs, due to their Higher House Values $Change in House Value for Each 1,000 acres of Open Space within 1/4 mile $6,000 $5,034 $5,000 $4,000 $3,000 $2,491 $2,000 $1,000 $0 City Suburb Econsult Corporation
  • 53. It takes Large Quantities of Open Space to Have a Meaningful Impact on House Values $Change in House Value by Quantity of Open Space $7,000 $Value-City $6,000 $Value-Suburbs $5,000 $4,000 $3,000 $2,000 $1,000 $0 1,000 1,050 1,100 50 1,150 1,200 1,250 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900 950 0 Acreage of Open Space within 1/4 mile Econsult Corporation
  • 54. The Value of Open Space has Grown Over Time %Change in Value of Proximity (<1/4 mi.) to Open Space, 2005-2009 12.0% 10.2% 10.0% City% 9.0% Suburb% 8.5% 8.0% 6.2% 6.0% 4.0% 2.1% 2.0% 1.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.6% 0.0% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Econsult Corporation
  • 55. Both the % and $ Values of Open Space has Increased by More in the City than Suburbs $14,000 y = 2371.5x - 5E+06 R² = 0.749 $12,000 $11,741 $10,336 $10,000 $9,746 $8,000 $Value $7,088 City$ Suburb$ $6,000 Linear (City$) $5,318 Linear (Suburb$) y = 876.06x - 2E+06 $4,000 R² = 0.5798 $3,749 $2,000 $1,693 $1,420 $1,073 $806 $0 2005 2005 2006 2006 2007 2007 2008 2008 2009 2009 2010 Econsult Corporation Year
  • 58. There is Substantial Variation in the Value of Proximity, Across Sites $ Value of House Proximity to Case Study Sites Radnor $175,756 Clark Park $45,879 Peace Valley $35,155 Hopewell $8,273 Perkiomen $4,766 Glenolden $382 -$29,319 Honeybrook -$50,000 $0 $50,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 Econsult Corporation
  • 60. The More Developed an Area, the More Valuable Open Space is to Residents %Value of Proximity to Open Space by Planning Area 16.0% 14.4% 14.0% 12.0% 10.0% 8.0% 6.7% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0% Core City Developed Growing Suburb* Rural Area* Community Econsult Corporation
  • 61. But When Adjusted for House Values, Open Space Has Nearly Identical $ Value in Cities and Developed Suburbs $Change in House Values by Proximity to Open Space $20,000 $18,000 Core City $16,000 Developed Community Growing Suburb $14,000 Rural Area $12,000 $10,000 $8,000 $6,000 $4,000 $2,000 $0 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5 0.55 0.6 0.65 0.7 0.75 0.8 0.85 0.9 0.95 1 Miles from Open Space Econsult Corporation
  • 62. Summary and Coming Attractions • Being within walking distance to open space has a positive and statistically significant value in almost all cases – 1-15% increase in home values, depending upon size and location – Only exception is small parks in the city • Although urban dwellers willing to pay more for open space, suburban dwellers actually pay more due to their higher home values Econsult Corporation
  • 63. Summary and Coming Attractions • Policy implications – Holding the total amount of open space constant, lots of smaller open spaces create more value than fewer but larger open spaces – Urban dwellers enjoy urban space more, but suburban dwellers will pay more (in the form of total house prices) • Coming soon: total economic and fiscal value of open space Econsult Corporation
  • 64. Questions/Comments? Econsult Corporation