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Location-Based Services Market
2013-2018:
The New Face of Mobile Advertising and Social Media
www.visiongain.com
Contents
1.1 Vast Potential for LBS Driven by Smartphones and Social Media
1.2 Early Challenges in Monetising LBS
1.3 How We Expect LTE will Transform LBS as a Concept
1.4 There will be Considerable Future LBS Opportunities
1.4.1 New Cloud-Based Markets are Taking Over From Traditional Media
1.4.2 New Form Factors are Amplifying the Mobile Arena
1.5 The Key Points Emerged from this Research
1.6 The Aims of the Report
1.7 Questions Answered by the Report: Where are the Real Opportunities?
1.8 The Structure of the Report
1.9 Methodology
1.10 Market Definition
2.1 Definition and Recent History of Location-Based Services
2.2 Mobile Local Search
2.3 LBS: Main Categories of Enabling Technology
2.4 What are the Interesting Applications and Uses for LBS?
2.4.1 LBS Application Archetypes
2.4.2 Practical Applications of LBS
2.5 How Does LBS Work?
2.5.1 The Essential Components for Successful LBS
2.6 Smartphone and Tablet Sales are Defining the LBS Installed Base
2.6.1 Feature Phone and Smartphone Shipments: How Will They be Reflected in Global Subscription Volumes?
2.6.2 The Growing Tablet Market and its Importance to LBS
2.6.3 Telematics: The Advent of Smart Vehicles and New Revenue Opportunities for LBS
2.6.3.1 Strength and Size of the Connected Vehicles Market 2013-2018
2.6.3.2 Connected Vehicles on the Road
2.6.4 The Emerging Wearable Devices Sub-Market
2.6.4.1 Wearable Device Shipment Forecast 2013-2018
2.6.4.2 Wearable Device Market Forecast 2013-2018
2.6.5 Global Smartphone and Tablet Shipment Forecast 2013-2018
2.6.6 Global Connected Device Shipment Forecast 2013-2018: Quantifying the Installed Base
2. Introduction to Location-Based Services
1. Executive Summary
www.visiongain.com
Contents
3.1 Defining the Market Size
3.2 Global Location-Based Services Revenue Forecast 2013-2018
3.2 Global Location-Based Services Subscription Forecast 2013-2018
3.3 Global LBS Advertising Revenue Forecast 2013-2018
3.3.1 Global Mobile Advertising Revenue Forecast 2013-2018
3.3.2 Contextualising LBA within Global Mobile Advertising
3.4 Global LBS Market Leading Segment Forecasts 2013-2018
4.1 Regional Location-Based Services Revenue Forecast 2013-2018
4.2 Regional Location-Based Services Subscription Forecast 2013-2018
4.3 North American Location-Based Services Forecasts 2013-2018
4.3.1 North American Location-Based Service Revenue Forecast 2013-2018
4.3.2 North American Location-Based Services Subscription Forecast 2013-2018
4.4 Latin American Location-Based Services Forecasts 2013-2018
4.4.1 Latin American Location-Based Service Revenue Forecast 2013-2018
4.4.2 Latin American Location-Based Services Subscription Forecast 2013-2018
4.5 Asia-Pacific Location-Based Services Forecasts 2013-2018
4.5.1 Asia-Pacific Location-based Service Revenue Forecast 2013-2018
4.5.1.1 How Asian Vendors Plan to Develop and Master Indoor LBS Accuracy, and Revenue Implications Thereof
4.5.2 Asia-Pacific Location-Based Services Subscription Forecast 2013-2018
4.6 European Location-Based Services Forecasts 2013-2018
4.6.1 European Location-Based Service Revenue Forecast 2013-2018
4.6.2 European Location-Based Services Subscription Forecast 2013-2018
4.6.2.1 Effects of Automotive Legislation on LBS Subscription Base in Europe
4.6.2.2 What will be the impact of Intersec Releasing a New Version of IGLOO?
4.7 Middle East and African Location-Based Services Forecasts 2013-2018
4.7.1 Middle East and African Location-Based Service Revenue Forecast 2013-2018
4.7.2 Middle East and African Location-Based Services Subscription Forecast 2013-2018
4. Regional Location-Based Services Forecasts 2013-2018
3. Global Location-Based Services Forecasts and Projections 2013-2018
www.visiongain.com
Contents
5.1 How Will the Growth of Apps Affect LBS?
5.1.1 Understanding the LBS Application Ecosystem
5.2 Uses for LBS – Consumer vs. Enterprise
5.3 The Consumer LBS Value Chain
5.4 Location-Based Media
5.5 The Importance of the Global Mobile Advertising Market
5.5.2 Will LBS Transform the Mobile Advertising Industry?
5.5.3 Location-Based Advertising Push vs. Pull
5.5.4 What will be the Potential Impact of LBA?
5.6 Mobile Local Search to Reap Greatest Revenues?
5.6.1 How to Monetise Mobile Local Search?
5.6.2 Which are the Best Mobile Local Search Business Models?
5.6.2.1 Caller Pays Model
5.6.2.2 Advertiser Pays Model
5.6.2.3 Hybrid Model
5.6.3 Summary and Analysis of Mobile Local Search Business Models
5.7 Geo Fencing - Location-Based Marketing
5.7.1 Geo Fencing – Other Potential Uses
5.8. How to Monetise Location-Based Apps
5.9 LBS for Enterprise – A Better Opportunity for Monetisation?
5.10 Monetising Strategy – How Can Carriers Turn LBS into Revenue?
5.11 How Can Carriers Monetise LBS?
5.11.1 Learn how Privacy and Fraud Issues Hamper Carrier Benefits
5.11.2 How the Revenue Share Model is Preventing Carrier Involvement
5.11.3 How are Operators becoming Essential Players in the LBS Market?
5.11.4 Operators Able to use Customer Segmentation for LBS
6.1 Foursquare
6.1.1 Foursquare History and Recent Developments
6.1.2 How is Foursquare being Monetised?
6.2 TomTom
6.2.1 Read About TomTom’s Recent Developments
6. Leading Companies in the Location-Based Services Market
5. Current LBS Market Analysis
www.visiongain.com
Contents
6.2.3 TomTom Navigator
6.2.4 TomTom for Android
6.3 Badoo
6.3.1 How is Badoo being Monetised?
