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1
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Decarbonising heat: networks, pumps
or pipes?
Robert Sansom – Imperial College
UK energy system in transition:
Technology, infrastructure & investment
Edinburgh - 1st April 2014
2
Click to add titleTowards decarbonising heat
Maximising the opportunities for Scotland
Four key challenges:
• Decarbonising heat
• Diversifying sources of heat
• Reducing pressure on household
energy bills
• Seizing the economic opportunities
3
Click to add titleDecarbonising heat
Total final energy consumption in Scotland 2011
Source: DECC. (2013). Total final energy consumption statistics (Sub-national): 2011.
Heat
Electricity
Transport
Heat accounts for
47% of total CO2
emissions.
4
Click to add titleSources of domestic heat
Source: Scottish condition survey using 2012 data.
Heat
Electricity
Transport
5
Click to add titleHalf hourly heat demand
Heat
6
Click to add titleImpact of temperature on UK gas demand
Heat is very
temperature
sensitive
7
Click to add titleUK daily temperature annual duration curves
8
Click to add titleFuture heat demand
High Government Intervention and Uptake scenario
• Very aggressive energy efficiency
improvements
• Significant electrification (>50%) of
heat using heat pumps
• Modest development of district
heating
• No storage heating
TWh
Domestic
9
Click to add titleImpact on Scottish electricity infrastructure
10
Click to add titleComparison of low carbon heat technologies
0
1
2
3
4
5
Running cost
Deployment
Performance
Optionality
Investment cost
Flexibility
Network impact
Heat output
Heat pumps District heating Electric storage heaters
5 = Good
1 = Poor
11
Click to add titleSummary and conclusions
• Decarbonising heat is essential to meet Scotland’s 2050 CO2target.
• A transformation of Scotland’s heat sector is required.
• There is considerable uncertainty in terms of costs, performance and
deployment of heat technologies.
• A “whole systems” approach is essential.
• Heat storage provides substantial opportunities to support intermittent and
inflexible generation.
• Consumer engagement is crucial to deliver:
 reductions in heat demand.
 selection of heating technology.
12
Click to add title
Thank you
…any questions
r.sansom10@imperial.ac.uk

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Decarbonising heat: networks, pumps or pipes? Robert Sansom, Imperial College

  • 1. 1 Click to add title Decarbonising heat: networks, pumps or pipes? Robert Sansom – Imperial College UK energy system in transition: Technology, infrastructure & investment Edinburgh - 1st April 2014
  • 2. 2 Click to add titleTowards decarbonising heat Maximising the opportunities for Scotland Four key challenges: • Decarbonising heat • Diversifying sources of heat • Reducing pressure on household energy bills • Seizing the economic opportunities
  • 3. 3 Click to add titleDecarbonising heat Total final energy consumption in Scotland 2011 Source: DECC. (2013). Total final energy consumption statistics (Sub-national): 2011. Heat Electricity Transport Heat accounts for 47% of total CO2 emissions.
  • 4. 4 Click to add titleSources of domestic heat Source: Scottish condition survey using 2012 data. Heat Electricity Transport
  • 5. 5 Click to add titleHalf hourly heat demand Heat
  • 6. 6 Click to add titleImpact of temperature on UK gas demand Heat is very temperature sensitive
  • 7. 7 Click to add titleUK daily temperature annual duration curves
  • 8. 8 Click to add titleFuture heat demand High Government Intervention and Uptake scenario • Very aggressive energy efficiency improvements • Significant electrification (>50%) of heat using heat pumps • Modest development of district heating • No storage heating TWh Domestic
  • 9. 9 Click to add titleImpact on Scottish electricity infrastructure
  • 10. 10 Click to add titleComparison of low carbon heat technologies 0 1 2 3 4 5 Running cost Deployment Performance Optionality Investment cost Flexibility Network impact Heat output Heat pumps District heating Electric storage heaters 5 = Good 1 = Poor
  • 11. 11 Click to add titleSummary and conclusions • Decarbonising heat is essential to meet Scotland’s 2050 CO2target. • A transformation of Scotland’s heat sector is required. • There is considerable uncertainty in terms of costs, performance and deployment of heat technologies. • A “whole systems” approach is essential. • Heat storage provides substantial opportunities to support intermittent and inflexible generation. • Consumer engagement is crucial to deliver:  reductions in heat demand.  selection of heating technology.
  • 12. 12 Click to add title Thank you …any questions r.sansom10@imperial.ac.uk