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Contents
1. Executive Summary
1.1 Increasingly Ubiquitous Mobile Broadband Driving the Need for Additional Small Cell Deployments
1.2 Mobile Broadband Penetration at an All Time High
1.3 Addressing Deployment Aspects to Increase Operator Profitability
1.4 Status of Small Cells Deployments
1.5 Market Outlook
1.6 Key Findings of the Report
1.7 Aim of the Report
1.8 Structure of the Report
1.9 Report Scope
1.10 Highlights in the report include:
1.11 Who is This Report For?
1.12 Questions Answered by this Report
1.13 Benefits of This Report
1.14 Methodology
1.15 Points Emerged from this Research
1.16 Global Small Cells Market Forecast 2013-2018
1.17 Global Small Cell Shipments Forecast 2013-2018
1.18 Global Small Cells Submarket Forecast 2013-2018
1.19 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Forecast by Type 2013-2018
1.20 Regional Small Cells Market Forecast 2013-2018
1.21 Regional Small Cell Shipments Forecast 2013-2018
2. Introduction to the Small Cells Market
2.1 The Concept of Heterogeneous Networks (HetNets)
2.2 Defining Small Cells
2.2.1 Microcell
2.2.2 Picocell
2.2.3 Femtocell
2.2.4 4G Public space femtocell
2.2.5 Metro Cell
2.2.6 eNode B
2.2.7 4G Mini eNode B
2.2.8 HetNet (Heterogeneous Network)
2.2.9 Licensed and Unlicensed Spectrum
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Contents
2.3 From Homogeneous to Heterogeneous Networks
2.4 Usage of Small Cells
2.4.1 Residential
2.4.2 Enterprise
2.4.3 Metro and Public Space
2.4.4 Rural Applications
2.5 Growth Drivers for Small Cells Market
2.5.1 Addressing the Capacity Crunch
2.5.2 Mobility: A Key Growth Driver
2.5.3 Increasing Smartphone Penetration
2.5.4 Global Increase in Growth of Mobile Broadband
2.5.5 Mobile Broadband Moving Towards LTE Technology
2.5.6 Growing Data Usage over Mobile Broadband
2.5.7 The increasing importance of Social Media
2.5.8 Additional Uses of Mobile Broadband
2.5.9 Rise in Mobile Application Downloads
2.5.10 M2M Devices Rising
2.5.10.1 Business and consumer security and surveillance
2.5.10.2 Healthcare
2.5.10.3 Inventory and fleet management
2.5.10.4 Telematics
2.5.11 Connected Homes
2.5.12 Mobile Video
2.5.13 Need for In-Building Coverage
2.5.14 Enterprise Demands for In-building Coverage
2.5.15 Small Cells Demand Driven by Vendors
2.6 Underlying Trends in the Small Cells Market
2.6.1 Small Cells – Increasingly Dense Usage in Urban LTE
2.6.2 Femtocell Deployments in Public Spaces
2.6.2.1 4G Public Space Femtocell Complementing Macro Coverage
2.6.2.2 The Role of Femtocells in HetNets
2.6.3 The Role of Picocells in Indoor Coverage
2.6.4 Microcells Filling the Macro Gaps
2.6.5 The Novel Concept and Applications of Metrocells
2.6.6 How Are Metrocells Lowering LTE Network Costs?
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Contents
3. The Global Small Cells Market Forecasts 2013-2018
3.1 Significant Increase in Mobile Broadband Uptake Driving the Small Cells Market Forward
3.2 Significant Uptake of Small Cells from Operators Driving Shipments
4. The Global Small Cells Submarket Forecasts 2013-2018
4.1 What are the Leading Submarkets in the Global Small Cells Forecast 2013-2018?
4.1.1 Global Small Cells Submarket Forecast AGR & CAGR
4.1.2 Public Space Femto Cells the Leading Submarket with 33.6% of the Global Market Share In 2013
4.2 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Forecast 2013-2018
4.2.1 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Forecast AGR & CAGR
4.2.2 2G/3G Microcell the Leading Submarket with 45.7% of the Global Shipments Share In 2013