6.4 TeleCommunication Systems Inc.
6.4.1 TCS Status as an End-to-end LBS Services Provider
6.4.1.1 TCS Application Suite
6.5 Nokia and Qualcomm Partnership Makes Bid to Advance Interior Positioning Technology Market
6.5.1 Nokia HERE – Delivering Precision to Indoor Mapping
6.5.2 Qualcomm Bringing Positioning Capabilities to the Equation
6.6 Near Buddy Finder
6.6.1 Grindr
6.6.1.1 Revenue Potential of Grindr
6.6.2 Blendr
6.6.2.1 Revenue Opportunities for Blendr
6.7 Urbanspoon
6.7.1 Broadening User Base with Multi-Purpose Features
6.8 Other Leading Vendors in LBS
6.9 Recommendations for Improving Location-based Gaming Opportunities
7.1 Elliott Hamilton, Senior Director of Strategic Planning, TeleCommunication Systems Inc.
7.1.1 LBS Basics and Core Offerings from an Operator or Vendor Perspective
7.1.2 LBA and the Future of Premium LBS Applications
7.1.3 Market Outlook for Telematics and In-Vehicle Connectivity
7.1.4 Vendor Response to Consumer Cries for Greater Mobile Privacy and Security
7.1.5 Impact of Wearable Smart Devices on the LBS Market
7.1.6 LBS Market Dynamics in the Different World Regions: Contributing Factors and Trends
8. SWOT Analysis of the Location-Based Services Market
7. Expert Opinion
www.visiongain.com
Contents
9.1 Global and Regional LBS Revenue Forecasts 2013-2018
9.2 Global and Regional LBS Subscription Forecasts 2013-2018
9.3 Global and Regional Location-based Advertising Forecasts 2013-2018
9.4 Who will Emerge as the leader In the LBS Market?
9.5 Visiongain’s Recommendations for Operator Success
9.5.1 Recommendations for Operator Entry into the LBS Market
9.6 What are the Barriers to LBS Success?
9.7 Drivers for LBS Success in the Current Market
9.8 What Are the Features of a Successful LBS Application?
9.9 Concluding Statements
Chart 2.1: Feature Phone and Smartphone Shipment Forecasts 2013-2018 (billion units, %)
Chart 2.2: Feature Phone and Smartphone Shipment AGR Forecasts 2013-2018 (%)
Chart 2.5: Global Mobile Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR%)
Chart 2.3: Global Tablet Shipment Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR%)
Chart 2.4: Global Connected Vehicles Telematics Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion, AGR%)
Chart 2.5: Global Connected Vehicles Cumulative New Car Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR%)
Chart 2.6: Global Wearable Smart Device Shipment Forecast by Technology 2013-2018 (millions, AGR%)
Chart 2.7: Selected Global Wearable Smart Technologies Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion, AGR%)
Chart 2.8: Global Smartphone and Tablet Shipment Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR%)
Chart 2.9: Global Connected Device Installed Base Sub-Market Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR%)
Chart 3.1: Global Location-Based Services Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion, AGR%)
Chart 3.2: Global Location-Based Services Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR%)
Chart 3.3: Global Location-Based Advertising Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion, AGR%)
Chart 3.4: Global Mobile Advertising Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion, AGR%)
Chart 3.5: LBA vs Traditional Mobile Advertising Market Share Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (%)
Chart 3.6: Global LBA vs. Traditional Mobile Advertising Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion, % share)
Chart 3.7: Global LBS Market Segment Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion)
List of Charts in this Report
10. Glossary
9. Recommendations and Conclusion
www.visiongain.com
Contents
Chart 3.8: Global LBS Market Segment Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion)
Chart 3.9: Global LBS Market Segment Share Forecast 2013 (%)
Chart 3.10: Global LBS Market Segment Share Forecast 2015 (%)
Chart 3.11: Global LBS Market Segment Share Forecast 2018 (%)
Chart 4.1: Regional LBS Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion)
Chart 4.2: Regional LBS Market Share Forecast 2013 (%)
Chart 4.3: Regional LBS Market Share Forecast 2015 (%)
Chart 4.4: Regional LBS Market Share Forecast 2018 (%)
Chart 4.5: Regional LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions)
Chart 4.6: Regional LBS Subscription Share Forecast 2013 (%)
Chart 4.7: Regional LBS Subscription Share Forecast 2015 (%)
Chart 4.8: Regional LBS Subscription Share Forecast 2018 (%)
Chart 4.9: North American LBS Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %)
Chart 4.10: North American LBS Market Share Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (%)
Chart 4.11: North American LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %)
Chart 4.12: North American LBS Subscription Share Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (%)
Chart 4.13: Latin American LBS Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %)
Chart 4.14: Latin American LBS Market Share Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (%)
Chart 4.15: Latin American LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %)
Chart 4.16: Latin American LBS Subscription Share Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (%)
Chart 4.17: Asia-Pacific LBS Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %)
Chart 4.18: Asia-Pacific LBS Market Share Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (%)
Chart 4.18: Asia-Pacific LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %)
Chart 4.19: Asia-Pacific LBS Subscription Share Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (%)
