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Warwick Business School
        Forum
       Iain Coucher
     3 November 2008
The future challenges


                                        92.6%
                                 92%
                          91%
                 90%




                       Performance               Earlier     Weekends

             Efficiency           Availability         OPEN
                                                      FOR BUSINESS
                          Investment
                                                    Later     Bank Holidays
The Performance Challenge
Great Britain rail punctuality... better than BR …
     better than Railtrack

                                                                                                                                                                90.5%
                                     89.8%     89.7%                                                                                                   89.9%

                                                          87.9%    87.8%                                                                   88.1%
         87.4%
86.7%              86.6%    86.6%                                                                                               86.4%


                                                                                                                       83.6%

                                                                                                          81.2%

                                                                             79.1%             79.2%
                                                                                      78.0%




1992-3   1993-4    1994-5   1995-6   1996-7    1997-8     1998-9   1999-     2000-1   2001-2   2002-3     2003-4       2004-5   2005-6     2006-7      2007-8   2008-9
                                                                   2000                                                                                          (P6)

                                                                           Railtrack /
                  BR                          Railtrack                                                 Network Rail                    Current Year
                                                                           Network Rail
Great Britain rail punctuality
                                                                                                                Period 6 (92.4% )
                                    Pre-Hatfield MAA
                                        (86.1% )
                              95%

                                                         Network Rail Takes
                              90%
                                                            Over (78.6% )

                              85%
  % of Trains Achieving PPM




                              80%                                                                                     Current MAA
                                                                                                                        (90.5% )
                              75%


                              70%
                                                                                             Period Result      MAA
                              65%


                              60%


                              55%
                                      00/01      01/02   02/03      03/04        04/05       05/06      06/07     07/08       08/09
                                                                            Financial Year
Numbers of trains…


• At privatisation… 14,000 trains per day…
• 2002…             17,000 trains per day…
• 2008…             24,000 trains per day…
… and they keep going up!


• Daily passenger services

                Today       Dec 2008
  Weekday       19,991      20,898
  Saturday      18,109      19,286
  Sunday         9,738      10,694
The Availability Challenge
There are only 24 hours in a day!
…and only 365 days a year!
And trains run all day and all night…


• The last train from London KX to
  Peterborough
  – Departs      01:36 am
  – Arrives      03:21 am
• The first train from Peterborough to KX
  – Departs      03:23 am…
High Speed Track Renewal Systems - Points
High Speed Track Renewal Systems – Ballast
High Speed Bridge Replacment
New ways of doing things
New Materials…

                 St Austell Footbridge

                        Standen Hey Accommodation
                        Bridge




                  Lauder
                  Aquaduct
Modular Stations…
In fact… modular everything!
East Midlands Parkway… 2 October 2008
East Midlands Parkway… 2 October 2008




                                       0 08
                                 r 2
                            be
                         e m
                   e c
             n D
        pe
      O
The Investment Challenge
The good news!


• Over the next fiveyears we
  will invest:
  – £10,800,000,000 renewing
    the railway…
  – £7,612,000,000 enhancing
    the railway…
  – £5,000,000,000 maintaining
    the railway…
Growing investment

                      2003 - 2008                                       2009 - 2014
6000


5000


4000


3000


2000


1000


  0
       2004/05   2005/06   2006/07   2007/08   2008/09   2009/10   2010/11   2011/12   2012/13   2013/14
                             Renewals                    Enhancements
Thameslink Programme - £5,500,000,000
Blackfriars Station…
Kings Cross Station…
Birmingham New Street…
Reading Station…
Doing our bit for the Olympics…



                                  Stratford Station
Electrification…
West Coast… Delivery since the overruns

• 31 Mar - ORR states Network Rail plan is deliverable
• Easter
  Completed to time
• May Day Bank Holiday
  Completed to time
• Spring Bank Holiday
  Completed to time
• August Bank Holiday
  Completed to time
West Coast… Delivery yet to go…


November
  Crewe-Weaver line speeds
• November
  Rugby Commissioning
                                                                    y
                                                                  gb
                                                                Ru
• December                                               let
                                                            e
                                                        p
  Milton Keynes                                   c   om
                                             of in
                                         oto
                                       Ph
                                  rt
                             Inse
The Efficiency Challenge
Billions and billions of pounds saved…



 Costs down nearly 50% in ten years!
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
 0%
  2003/04   2004/05   2005/06   2006/07   2007/08   2008/09   2009/10   2010/11   2011/12   2012/13   2013/14
The Future Challenge?
Planning for new railways

• Passenger numbers up - 40%
  over last 10 years to 1.3bn
  journeys a year
• By 2025 many lines will be full up
• Strategic review of the case for
  building new rail lines across the
  network
• Five strategic routes being
  examined,
  north and west of London:
   – Chiltern, East Coast, West Coast,
     Great Western and Midland
     mainlines
Questions?

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Addressing future challenges on Great Britain's rail network