5. Regional Small Cells Market Forecasts 2013-2018
5.1 Overview
5.2 Asia Pacific Leading the Regional Small Cells Market Forecasts by Significant Margin 2013-2018
5.2.1 Regional Small Cells Market Forecast AGR & CAGR
5.1.2 Asia Pacific Leading Regional Small Cells Market Share in 2013 with 34.7%
5.2 Regional Small Cell Shipments Forecast
5.2.1 Regional Small Cell Shipments Forecast AGR & CAGR
5.2.2 Regional Small Cell Shipments Share Forecast
6. SWOT Analysis of the Small Cells Market 2013-2018
7. Expert Opinion
7.1 Stoke – Mobile Broadband Gateway Solutions
7.1.1 Stoke Company Background & Affiliation to Small Cells
7.1.2 Key Trends in the Small Cells Market
7.1.3 Recent Developments in the Small Cells Market
7.1.4 Primary Drivers of the Small Cells Market
7.1.5 Primary Restraints of the Small Cells Market
7.1.6 Regional Growth in the Small Cells Market
7.1.7 Opportunities and Challenges in the Small Cells Market
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Contents
8. Leading Companies in the Small Cells Ecosystem
8.1 Overview of Key Market Players and their Strategies
8.2 Ablaze Wireless
8.3 Acme Packet
8.4 Agilent Technologies
8.5 Airspan
8.6 Alcatel-Lucent
8.7 Altobridge
8.8 Aricent Group
8.9 AT&T
8.10 AWTG
8.11 Azcom Technology
8.12 Benetel
8.13 BLiNQ Networks
8.14 Blu Wireless Technologies
8.15 BluWan
8.16 BridgeWave Communications
8.17 Broadcom
8.18 Cambridge Broadband Networks
8.19 Cavium
8.20 C-COM
8.21 Cisco Systems
8.22 Comba
8.23 Contela
8.24 CS Corporation
8.25 DragonWave
8.26 EDX Wireless
8.27 Ericsson
8.28 Fastback Networks
8.29 Fujitsu
8.30 Hitachi
8.31 Huawei
8.32 iDirect
8.33 Infovista
8.34 InterDigital
8.35 Intracom Telecom
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Contents
8.36 Ip.access
8.37 Ixia
8.38 Juni Global
8.39 MimoOn/Tektelic
8.40 Mindspeed Technologies
8.41 Nash Technologies
8.42 NEC
8.43 Nice
8.44 Nokia Siemens Networks
8.45 Option N.V.
8.46 PicoCELA
8.47 Public Wireless
8.48 PureWave
8.49 Qualcomm
8.50 Quortus
8.51 RadiSys
8.52 RADWIN
8.53 Rakon
8.54 Ranplan
8.55 Samsung
8.56 Siklu
8.57 SK Telesys
8.58 SoftBank
8.59 SpiderCloud Wireless
8.60 Stoke
8.61 SUB10 Systems
8.62 Tarana Wireless
8.63 Tatara Systems
8.64 TE Connectivity
8.65 Texas Instruments
8.66 Ubiquisys
8.67 u-blox
8.68 VECTRON International
8.69 Vodafone
8.70 ZTE
8.71 Additional Players in the Small Cells Ecosystem
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Contents
9. Technical Specifications of Small Cell Technologies
9.1 Technical considerations
9.1.1.1 Interference Management
9.1.1.2 Mobility Management
9.1.2 Backhaul
9.1.3 Closed vs. Hybrid vs. Open Access
9.1.4 Self-Organising Networks
9.1.5 Other Solutions
9.1.5.1 Cloud RAN (Radio Access Network)
9.1.5.1.1 Role of the Radio Access Network
9.1.5.2 Composition of the Radio Access Network
9.1.5.3 Distributes Antenna Systems (DAS)
9.2 Comparing Small Cells Approach to Hetnets
9.2.1 Microcells versus Wi-Fi Performance
9.2.2 Mobility
9.2.3 Quality of Service
9.2.4 Security
9.2.5 Self Organising Network (SON)
9.2.5.1 The Advent and Importance of Self-Organising Networks
9.3 Design of Hetnets
9.3.1 Deployment Aspects and Choice of Radio Access Technology
9.3.2 Small Cells in 3G Networks
9.3.3 Small Cells in 4G Networks
9.3.3.1 Base Stations and LTE Network Architecture
9.3.3.2 Differentiating between LTE FDD and TD-LTE
9.3.4 Type of Low Power Node and Backhaul Solution
9.3.5 Equipments Serving the Hetnets Architecture
9.3.6 Hetnet Architecture Layers and Radio Access Equipment Sectors
9.3.7 Technology for Cell Site Backhaul
10. Conclusion
10.1 Rising Traffic Volumes and Increasing Demand for Ever Present Mobile Broadband Coverage
10.2 Vendors Build a Strong Case for Small Cell Architectures
10.2.1 Small Cells and LTE
10.2.2 Integrated Antenna Systems Favouring Growth of Small Cells
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Contents
10.2.3 Small Cell Deployment Challenges and SONs
10.3 Wi-Fi Offloading and its Challenges
10.4 Operator Benefits from Small Cells: Increased Revenue, Reduced Cost
10.5 Visiongain Predicts Consistently High Growth Rates in the Small Cells Market Fuelled By Upgrades in Mobile
Broadband Technology
10.6 Conclusions
10.7 Points Emerged from this Research
10.8 Global Small Cells Market Forecast 2013-2018
10.9 Global Small Cell Shipments Forecast 2013-2018
10.10 Global Small Cells Submarket Forecast 2013-2018
10.11 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Forecast by Type 2013-2018
10.12 Regional Small Cells Market Forecast 2013-2018
10.13 Regional Small Cell Shipments Forecast 2013-2018
11. Glossary
Appendix A
About visiongain
Appendix B
Visiongain report evaluation form
List of Tables
Table 1.1 Global Small Cells Market Forecast Summary 2013, 2015, 2018 ($ million, CAGR %)
Table 1.2 Global Small Cells Shipments Forecast Summary 2013, 2015, 2018 (Units, CAGR %)
Table 1.3 Global Small Cells Submarket Forecast Summary 2013, 2015, 2018 ($ million, CAGR %)
Table 1.4 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (Units, CAGR %)
Table 1.5 Regional Small Cells Market Forecast Summary 2013, 2015, 2018 ($ million, CAGR %)
Table 1.6 Regional Small Cell Shipments Forecast Summary 2013, 2015, 2018 (Units, CAGR %)
Table 2.1 Difference between Femtocells and Picocells
Table 2.2 Small Cell Basic Definitional Rubric
Table 2.3 Characteristics Differentiating Femtocell from Picocell
Table 3.1 Global Small Cells Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ million, AGR %, CAGR%, Cumulative)
Table 3.2 Global Small Cell Shipments Forecast 2013-2018 (million units, AGR %, CAGR%, Cumulative)
Table 4.1 Global Small Cells Submarket Forecast 2013-2018 ($ million)
Table 4.2 Global Small Cells Submarket Forecast 2013-2018 (AGR %)
Table 4.3 Global Small Cells Submarket CAGR Forecast (%) 2013-2018, 2013-2015, and 2015-2018
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Contents
Table 4.4 Global Small Cells Submarket Share Forecast 2013-2018 (%)
Table 4.5 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Forecast 2013-2018 (million)