Chart 4.20: European LBS Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %)
Chart 4.21: European LBS Market Share Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (%)
Chart 4.22: European LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %)
Chart 4.23: European LBS Subscription Share Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (%)
Chart 4.24: Middle East and African LBS Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %)
Chart 4.25: Middle East and African LBS Market Share Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (%)
Chart 4.26: Middle East and African LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %)
Chart 4.27: Middle East and African LBS Subscription Share Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (%)
Chart 5.1: Global Mobile Advertising Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %)
Chart 6.1: Foursquare Check-in Share by Location Type 2013 (%)
Chart 6.2: Global TomTom Revenue Share by Business Division 2013 (%)
Chart 6.3: Global TomTom Revenue Share by Sales Type 2013 (%)
www.visiongain.com
Contents
Figure 1.1: Location-Based Services Life Cycle
Figure 2.1: LBS Technologies and How They Interrelate
Figure 2.2 LBS Essential Component Infographic
Figure 5.1: LBS App Ecosystem Infographic
Figure 5.2 Consumer Vs. Enterprise Uses for LBS
Figure 5.3 Consumer LBS Value Chain
Figure 5.4 Potential LBS Enterprise Benefits
Table 2.1: Current Uses for LBS in Mobile Applications
Table 2.2: Enabling Technologies for LBS
Table 2.3: LBS Application Archetypes
Table 2.4: Essential Components of LBS Described
Table 2.5: Global Mobile Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (Millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 2.6: Global Tablet Shipment Forecast 2013-2018 (Millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 2.7: Telematics LBS Applications and Descriptions
Table 2.8: Global Connected Vehicles Telematics Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion, AGR %, CAGR %,
Cumulative)
Table 2.9: Global Connected Vehicles Cumulative New Car Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %,
Cumulative)
Table 2.10: Global Wearable Smart Device Shipment Forecast by Technology 2013-2018 (millions,% Share, AGR%)
Table 2.11: Global Wearable Smart Device Revenue Forecast by Technology 2013-2018 ($ billion,% Share, AGR%)
Table 2.12: Global Smartphone and Tablet Shipment Forecast 2013-2018 (Millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 2.13: Global Connected Device Installed Base Sub-Market Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR%)
Table 3.1: Global Location-Based Services Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 3.2: Global Location-Based Services Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %,
Cumulative)
Table 3.3: Global Location-Based Advertising Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion, AGR %, CAGR %,
Cumulative)
Table 3.4: Global Mobile Advertising Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 3.5: Global LBA vs. Traditional Mobile Advertising Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion,% Share, AGR%)
Table 3.6: Global LBS Market Segment Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion,% Share, AGR%)
Table 4.1: Regional LBS Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion,% Share, AGR%)
List of Tables in this Report
List of Figures in this Report
www.visiongain.com
Contents
Table 4.2: Regional LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions,% Share, AGR%)
Table 4.3: North American LBS Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 4.4: North American LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 4.5: Latin American LBS Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 4.6: Latin American LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 4.7: Asia-Pacific LBS Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 4.7: Asia-Pacific LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 4.8: European LBS Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 4.9: European LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 4.10: Middle East and African LBS Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 4.11: Middle East and African LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 5.1: Global Mobile Advertising Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 5.2: Routes to Monetisation of LBS Apps
Table 6.1: TomTom for Android Key Features
Table 6.2: TCS End-to-end LBS Infrastructure Product List
Table 6.3: Other Leading LBS Vendors and Related Products
Table 8.1: SWOT Analysis of the Global Location-Based Services Market 2013-2018
Table 9.1: Regional LBS Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion, AGR%)
Table 9.2: Regional LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR%)
Table 9.3: Global LBA vs. Traditional Mobile Advertising Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion,% Share, AGR%)
Table 9.4: Key Features of a Successful Commercial LBS Application
www.visiongain.com
Contents
Alcatel-Lucent
Alexa
Amazon
Apple
AT&T
Atheros, Inc.
Badoo
Bharti Airtel
Bing
BlackBerry
Blendr
BMW
Bravo
Broadcom
China Mobile
Condé Nast
Creativity Software
eBay
Ericsson
Facebook
FamilyMap
Flickr
Foursquare
Garmin
GM
Google
Gowalla
Grindr
Groupon
HERE
HERE (Nokia)
IndoorAtlas
Intersec
Companies Mentioned in this Report
www.visiongain.com
Contents
Leap Wireless
Lexus
Loopt
Magellan
MapQuest
MetroPCS
Microsoft
MobileLBS
Moblog
Motorola Solutions
MTS Russia.
