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Demographic Shift of Population of Mumbai
  presented at International Seminar on Mumbai fort-A Fountainhead of
         Development at Sophia College, Mumbai on 12-1-2013




                                         Prof. Vibhuti Patel
                                Head, Dept. of Economics
                                SNDT Women’s University
                                           Mumbai-400020
                              Email: vibhuti.np@gmail.com               1
Population
• Growth of Mumbai: in 350 years
•   The following is a timeline of the growth of Mumbai’s population over the last
    four centuries
• 1661: 10,000 inhabitants 1675: 60,000
•  1864: 816,562 1872: 644,605
• 1881: 773,196 1891: 821,764 1901: 812,912 (Greater Bombay)
• 1911: 1,018,388 1921: 1,244,934 1931: 1,268,936
• 1941: 1,686,127 1951: 2,966,902 1961: 4,152,056
• 1971: 5,970,575 1981: 8,227,382
• 1991: 9,900,000 + 2,600,000 (Thané) = 12,500,000 (Greater Bombay)
• 2001: 11900000 (Mumbai city) and 16,368,084 (Greater Mumbai,
  incl. Thané)
• 2011: 12,478,447 i.e. 1.24 crores (excluding Agglomeration) and
  Greater Mumbai:18,414,288 i.e. 1.84 crores                      2
Demographic Profile of Mumbai City
• Over 12 million People staying in 437-460 sq. km.
• Average density: 28000 per sq. km.
• 66% of Mumbai region occupied by water
• Northward movement of population in terms of
  housing
• 55% slums on private land
• Daily trips of local trains-70 lakhs per annum
• Daily trips of Bombay Electricity and Suburban
  Transport buses- 52 lakhs per annum
                                                3
Demographic Profile of Mumbai
Sex Ratio (Per 1000)           2001                            2011
                               838                             777

Child Sex Ratio (0-6 Age)      874                             922

Average Literacy               86.04                           88.48
Male Literacy                  90.23                           90.54
Female Literacy                81.38                           86.03
Total Child Population (0-6
                               262,229                         339,723
Age)

Male Population (0-6 Age)      139,906                         176,789

Female Population (0-6 Age)    122,323                         162,934


Proportion of Children (0-6
                               8.34%                           10.18%
Age)

Proportion of Boys(0-6 Age)    8.17%                           9.41%

Proportion of Girls(0-6 Age)   8.53%                           11.16%    4
Mortality Rates
• Mortality rates in Bombay have fallen
  dramatically since independence, although, even
  before, they were lower than the corresponding
  rates in villages.
• The infant mortality rate in Mumbai has been
  static at 40 per 1000 births in the last six years
  while the maternal mortality rate has been on a
  rise.
• increase in maternal mortality rate as the BMC
  registered 206 maternal mortality cases in 2010,
  compared to 149 the year before.
• Source: Report of Executive Health Officer, BMC  5
Table: 1 Overall Sex Ratio (Number of women per 1000 men) of Greater Mumbai

 Year              Thane              Mumbai             Mumbai
                                      Suburban

 1901              939                652                652
 1911              947                570                570
 1921              937                561                561
 1931              935                592                592
 1941              940                616                616
 1951              920                712                574
 1961              919                744                626
 1971              894                769                670
 1981              883                801                729
 1991              879                831                791
 2001              858                822                777
 2011              880                857                838           6
Migration
• Immigration: Important role in growth &
  development of Mumbai
• Total Migrants to Mumbai: 70% from
  Maharashtra
• Rural origin of in-migration
• Migration to Greater Mumbai urban agglomerate
• Out-migration of youth: IT professionals, skilled
  workers
• Problems in Mumbai: Transport, housing, water,
  work life balance
                                                 7
Child Sex Ratio in Mumbai Metropolitan Region-2011


Mumbai                                                 874

Mumbai Suburb                                          910

Thane district                                         905

Thane Rural                                            953

Thane city                                             858

Navi Mumbai                                            901

Thane district                                         905

    Source: Provision Population Totals, Census of India, Paper 2
   Highlight: Locus of discriminatory abortions of female foetuses
                        shifting to rural areas                  8
Chart 1