Table 4.6 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Forecast 2013-2018 (AGR %)
Table 4.7 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket CAGR Forecast (%) 2013-2018, 2013-2015, and 2015-2018
Table 4.8 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Share Forecast 2013-2018 (%)
Table 5.1 Regional Small Cells Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ millions)
Table 5.2 Regional Small Cells Market Forecast 2013-2018 (AGR %)
Table 5.3 Regional Small Cells Market CAGR Forecast (%) 2013-2018 , 2013-2015, and 2015-2018
Table 5.4 Regional Small Cells Market Share Forecast 2013-2018 (%)
Table 5.5 Regional Small Cell Shipments Forecast 2013-2018 (unit millions)
Table 5.6 Regional Small Cell Shipments Forecast 2013-2018 (AGR %)
Table 5.7 Regional Small Cell Shipments CAGR Forecast (%) 2013-2018 , 2013-2015, and 2015-2018
Table 5.8 Regional Small Cell Shipments Share Forecast 2013-2018 (%)
Table 6.1 SWOT Analysis of the Small Cells Market 2013-2018
Table 8.1 EDX Wireless Product Portfolio
Table 8.2 Key Players in the Small Cells Value Chain
Table 9.1: LTE Functions of eNodeBs
Table 9.2: Difference between FDD-LTE and TD-LTE
Table 10.1 Global Small Cells Market Forecast Summary 2013, 2015, 2018 ($ million, CAGR %)
Table 10.2 Global Small Cells Shipments Forecast Summary 2013, 2015, 2018 (Units, CAGR %)
Table 10.3 Global Small Cells Submarket Forecast Summary 2013, 2015, 2018 ($ million, CAGR %)
Table 10.4 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (Units, CAGR %)
Table 10.5 Regional Small Cells Market Forecast Summary 2013, 2015, 2018 ($ million, CAGR %)
Table 10.6 Regional Small Cell Shipments Forecast Summary 2013, 2015, 2018 (Units, CAGR %)
List of Figures
Figure 2.1 Femtocell Operation Illustration
Figure 2.2 Smartphone Shipment Forecasts, 2013-2018 (Total Handsets, Smartphones, Billions, %Share)
Figure 2.3 Global Data Traffic Forecast, 2013-2018 (Exabytes/month)
Figure 2.4 Year on year growth in Global Mobile Data Traffic by Type, 2011-2012 (%)
Figure 2.5 Mobile based Social Networking Users Forecast, 2013-2018 (Millions)
Figure 2.6 Global Mobile Applications Revenue Forecast, 2013-2018 ($ bn)
Figure 2.7 M2M Mobile Data Traffic Growth Forecast, 2013-2018 (Exabytes/Month)
Figure 2.8 Femtocell Architecture
Figure 2.9 LTE Network Offloading Trend 2013-2018
Figure 3.1 Global Small Cells Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ million, AGR%)
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Contents
Figure 3.2 Global Small Cell Shipments Forecast 2013-2018 (million units, AGR%)
Figure 4.1 Global Small Cells Submarket Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn)
Figure 4.2 Global Small Cells Submarket Forecast 2013-2018 (AGR %)
Figure 4.3 Global Small Cells Submarket Share Forecast 2013 (%)
Figure 4.4 Global Small Cells Submarket Share Forecast 2015 (%)
Figure 4.5 Global Small Cells Submarket Share Forecast 2018 (%)
Figure 4.6 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Forecast 2013-2018 (million units)
Figure 4.7 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Forecast 2013-2018 (AGR %)
Figure 4.8 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Share Forecast 2013 (%)
Figure 4.9 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Share Forecast 2015 (%)
Figure 4.10 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Share Forecast 2018 (%)
Figure 5.1 Regional Small Cells Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn)
Figure 5.2 Regional Small Cells Market Forecast 2013-2018 (AGR%)
Figure 5.3 Regional Small Cells Market Share Forecast 2013 (%)
Figure 5.4 Regional Small Cells Market Share Forecast 2015 (%)
Figure 5.5 Regional Small Cells Market Share Forecast 2018 (%)
Figure 5.6 Regional Small Cell Shipments Forecast 2013-2018 (Unit Millions)
Figure 5.7 Regional Small Cell Shipments Forecast 2013-2018 (AGR%)
Figure 5.8 Regional Small Cell Shipments Share Forecast 2013 (%)
Figure 5.9 Regional Small Cell Shipments Share Forecast 2015 (%)
Figure 5.10 Regional Small Cell Shipments Share Forecast 2018 (%)
Companies Mentioned in This Report
Ablaze Wireless
4M Wireless
Accelicon Technologies
Acme Packet
Agilent
Agilent Technologies
AirHop
Airspan
Airvana
AirWalk
Alcatel-Lucent
Altair Semiconductor
Altobridge
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Contents
Alvarion
Anritsu
Apple
Argela
Aricent Group
Ascom
AT&T
Aviat
AVM
AWTG
Axis Technologies
Azcom Technology
Bebo
Belair Networks
Bell Labs
Benetel
BitWave Semiconductor
BLiNQ Networks
Blu Wireless Technologies
BluWan
Bridgewater Systems
BridgeWave Communications
Broadcom
Cambridge Broadband Networks (CBNL)
Cavium
C-COM
China Mobile Communications Corporation (CMCC)
Cisco Systems
Clearwire
Comba Telecom
Commnet Wireless/NTUA
Contela
Continuous Computing - Trillium
Corning MobileAccess
Crown Castle (NextG)
CS Corporation
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Contents
CSL (in the Telstra Group)
Deltanode
Deltenna
DesignArt Networks
DragonWave
EDX Wireless
Enterprise Ireland
Enterprise Ireland
Ericsson
Etisalat
ExteNet Systems
Facebook
Fastback Networks
Freescale
Fujitsu
GCT Semiconductor
Gemtek
Google+
Hi3G
Hitachi
Huawei
ICEE
Icera (NVIDIA)
iDirect
IFC
Infineon (Intel)
Infinet
Infovista
InnerWireless
Intel
Intel Capital
InterDigital
Intracom Holdings
Intracom Telecom
Ip.access
IPG Communications
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Contents
IPWireless
Ixia
Juni Global
Juniper Networks
KDDI
Kineto Wireless
Korea Telecom (KT)
Lyrtech
MediaTek
Mesaplexx
MimoOn/Tektelic
Mindspeed Technologies
MindTree Wireless
Minieum Networks
Mitsubishi
Mobile TeleSystems OJSC
Mobily
Mosaic Telecom
Motorola
Motorola Mobility
MySpace
Nash Technologies
Ncell
NEC
Netflix
NETGEAR
NetHawk
Nextivity
Nice
Nice Optimize
Nice Systems
Node-H
Nokia
Nokia Siemens Networks (NSN)
Nomor Research
Nortel
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Contents
NSN-Motorola
O2
Option N.V.
Optiway
Panasonic
Panorama Antennas
PicoCELA International
picoChip
Powerwave
Public Wireless Inc.