MyTown
Navizon
Near Buddy Finder
Nintendo
Nokia
NTT DoCoMo
Onstar
Panoramio
Polaris Wireless
Portugal Telecom
Qualcomm
Rummble
RunKeeper
RX Networks
Samsung
Samsung Electronics and Sony
SFR
Shopkick
Skyhook Wireless
Snocator
Sony
Sprint
TeleCommunication Systems Inc.
Telus Mobility
The Strategis Group
www.visiongain.com
Contents
TomTom
Trimble Outdoors
TruePosition
Twitter
UbiEst
Urbanspoon
Verizon
Viettel
Vodafone
Volkswagen
Yahoo!
Yellow Pages
Yelp
Zagat
ZTE
CTIA – The Wireless Association
European Union
In-location Alliance
New York University
The United States Federal Communications Commission
Organisations Mentioned in this Report
Page 75www.visiongain.com
Location Based Services Market 2013-2018:
The New Face of Mobile Advertising and
Social Media
Visiongain believes that the MEA region will represent 23.3 million LBS connections in 2013 and
277.5 million LBS connections in 2018, representing a 64.1% CAGR over the forecast period and a
net addition of 254.2 million connections. See Table 4.11 and Char4.26.
As shown in Chart 4.27 by 2018 the MEA will represent almost 10% of global LBS connections.
Chart 4.26: Middle East and African LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions,
AGR %)
Source: visiongain, 2013
Table 4.11: Middle East and African LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions,
AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2013-2018
Subscriptions (M) 23.3 39.3 72.5 110.9 193.9 277.5 254.2
AGR (%) - 68.8 84.4 53.0 79.3 39.5
CAGR (%) 2013-15 76.4 2015-18 56.4
CAGR (%) 2013-18 64.1
Source: visiongain, 2013
23.3
39.3
72.5
110.9
198.9
277.5
68.8%
84.4%
53.0%
79.3%
39.5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 AGR%
Connections(millions)
LBS connections AGR %
Page 91www.visiongain.com
Location Based Services Market 2013-2018:
The New Face of Mobile Advertising and
Social Media
6. Leading Companies in the Location-Based Services
Market
6.1 Foursquare
6.1.1 Foursquare History and Recent Developments
Foursquare was created by Dennis Crowley and Naveen Selvadurai in 2009. Crowley had previous
experience in the LBS field as founder of a similar project called Dodgeball. This was his graduate
thesis project in the Interactive Telecommunications Program (ITP) at New York University. In
2005, Google acquired Dodgeball, only to shut it down in 2009, using the technology as the basis
for its own service, Google Latitude.
Foursquare is a location-based social networking application for smartphones and tablets.
Subscribers ‘check in’ at venues using a mobile website, sending an SMS, or through the
Foursquare application, by selecting from a list of venues the application locates nearby. Location
is based on GPS hardware integrated into the smartphone or tablet device or network location
provided by the application. Each check-in awards the user points and sometimes ‘badges’ or
‘mayorships’ as part of a system to promote competition between users.
Foursquare is currently available on the following smartphone operating systems and devices:
• iOS;
• Symbian;
• Android;
• webOS;
• Windows Phone;
• Bada;
• BlackBerry; and
• Playstation Vita.
Foursquare reported in 1Q13 that it had 33 million registered users and over one million check-ins
daily. According to our research, the user base has an equal distribution of males and females and
the major areas of use are the Eastern and Central United States, coastal Brazil and Chile,
Western Europe, Japan, Southeast Asia, and Oceania.
Page 105www.visiongain.com
Location Based Services Market 2013-2018:
The New Face of Mobile Advertising and
Social Media
7. Expert Opinion
7.1 Elliott Hamilton, Senior Director of Strategic Planning,
TeleCommunication Systems
TeleCommunication Systems, Inc. (TCS is a publicly traded company that provides communication
equipment and consulting services that facilitate the transmission of voice, video, and data. TCS
has a portfolio of market-leading products for messaging, location, and deployable wireless
communications.
The Annapolis-based firm offers services that integrate networks, servers, gateways, and
intelligent peripherals, as well as offering LBS solutions and apps. TCS has been involved in the
LBS market for over 20 years and deals with a number of tier one partners.
Elliott Hamilton is Senior Director of Strategic Planning at TCS. Mr. Hamilton has been with the
company for over 10 years and looks at new revenue opportunities, M&A opportunities, and market
trends.
Prior to working at TCS, Mr. Hamilton was Vice President of Research and Consulting at The
Strategis Group, a telecommunications consulting firm based in Washington, DC.
7.1.1 LBS Basics and Core Offerings from an Operator or Vendor
Perspective
Visiongain: For those mobile consumers who have cursory awareness of LBS, more commonly-
held notions of it may involve OTT services or third party applications such as Foursquare.
However, as Apple’s abandonment of Google Maps and subsequent failure with its substitute
product has shown, native LBS applications can also draw significant attention, praise, or criticism.
