Vladimir Jelavic, EKONERG

1. 1st Workshop on developing Croatian Low-Emission Development Strategy
Ministry of Environmental and Nature Protection (MZOIP), UNDP
Thursday 14th June 2012, Zagreb, HGK, Nova cesta 3-7
Review of relevant documents for background
information
Vladimir Jelavić dr.sc. EKONERG

2. Energy and climate documents
The Plan for protection and improvement of air quality in Croatia for for
the period of 2008. to 2011. (NN 61/08)
HGH emission reduction scenarios for post-Kyoto period till 2009., with view on 2030
and 2050. (EKONERG, 2009)
Croatian energy sector development strategy, (NN 130/09)
Fifth National Communication of Croatia under the UNFCCC, (MZOPUG, 2010)
Plan for implementation of article 3.3 and 3.4 of Kyoto protocol (EKONERG,and
Croatian Forest Company, 2010)
Draft National Renewable Action Plan, Republic of Croatia, Prepared in accordance
with the requirements of Directive 2009/28/EC Article 4 (1,2) (Ministry of Economy,
Labour and Entepreneurship, 2010)
Croatian GHG Emission Projection Report, (AZO, 2011)
National Inventory Report for 2010, (AZO, 2012)

3. The Plan for protection and improvement of air quality in
Croatia for for the period of 2008. to 2011. (NN 61/08)
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4. HGH emission reduction scenarios for post-Kyoto period till 2009.,
with view on 2030 and 2050. (EKONERG, 2009)
Glavne mjere za smanjenje emisije održivog scenarija
70000
60000
Nova nuklearna 1000 MW
CCS-izdvajanje i skladištenje CO2
50000
Mjere u sektoru otpad
Mjere u poljoprivredi
40000
Mjere u industrijskim procesima
Gg CO2-eq
Promjena goriva i ostale mjere
30000
Obnovljivi izvori energije
Energetska učinkovitost
20000
Održivi scenarij
10000
0
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
4/26

5. HGH emission reduction scenarios for post-Kyoto period till 2009.,
with view on 2030 and 2050. (EKONERG, 2009)
-22% u odnosu na BAU,
u 2020. godini
70000
60000
50000
2q
-e
40000
-5% u odnosu na Baznu godinu
O
G
C
30000
g
20000
10000
0
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Scenarij 'bez mjera' Scenarij 's mjerama' Scenarij 's dodatnim mjerama' -5% u odnosu na Baznu godinu
5/26

6. ‘Green book’ - Croatian energy sector development strategy, (NN 130/09)
6/26

7. Fifth National Communication of Croatia under the UNFCCC, (MZOPUG, 2010)
GHG emission of Republic of Croatia and targets
40000
35000
30000
25000
GgCO2-eq
20000 GHG emission
Base year
15000
95% of Base year
10000 95% of year 1990
5000
0
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Peto nacionalno izvješće RH prema UNFCCC-u, MZOPUG 2009

8. Draft National Renewable Action Plan, Republic of Croatia, Prepared in accordance with the requirements
of Directive 2009/28/EC Article 4 (1,2) (Ministry of Economy, Labour and Entepreneurship, 2010)
 Example – transport sector
8/26

9. The main measures till 2020
- Energy efficiency
- According EU directive 206/32/EC, 10% energy consumption
reduction in 2020 comparing to average consumption in 2001-2005
9/26

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10/26
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- 20% of gross net consumption in 2020, calculated target (Energy

11. The main measures till 2020
Renewable energy:
Sectorial goals:
- 35% in electricity production
- 10% in transport
- 21% in heating and cooling
Contribution to 20% target:
- RES in electricity 9,2 %
- RES in transport 2,2 %
- RES in heating and cooling 8,6%
11/26

12. The measures in other sectors
 In process industry
 In waste management
 In agriculture
 In land use change and forestry (LULUCF)
12/26

13. Where we can reduce emissions?
13/26

14. Where in energy sectors?
14/26

15. Through indicators
Udio Hrvatske u Svijetu, % Države Priloga 1
CO2eq/stanovnik u odnosu na BDP/ stanovnik
Površina
0,2
30
0,15
25 EU
CO2-eq em isija 0,1 Stanovnika
20 Hrvatska 2004
tCO2-eq/stanovnik
0,05
15
0
10
Proizvodnja el.en. Nom inalni BDP 5
0
0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000
Ukupna potrošnja
US$/stanovnik (PPP 2004)
energije
Low carbon pathway for Croatia
15/26

16. Zaključno
Prilike:
- Smanjenje ovisnosti o uvozu
- Smanjenje troškova u sektorima gdje se primjenjuje energetska efikasnost
- Povećanje sigurnosti energetske opskrbe
- Razvoj novih gospodarskih aktivnosti i otvaranje radnih mjesta
- Smanjenje onečišćenja zraka
Izazovi:
- Kako ubrzati primjenu OIE
- Socio-gospodarski aspekt povećanja cijena zbog troškova ugljika
- Opasnosti gubitka konkurentnosti i povećanje ovisnosti o stranim
tehnologijama
- ‘curenje ugljika’
- Odluka o primijeni CCS
- Nuklearna energija
16/26

17. Thank you