PureWave
Qasara
Qualcomm
Quortus
Radisys
RADWIN
Rakon
Ranplan
Renesas Electronics
RFMD
Ruckus Wireless
Samsung
Sequans Communications
Sercomm
SFR
Siemens
Siklu
SingTel
Sitronics
SK Group
SK Telecom
SK Telesys
SoftBank Mobile
Sony-Ericsson
SpiderCloud Wireless
Sprint
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Contents
Starent Networks
ST-Ericsson
Stoke
SUB10 Systems
Swisscom
Symmetricom
Tarana Wireless
Tata Elxsi
Tatara Systems
TE Connectivity
Tecom
Tekelec
Tektelic Communications
Tektronix
Telefonica
Telenor
Telia Sonera
Telstra Group
TELUS
Texas Instruments
Thomson
T-Mobile/Deutsche Telekom
Traffix Systems
Tropper Technologies
Ubee Interactive
Ubiquisys
u-blox
UTStarcom
VECTRON International
Verizon Wireless
VimpleCom
Vodafone
Wintegra
Wipro
Youtube
Zain
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Contents
Zain Kuwait
Zinwave
ZTE
ZyXEL
Government Agencies and Other Organisations Mentioned in This
Report
3GPP
BBC
IEEE
Kyushu University Japan
Mobile World Congress (MWC)
Small Cell Forum
Wi-Fi Alliance
WiMAX Forum
Wireless Broadband Alliance (WBA)
Page 39Page 39Www.visiongain.com
Global Small Cells Market 2013-2018
broadband in the developed world, whereas 3G shall be the prominent technology in developing
countries.
2.5.5 Mobile Broadband Moving Towards LTE Technology
LTE has been termed by experts; as an all IP packet-based technology offering the highest level of
efficiency of any standardized wireless technology. Hence making it an essential move for all the
MNO’s as the demand for mobile broadband increases globally and significant rise in data use.
2.5.6 Growing Data Usage over Mobile Broadband
The growth of mobile data usage is the primary driver for the small cells market, as it demonstrates
how subscribers are willing to utilise mobile data connectivity provided by their operator. Mobile
data usage has been growing as mobile phone users become more aware of their handset's
capabilities as well as the services that are on offer to them.
Figure 2.3 Global Data Traffic Forecast, 2013-2018 (Exabytes/month)
Source: statistics.gov 2013
1.32 2.5
4.15
6.87
10.9
16
19.4
0
5
10
15
20
25
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Exabytespermonth
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Global Small Cells Market 2013-2018
Figure 4.10 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Share Forecast 2018 (%)
Source: Visiongain 2013
34.1%
0.1%
2.4%
15.2%
48.2%
2G/3G Micro Cell 2G/3G Pico Cell 2G/3G Femto Cell
4G Mini eNode B 4G Public Space Femto Cell
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Global Small Cells Market 2013-2018
7. Expert Opinion
7.1 Stoke – Mobile Broadband Gateway Solutions
The following interview was conducted in June 2013. Visiongain would like to thank Dave
Williams, Chief Technology Officer at Stoke, for participation in this interview, and Mary McEvoy
Carroll, at Sand Hill Communications for Stoke for arranging this interview.
7.1.1 Stoke Company Background & Affiliation to Small Cells
Visiongain: Please give us a little background about your company and your affiliation with
small cell technologies.
Dave Williams: Stoke became the first member of the re-named Small Cell Forum in May, 2012.
Stoke’s solutions deliver the industry’s broadest range of support for multiple types of access
technologies, providing standards-based, cost-effective and high performance functionality
including IPSec and aggregation at the Mobile Access Border (a critical boundary between the
radio access network and the Evolved Packet Core.
Stoke is an early mover in integrating the key functionality requirements for small cells into a single
network element. Stoke delivers multi-service security and het net aggregation functionality at the
optimal point – between the radio network and the evolved packet core - in mobile broadband
networks. Stoke brings real world LTE deployment expertise to the Small Cell Forum, having been
installed in one of the largest LTE networks in the world over the last 2 years.
7.1.2 Key Trends in the Small Cells Market
Visiongain: What would you say are the key trends in the small cells market?
Dave Williams: The three key trends in the small cells market will be cost, backhaul and security.
• The way in which the small cell infrastructure ultimately works together will be primarily
cost-driven. It’s expensive to sustain a radio network, and operators need to maintain
data plan pricing at a similar level to those of today without eroding their profit margins
because of excessive infrastructure spending.
• Low cost backhaul will be key to the small cell environment, although a great deal of
development is still required in this area.
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Global Small Cells Market 2013-2018
8. Leading Companies in the Small Cells Ecosystem
8.1 Overview of Key Market Players and their Strategies
The range of available small cells solutions and services providers is vast and difficult to effectively
quantify due to the range and difference in offerings. Certain vendors have simply rebranded
existing services while others offer cloud specific small cells services. An overview of leading
vendors dealing in the small cells solutions market will serve to give a general impression of the
types of services available and the nature of the provider landscape.
8.2 Ablaze Wireless
Ablaze Wireless is a UMTS/LTE small cell and femtocell solution provider. Through its own 3G
femtocell baseband processor and integrated software, Ablaze Wireless is offering the most cost
competitive FAP solution in the industry. Its unique and innovative technologies for interference
suppression and mitigation substantially improve the system throughput and capacity while
minimizing impact to existing networks. The company is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan and has
operations in San Jose, CA.
8.3 Acme Packet
Acme Packet provides session delivery network solutions for voice, video, data, unified
communications services and applications across IP networks. The company’s customers include
fixed line, cable, mobile, transit and over-the-top (OTT), communication service providers, as well
as enterprises, contact centres and government organisations.
Acme Packet’s Net-Net SIP Multimedia-Xpress adds core IMS session manager functions to Acme
Packet’s Net-Net access session border controllers to create an integrated session delivery
solution. Multiservice security gateways securely connect subscribers using the untrusted internet
or Wi-Fi access networks to their mobile voice and data services. Diameter signalling controllers
enable the exchange of subscriber profile information within LTE and IMS networks and across
LTE network borders. More specifically, diameter signalling messages are used to exchange
subscriber authentication, authorisation and location information among different LTE and IMS
network elements.