In 2013 and looking ahead, what kind of impact do you think base level, native LBS applications
will have on consumer churn or brand loyalty?
Elliott Hamilton: The LBS infrastructure is a tough market to look at because it comprises all the
elements inside a carrier’s network that nobody sees. Ericsson and TCS are the leaders in LBS
infrastructure on a global basis. Ericsson is the market leader in Europe while TCS has two-thirds
of the US market.

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Location based services market 2013-2018

  • 1. ©notice This material is copyright by visiongain. It is against the law to reproduce any of this material without the prior written agreement of vision- gain. You cannot photocopy, fax, download to database or duplicate in any other way any of the material contained in this report. Each pur- chase and single copy is for personal use only. Location-Based Services Market 2013-2018: The New Face of Mobile Advertising and Social Media
  • 2. www.visiongain.com Contents 1.1 Vast Potential for LBS Driven by Smartphones and Social Media 1.2 Early Challenges in Monetising LBS 1.3 How We Expect LTE will Transform LBS as a Concept 1.4 There will be Considerable Future LBS Opportunities 1.4.1 New Cloud-Based Markets are Taking Over From Traditional Media 1.4.2 New Form Factors are Amplifying the Mobile Arena 1.5 The Key Points Emerged from this Research 1.6 The Aims of the Report 1.7 Questions Answered by the Report: Where are the Real Opportunities? 1.8 The Structure of the Report 1.9 Methodology 1.10 Market Definition 2.1 Definition and Recent History of Location-Based Services 2.2 Mobile Local Search 2.3 LBS: Main Categories of Enabling Technology 2.4 What are the Interesting Applications and Uses for LBS? 2.4.1 LBS Application Archetypes 2.4.2 Practical Applications of LBS 2.5 How Does LBS Work? 2.5.1 The Essential Components for Successful LBS 2.6 Smartphone and Tablet Sales are Defining the LBS Installed Base 2.6.1 Feature Phone and Smartphone Shipments: How Will They be Reflected in Global Subscription Volumes? 2.6.2 The Growing Tablet Market and its Importance to LBS 2.6.3 Telematics: The Advent of Smart Vehicles and New Revenue Opportunities for LBS 2.6.3.1 Strength and Size of the Connected Vehicles Market 2013-2018 2.6.3.2 Connected Vehicles on the Road 2.6.4 The Emerging Wearable Devices Sub-Market 2.6.4.1 Wearable Device Shipment Forecast 2013-2018 2.6.4.2 Wearable Device Market Forecast 2013-2018 2.6.5 Global Smartphone and Tablet Shipment Forecast 2013-2018 2.6.6 Global Connected Device Shipment Forecast 2013-2018: Quantifying the Installed Base 2. Introduction to Location-Based Services 1. Executive Summary
  • 3. www.visiongain.com Contents 3.1 Defining the Market Size 3.2 Global Location-Based Services Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 3.2 Global Location-Based Services Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 3.3 Global LBS Advertising Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 3.3.1 Global Mobile Advertising Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 3.3.2 Contextualising LBA within Global Mobile Advertising 3.4 Global LBS Market Leading Segment Forecasts 2013-2018 4.1 Regional Location-Based Services Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 4.2 Regional Location-Based Services Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 4.3 North American Location-Based Services Forecasts 2013-2018 4.3.1 North American Location-Based Service Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 4.3.2 North American Location-Based Services Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 4.4 Latin American Location-Based Services Forecasts 2013-2018 4.4.1 Latin American Location-Based Service Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 4.4.2 Latin American Location-Based Services Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 4.5 Asia-Pacific Location-Based Services Forecasts 2013-2018 4.5.1 Asia-Pacific Location-based Service Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 4.5.1.1 How Asian Vendors Plan to Develop and Master Indoor LBS Accuracy, and Revenue Implications Thereof 4.5.2 Asia-Pacific Location-Based Services Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 4.6 European Location-Based Services Forecasts 2013-2018 4.6.1 European Location-Based Service Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 4.6.2 European Location-Based Services Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 4.6.2.1 Effects of Automotive Legislation on LBS Subscription Base in Europe 4.6.2.2 What will be the impact of Intersec Releasing a New Version of IGLOO? 4.7 Middle East and African Location-Based Services Forecasts 2013-2018 4.7.1 Middle East and African Location-Based Service Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 4.7.2 Middle East and African Location-Based Services Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 4. Regional Location-Based Services Forecasts 2013-2018 3. Global Location-Based Services Forecasts and Projections 2013-2018