          9
Malnutrition in Mumbai
Study by Neeraj Hatekar et al (2003) based on survey of 1006
   households in Matunga (E & W), Dadar, Mahim, Bandra,
   Mankhurd, Kurla, Vikhroli (E & W) and Ghatkopar on malnutrition
   among kutcha slums children in 0-5 age group revealed that the
   extent of malnutrition, stunting and related deaths is similar in the
   Mumbai slums and tribal villages of Jawahar Taluka as a result of
   poor coverage of public health and sanitation facilities. As a result
   continued bout diarrhea becomes a classic correlates of
   malnourished     children      in   Mumbai.      Overall,     severe
   malnourishments were higher in Mumbai than in Jahwar. A
   possible connection between the characteristics of urban informal
   labour markets, especially among women, and the high incidence
   of malnutrition among children, is discussed. This article also
   contains a discussion on policy integration for minimizing the
   incidence of malnutrition in this population.
                                                                    10
AIDS
• With 4.7% of AIDS cases in India from Mumbai,
  Mumbai is subject to 160% more AIDS than the
  average prevalence in India.
• The number of new Aids cases reported annually
  in the city has dropped 88.64% in the last five
  years: down to 595 till October 2011 from 5,240
  cases reported in 2007.
• The numbers are likely to drop further with the
  anti-retroviral therapy (ART) available at more
  centres and drugs getting cheaper.
                                              11
Education Scenario in Mumbai
•   Universities in Mumbai : 12
•   CBSE affiliated schools in Mumbai : 36
•   ICSE affiliated schools in Mumbai : 58
•   BMED-run schools : 1191
•   Secondary/ Higher Secondary schools : 3075
• Vocational Education and Training Institutes in Mumbai : 19
•   Junior colleges in Mumbai : 330
•   Engineering Colleges : 38
•   Architecture Colleges : 7
•   Pharmacy Colleges : 9
Mumbai is an education hotspot & Research hub of
                                                                12
Slum population
• According to the results of Census of India, 2001,
  48.88 of the population of Mumbai % and 38%of
  population of Thane lived in the slums of Mumbai.
  This is by far the largest slum population in any
  city of India. 72.48% of this slum population was
  literate.
• This brings out pressing need for improving the
  affordable housing stock supply in most of the
  urban settlements of Mumbai Metropolitan
  Region.
• According to World Bank, out of total households
                                                13
  of Mumbai, 52 % lived in slums & 37.5% in chowls.
Employment Patterns
• In 2001, out of total population of 178.46 lakhs in
  urban MMR, the total resident workers were
  66.16 lakhs in the year 2001 i.e. 37.07%. In case of
  Greater Mumbai, share of total resident worker
  in its total population, which was 36.81% in the
  year 1971 has varied over the years namely, to
  34.69% in 1981, 34.59% in 1991 and 38.00% in
  2001.
• As Bombay moves from a primarily
  manufacturing to a services based economy, jobs
  are slowly moving out of the congested Island
  city.                                            14
Changing profile of Employment
• a city which was defined by the textile industry
  was now welcoming new and different kind of
  economic activities-IT, tele-working, BPO, KPO,
  electronics, food processing, tourism related,
  hospitality industry,
• Rise of workforce in service sector-domestic work
• Child labour in local trains, bus stops, grocery shops, shoe-shine boys, newspaper
   vendors, rag pickers, hawkers, vendors, domestic workers, baby minders, coolies, helpers in shops,
   stigmatised slum-based labour markets,

• Change in labour processes and labour relations
• From factory based to home based work
• Feminisation of work force                                                                     15
Thank you




            16

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Demographic shift of population of Mumbai 11 12 jan 2012

