How AI, OpenAI, and ChatGPT impact business and software.
23 iva kvakic undpkonf
1. Case studies for sustainable
energy and policy
recommendations for the
Western Balkans
Iva kvakić, heinrich bOEll stiftung
2. project background
- Economic crisis
- Link between economic growth and
resource scarcity
- Advocating a Green New Deal for the WB
region
- Expert teams
- 2 key sectors – energy and agriculture
3. project background
- Regional agriculture study
- Darko Znaor
- Regional energy study
- Aleksandar Kovačević
- National energy papers
- country level experts
7. AGRICULTURE FINDINGS
- The Real Value Added (RVA) in the
baseline year (2009) = - EUR 832 million
- BAU scenario RVA = - EUR 449 million
- ECO scenario RVA = EUR 551 million
- ECO+ scenario RVA = EUR 2.051
million.
12. HBS wb energy study
- BAU scenario:
- expected increase of energy demand
in line with economic growth
- investments in large scale fossil fuel
plants
- additional investments due to EU
obligations
13. HBS wb energy study
- BAU scenario risks:
- energy security
- impact on households: energy poverty,
suboptimal energy prices compared to
international standards, environmental
impacts and climate change
14. HBS wb energy study
- ECO scenario
-
energy efficiency – reducing peak loads
sustainable urban transport
building stock replacement
shift energy investments from imported fuels
to resources available within the region
- development of forest and biomass resources
15.
16. HBS wb energy study
- Focus: wood industry
- Biomass fired power plants in
proximity of urban areas
- Industrial zones attached to urban
areas
- Adequate transport facilities (railways,
waterborne)
- Invention and education facilitation
18. National energy papers
- Local case studies for renewables and
energy efficiency
- Croatia, BiH, Serbia, Montenegro
- The team
- energy expert
- economist
- civil society representative
23. Passive social housing
- Koprivnica case
- cca 1000 EUR / m2
- up to 5 times less monthly cost
- second project in progress
24. case studies
- Passive social housing
- Energy retrofitting through ESCO
companies in local government ownership
25. esco model
- 15% financing by local government, cofinancing by EU funds
- 1:7 investment generation, total cca 20
mil EUR
- 2.100 jobs per year
- over 400.000 m2
- energy consumption reduction – 60%
26. case studies
- Passive social housing
- Energy retrofitting through ESCO
companies in local government ownership
- Solar thermal – coastal areas
27. solar thermal
- Plomin C investment scale
- 3.000.000 m2 of solar thermal (2014-2020)
- 6-9 years payback period
- 3000-3500 jobs
28. case studies
- Passive social housing
- Energy retrofitting through ESCO
companies in local government ownership
- Solar thermal – coastal areas
- Energy cooperatives
- Cogeneration in public institutions
30. cogeneration in public
institutions
- Valtura penitentiary
- agricultural and livestock waste to
biogas
- total investment : 5.000.000 EUR
- payback period <10 years
32. energy CONTEXT
- Only energy exporter
- Institutional barriers
- Energy poverty
- Fossil fuel centered strategy (75% coal)
- CO2 emission permit cost 40% of current
energy price
33. case studies
- Biomass replacement for fossil fuels
- 21.000 m2 of commercial surfaces
heated on wood pellets
- Payback period – 2,16 years
- Potential: 2000 sustainable jobs for
technical potential of forest residues
34. case studies
- Heat pumps
- geothermal energy
- case: Fojnica hotels
- heating costs reduced by the factor of
10
- payback period: 1 year
35. case studies
- Solar energy
- 74% of heating demand in Banja Luka,
78% of heating demand in Sarajevo
could be covered by solar thermal
- combined pellet – solar thermal
systems
40. energy CONTEXT
- Prevailing hydro
- Energy imports
- Lack of investment in distribution
- Poor energy efficiency
- Energy poverty
41. case studies
- Energy efficient lighting
- 76% annual savings, return 1-2 years
- PV (Podgorica, 10kW)
- 18.000 EUR investment, 8.4y payback
- Biomass fuel
- Current– 100 MEUR for 670m kWh
- Potential – 1,46 MWh
42. conclusion – wb region
- Energy poverty
- Strong strategic orientation towards fossil fuels
- Risk of increased prices due to CO2 regulation
43. conclusion – wb region
- Energy poverty
- Strong strategic orientation towards fossil fuels
- Risk of increased prices due to CO2 regulation
- Biomass – energy security and industrial potential
- Solar energy
- Local cogeneration and energy efficiency projects
44. policy recommendations
- lignite and coal phaseout
- investment in forestry and biomass
industry
- investment in energy efficiency
- incentives for small, decentralized
systems
- incentives and legislation for energy
cooperatives