  • 4. www.visiongain.com Contents 5.1 How Will the Growth of Apps Affect LBS? 5.1.1 Understanding the LBS Application Ecosystem 5.2 Uses for LBS – Consumer vs. Enterprise 5.3 The Consumer LBS Value Chain 5.4 Location-Based Media 5.5 The Importance of the Global Mobile Advertising Market 5.5.2 Will LBS Transform the Mobile Advertising Industry? 5.5.3 Location-Based Advertising Push vs. Pull 5.5.4 What will be the Potential Impact of LBA? 5.6 Mobile Local Search to Reap Greatest Revenues? 5.6.1 How to Monetise Mobile Local Search? 5.6.2 Which are the Best Mobile Local Search Business Models? 5.6.2.1 Caller Pays Model 5.6.2.2 Advertiser Pays Model 5.6.2.3 Hybrid Model 5.6.3 Summary and Analysis of Mobile Local Search Business Models 5.7 Geo Fencing - Location-Based Marketing 5.7.1 Geo Fencing – Other Potential Uses 5.8. How to Monetise Location-Based Apps 5.9 LBS for Enterprise – A Better Opportunity for Monetisation? 5.10 Monetising Strategy – How Can Carriers Turn LBS into Revenue? 5.11 How Can Carriers Monetise LBS? 5.11.1 Learn how Privacy and Fraud Issues Hamper Carrier Benefits 5.11.2 How the Revenue Share Model is Preventing Carrier Involvement 5.11.3 How are Operators becoming Essential Players in the LBS Market? 5.11.4 Operators Able to use Customer Segmentation for LBS 6.1 Foursquare 6.1.1 Foursquare History and Recent Developments 6.1.2 How is Foursquare being Monetised? 6.2 TomTom 6.2.1 Read About TomTom’s Recent Developments 6. Leading Companies in the Location-Based Services Market 5. Current LBS Market Analysis
  • 5. www.visiongain.com Contents 6.2.3 TomTom Navigator 6.2.4 TomTom for Android 6.3 Badoo 6.3.1 How is Badoo being Monetised? 6.4 TeleCommunication Systems Inc. 6.4.1 TCS Status as an End-to-end LBS Services Provider 6.4.1.1 TCS Application Suite 6.5 Nokia and Qualcomm Partnership Makes Bid to Advance Interior Positioning Technology Market 6.5.1 Nokia HERE – Delivering Precision to Indoor Mapping 6.5.2 Qualcomm Bringing Positioning Capabilities to the Equation 6.6 Near Buddy Finder 6.6.1 Grindr 6.6.1.1 Revenue Potential of Grindr 6.6.2 Blendr 6.6.2.1 Revenue Opportunities for Blendr 6.7 Urbanspoon 6.7.1 Broadening User Base with Multi-Purpose Features 6.8 Other Leading Vendors in LBS 6.9 Recommendations for Improving Location-based Gaming Opportunities 7.1 Elliott Hamilton, Senior Director of Strategic Planning, TeleCommunication Systems Inc. 7.1.1 LBS Basics and Core Offerings from an Operator or Vendor Perspective 7.1.2 LBA and the Future of Premium LBS Applications 7.1.3 Market Outlook for Telematics and In-Vehicle Connectivity 7.1.4 Vendor Response to Consumer Cries for Greater Mobile Privacy and Security 7.1.5 Impact of Wearable Smart Devices on the LBS Market 7.1.6 LBS Market Dynamics in the Different World Regions: Contributing Factors and Trends 8. SWOT Analysis of the Location-Based Services Market 7. Expert Opinion
  • 6. www.visiongain.com Contents 9.1 Global and Regional LBS Revenue Forecasts 2013-2018 9.2 Global and Regional LBS Subscription Forecasts 2013-2018 9.3 Global and Regional Location-based Advertising Forecasts 2013-2018 9.4 Who will Emerge as the leader In the LBS Market? 9.5 Visiongain’s Recommendations for Operator Success 9.5.1 Recommendations for Operator Entry into the LBS Market 9.6 What are the Barriers to LBS Success? 9.7 Drivers for LBS Success in the Current Market 9.8 What Are the Features of a Successful LBS Application? 9.9 Concluding Statements Chart 2.1: Feature Phone and Smartphone Shipment Forecasts 2013-2018 (billion units, %) Chart 2.2: Feature Phone and Smartphone Shipment AGR Forecasts 2013-2018 (%) Chart 2.5: Global Mobile Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR%) Chart 2.3: Global Tablet Shipment Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR%) Chart 2.4: Global Connected Vehicles Telematics Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion, AGR%) Chart 2.5: Global Connected Vehicles Cumulative New Car Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR%) Chart 2.6: Global Wearable Smart Device Shipment Forecast by Technology 2013-2018 (millions, AGR%) Chart 2.7: Selected Global Wearable Smart Technologies Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion, AGR%) Chart 2.8: Global Smartphone and Tablet Shipment Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR%) Chart 2.9: Global Connected Device Installed Base Sub-Market Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR%) Chart 3.1: Global Location-Based Services Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion, AGR%) Chart 3.2: Global Location-Based Services Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR%) Chart 3.3: Global Location-Based Advertising Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion, AGR%) Chart 3.4: Global Mobile Advertising Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion, AGR%) Chart 3.5: LBA vs Traditional Mobile Advertising Market Share Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (%) Chart 3.6: Global LBA vs. Traditional Mobile Advertising Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion, % share) Chart 3.7: Global LBS Market Segment Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion) List of Charts in this Report 10. Glossary 9. Recommendations and Conclusion
  • 7. www.visiongain.com Contents Chart 3.8: Global LBS Market Segment Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion) Chart 3.9: Global LBS Market Segment Share Forecast 2013 (%) Chart 3.10: Global LBS Market Segment Share Forecast 2015 (%) Chart 3.11: Global LBS Market Segment Share Forecast 2018 (%) Chart 4.1: Regional LBS Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion) Chart 4.2: Regional LBS Market Share Forecast 2013 (%) Chart 4.3: Regional LBS Market Share Forecast 2015 (%) Chart 4.4: Regional LBS Market Share Forecast 2018 (%) Chart 4.5: Regional LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions) Chart 4.6: Regional LBS Subscription Share Forecast 2013 (%) Chart 4.7: Regional LBS Subscription Share Forecast 2015 (%) Chart 4.8: Regional LBS Subscription Share Forecast 2018 (%) Chart 4.9: North American LBS Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %) Chart 4.10: North American LBS Market Share Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (%) Chart 4.11: North American LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %) Chart 4.12: North American LBS Subscription Share Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (%) Chart 4.13: Latin American