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Case studies for sustainable
energy and policy
recommendations for the
Western Balkans
Iva kvakić, heinrich bOEll stiftung
project background
- Economic crisis
- Link between economic growth and
resource scarcity
- Advocating a Green New Deal for the WB
region
- Expert teams
- 2 key sectors – energy and agriculture
project background
- Regional agriculture study
- Darko Znaor
- Regional energy study
- Aleksandar Kovačević
- National energy papers
- country level experts
project background
project background
AGRICULTURE FINDINGS
AGRICULTURE FINDINGS
- The Real Value Added (RVA) in the
baseline year (2009) = - EUR 832 million
- BAU scenario RVA = - EUR 449 million
- ECO scenario RVA = EUR 551 million
- ECO+ scenario RVA = EUR 2.051
million.
Energy studies
wb ENERGY CONTEXT
- Heavily reliant on fossil fuels
- Carbon intensive/low productivity sources
- Lignite, heavy fuel oil

- Imports
- Fossil fuel subsidies
- Energy poverty
wb ENERGY CONTEXT
HBS wb energy study
HBS wb energy study
- BAU scenario:
- expected increase of energy demand
in line with economic growth
- investments in large scale fossil fuel
plants
- additional investments due to EU
obligations
HBS wb energy study
- BAU scenario risks:
- energy security
- impact on households: energy poverty,
suboptimal energy prices compared to
international standards, environmental
impacts and climate change
HBS wb energy study
- ECO scenario
-

energy efficiency – reducing peak loads
sustainable urban transport
building stock replacement
shift energy investments from imported fuels
to resources available within the region
- development of forest and biomass resources
HBS wb energy study
- Focus: wood industry
- Biomass fired power plants in
proximity of urban areas
- Industrial zones attached to urban
areas
- Adequate transport facilities (railways,
waterborne)
- Invention and education facilitation
NATIONAL ENERGY
PAPERS
National energy papers
- Local case studies for renewables and
energy efficiency
- Croatia, BiH, Serbia, Montenegro
- The team
- energy expert
- economist
- civil society representative
croatia
energy CONTEXT
- Large scale fossil fuel investments
- Existing feed-in tariff system
- Feed-in quotas
- Energy poverty – 65% of households
case studies
- Passive social housing
Passive social housing
Passive social housing
- Koprivnica case
- cca 1000 EUR / m2
- up to 5 times less monthly cost
- second project in progress
case studies
- Passive social housing
- Energy retrofitting through ESCO
companies in local government ownership
esco model
- 15% financing by local government, cofinancing by EU funds
- 1:7 investment generation, total cca 20
mil EUR
- 2.100 jobs per year
- over 400.000 m2
- energy consumption reduction – 60%
case studies
- Passive social housing
- Energy retrofitting through ESCO
companies in local government ownership
- Solar thermal – coastal areas
solar thermal
- Plomin C investment scale
- 3.000.000 m2 of solar thermal (2014-2020)
- 6-9 years payback period
- 3000-3500 jobs
case studies
- Passive social housing
- Energy retrofitting through ESCO
companies in local government ownership
- Solar thermal – coastal areas
- Energy cooperatives
- Cogeneration in public institutions
cogeneration in public
institutions
cogeneration in public
institutions
- Valtura penitentiary
- agricultural and livestock waste to
biogas
- total investment : 5.000.000 EUR
- payback period <10 years
Bosnia and herzegovina
energy CONTEXT
- Only energy exporter
- Institutional barriers
- Energy poverty
- Fossil fuel centered strategy (75% coal)
- CO2 emission permit cost 40% of current
energy price
case studies
- Biomass replacement for fossil fuels
- 21.000 m2 of commercial surfaces
heated on wood pellets
- Payback period – 2,16 years
- Potential: 2000 sustainable jobs for
technical potential of forest residues
case studies
- Heat pumps
- geothermal energy
- case: Fojnica hotels
- heating costs reduced by the factor of
10
- payback period: 1 year
case studies
- Solar energy
- 74% of heating demand in Banja Luka,
78% of heating demand in Sarajevo
could be covered by solar thermal
- combined pellet – solar thermal
systems
SERBIA
energy CONTEXT
- Lignite centered
- Dependency on uncertain natural gas
corridors
- High level of inefficient biomass use
- Energy poverty
case studies
- Wooden house with PV
- Replacement of inefficient stoves – over
50% of households
- PV with feed-in tariff
MONTEnegro
energy CONTEXT
- Prevailing hydro
- Energy imports
- Lack of investment in distribution
- Poor energy efficiency
- Energy poverty
case studies
- Energy efficient lighting
- 76% annual savings, return 1-2 years
- PV (Podgorica, 10kW)
- 18.000 EUR investment, 8.4y payback
- Biomass fuel
- Current– 100 MEUR for 670m kWh
- Potential – 1,46 MWh
conclusion – wb region
- Energy poverty
- Strong strategic orientation towards fossil fuels
- Risk of increased prices due to CO2 regulation
conclusion – wb region
- Energy poverty
- Strong strategic orientation towards fossil fuels
- Risk of increased prices due to CO2 regulation
- Biomass – energy security and industrial potential
- Solar energy
- Local cogeneration and energy efficiency projects
policy recommendations
- lignite and coal phaseout
- investment in forestry and biomass
industry
- investment in energy efficiency
- incentives for small, decentralized
systems
- incentives and legislation for energy
cooperatives
http://boell.de
http://hr.boell.org

