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Creating evidence
from open source
data: an in-depth
analysis of health and
social care in Scotland
Prof Bill Buchanan, 

The Cyber Academy
http://asecuritysite.com/bigdata
Twitter: billatnapier
Objectives:
- How to turn data into evidence.
- Learn something new.
[Link]
Open Source Data
Vision [Link]
Open Source Data
London
London Demographics
Age leave school - 16 or
under v Greater than 24
[Link]
London Demographics
5 Fruit and veg and
health children (Aged
4-5)
[Link]
London Demographics
Free school meals
[Link]
London Demographics
Overweight to underweight
… Bexley to Harrow
[Link]
London Demographics
Obese Children … Hexham
to Richmond upon Thames
[Link] % Obese Children
(Year 6) = 1.509 * % Obese
Children (Receiption) +
7.313
London Demographics
Obese Children …
Southwark to Richmond
upon Thames
[Link]
London Demographics
Excess weight … East
Walworth to Hillside
[Link] [Twitter]
London (A Lonely World)
London Demographics
Loneliness and Low-
incomes …
[Link]
% of Children in low-
income families = -0.583 *
Loneliness Rank in London
+ 33.02
London Demographics
Loneliness and Labour …
[Link]
Scotland
Education
[Link]
Scotland - Regional Analysis
More than 5 Highers and
Free School Meals
[Link][Link]
Scotland - Regional Analysis
More than 3 Highers and
Free School Meals
[Link][Link]
Scotland - Regional Analysis
More than 1/5 Highers and
Free School Meals
[Link][Link]
Scotland - Regional Analysis
More than 1 Highers and
Free School Meals
[Link][Link]
Scotland - Regional Analysis
More than 5 Highers
[Link][Link]
Scottish Health Observatory
[Link]
Alcohol
[Link]
Scotland - Regional Analysis
Weekly drinkers and
common assult
[Link][Link]
Scotland - Regional Analysis
Breach of peace, common
assault and rowdy behave.
[Link][Link]
Smoking
[Link]
Scotland - Regional Analysis
COPD and Lung cancer
deaths
[Link][Link][Link]
Scotland - Regional Analysis
Smoking adults, 65+, 40-64
[Link][Link][Link]
Scotland - Regional Analysis
Lung cancer, COPD,
admissions
[Link][Link][Link]
Scotland - Regional Analysis
Tobacco retailers and
smoking?
[Link][Link][Link]
Mental Health
[Link]
Scotland - Regional Analysis
Mental Health
[Link][Link]
Drugs
[Link]
Scotland - Regional Analysis
Drugs
[Link][Link]
Scotland - Regional Analysis
Drugs
[Link][Link]
SIDM 2016
Scotland - SIMD 2016
Employment and SIMD rank
[Link][Link]
Scotland - SIMD 2016
Housing and Health
[Link][Link]
Scotland - SIMD 2016
Health and Income
[Link][Link]
Scotland - SIMD 2016
Employment and Crime
[Link][Link]
Scotland - SIMD 2016
Employment and Crime
[Link][Link]
Scotland - SIMD 2016
Health and Education
[Link][Link]
Scotland - SIMD 2016
Attainment and Attendance
[Link][Link]
Scotland - SIMD 2016
Income and Employment
deprived
[Link][Link]
Edinburgh - SIMD 2016
No CH and Overcrowding
[Link][Link]
Edinburgh
Edinburgh - SIMD 2016
Income and Health
[Link][Link]
Edinburgh - SIMD 2016
Employment and Education
[Link][Link]
Edinburgh - SIMD 2016
Crime and Housing
[Link][Link]
Edinburgh - SIMD 2016
Working age and population
[Link][Link]
Edinburgh - SIMD 2016
Housing and Health
[Link][Link]
Edinburgh - SIMD 2016
Health and Education
[Link][Link]
Edinburgh - SIMD 2016
Pupil attendance and No
qualifications
[Link][Link]
Edinburgh - SIMD 2016
Pupil attendance and No
qualifications
[Link][Link]
Edinburgh - SIMD 2016
Attainment and Illness
[Link][Link]
Edinburgh - SIMD 2016
Hospital for drugs and
alcohol
[Link][Link]
Edinburgh - SIMD 2016
Employment and Income
Deprived
[Link][Link]
Edinburgh - SIMD 2016
Health and Education
[Link][Link]
Edinburgh - SIMD 2016
Health and Employment
[Link][Link]
Glasgow
Glasgow - SIMD 2016
Health and Employment
[Link][Link]
Glasgow - SIMD 2016
Health and Education
[Link][Link]
Glasgow - SIMD 2016
Health and Housing
[Link][Link]
Glasgow - SIMD 2016
Employment and Income
Deprived
[Link][Link]
Glasgow (Rebirth)
Glasgow (Rebirth)
[Link]
[Link]
Glasgow (Rebirth)
[Link]
[Link]
Glasgow (Rebirth)
[Link]
[Link]
Glasgow (Rebirth)
[Link]
[Link]
Machine Learning