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Global Small Cells Market 2013-2018

  • 1.
  • 2. www.visiongain.com Contents 1. Executive Summary 1.1 Increasingly Ubiquitous Mobile Broadband Driving the Need for Additional Small Cell Deployments 1.2 Mobile Broadband Penetration at an All Time High 1.3 Addressing Deployment Aspects to Increase Operator Profitability 1.4 Status of Small Cells Deployments 1.5 Market Outlook 1.6 Key Findings of the Report 1.7 Aim of the Report 1.8 Structure of the Report 1.9 Report Scope 1.10 Highlights in the report include: 1.11 Who is This Report For? 1.12 Questions Answered by this Report 1.13 Benefits of This Report 1.14 Methodology 1.15 Points Emerged from this Research 1.16 Global Small Cells Market Forecast 2013-2018 1.17 Global Small Cell Shipments Forecast 2013-2018 1.18 Global Small Cells Submarket Forecast 2013-2018 1.19 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Forecast by Type 2013-2018 1.20 Regional Small Cells Market Forecast 2013-2018 1.21 Regional Small Cell Shipments Forecast 2013-2018 2. Introduction to the Small Cells Market 2.1 The Concept of Heterogeneous Networks (HetNets) 2.2 Defining Small Cells 2.2.1 Microcell 2.2.2 Picocell 2.2.3 Femtocell 2.2.4 4G Public space femtocell 2.2.5 Metro Cell 2.2.6 eNode B 2.2.7 4G Mini eNode B 2.2.8 HetNet (Heterogeneous Network) 2.2.9 Licensed and Unlicensed Spectrum
  • 3. www.visiongain.com Contents 2.3 From Homogeneous to Heterogeneous Networks 2.4 Usage of Small Cells 2.4.1 Residential 2.4.2 Enterprise 2.4.3 Metro and Public Space 2.4.4 Rural Applications 2.5 Growth Drivers for Small Cells Market 2.5.1 Addressing the Capacity Crunch 2.5.2 Mobility: A Key Growth Driver 2.5.3 Increasing Smartphone Penetration 2.5.4 Global Increase in Growth of Mobile Broadband 2.5.5 Mobile Broadband Moving Towards LTE Technology 2.5.6 Growing Data Usage over Mobile Broadband 2.5.7 The increasing importance of Social Media 2.5.8 Additional Uses of Mobile Broadband 2.5.9 Rise in Mobile Application Downloads 2.5.10 M2M Devices Rising 2.5.10.1 Business and consumer security and surveillance 2.5.10.2 Healthcare 2.5.10.3 Inventory and fleet management 2.5.10.4 Telematics 2.5.11 Connected Homes 2.5.12 Mobile Video 2.5.13 Need for In-Building Coverage 2.5.14 Enterprise Demands for In-building Coverage 2.5.15 Small Cells Demand Driven by Vendors 2.6 Underlying Trends in the Small Cells Market 2.6.1 Small Cells – Increasingly Dense Usage in Urban LTE 2.6.2 Femtocell Deployments in Public Spaces 2.6.2.1 4G Public Space Femtocell Complementing Macro Coverage 2.6.2.2 The Role of Femtocells in HetNets 2.6.3 The Role of Picocells in Indoor Coverage 2.6.4 Microcells Filling the Macro Gaps 2.6.5 The Novel Concept and Applications of Metrocells 2.6.6 How Are Metrocells Lowering LTE Network Costs?
  • 4. www.visiongain.com Contents 3. The Global Small Cells Market Forecasts 2013-2018 3.1 Significant Increase in Mobile Broadband Uptake Driving the Small Cells Market Forward 3.2 Significant Uptake of Small Cells from Operators Driving Shipments 4. The Global Small Cells Submarket Forecasts 2013-2018 4.1 What are the Leading Submarkets in the Global Small Cells Forecast 2013-2018? 4.1.1 Global Small Cells Submarket Forecast AGR & CAGR 4.1.2 Public Space Femto Cells the Leading Submarket with 33.6% of the Global Market Share In 2013 4.2 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Forecast 2013-2018 4.2.1 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Forecast AGR & CAGR 4.2.2 2G/3G Microcell the Leading Submarket with 45.7% of the Global Shipments Share In 2013 5. Regional Small Cells Market Forecasts 2013-2018 5.1 Overview 5.2 Asia Pacific Leading the Regional Small Cells Market Forecasts by Significant Margin 2013-2018 5.2.1 Regional Small Cells Market Forecast AGR & CAGR 5.1.2 Asia Pacific Leading Regional Small Cells Market Share in 2013 with 34.7% 5.2 Regional Small Cell Shipments Forecast 5.2.1 Regional Small Cell Shipments Forecast AGR & CAGR 5.2.2 Regional Small Cell Shipments Share Forecast 6. SWOT Analysis of the Small Cells Market 2013-2018 7. Expert Opinion 7.1 Stoke – Mobile Broadband Gateway Solutions 7.1.1 Stoke Company Background & Affiliation to Small Cells 7.1.2 Key Trends in the Small Cells Market 7.1.3 Recent Developments in the Small Cells Market 7.1.4 Primary Drivers of the Small Cells Market 7.1.5 Primary Restraints of the Small Cells Market 7.1.6 Regional Growth in the Small Cells Market 7.1.7 Opportunities and Challenges in the Small Cells Market
  • 5. www.visiongain.com Contents 8. Leading Companies in the Small Cells Ecosystem 8.1 Overview of Key Market Players and their Strategies 8.2 Ablaze Wireless 8.3 Acme Packet 8.4 Agilent Technologies 8.5 Airspan 8.6 Alcatel-Lucent 8.7 Altobridge 8.8 Aricent Group 8.9 AT&T 8.10 AWTG 8.11 Azcom Technology 8.12 Benetel 8.13 BLiNQ Networks 8.14 Blu Wireless Technologies 8.15 BluWan 8.16 BridgeWave Communications 8.17 Broadcom 8.18 Cambridge Broadband Networks 8.19 Cavium 8.20 C-COM 8.21 Cisco Systems 8.22 Comba 8.23 Contela 8.24 CS Corporation 8.25 DragonWave 8.26 EDX Wireless 8.27 Ericsson 8.28 Fastback Networks 8.29 Fujitsu 8.30 Hitachi 8.31 Huawei 8.32 iDirect 8.33 Infovista 8.34 InterDigital 8.35 Intracom Telecom