  • 1. Demographic Shift of Population of Mumbai presented at International Seminar on Mumbai fort-A Fountainhead of Development at Sophia College, Mumbai on 12-1-2013 Prof. Vibhuti Patel Head, Dept. of Economics SNDT Women’s University Mumbai-400020 Email: vibhuti.np@gmail.com 1
  • 2. Population • Growth of Mumbai: in 350 years • The following is a timeline of the growth of Mumbai’s population over the last four centuries • 1661: 10,000 inhabitants 1675: 60,000 • 1864: 816,562 1872: 644,605 • 1881: 773,196 1891: 821,764 1901: 812,912 (Greater Bombay) • 1911: 1,018,388 1921: 1,244,934 1931: 1,268,936 • 1941: 1,686,127 1951: 2,966,902 1961: 4,152,056 • 1971: 5,970,575 1981: 8,227,382 • 1991: 9,900,000 + 2,600,000 (Thané) = 12,500,000 (Greater Bombay) • 2001: 11900000 (Mumbai city) and 16,368,084 (Greater Mumbai, incl. Thané) • 2011: 12,478,447 i.e. 1.24 crores (excluding Agglomeration) and Greater Mumbai:18,414,288 i.e. 1.84 crores 2
  • 3. Demographic Profile of Mumbai City • Over 12 million People staying in 437-460 sq. km. • Average density: 28000 per sq. km. • 66% of Mumbai region occupied by water • Northward movement of population in terms of housing • 55% slums on private land • Daily trips of local trains-70 lakhs per annum • Daily trips of Bombay Electricity and Suburban Transport buses- 52 lakhs per annum 3
  • 4. Demographic Profile of Mumbai Sex Ratio (Per 1000) 2001 2011 838 777 Child Sex Ratio (0-6 Age) 874 922 Average Literacy 86.04 88.48 Male Literacy 90.23 90.54 Female Literacy 81.38 86.03 Total Child Population (0-6 262,229 339,723 Age) Male Population (0-6 Age) 139,906 176,789 Female Population (0-6 Age) 122,323 162,934 Proportion of Children (0-6 8.34% 10.18% Age) Proportion of Boys(0-6 Age) 8.17% 9.41% Proportion of Girls(0-6 Age) 8.53% 11.16% 4
  • 5. Mortality Rates • Mortality rates in Bombay have fallen dramatically since independence, although, even before, they were lower than the corresponding rates in villages. • The infant mortality rate in Mumbai has been static at 40 per 1000 births in the last six years while the maternal mortality rate has been on a rise. • increase in maternal mortality rate as the BMC registered 206 maternal mortality cases in 2010, compared to 149 the year before. • Source: Report of Executive Health Officer, BMC 5
  • 6. Table: 1 Overall Sex Ratio (Number of women per 1000 men) of Greater Mumbai Year Thane Mumbai Mumbai Suburban 1901 939 652 652 1911 947 570 570 1921 937 561 561 1931 935 592 592 1941 940 616 616 1951 920 712 574 1961 919 744 626 1971 894 769 670 1981 883 801 729 1991 879 831 791 2001 858 822 777 2011 880 857 838 6
  • 7. Migration • Immigration: Important role in growth & development of Mumbai • Total Migrants to Mumbai: 70% from Maharashtra • Rural origin of in-migration • Migration to Greater Mumbai urban agglomerate • Out-migration of youth: IT professionals, skilled workers • Problems in Mumbai: Transport, housing, water, work life balance 7
  • 8. Child Sex Ratio in Mumbai Metropolitan Region-2011 Mumbai 874 Mumbai Suburb 910 Thane district 905 Thane Rural 953 Thane city 858 Navi Mumbai 901 Thane district 905 Source: Provision Population Totals, Census of India, Paper 2 Highlight: Locus of discriminatory abortions of female foetuses shifting to rural areas 8
  • 10. Malnutrition in Mumbai Study by Neeraj Hatekar et al (2003) based on survey of 1006 households in Matunga (E & W), Dadar, Mahim, Bandra, Mankhurd, Kurla, Vikhroli (E & W) and Ghatkopar on malnutrition among kutcha slums children in 0-5 age group revealed that the extent of malnutrition, stunting and related deaths is similar in the Mumbai slums and tribal villages of Jawahar Taluka as a result of poor coverage of public health and sanitation facilities. As a result continued bout diarrhea becomes a classic correlates of malnourished children in Mumbai. Overall, severe malnourishments were higher in Mumbai than in Jahwar. A possible connection between the characteristics of urban informal labour markets, especially among women, and the high incidence of malnutrition among children, is discussed. This article also contains a discussion on policy integration for minimizing the incidence of malnutrition in this population. 10
  • 11. AIDS • With 4.7% of AIDS cases in India from Mumbai, Mumbai is subject to 160% more AIDS than the average prevalence in India. • The number of new Aids cases reported annually in the city has dropped 88.64% in the last five years: down to 595 till October 2011 from 5,240 cases reported in 2007. • The numbers are likely to drop further with the anti-retroviral therapy (ART) available at more centres and drugs getting cheaper. 11
  • 12. Education Scenario in Mumbai • Universities in Mumbai : 12 • CBSE affiliated schools in Mumbai : 36 • ICSE affiliated schools in Mumbai : 58 • BMED-run schools : 1191 • Secondary/ Higher Secondary schools : 3075 • Vocational Education and Training Institutes in Mumbai : 19 • Junior colleges in Mumbai : 330 • Engineering Colleges : 38 • Architecture Colleges : 7 • Pharmacy Colleges : 9 Mumbai is an education hotspot & Research hub of 12
  • 13. Slum population • According to the results of Census of India, 2001, 48.88 of the population of Mumbai % and 38%of population of Thane lived in the slums of Mumbai. This is by far the largest slum population in any city of India. 72.48% of this slum population was literate. • This brings out pressing need for improving the affordable housing stock supply in most of the urban settlements of Mumbai Metropolitan Region. • According to World Bank, out of total households 13 of Mumbai, 52 % lived in slums & 37.5% in chowls.
  • 14. Employment Patterns • In 2001, out of total population of 178.46 lakhs in urban MMR, the total resident workers were 66.16 lakhs in the year 2001 i.e. 37.07%. In case of Greater Mumbai, share of total resident worker in its total population, which was 36.81% in the year 1971 has varied over the years namely, to 34.69% in 1981, 34.59% in 1991 and 38.00% in 2001. • As Bombay moves from a primarily manufacturing to a services based economy, jobs are slowly moving out of the congested Island city. 14
  • 15. Changing profile of Employment • a city which was defined by the textile industry was now welcoming new and different kind of economic activities-IT, tele-working, BPO, KPO, electronics, food processing, tourism related, hospitality industry, • Rise of workforce in service sector-domestic work • Child labour in local trains, bus stops, grocery shops, shoe-shine boys, newspaper vendors, rag pickers, hawkers, vendors, domestic workers, baby minders, coolies, helpers in shops, stigmatised slum-based labour markets, • Change in labour processes and labour relations • From factory based to home based work • Feminisation of work force 15
  • 16. Thank you 16