Machine Learning [Link]
Machine Learning [Link]
Male Life Expectancy [Link]
• Deaths all ages, Deaths from alcohol conditions, Working age
population employment deprived
• Deaths from alcohol conditions, Crime rate, Population within
500 metres of a derelict site
• 96.7% success
People claiming pension credits (aged 60+) 21
Deaths all ages 12
Female life expectancy 11
Working age population employment deprived 8
Crime rate 8
Machine Learning [Link]
• Deaths all ages, New cancer registrations, Patients hospitalised
with asthma
• Deaths all ages, New cancer registrations, Patients with
emergency hospitalisations
• Deaths all ages, New cancer registrations, Adults incapacity
benefit/severe disability allow/employment allow
• Deaths all ages, New cancer registrations, Population within 500
metres of a derelict site
• Deaths all ages, Patients hospitalised with asthma, Average tariff
score of all pupils on S4 roll
• Early deaths from cancer (<75), Smoking prevalence (adults 16+),
Bowel screening uptake
• Smoking prevalence (adults 16+)Working age adults with low/no
educational qual Bowel screening uptake
Deaths all ages 35
Male life expectancy 22
All mortality among 15-44 year olds 20
Patients hospitalised with coronary heart disease 6
Child obesity in primary 4
Deaths All Ages [Link]
Estimated smoking attributable deaths 17
Male life expectancy 16
Female life expectancy 16
Adults rating neighbourhood as a very good place to live 14
Child dental health in primary 1 11
All mortality among 15-44 year
olds
[Link]
Child obesity in primary 37
Early deaths from CHD (<75) 28
Male life expectancy 7
Working age population claiming Out of Work benefits 7
Adults incapacity benefit/severe disability allow/employment allow 6
Prisoner population 6
Early deaths from CHD (<75) [Link]
All mortality among 15-44 year olds 47
Female life expectancy 12
Estimated smoking attributable deaths 12
Deaths all ages 9
Population income deprived 8
Deaths all ages 44
Early deaths from CHD (<75) 16
New cancer registrations 15
Smoking prevalence (adults 16+) 7
Active travel to work 6
Estimated smoking attributable deaths
Smoking prevalence (adults
16+)
[Link]
Estimated smoking attributable deaths 14
Child dental health in primary 1 13
Patients hospitalised with (COPD) 12
Child dental health in primary 7 11
Patients (65+) with multiple emergency hospitalisations 7
Male life expectancy 32
Patients (65+) with multiple emergency hospitalisations
Patients hospitalised with asthma 7
Drug crimes recorded 7
Low birth weight 5
Alcohol-related hospital stays
Factors for Top 50 [Link]
Factors [Link]
• Deaths all ages 134
• Male life expectancy 94
• All mortality among 15-44 year olds 85
• Female life expectancy 62
• Estimated smoking attributable deaths 58
• Early deaths from CHD (<75) 53
• Alcohol-related hospital stays 51
• Child obesity in primary48
• People claiming pension credits (aged 60+) 38
• New cancer registrations 35
• Child dental health in primary 1 34
• Patients (65+) with multiple emergency hospitalisations 32
• Adults incapacity benefit/severe disability allow/employment allow 31
• Working age population claiming Out of Work benefits 29
• Population income deprived 27
• Working age population employment deprived 27
• Patients hospitalised with asthma 24
• Child dental health in primary 23
• Secondary school attendance 22
• Drug crimes recorded 22
People who do not feel in control
over their lives struggle because
the system does things to them –
it doesn't work with them and
help them create 'wellness' for
themselves … when things
happen that alienate people,
they lose that sense of control
and a whole range of biological,
as well as psychological, things
occur.
Conclusions
Creating evidence
from open source
data: an in-depth
analysis of health and
social care in Scotland
Prof Bill Buchanan, 

The Cyber Academy
http://asecuritysite.com/bigdata
Twitter: billatnapier
Objectives:
- How to turn data into evidence.
- Learn something new.

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