  • 6. www.visiongain.com Contents 8.36 Ip.access 8.37 Ixia 8.38 Juni Global 8.39 MimoOn/Tektelic 8.40 Mindspeed Technologies 8.41 Nash Technologies 8.42 NEC 8.43 Nice 8.44 Nokia Siemens Networks 8.45 Option N.V. 8.46 PicoCELA 8.47 Public Wireless 8.48 PureWave 8.49 Qualcomm 8.50 Quortus 8.51 RadiSys 8.52 RADWIN 8.53 Rakon 8.54 Ranplan 8.55 Samsung 8.56 Siklu 8.57 SK Telesys 8.58 SoftBank 8.59 SpiderCloud Wireless 8.60 Stoke 8.61 SUB10 Systems 8.62 Tarana Wireless 8.63 Tatara Systems 8.64 TE Connectivity 8.65 Texas Instruments 8.66 Ubiquisys 8.67 u-blox 8.68 VECTRON International 8.69 Vodafone 8.70 ZTE 8.71 Additional Players in the Small Cells Ecosystem
  • 7. www.visiongain.com Contents 9. Technical Specifications of Small Cell Technologies 9.1 Technical considerations 9.1.1.1 Interference Management 9.1.1.2 Mobility Management 9.1.2 Backhaul 9.1.3 Closed vs. Hybrid vs. Open Access 9.1.4 Self-Organising Networks 9.1.5 Other Solutions 9.1.5.1 Cloud RAN (Radio Access Network) 9.1.5.1.1 Role of the Radio Access Network 9.1.5.2 Composition of the Radio Access Network 9.1.5.3 Distributes Antenna Systems (DAS) 9.2 Comparing Small Cells Approach to Hetnets 9.2.1 Microcells versus Wi-Fi Performance 9.2.2 Mobility 9.2.3 Quality of Service 9.2.4 Security 9.2.5 Self Organising Network (SON) 9.2.5.1 The Advent and Importance of Self-Organising Networks 9.3 Design of Hetnets 9.3.1 Deployment Aspects and Choice of Radio Access Technology 9.3.2 Small Cells in 3G Networks 9.3.3 Small Cells in 4G Networks 9.3.3.1 Base Stations and LTE Network Architecture 9.3.3.2 Differentiating between LTE FDD and TD-LTE 9.3.4 Type of Low Power Node and Backhaul Solution 9.3.5 Equipments Serving the Hetnets Architecture 9.3.6 Hetnet Architecture Layers and Radio Access Equipment Sectors 9.3.7 Technology for Cell Site Backhaul 10. Conclusion 10.1 Rising Traffic Volumes and Increasing Demand for Ever Present Mobile Broadband Coverage 10.2 Vendors Build a Strong Case for Small Cell Architectures 10.2.1 Small Cells and LTE 10.2.2 Integrated Antenna Systems Favouring Growth of Small Cells
  • 8. www.visiongain.com Contents 10.2.3 Small Cell Deployment Challenges and SONs 10.3 Wi-Fi Offloading and its Challenges 10.4 Operator Benefits from Small Cells: Increased Revenue, Reduced Cost 10.5 Visiongain Predicts Consistently High Growth Rates in the Small Cells Market Fuelled By Upgrades in Mobile Broadband Technology 10.6 Conclusions 10.7 Points Emerged from this Research 10.8 Global Small Cells Market Forecast 2013-2018 10.9 Global Small Cell Shipments Forecast 2013-2018 10.10 Global Small Cells Submarket Forecast 2013-2018 10.11 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Forecast by Type 2013-2018 10.12 Regional Small Cells Market Forecast 2013-2018 10.13 Regional Small Cell Shipments Forecast 2013-2018 11. Glossary Appendix A About visiongain Appendix B Visiongain report evaluation form List of Tables Table 1.1 Global Small Cells Market Forecast Summary 2013, 2015, 2018 ($ million, CAGR %) Table 1.2 Global Small Cells Shipments Forecast Summary 2013, 2015, 2018 (Units, CAGR %) Table 1.3 Global Small Cells Submarket Forecast Summary 2013, 2015, 2018 ($ million, CAGR %) Table 1.4 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (Units, CAGR %) Table 1.5 Regional Small Cells Market Forecast Summary 2013, 2015, 2018 ($ million, CAGR %) Table 1.6 Regional Small Cell Shipments Forecast Summary 2013, 2015, 2018 (Units, CAGR %) Table 2.1 Difference between Femtocells and Picocells Table 2.2 Small Cell Basic Definitional Rubric Table 2.3 Characteristics Differentiating Femtocell from Picocell Table 3.1 Global Small Cells Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ million, AGR %, CAGR%, Cumulative) Table 3.2 Global Small Cell Shipments Forecast 2013-2018 (million units, AGR %, CAGR%, Cumulative) Table 4.1 Global Small Cells Submarket Forecast 2013-2018 ($ million) Table 4.2 Global Small Cells Submarket Forecast 2013-2018 (AGR %) Table 4.3 Global Small Cells Submarket CAGR Forecast (%) 2013-2018, 2013-2015, and 2015-2018
  • 9. www.visiongain.com Contents Table 4.4 Global Small Cells Submarket Share Forecast 2013-2018 (%) Table 4.5 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Forecast 2013-2018 (million) Table 4.6 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Forecast 2013-2018 (AGR %) Table 4.7 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket CAGR Forecast (%) 2013-2018, 2013-2015, and 2015-2018 Table 4.8 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Share Forecast 2013-2018 (%) Table 5.1 Regional Small Cells Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ millions) Table 5.2 Regional Small Cells Market Forecast 2013-2018 (AGR %) Table 5.3 Regional Small Cells Market CAGR Forecast (%) 2013-2018 , 2013-2015, and 2015-2018 Table 5.4 Regional Small Cells Market Share Forecast 2013-2018 (%) Table 5.5 Regional Small Cell Shipments Forecast 2013-2018 (unit millions) Table 5.6 Regional Small Cell Shipments Forecast 2013-2018 (AGR %) Table 5.7 Regional Small Cell Shipments CAGR Forecast (%) 2013-2018 , 2013-2015, and 2015-2018 Table 5.8 Regional Small Cell Shipments Share Forecast 2013-2018 (%) Table 6.1 SWOT Analysis of the Small Cells Market 2013-2018 Table 8.1 EDX Wireless Product Portfolio Table 8.2 Key Players in the Small Cells Value Chain Table 9.1: LTE Functions of eNodeBs Table 9.2: Difference between FDD-LTE and TD-LTE Table 10.1 Global Small Cells Market Forecast Summary 2013, 2015, 2018 ($ million, CAGR %) Table 10.2 Global Small Cells Shipments Forecast Summary 2013, 2015, 2018 (Units, CAGR %) Table 10.3 Global Small Cells Submarket Forecast Summary 2013, 2015, 2018 ($ million, CAGR %) Table 10.4 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (Units, CAGR %) Table 10.5 Regional Small Cells Market Forecast Summary 2013, 2015, 2018 ($ million, CAGR %) Table 10.6 Regional Small Cell Shipments Forecast Summary 2013, 2015, 2018 (Units, CAGR %) List of Figures Figure 2.1 Femtocell Operation Illustration Figure 2.2 Smartphone Shipment Forecasts, 2013-2018 (Total Handsets, Smartphones, Billions, %Share) Figure 2.3 Global Data Traffic Forecast, 2013-2018 (Exabytes/month) Figure 2.4 Year on year growth in Global Mobile Data Traffic by Type, 2011-2012 (%) Figure 2.5 Mobile based Social Networking Users Forecast, 2013-2018 (Millions) Figure 2.6 Global Mobile Applications Revenue Forecast, 2013-2018 ($ bn) Figure 2.7 M2M Mobile Data Traffic Growth Forecast, 2013-2018 (Exabytes/Month) Figure 2.8 Femtocell Architecture Figure 2.9 LTE Network Offloading Trend 2013-2018 Figure 3.1 Global Small Cells Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ million, AGR%)