LBS Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %) Chart 4.14: Latin American LBS Market Share Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (%) Chart 4.15: Latin American LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %) Chart 4.16: Latin American LBS Subscription Share Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (%) Chart 4.17: Asia-Pacific LBS Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %) Chart 4.18: Asia-Pacific LBS Market Share Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (%) Chart 4.18: Asia-Pacific LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %) Chart 4.19: Asia-Pacific LBS Subscription Share Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (%) Chart 4.20: European LBS Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %) Chart 4.21: European LBS Market Share Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (%) Chart 4.22: European LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %) Chart 4.23: European LBS Subscription Share Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (%) Chart 4.24: Middle East and African LBS Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %) Chart 4.25: Middle East and African LBS Market Share Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (%) Chart 4.26: Middle East and African LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %) Chart 4.27: Middle East and African LBS Subscription Share Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (%) Chart 5.1: Global Mobile Advertising Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %) Chart 6.1: Foursquare Check-in Share by Location Type 2013 (%) Chart 6.2: Global TomTom Revenue Share by Business Division 2013 (%) Chart 6.3: Global TomTom Revenue Share by Sales Type 2013 (%)
  • 8. www.visiongain.com Contents Figure 1.1: Location-Based Services Life Cycle Figure 2.1: LBS Technologies and How They Interrelate Figure 2.2 LBS Essential Component Infographic Figure 5.1: LBS App Ecosystem Infographic Figure 5.2 Consumer Vs. Enterprise Uses for LBS Figure 5.3 Consumer LBS Value Chain Figure 5.4 Potential LBS Enterprise Benefits Table 2.1: Current Uses for LBS in Mobile Applications Table 2.2: Enabling Technologies for LBS Table 2.3: LBS Application Archetypes Table 2.4: Essential Components of LBS Described Table 2.5: Global Mobile Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (Millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 2.6: Global Tablet Shipment Forecast 2013-2018 (Millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 2.7: Telematics LBS Applications and Descriptions Table 2.8: Global Connected Vehicles Telematics Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 2.9: Global Connected Vehicles Cumulative New Car Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 2.10: Global Wearable Smart Device Shipment Forecast by Technology 2013-2018 (millions,% Share, AGR%) Table 2.11: Global Wearable Smart Device Revenue Forecast by Technology 2013-2018 ($ billion,% Share, AGR%) Table 2.12: Global Smartphone and Tablet Shipment Forecast 2013-2018 (Millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 2.13: Global Connected Device Installed Base Sub-Market Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR%) Table 3.1: Global Location-Based Services Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 3.2: Global Location-Based Services Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 3.3: Global Location-Based Advertising Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 3.4: Global Mobile Advertising Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 3.5: Global LBA vs. Traditional Mobile Advertising Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion,% Share, AGR%) Table 3.6: Global LBS Market Segment Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion,% Share, AGR%) Table 4.1: Regional LBS Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion,% Share, AGR%) List of Tables in this Report List of Figures in this Report
  • 9. www.visiongain.com Contents Table 4.2: Regional LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions,% Share, AGR%) Table 4.3: North American LBS Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 4.4: North American LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 4.5: Latin American LBS Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 4.6: Latin American LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 4.7: Asia-Pacific LBS Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 4.7: Asia-Pacific LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 4.8: European LBS Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 4.9: European LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 4.10: Middle East and African LBS Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 4.11: Middle East and African LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 5.1: Global Mobile Advertising Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 5.2: Routes to Monetisation of LBS Apps Table 6.1: TomTom for Android Key Features Table 6.2: TCS End-to-end LBS Infrastructure Product List Table 6.3: Other Leading LBS Vendors and Related Products Table 8.1: SWOT Analysis of the Global Location-Based Services Market 2013-2018 Table 9.1: Regional LBS Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion, AGR%) Table 9.2: Regional LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR%) Table 9.3: Global LBA vs. Traditional Mobile Advertising Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion,% Share, AGR%) Table 9.4: Key Features of a Successful Commercial LBS Application
  • 10. www.visiongain.com Contents Alcatel-Lucent Alexa Amazon Apple AT&T Atheros, Inc. Badoo Bharti Airtel Bing BlackBerry Blendr BMW Bravo Broadcom China Mobile Condé Nast Creativity Software eBay Ericsson Facebook FamilyMap Flickr Foursquare Garmin GM Google Gowalla Grindr Groupon HERE HERE (Nokia) IndoorAtlas Intersec Companies Mentioned in this Report