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23 iva kvakic undpkonf

  • 1. Case studies for sustainable energy and policy recommendations for the Western Balkans Iva kvakić, heinrich bOEll stiftung
  • 2. project background - Economic crisis - Link between economic growth and resource scarcity - Advocating a Green New Deal for the WB region - Expert teams - 2 key sectors – energy and agriculture
  • 3. project background - Regional agriculture study - Darko Znaor - Regional energy study - Aleksandar Kovačević - National energy papers - country level experts
  • 7. AGRICULTURE FINDINGS - The Real Value Added (RVA) in the baseline year (2009) = - EUR 832 million - BAU scenario RVA = - EUR 449 million - ECO scenario RVA = EUR 551 million - ECO+ scenario RVA = EUR 2.051 million.
  • 9. wb ENERGY CONTEXT - Heavily reliant on fossil fuels - Carbon intensive/low productivity sources - Lignite, heavy fuel oil - Imports - Fossil fuel subsidies - Energy poverty
  • 11. HBS wb energy study
  • 12. HBS wb energy study - BAU scenario: - expected increase of energy demand in line with economic growth - investments in large scale fossil fuel plants - additional investments due to EU obligations
  • 13. HBS wb energy study - BAU scenario risks: - energy security - impact on households: energy poverty, suboptimal energy prices compared to international standards, environmental impacts and climate change
  • 14. HBS wb energy study - ECO scenario - energy efficiency – reducing peak loads sustainable urban transport building stock replacement shift energy investments from imported fuels to resources available within the region - development of forest and biomass resources
  • 15.
  • 16. HBS wb energy study - Focus: wood industry - Biomass fired power plants in proximity of urban areas - Industrial zones attached to urban areas - Adequate transport facilities (railways, waterborne) - Invention and education facilitation
  • 18. National energy papers - Local case studies for renewables and energy efficiency - Croatia, BiH, Serbia, Montenegro - The team - energy expert - economist - civil society representative
  • 20. energy CONTEXT - Large scale fossil fuel investments - Existing feed-in tariff system - Feed-in quotas - Energy poverty – 65% of households
  • 21. case studies - Passive social housing
  • 23. Passive social housing - Koprivnica case - cca 1000 EUR / m2 - up to 5 times less monthly cost - second project in progress
  • 24. case studies - Passive social housing - Energy retrofitting through ESCO companies in local government ownership
  • 25. esco model - 15% financing by local government, cofinancing by EU funds - 1:7 investment generation, total cca 20 mil EUR - 2.100 jobs per year - over 400.000 m2 - energy consumption reduction – 60%
  • 26. case studies - Passive social housing - Energy retrofitting through ESCO companies in local government ownership - Solar thermal – coastal areas
  • 27. solar thermal - Plomin C investment scale - 3.000.000 m2 of solar thermal (2014-2020) - 6-9 years payback period - 3000-3500 jobs
  • 28. case studies - Passive social housing - Energy retrofitting through ESCO companies in local government ownership - Solar thermal – coastal areas - Energy cooperatives - Cogeneration in public institutions
  • 30. cogeneration in public institutions - Valtura penitentiary - agricultural and livestock waste to biogas - total investment : 5.000.000 EUR - payback period <10 years
  • 32. energy CONTEXT - Only energy exporter - Institutional barriers - Energy poverty - Fossil fuel centered strategy (75% coal) - CO2 emission permit cost 40% of current energy price
  • 33. case studies - Biomass replacement for fossil fuels - 21.000 m2 of commercial surfaces heated on wood pellets - Payback period – 2,16 years - Potential: 2000 sustainable jobs for technical potential of forest residues
  • 34. case studies - Heat pumps - geothermal energy - case: Fojnica hotels - heating costs reduced by the factor of 10 - payback period: 1 year
  • 35. case studies - Solar energy - 74% of heating demand in Banja Luka, 78% of heating demand in Sarajevo could be covered by solar thermal - combined pellet – solar thermal systems
  • 37. energy CONTEXT - Lignite centered - Dependency on uncertain natural gas corridors - High level of inefficient biomass use - Energy poverty
  • 38. case studies - Wooden house with PV - Replacement of inefficient stoves – over 50% of households - PV with feed-in tariff
  • 40. energy CONTEXT - Prevailing hydro - Energy imports - Lack of investment in distribution - Poor energy efficiency - Energy poverty
  • 41. case studies - Energy efficient lighting - 76% annual savings, return 1-2 years - PV (Podgorica, 10kW) - 18.000 EUR investment, 8.4y payback - Biomass fuel - Current– 100 MEUR for 670m kWh - Potential – 1,46 MWh
  • 42. conclusion – wb region - Energy poverty - Strong strategic orientation towards fossil fuels - Risk of increased prices due to CO2 regulation
  • 43. conclusion – wb region - Energy poverty - Strong strategic orientation towards fossil fuels - Risk of increased prices due to CO2 regulation - Biomass – energy security and industrial potential - Solar energy - Local cogeneration and energy efficiency projects
  • 44. policy recommendations - lignite and coal phaseout - investment in forestry and biomass industry - investment in energy efficiency - incentives for small, decentralized systems - incentives and legislation for energy cooperatives
  • 45.