  • 10. www.visiongain.com Contents Figure 3.2 Global Small Cell Shipments Forecast 2013-2018 (million units, AGR%) Figure 4.1 Global Small Cells Submarket Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn) Figure 4.2 Global Small Cells Submarket Forecast 2013-2018 (AGR %) Figure 4.3 Global Small Cells Submarket Share Forecast 2013 (%) Figure 4.4 Global Small Cells Submarket Share Forecast 2015 (%) Figure 4.5 Global Small Cells Submarket Share Forecast 2018 (%) Figure 4.6 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Forecast 2013-2018 (million units) Figure 4.7 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Forecast 2013-2018 (AGR %) Figure 4.8 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Share Forecast 2013 (%) Figure 4.9 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Share Forecast 2015 (%) Figure 4.10 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Share Forecast 2018 (%) Figure 5.1 Regional Small Cells Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn) Figure 5.2 Regional Small Cells Market Forecast 2013-2018 (AGR%) Figure 5.3 Regional Small Cells Market Share Forecast 2013 (%) Figure 5.4 Regional Small Cells Market Share Forecast 2015 (%) Figure 5.5 Regional Small Cells Market Share Forecast 2018 (%) Figure 5.6 Regional Small Cell Shipments Forecast 2013-2018 (Unit Millions) Figure 5.7 Regional Small Cell Shipments Forecast 2013-2018 (AGR%) Figure 5.8 Regional Small Cell Shipments Share Forecast 2013 (%) Figure 5.9 Regional Small Cell Shipments Share Forecast 2015 (%) Figure 5.10 Regional Small Cell Shipments Share Forecast 2018 (%) Companies Mentioned in This Report Ablaze Wireless 4M Wireless Accelicon Technologies Acme Packet Agilent Agilent Technologies AirHop Airspan Airvana AirWalk Alcatel-Lucent Altair Semiconductor Altobridge
  • 11. www.visiongain.com Contents Alvarion Anritsu Apple Argela Aricent Group Ascom AT&T Aviat AVM AWTG Axis Technologies Azcom Technology Bebo Belair Networks Bell Labs Benetel BitWave Semiconductor BLiNQ Networks Blu Wireless Technologies BluWan Bridgewater Systems BridgeWave Communications Broadcom Cambridge Broadband Networks (CBNL) Cavium C-COM China Mobile Communications Corporation (CMCC) Cisco Systems Clearwire Comba Telecom Commnet Wireless/NTUA Contela Continuous Computing - Trillium Corning MobileAccess Crown Castle (NextG) CS Corporation
  • 12. www.visiongain.com Contents CSL (in the Telstra Group) Deltanode Deltenna DesignArt Networks DragonWave EDX Wireless Enterprise Ireland Enterprise Ireland Ericsson Etisalat ExteNet Systems Facebook Fastback Networks Freescale Fujitsu GCT Semiconductor Gemtek Google+ Hi3G Hitachi Huawei ICEE Icera (NVIDIA) iDirect IFC Infineon (Intel) Infinet Infovista InnerWireless Intel Intel Capital InterDigital Intracom Holdings Intracom Telecom Ip.access IPG Communications
  • 13. www.visiongain.com Contents IPWireless Ixia Juni Global Juniper Networks KDDI Kineto Wireless Korea Telecom (KT) Lyrtech MediaTek Mesaplexx MimoOn/Tektelic Mindspeed Technologies MindTree Wireless Minieum Networks Mitsubishi Mobile TeleSystems OJSC Mobily Mosaic Telecom Motorola Motorola Mobility MySpace Nash Technologies Ncell NEC Netflix NETGEAR NetHawk Nextivity Nice Nice Optimize Nice Systems Node-H Nokia Nokia Siemens Networks (NSN) Nomor Research Nortel
  • 14. www.visiongain.com Contents NSN-Motorola O2 Option N.V. Optiway Panasonic Panorama Antennas PicoCELA International picoChip Powerwave Public Wireless Inc. PureWave Qasara Qualcomm Quortus Radisys RADWIN Rakon Ranplan Renesas Electronics RFMD Ruckus Wireless Samsung Sequans Communications Sercomm SFR Siemens Siklu SingTel Sitronics SK Group SK Telecom SK Telesys SoftBank Mobile Sony-Ericsson SpiderCloud Wireless Sprint
  • 15. www.visiongain.com Contents Starent Networks ST-Ericsson Stoke SUB10 Systems Swisscom Symmetricom Tarana Wireless Tata Elxsi Tatara Systems TE Connectivity Tecom Tekelec Tektelic Communications Tektronix Telefonica Telenor Telia Sonera Telstra Group TELUS Texas Instruments Thomson T-Mobile/Deutsche Telekom Traffix Systems Tropper Technologies Ubee Interactive Ubiquisys u-blox UTStarcom VECTRON International Verizon Wireless VimpleCom Vodafone Wintegra Wipro Youtube Zain
  • 16. www.visiongain.com Contents Zain Kuwait Zinwave ZTE ZyXEL Government Agencies and Other Organisations Mentioned in This Report 3GPP BBC IEEE Kyushu University Japan Mobile World Congress (MWC) Small Cell Forum Wi-Fi Alliance WiMAX Forum Wireless Broadband Alliance (WBA)