  • 11. www.visiongain.com Contents Leap Wireless Lexus Loopt Magellan MapQuest MetroPCS Microsoft MobileLBS Moblog Motorola Solutions MTS Russia. MyTown Navizon Near Buddy Finder Nintendo Nokia NTT DoCoMo Onstar Panoramio Polaris Wireless Portugal Telecom Qualcomm Rummble RunKeeper RX Networks Samsung Samsung Electronics and Sony SFR Shopkick Skyhook Wireless Snocator Sony Sprint TeleCommunication Systems Inc. Telus Mobility The Strategis Group
  • 12. www.visiongain.com Contents TomTom Trimble Outdoors TruePosition Twitter UbiEst Urbanspoon Verizon Viettel Vodafone Volkswagen Yahoo! Yellow Pages Yelp Zagat ZTE CTIA – The Wireless Association European Union In-location Alliance New York University The United States Federal Communications Commission Organisations Mentioned in this Report
  • 13. Page 75www.visiongain.com Location Based Services Market 2013-2018: The New Face of Mobile Advertising and Social Media Visiongain believes that the MEA region will represent 23.3 million LBS connections in 2013 and 277.5 million LBS connections in 2018, representing a 64.1% CAGR over the forecast period and a net addition of 254.2 million connections. See Table 4.11 and Char4.26. As shown in Chart 4.27 by 2018 the MEA will represent almost 10% of global LBS connections. Chart 4.26: Middle East and African LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %) Source: visiongain, 2013 Table 4.11: Middle East and African LBS Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2013-2018 Subscriptions (M) 23.3 39.3 72.5 110.9 193.9 277.5 254.2 AGR (%) - 68.8 84.4 53.0 79.3 39.5 CAGR (%) 2013-15 76.4 2015-18 56.4 CAGR (%) 2013-18 64.1 Source: visiongain, 2013 23.3 39.3 72.5 110.9 198.9 277.5 68.8% 84.4% 53.0% 79.3% 39.5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 AGR% Connections(millions) LBS connections AGR %
  • 14. Page 91www.visiongain.com Location Based Services Market 2013-2018: The New Face of Mobile Advertising and Social Media 6. Leading Companies in the Location-Based Services Market 6.1 Foursquare 6.1.1 Foursquare History and Recent Developments Foursquare was created by Dennis Crowley and Naveen Selvadurai in 2009. Crowley had previous experience in the LBS field as founder of a similar project called Dodgeball. This was his graduate thesis project in the Interactive Telecommunications Program (ITP) at New York University. In 2005, Google acquired Dodgeball, only to shut it down in 2009, using the technology as the basis for its own service, Google Latitude. Foursquare is a location-based social networking application for smartphones and tablets. Subscribers ‘check in’ at venues using a mobile website, sending an SMS, or through the Foursquare application, by selecting from a list of venues the application locates nearby. Location is based on GPS hardware integrated into the smartphone or tablet device or network location provided by the application. Each check-in awards the user points and sometimes ‘badges’ or ‘mayorships’ as part of a system to promote competition between users. Foursquare is currently available on the following smartphone operating systems and devices: • iOS; • Symbian; • Android; • webOS; • Windows Phone; • Bada; • BlackBerry; and • Playstation Vita. Foursquare reported in 1Q13 that it had 33 million registered users and over one million check-ins daily. According to our research, the user base has an equal distribution of males and females and the major areas of use are the Eastern and Central United States, coastal Brazil and Chile, Western Europe, Japan, Southeast Asia, and Oceania.
  • 15. Page 105www.visiongain.com Location Based Services Market 2013-2018: The New Face of Mobile Advertising and Social Media 7. Expert Opinion 7.1 Elliott Hamilton, Senior Director of Strategic Planning, TeleCommunication Systems TeleCommunication Systems, Inc. (TCS is a publicly traded company that provides communication equipment and consulting services that facilitate the transmission of voice, video, and data. TCS has a portfolio of market-leading products for messaging, location, and deployable wireless communications. The Annapolis-based firm offers services that integrate networks, servers, gateways, and intelligent peripherals, as well as offering LBS solutions and apps. TCS has been involved in the LBS market for over 20 years and deals with a number of tier one partners. Elliott Hamilton is Senior Director of Strategic Planning at TCS. Mr. Hamilton has been with the company for over 10 years and looks at new revenue opportunities, M&A opportunities, and market trends. Prior to working at TCS, Mr. Hamilton was Vice President of Research and Consulting at The Strategis Group, a telecommunications consulting firm based in Washington, DC. 7.1.1 LBS Basics and Core Offerings from an Operator or Vendor Perspective Visiongain: For those mobile consumers who have cursory awareness of LBS, more commonly- held notions of it may involve OTT services or third party applications such as Foursquare. However, as Apple’s abandonment of Google Maps and subsequent failure with its substitute product has shown, native LBS applications can also draw significant attention, praise, or criticism. In 2013 and looking ahead, what kind of impact do you think base level, native LBS applications will have on consumer churn or brand loyalty? Elliott Hamilton: The LBS infrastructure is a tough market to look at because it comprises all the elements inside a carrier’s network that nobody sees. Ericsson and TCS are the leaders in LBS infrastructure on a global basis. Ericsson is the market leader in Europe while TCS has two-thirds of the US market.