  • 17. Page 39Page 39Www.visiongain.com Global Small Cells Market 2013-2018 broadband in the developed world, whereas 3G shall be the prominent technology in developing countries. 2.5.5 Mobile Broadband Moving Towards LTE Technology LTE has been termed by experts; as an all IP packet-based technology offering the highest level of efficiency of any standardized wireless technology. Hence making it an essential move for all the MNO’s as the demand for mobile broadband increases globally and significant rise in data use. 2.5.6 Growing Data Usage over Mobile Broadband The growth of mobile data usage is the primary driver for the small cells market, as it demonstrates how subscribers are willing to utilise mobile data connectivity provided by their operator. Mobile data usage has been growing as mobile phone users become more aware of their handset's capabilities as well as the services that are on offer to them. Figure 2.3 Global Data Traffic Forecast, 2013-2018 (Exabytes/month) Source: statistics.gov 2013 1.32 2.5 4.15 6.87 10.9 16 19.4 0 5 10 15 20 25 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Exabytespermonth
  • 18. Page 72Page 72Www.visiongain.com Global Small Cells Market 2013-2018 Figure 4.10 Global Small Cell Shipments Submarket Share Forecast 2018 (%) Source: Visiongain 2013 34.1% 0.1% 2.4% 15.2% 48.2% 2G/3G Micro Cell 2G/3G Pico Cell 2G/3G Femto Cell 4G Mini eNode B 4G Public Space Femto Cell
  • 19. Page 86Page 86Www.visiongain.com Global Small Cells Market 2013-2018 7. Expert Opinion 7.1 Stoke – Mobile Broadband Gateway Solutions The following interview was conducted in June 2013. Visiongain would like to thank Dave Williams, Chief Technology Officer at Stoke, for participation in this interview, and Mary McEvoy Carroll, at Sand Hill Communications for Stoke for arranging this interview. 7.1.1 Stoke Company Background & Affiliation to Small Cells Visiongain: Please give us a little background about your company and your affiliation with small cell technologies. Dave Williams: Stoke became the first member of the re-named Small Cell Forum in May, 2012. Stoke’s solutions deliver the industry’s broadest range of support for multiple types of access technologies, providing standards-based, cost-effective and high performance functionality including IPSec and aggregation at the Mobile Access Border (a critical boundary between the radio access network and the Evolved Packet Core. Stoke is an early mover in integrating the key functionality requirements for small cells into a single network element. Stoke delivers multi-service security and het net aggregation functionality at the optimal point – between the radio network and the evolved packet core - in mobile broadband networks. Stoke brings real world LTE deployment expertise to the Small Cell Forum, having been installed in one of the largest LTE networks in the world over the last 2 years. 7.1.2 Key Trends in the Small Cells Market Visiongain: What would you say are the key trends in the small cells market? Dave Williams: The three key trends in the small cells market will be cost, backhaul and security. • The way in which the small cell infrastructure ultimately works together will be primarily cost-driven. It’s expensive to sustain a radio network, and operators need to maintain data plan pricing at a similar level to those of today without eroding their profit margins because of excessive infrastructure spending. • Low cost backhaul will be key to the small cell environment, although a great deal of development is still required in this area.
  • 20. Page 90Page 90Www.visiongain.com Global Small Cells Market 2013-2018 8. Leading Companies in the Small Cells Ecosystem 8.1 Overview of Key Market Players and their Strategies The range of available small cells solutions and services providers is vast and difficult to effectively quantify due to the range and difference in offerings. Certain vendors have simply rebranded existing services while others offer cloud specific small cells services. An overview of leading vendors dealing in the small cells solutions market will serve to give a general impression of the types of services available and the nature of the provider landscape. 8.2 Ablaze Wireless Ablaze Wireless is a UMTS/LTE small cell and femtocell solution provider. Through its own 3G femtocell baseband processor and integrated software, Ablaze Wireless is offering the most cost competitive FAP solution in the industry. Its unique and innovative technologies for interference suppression and mitigation substantially improve the system throughput and capacity while minimizing impact to existing networks. The company is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan and has operations in San Jose, CA. 8.3 Acme Packet Acme Packet provides session delivery network solutions for voice, video, data, unified communications services and applications across IP networks. The company’s customers include fixed line, cable, mobile, transit and over-the-top (OTT), communication service providers, as well as enterprises, contact centres and government organisations. Acme Packet’s Net-Net SIP Multimedia-Xpress adds core IMS session manager functions to Acme Packet’s Net-Net access session border controllers to create an integrated session delivery solution. Multiservice security gateways securely connect subscribers using the untrusted internet or Wi-Fi access networks to their mobile voice and data services. Diameter signalling controllers enable the exchange of subscriber profile information within LTE and IMS networks and across LTE network borders. More specifically, diameter signalling messages are used to exchange subscriber authentication, authorisation and location information among different LTE and IMS network elements.